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2015<br />

<strong>ANNUAL</strong><br />

<strong>REPORT</strong>


B<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

As the world has changed,<br />

so too has the Atlantic Council.<br />

Yet all along we have been<br />

driven by the conviction that<br />

if the United States shapes<br />

the future constructively with<br />

its friends and allies, the<br />

world will thrive. If we fail to<br />

do so, less benevolent forces<br />

will fill the void.<br />

2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

atlanticcouncil.org


2 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SECTION TABLE TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

OF CONTENTS 3<br />

TABLE OF<br />

CONTENTS<br />

06 32 58<br />

THEMATIC<br />

PROGRAMS<br />

REGIONAL<br />

CENTERS<br />

GLOBAL<br />

CONVENINGS<br />

Leadership Message<br />

04<br />

Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security<br />

08<br />

Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East<br />

34<br />

Distinguished Leadership Awards<br />

60<br />

Board of Directors<br />

International Advisory<br />

Board<br />

Honor Roll of Contributors<br />

70<br />

71<br />

72<br />

Millennium Leadership Program<br />

14<br />

Global Energy Center<br />

18<br />

Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center<br />

40<br />

Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center<br />

44<br />

Global Citizen Awards<br />

62<br />

Istanbul Energy & Economic Summit<br />

64<br />

Financial Summary<br />

By the Numbers<br />

74<br />

76<br />

Global Business & Economics Program<br />

22<br />

South Asia Center<br />

50<br />

Wrocław Global Forum<br />

66<br />

Future Europe Initiative<br />

28<br />

Africa Center<br />

54<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


4 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

LEADERSHIP MESSAGE 5<br />

MESSAGE FROM THE CHAIRMAN AND CEO<br />

This year marks the Atlantic Council’s fifty-fifth<br />

anniversary.<br />

As the world has changed, so too has the Atlantic<br />

Council. Yet all along we have been driven by the<br />

conviction that if the United States shapes the<br />

future constructively with its friends and allies, the<br />

world will thrive. If we fail to do so, less benevolent<br />

forces will fill the void.<br />

Those founding principles were already clear in<br />

the first year of the Kennedy administration in<br />

1961, when the Atlantic Council was born. The<br />

story goes that Secretary of State Dean Rusk<br />

convened some of America’s most-prominent<br />

foreign policy leaders—among them former<br />

Secretaries of State Dean Acheson and Christian<br />

Herter, former UN General Assembly delegate<br />

Mary Pillsbury Lord, Marshall Plan architect<br />

William Clayton, and legendary diplomats<br />

Theodore Achilles and Henry Cabot Lodge.<br />

Rusk raised concerns of a historic nature. The<br />

Soviet Union had expanded its nuclear arsenal,<br />

and its leader Nikita Khrushchev was threatening<br />

Berlin’s freedom and thus the post-World War II<br />

order. Moscow was acting to advance Communist<br />

ideology and interests across the world.<br />

Rusk challenged these leaders to combine efforts<br />

in confronting the gathering threat. The result<br />

was the Atlantic Council of the United States.<br />

This new organization helped achieve historic<br />

outcomes: galvanizing constructive US<br />

leadership alongside European allies to contain,<br />

then roll back the Soviet threat, thus laying the<br />

groundwork for a Europe whole and free and to<br />

expand the rules-based international order to<br />

embrace emerging actors such as India and China.<br />

Fast forward to 2016 when threats to those<br />

historic accomplishments are rising.<br />

The Atlantic Council’s mission of “working<br />

together to secure the future” has never been<br />

more crucial. We act each day on the conviction<br />

that if the United States and its global allies and<br />

friends work more effectively together, we can<br />

forge one of the most enlightened, secure, and<br />

prosperous periods of world history, fueled by<br />

the human advances that are empowered by<br />

technological and scientific progress.<br />

If we fail, darker forces may fill the void. Witness<br />

Ukraine. Witness Syria. Witness terror in Paris<br />

and Brussels.<br />

Just as the Atlantic Council’s mission has never<br />

been more important, our capabilities have<br />

never been as robust. The past nine years have<br />

seen tremendous growth in our size and impact,<br />

with a ten-fold increase of revenue and staff. This<br />

advance has been driven by our unique culture<br />

of intellectual entrepreneurialism alongside key<br />

partners and our focus on measurable results.<br />

As described in the pages that follow, our<br />

thematic programs combine efforts with the<br />

high-impact regional centers that the Atlantic<br />

Council has created over the past decade. The<br />

ten programs and centers work together in a<br />

way that mirrors how real policy is created—<br />

not in a vacuum, but in a collaborative effort<br />

“We are driven by the conviction<br />

that if we don’t help shape the<br />

future with our friends and allies,<br />

then less benevolent forces<br />

will do so.”<br />

that draws from a range of expertise to address<br />

multiple issues and steered by an over-arching<br />

strategy and worldview.<br />

What powers all this work is a unique ability to<br />

convene at the highest and most-relevant levels<br />

demonstrated from our first annual gathering<br />

with President John F. Kennedy at the Mayflower<br />

Hotel. The pages that follow only scratch the<br />

surface of our work.<br />

We are indebted to those in our community<br />

who provide us with their wisdom and support,<br />

some of whom you will find in our Honor Role<br />

of Contributors on page 72. We thank our<br />

Board of Directors, our International Advisory<br />

Board, Atlantic Council individual and corporate<br />

members, our partners, and our impressive staff.<br />

Onward and upward,<br />

Jon M. Huntsman, Jr.<br />

Chairman<br />

Frederick Kempe<br />

President and CEO<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


6<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

THEMATIC PROGRAMS<br />

7<br />

THEMATIC<br />

PROGRAMS<br />

Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security<br />

08<br />

Millennium Leadership Program<br />

14<br />

Global Energy Center<br />

18<br />

Global Business & Economics Program<br />

22<br />

Future Europe Initiative<br />

28<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


8 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY 9<br />

TWENTY-FIRST<br />

CENTURY STRATEGY<br />

Emerging challenges and<br />

opportunities call for new,<br />

imaginative approaches<br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER<br />

ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY<br />

Named in honor of two-time National<br />

Security Advisor and former Atlantic<br />

Council Board Chairman, Lt. General<br />

Brent Scowcroft, the Brent Scowcroft<br />

Center on International Security pursues<br />

a foreign policy vision grounded in his<br />

legacy of American statecraft, built upon a<br />

foundation of bipartisanship and cooperation with America’s friends and allies (see<br />

Brent Scowcroft Interview page 11).<br />

The Scowcroft Center, the Atlantic Council’s flagship program under the direction of<br />

Council Vice President and Arnold Kanter Chair Barry Pavel, executes the Council’s<br />

historic mandate of uniting America’s like-minded friends and allies in creating a<br />

more secure and peaceful world. At a time of unprecedented change and instability,<br />

the Center integrates first-in-class work on NATO and transatlantic security with a<br />

future-focused global platform for understanding emerging trends, tackling rapidly<br />

evolving threats, and leveraging fresh opportunities.<br />

A high-level Atlantic Council delegation—led by board directors Paula Dobriansky and<br />

Sherri Goodman, and including Rear Admiral David Titley and US defense expert Nora<br />

Bensahel—explores Norway’s Arctic Svalbard Islands on a fact-finding mission.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


10 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER SECTION INTERNATIONAL TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

SECURITY 11<br />

AN INTERVIEW WITH<br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT<br />

Two-time National Security Advisor Lt. General<br />

Brent Scowcroft has been an Atlantic Council board<br />

director since the 1980s, and was the board chairman<br />

from 1998 to 1999 and 2013 to 2014. He is also the<br />

founding chairman of the International Advisory<br />

Board. Among the Council’s leading intellectual<br />

figures, Gen. Scowcroft was instrumental in the<br />

Council’s reinvention following the end of the Cold<br />

War. Pictured here, Gen. Scowcroft signs a three-ton<br />

piece of the Berlin Wall, alongside the signatures of<br />

others who helped bring it down.<br />

Q: WHAT DO YOU THINK DISTINGUISHES THE<br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER?<br />

A: The Scowcroft Center’s focus on strategy and foresight<br />

is unique. I often remind people that during the Cold War,<br />

the strategy was very clear: containment of the Soviet<br />

Union. Today, we debate tactics, but there is much less<br />

clarity about the strategic purpose behind America’s role<br />

in the world. The Scowcroft Center is making a significant<br />

contribution by fostering a debate about the grand strategy.<br />

Q: HAVE YOU EXPERIENCED A PARTICULAR<br />

MOMENT OF PRIDE IN THE COUNCIL’S WORK?<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

The Scowcroft Center every year<br />

hosts four military fellows from<br />

different branches of the US armed<br />

forces. Pictured here, General<br />

James L. Jones—chairman of the<br />

Brent Scowcroft Center, and former<br />

Atlantic Council chairman, US Marine<br />

Corps commandant, and Supreme<br />

Allied Commander Europe—joined by<br />

the Atlantic Council’s marine military<br />

fellow, leads a celebration of<br />

the Marine Corps birthday.<br />

The Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security is a leading forum for<br />

crafting smart, actionable strategies and solutions to the world’s most-daunting<br />

challenges—often through the application of innovative and unconventional<br />

tools and approaches, including 3-D printing, big-data analytics, robotics,<br />

nanotechnology, and biotechnology.<br />

In 2015, the Scowcroft Center continued to invest in its core transatlantic and<br />

NATO programming through the Transatlantic Security Initiative’s work on<br />

Europe’s rapidly evolving security environment. Two reports—The Naval Alliance:<br />

Preparing NATO for a Maritime Century and NATO’s New Strategy: Stability<br />

Generation—sparked crucial debate in Washington, Brussels, and allied capitals<br />

ahead of the 2016 Warsaw Summit and beyond.<br />

The dramatic global events of the last year proved that a reassessment of<br />

America’s overall strategic approach to world affairs is more crucial than ever. In<br />

response, the Center’s Strategy Initiative launched the Atlantic Council Strategy<br />

Papers, a series of essays designed to lay out potential strategies for America<br />

at a time when the United States is facing profound questions about its role in<br />

the world.<br />

The first paper, Dynamic Stability, set out a new approach for US foreign<br />

policy aimed at capturing America’s natural strengths within unfolding global<br />

Q: WHAT DOES THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL<br />

REPRESENT TO YOU?<br />

A: The Atlantic Council represents a unique transatlantic<br />

approach to contemporary challenges and American<br />

leadership that incorporates common interests and<br />

strengths of allies and partners. The Council is proudly<br />

nonpartisan; that is fundamental to its identity.<br />

Q: HOW DOES TODAY’S VOLATILE GLOBAL<br />

ENVIRONMENT INFLUENCE THE COUNCIL’S<br />

WORK?<br />

A: To remain dynamic in this environment, the Council<br />

produces ‘on-time’ analysis with the news cycle that’s<br />

relevant to policymakers and business leaders, who in a 24/7<br />

news environment are too busy to synthesize developments.<br />

I am also very pleased the Council has put considerable<br />

effort into strategy development and strategic foresight.<br />

This is another way to remain relevant over the long term.<br />

Q: YOU HAVE RESISTED MANY INSTITUTIONAL<br />

REQUESTS TO USE YOUR NAME. WHY DID YOU<br />

LEND YOUR NAME TO THE BRENT SCOWCROFT<br />

CENTER ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY?<br />

A: Fred Kempe is very persuasive! When he first approached<br />

me about the idea of establishing a Scowcroft Center, I was<br />

reluctant. I was aware of the huge contributions others<br />

had made throughout the Council’s rich history…Acheson,<br />

Goodpaster, Kissinger. Fred ultimately won me over by<br />

convincing me that a Scowcroft Center would enable the<br />

Council to add significant resources and capabilities. And<br />

he was right.<br />

A: The awards dinners are always special, but 2010 was<br />

particularly poignant since my dear friend, former President<br />

George H.W. Bush, received the Distinguished International<br />

Leadership Award. It was a validation of the president’s<br />

remarkable career. That moment also showed me how<br />

significant the Atlantic Council had become—to have a<br />

former US president accept the award. And the next year,<br />

former President Bill Clinton accepted the award as well.<br />

Q: WHAT DOES YOUR PARTNERSHIP WITH THE<br />

COUNCIL MEAN TO YOU?<br />

A: My attachment to the Council reflects a shared<br />

philosophy and worldview: American leadership through<br />

our global network of alliances and partnerships is the best<br />

formula for strength and security, particularly when backed<br />

by bipartisan support at home. I am very pleased to see the<br />

Council so active and relevant today.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


12 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY 13<br />

megatrends. The President’s 2015 National<br />

Security Strategy picked up the Dynamic<br />

Stability concept—underscoring how rapid<br />

change “enables and incentivizes new forms<br />

of cooperation to establish dynamic security<br />

networks”—as one example of how the Council’s<br />

ideas help US policymakers frame America’s<br />

national interests.<br />

At the forefront of identifying and understanding<br />

long-term global trends, the Center’s Strategic<br />

Foresight Initiative outlined near-term policy<br />

recommendations to capture the benefits of<br />

disruptive innovation and mediate potential<br />

shocks. The Initiative serves as the direct analytic<br />

support for the National Intelligence Council’s<br />

work on the US government’s quadrennial<br />

twenty-year projection of global trends, and<br />

applies that same methodology to forecast<br />

futures with other Atlantic Council programs<br />

and in partnership with foreign governments,<br />

global think tanks, and corporate stakeholders.<br />

The Cyber Statecraft Initiative expanded its<br />

lead on identifying interconnected cyber risks—<br />

including the possibility of a “Lehman moment,”<br />

in which a few major failures in cyberspace<br />

could have cascading effects across the global<br />

economy—as well as the first-ever quantitative<br />

modeling on the extent to which cyber risks<br />

might be constraining the growth of global GDP.<br />

The Middle East Peace and Security Initiative’s<br />

new series of war games brought a topical<br />

twist to think tank-style analysis by employing<br />

the skills of former senior officials and regional<br />

experts in role-playing scenarios based on real<br />

global challenges, specifically the spread of<br />

ISIS. Following the effort’s success in revealing<br />

potential strengths in ISIS’s counter tactics, the<br />

Scowcroft Center added simulations and war<br />

games to its deepening analytic toolbox.<br />

A venue for policy and industry leaders to interact<br />

on developing defense priorities, the Emerging<br />

Defense Challenges initiative launched the Art<br />

of Future Warfare project (see Interview with<br />

George Lund below). The project unites the<br />

nation’s creative talent—such as bestselling<br />

World War Z novelist Max Brooks—with leading<br />

security experts—including Martin Dempsey,<br />

who as then-chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff<br />

wrote the foreword for the project’s anthology<br />

of fictional stories—and helps develop inventive<br />

responses to long-standing security dilemmas.<br />

In the Asia Security Initiative, policy-focused<br />

programming tackled growing security and<br />

defense challenges associated with changing<br />

dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region. The Council’s<br />

“Global stability is essential for all<br />

of us to survive….Without America’s<br />

leadership, I don’t think it happens.”<br />

– CHUCK HAGEL, FORMER US SECRETARY OF DEFENSE<br />

agenda-setting report on reshaping the Asia-<br />

Pacific financial architecture, part of a broader<br />

project on Asian futures, provided a set of<br />

specific policy recommendations for integrating<br />

China effectively into existing institutions in<br />

a measured but meaningful fashion.<br />

AN INTERVIEW WITH<br />

GEORGE LUND<br />

George Lund, chairman of Torch Hill Investment<br />

Partners, is the force behind the MA and George<br />

Lund Fellowship in the Scowcroft Center. The<br />

Fellowship gives voice to fresh ideas about how<br />

defense ministries and industries interact and<br />

promotes dialogue among policy leaders, industry<br />

executives, and other constituencies.<br />

Q: HOW HAS THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL EVOLVED<br />

DURING YOUR TENURE?<br />

A: The Council’s resources have grown dramatically and<br />

so has the sophistication and professionalism of its work.<br />

The Council earned a first-rate pedigree during the Cold<br />

War, and that tradition of relevance and institutional<br />

strength now has reemerged to address today’s pivotal<br />

issues. For example, Russia, which has instigated armed<br />

conflicts and reignited European tensions, is one focus<br />

of the Council’s contemporary agenda. More generally,<br />

the Council is now using its resources to respond to<br />

the evolving global context, not only in Europe but also<br />

throughout the globe.<br />

Q: HOW HAS THE LUND FELLOWSHIP HELPED THE<br />

COUNCIL MAKE AN IMPACT?<br />

A: Besides the extensive programming it organizes, I am<br />

most proud of the community it has built around Emerging<br />

Defense Challenges, and the defense industry’s contribution<br />

to addressing them. It brings together top players in<br />

government and business to help shape understanding of<br />

these issues, both among themselves and with Congress<br />

and the public at large. The initiative’s Captains of Industry<br />

Series and Defense-Industrial Policy Series have established<br />

the best venue for senior executives with something<br />

important to say.<br />

Q: WHAT MAKES THE COUNCIL’S FOCUS<br />

ON EMERGING DEFENSE CHALLENGES SO<br />

DISTINCTIVE?<br />

A: It’s the depth of expertise we bring to finding practical<br />

problems of national and international security. We<br />

provide a neutral forum where, for example, lawmakers<br />

have the chance to hear real feedback and practical<br />

suggestions from the officials who have to live with<br />

congressional action. That sort of interaction is huge. The<br />

result is better informed laws and policies, which are in<br />

the public’s best interest.<br />

Q: WHAT HAS YOUR PARTNERSHIP WITH THE<br />

COUNCIL MEANT TO YOU?<br />

A: It is immensely rewarding to be associated with a group<br />

of people who care passionately about creating a better<br />

world. On a personal level, it feels like I’m doing something<br />

worthwhile and good. On a professional level, I find the<br />

programming topical, provocative, and balanced—meaning<br />

nonpartisan and fact-based. The Council isn’t a cloister<br />

of like-minded people; it’s a forum for well-considered<br />

discussion and debate.<br />

Q: WHAT IS YOUR VISION FOR THE FUTURE?<br />

A: I see the Lund Fellowship building on the momentum<br />

we’ve established in the marketplace of defense ideas. I<br />

see the Brent Scowcroft Center on a quest to claim the<br />

top spot among conveners of decision-makers in national<br />

and international security. And I see the Atlantic Council<br />

commanding a similar convening power, but across the full<br />

range of the twenty-first century’s global challenges.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


14<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

MILLENNIUM LEADERSHIP PROGRAM<br />

15<br />

RISING LEADERS FOR<br />

EMERGING CHALLENGES<br />

Empowering the next<br />

generation’s leaders<br />

to shape the future<br />

MILLENNIUM<br />

LEADERSHIP PROGRAM<br />

A Navy test pilot expanding the horizons of<br />

unmanned air-to-air combat. An urban developer<br />

overseeing the largest urban renewal project in<br />

Central Europe. A South African social entrepreneur<br />

educating the continent’s next generation of<br />

female engineers. A military veteran and storyteller<br />

bridging the civilian-military divide. These are just<br />

some of the transformational leaders of the Millennium Leadership Program, which brings<br />

together young, talented innovators from around the world.<br />

As the pace of change accelerates in the twenty-first century, tomorrow’s leaders must<br />

navigate a shifting landscape. Against this backdrop, the rising generation—one that has<br />

come of age in the midst of economic crisis, a technological revolution, and an increasingly<br />

interconnected world—will rewrite the playbook for tackling shared challenges. The<br />

Millennium Leadership Program helps them define their vision for the future and equips<br />

them to achieve it.<br />

Robert Abernethy (forward left), Atlantic Council board director and president and CEO of<br />

American Standard Development, joins some fifty young leaders for the Atlantic Council’s Future<br />

Leaders Summit.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


16 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

MILLENNIUM LEADERSHIP PROGRAM 17<br />

“The fact is that world events are influenced by people<br />

acting out of faith, passion, and a sense of who they are<br />

and where they fit.”<br />

– MADELEINE ALBRIGHT, FORMER US SECRETARY OF STATE<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

US Vice President Joseph Biden<br />

meets with the Millennium<br />

Leadership Future NATO fellows.<br />

The Atlantic Council launched the Millennium Leadership Program (MLP) in<br />

2015, recognizing that the rapidly changing world requires a new generation of<br />

globally connected, agile, and principled leaders able to build coalitions, adapt<br />

institutions, and inspire action.<br />

The program introduced two major new initiatives in its first year, the Millennium<br />

Fellowship and the Take Point Initiative, both of which identify and empower<br />

young leaders with proven potential to be transformational. United by an<br />

entrepreneurial spirit and global perspective, these leaders have already made<br />

their mark by fueling the energy and climate revolution through the application<br />

of new technologies and smarter policies, developing inclusive models of<br />

governance to reconnect citizens and institutions, pioneering new defense<br />

capabilities, and creating economic opportunity through innovation.<br />

The inaugural class of Millennium Fellows, convened thanks to crucial support<br />

from Atlantic Council board director Robert Abernethy, brought together twentyone<br />

exceptional professionals from fourteen countries across five continents.<br />

Throughout the year, fellows met with world leaders and senior policymakers,<br />

took the stage as speakers at the Council’s Istanbul Summit (see page 64) and<br />

Global Strategy Forum, travelled to Kyiv for a behind-the-scenes look at the<br />

historic challenges in Ukraine, and honed skills in master-class sessions with<br />

award-winning filmmakers, top policy experts, and best-selling authors.<br />

In MLP’s other major undertakings, the Council launched the Take Point<br />

Initiative in partnership with the Bob Woodruff Foundation to support veterans<br />

transitioning to careers as thought leaders in national security and foreign policy.<br />

With characters of resilience and comradery forged on battlefields, they bring<br />

unique perspectives and capabilities to civilian life.<br />

The initiative has already awarded more than $100,000 in grants to support<br />

projects developed by these extraordinary men and women, including works of<br />

fiction, documentary films, and veteran-focused nonprofits. One awardee was<br />

Navy veteran Justin Brown who launched his nonprofit, HillVets, in 2012 after<br />

experiencing first-hand the challenges veterans<br />

face pursuing careers on Capitol Hill. With<br />

support from Take Point and others, Justin is<br />

expanding HillVets to welcome twenty veterans<br />

to DC this summer for mentoring, internships,<br />

and transition assistance.<br />

Even while these new projects were unfolding,<br />

MLP maintained and developed long-standing<br />

programs such as the Future NATO Initiative<br />

and the Emerging Leaders in Environmental<br />

and Energy Policy (ELEEP) network.<br />

Supporting the transatlantic alliance is a core<br />

Council objective, and since 2002, the Council<br />

has partnered with NATO to engage the next<br />

generation of Atlantic leaders in shaping<br />

the future, convening rising leaders from<br />

across the Alliance in conjunction with official<br />

NATO Summits.<br />

Joining forces with NATO’s Allied Command<br />

Transformation, MLP led a full-day “design<br />

thinking” exercise and put to the test whether<br />

these next generation leaders could come<br />

up with more creative solutions for NATO’s<br />

challenges than the old pros. They did.<br />

Working with the Brent Scowcroft Center on<br />

International Security, MLP also launched its<br />

Wales2Warsaw project with the US Mission<br />

to NATO, a multi-media virtual campaign to<br />

engage Alliance citizens in informing NATO’s<br />

future. These initiatives have helped to frame<br />

the debate in the run up to the 2016 Warsaw<br />

Summit, where the Council and NATO will host<br />

a new cohort of next generation leaders.<br />

Recognizing the growing urgency for<br />

international collaboration to address climate<br />

change and energy security, the Council’s<br />

ELEEP has convened more than one hundred<br />

scientists, executives, policymakers, and<br />

entrepreneurs, inspiring publications in outlets<br />

including The Atlantic, Bloomberg, and Popular<br />

Science, and dozens of member-organized<br />

events and study tours.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Former US Secretary of Defense, US Senator from Nebraska,<br />

and Atlantic Council Chairman Chuck Hagel greets the<br />

2015 veterans from the Take Point Initiative.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


18<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

GLOBAL ENERGY CENTER 19<br />

ENERGY UNBOUND<br />

Volatility and opportunity<br />

call for creative responses<br />

to ensure reliable,<br />

sustainable resources<br />

GLOBAL ENERGY<br />

CENTER<br />

Just a decade ago, few envisioned the sweeping<br />

changes that today are shaking the foundation<br />

of the global energy order. The unconventional<br />

hydrocarbon revolution enables the United States<br />

to shift from a future of energy scarcity and importdependence<br />

to become the world’s top producer<br />

of oil and natural gas. Simultaneously, renewable<br />

energy innovation, gains in energy efficiency, and greater use of natural gas fundamentally<br />

are changing the power sector and allowing further reductions in greenhouse-gas emissions.<br />

Large emerging economies, such as India and China, are now driving energy demand, which<br />

has far-reaching implications for global markets, climate change, and energy security. New<br />

technologies—from renewables to smart power grids and off-grid producers—are creating<br />

opportunities for decentralized and more cost-effective energy production. Yet despite<br />

all these changes, 1.2 billion people worldwide continue to live in energy poverty, and the<br />

economic and geopolitical ramifications remain uncertain.<br />

Bilfinger, an international engineering and services group based in Mannheim, Germany, is<br />

benefitting from the shale gas boom in the United States. In Scio, Ohio, the company is building a<br />

plant for the production of liquid gases. (Photo by Bilfinger SE.)<br />

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20 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SECTION GLOBAL TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

ENERGY CENTER<br />

21<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Hamid and Majid Jafar (center and left), respectively the chairman and CEO of Iraq-based Crescent Petroleum,<br />

with former Spanish Foreign Minister Ana Palacio, at the opening ceremony of the Council’s Energy & Economic<br />

Summit in Istanbul (for more on the Summit see page 64).<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Senator Lisa Murkowski (left) and Senator Mark Warner<br />

present their findings for the Atlantic Council’s Energy<br />

Boom and National Security Task Force.<br />

[LEFT]<br />

US Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz speaks at the annual<br />

Atlantic Council Board Dinner.<br />

Building on its long-standing work on energy<br />

security, the Atlantic Council launched the<br />

Global Energy Center in 2015 in response to<br />

a world unsettled by tectonic shifts in energy<br />

production and consumption patterns. In its<br />

first year, the Center tackled a wide range of<br />

challenges, from energy geopolitics and climate<br />

change, to emerging technologies and energyrelated<br />

conflict.<br />

Driven by the desire to turn these modern<br />

energy challenges into opportunities, the<br />

Global Energy Center—under Founding<br />

Director Richard Morningstar—generated<br />

“Gambling with the future of Earth itself<br />

when we know full well what the outcome<br />

would be is beyond reckless. It’s just<br />

plain immoral…We need to face reality:<br />

There is no planet B.”<br />

– JOHN KERRY, US SECRETARY OF STATE<br />

leading research and analysis with the purpose<br />

of catalyzing sustainable solutions.<br />

With US leaders grappling over how best to<br />

leverage new energy abundance, the Center<br />

launched a bipartisan US Energy Boom and<br />

National Security Task Force, co-chaired by<br />

Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)—chairman<br />

of the Senate Energy and Natural Resource<br />

Committee—and Senator Mark Warner (D-<br />

VA). The group comprised a cross-section of<br />

foreign policy, defense, and energy experts<br />

that included former US Ambassador to the<br />

European Union Stuart Eizenstat, former Under<br />

Secretary of State Marc Grossman, and twotime<br />

US Ambassador Carlos Pascual.<br />

The task force’s July 2015 report, Empowering<br />

America: How Energy Abundance Can<br />

Strengthen US Global Leadership, laid out a<br />

pragmatic, forward-looking approach that<br />

bridged the partisan divide during the year’s<br />

contentious Congressional debates. Among<br />

its recommendations, the report argued for<br />

sustained research and investment in clean<br />

energy technology, along with greater support<br />

for energy diplomacy and technical assistance<br />

abroad. The task force also called on policymakers<br />

to repeal the crude oil export ban, which Congress<br />

subsequently did in October 2015.<br />

The Center regularly convened the most<br />

significant policy, business, and energy-expert<br />

voices. Miguel Arias Cañete, the European<br />

commissioner for energy and climate, kicked off<br />

a series of discussions on Europe’s most pressing<br />

energy security challenges. The Center’s popular<br />

CEO conversation series also brought to DC<br />

globally focused leaders to discuss the industry’s<br />

latest trends, from Crescent Petroleum CEO<br />

Majid Jafar on the need for Middle East industry<br />

reforms to Cheniere Energy CEO Charif Souki on<br />

the impact of US energy on global markets.<br />

When the historic nuclear agreement between<br />

Iran and the UN Security Council’s Permanent<br />

Members plus Germany (P5+1) sparked seismic<br />

shifts in the geopolitical energy landscape, the<br />

Energy Center was on point. The same week<br />

that the US Congress began debating the<br />

agreement, Atlantic Council senior fellows took<br />

stage to shed light on the potential impact of<br />

Iran’s natural gas reserves on Tehran’s Gulf<br />

neighbors, Europe, and Central Asia. The event<br />

was followed up with two reports, one analyzing<br />

A Post-Sanctions Iran and the Eurasia Energy<br />

Architecture and another taking a deep dive into<br />

Iran’s Energy Policy. Proposing a bold idea for<br />

how the Iran deal could result in a new strategic<br />

cooperation between rivals, the Global Energy<br />

Center also published a compelling hypothetical<br />

scenario in Crude Oil for Natural Gas: Prospects<br />

for Iran-Saudi Reconciliation.<br />

In the run-up to the Paris climate talks in<br />

December 2015, the Global Energy Center was<br />

at the forefront of linking geopolitical energy<br />

considerations to growing environmental threats.<br />

Underscoring the new Center’s rapid emergence<br />

as a leading voice on climate change, Secretary<br />

of State John Kerry chose to make a major pre-<br />

Paris climate speech at the Atlantic Council,<br />

launching the Global Energy Center’s Road<br />

to Paris series. Other leaders followed: Achim<br />

Steiner, the executive director of the United<br />

Nation’s Environmental Program; Adnan Amin,<br />

director general of the International Renewable<br />

Energy Agency (IRENA), and a host of<br />

European ambassadors.<br />

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22 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

GLOBAL BUSINESS && ECONOMICS PROGRAM<br />

23<br />

PROSPERITY<br />

AND SECURITY<br />

Innovation and opportunity<br />

anchor global stability,<br />

but stagnation threatens<br />

the future<br />

GLOBAL BUSINESS &<br />

ECONOMICS PROGRAM<br />

trading system, or risk facing a new, insecure normal.<br />

Economic isolation is history, interdependence<br />

the increasing reality. To manage the global<br />

economy’s complexity, the United States and<br />

Europe—by far the world’s two wealthiest<br />

societies—must lead together, engaging<br />

today’s emerging economic powers to revitalize<br />

and adapt the foundations of the international<br />

Business and trade have been pillars of the modern transatlantic relationship since at least<br />

the Marshall Plan. Yet creating a genuinely barrier-free transatlantic marketplace with free<br />

exchange, regulatory convergence, and seamless investment remains a far-off ambition.<br />

The reward is more than material. Europe must open itself to greater competition<br />

and innovation to overcome a decade of mediocre growth and ensure its place as a<br />

global leader and critical partner in future challenges, whether in its internal security,<br />

international defense, or global economic governance.<br />

US Secretary of State John Kerry speaks at the Atlantic Council to make the case<br />

for American leadership of free trade agreements as critical elements for setting the rules for<br />

the twenty-first century global economy and achieving America’s foreign policy objectives.<br />

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24 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

GLOBAL BUSINESS & ECONOMICS PROGRAM 25<br />

When US Secretary of State John Kerry needed<br />

to make a major policy speech in support of free<br />

trade, he chose the Atlantic Council as his venue,<br />

recognizing the Global Business Program’s<br />

unique ability to blend economics and security.<br />

“The Atlantic Council has become<br />

an essential forum for twenty-first<br />

century issues.”<br />

– MARILLYN HEWSON, CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT, AND CEO,<br />

LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION<br />

Pushing for the passage of Trade Promotion<br />

Authority, the secretary delivered a powerful<br />

message on the importance of free trade as a<br />

strategic tool to support international stability.<br />

He argued passionately for trade’s value in<br />

cementing alliances.<br />

The Global Business and Economics Program was<br />

founded to provide just this sort of forum. Led<br />

by former Executive Director of the International<br />

Monetary Fund Andrea Montanino, the Program<br />

convenes business leaders, government officials,<br />

and top experts to explore trends and frame<br />

policies that advance global economic growth<br />

and stability, with a particular focus on the<br />

transatlantic community.<br />

Secretary Kerry’s speech was the centerpiece<br />

of Atlantic Council programming on new<br />

free trade agreements—particularly the<br />

Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership<br />

(TTIP) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).<br />

The Global Business Program’s newsletter<br />

TTIP&TRADEinAction has provided a worldwide<br />

audience with a weekly review of news<br />

and analysis of these groundbreaking trade<br />

negotiations.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Atlantic Council board directors Nelson Cunningham and Adrienne Arsht (left) with US Secretary of State John Kerry and<br />

Atlantic Council President and CEO Frederick Kempe. Secretary Kerry was at the Atlantic Council speaking on the central<br />

importance of TTIP and TTP to America’s security in the twenty-first century.<br />

AN INTERVIEW WITH<br />

C. BOYDEN GRAY<br />

C. Boyden Gray, former US ambassador to the European<br />

Union and White House counsel under President George H.<br />

W. Bush, founded the C. Boyden Gray Fellowship on Global<br />

Finance and Growth.<br />

Q: WHAT IS BEHIND THE COUNCIL’S PAST NINE YEARS<br />

OF TREMENDOUS GROWTH?<br />

A: The world has gotten a lot more difficult in the last many years.<br />

And the Atlantic Council is now remembering—what I grew up<br />

hearing—the clarion call of any southern lawyer: God bless the man<br />

who sues my client. The more trouble spots there are, sadly, the<br />

more necessary is the Atlantic Council in answering market needs<br />

for outside, objective expertise on these critical issues. The Council<br />

is a great organization responding to a difficult time in history.<br />

Q: WHAT ROLE DOES THE COUNCIL’S COMMUNITY OF<br />

INFLUENCE PLAY IN THE COUNCIL’S WORK?<br />

A: There is a deep bench of talent involved with the Council—both<br />

its staff and board. There is really a lot of firepower; and their<br />

practitioner’s approach sets the Council apart.<br />

Ideology, philosophy, vision and all that is very important,<br />

and we have a lot. But actually executing is paramount.<br />

My father was in government much of his life and he used<br />

to say, “any fool can think up a good idea, but it takes a<br />

genius to work it through the bureaucracy.” The Council’s<br />

community comprises people who have done the work,<br />

and that makes all the difference.<br />

Q: WHY LEND YOUR NAME TO THE BOYDEN GRAY<br />

FELLOW?<br />

A: The cornerstone of what the Atlantic Council can do is on<br />

the other side of the Atlantic Ocean. Europe is our largest<br />

trading partner and combines to form the biggest segment<br />

of global GDP. We share a common culture and common<br />

values. We should be acting as a united front against all<br />

the assaults on the key Western values of honest dealing,<br />

protection of private property and market economies, and<br />

individual liberty.<br />

We have to get the relationship straight with our European<br />

siblings—the people who naturally share our values—in<br />

order to reaffirm the prominence of those values. That’s<br />

why I’m glad the Council is refocusing its work on Europe<br />

with the Future Europe Initiative [Editor’s Note: See<br />

page 28].<br />

It’s important work to be done, and it starts—in a way—<br />

with finance and trade. If nothing else, the Great Recession<br />

showed that if we aren’t straight on the financial front, the<br />

end result will be ugly. Chris Brummer (the first Gray Fellow)<br />

has awakened everyone to the need for that coordination.<br />

Q: WHAT IS YOUR VISION FOR THE GRAY FELLOW,<br />

AND FOR THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL, GOING<br />

FORWARD?<br />

A: I hope that the Gray Fellow can contribute to a<br />

reestablishment of the historic ties with Europe, especially in<br />

connection with banking and finance. We have let those ties<br />

drift, but they are critical to the strength of the economies<br />

of both continents and to our ability to project our common<br />

values to the rest of the world.<br />

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26 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

GLOBAL BUSINESS & ECONOMICS PROGRAM 27<br />

“The way forward is private sector<br />

diplomacy, in which business shares the<br />

stage with government and NGOs to find<br />

solutions. The Atlantic Council recognizes<br />

this need for collaboration and has been<br />

instrumental in bringing groups together.”<br />

– RICHARD EDELMAN, PRESIDENT AND CEO EDELMAN<br />

The Global Business and Economics Program<br />

also collaborates with the Atlantic Council’s<br />

other programs and centers to highlight regional<br />

perspectives on global trade issues. In June<br />

2015, the Program convened a panel discussion,<br />

Unlocking the Trans-Pacific Partnership:<br />

Views from Both Sides of the Pacific, which<br />

brought together Latin American and Asian<br />

representatives from key TPP partners. Meeting<br />

on the same day that Trade Promotion Authority<br />

cleared the US Senate, the panelists were<br />

optimistic about the final agreement, despite<br />

the emergence of political opposition in some<br />

countries (a TPP agreement was announced on<br />

October 5).<br />

The Program’s Transatlantic Finance Initiative<br />

(TFI), launched in 2013, highlights the extent<br />

of transatlantic and global interdependence in<br />

financial markets. Led by the C. Boyden Gray<br />

Fellow on Global Finance and Growth, Chris<br />

Brummer, the TFI presents conversations on<br />

the impact of regulation on financial institutions<br />

and services around the world. The Initiative’s<br />

flagship 2015 report, Renminbi Ascending,<br />

offered a groundbreaking study on the impact<br />

of the internationalization of the Chinese<br />

currency, and served as the centerpiece<br />

for launch events in Singapore, Hong Kong,<br />

Brussels, London, and Washington.<br />

The EuroGrowth Initiative is the Program’s<br />

newest effort to focus concern over slow<br />

growth into economic solutions for the<br />

European project. European leaders, experts,<br />

and policymakers have participated in the<br />

Program’s EuroGrowth Conversation Series,<br />

including European Commission Vice President<br />

Valdis Dombrovskis, International Monetary<br />

Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde, and<br />

European Commissioner for Internal Market,<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

US Trade Representative Michael Froman (center)<br />

speaks at the Atlantic Council’s International Advisory<br />

Board Annual Meeting, co-chaired by Lockheed Martin<br />

Chairman, President, and CEO Marillyn Hewson (left) and<br />

Airbus CEO Tom Enders.<br />

[LEFT]<br />

Nobel-Laureate Joseph Stiglitz discusses the<br />

complications of sovereign debt restructuring during<br />

an event co-hosted by the Council’s Adrienne Arsht<br />

Latin America Center and the Global Business and<br />

Economics Program.<br />

[RIGHT]<br />

Edelman CEO Richard Edelman presents the findings of<br />

the Edelman Trust Barometer, which found a gap in trust<br />

that tracked closely with the global wealth divide.<br />

Industry, Entrepreneurship, and SMEs Elżbieta Bieńkowska.<br />

In a short time, this initiative has created an important<br />

forum to assess the prospects for European economic<br />

recovery and to generate ideas for catalyzing growth and<br />

innovation. As a part of the initiative’s public outreach, the<br />

weekly digital feature EconoGraphics explains economic<br />

trends and data in a quickly understandable format.<br />

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28<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

FUTURE EUROPE INITIATIVE 29<br />

EUROPE’S TEST<br />

Terror attacks, migrant<br />

waves, integration<br />

woes—a continent’s<br />

choice: lead or fall behind<br />

FUTURE EUROPE<br />

INITIATIVE<br />

As new challenges rattle the international system,<br />

Europe has had to reconcile its role as a global<br />

leader with the urgency of profound crises at,<br />

and within, its own borders—the most dramatic<br />

of which were the terrorist attacks in Paris and<br />

Brussels and the arrival of more than a million<br />

refugees.<br />

Russian aggression from the East and instability across the Middle East and North Africa<br />

have introduced a new era of uncertainty. The continent simultaneously faces growing<br />

internal challenges, from an ongoing Eurozone crisis and persistently lagging economy, to<br />

an influx of asylum-seeking refugees, to citizens increasingly alienated from established<br />

political leaders.<br />

These demands diminish Europe’s ability to lead, and the US-European partnership—a<br />

cornerstone of global democracy and stability—risks slipping adrift. America and its<br />

closest ally must use this moment to find a way to lead together.<br />

A man attends a memorial gathering near the old stock exchange in Brussels following<br />

the terrorist attacks of March 22, 2016 on the Brussels airport and Maalbeek metro station.<br />

(Photo by REUTERS/Christian Hartmann.)<br />

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30 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

FUTURE EUROPE INITIATIVE 31<br />

[BELOW]<br />

“The growth of the Euro-Atlantic community has turned out to be one of the greatest forces in<br />

human history for advancing peace, prosperity, security, and democracy.” US Vice President Joseph<br />

Biden offers closing remarks at the conclusion of the Europe Whole and Free Conference.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

“Reform fatigue is much worse<br />

than enlargement fatigue.” Štefan<br />

Füle (right), former European<br />

commissioner for enlargement and<br />

European neighborhood policy,<br />

speaks on a panel moderated by<br />

Frances Burwell, Atlantic Council<br />

vice president, European Union and<br />

special initiatives.<br />

The Atlantic Council’s core mission is rooted in Europe’s continued strategic<br />

importance for global prosperity and security. In response to the continent’s many<br />

challenges, the Atlantic Council launched the Future Europe Initiative, embracing<br />

and expanding upon the previous work of the Transatlantic Relations Program.<br />

Under the leadership of Vice President of European Union and Special Initiatives<br />

Frances Burwell, the Initiative draws from a robust network of expertise and<br />

resources to sustain a wide-reaching conversation on how to ensure that Europe<br />

remains an effective leader and partner to its friends around the globe.<br />

The Initiative fulfills that mission by bringing together leaders from both sides of<br />

the Atlantic for strategic conversations on Europe’s future. At a seminal conference<br />

in April 2014, US Vice President Joseph Biden, US Secretary of State John Kerry,<br />

and a host of European foreign and defense ministers set out a vision for a strong<br />

transatlantic strategy for a Europe “whole, free, prosperous, and at peace.” That<br />

event sparked a conversation that continued all the way through June 2015, when<br />

more than four hundred business and political leaders attended the Council’s sixth<br />

annual Wrocław Global Forum, the Program’s flagship annual event in Poland and<br />

home of the Atlantic Council’s Freedom Awards (see more on the Wrocław Global<br />

Forum and the Freedom Awards page 66).<br />

Throughout 2015, the Initiative pushed this crucial discussion forward by<br />

designing a series of high-level events to analyze policy and provide new<br />

recommendations for transatlantic decision-makers. European leaders<br />

ranging from then-European Commission President José Manuel Barroso,<br />

European Parliament President Martin Schulz, and UK Foreign Secretary<br />

Philip Hammond joined the Atlantic Council to share their own visions for the<br />

US-European partnership.<br />

Alongside the Initiative’s larger strategic push<br />

to reinvigorate support for strong European<br />

leadership is its commitment to deepen<br />

the European Union’s Eastern Partnership,<br />

particularly in the wake of the Ukraine crisis.<br />

In 2015, it launched the EUSource e-newsletter<br />

primarily aimed at a US audience to outline<br />

the European Union’s complex regulatory,<br />

economic, and political measures.<br />

Uniquely positioned at the center of the<br />

Council’s core mission, the Future Europe<br />

Initiative worked hand-in-hand with the Atlantic<br />

Council’s other programs and centers to infuse<br />

smart perspectives on Europe across their work.<br />

Following its own early efforts supporting<br />

trade negotiations, the Future Europe Initiative<br />

partnered with the Global Business and<br />

Economics Program to provide analysis on<br />

opportunities presented by the Transatlantic<br />

Trade and Investment Partnership and also<br />

conducted a comparative study of US-French<br />

economic competitiveness.<br />

“Advancing the lot of<br />

humanity is going to continue<br />

to depend upon, in my view,<br />

the solidarity of the Atlantic<br />

community. It’s going to fall<br />

to future generations and<br />

to organizations like the<br />

Atlantic Council to sustain<br />

this partnership.”<br />

– JOSEPH BIDEN, VICE PRESIDENT OF THE<br />

UNITED STATES<br />

With the Brent Scowcroft Center on International<br />

Security, the Initiative brought together nextgeneration<br />

Germans and Americans to discuss<br />

the tensions in that bilateral partnership.<br />

Working with the Rafik Hariri Center for the<br />

Middle East, Future Europe convened key US and<br />

European policymakers and experts to identify<br />

ways for the transatlantic partners to encourage<br />

political and economic reforms in Tunisia and<br />

across the region.<br />

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32<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

REGIONAL CENTERS<br />

33<br />

REGIONAL<br />

CENTERS<br />

Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East<br />

34<br />

Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center<br />

40<br />

Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center<br />

44<br />

South Asia Center<br />

50<br />

Africa Center<br />

54<br />

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34 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

RAFIK HARIRI CENTER SECTION FOR TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

THE MIDDLE EAST 35<br />

CRISIS FROM<br />

THE MIDDLE EAST<br />

Failed states and civil wars<br />

cast global repercussions—<br />

and obscure opportunity<br />

RAFIK HARIRI CENTER FOR<br />

THE MIDDLE EAST<br />

The late Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik<br />

Hariri was a visionary leader who saw the<br />

potential for a prosperous and secure<br />

Middle East in which citizens share equally<br />

in dignity, freedom, and justice. As that hope<br />

took hold among those who participated in<br />

the historic Arab Spring, Rafik Hariri’s son,<br />

Bahaa, founded the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East to help<br />

expand on his father’s legacy.<br />

As Middle Eastern leaders grapple with reform amid violence, the Hariri Center<br />

works with policymakers from the United States, Europe, and the Middle East<br />

to advance a global consensus on the region’s immediate needs and long-term<br />

challenges. Understanding the nuances of implementing solutions in a rapidly<br />

changing region, the Center focuses on the imperative for a strategic framework<br />

for US and European engagement.<br />

Yet, the violence all too frequently hides other revolutions. Across the Middle East<br />

and North Africa, sophisticated, technology-empowered youth are engaging in the<br />

political process. New investments in education, high-tech entrepreneurship, and<br />

novel grass-roots initiatives promise to remake Middle East societies.<br />

Smoke rises at a site allegedly hit by barrel bombs dropped by government forces in<br />

Aleppo’s Dahret Awwad neighborhood. (Photo by REUTERS/Mohamed Mounzer Masri.)<br />

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36<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong> RAFIK HARIRI CENTER FOR THE MIDDLE EAST 37<br />

[OPPOSITE TOP LEFT]<br />

Bahaa Hariri (left) confers with former US Secretary of State<br />

Madeleine Albright at the launch of the Atlantic Council’s Middle<br />

East Strategy Task Force.<br />

[OPPOSITE TOP RIGHT]<br />

Less than a month after being named a co-winner of the 2015 Nobel Prize<br />

honoring the Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet, Hussein Abassi, head of the<br />

Tunisian General Labor Union, speaks about the importance of labor unions<br />

as balancing elements in society, capable of bringing positive, lasting<br />

change to a country’s politics.<br />

What has grown apparent is that the crisis in the<br />

Middle East has become a crisis from the Middle<br />

East, with global implications that range from<br />

waves of migrants in Europe to rising extremism<br />

elsewhere. To tackle this historic challenge,<br />

the Hariri Center, led by Ambassador Francis<br />

Ricciardone, convened the Atlantic Council’s<br />

Middle East Strategy Task Force to foster a<br />

better understanding of the underlying causes<br />

of the crises and to enable a coherent strategy<br />

for US, European, and Middle Eastern partners<br />

to address them together. Co-chaired by former<br />

US Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright<br />

and former National Security Advisor Stephen<br />

J. Hadley, the bipartisan task force launched its<br />

public work in June 2015.<br />

After months of behind-the-scenes effort with<br />

more than eighty experts and opinion leaders<br />

from around the world, the co-chairs presented<br />

their preliminary findings in December 2015<br />

to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee,<br />

attended by Chairman Bob Corker, Ranking<br />

Member Benjamin Cardin, and fourteen other<br />

committee members.<br />

Advancing its work through a listening tour of<br />

the Middle East and North Africa, the task force<br />

met with regional leaders to gather insights<br />

and support in spring 2016. The co-chairs will<br />

release their final report following the 2016 US<br />

presidential elections.<br />

To complement the Hariri Center’s work on<br />

regional strategy, Center experts also produced<br />

in-depth country and issue-specific analysis and<br />

policy recommendations on some of the more<br />

immediate challenges to the Middle East.<br />

Notably, while the Obama administration has<br />

long argued that no good options exist in Syria,<br />

the Hariri Center presented several action plans<br />

as dynamics in the country shifted, including<br />

ramping up the train-and-equip program to<br />

build a robust Syrian National Stabilization Force<br />

and leading a coalition of the willing to rapidly<br />

drive ISIS from eastern Syria (see page 38).<br />

On North Africa, the Hariri Center focused on<br />

political developments and the intersections<br />

of economic and political trends across Libya,<br />

Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco. Karim Mezran,<br />

leading expert on North Africa, routinely<br />

convened the Libya Working Group with experts,<br />

practitioners, as well as current and former<br />

government officials to evaluate the precarious<br />

political and security situation in Libya as the<br />

country struggles to form a unity government<br />

and battle extremist threats.<br />

Hariri Center experts also focused on Tunisia, a<br />

country where the emerging democratic political<br />

system has been tested by a series of terrorist<br />

attacks and a deteriorating economy. They<br />

reported their findings in well-received reports:<br />

Tunisia: From Elected Government to Effective<br />

Governance and Tunisia: The Last Arab Spring.<br />

The Center also hosted a public conversation<br />

with Hussein Abassi, head of the Tunisian General<br />

Labor Union, and a member of Tunisia’s National<br />

Dialogue Quartet, which was awarded the 2015<br />

Nobel Peace Prize.<br />

On Egypt, the Center tackled US-Egypt<br />

diplomatic relations, the country’s economic<br />

policies, security challenges, and internal<br />

political developments, among other issues. In<br />

addition to providing analysis from Washington,<br />

nonresident fellows in Egypt provide on-theground,<br />

real-time reactions through both<br />

media appearances and publications. Notably,<br />

this analysis included To Vote or Not to Vote:<br />

Examining the Disenfranchised in Egypt’s Political<br />

[LEFT]<br />

Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber<br />

(center), minister of state<br />

in the United Arab Emirates<br />

and chairman of sustainable<br />

energy company Masdar,<br />

speaks at a breakfast hosted<br />

by Atlantic Council board<br />

director Rafic Bizri (left) and<br />

Hariri Center Director Francis<br />

Ricciardone (right).<br />

Landscape, assessing the electoral environment<br />

ahead of the fall 2015 elections.<br />

“There are green shoots, we call them,<br />

messages of hope coming out of the<br />

Middle East that need to be nurtured….<br />

They offer the hope of a more<br />

prosperous and secure Middle East.”<br />

– STEPHEN J. HADLEY, CO-CHAIR OF THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL’S<br />

MIDDLE EAST STRATEGY TASK FORCE<br />

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38 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

RAFIK HARIRI CENTER FOR THE MIDDLE EAST 39<br />

ROAD TO STABILIZING SYRIA AND DEFEATING ISIS<br />

Senior Fellows Frederic C. Hof and Faysal Itani take a critical look at US policy toward<br />

Syria, the consequences of inaction, and opportunities for political resolution<br />

The Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East<br />

addressed Syria’s protracted conflict and its<br />

consequences in the region with unparalleled<br />

programming and insight. Frederic C. Hof’s<br />

highly sought-after analysis on Syria, along with<br />

Faysal Itani’s distinct assessment of local actors<br />

combined to impact the debate in Washington on<br />

this highly contentious issue.<br />

Hof, a current Atlantic Council senior fellow and<br />

former special adviser for transition in Syria, has<br />

been among the most vocal advocates for increased<br />

US action in Syria. He pointed to US “non-policy” as<br />

a factor in the emergence of ISIS and its continued<br />

sway over significant territory in Syria:<br />

“This brings you full-circle to the whole question<br />

of: What is your strategy? If your objective is to<br />

degrade and ultimately destroy [ISIS], then you<br />

need to have a strategy that doesn’t produce the<br />

opposite effect,” Hof told Business Insider. “It is<br />

the lack of civilian protection that is just fattening<br />

the political wallet of ISIS.”<br />

The April 2015 release of Itani’s report, Defeating<br />

the Jihadists in Syria: Competition before<br />

Confrontation, and a panel discussion on<br />

insurgent forces in Syria galvanized thinking<br />

on how to empower nationalist rebel forces to<br />

compete effectively with ISIS. His September 2015<br />

release of “Seizing Local Opportunities in Syria,”<br />

co-authored with Syrian regime defector Bassam Barabandi,<br />

drew administration attention to possibilities in facilitating<br />

a political transition and weakening jihadists in the country.<br />

Hof also routinely convened the Syria Policy Analysis<br />

Network for private, off-the-record discussions with leading<br />

US policymakers, Syria watchers, and journalists to engage<br />

with prominent Syrian figures and opposition leaders in<br />

discussions of the latest developments on the ground.<br />

[RIGHT]<br />

Japanese Ambassador Kenichiro Sasae joined the Atlantic<br />

Council to discuss Japan’s energy priorities and Middle<br />

East policies. Rafik Hariri Center Senior Fellow Frederic<br />

Hof chaired the conference.<br />

AN INTERVIEW WITH<br />

BAHAA HARIRI<br />

Bahaa Hariri is an international business leader and the eldest son of the<br />

former Prime Minister of Lebanon Rafik Hariri, who was assassinated<br />

in 2005. Bahaa Hariri founded the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle<br />

East at the Atlantic Council to continue his father’s legacy of building<br />

a more secure and prosperous Arab world.<br />

Q: HOW WOULD YOU DEFINE<br />

YOUR FATHER’S LEGACY?<br />

A: My father, Rafik Hariri, saw the<br />

Arab people as full of talent, initiative,<br />

and capability, and understood there<br />

was no limit to what they could<br />

achieve once they moved beyond<br />

conflict, injustice, and repression. To<br />

his last day on this earth, he believed<br />

that Lebanon could lead the way<br />

toward an era in which the great<br />

promise and potential of the Arab<br />

world would finally be realized—a<br />

world of shared dignity, creativity,<br />

and prosperity.<br />

Q: WHY DID YOU CHOOSE THE<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL TO TAKE<br />

UP THE MANTEL OF YOUR<br />

FATHER’S LEGACY?<br />

A: There are forces driving change in<br />

the world today. With American and<br />

European help, those forces will guide<br />

the Middle East to converge with<br />

the international community—with a<br />

robust civil society, democracy, and<br />

free markets. Without that support,<br />

the Middle East risks diverging onto<br />

a dark and unsustainable path. The<br />

Atlantic Council was the right place<br />

because it is best positioned to<br />

encourage European and American<br />

leadership as essential for the Arab<br />

world’s transition to the right path.<br />

Q: HOW HAS THE HARIRI<br />

CENTER’S WORK SHAPED THE<br />

DEBATE ON US-MIDDLE EAST<br />

STRATEGY?<br />

A: The Center provides a unique<br />

platform for debate and dialogue,<br />

producing cutting-edge analysis to<br />

support the Middle East’s stability and<br />

democratic evolution. Additionally,<br />

the Center has expanded in the<br />

region to ensure that those who are<br />

actively building a new future are<br />

heard in the United States, Europe,<br />

and beyond, so that international<br />

strategy is based on facts from those<br />

living in the region.<br />

Q: HOW DOES THE COUNCIL<br />

CULTIVATE A GLOBAL<br />

UNDERSTANDING AMONG ITS<br />

COMMUNITY?<br />

A: The Atlantic Council positions itself<br />

as an indispensable resource for<br />

senior US and foreign government officials,<br />

economists, journalists, among<br />

others who are closely following the<br />

Middle East and North Africa. With a<br />

community built on engagement and<br />

debate, the best ideas and most profound<br />

insights quickly diffuse across<br />

the network of experts.<br />

Q: WHAT IS YOUR VISION FOR<br />

THE HARIRI CENTER, AND FOR<br />

THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL, GOING<br />

FORWARD?<br />

A: The Arab world needs global<br />

citizens—like Rafik Hariri—and<br />

institutions—like the Atlantic Council<br />

and the Hariri Center—who will<br />

struggle and succeed against the<br />

odds. Arab citizens are seeking a<br />

new path. It will be long and difficult<br />

change, with many twists and turns.<br />

At times it might not be clear whether<br />

things are getting better or worse,<br />

but today is not a time for the timid<br />

or the cynical. If the people of the<br />

Arab countries can find the strength<br />

and wisdom, we can fulfill my father’s<br />

vision for a vibrant and just future.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


40 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

DINU PATRICIU EURASIA CENTER 41<br />

TECTONIC SHIFTS<br />

A revisionist Russia<br />

threatens a Europe<br />

whole and free<br />

DINU PATRICIU EURASIA<br />

CENTER<br />

Russia is at war in Ukraine.<br />

The Dinu Patriciu Eurasia<br />

Center’s report proved as<br />

much with cutting-edge<br />

digital forensic research<br />

methods novel to the<br />

think tank world—a form<br />

of intelligence gathering from open sources ranging from Facebook<br />

posts of Russian soldiers to Google Earth maps of Russian bases.<br />

Hiding in Plain Sight: Putin’s War in Ukraine, the innovative product of<br />

that work demonstrated, against Kremlin denials, that Russia’s military<br />

presence in Ukraine was responsible for the conflict in the Donbas<br />

region. Evidence of the report’s wide impact: the Russian-language<br />

version had to be temporarily removed from the Atlantic Council’s<br />

website, because the download traffic risked crashing the servers.<br />

The Patriciu Center, led by former Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst,<br />

works to inform thinking in Washington and in European capitals on<br />

the dangers posed by a revanchist Kremlin. The Center’s analysis and<br />

convening power helps build consensus among policymakers across<br />

the Atlantic on how to best to keep alive the dream of a Europe<br />

whole and free and counter Russian President Vladimir Putin’s efforts<br />

to undermine neighboring countries’ sovereignty.<br />

Protests in the Maidan in Kyiv, Ukraine in December 2013.<br />

(Photo by Sasha Maksymmenko.)<br />

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42 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

DINU SECTION PATRICIU TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

EURASIA CENTER 43<br />

The Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center has been at the<br />

forefront of US and European efforts to better<br />

understand Russia’s increasingly activist foreign<br />

policies and ensure that post-Cold War gains in<br />

advancing and expanding European democracy<br />

are preserved.<br />

In 2015, the Patriciu Eurasia Center’s Ukraine in<br />

Europe Initiative did much to inform a growing<br />

transatlantic understanding of the historic risks<br />

that grow out of Russian President Vladimir<br />

Putin’s ambitions. As Ukraine’s internal turmoil<br />

evolved into Moscow’s annexation of Crimea<br />

and interventions in eastern Ukraine, the<br />

initiative convened regular meetings with<br />

senior officials in Washington, Ukraine, and<br />

Europe—helping to animate Western policy—<br />

while at the same time informing the public<br />

debate and legislative understanding.<br />

Advocating a strategy for resolving the conflict<br />

in Ukraine’s eastern regions and offering the<br />

country a more secure future, the Atlantic<br />

Council advanced four key elements across its<br />

international network: thwarting the Kremlin’s<br />

aggression in Ukraine’s East with a combination<br />

[LEFT]<br />

“My take is that Russia is not eager… to have<br />

peace and stability, neither in Ukraine nor in<br />

Europe,” said Ukraine’s then-Prime Minister<br />

Arseniy Yatsenyuk (right), citing as evidence a<br />

renewed offensive by Russian-backed forces, at<br />

a June 9, 2015 meeting at the Atlantic Council<br />

hosted by Atlantic Council Executive Vice<br />

President Damon Wilson.<br />

of sanctions on Russia and military support for<br />

Ukraine; promoting a host of reforms in Ukraine<br />

and economic aid from the West; maintaining<br />

policy support for Ukraine’s sovereignty in<br />

Crimea; and unmasking the impact of Moscow’s<br />

massive disinformation operation.<br />

The impact of this approach was tangible.<br />

The Ukraine initiative’s flagship publication,<br />

UkraineAlert, reached thousands of global<br />

influencers with original analysis and research. A<br />

steady stream of reports shaped public opinion;<br />

two of those reports in particular helped set the<br />

tone for the West’s response to the crisis.<br />

The first, Preserving Ukraine’s Independence,<br />

Resisting Russian Aggression: What the United<br />

States and NATO Must Do—calling for the West<br />

to more actively support Ukraine, including the<br />

provision of defensive weapons—dominated<br />

the agenda at the Munich Defense and Security<br />

Conference in February 2015. Although the<br />

Obama Administration initially rejected the<br />

suggestion to provide outright lethal defensive<br />

weapons to Ukraine, it subsequently sent much of<br />

the hardware recommended in the report, greatly<br />

increasing the assistance supplied to Ukraine. By<br />

galvanizing experts from several institutions, the<br />

report had greater impact and was ranked by<br />

the University of Pennsylvania’s annual Global<br />

Go To Think Tank Index as the number one best<br />

collaborative research paper and the number<br />

three policy report paper in the world.<br />

The second paper, Hiding in Plain Sight: Putin’s<br />

War in Ukraine, was one of the most widely read<br />

and quoted projects in the Atlantic Council’s halfcentury<br />

history, deploying a new brand of digital<br />

research techniques to trace the internet postings<br />

of Russian soldiers on VKontakte, the Russian<br />

equivalent of Facebook. It proved that Moscow<br />

was present in and responsible for the conflict<br />

in the Donbas and for fueling the hostilities in<br />

Ukraine’s East. A VICE News documentary, Selfie<br />

Soldiers, based on Hiding in Plain Sight won<br />

Columbia University’s Alfred DuPont Journalism<br />

Award (the Pulitzer Prize for television).<br />

The Eurasia Center’s top community of experts<br />

devoted to stability in Europe’s East, combined<br />

with its leading research and analysis, made the<br />

Atlantic Council the go-to venue for Ukrainian<br />

officials, as well as leading specialists and<br />

journalists working on Ukrainian and Russian<br />

issues. In 2015, both Ukrainian President Petro<br />

Poroshenko and then-Prime Minister Arseniy<br />

Yatsenyuk—along with dozens of Ukrainian<br />

officials—chose the Council as their platform for<br />

addressing the Washington policy community.<br />

This programming has broadened understanding<br />

of the importance of Ukraine’s struggle and the<br />

ongoing danger to European security. In July, the<br />

nominee for the chairmanship of the Joint Chiefs<br />

of Staff, General Joseph Dunford, testified in<br />

Congress that Moscow was the greatest security<br />

danger to the United States. More importantly,<br />

NATO decided to greatly increase its presence<br />

of troops and hardware in the Baltic States<br />

and Poland, and to conduct more exercises in<br />

the Black Sea, steps that the Center had been<br />

advocating for months.<br />

At the same time, the Eurasia Center has<br />

deepened its focus on Russia, endeavoring to<br />

understand the dynamics shaping the country<br />

and exploring ways to lessen tensions with<br />

Moscow and bring it closer to the West. The<br />

Atlantic Council has convened private and public<br />

conversations with former senior Russian officials<br />

and business leaders; the Brent Scowcroft Center<br />

on International Security published the most<br />

ambitions think tank effort of 2015 with the<br />

Russian Academy of Science’s IMEMO.<br />

The “grey zone” between Russia and NATO is<br />

another key piece of the Patriciu Eurasia Center’s<br />

work. Twice in 2015, the Atlantic Council led a<br />

delegation to Moldova and Georgia to meet with<br />

high-level officials to explore ways to strengthen<br />

their internal institutions and deepen their<br />

relationship with NATO, the European Union, and<br />

the United States as a means of better ensuring<br />

their long-term security.<br />

IN MEMORIAM<br />

DINU PATRICIU (1950-2014)<br />

Dinu Patriciu founded the Atlantic Council’s Dinu Patriciu<br />

Eurasia Center in 2009 to pursue his dream that the Black<br />

Sea region, torn apart by World War II and the Cold War,<br />

could be reunited by common values, mutual interests,<br />

and economic cooperation.<br />

He spoke passionately about the Black Sea as a “lake” that<br />

should unite instead of divide the countries on its shores—<br />

Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, Russia, and Ukraine. As a<br />

philanthropist and as a businessman, he put his ideas into<br />

action.<br />

Dinu’s businesses ranged from energy, media, and real<br />

estate, to automotive technologies and banking. He was<br />

a pioneer of his country’s democratic evolution in the<br />

early 1990s, as founder of the National Liberal Party in<br />

Romania, and one of the most effective advocates of its<br />

NATO membership.<br />

Dinu was also one of Central Europe’s earliest<br />

philanthropists. His Dinu Patriciu Foundation has<br />

empowered thousands of young Romanians to pursue<br />

degrees and careers that have contributed positively to<br />

Romania’s democratic development. He was also a gifted<br />

architect and, in his later years, an artist.<br />

Driven by Dinu’s entrepreneurial nature, the Patriciu<br />

Eurasia Center expanded its reach to embrace issues<br />

beyond the Black Sea and launched what has become the<br />

Atlantic Council’s flagship global gathering, the Energy &<br />

Economic Summit in Istanbul.<br />

Alongside the 2014 Global Citizen Awards in New York,<br />

the Atlantic Council presented a special tribute to Dinu—<br />

received by his daughters, Ana and Maria, and his longtime<br />

partner Melanie Chen. Said Atlantic Council President<br />

and CEO Frederick Kempe, “The Atlantic Council will<br />

be forever grateful for Dinu’s wisdom, ingenuity, and<br />

generosity… We will miss his unique insights and his<br />

determination to make a difference.”<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


44<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN AMERICA CENTER<br />

45<br />

THE NEW LATIN AMERICA<br />

Stereotypes obscure<br />

a democratic and stable<br />

continent transformed by<br />

globalized economies<br />

ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN<br />

AMERICA CENTER<br />

When the Organization for Economic<br />

Cooperation and Development (OECD)<br />

granted President Juan Manuel Santos’s<br />

request to begin accession negotiations,<br />

Colombia set course to become Latin<br />

America’s third member country—after<br />

Mexico and Chile—in the elite thirtyeight-nation<br />

club of industrialized economies. The moment marked a milestone of<br />

transformation for a country with double-digit manufacturing growth and a booming<br />

energy sector.<br />

Across Latin America, democracies are thriving, supported by a rising middle class.<br />

Individual countries assume larger roles on the global stage, as innovators and as<br />

trading partners. Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico are members of the Group of Twenty<br />

(G20), playing prominent roles in shaping the world economy. In Latin America, more<br />

women have achieved levels of power—presidencies and legislative assemblies—<br />

than nearly any other region. However, much of the world continues to view Latin<br />

America through outdated lenses shaped by old stereotypes, and fails to grasp the<br />

extent and meaning of the region’s dramatic transformation.<br />

Cubans gather for the opening of the US Interests Section in Havana on July 20, 2015<br />

as the two countries begin a new era of post-Cold War relations.<br />

(Photo by REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst.)<br />

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46 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

ADRIENNE ARSHT SECTION LATIN TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

AMERICA CENTER 47<br />

Launched in October 2013, the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center was founded<br />

to heighten awareness of the new Latin America as a core partner in the wider<br />

transatlantic community. Latin America’s rise comes at a time when US and<br />

European foreign policies are overextended by the onslaught of global crises,<br />

which diminish their capacity to engage adequately with dynamic Latin American<br />

societies on the full spectrum of potential opportunities—both political and<br />

economic. As a result, it has been difficult to move the policy and media discussion<br />

beyond the narrow scope of old issues—drugs, violence, and immigration. The<br />

Center aims to highlight Latin America’s transformations for a global audience<br />

and demonstrate its role as a strategic partner for friends and allies.<br />

The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center, under the leadership of Founder<br />

Adrienne Arsht and Director Peter Schechter, takes an impact-focused approach<br />

to its work. Through extensive consultations with key regional leaders, it collects<br />

first-hand research, asks probing questions, and builds relationships with private<br />

and public sector leaders to form the foundations of its projects.<br />

The Center’s results orientation has earned it a reputation as a powerful convener<br />

and publisher capable of helping policymakers understand the extent, meaning,<br />

and potential impact of the dramatic transformations in this region.<br />

AN INTERVIEW WITH<br />

ADRIENNE ARSHT<br />

Adrienne Arsht is a business leader and<br />

philanthropist. After serving as chairman of the<br />

board of TotalBank in Miami, Florida from 1997<br />

to 2007, Arsht founded the Adrienne Arsht Latin<br />

America Center to expand awareness of the new<br />

Latin America across diverse communities of<br />

influence, both within and outside Washington,<br />

DC. Pictured here, Arsht welcomes Colombian<br />

President Juan Manuel Santos to the Atlantic<br />

Council.<br />

[BELOW]<br />

Adrienne Arsht (left)—the founder<br />

of the Adrienne Arsht Latin America<br />

Center—and the center’s director,<br />

Peter Schechter (right), host a<br />

breakfast conversation with Rio de<br />

Janeiro Mayor Eduardo Paes.<br />

No country better symbolizes Latin America’s evolution than Colombia. Indeed,<br />

when President Barack Obama hosted Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos<br />

at the White House in December 2013, the Center—barely two months old—seized<br />

the historic moment and offered President Santos the Council’s nonpartisan<br />

platform to challenge conventional Washington wisdom with the story of how his<br />

country had progressed from Medellin Cartel to Medellin Miracle.<br />

Impressed with President Santos’s success in overseeing one of the fastestgrowing<br />

economies in Latin America, and most importantly, his tireless efforts<br />

to end his country’s conflict with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia<br />

(FARC), the Council continued its engagement on Colombian issues by awarding<br />

President Santos its 2015 Global Citizen Award in New York, with US Vice President<br />

Q: WHAT DREW YOU TO THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL<br />

AS THE ORGANIZATION TO CULTIVATE A BETTER<br />

UNDERSTANDING OF LATIN AMERICA?<br />

A: When I moved to Washington, DC, I spoke to everyone<br />

about the need for a center focused on Latin America.<br />

The Atlantic Council listened. They came to me, saying<br />

they wanted to build upon my vision and passion to<br />

integrate Latin America with Europe and the United<br />

States, replace outdated perceptions of the region, and<br />

create new opportunities for cooperation. We started<br />

small, with a one-off study, to confirm the viability of a<br />

larger initiative. The need was confirmed, and I founded<br />

the center. The Atlantic Council has been the perfect<br />

partner.<br />

Q: HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE IMPACT<br />

OF YOUR PARTNERSHIP WITH THE ATLANTIC<br />

COUNCIL?<br />

A: The impact of the work of the center has been very far<br />

reaching. Within the first year alone, we had fifty events<br />

in eight cities; we developed eight regional and thematic<br />

practice areas; we produced fifteen publications. We<br />

have had more than two thousand mentions and opinion<br />

pieces in US and international media. The work on Cuba<br />

and energy reform in Mexico has, among other things,<br />

resulted in many of the Latin American heads of state and<br />

government officials relying on our experts. It’s thrilling to<br />

see how much impact we’ve been able to have, together, in<br />

such a short time!<br />

Q: IS THERE A PARTICULAR MOMENT OF PRIDE<br />

OR SENSE OF ACCOMPLISHMENT YOU SHARE<br />

WITH PEOPLE WHEN TALKING ABOUT THE ARSHT<br />

CENTER?<br />

A: Yes, the Cuba poll, which was the first national poll<br />

on the subject of normalization. The impact of the<br />

poll was manifested by the administration’s decision to<br />

restore relations.<br />

Q: WHAT HAS THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL MEANT TO<br />

YOU PERSONALLY?<br />

A: I have met so many people whose expertise covers<br />

the most important global topics of our time. I have had<br />

a chance to gain knowledge of issues, people, and places<br />

that I would never have been exposed to otherwise.<br />

Q: WHY IS THE WORK OF THE ARSHT CENTER<br />

IMPORTANT?<br />

A: Because it brings to the attention of everyone north of<br />

Miami that there is a continent and a people that are too<br />

often overlooked.<br />

Q: HOW DO YOU SEE THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL<br />

EVOLVING IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS?<br />

A: I think that in three years, the Council’s public profile<br />

will be even greater throughout the policy world and even<br />

more respected and in demand as a source of information,<br />

policy, and action.<br />

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48 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN AMERICA CENTER 49<br />

[RIGHT]<br />

Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos jokes<br />

with US Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker<br />

ahead of the private, off-the-record dinner in<br />

the president’s honor following his meeting<br />

with US President Barack Obama.<br />

CUBA POLICY: IMPACT OVER TIME<br />

The Arsht Latin America Center’s bipartisan national poll of American views on<br />

US-Cuba policy laid the groundwork for the United States’ historic policy shift<br />

Joseph Biden joining to salute President Santos<br />

and Colombia’s trajectory toward peace<br />

(see page 62).<br />

Just a few weeks earlier, and coinciding with<br />

Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first state visit to<br />

Washington, a new Arsht Center report, China’s<br />

Evolving Role in Latin America: Can it Be a Win-<br />

Win? outlined five recommendations to help<br />

both China and Latin America usher in a mutually<br />

beneficial post-commodity-boom relationship. It<br />

called for a ratcheting up of strategic planning<br />

and multilateral support so that the relationship—<br />

and the 2,000 percent increase in trade over the<br />

past fifteen years—would be a win-win for all<br />

parties, including the United States. That report<br />

led to the start of the Center’s two-year China-<br />

Latin America initiative.<br />

Recognizing the importance of under-analyzed<br />

energy security issues in Latin America, the<br />

Center stepped in to shape policy on a critical<br />

issue for US and regional prosperity. Uncertain<br />

Energy: The Caribbean’s Gamble with Venezuela<br />

urged an examination of energy alternatives<br />

for Central America and the Caribbean and<br />

triggered high-level discussions. The report’s<br />

recommendations landed the Center on the<br />

leading edge of Caribbean energy policy and<br />

in response, Vice President Biden invited the<br />

Center to partner in hosting the Caribbean<br />

Energy Security Summit in Washington, DC, in<br />

January 2015.<br />

Locked in an over fifty-year-old failed policy<br />

of isolation, US-Cuban relations had posed an<br />

intransigent challenge. However, ten months<br />

before President Obama’s historic executive<br />

order on US-Cuban relations, the Arsht Center<br />

ran the first-ever comprehensive bipartisan<br />

national poll on American public opinion of<br />

US-Cuba policy, demonstrating a new national<br />

disposition toward the Caribbean nation and<br />

marking an opportunity for change. Days before<br />

the opening of the US Embassy in Havana in<br />

August 2015, the Center provided a ten-point<br />

roadmap for Cuba’s reintegration into the global<br />

economy. With presidential races heating up, a<br />

second poll in the US heartland found majority<br />

support in both parties for opening relations<br />

with Cuba and repealing travel restrictions (see<br />

opposite page).<br />

Despite its current economic and political<br />

challenges, the Center remains bullish on Brazil’s<br />

long-term prospects. But it’s a relationship<br />

historically placed on the backburner. That’s<br />

why the Arsht Center immediately jumped into<br />

action when the Brazilian president’s official<br />

visit to the United States was announced.<br />

Building on two years of work on Brazil, the<br />

Center led an effort prior to the June 2015<br />

visit to uncover specific ways to strengthen<br />

the bilateral relationship. US-Brazil Relations: A<br />

New Beginning? How to Strengthen the Bilateral<br />

Agenda presented concrete proposals that the<br />

United States and Brazil can take to advance<br />

cooperation in innovation, goods and services<br />

trade, investment, and education.<br />

Why did a new, nonpartisan Latin America<br />

Center reach out to grab what was then the third<br />

rail of foreign policy in the United States?<br />

Because after five decades, the policy of<br />

embargo and isolation had failed and maintaining<br />

the policy constricted the scope of US relations<br />

with the broader continent.<br />

Meanwhile, sentiment toward Cuba among US<br />

citizens appeared to be changing. Seeing a<br />

gap in understanding of this change, the Arsht<br />

Latin America Center commissioned a national<br />

survey conducted by pollsters—Glen Bolger, a<br />

Republican; and Paul Maslin, a Democrat.<br />

“The Atlantic Council has been at the<br />

forefront of our reality… Your work has<br />

helped reset the conversation in the<br />

hemisphere and across the Atlantic.”<br />

– JUAN MANUEL SANTOS, PRESIDENT OF COLOMBIA<br />

Their survey of more than two thousand people<br />

nationwide found that 56 percent favored more<br />

direct US engagement with Cuba or even a<br />

normalization of relations. It also found strong<br />

bipartisan support for a number of executive<br />

actions that President Obama could take that<br />

would begin to normalize relations. Over three<br />

thousand print and broadcast outlets carried<br />

the results. Less than a year later, with the poll<br />

showing that political cover existed, President<br />

Obama undertook many of the actions indicated<br />

in the poll.<br />

As US relations with Cuba began to open up, the<br />

Center turned to the island nation’s anticipated<br />

role in the global economic community;<br />

Cuba’s Economic Reintegration: Begin with the<br />

International Financial Institutions became the<br />

first major policy publication, since the change<br />

in relations, that pushed for reengagement<br />

between Cuba and institutions, such as the<br />

World Bank, the International Monetary Fund,<br />

and the Inter-American Development Bank.<br />

But more polling was still needed. This time in<br />

four of America’s heartland states—Tennessee,<br />

Ohio, Indiana, and Iowa. With important<br />

congressional delegations or key political arenas,<br />

these states were critical for advancing the US-<br />

Cuban rapprochement. The result: bipartisan<br />

support for an even wider Cuba opening. The<br />

support in these states—important because of<br />

senior congressional delegations or weight in<br />

presidential politics—constitutes a major victory<br />

for the president’s executive actions over the<br />

past year.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

“Air Force One will depart Andrews Air Force<br />

Base en route to Havana, Cuba. No National<br />

Security Advisor has ever said that before. No<br />

US president has traveled to Cuba since Calvin<br />

Coolidge came on a battleship 88 years ago,”<br />

said National Security Advisor Susan Rice at<br />

the Atlantic Council just days before President<br />

Barack Obama’s trip to Cuba.<br />

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50 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SOUTH ASIA CENTER 51<br />

ADVERSARIES AND<br />

OPPORTUNITIES<br />

From Iran to India, South<br />

Asia’s stability is a crucial<br />

piece of global security<br />

and prosperity<br />

South Asia contains one fifth of the global<br />

population and nearly half of the world’s poor; 40<br />

percent of South Asians live on less than $1.25 a day.<br />

SOUTH ASIA CENTER Policymakers struggle to create the infrastructure<br />

and jobs needed to meet the rising expectations<br />

of a growing population of young people and to<br />

prevent the rise of extremist ideology spurred by widespread unemployment and poverty.<br />

Leaders are faced with the challenge of cultivating the region’s vast economic potential<br />

while also addressing severe food and water insecurity, global nuclear tensions, and the<br />

impact of a rising China.<br />

The South Asia Center, led by Bharath Gopalaswamy, navigates these currents with a<br />

vision to bridge divides and tap the region’s full potential. Committed to working with US,<br />

European, and regional leaders, the Center builds networks for actionable policy rooted in<br />

facts on the ground.<br />

India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi performs yoga with others to mark the International Day of<br />

Yoga, in New Delhi, India. Modi led tens of thousands of people in the yoga session in the center of<br />

the capital to showcase the country’s signature cultural export. (Photo by REUTERS/Adnan Abid.)<br />

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52 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SOUTH ASIA CENTER 53<br />

[LEFT]<br />

At an event co-hosted by the Atlantic Council<br />

and the United States Institute of Peace<br />

in March 2015, President Ghani offers an<br />

optimistic outlook of Afghanistan’s future,<br />

the prospects of peace with the Taliban, and<br />

improved regional connectivity.<br />

The Task Force organized conversations<br />

with some of the key actors surrounding the<br />

negotiations, including US Secretary of Energy<br />

Ernest Moniz, Iranian Foreign Minister Javad<br />

Zarif, former National Security Advisor Brent<br />

Scowcroft, Permanent Representative of Iran<br />

to the United Nations Gholamali Khoshroo,<br />

and Acting Under Secretary for Terrorism and<br />

Financial Intelligence Adam Szubin.<br />

Now that the agreement is in effect, the Task<br />

Force is building on its momentum as the<br />

Future of Iran Initiative. The Initiative explores<br />

Iran’s complex political dynamics, including its<br />

economic potential, record on human rights,<br />

and opportunities for bilateral people-topeople<br />

engagement.<br />

Atlantic Council Chairman Jon Huntsman and<br />

President and CEO Frederick Kempe also took<br />

the opportunity to meet privately with Prime<br />

Minister Narendra Modi, along with other senior<br />

Indian business executives and officials, to<br />

consider ways to strengthen collaboration across<br />

the Indo-Pacific.<br />

In November 2015, the Center returned to India<br />

to host the Megacities Security Conference<br />

in Mumbai. Opening just a week after the<br />

Paris terrorist attacks, representatives from<br />

seven countries—including the United States,<br />

Bangladesh, Singapore, Kenya, and Mexico—<br />

tackled how large cities can most effectively<br />

prepare and respond to natural and manmade<br />

disasters.<br />

The Afghanistan Rising Initiative’s October<br />

2015 issue brief, “Afghan and US Security,”<br />

emphasized the need for US forces to remain in<br />

Afghanistan, both for the nation’s security and<br />

to preserve the next American administration’s<br />

operational flexibility. Senators John McCain and<br />

Jack Reed and more than twenty former senior<br />

officials, including former cabinet secretaries<br />

Madeleine Albright and Chuck Hagel, co-signed<br />

the report, which was released days before<br />

President Obama agreed to one of its key<br />

recommendations—the retention of 10,000 US<br />

troops in Afghanistan through the end of 2016.<br />

Few events of the past year were more<br />

dramatic than the Iran nuclear negotiations<br />

and subsequent agreement. Well before the<br />

agreement was announced, the South Asia<br />

Center’s Iran Task Force, chaired by Ambassador<br />

Stuart Eizenstat and directed by Atlantic Council<br />

Senior Fellow Barbara Slavin, began developing<br />

a comprehensive understanding of a postsanctions<br />

world.<br />

“ What we are determined to do is not<br />

become victims of history, not to repeat<br />

history but to overcome it, and in the<br />

process make new history.”<br />

– ASHRAF GHANI, PRESIDENT OF AFGHANISTAN<br />

In 2015 the South Asia Center also seized the<br />

opportunity for fresh thinking on the US-India<br />

bilateral partnership following President Obama’s<br />

landmark visit to New Delhi for India’s Republic<br />

Day celebrations.<br />

Working with the US Embassy in India,<br />

Vivekananda International Foundation, and the<br />

Confederation of Indian Industry, the Center<br />

convened the Council’s first major conference in<br />

Asia in March 2015—“India-US 2015: Partnering<br />

for Peace and Prosperity.” The event activated a<br />

renewed conversation among leading American<br />

and Indian policymakers on paths for greater<br />

engagement between the two countries.<br />

India’s Foreign Secretary Dr. S. Jaishankar, in<br />

his first public remarks as foreign secretary,<br />

commented that the United States should<br />

encourage India to transform from a balancing<br />

power to a regional leader as a way of promoting<br />

the region’s wider stability and economic<br />

dynamism.<br />

In Afghanistan, the South Asia Center<br />

recognized the inauguration of Afghanistan’s<br />

unity government under President Ashraf<br />

Ghani and Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah<br />

as a historic opportunity to break with decades<br />

of war and establish a new positive trajectory.<br />

At the same time, NATO’s pending drawdown<br />

of forces threatened to diminish the focus of<br />

Kabul’s international partners and undermine<br />

efforts to secure the country’s future.<br />

Supported by former US Ambassador to<br />

Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad, the Atlantic<br />

Council launched the Afghanistan Rising<br />

Initiative to sustain international support for<br />

the country’s long-term stability, security, and<br />

prosperity. Led by James Cunningham, former<br />

US ambassador to Afghanistan, as the Khalilzad<br />

Chair, the Initiative has organized meetings<br />

with President Ghani; Chief Executive Abdullah<br />

Abdullah; and Commander, Resolute Support<br />

Mission and United States Forces-Afghanistan,<br />

General John Campbell; among others.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Atlantic Council Chairman Jon Huntsman leads a discussion with<br />

US Ambassador to India Richard Verma and Indian Minister of State<br />

for Energy Piyush Goyal at an Atlantic Council conference in Delhi,<br />

in collaboration with the US Embassy in India, the Vivekananda<br />

Foundation, and the Confederation of Indian Industry.<br />

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54<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

AFRICA CENTER<br />

55<br />

THE NEXT AFRICA<br />

Dynamic partnerships<br />

for strengthening security<br />

and building economic<br />

and social momentum<br />

US interests in the African continent once<br />

were mired in Cold War competition<br />

or relegated to disaster relief and<br />

AFRICA CENTER<br />

humanitarian concerns over poverty, war,<br />

and natural disasters, rather than strategic<br />

imperative. In recent years, however,<br />

even long-duration violent conflicts and<br />

persistent climate concerns no longer overshadow the vitality of some African states<br />

and the deep strategic claims on security and economic investment.<br />

Indeed, although daunting security, humanitarian, and developmental challenges<br />

remain, the real story out of Africa today is one of economic dynamism—driven not<br />

only by demand for the continent’s abundant natural resources, but also positive<br />

demographic trends, innovative technologies, political reforms, and improvements<br />

in governance.<br />

A giraffe walks through the Nairobi National Park, the world’s only game reserve found<br />

within a major city, at less than four miles south of central Nairobi, Kenya’s capital city.<br />

(Photo by GETTYIMAGES/WLDavies.)<br />

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56 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

AFRICA CENTER 57<br />

[OPPOSITE TOP]<br />

Gabonese President Ali Bongo Ondimba greets MNG Group of Companies<br />

Founder and Chairman Mehmet Nazif Günal during the president’s visit to the<br />

Atlantic Council’s offices.<br />

[OPPOSITE BOTTOM]<br />

“Nigeria has embarked on an irreversible path—there might be one step forward<br />

and half a step back, but the trend is clear—because Nigerian citizens and civil<br />

society are no longer prepared to settle for less,” said Nigeria’s Coordinating<br />

Minister for the Economy and Minister of Finance Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala during her<br />

public remarks at the Atlantic Council.<br />

President Obama recognized Africa’s growing<br />

economic clout when he welcomed leaders from<br />

across the continent to Washington in August<br />

2014 for the historic US-Africa Leaders Summit—<br />

the largest event any US president has hosted<br />

for African heads of state and government.<br />

It was the Atlantic Council that became the venue<br />

of choice for African leaders: The presidents of<br />

Ghana, Tunisia, Burkina Faso, and Niger, as well<br />

as the president of the Commission of Economic<br />

Community of West African States chose the<br />

Council as their platform for addressing the<br />

Washington policy community.<br />

Anticipating policy shifts to be in position when<br />

presidents and prime ministers need a forum<br />

is a deliberate Atlantic Council strength, and<br />

creating such a framework of engagement was<br />

“ [Our] vision has not dimmed or<br />

diminished… In fact, geopolitical<br />

partnerships are stronger than ever,<br />

and business and prosperity are<br />

exhibiting a growth that would have<br />

astonished our predecessors.”<br />

– ALI BONGO ONDIMBA, PRESIDENT OF GABON<br />

the intention of Atlantic Council board director<br />

Michael Ansari when he partnered with the<br />

Atlantic Council to launch the Africa Center in<br />

September 2009. At the time, Washington’s<br />

limited strategic engagement with privateand<br />

public-sector leaders on issues central to<br />

Africa’s future, belied the continent’s undeniable<br />

importance and risked leaving American<br />

interests behind.<br />

The Center has since become a principle<br />

conduit for the continent, addressing Africa’s<br />

complex security challenges—especially the<br />

growing specter of Islamist extremism as<br />

well as the ongoing problem of fragile states.<br />

Additionally, and perhaps more importantly, it<br />

collaborates with the public and private sectors<br />

to forge opportunities associated with Africa’s<br />

economic growth.<br />

The Africa Center’s analysis continues to<br />

capture the lingering crises of the “old Africa”<br />

while maintaining a constant eye on developing<br />

trends that are likely to shape The Next Africa—<br />

the title of Africa Center Senior Fellow Aubrey<br />

Hruby’s provocative new book on Africa’s<br />

economic rise.<br />

In December 2015, the Africa Center captured<br />

the transformative power of African trade when<br />

it launched Diversifying African Trade: The Road<br />

to Progress, also by Hruby. This forward-looking<br />

approach steered the Africa Center’s work and<br />

was a crucial resource for the media, as well<br />

as political and business communities, as they<br />

navigated the economic culture of this highly<br />

complex region.<br />

Africa Center Director J. Peter Pham was one of<br />

the first experts in Washington to fully recognize<br />

the danger of the Boko Haram threat. Together<br />

with Senior Fellow Ricardo René Larémont,<br />

Pham testified at the first-ever US congressional<br />

hearing on the group in 2011, nearly three years<br />

before the infamous abduction of more than<br />

two hundred schoolgirls in Chibok, Nigeria.<br />

In his appearances before Congressional<br />

committees in 2015, Pham urged lawmakers<br />

not to underestimate the threat of terrorism in<br />

Africa, nor to curtail engagement with African<br />

partners. Instead, he advised them on the rising<br />

demand for intelligence about and security<br />

against threats originating in the continent.<br />

The Africa Center was also among the first in<br />

Washington to forecast Morocco’s economic<br />

potential, highlighting the country’s willingness<br />

to implement reforms in pursuit of investment<br />

and noting that Morocco has become a gateway<br />

for foreign investment into sub-Saharan African<br />

states. Center experts have sought to draw the<br />

attention of policymakers to broader security<br />

and development trends that will require<br />

greater US and European attention across the<br />

continent.<br />

The analytical series Nigeria in Focus became<br />

a barometer of events in Africa’s most<br />

populous country and largest economy. As<br />

Nigeria struggled to conduct hotly contested<br />

elections against a destabilizing backdrop<br />

of Boko Haram attacks and plummeting oil<br />

prices, the Africa Center brought key Nigerian<br />

perspectives to Washington.<br />

The Center hosted Nigeria’s military and<br />

intelligence chiefs, its coordinating minister<br />

for the economy and minister of finance, its<br />

agriculture minister (who went on to win the<br />

presidency of the African Development Bank),<br />

and the country’s newly-elected President<br />

Muhammadu Buhari, during his first visit to the<br />

United States following his historic election.<br />

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58<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

GLOBAL CONVENINGS<br />

59<br />

GLOBAL<br />

CONVENINGS<br />

Distinguished Leadership Awards<br />

60<br />

Global Citizen Awards<br />

62<br />

Istanbul Energy & Economic Summit<br />

64<br />

Wrocław Global Forum<br />

66<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


60 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

DISTINGUISHED SECTION LEADERSHIP TITLE/DESCRIPTION AWARDS<br />

61<br />

[CENTER]<br />

Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani prepares to receive<br />

his 2015 Distinguished International Leadership Award<br />

from his introducer, former Secretary of State Madeleine<br />

Albright. President Ghani set the tone for the 2015 Global<br />

Citizen Awards, saying “Leadership is about sacrifice.<br />

Leadership is not about privilege.”<br />

DISTINGUISHED<br />

LEADERSHIP AWARDS<br />

The Distinguished Leadership Awards, among Washington’s premier celebrations of global affairs<br />

leadership, convenes some eight hundred government and business decision-makers from fifty<br />

countries to honor individuals who personify the sort of strong purpose, personal commitment, and<br />

character that today’s historic times require. Awardees are chosen to represent the pillars of the<br />

transatlantic relationship—political, military, business, and artistic leadership.<br />

In April 2015, we honored:<br />

Ashraf Ghani, Distinguished International Leadership Award<br />

Philip M. Breedlove, Distinguished Military Leadership Award<br />

Marillyn A. Hewson, Distinguished Business Leadership Award<br />

Toby Keith, Distinguished Artistic Leadership Award<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Some thirty co-chairs of the 2015 Distinguished Leadership Awards dinner gather on stage to lead the audience in a<br />

surprise celebration of Gen. Brent Scowcroft’s ninetieth birthday. Pictured from left are Alexander Mirtchev, Melanie<br />

Chen, Gen. Brent Scowcroft, Marillyn Hewson, Francis Bouchard, James L. Jones, Robert Abernethy, and Adrienne Arsht.<br />

[FROM TOP]<br />

Marillyn Hewson and Gov. Jon Huntsman applaud the opening of the Distinguished Leadership Awards;<br />

counterclockwise, CNN anchor Wolf Blitzer and Atlantic Council Executive Vice Chair Adrienne Arsht chat during the<br />

dinner break; General Philip Breedlove accepts his award (and red solo cup) from his Georgia Tech fraternity brother,<br />

Admiral James Winnefeld; pictured at bottom, UAE Ambassador to the United States Yousef Al Otaiba (left) talks with<br />

Atlantic Council Executive Vice Chair Stephen J. Hadley; pictured right, Toby Keith caps the evening with a performance<br />

of “American Soldier” in honor of US service men and women.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


62 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SECTION GLOBAL TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

CITIZEN AWARDS<br />

63<br />

[RIGHT]<br />

Henry Kissinger accepts the Distinguished Service<br />

Award for his lifetime of accomplishment as a<br />

strategist, diplomat, and author. In speaking of<br />

today’s global challenges, he remarked, “What<br />

sacrifices are we willing to make? Because great<br />

things cannot be achieved without some sacrifice<br />

of the present for the needs of the future.”<br />

GLOBAL CITIZEN AWARDS<br />

The Global Citizen Awards celebrate the rare individuals who contribute significantly to improving<br />

the state of the world.<br />

The 2015 awardees were:<br />

Juan Manuel Santos, President of Colombia; introduced by Joseph Biden, US Vice President<br />

Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank; introduced by Christine Lagarde, Managing<br />

Director of the IMF<br />

Yu Long, Artistic Director of the China Philharmonic; introduced by Victor Chu, Chairman of First<br />

Eastern Investment Group<br />

Henry Kissinger, former US secretary of state and the Atlanitic Council’s longest-serving board<br />

member, also recieved the Council’s Distinguished Service Award; introduced by Gen. Brent Scowcroft.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Vice President of the United States Joseph Biden presents a Global Citizen Award to Colombian President Juan Manual<br />

Santos. Vice President Biden honored President Santos as “a man of service and a man of peace… He’s a man of great<br />

vision for his country and the future of Colombia’s relationship with the United States.”<br />

[FROM TOP LEFT]<br />

Frederick Kempe (right) shows President Santos that he is wearing the cufflinks the president gave to him during<br />

his first visit to the Atlantic Council; counterclockwise, Victor Chu (left) laughs with Coca-Cola Chairman and CEO<br />

Muhtar Kent (center) and Chubb Limited CEO Evan Greenberg; to the right, Henry Kissinger and Brent Scowcroft pose<br />

backstage; bottom, Adrienne Arhst (left) and Christine Lagarde laugh with Mario Draghi; bottom right, child pianist<br />

Johnson Li performs in honor of Yu Long at the conclusion of awards ceremony; middle right, Yu Long (left) meets Mario<br />

Draghi (right), with Victor Chu (center left) and Mehmet Günal in the background.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


64 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

ISTANBUL ENERGY SECTION & TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

ECONOMIC SUMMIT 65<br />

[RIGHT]<br />

Millennium Leadership Fellow Naadiya Moosajee asks a<br />

question at a Summit session. A 2014 Forbes “Top Twenty<br />

Young Power Women in Africa,” Moosajee is co-founder<br />

of WomEng (Women in Engineering), which cultivates<br />

female engineers in Africa.<br />

ISTANBUL ENERGY<br />

& ECONOMIC SUMMIT<br />

The seventh annual Atlantic Council Energy<br />

& Economic Summit convened an influential<br />

community of more than five hundred corporate,<br />

government, and civil society leaders from forty<br />

countries in Istanbul from November 18-20,<br />

2015. This year’s special guests included Turkish<br />

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Croatian<br />

President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, and Albanian<br />

Prime Minister Edi Rama.<br />

The summit’s traditional focus on energy and<br />

economics was expanded to include security,<br />

specifically the global response to terrorism, to<br />

take stock of the challenges underscored by the<br />

terrorist attacks in Paris and Ankara.<br />

In addition to more than twenty formal sessions,<br />

luncheons, and exclusive dinners, almost one<br />

hundred bilateral meetings were conducted on<br />

the sidelines of the Summit. Around 120 journalists<br />

attended the Summit, which was featured in more<br />

than 2,100 news reports.<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan delivers the keynote address at the seventh annual Atlantic<br />

Council Energy & Economic Summit on November 19, 2015. Describing Syrian President Bashar al-<br />

Assad’s regime as the root cause of terrorism and the migrant crisis facing Europe, Erdoğan said:<br />

“Those who are standing behind [Assad] are at least as guilty as he is.”<br />

[FROM TOP LEFT]<br />

Fatih Birol (left), Miguel Arias Cañete, Frederick Kempe, Jon Huntsman, and Carlos<br />

Pascual lead the Summit’s annual ministerial discussion; counterclockwise, Zalmay<br />

Khalilzad, (left), Michael Hayden, James L. Jones, Jon Huntsman, Ana Palacio, and<br />

Daud Saba discuss new strategies for responding to terrorism; bottom left, Atlantic<br />

Council board director Esther Brimmer poses a question during a plenary session;<br />

bottom right, a consortium of energy companies—including Türkiye Petrolleri, Bayat<br />

Energy, and Çalik Enerji—conclude an agreement with the Afghanistan Ministry<br />

of Mines and Petroleum, represented by Minister Daud Saba, to develop some of<br />

Afghanistan’s natural gas reserves; middle right, Jon Huntsman leads Antony Blinken,<br />

US deputy secretary of state, to deliver the Summit’s closing keynote address.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


66 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

WROCŁAW GLOBAL SECTION FORUM & TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

FREEDOM AWARDS<br />

67<br />

WROCŁAW GLOBAL FORUM<br />

& FREEDOM AWARDS<br />

The sixth Annual Wrocław Global Forum opened on June 12, 2015, to headlines dominated by global<br />

and regional challenges: Russia’s support of Ukrainian separatists, ISIS’s extremism in the Middle East,<br />

and the erosion of faith in the Europe and transatlantic projects.<br />

Some four hundred government, corporate, and civil society leaders each year come to the Forum<br />

for discussions on core transatlantic values and priorities framed within Central Europe’s growing<br />

importance as a global partner.<br />

The Forum is also home to the Atlantic Council’s Freedom Awards, a celebration of extraordinary<br />

individuals and organizations committed to the advancement of democracy.<br />

This year’s Freedom Awards honored:<br />

Carl Bildt, former prime minister and foreign minister of Sweden, presented by Radosław Sikorski,<br />

then Marshal of the Polish Sejm<br />

Donetsk National University, represented by Roman Grynyuk—rector of the university—and law<br />

student Iryna Nahorniak, presented by US Senator Jeanne Shaheen<br />

Agnieszka Holland, Polish film maker, presented by Sławomir Sierakowski, leader of Krytyka<br />

Polityczna<br />

Boris Nemtsov, posthumous award presented by Garry Kasparov and accepted by Nemtsov’s<br />

daughter, Zhanna Nemtsova<br />

Nadiya Savchenko, Ukrainian military pilot and prisoner of war—represented by her sister Vera<br />

Savchenko—also introduced by US Senator Jeanne Shaheen<br />

[ABOVE]<br />

Wrocław Mayor Rafał Dutkiewicz welcomes the participants to the 2015 Wrocław Global Forum. The Atlantic Council is<br />

represented by President and CEO Frederick Kempe, Brent Scowcroft Center Chairman James L. Jones, and Board of<br />

Directors Executive Vice Chair Stephen J. Hadley.<br />

[FROM TOP LEFT]<br />

Former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt accepts his Freedom Award; counterclockwise, US Senator Jeanne Shaheen<br />

and former National Security Advisor Stephen J. Hadley discuss America’s role in Europe; bottom left, Sławomir<br />

Sierakowski, leader of Krytyka Polityczna, presents a Freedom Award to film-maker Agnieszka Holland; bottom right,<br />

Roman Grynyuk (center) and law student Iryna Nahorniak stand with Ver Savchenko after, respectively, receiving<br />

Freedom Awards on behalf of Donetsk National University and Nadiya Savchenko, a Ukrainian military pilot imprisoned<br />

in Russia; right center, Garry Kasparov presents Boris Nemtsov’s posthumous Freedom Award to Nemtsov’s daughter,<br />

Zhanna Nemtsova; top right, Kulczyk Holding board member Jarosław Sroka and Atlantic Council board director Maciej<br />

Witucki walk to the Wrocław Global Forum welcome reception.<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


68<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

COMMUNITY OF INFLUENCE<br />

69<br />

COMMUNITY<br />

OF INFLUENCE<br />

Board of Directors<br />

70<br />

International Advisory Board<br />

71<br />

Honor Roll of Contributors<br />

72<br />

Financial Summary<br />

74<br />

By the Numbers & Word on the Street<br />

76<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


70 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SECTION COMMUNITY TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

OF INFLUENCE 71<br />

BOARD OF<br />

DIRECTORS<br />

List as of April 15, 2016<br />

*Executive Committee Members<br />

INTERNATIONAL<br />

ADVISORY BOARD<br />

List as of April 19, 2016<br />

CHAIRMAN<br />

Jon M. Huntsman, Jr.*<br />

CHAIRMAN, EMERITUS,<br />

INTERNATIONAL<br />

ADVISORY BOARD<br />

Brent Scowcroft<br />

PRESIDENT AND CEO<br />

Frederick Kempe*<br />

EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRS<br />

Adrienne Arsht*<br />

Stephen J. Hadley*<br />

VICE CHAIRS<br />

Robert J. Abernethy*<br />

Richard Edelman*<br />

C. Boyden Gray*<br />

George Lund*<br />

Virginia A. Mulberger*<br />

W. DeVier Pierson*<br />

John Studzinski*<br />

TREASURER<br />

Brian C. McK. Henderson*<br />

SECRETARY<br />

Walter B. Slocombe*<br />

DIRECTORS<br />

Stéphane Abrial<br />

Odeh Aburdene<br />

Peter Ackerman<br />

Timothy D. Adams<br />

Bertrand-Marc Allen<br />

John Allen<br />

Michael Andersson<br />

Michael Ansari<br />

Richard L. Armitage<br />

David D. Aufhauser<br />

Elizabeth F. Bagley<br />

Peter Bass<br />

Rafic Bizri*<br />

Dennis Blair<br />

Thomas L. Blair*<br />

Myron Brilliant<br />

Esther Brimmer<br />

R. Nicholas Burns*<br />

William J. Burns<br />

Richard R. Burt*<br />

Michael Calvey<br />

James E. Cartwright<br />

John E. Chapoton<br />

Ahmed Charai<br />

Sandra Charles<br />

Melanie Chen<br />

George Chopivsky<br />

Wesley K. Clark<br />

David W. Craig<br />

Ralph D. Crosby, Jr.*<br />

Nelson Cunningham<br />

Ivo H. Daalder<br />

Paula J. Dobriansky*<br />

Christopher J. Dodd<br />

Conrado Dornier<br />

Thomas J. Egan, Jr.<br />

Stuart E. Eizenstat*<br />

Thomas R. Eldridge<br />

Julie Finley<br />

Lawrence P. Fisher, II<br />

Alan H. Fleischmann<br />

Ronald M. Freeman*<br />

Laurie Fulton<br />

Courtney Geduldig<br />

Robert S. Gelbard*<br />

Thomas Glocer<br />

Sherri W. Goodman*<br />

Mikael Hagström<br />

Ian Hague<br />

Amir Handjani<br />

John D. Harris, II<br />

Frank Haun<br />

Michael V. Hayden<br />

Annette Heuser<br />

Karl Hopkins*<br />

Robert Hormats<br />

Miroslav Hornak<br />

Mary L. Howell*<br />

Wolfgang Ischinger<br />

Reuben Jeffery, III<br />

James L. Jones, Jr.*<br />

George A. Joulwan<br />

Lawrence S. Kanarek<br />

Stephen R. Kappes<br />

Maria Pica Karp<br />

Sean Kevelighan<br />

Zalmay M. Khalilzad<br />

Robert M. Kimmitt<br />

Henry A. Kissinger<br />

Franklin D. Kramer<br />

Philip Lader<br />

Richard L. Lawson*<br />

Jan M. Lodal*<br />

Jane Holl Lute<br />

William J. Lynn<br />

Izzat Majeed<br />

Wendy W. Makins<br />

Mian M. Mansha<br />

Gerardo Mato<br />

William E. Mayer<br />

Allan McArtor<br />

Eric D.K. Melby<br />

Franklin C. Miller<br />

James N. Miller<br />

Judith A. Miller*<br />

Alexander V. Mirtchev*<br />

Karl Moor<br />

Michael Morell<br />

Georgette Mosbacher<br />

Steve C. Nicandros<br />

Thomas R. Nides<br />

Franco Nuschese<br />

Joseph S. Nye<br />

Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg<br />

Sean O’Keefe<br />

Ahmet Oren<br />

Ana Palacio*<br />

Carlos Pascual<br />

Alan Pellegrini<br />

David Petraeus<br />

Thomas R. Pickering<br />

Daniel B. Poneman<br />

Daniel M. Price<br />

Arnold L. Punaro<br />

Robert Rangel<br />

Thomas J. Ridge<br />

Charles O. Rossotti<br />

Robert Rowland<br />

Harry Sachinis<br />

John P. Schmitz<br />

Brent Scowcroft<br />

Rajiv Shah<br />

Alan J. Spence<br />

James Stavridis<br />

Richard J.A. Steele<br />

Paula Stern*<br />

Robert J. Stevens<br />

John S. Tanner<br />

Ellen O. Tauscher*<br />

Karen Tramontano<br />

Clyde C. Tuggle<br />

Paul Twomey<br />

Melanne Verveer<br />

Enzo Viscusi<br />

Charles F. Wald<br />

Jay Walker<br />

Michael F. Walsh<br />

Mark R. Warner<br />

Maciej Witucki<br />

Neal S. Wolin<br />

Mary C. Yates<br />

Dov S. Zakheim<br />

HONORARY DIRECTORS<br />

David C. Acheson<br />

Madeleine K. Albright<br />

James A. Baker, III<br />

Harold Brown<br />

Frank C. Carlucci, III<br />

Robert M. Gates<br />

Michael G. Mullen<br />

Leon E. Panetta<br />

William J. Perry<br />

Colin L. Powell<br />

Condoleezza Rice<br />

Edward L. Rowny<br />

George P. Shultz<br />

John W. Warner<br />

William H. Webster<br />

LEADERSHIP<br />

Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, USAF (Ret.)<br />

Chairman<br />

International Advisory Board<br />

Governor Jon M. Huntsman, Jr.<br />

Chairman<br />

Atlantic Council<br />

Mr. Frederick Kempe<br />

President and CEO<br />

Atlantic Council<br />

Mr. Philippe Amon<br />

Chairman and CEO<br />

SICPA Holding SA<br />

Mr. Tewodros Ashenafi<br />

Founder, Chairman and CEO<br />

Southwest Energy<br />

H.E. Shaukat Aziz<br />

Former Prime Minister of Pakistan<br />

President José María Aznar<br />

Former Prime Minister of Spain<br />

H.E. Carl Bildt<br />

Former Prime Minister and Minister<br />

for Foreign Affairs of Sweden<br />

Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski<br />

Former National Security Advisor<br />

to US President Jimmy Carter<br />

Mr. Håkan Buskhe<br />

President and CEO<br />

SAAB AB<br />

Mr. Victor L.L. Chu<br />

Chairman and CEO<br />

First Eastern Investment Group<br />

Mr. Claudio Descalzi<br />

CEO<br />

Eni<br />

Mr. Markus Dohle<br />

CEO<br />

Penguin Random House<br />

Mr. Richard Edelman<br />

President and CEO<br />

Edelman<br />

Dr. Thomas Enders<br />

CEO<br />

Airbus Group<br />

Mr. Thomas A. Fanning<br />

Chairman, President, and CEO<br />

Southern Company<br />

Ms. Orit Gadiesh<br />

Chairman of the Board<br />

Bain & Company Inc.<br />

Dr. Jim Goodnight<br />

CEO<br />

SAS<br />

Mr. Mehmet N. Günal<br />

Founder, Chairman of the Board,<br />

and President<br />

MNG Holding A.S.<br />

The Hon. Charles T. Hagel<br />

Former US Secretary of Defense<br />

Mr. Bahaa R. Hariri<br />

Ms. Marillyn A. Hewson<br />

Chairman, President and CEO<br />

Lockheed Martin Corporation<br />

Mr. Muhtar Kent<br />

Chairman and CEO<br />

The Coca-Cola Company<br />

Dr. Jan Kulczyk<br />

Chairman of the Supervisory Board<br />

Kulczyk Holding SA<br />

President Aleksander Kwaśniewski<br />

Former President of Poland<br />

H.E. Jean-David Levitte<br />

Senior Diplomatic Adviser and Sherpa to<br />

Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy<br />

Mr. Alexey A. Mordashov<br />

Chairman and CEO<br />

Severstal<br />

Mr. Robert E. Moritz<br />

Chairman and Senior Partner<br />

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP<br />

Mr. Rupert Murdoch<br />

Executive Chairman<br />

21st Century Fox<br />

Mr. Paul Polman<br />

CEO<br />

Unilever<br />

The Rt. Hon. Lord Robertson of Port<br />

Ellen<br />

Former Secretary General<br />

of NATO<br />

Mr. Stephen A. Schwarzman<br />

Chairman, CEO, and Co-Founder<br />

The Blackstone Group<br />

Mr. Martin Senn<br />

CEO<br />

Zurich Insurance Group Ltd.<br />

Mr. James C. Smith<br />

President and CEO<br />

Thomson Reuters<br />

Sir Martin Sorrell<br />

Group Chief Executive<br />

WPP Group PLC<br />

Mr. Rob Speyer<br />

President and Co-CEO<br />

Tishman Speyer<br />

Dr. Lawrence Summers<br />

Former Director<br />

National Economic Council<br />

Mr. Jacob Wallenberg<br />

Chairman<br />

Investor AB<br />

Mr. John S. Watson<br />

Chairman and CEO<br />

Chevron Corporation<br />

Mr. John D. Wren<br />

President and CEO<br />

Omnicom Group<br />

Mr. Robert B. Zoellick<br />

Chairman, International Advisors<br />

Goldman Sachs<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


72 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

SECTION COMMUNITY TITLE/DESCRIPTION<br />

OF INFLUENCE 73<br />

2015<br />

HONOR ROLL OF CONTRIBUTORS<br />

ǂ denotes a sponsor of the 2015 Wrocław Global Forum<br />

◊ denotes a sponsor of the 2015 Energy & Economic Summit<br />

† deceased<br />

$1,000,000+<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Adrienne Arsht<br />

Bahaa Hariri<br />

Brent Scowcroft<br />

$250,000 - $999,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Airbusǂ<br />

Carnegie Corporation<br />

of New York<br />

Center for the Study of<br />

Democratic Insitutions<br />

Cheniere Energy, Inc.◊<br />

Melanie Chen<br />

Chevron◊<br />

Dentons LLP◊<br />

Frontera Resourcesǂ<br />

Government of Sweden<br />

Kingdom of Bahrain<br />

Lockheed Martin<br />

Corporationǂ<br />

MacArthur Foundation<br />

MAPA Group◊<br />

OCP Foundation<br />

Qualcomm Inc.<br />

Raytheonǂ<br />

Smith Richardson<br />

Foundation<br />

System Capital<br />

Management Ltd.◊<br />

Thomson Reuters<br />

Turkish Ministry of Energy<br />

& National Resources◊<br />

Ukrainian World Congress<br />

United States<br />

Department of State<br />

Zurich Insurance Group<br />

$100,000 - $249,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Actagon AB<br />

Asfari Foundation<br />

Bayat Group◊<br />

Bob Woodruff Foundation<br />

Borsa Istanbul◊<br />

Chopivsky Family<br />

Foundation<br />

ExxonMobil◊<br />

Government of Norway<br />

C. Boyden Gray<br />

Zalmay M. Khalilzad<br />

Alexander V. Mirtchev<br />

MNG Group of Companies<br />

Morganti Group, Inc<br />

NATO ACT<br />

Nevsun Resources<br />

Ploughshares Fund<br />

Rockefeller Brothers<br />

Fund, Inc.<br />

SAAB<br />

Skoll Global Imperatives<br />

Southern Companyǂ<br />

Talent of Nations<br />

TECRO<br />

Tenaris<br />

TOBB◊<br />

Tupras◊<br />

Türkiye Halk Bankası A.S.◊<br />

United for Africa’s<br />

Democratic Future<br />

Victor Pinchuk Foundation<br />

$50,000 - $99,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

21st Century Fox<br />

ACE Group Holding<br />

Peter Ackermanǂ<br />

ANA Holdings, Inc.<br />

Tewedros Ashenafi<br />

Attias Associates<br />

David Aufhauser<br />

Avista Capital Partners<br />

Azteca International<br />

Corporation<br />

Bruce Bedford<br />

BlackRock, Inc.<br />

Thomas L. Blair<br />

BP Petrolleri A.Ş.◊<br />

Calik Enerji Sanayi Ve<br />

Ticaret A.S.◊<br />

Patricia Cloherty<br />

DRS Technologies, Inc.<br />

Embassy of Latvia<br />

Engie<br />

Eni S.p.A.<br />

EU Commission<br />

European Union<br />

GE Ticaret◊<br />

Robert S. Gelbard<br />

Genel Energy◊<br />

Government of Lithuania<br />

Miroslav Hornak<br />

Inter-American<br />

Development Bank<br />

Krauss Maffei Wegmann<br />

McGraw Hill Financial<br />

Ministry of Finance of Japan<br />

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of<br />

the Republic of Cyprus<br />

Novartis International AG<br />

Open Society Foundations<br />

Ahmet Oren<br />

Pfizer<br />

PSJ, a.s.<br />

SAIC<br />

SGO Corporation Limited<br />

SICPA S.A.◊<br />

Tekfen İnşaat ve Tesisat A.Ş.◊<br />

Textron Inc.<br />

Thales USA<br />

The Blackstone Group<br />

The Coca-Cola Company<br />

ThyssenKrupp Marine<br />

Systems GmBHǂ<br />

Tishman Speyer<br />

Properties, LP<br />

Transatlantic Policy Network<br />

Türkerler İnşaat◊<br />

United States Navy<br />

US NATO<br />

Valero Energy Corporation<br />

$25,000 - $49,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Allianz Foundation for<br />

North America<br />

Allianz Sigorta A.S.◊<br />

Baker & McKenzie LLP<br />

Bank of America Corporation<br />

BP America<br />

Michael Calvey<br />

Caterpillar Inc.<br />

Centre for International<br />

Governance Innovation<br />

Deloitte Innovation<br />

Devon Energy Corporation<br />

Dornier Seawings AG<br />

Ekkou VPǂ◊<br />

Elbit Systems of America LLC<br />

Energy Capital Partners<br />

European Union Institute for<br />

Security Studies<br />

Facebookǂ<br />

First Eastern<br />

Investment Group<br />

Fluor Corporation<br />

Ronald Freeman<br />

Government of Finland<br />

Brian C. McK.Henderson<br />

Huntington Ingalls Industries<br />

Hunton & Williams<br />

Intel Security<br />

Endowment Fund<br />

L-3 Communications<br />

Leidos, Inc.<br />

LexisNexis Legal<br />

& Professional<br />

John Macomber<br />

Maroc Telematique<br />

Marsilli & Co. S.p.A.<br />

MBDA Incorporated<br />

McLarty Associates<br />

MetLife<br />

Ministry of Defense<br />

of Lithuania<br />

Moroccan-American<br />

Cultural Center<br />

Georgette Mosbacher<br />

Northrop Grumman<br />

Aerospace Systems<br />

Occidental Petroleum Corp.<br />

Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg<br />

Penguin Random House<br />

Pioneer Natural Resources<br />

Promo Financial Group<br />

Public Gas Corporation◊<br />

Renaissance Strategic<br />

Advisors<br />

Rigoni Di Asiago S.r.l.<br />

Rolls-Royce of North America<br />

Charles O. Rossotti<br />

RTI International Metals, Inc.<br />

Safran USA<br />

Sam’s Club<br />

SAS Institute, Inc.<br />

Sempra Energy<br />

Shell<br />

Skoll Foundation<br />

SOCAR Turkey Enerji A.Ş.◊<br />

Software & Information<br />

Industry Association<br />

Statoil<br />

John Studzinski<br />

Swedish Ministry of Defense<br />

T.C. BASB◊<br />

Temasek<br />

The Boeing Company<br />

Thyssen Petroleum◊<br />

Trans Adriatic Pipeline AG◊<br />

United States Air Force<br />

United States Army<br />

United States Marines<br />

US Chamber of Commerce<br />

Enzo Viscusi<br />

Timothy Walsh<br />

Ziraat Bank◊<br />

$10,000 - $24,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Baker, Donelson, Bearman,<br />

Caldwell & Berkowitz, PC<br />

Ioana Belu<br />

Bloomberg, L.P.<br />

Ghalib Bradosti<br />

Business Intelligence Unit<br />

Center for Communications,<br />

Health and the Environmentǂ<br />

John Chapoton<br />

Dow Chemical<br />

Joseph Duffey<br />

Edelman<br />

Richard Edelman<br />

EP Energy Corporation<br />

Alan H. Fleischmann<br />

Mary L Howell<br />

HSBC<br />

Reuben Jeffery<br />

Jones Walker LLP<br />

JPMorgan Chase & Co.<br />

Kimberly-Clark Corporation<br />

Franklin D. Kramer<br />

Kreabǂ<br />

Jan M. Lodal<br />

LVK Okul Egitim<br />

Ogretim Danism<br />

Lynx Investment Advisory<br />

Judith A. Miller<br />

Virginia A. Mulberger<br />

National Intelligence Council<br />

NATO<br />

W. DeVier Pierson<br />

Arnold Punaro<br />

Rockefeller & Co.<br />

Scowcroft Group<br />

Sequoia Foundation<br />

for Achievement in<br />

Arts and Education<br />

Starr Foundation<br />

Stephen Shapiro<br />

Shearman & Sterling LLP<br />

Ellen O. Tauscher<br />

Telefonica<br />

William & Flora<br />

Hewlett Foundation<br />

Jean-Louis Wolzfeld<br />

$5,000 - $9,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Odeh Aburdene<br />

Asan Institute For<br />

Policy Studies<br />

Avascent<br />

Peter Behr<br />

Rafic A. Bizri<br />

Byron Callan<br />

Sandra Charles<br />

CNA Corporation<br />

Columbia University School<br />

of International and<br />

Public Affairs<br />

Andrew Davis<br />

Deloitte Services<br />

Lacey Neuhaus Dorn<br />

Glenn Dunmire<br />

Embassy of Germany<br />

FedEx Corporation<br />

Francis Finelli<br />

Julie Finley<br />

Laurie Fulton<br />

Richard Gelfond<br />

Sherri Goodman<br />

Chris Griner<br />

Patrick Gross<br />

Stephen J. Hadley<br />

Michael V. Hayden<br />

Loren W. Hershey<br />

Hilton Worldwide<br />

Holdings, Inc.<br />

Robert D. Hormats<br />

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.<br />

Fred Kempe<br />

Robert M Kimmit<br />

Steven Klinsky<br />

Kongsberg Defense<br />

Systems Inc.<br />

Richard L. Lawson<br />

Debra Facktor Lepore<br />

Wendy W. Makins<br />

William E. Mayer<br />

Judith Miller<br />

Ministry of Foreign Affairs<br />

of Romania<br />

Joachim Mohn<br />

Thomas Nides<br />

Open Source Policy Center<br />

Michael Pillsbury<br />

David Rekhviashvili<br />

Scribe Strategies<br />

& Advisors<br />

Jeff Shell<br />

Jefferey Siegal<br />

Wayne T Smith<br />

Stroock & Stroock<br />

& Lavan LLP<br />

Symantec Corporation<br />

ThermoFisher Scientific<br />

Paul Twomey<br />

Harlan Ullman<br />

Charles F. Wald<br />

John C. Whitehead†<br />

Dov S. Zakheim<br />

$1,000 - $4,999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

Timothy D. Adams<br />

Spindrift Al Swaidi<br />

John Allen<br />

Victor Ashe<br />

Lisa B. Barry<br />

Margaret Bennett<br />

Harold Brown<br />

R. Nicholas Burns<br />

James Cartwright<br />

Central Europe<br />

Energy Partners<br />

Roger Cliff<br />

Peter Cunniffe<br />

Ivo H. Daalder<br />

Daimler◊<br />

Christopher J. Dodd<br />

Stuart E. Eizenstat<br />

Lawrence P. Fisher II<br />

Andrew D. Frank<br />

Paul R.S. Gebhard<br />

Richard Grove<br />

Hinkley Institute<br />

James Hudson<br />

Brian Hunter<br />

Robert E. Hunter<br />

William Hybl<br />

George A Joulwan<br />

Stephen R. Kappes<br />

Geraldine Kunstadter<br />

Matthew Lauer<br />

Jane Lute<br />

Eric D.K. Melby<br />

Mark Meyer<br />

Franklin C. Miller<br />

James Miller<br />

Fay Moghtader<br />

George E. Moose<br />

Michael J. Morell<br />

Eugene L. Nardelli<br />

Joseph Nye<br />

Philip A. Odeen<br />

Sean O’Keefe<br />

Maureen Orth<br />

Raul Perea-Henze<br />

Thomas R. Pickering<br />

Philip Pilevsky<br />

Daniel Price<br />

Komei Sakai<br />

Sandia National<br />

Laboratories<br />

Steven E. Schmidt<br />

Walter B. Slocombe<br />

Paula Stern<br />

John S. Tanner<br />

Alex Tiersky<br />

University of California<br />

at Los Angeles<br />

Sezen Uysal<br />

Philip Verveer<br />

Charles Wald<br />

Don Wallace Jr.<br />

Maureen White<br />

James Wildman<br />

Damon M. Wilson<br />

Mary C. Yates<br />

UP TO $999<br />

DONATIONS<br />

AIPAC<br />

Peter Ajak<br />

America To Africa, LLC<br />

Stuart Archer<br />

Katharine Baker<br />

Randolph Bell<br />

Jordan Blashek<br />

Adam Brenner<br />

Mark Brunner<br />

David Buffaloe<br />

Keith Ross Butler<br />

Center for Euro-<br />

Atlantic Studies<br />

Center For A New<br />

American Security<br />

Frances D. Cook<br />

Lauren Culver<br />

Milan Dalal<br />

James De Francia<br />

Rob de Wijk<br />

Aaron Dowd<br />

Ashlee Godwin<br />

Bharath Gopalaswamy<br />

Faruk Baturalp Gunay<br />

Gokhan Gundogdu<br />

John Haederle<br />

Scott Harris<br />

Marten Van Heuven<br />

Brittany Heyd<br />

Adam Hitchcock<br />

Jeffrey Hoffman<br />

International Center on<br />

Nonviolent Conflict<br />

Jefferson Waterman<br />

International<br />

Walter Juraszek<br />

Zuhair Khan<br />

Henry A. Kissinger<br />

Kurt J. Klingenberger<br />

David Koranyi<br />

Dana Linnet<br />

Malcolm Lovell<br />

Gerhard Mally<br />

Margarita Mathiopoulos<br />

Jeff McLean<br />

Mercury LLC<br />

Jelena Milic<br />

Jordane Millot<br />

Blazej Lech Moder<br />

Bill Monahan<br />

Andrea Montanino<br />

Powell Moore<br />

Richard Morningstar<br />

Douglas Morrison<br />

James Morrison<br />

Terence Murphy<br />

Amir Nayeri<br />

Aarya Nijat<br />

Eileen O’Connor<br />

Rita O’Connor<br />

David Oliver Jr.<br />

Christian Paasch<br />

Walter Parchomenko<br />

David Pendall<br />

Yannis Perlepes<br />

Charles Alan Peyser<br />

J. Peter Pham<br />

Francis Ricciardone<br />

Christina Rocca<br />

Barbara Opall-Rome<br />

Daniel Russell<br />

Mark Schwendler<br />

Kimberly Shaw<br />

Shahrooz Shekaraubi<br />

Mark Simakovsky<br />

Saju Skaria<br />

Kiron Skinner<br />

Richard James Sladden<br />

Pamela Smith<br />

Pamela H. Smith<br />

Daniel Speckhard<br />

Matthew Spence<br />

Walter E. Stadtler<br />

Patick Stephenson<br />

Francesco Stipo<br />

Frank Tapparo<br />

Julie Varghese<br />

Leigh Warner<br />

Stephen Whisnant<br />

Ralph Winnie<br />

John Woodworth<br />

Samuel Zega<br />

Jonathan Zittrain<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


74 ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

FINANCIAL SUMMARY 75<br />

2015<br />

FINANCIAL SUMMARY<br />

REVENUE<br />

Unrestricted<br />

Temporarily<br />

Restricted 2015 Total 2014 Total Growth<br />

Individual Contributions $ 1,312,247 $ 7,827,198 $ 9,139,445 $ 8,974,134<br />

Corporate Support 2,145,365 8,542,154 10,687,519 8,535,036<br />

Foundations - 2,650,493 2,650,493 1,605,324<br />

Grants and Contracts - 2,776,931 2,776,931 3,877,609<br />

In-kind Contributed Services and Materials 578,563 - 578,563 145,498<br />

Events and Other Revenue 49,720 - 49,720 68,286<br />

Investment Return Designated for Operations 364,020 471,827 835,847 571,559<br />

Net Assets Released from Restrictions 20,306,391 (20,306,391) - -<br />

TOTAL REVENUE $ 24,756,306 $ 1,962,212 $ 26,718,518 $ 23,777,446 +12.4%<br />

OPERATING EXPENSES<br />

Program/Center Services:<br />

Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center $ 1,573,458 $ - $ 1,573,458 $ 1,565,667<br />

Africa Center 870,015 - 870,015 879,109<br />

Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security 6,076,893 - 6,076,893 5,547,366<br />

Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center 3,525,129 - 3,525,129 2,914,640<br />

Future Europe Initiative 1,509,306 - 1,509,306 1,013,367<br />

Global Business & Economics Program 814,004 - 814,004 569,251<br />

Global Energy Center 1,047,458 - 1,047,458 761,061<br />

Millennium Leadership Program 683,777 - 683,777 787,595<br />

Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East 3,463,025 - 3,463,025 3,090,509<br />

South Asia Center 1,391,578 - 1,391,578 1,028,486<br />

Total Program/Center Service Expenses $ 20,954,643 - $ 20,954,643 $ 18,157,051<br />

Supporting Services:<br />

Combined Statement of Activities<br />

and Statement of Financial Position<br />

Years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014<br />

2015 totals are preliminary and unaudited<br />

Management and General $ 2,889,409 $ - $ 2,889,409 $ 3,249,093<br />

Fundraising 720,467 - 720,467 452,052<br />

Total Supporting Service Expenses 3,609,876 - 3,609,876 3,701,145<br />

ASSETS 2015 2014<br />

Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 3,384,531 $ 4,382,443<br />

Contributions and Grants Receivable 6,394,608 4,952,344<br />

Prepaid Expenses and Other 151,345 351,142<br />

Fixed Assets 5,679,827 6,164,932<br />

Investments 17,964,151 16,876,109<br />

TOTAL ASSETS $ 33,574,462 $ 32,726,970<br />

LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS<br />

Liabilities:<br />

Accounts Payable $ 785,041 $ 615,651<br />

Accrued Vacation 421,709 300,199<br />

Deferred Revenue 335,000 926,327<br />

Capital Lease Obligation 74,923 102,280<br />

Deferred Rent 5,507,520 5,583,027<br />

Other Long Term Liabilities 82,823 53,189<br />

Total Liabilities $ 7,207,016 $ 7,580,673<br />

Net Assets:<br />

Unrestricted 5,678,113 5,877,693<br />

Temporarily Restricted 20,689,333 19,268,604<br />

Total Net Assets $ 26,367,446 $ 25,146,297<br />

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS $ 33,574,462 $ 32,726,970<br />

DIVERSITY OF SUPPORT, REVENUE BY SOURCE<br />

40%<br />

10%<br />

11%<br />

2%<br />

3%<br />

34%<br />

Grants and Contracts<br />

In-kind Contributed<br />

Services and Materials<br />

Investment Return<br />

Designated for Operations<br />

Individual Contribution<br />

Corporate Support<br />

Foundations<br />

SUSTAINABILITY FOR THE FUTURE, ASSETS BY TYPE<br />

54%<br />

10%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

Cash and Cash Equivalents<br />

Contributions and Grants<br />

Receivable<br />

Fixed Assets<br />

Investments<br />

Total Operating Expenses $ 24,564,519 $ - $ 24,564,519 $ 21,858,196 +12.4%<br />

CHANGE IN NET ASSETS BEFORE<br />

NON-OPERATING ACTIVITIES<br />

NON-OPERATING ACTIVITIES<br />

$ 191,787 $ 1,962,212 $ 2,153,999 $ 1,919,250 +12.2%<br />

Investment Income $ (27,347) $ (69,656) $ (97,003) $ 716,780<br />

Investment Return Utilized for Operations (364,020) (471,827) (835,847) (571,559)<br />

A DECADE OF REVENUE AND ASSET GROWTH (IN MILLIONS)<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

Revenue<br />

Revenue Trend<br />

Assets<br />

Change in Net Assets (199,580) 1,420,729 1,221,149 2,064,471<br />

15<br />

Net Assets at Beginning of Year $ 5,877,693 $ 19,268,604 $ 25,146,297 $ 23,081,826<br />

10<br />

5<br />

NET ASSETS AT END OF YEAR $ 5,678,113 $ 20,689,333 $ 26,367,446 $ 25,146,297 +4.9%<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />

atlanticcouncil.org


76<br />

ATLANTIC COUNCIL 2015 <strong>ANNUAL</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong><br />

CREDITS & ATTRIBUTIONS<br />

BY THE NUMBERS &<br />

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IMPLEMENTING THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL<br />

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THE ROAD AHEAD FOR TPP: MICHAEL FROMAN<br />

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