EXTENDED DETERRENCE IN THE SECOND NUCLEAR AGE

will.pulido

CSBA6183-ExtendedDeterrence_PRINT

Contents

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FOREWORD. ...................................................................... i

THE RISE, DECLINE, AND REVIVAL OF EXTENDED NUCLEAR DETERRENCE. .................... 1

THE DIFFERENT FORMS OF EXTENDED NUCLEAR DETERRENCE. ............................ 7

The Structure of U.S. Security Commitments ................................... 8

The Size and Shape of the U.S. Nuclear Arsenal ............................... 12

Alternative Extended Nuclear Deterrence Postures .............................. 15

THE EMERGING CHALLENGES TO EXTENDED NUCLEAR DETERRENCE. ....................... 19

Escalation Dynamics in Europe ............................................ 20

Proliferation Concerns in the Asia-Pacific ..................................... 23

Competing Security Guarantees in the Middle East ............................. 27

THE OPTIONS FOR ADAPTING EXTENDED NUCLEAR DETERRENCE. ......................... 31

Adapting Extended Nuclear Deterrence in Europe ............................... 32

Adapting Extended Nuclear Deterrence in the Asia-Pacific ......................... 33

Adapting Extended Nuclear Deterrence in the Middle East ........................ 35

Adapting Extended Nuclear Deterrence Across the Globe ......................... 36

LIST OF ACRONYMS ............................................................. 38

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