The vanna-volga method for implied volatilities
The vanna-volga method for implied volatilities - Risk.net
The vanna-volga method for implied volatilities - Risk.net
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σ is the constant BS <strong>implied</strong> volatility. 4 In real financial markets,<br />
however, volatility is stochastic and traders hedge the associated<br />
risk by constructing portfolios that are vega-neutral in a BS (flatsmile)<br />
world.<br />
Maintaining the assumption of flat but stochastic <strong>implied</strong> <strong>volatilities</strong>,<br />
the presence of three basic options in the market makes it<br />
possible to build a portfolio that zeros out partial derivatives up<br />
to the second order. In fact, denoting respectively by Δ t<br />
and x i<br />
the<br />
units of the underlying asset and options with strikes K i<br />
held at<br />
time t and setting C i<br />
BS<br />
(t) = C BS (t; K i<br />
), under diffusion dynamics<br />
<strong>for</strong> both S t<br />
and σ = σ t<br />
, we have by Itô’s lemma:<br />
dC BS<br />
( t; K ) − ∆ t dS t − x i dC BS i t<br />
( )<br />
⎡<br />
= ∂C BS 3<br />
t; K ∂C BS<br />
− x i t ⎤<br />
⎢ ∑ i ⎥ dt<br />
⎣ ∂t i=1 ∂t ⎦<br />
⎡<br />
+ ∂C BS 3<br />
( t; K )<br />
∂C BS<br />
− ∆ t − x i ( t ) ⎤<br />
⎢<br />
∑ i ⎥ dS t<br />
⎣ ∂S<br />
i=1 ∂S ⎦<br />
⎡<br />
+ ∂C BS 3<br />
( t; K ) ∂C BS<br />
− x i ( t ) ⎤<br />
⎢ ∑ i ⎥ dσ t<br />
(2)<br />
⎣ ∂σ i=1 ∂σ ⎦<br />
+ 1 ⎡ ∂ 2 C BS<br />
3<br />
( t; K ) ∂ 2 C BS<br />
− x i ( t ) ⎤<br />
⎢ ∑<br />
2 ∂S 2 i<br />
⎣<br />
∂S 2 ⎥( dS t ) 2<br />
i=1<br />
⎦<br />
+ 1 ⎡ ∂ 2 C BS<br />
3<br />
( t; K ) ∂ 2 C BS<br />
− x i ( t ) ⎤<br />
⎢ ∑<br />
2 ∂σ 2 i<br />
⎣<br />
∂σ 2 ⎥( dσ t ) 2<br />
i=1<br />
⎦<br />
⎡<br />
+ ∂2 C BS 3<br />
( t; K ) ∂ 2 C BS<br />
− x i ( t ) ⎤<br />
⎢ ∑ i ⎥ dS t dσ t<br />
⎣ ∂S∂σ i=1 ∂S∂σ ⎦<br />
Choosing Δ t<br />
and x i<br />
so as to zero out the coefficients of dS t<br />
, dσ t<br />
,<br />
(dσ t<br />
) 2 and dS t<br />
dσ t<br />
, 5 the portfolio comprises a long position in<br />
the call with strike K, and short positions in x i<br />
calls with strike<br />
K i<br />
and short the amount Δ t<br />
of the underlying, and is locally<br />
risk-free at time t, in that no stochastic terms are involved in<br />
its differential 6 :<br />
dC BS<br />
= r d ⎡<br />
⎢C BS t; K<br />
⎣<br />
3<br />
∑<br />
i=1<br />
( )<br />
( )<br />
( t; K ) − ∆ t dS t − x i dC BS i t<br />
3<br />
∑<br />
i=1<br />
3<br />
( )<br />
( ) − ∆ t S t − ∑ x i C BS i ( t )<br />
i=1<br />
(3)<br />
⎤<br />
⎥ dt ⎦<br />
<strong>The</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e, when volatility is stochastic and options are valued<br />
with the BS <strong>for</strong>mula, we can still have a (locally) perfect hedge,<br />
provided that we hold suitable amounts of three more options to<br />
rule out the model risk. (<strong>The</strong> hedging strategy is irrespective of<br />
the true asset and volatility dynamics, under the assumption of<br />
no jumps.)<br />
■ Remark 1. <strong>The</strong> validity of the previous replication argument<br />
may be questioned because no stochastic-volatility model can<br />
produce <strong>implied</strong> <strong>volatilities</strong> that are flat and stochastic at the same<br />
time. <strong>The</strong> simultaneous presence of these features, though inconsistent<br />
from a theoretical point of view, can however be justified<br />
on empirical grounds. In fact, the practical advantages of the BS<br />
paradigm are so clear that many <strong>for</strong>ex option traders run their<br />
books by revaluing and hedging according to a BS flat-smile<br />
model, with the ATM volatility being continuously updated to<br />
the actual market level. 7<br />
<strong>The</strong> first step in the VV procedure is the construction of the<br />
above hedging portfolio, whose weights x i<br />
are explicitly calculated<br />
in the following section.<br />
Calculating the VV weights<br />
We assume hereafter that the constant BS volatility is the ATM<br />
one, thus setting σ = σ 2<br />
(= σ ATM<br />
). We also assume that t = 0, dropping<br />
accordingly the argument t in the call prices. From equation<br />
(2), we see that the weights x 1<br />
= x 1<br />
(K), x 2<br />
= x 2<br />
(K) and x 3<br />
= x 3<br />
(K),<br />
<strong>for</strong> which the resulting portfolio of European-style calls with<br />
maturity T and strikes K 1<br />
, K 2<br />
and K 3<br />
has the same vega, ∂Vega/<br />
∂Vol and ∂Vega/∂Spot as the call with strike K, 8 can be found by<br />
solving the following system:<br />
∂C BS<br />
∂σ<br />
3<br />
( K ) = x i K<br />
∑<br />
i=1<br />
3<br />
i=1<br />
3<br />
( )<br />
∂C BS<br />
∂σ<br />
∂ 2 C BS<br />
∂<br />
( K ) = ∑ x<br />
∂σ 2<br />
i ( K )<br />
2 C BS<br />
∂σ 2<br />
∂ 2 C BS<br />
∂<br />
( K ) = ∑ x i ( K )<br />
2 C BS<br />
∂σ∂S 0 i=1 ∂σ∂S 0<br />
( K i )<br />
( K i )<br />
( K i )<br />
Denoting by V(K) the vega of a European-style option with<br />
maturity T and strike K:<br />
BS<br />
∂C<br />
V ( K ) = ( ∂σ<br />
K ) = S 0 e− r f T<br />
d 2<br />
( )<br />
T ϕ d 1 ( K )<br />
(5)<br />
d 1 ( K ) = ln S 0<br />
+ r d − r f + 1 σ 2<br />
K ( 2 )T<br />
σ T<br />
where ϕ(x) = Φʹ(x) is the normal density function, and calculating<br />
the second-order derivatives:<br />
∂ 2 C BS<br />
( K ) = V ( K )<br />
∂σ 2 σ d ( 1 K )d ( 2 K )<br />
∂ 2 C BS<br />
( K ) = − V ( K )<br />
∂σ∂S 0 S 0 σ T d ( 2 K )<br />
( K ) = d 1 ( K ) − σ T<br />
we can prove the following.<br />
■ Proposition 1. <strong>The</strong> system (4) admits a unique solution, which<br />
is given by:<br />
x 1<br />
x 2<br />
x 3<br />
( )<br />
( )<br />
( K ) = V K<br />
V K 1<br />
( )<br />
( )<br />
( K ) = V K<br />
V K 2<br />
( )<br />
( )<br />
( K ) = V K<br />
V K 3<br />
ln K 2<br />
ln K 3<br />
K K<br />
ln K 2<br />
K 1<br />
ln K 3<br />
K 1<br />
ln K K 1<br />
ln K 3<br />
K<br />
ln K 2<br />
ln K 3<br />
K 1 K 2<br />
ln K ln K K 1 K 2<br />
ln K 3<br />
K 1<br />
ln K 3<br />
K 2<br />
In particular, if K = K j<br />
then x i<br />
(K) = 1 <strong>for</strong> i = j and zero otherwise.<br />
<strong>The</strong> VV option price<br />
We can now proceed to the definition of an option price that is<br />
consistent with the market prices of the basic options.<br />
5<br />
<strong>The</strong> coefficient of (dS t<br />
) 2 will be zeroed accordingly, due to the relation linking an option’s gamma and<br />
vega in the BS world<br />
6<br />
We also use the BS partial differential equation<br />
7<br />
‘Continuously’ typically means a daily or slightly more frequent update<br />
8<br />
This explains the name assigned to the smile-construction procedure, given the meaning of the terms<br />
<strong>vanna</strong> and <strong>volga</strong><br />
(4)<br />
(6)<br />
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