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Treatment of Sex Offenders

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256<br />

K.N. Daly<br />

legal significance <strong>of</strong> these semantic differences, either way it’s phrased poses<br />

significant real-world difficulties for both legal and mental health practitioners.<br />

“Likely to commit future acts” and “difficult or impossible to refrain from future<br />

dangerous behavior” both invite speculation and theoretical discussions on topics<br />

such as free will. Theoretical discussions about free will and the ability <strong>of</strong> law and<br />

science to predict a given individual’s future conduct are all well and good in an<br />

academic setting. Unfortunately given the Supreme Court’s lack <strong>of</strong> guidance, these<br />

conversations will take place in courtrooms and will be the basis for decisions about<br />

civil liberties and indefinite terms <strong>of</strong> confinement.<br />

Mental health pr<strong>of</strong>essionals would likely agree they can identify those people<br />

who pose a higher than average likelihood <strong>of</strong> re-<strong>of</strong>fending—those people who are<br />

more “likely” to re-<strong>of</strong>fend. Any person previously convicted <strong>of</strong> a crime is statistically<br />

more likely to re-<strong>of</strong>fend. However, commonly accepted this notion may be, it<br />

does little to protect the civil liberties <strong>of</strong> those individuals facing civil commitment<br />

proceedings. Using this logic there, all sex <strong>of</strong>fenders are, at least in theory, similarly<br />

situated and therein lies the fault with the law. Among the basic premises on which<br />

all sexually violent predator statutes rest is the notion that only the most violent and<br />

dangerous sex <strong>of</strong>fenders should be subjected to a civil commitment.<br />

Using the phrase “likely to re-<strong>of</strong>fend” provides no guidance to any mental health<br />

practitioner on how to distinguish one <strong>of</strong>fender from another. This subjective standard<br />

provides no basis for a forensic mental health practitioner to form a meaningful<br />

comparison between <strong>of</strong>fenders. While each state has its own definition <strong>of</strong> “likely,”<br />

no definition provides meaningful guidance. California’s statute requires “likely<br />

that he or she will engage in sexually violent behavior,” and the corresponding case<br />

law discusses a “serious and well-founded risk.” Courts have held that it is erroneous<br />

if the risk is defined as over 50 % (People v. Superior Court (Ghilloti), 27 Cal.<br />

4th 888 ( 2002 )). Missouri defines “likely” as “more likely than not to engage in<br />

predatory acts <strong>of</strong> sexual violence,” whereas states like Tennessee merely require<br />

“likelihood <strong>of</strong> serious harm.”<br />

The problem becomes compounded inside <strong>of</strong> a courtroom. Jurors are faced with<br />

the untenable task <strong>of</strong> evaluating the testimony <strong>of</strong> two forensic experts: one testifying<br />

the defendant is likely to sexually re-<strong>of</strong>fend and the other testifying the same defendant<br />

is unlikely. The typical scientific testimony includes statistical analysis, clinical<br />

assessments, and other methodologies for assessing risk. Scientists may argue<br />

the benefits <strong>of</strong> actuarial models versus clinical evaluations—comment on the superiority<br />

<strong>of</strong> either method is beyond the ken <strong>of</strong> a lawyer. From a legal perspective what<br />

is important is how and when these risk assessments are presented to the trier <strong>of</strong><br />

fact.<br />

What “is likely” is difficult to define, let alone predict. Testifying experts must<br />

take care in the presentation <strong>of</strong> their forensic conclusions. Jurors need the necessary<br />

evidence to make informed decisions about the facts <strong>of</strong> the individual whose case<br />

they are deciding. A debate over the merits <strong>of</strong> phallometric analysis versus<br />

psychiatric diagnosis does little to advance the cause <strong>of</strong> justice and the preservation<br />

<strong>of</strong> civil liberties.

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