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iv Strategic Choices for a Turbulent World: In Pursuit of Security and Opportunity nizing and improving decisionmaking in an era of rising challenges and shrinking policymaker bandwidth. The fifth, an assessment of the international economy by Howard J. Shatz, concludes that the United States is likely to maintain the world’s largest economy for many years, and that it will benefit from continuing its leadership role in the international institutions it helped to build over the past seven decades. The report argues that the United States should improve these global structures and integrate rising powers, demonstrating to other countries that a U.S.-led economic system remains desirable. We draw on the research and insights of these five associated studies in this concluding volume, as well as contributions from other RAND colleagues across a range of disciplines. This study should be of interest to U.S. policymakers and lawmakers, analysts, the media, nongovernmental organizations, and others concerned with the role of the United States and other nations in advancing global security and economic growth. This project results from the RAND Corporation’s Investment in People and Ideas program. Support for this program is provided, in part, by the generosity of RAND’s donors and by the fees earned on client-funded research. Special appreciation is due to the Hauser Foundation for its generous gifts in support of the project, and to Rita Hauser for her encouragement and support of the effort.
Preface v The RAND Strategic Rethink Series Available at www.rand.org/research/projects/strategic-rethink Choices for America in a Turbulent World James Dobbins, Richard H. Solomon, Michael S. Chase, Ryan Henry, F. Stephen Larrabee, Robert J. Lempert, Andrew Liepman, Jeffrey Martini, David Ochmanek, and Howard J. Shatz RR-1114-RC, 2015 America’s Security Deficit: Addressing the Imbalance Between Strategy and Resources in a Turbulent World David Ochmanek, Andrew R. Hoehn, James T. Quinlivan, Seth G. Jones, and Edward L. Warner RR-1223-RC, 2015 Friends, Foes, and Future Directions: U.S. Partnerships in a Turbulent World Hans Binnendijk RR-1210-RC, 2016 Improving Decisionmaking in a Turbulent World Charles P. Ries PE-192-RC, 2016 U.S. International Economic Strategy in a Turbulent World Howard J. Shatz RR-1521-RC, 2016
Page 1 and 2: STRATEGIC RETHINK STRATEGIC CHOICES
Page 3: Preface This is the sixth and final
Page 8 and 9: viii Strategic Choices for a Turbul
Page 11 and 12: Contents Preface...................
Page 13: Contents xiii Middle East..........
Page 17 and 18: Summary For more than seven decades
Page 19 and 20: Summary xix deal with because of it
Page 21 and 22: Summary xxi Familiarity does not ne
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Page 25 and 26: Summary xxv of richest Americans, i
Page 27 and 28: Summary xxvii reexamination arises
Page 29 and 30: Summary xxix Dwight Eisenhower—wh
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Page 33 and 34: Acknowledgments RAND Corporation Pr
Page 35 and 36: CHAPTER ONE Introduction What is Am
Page 37 and 38: Introduction 3 that some allies hav
Page 39 and 40: Introduction 5 of distrust of the g
Page 41 and 42: Introduction 7 live with. Therefore
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Page 51 and 52: CHAPTER TWO From Triumph to Stalema
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From Triumph to Stalemate: The Loss
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CHAPTER THREE Is the World Falling
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Is the World Falling Apart (And How
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Figure 3.4 Map of Climate Change Ho
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CHAPTER FOUR Leveraging U.S. Streng
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Leveraging U.S. Strengths, Dealing
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Part Two Strategic Choices
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CHAPTER EIGHT Option II: “The Ind
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CHAPTER NINE Option III: “Agile A
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CODA The Challenge of Leadership: A
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