“ Mapping and responding to the r

First published in 2017 © Demos. S

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11 Foreword Nothing to Fear but Fea

13 FORES in Sweden, the Institute o

15 rising tide that cuts across tra

17 diversity), and political leader

19 trends in Austria, where the Fre

21 refugees of ‘bringing in all k

23 themselves embodying the fear of

25 ‘wrong-headed doctrine’, and

27 While the Central European case

29 Europe, but the politics of fear

31 of European identity - attachmen

33 Euroscepticism In every country,

35 Figure 2 Views of respondents in

37 Political trust We also asked ou

39 significantly less support in th

41 - internationally and intranatio

43 els/soc/OECD2014-Social-Expendit

45 25 R Wodak and S Boukala, ‘Eur

47 References ‘Denmark suspends q

49 European Commission, Standard Eu

1 Great Britain - ‘It’s who you

53 1 What we already know about Bre

55 compared with 59 per cent of tho

57 This leads the authors to conclu

59 think it is vital to let Europea

61 between areas hit hardest by aus

63 wealthy towns in the south of En

65 Similarly strong predictive powe

67 Anti-immigrant sentiment In addi

69 External and campaign factors Th

71 One caveat of this research is t

73 vote (and indeed on populism in

75 As part of this project, we comm

77 Table 1 Predicted probability of

79 neighbourhood levels of deprivat

81 Social networks Most important f

83 Table 3 Predicted probability of

85 Over recent decades the world ha

87 significance of demographic vari

89 ·· relative employment depriva

91 Variable Scale Explanatory or re

93 regardless of the possible impor

95 Table 6 Brexit model with socdif

97 Table 8 Brexit model with attitu

99 Table 10 Brexit model with attit

101 Table 12 Brexit model with atti

103 Table 14 Brexit model with atti

105 Table 16 Brexit model with pref

107 Notes 1 D Runciman, ‘A win fo

109 org/2016/07/brexit-vote-boosts-

111 29 Jun 2016, http://bruegel.org

113 53 R Stubager, ‘Education eff

115 71 Ashcroft, ‘How the United

117 84 Goodwin and Heath, ‘Brexit

3 Germany ·· Q5. Which of the fol

3 Germany a Angela Merkel b The Ger

3 Germany 6 T Lochocki, The Unstopp

3 Germany European Parliament, Stan

Contents Introduction 1 Migration,

4 Spain 1 Migration, economic crisi

4 Spain During the rapid economic e

4 Spain Figure 4 GDP (adjusted for

4 Spain Figure 8 Household expendit

4 Spain In short, high levels of mi

4 Spain of them also illiberal, wer

4 Spain Figure 9 The proportion of

4 Spain This Europeanism presents i

4 Spain Table 3 The views of respon

4 Spain The acceptance of globalisa

4 Spain Figure 13 The views of resp

4 Spain Increased acceptance of dif

4 Spain Table 7 The percentage of r

4 Spain Figure 15 Views of responde

4 Spain Table 9 The extent to which

4 Spain Table 10 Respondents’ vie

4 Spain are most inclined to vote f

4 Spain 3 Electoral and party polit

4 Spain The extreme right was disco

4 Spain towns, although none of the

4 Spain emphasising unity and the l

4 Spain cradles of successful natio

4 Spain of the population supportin

4 Spain Appendix 2: Results of the

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

4 Spain Notes 1 Jose Pablo Martíne

4 Spain Material deprivation covers

4 Spain 23 European Commission, Sta

4 Spain See Centro de Investigacion

4 Spain European Commission, ‘Pub

4 Spain INE, ‘Padrón municipal

4 Spain paper presented at the 12th

Contents Summary Introduction 1 Soc

5 Poland Introduction - what happen

5 Poland the Hungarian political sc

5 Poland the Law and Justice party,

5 Poland giving the winner an absol

5 Poland and to tire out the domest

5 Poland 1 Social cohesion and econ

5 Poland and an inflow of European

5 Poland The second factor is the p

5 Poland seems economic indicators

5 Poland occupational qualification

5 Poland Table 2 Respondents’ ans

5 Poland Table 3 Respondents’ vie

5 Poland Despite the generally posi

5 Poland not the Law and Justice pa

5 Poland or immigrants from Arab co

5 Poland Post-election developments

5 Poland 3 Social conservatism and

5 Poland women’s empowerment, LGB

5 Poland women’s access to legal

5 Poland commentators did not expec

5 Poland Conclusions - resilience a

5 Poland The rise of authoritarian

5 Poland Notes 1 YouGov surveyed ad

5 Poland Since then, the near absen

5 Poland 24 World Bank, ‘GINI ind

5 Poland European Union’, Standar

5 Poland migrants-asylum-poland-kac

5 Poland 67 In 1993 60 per cent sup

5 Poland 82 Fomina and Kucharczyk,

5 Poland Boguszewski R, ‘Nastroje

5 Poland Faiola A, ‘In Poland, a

5 Poland Kucharczyk J and Zbieranek

5 Poland Public Opinion Research, 2

6 Sweden - Sweden: the immigration

375 Introduction In Swedish migrati

377 migrants came mainly as family

379 Citizens from outside the EU ar

381 2018 elections. The Sweden Demo

383 Figure 3 The proportion of Swed

385 science: national identity is t

387 During the refugee crisis of 20

389 and immigrants even when suppos

391 2 Analysis and results The main

393 she suggested that the ‘migra

395 emphasised, this crisis came ac

397 directed towards Swedishness in

399 which leads voters to connect S

401 exclusively of people with a ci

403 Table 3 confirms the findings i

405 Summary and discussion During 2

407 rhetoric of the Christian Democ

409 6 Migrationsverket, ‘Asylsök

411 22 H Oscarsson and A Bergström

413 37 P Mouritsen and TV Olsen,

415 References ‘Historiskt högt

417 Jenkins R, Social Identity, Lon

419 Regeringskansliet, ‘Regeringe

7 Responding to the politics of fea

423 Introduction This project has i

425 In responding to the current fe

427 in facilitated discussion to es

429 2 Reconnect ‘political elites

431 background is also central to r

433 Boost the accountability of EU

435 3 Make the case for openness an

437 communities and country’s pla

439 1.8 million signatures, predomi

441 4 Counter post-truth narratives

443 organisation’ 30 - including

445 - whether through public policy

447 8 C Malmström, ‘Shaping glob

449 24 J Haidt, ‘The ethics of gl

451 References Arthur J and Kristj

453 European Ombudsman, ‘Ombudsma

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