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Demos-Nothing-To-Fear-But-Fear-Itself

Demos-Nothing-To-Fear-But-Fear-Itself

1 Great Britain Polonski

1 Great Britain Polonski V, ‘Impact of social media on the outcome of the EU referendum’, EU Referendum Analysis 2016, nd, www. referendumanalysis.eu/eu-referendum-analysis-2016/section-7- social-media/impact-of-social-media-on-the-outcome-of-the-eureferendum/ (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Prosser C, Mellon J and Green J, ‘What mattered most to you when deciding how to vote in the EU referendum?’, British Election Study, 11 Jul 2016, www.britishelectionstudy.com/ bes-findings/what-mattered-most-to-you-when-deciding-howto-vote-in-the-eu-referendum/#.WH3E2_mLSM9 (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Reuters Institute, ‘Study shows that majority of press coverage in EU referendum campaign was heavily skewed in favour of Brexit in first months of campaign’, press release, 20 May 2016, http://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/studyshows-majority-press-coverage-eu-referendum-campaign-washeavily-skewed-favour-brexit (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Rodrik D, ‘The inescapable trilemma of the world economy’, Dani Rodrik’s weblog, 27 Jun 2007, http://rodrik.typepad. com/dani_rodriks_weblog/2007/06/the-inescapable.html (accessed 16 Jan 2017). Runciman D, ‘A win for “proper people”?: Brexit as a rejection of the networked world?’, Juncture. 23, no 1, 2016, http:// onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.2050-5876.2016.00886.x/ epdf (accessed 16 Jan 2017). Runciman D, ‘How the education gap is tearing politics apart’, Guardian, 5 Oct 2016, www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/ oct/05/trump-brexit-education-gap-tearing-politics-apart (accessed 16 Jan 2017). Sloam J, ‘The generation gap: how young voters view the UK’s referendum’, blog, EUROPP, 7 Apr 2016, http://blogs. lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2016/04/07/the-generation-gap-howyoung-voters-view-the-uks-referendum/ (accessed 16 Jan 2017).

125 Stokes B, ‘Euroskepticism beyond Brexit: significant opposition in key European countries to an ever closer EU’, Pew Research Center, 7 Jun 2016, www.pewglobal. org/2016/06/07/euroskepticism-beyond-brexit/ (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Stubager R, ‘Education effects on authoritarian-libertarian values: a question of socialization’, British Journal of Sociology 59, no 2, 2008, pp 327–50, www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/ pubmed/18498598 (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Toynbee P, ‘Brexit supporters have unleashed furies even they can’t control’, Guardian, 13 Jun 2016, www.theguardian.com/ commentisfree/2016/jun/13/brexit-supporters-leave-vote-right (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Williams R, ‘Using the margins command to estimate and interpret adjusted predictions and marginal effects’, Stata Journal 12, no 2, 2012, pp 308–31, www.econ.uzh.ch/dam/ jcr:00000000-5766-84b0-ffff-ffffa80635e1/sj12-2.pdf#page=148 (accessed 17 Jan 2017). Wright D and Case R, ‘Leave voters felt ignored and left behind as post-Brexit poll reveals extent of economic division across UK’, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 15 Jul 2016, www.jrf. org.uk/press/leave-voters-felt-ignored-and-left-behind-brexitpoll (accessed 17 Jan 2017). YouGov, ‘Today Programme survey results’, 13–14 Jun 2016, http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/ document/x4iynd1mn7/TodayResults_160614_ EUReferendum_W.pdf (accessed 17 Jan 2017).

  • Page 1:

    “ Mapping and responding to the r

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    First published in 2017 © Demos. S

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    Open access. Some rights reserved.

  • Page 11 and 12:

    11 Foreword Nothing to Fear but Fea

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    13 FORES in Sweden, the Institute o

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    15 rising tide that cuts across tra

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    17 diversity), and political leader

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    19 trends in Austria, where the Fre

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    21 refugees of ‘bringing in all k

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    23 themselves embodying the fear of

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    25 ‘wrong-headed doctrine’, and

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    27 While the Central European case

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    29 Europe, but the politics of fear

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    31 of European identity - attachmen

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    33 Euroscepticism In every country,

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    35 Figure 2 Views of respondents in

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    37 Political trust We also asked ou

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    39 significantly less support in th

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    41 - internationally and intranatio

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    43 els/soc/OECD2014-Social-Expendit

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    45 25 R Wodak and S Boukala, ‘Eur

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    47 References ‘Denmark suspends q

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    49 European Commission, Standard Eu

  • Page 51 and 52:

    1 Great Britain - ‘It’s who you

  • Page 53 and 54:

    53 1 What we already know about Bre

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    55 compared with 59 per cent of tho

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    57 This leads the authors to conclu

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    59 think it is vital to let Europea

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    61 between areas hit hardest by aus

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    63 wealthy towns in the south of En

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    65 Similarly strong predictive powe

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    67 Anti-immigrant sentiment In addi

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    69 External and campaign factors Th

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    71 One caveat of this research is t

  • Page 73 and 74: 73 vote (and indeed on populism in
  • Page 75 and 76: 75 As part of this project, we comm
  • Page 77 and 78: 77 Table 1 Predicted probability of
  • Page 79 and 80: 79 neighbourhood levels of deprivat
  • Page 81 and 82: 81 Social networks Most important f
  • Page 83 and 84: 83 Table 3 Predicted probability of
  • Page 85 and 86: 85 Over recent decades the world ha
  • Page 87 and 88: 87 significance of demographic vari
  • Page 89 and 90: 89 ·· relative employment depriva
  • Page 91 and 92: 91 Variable Scale Explanatory or re
  • Page 93 and 94: 93 regardless of the possible impor
  • Page 95 and 96: 95 Table 6 Brexit model with socdif
  • Page 97 and 98: 97 Table 8 Brexit model with attitu
  • Page 99 and 100: 99 Table 10 Brexit model with attit
  • Page 101 and 102: 101 Table 12 Brexit model with atti
  • Page 103 and 104: 103 Table 14 Brexit model with atti
  • Page 105 and 106: 105 Table 16 Brexit model with pref
  • Page 107 and 108: 107 Notes 1 D Runciman, ‘A win fo
  • Page 109 and 110: 109 org/2016/07/brexit-vote-boosts-
  • Page 111 and 112: 111 29 Jun 2016, http://bruegel.org
  • Page 113 and 114: 113 53 R Stubager, ‘Education eff
  • Page 115 and 116: 115 71 Ashcroft, ‘How the United
  • Page 117 and 118: 117 84 Goodwin and Heath, ‘Brexit
  • Page 119 and 120: 119 Bell T, ‘The referendum, livi
  • Page 121 and 122: 121 brexit-and-the-left-behind-thes
  • Page 123: 123 Katwala S, Rutter J and Balling
  • Page 128 and 129: Contents Summary Introduction 1 Fea
  • Page 130 and 131: Introduction 2 France Fear exists i
  • Page 132 and 133: 2 France of reasons. It affects how
  • Page 134 and 135: 2 France impetus that originates in
  • Page 136 and 137: 2 France Another illustration of Fr
  • Page 138 and 139: 2 France Figure 2 Responses by surv
  • Page 140 and 141: 2 France Slightly more French peopl
  • Page 142 and 143: 2 France The situation in Poland, f
  • Page 144 and 145: 2 France Figure 6 Responses by surv
  • Page 146 and 147: 2 France Figure 8 Responses by surv
  • Page 148 and 149: 2 France 2 Elections at a time of p
  • Page 150 and 151: 2 France These results are particul
  • Page 152 and 153: 2 France Figure 11 Responses by sur
  • Page 154 and 155: 2 France One of the parties that is
  • Page 156 and 157: 2 France the idea of ‘plain speak
  • Page 158 and 159: 2 France The fact that these two is
  • Page 160 and 161: 2 France Figure 17 Responses by sur
  • Page 162 and 163: 2 France As in the YouGov survey, D
  • Page 164 and 165: 2 France Conclusion: the need to pu
  • Page 166 and 167: 2 France Notes 1 F Furedi, ‘The p
  • Page 168 and 169: 2 France 15 A de Montigny, ‘Selon
  • Page 170 and 171: 2 France 31 On this topic, see Y Be
  • Page 172 and 173: 2 France urgence-conduit-a-des-abus
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    Vie Publique, ‘Trente ans de lég

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    Contents Summary Introduction Metho

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    3 Germany politicians have difficul

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    3 Germany among the German public s

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    Methodology 3 Germany To further th

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    3 Germany Figure 1 Areas represente

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    3 Germany Taking a closer look at t

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    3 Germany When looking at all the c

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    3 Germany with different demographi

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    3 Germany Figure 7 Fears of respond

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    3 Germany feeling of insecurity ont

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    3 Germany Insight 3: Concerns about

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    3 Germany of the politicians interv

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    3 Germany Figure 11 Fears of respon

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    3 Germany I haven’t heard anyone

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    3 Germany Figure 13 Fears of respon

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    3 Germany issues that are the EU’

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    3 Germany are able to draw on compa

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    Conclusions 3 Germany Using the lat

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    3 Germany concerns and alleviating

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    3 Germany Provide avenues for knowl

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    3 Germany public-elite comparisons

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    3 Germany ·· €1,351-1,660 ··

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    3 Germany ·· Q5. Which of the fol

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    3 Germany a Angela Merkel b The Ger

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    3 Germany 6 T Lochocki, The Unstopp

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    3 Germany European Parliament, Stan

  • Page 228 and 229:

    Contents Introduction 1 Migration,

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    4 Spain 1 Migration, economic crisi

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    4 Spain During the rapid economic e

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    4 Spain Figure 4 GDP (adjusted for

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    4 Spain Figure 8 Household expendit

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    4 Spain In short, high levels of mi

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    4 Spain of them also illiberal, wer

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    4 Spain Figure 9 The proportion of

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    4 Spain This Europeanism presents i

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    4 Spain Table 3 The views of respon

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    4 Spain The acceptance of globalisa

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    4 Spain Figure 13 The views of resp

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    4 Spain Increased acceptance of dif

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    4 Spain Table 7 The percentage of r

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    4 Spain Figure 15 Views of responde

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    4 Spain Table 9 The extent to which

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    4 Spain Table 10 Respondents’ vie

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    4 Spain are most inclined to vote f

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    4 Spain 3 Electoral and party polit

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    4 Spain The extreme right was disco

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    4 Spain towns, although none of the

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    4 Spain emphasising unity and the l

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    4 Spain cradles of successful natio

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    4 Spain of the population supportin

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    4 Spain Appendix 2: Results of the

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Notes 1 Jose Pablo Martíne

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    4 Spain Material deprivation covers

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    4 Spain 23 European Commission, Sta

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    4 Spain See Centro de Investigacion

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    4 Spain European Commission, ‘Pub

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    4 Spain INE, ‘Padrón municipal

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    4 Spain paper presented at the 12th

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    Contents Summary Introduction 1 Soc

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    5 Poland Introduction - what happen

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    5 Poland the Hungarian political sc

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    5 Poland the Law and Justice party,

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    5 Poland giving the winner an absol

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    5 Poland and to tire out the domest

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    5 Poland 1 Social cohesion and econ

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    5 Poland and an inflow of European

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    5 Poland The second factor is the p

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    5 Poland seems economic indicators

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    5 Poland occupational qualification

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    5 Poland Table 2 Respondents’ ans

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    5 Poland Table 3 Respondents’ vie

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    5 Poland Despite the generally posi

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    5 Poland not the Law and Justice pa

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    5 Poland or immigrants from Arab co

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    5 Poland Post-election developments

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    5 Poland 3 Social conservatism and

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    5 Poland women’s empowerment, LGB

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    5 Poland women’s access to legal

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    5 Poland commentators did not expec

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    5 Poland Conclusions - resilience a

  • Page 348 and 349:

    5 Poland The rise of authoritarian

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    5 Poland Notes 1 YouGov surveyed ad

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    5 Poland Since then, the near absen

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    5 Poland 24 World Bank, ‘GINI ind

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    5 Poland European Union’, Standar

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    5 Poland migrants-asylum-poland-kac

  • Page 360 and 361:

    5 Poland 67 In 1993 60 per cent sup

  • Page 362 and 363:

    5 Poland 82 Fomina and Kucharczyk,

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    5 Poland Boguszewski R, ‘Nastroje

  • Page 366 and 367:

    5 Poland Faiola A, ‘In Poland, a

  • Page 368 and 369:

    5 Poland Kucharczyk J and Zbieranek

  • Page 370 and 371:

    5 Poland Public Opinion Research, 2

  • Page 373 and 374:

    6 Sweden - Sweden: the immigration

  • Page 375 and 376:

    375 Introduction In Swedish migrati

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    377 migrants came mainly as family

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    379 Citizens from outside the EU ar

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    381 2018 elections. The Sweden Demo

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    383 Figure 3 The proportion of Swed

  • Page 385 and 386:

    385 science: national identity is t

  • Page 387 and 388:

    387 During the refugee crisis of 20

  • Page 389 and 390:

    389 and immigrants even when suppos

  • Page 391 and 392:

    391 2 Analysis and results The main

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    393 she suggested that the ‘migra

  • Page 395 and 396:

    395 emphasised, this crisis came ac

  • Page 397 and 398:

    397 directed towards Swedishness in

  • Page 399 and 400:

    399 which leads voters to connect S

  • Page 401 and 402:

    401 exclusively of people with a ci

  • Page 403 and 404:

    403 Table 3 confirms the findings i

  • Page 405 and 406:

    405 Summary and discussion During 2

  • Page 407 and 408:

    407 rhetoric of the Christian Democ

  • Page 409 and 410:

    409 6 Migrationsverket, ‘Asylsök

  • Page 411 and 412:

    411 22 H Oscarsson and A Bergström

  • Page 413 and 414:

    413 37 P Mouritsen and TV Olsen,

  • Page 415 and 416:

    415 References ‘Historiskt högt

  • Page 417 and 418:

    417 Jenkins R, Social Identity, Lon

  • Page 419 and 420:

    419 Regeringskansliet, ‘Regeringe

  • Page 421 and 422:

    7 Responding to the politics of fea

  • Page 423 and 424:

    423 Introduction This project has i

  • Page 425 and 426:

    425 In responding to the current fe

  • Page 427 and 428:

    427 in facilitated discussion to es

  • Page 429 and 430:

    429 2 Reconnect ‘political elites

  • Page 431 and 432:

    431 background is also central to r

  • Page 433 and 434:

    433 Boost the accountability of EU

  • Page 435 and 436:

    435 3 Make the case for openness an

  • Page 437 and 438:

    437 communities and country’s pla

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    439 1.8 million signatures, predomi

  • Page 441 and 442:

    441 4 Counter post-truth narratives

  • Page 443 and 444:

    443 organisation’ 30 - including

  • Page 445 and 446:

    445 - whether through public policy

  • Page 447 and 448:

    447 8 C Malmström, ‘Shaping glob

  • Page 449 and 450:

    449 24 J Haidt, ‘The ethics of gl

  • Page 451 and 452:

    451 References Arthur J and Kristj

  • Page 453 and 454:

    453 European Ombudsman, ‘Ombudsma

  • Page 455 and 456:

    Demos - License to Publish The work

  • Page 457 and 458:

    This project is supported by The ca

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