ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016

researchvaf

5Cbss3

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

ASIA STOCK INDEX

Page 1 of 6

Twitter: @researchvaf

MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

Asia: Pernyataan Donald Trump yang mengecewakan pasar telah memukul dolar sehingga mendorong naiknya

saham Asia ke level tertinggi 11 pekan. Penguatan Wall Street juga turut mendukung apresiasi saham Asia.

Namun demikian, penguatan yen telah menekan saham Jepang dengan indeks Nikkei merosot 0,9%.

Melemahnya saham farmasi juga turut menekan indeks Nikkei. Sedangkan indeks saham Cina juga tertekan

karena kehati-hatian investor jelang libur Imlek.

Eropa: Saham Eropa jatuh pada hari Kamis, tertekan oleh Fiat Chrysler. Indeks STOXX 600 terkoreksi 0,7%,

dengan sektor otomotif pimpin penurunan, terseret oleh 16,1% penurunan pada saham Fiat Chrysler. Sedangkan

indeks FTSE 100 Inggris berhasil menguat didukung oleh naiknya saham pertambangan logam dan resources

berkat melemahnya dolar, dengan Randgold, Fresnillo dan Anglo American kesemuanya naik lebih dari 2%.

AS & Global Markets: Wall Street jatuh dan dolar terkoreksi ke level terendah 5 pekan pada hari Kamis masih

terimbas oleh pernyataan Donald Trump yang mengecewakan pasar karena tidak memberikan kejelasan tentang

kebijakan fiskal yang banyak diharapkan dapat mendorong percepatan ekonomi, melalui peningkatan stimulus

fiskal dan pemangkasan pajak.

Pasar saat ini sedang menunggu pelantikan Trump pada 20 Januari mendatang. Pasar juga terus menunggu janji

Trump untuk pemangkasan pajak dan belanja negara.

Harga minyak menguat setelah Arab Saudi pengkas produksi minyaknya ke level terendah selama hampir 2

tahun.

Melemahnya dolar juga turut bantu dongkrak harga emas, dengan emas naik ke level tertinggi 7 pekan, sedikit di

bawah $1200 per ounce.

ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016

HIGH / LOW .N225 .KS200 .HSI .DJI /.SPX /.SSEC

RECORD HIGH

38915.87

(29/Dec/89)

295.51

(03/May/11)

31958.41

(30/Oct/07)

19987.63

(20/Dec/16)

2282.10

(06/Jan/2017)

6124.04400

(16/Oct./07)

2016 HIGH

19592.90

(21/Dec/16)

264.42

(21/Dec/16)

24364.00

(09/Sep/16)

19987.63

(20/Dec/16)

2277.53

(13/Dec/16)

3538.68940

(04/Jan/16)

2017 HIGH

19999.63

(06/Jan/2017)

269.95

(12/Jan/217)

22971.49

(12/Jan/2017)

19973.42

(11/Jan/2017)

2282.10

(06/Jan/2017)

3174.57810

(10/Jan/2017)

2017 LOW

19069.02

(12/Jan/2017)

258.64

(02/Jan/2017)

21883.82

(03/Jan/2017)

19770.47

(12/Jan/2017)

2245.13

(03/Jan/2017)

3105.30850

(03/Jan/2017)

2016 LOW

14864.01

(24/Jun/16)

222.92

(20/Jan/16)

18278.80

(12/Feb/16)

15450.56

(20/Jan/16)

1810.10

(11/Feb/16)

2638.30160

(27/Jan/16)

RECORD LOW

85.25 (06/Jul/50)

31.96

(16/Jun/98)

58.61 (31/Aug/67)

388.20

(17/Jan/55)

132.93

(23/Nov./82)

325.92200

(29/Jul/94)

Closing Prices – 12 January 2017

CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE

.DJI 19891.00 63.28/ 0.32% .N225 19134.70 229.97/1.19%

/.SPX 2270.44 4.88/ 0.21% .KS200 269.95 1.80/0.67%

/.IXIC 5547.487 16.163/ 0.29% .HSI 22829.02 106.33/0.46%

JPY= 114.68 0.72/ 0.62% /.SSEC 3119.62670 17.12680/0.55%

KRW= 1174.91 11.96 / 1.01% /CLc1 (Oil) 53.03 0.78 / 1.49%

DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose.

We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or

indirectly from any use of the report.


ASIA STOCK INDEX

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

Page 2 of 6

WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS

DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.

Mon/09-Jan-17 05:30 AU AiG Perf of Construction Index Dec 47.0 N/A 46.6

07:30 AU Building Approvals MM Nov 7.0% 5.0% -12.6% -11.8

07:30 AU Private House Approvals Nov -0.2% N/A -3.4% -2.3%

07:30 AU ANZ Internet Job Ads Dec -1.9% N/A 1.7%

21:00 US Fed's Roesengren Speaks in Hartford, Connecticut

Tue/10-Jan-17 00:45 US Fed's Lockhart Speaks to the Rotary Club of Atlanta

03:00 US Consumer Credit Nov 24.53b 18.48b 16.02b 16.17b

07:30 AU Retail Sales MM Nov 0.2% 0.4% 0.5%

08:30 CN CPI YY Dec 2.1% 2.3% 2.3%

08:30 CN CPI MM Dec 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

08:30 CN PPI YY Dec 5.5% 4.5% 3.3%

12:00 JP Consumer Confidence Index Dec 43.1 N/A 40.9

18:00 US NFIB Business Optimism Idx Dec 105.8 N/A 98.40

22:00 US Wholesale Inventories Rev MM Nov 1.0% 0.9% 0.9%

22:00 US Wholesale Sales MM Nov 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 1.1%

Wed/11-Jan-17 04:00 KR Import Price Index YY Dec 9.2% N/A 3.6%

04:00 KR Export Price Index YY Dec 6.3% N/A 3.8% 3.5%

06:00 KR Unemployment rate SA Dec 3.4% 3.6% 3.6%

06:50 JP Official Reserve Assets Dec 1216.9b N/A 1219.3b

07:30 AU Job vacancies Nov 2.2% N/A 4.6% 4.9%

12:00 JP Coincident Indicator MM Nov 1.6 N/A 1.4 1.0

12:00 JP Leading Indicator Nov 1.9 N/A 1.0 0.8

22:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Stocks w/e 4.097m 1.162m -7.051m

22:30 US EIA Weekly Dist. Stocks w/e 8.356m 0.899m 10.051m

22:30 US EIA Weekly Gasoline Stk w/e 5.023m 1.638m 8.307m

Thu/12-Jan-17 06:50 JP Current Account NSA JPY* Nov 1415.5b 1500.0b 1719.9b

06:50 JP BoP Current Account Adjusted Nov ¥1799.6b ¥1767.2b ¥1928.9b

06:50 JP Trade Balance BoP Basis Nov ¥313.4b ¥246.6b ¥587.6b

11~14 Jan N/A CN M2 Money Supply YY* Dec 11.3% 11.5% 11.4%

11~14 Jan N/A CN New Yuan Loans* Dec 1040b 700.0b 794.6b

11~14 Jan N/A CN Outstanding Loan Growth* Dec 13.5% 13.1% 13.1%

10:00 KR L-Money Supply Growth Nov 8.0% N/A 7.6% 7.5%

12:00 JP Economy Wathcers Poll SA Dec 51.4 N/A 52.4 51.4

20:30 US Import Price MM Dec 0.4% 0.7% -0.3% -0.2%

20:30 US Export Price MM Dec 0.3% 0.1% -0.1%

20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims w/e 247k 255k 235k 237k

20:30 US Jobless Claims 4-wk Avg w/e 256.5k N/A 256.75k 258.25k

20:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims w/e 2.097m 2.118m 2.112m 2.116m

20:30 US Fed's Harker Speaks in Malvern, Pennsylvania

20:30 US Fed's Evans and Lockhart Take Part in Panel in Naples, Florida

Fri/13-Jan-17 00:30 US Fed's Lockhart Speaks to Naples, Florida Chamber of Commerce

01:15 US Fed's Bullard Speaks in New York on U.S. Outlook

N/A CN Trade Balance Dec $46.50b $44.61b

N/A CN Exports YY Dec -3.50% 0.10%

N/A CN Imports YY Dec 2.70% 6.70%

02:00 US Federal Budget.$ Dec -28.0b -25.00b -137.0b

11~20 Jan N/A CN Foreign Direct Investment YY CNY Dec 0.8% 3.9%

12:30 JP Bankruptcies YY Dec -- -2.53%

20:30 US PPI Final Demand YY Dec 1.6% 1.3%

20:30 US PPI Final Demand MM Dec 0.3% 0.4%

20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy YY Dec 1.5% 1.6%

20:30 US PPI Ex Food and Energy MM Dec 0.1% 0.4%

20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YY Dec -- 1.8%

20:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MM Dec -- 0.2%

20:30 US Retail Sales Advance MM Dec 0.7% 0.1%

20:30 US Retail Sales Ex Auto MM Dec 0.5% 0.2%

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES

Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2

Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf


ASIA STOCK INDEX

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

Page 3 of 6

20:30 US Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas Dec -- 0.20%

20:30 US Retail Sales Control Group Dec 0.4% 0.1%

21:30 US Fed's Harker Speaks on Economic Mobility in Philadelphia

22:00 US Business Inventories Nov 0.4% -0.2%

22:00 US U. of Mich. Sentiment Preliminary Jan 98.5 98.2

22:00 US U. of Mich. Current Conditions Preliminary Jan 111.5 111.9

22:00 US U. of Mich. Expectations Preliminary Jan 90.2 89.5

14-Jan-17 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count 13-Jan -- --

(Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX- Tradingeconomics-forexfactory, Research: @LukmanLoeng,@ErwinRiset-@her1en)

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES

Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2

Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf


ASIA STOCK INDEX

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

Page 4 of 6

SSIamH7 (Nikkei Mar Futures) – Last Trading Date: 09 Mar. 2017

Koreksi berkembang hadapi

area support di 18925

Area support berikutnya di

18200

Sedangkan area resistance

krusial di 19695

(Research – @ErwinRiset)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME

12 Jan SSIpmH7 19085 19175 18945 230 19160 --- 40 0.21 31205

12 Jan SSIamH7 19330 19330 19050 280 19120 19120 245 1.27 82359

11 Jan SSIpmH7 19360 19500 19120 380 19330 --- 35 0.18 29991

11 Jan SSIamH7 19355 19390 19310 80 19365 19365 55 0.28 37907

10 Jan SSIpmH7 19335 19415 19290 125 19325 --- 15 0.08 20031

10 Jan SSIamH7 19415 19480 19240 240 19310 19310 370 1.88 62888

09 Jan SSIpmH7 19670 19680 19370 310 19420 --- 260 1.32 10868

09 Jan SSIamH7 19550 19695 19540 155 19680 19680 270 1.39 7616

06 Jan SSIpmH7 19450 19620 19400 220 19620 --- 210 1.08 22919

06 Jan SSIamH7 19395 19460 19310 150 19410 19410 60 0.31 41585

WEEKLY JANUARY 2017 DECEMBER 2016 2017

HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW

19695 18945 19695 18945 19615 18225 19695 18945

(09/Jan) (12/Jan) (09/Jan) (12/Jan) (20/Dec) (05/Dec) (09/Jan) (12/Jan)

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

19890 High 18/Dec/2015 (Reaction high)

19695 Peak level (1-H chart)

19500 Reaction high (1-H chart)

19335 Reaction high (1-H chart)

18925 Low 30/Dec/2016

18640 Low 09/Dec/2016

18490 Low 08/Dec/2016

18225 Low 05/Dec/2016

BUY ----

SELL 19250

STOP LOSS 19350

19050

TARGET

18915

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES

Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2

Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf


ASIA STOCK INDEX

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

Page 5 of 6

KSH7 (Kospi Mar Futures) – Exp. Date: 09 Mar. 2017

Reversal terjadi setelah gagal

bertahan di atas area 269.60

Perhatikan adanya pola Doji

star dan RSI sudah overbought

Short-term support di 266.35

(Research – @ErwinRiset)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE

%

CHANGE

VOLUME

12 Jan 268.85 269.90 268.65 1.25 268.85 268.85 0.20 0.07 155730

11 Jan 264.20 269.60 264.15 5.45 269.05 269.05 5.05 1.91 193691

10 Jan 263.20 264.30 263.20 1.10 264.00 264.00 0.05 0.02 86405

09 Jan 263.95 264.65 263.70 0.95 264.05 264.05 0.40 0.15 83543

06 Jan 262.95 264.15 262.90 1.25 263.65 263.65 1.00 0.38 89902

05 Jan 263.05 263.35 262.30 1.05 262.65 262.65 0.70 0.27 86761

WEEKLY JANUARY 2017 DECEMBER 2016 2017

HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW

269.90 263.20 269.90 259.25 260.95 251.45 269.90 259.25

(12/Jan) (10/Jan) (12/Jan) (02/Jan) (21/Dec) (05/Dec) (12/Jan) (02/Jan)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

273.35 High 27/Apr/2015

272.35 High 28/Apr/2015

270.95 High 29/Apr/2015

269.90 High 12/Jan/2017

266.35 Pivot line

264.15 Low 11/Jan/2017

262.30 Low 05/Jan/2017

261.35 Low 03/Jan/2017

BUY ----

SELL 269.30

STOP LOSS 270.10

TARGET

266.90

266.00

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES

Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2

Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf


ASIA STOCK INDEX

Fundamental & Technical Outlook

Jumat 13 Januari 2017

Page 6 of 6

HSIF7 (Hang Seng Jan Futures) – Exp. Date: 26 January 2017

Koreksi berkembang setelah

gagal bertahan di atas area

23000

Koreksi hadapi area support

di 22650

Area resistance di 23012 –

23150

(Research – @ErwinRiset)

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE

%

CHANGE

VOLUME

12 Jan 22971 23012 22786 226 22882 22882 92 0.40 91658

11 Jan 22793 22978 22779 199 22974 22974 235 1.03 89664

10 Jan 22538 22744 22517 227 22739 22739 166 0.74 82677

09 Jan 22595 22637 22471 166 22573 22573 42 0.19 80466

06 Jan 22540 22625 22464 161 22531 22531 53 0.24 76530

05 Jan 22254 22494 22207 287 22478 22484 379 1.72 86436

04 Jan 22175 22233 22058 175 22099 22099 46 0.21 77437

WEEKLY JANUARY 2017 DECEMBER 2016 2017

HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW

23012 22471 23012 21863 23146 21477 23012 21863

(12/Jan) (09/Jan) (12/Jan) (03/Jan) (08/Dec) (23/Dec) (12/Jan) (03/Jan)

ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION

RESISTANCE

SUPPORT

RECOMMENDATION

23389 High 27/Oct/2016

23286 High 01/Nov/2016 (Reaction high)

23146 High 08/Dec/2016 (Reaction high)

23012 High 12/Jan/2017

22650 Pivot line (4-H chart)

22464 Reaction low (4-H chart)

22320 Pivot line (4-H chart)

22058 Reaction low (4-H chart)

BUY ----

SELL 22890

STOP LOSS 23025

TARGET

22730

22610

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES

Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2

Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf

More magazines by this user
Similar magazines