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Treatment of Sex Offenders

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64<br />

R.J.B. Lehmann et al.<br />

Importantly, therapeutic change (i.e., positive change in dynamic items) was<br />

found to be significantly related to reduction in sexual recidivism after controlling<br />

for risk and follow-up time (Beggs & Grace, 2011 ; Olver et al., 2007 , 2014 ). In their<br />

most recent risk communication efforts, Olver et al. ( 2015 ) applied an intuitively<br />

useful method <strong>of</strong> conceptualizing and communicating change to the VRS-SO. Olver<br />

and colleagues used the Clinically Significant Change model, which incorporates<br />

<strong>of</strong>fenders’ change relative to external standards <strong>of</strong> what is “functional” and takes<br />

into account whether the change is reliable (i.e., likely accounted for by more than<br />

measurement error). Using this technique, the authors found that Clinically<br />

Significant Change provided some unique information in predicting recidivism<br />

beyond pretreatment risk scores, and they <strong>of</strong>fered examples <strong>of</strong> how this approach<br />

can facilitate risk communication.<br />

Survey Findings: What Is Used in Applied Practice?<br />

Several surveys have been conducted to assess practical applications <strong>of</strong> risk assessment<br />

(e.g., what scales are used and how the information is incorporated).<br />

Examining 111 risk assessment reports for preventative detention hearings in<br />

Canada (intended for <strong>of</strong>fenders at high risk <strong>of</strong> violent recidivism), Blais and Forth<br />

( 2014 ) found that over 90 % <strong>of</strong> experts (appointed by either the prosecution or<br />

appointed by the court) used an actuarial risk assessment scale, compared to 53 %<br />

who used an SPJ scale. The PCL-R (Psychopathy Checklist-Revised) , designed to<br />

assess the construct <strong>of</strong> psychopathy (not as a risk assessment scale), was used in<br />

over 95 % <strong>of</strong> risk assessment reports. In terms <strong>of</strong> scales designed to assess risk <strong>of</strong><br />

recidivism, the most commonly used scale was the Static-99, used in over 60 % <strong>of</strong><br />

cases, which is surprising given that not all candidates for preventative detention<br />

are sex <strong>of</strong>fenders. The next most commonly used scales were the VRAG (Violence<br />

Risk Appraisal Guide; 48 % <strong>of</strong> reports) and the SORAG (<strong>Sex</strong> Offender Risk<br />

Appraisal Guide; 42 % <strong>of</strong> reports), both <strong>of</strong> which are actuarial. Other risk scales<br />

were used in one quarter or less <strong>of</strong> cases.<br />

In a particularly large study, Singh and colleagues ( 2014 ) surveyed 2135 mental<br />

health pr<strong>of</strong>essionals who had conducted at least one violence risk assessment. Half<br />

<strong>of</strong> the respondents were from Europe, followed by 21 % from North America, 5 %<br />

from Australasia, and 3 % each from South America and Asia. Among this diverse<br />

sample, over 400 different instruments were reported as being used for violence risk<br />

assessment, although roughly half had been developed specifically for personal or<br />

institutional use only. Among the 12 most frequently used risk scales, half were<br />

actuarial and half were SPJ, with the HCR-20 (Historical Clinical Risk Management<br />

20, an SPJ scale) reported as the most commonly used, followed by the PCL-R.<br />

Neal and Grisso ( 2014 ) surveyed 434 psychologist and psychiatrist members <strong>of</strong><br />

various pr<strong>of</strong>essional associations, mostly from the United States, Canada, Europe,<br />

Australia, and New Zealand, who described 868 cases they had completed. The<br />

most common types <strong>of</strong> referrals these pr<strong>of</strong>essionals dealt with included competence

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