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DEMJ5104_nothing_to_fear_report_140217_WEBv1

DEMJ5104_nothing_to_fear_report_140217_WEBv1

1 Great Britain Table 17

1 Great Britain Table 17 Brexit model with attitudes to international cooperation (cooperate vs put Britain first or neither) leave Coef. Robust Std. Err. z P>¦ z ¦ (95% Conf. Interval) age3 25–34 1.379287 0.6733361 2.05 0.041 0.0595726 2.699001 35–44 1.992022 0.6748388 2.95 0.003 0.6693624 3.314682 45–54 1.74318 0.6168398 2.83 0.005 0.5341962 2.952164 55–64 2.073719 0.6218387 3.33 0.001 0.8549376 3.292501 65+ 1.956028 0.6169567 3.17 0.002 0.7468149 3.165241 education1 -0.4762585 0.0957761 -4.97 0 -0.6639762 -0.2885408 1.white 1.333426 0.9042877 1.47 0.14 -0.4389456 3.105797 religion1 Christian 0.4710541 0.2645078 1.78 0.075 -0.0473717 0.9894799 other religion 0.4631358 0.561161 0.83 0.409 -0.6367195 1.562991 1.ruralla 0.529269 0.2837055 1.87 0.062 -0.0267835 1.085322 incomenom1 under £1,520pm -0.5186517 0.4428839 -1.17 0.242 -1.386688 0.3493847 over £3,160 -2.22161 0.7465685 -2.98 0.003 -3.684857 -0.7583628 male male -0.3040613 0.3611871 -0.84 0.4 -1.011975 0.4038524 socdifcountry yes -1.012278 0.3602688 -2.81 0.005 -1.718392 -0.3061645 incomenom1#socdifcountry under £1,520pm#yes -0.4153401 0.5363815 -0.77 0.439 -1.466629 0.6359484 over £3,160#yes 2.057513 0.77995 2.64 0.008 0.5288393 3.586187 incomenom1#male under £1,520pm#male 0.7906286 0.5381362 1.47 0.142 -0.264099 1.845356 over £3,160#male 1.188076 0.7048558 1.69 0.092 -0.193416 2.569568 intcoop cooperate -3.048002 0.2589008 -11.77 0 -3.555439 -2.540566 _cons 0.2723731 1.082688 0.25 0.801 -1.849656 2.394402 Logistic Regression Number of obs = 669 Wald chi2(20) = 215.41 Prob > chi2 = 0 Log pseudolikelihood = -237.71372 Pseudo R2 = 0.4467

107 Notes 1 D Runciman, ‘A win for “proper people”?: Brexit as a rejection of the networked world?’, Juncture. 23, no 1, 2016, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.2050- 5876.2016.00886.x/epdf (accessed 16 Jan 2017). 2 D Rodrik, ‘The inescapable trilemma of the world economy’, Dani Rodrik’s weblog, 27 Jun 2007, http:// rodrik.typepad.com/dani_rodriks_weblog/2007/06/theinescapable.html (accessed 16 Jan 2017). 3 MJ Goodwin and O Heath, ‘The 2016 referendum, Brexit and the left behind: an aggregate-level analysis of the result’, Political Quarterly 87, no 3, Jul–Sep 2016, pp 323–32, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-923X.12285/ abstract (accessed 16 Jan 2017). 4 Ibid. 5 www.matthewjgoodwin.org/uploads/6/4/0/2/64026337/ political_quarterly_version_1_9.pdf. 6 E Fieldhouse et al, ‘British Election Study Combined Wave 1–9 Internet Panel’, British Election Study, [2016]. 7 M Goodwin and O Heath, ‘Brexit vote explained: poverty, low skills and lack of opportunities’, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 2016, www.jrf.org.uk/report/brexit-voteexplained-poverty-low-skills-and-lack-opportunities (accessed 16 Jan 2017). 8 T Helm, ‘EU referendum: youth turnout almost twice as high as first thought’, Guardian, 10 Jul 2016, www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/09/

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    “ Mapping and responding to the r

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    First published in 2017 © Demos. S

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    Open access. Some rights reserved.

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    11 Foreword Nothing to Fear but Fea

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    13 FORES in Sweden, the Institute o

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    15 rising tide that cuts across tra

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    17 diversity), and political leader

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    19 trends in Austria, where the Fre

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    21 refugees of ‘bringing in all k

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    23 themselves embodying the fear of

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    25 ‘wrong-headed doctrine’, and

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    27 While the Central European case

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    29 Europe, but the politics of fear

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    31 of European identity - attachmen

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    33 Euroscepticism In every country,

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    35 Figure 2 Views of respondents in

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    37 Political trust We also asked ou

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    39 significantly less support in th

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    41 - internationally and intranatio

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    43 els/soc/OECD2014-Social-Expendit

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    45 25 R Wodak and S Boukala, ‘Eur

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    47 References ‘Denmark suspends q

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    49 European Commission, Standard Eu

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    1 Great Britain - ‘It’s who you

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    53 1 What we already know about Bre

  • Page 55 and 56: 55 compared with 59 per cent of tho
  • Page 57 and 58: 57 This leads the authors to conclu
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  • Page 61 and 62: 61 between areas hit hardest by aus
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  • Page 75 and 76: 75 As part of this project, we comm
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  • Page 85 and 86: 85 Over recent decades the world ha
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  • Page 101 and 102: 101 Table 12 Brexit model with atti
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  • Page 111 and 112: 111 29 Jun 2016, http://bruegel.org
  • Page 113 and 114: 113 53 R Stubager, ‘Education eff
  • Page 115 and 116: 115 71 Ashcroft, ‘How the United
  • Page 117 and 118: 117 84 Goodwin and Heath, ‘Brexit
  • Page 119 and 120: 119 Bell T, ‘The referendum, livi
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  • Page 128 and 129: Contents Summary Introduction 1 Fea
  • Page 130 and 131: Introduction 2 France Fear exists i
  • Page 132 and 133: 2 France of reasons. It affects how
  • Page 134 and 135: 2 France impetus that originates in
  • Page 136 and 137: 2 France Another illustration of Fr
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  • Page 142 and 143: 2 France The situation in Poland, f
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  • Page 148 and 149: 2 France 2 Elections at a time of p
  • Page 150 and 151: 2 France These results are particul
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    2 France the idea of ‘plain speak

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    2 France The fact that these two is

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    2 France Figure 17 Responses by sur

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    2 France As in the YouGov survey, D

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    2 France Conclusion: the need to pu

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    2 France Notes 1 F Furedi, ‘The p

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    2 France 15 A de Montigny, ‘Selon

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    2 France 31 On this topic, see Y Be

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    2 France urgence-conduit-a-des-abus

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    Vie Publique, ‘Trente ans de lég

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    Contents Summary Introduction Metho

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    3 Germany politicians have difficul

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    3 Germany among the German public s

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    Methodology 3 Germany To further th

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    3 Germany Figure 1 Areas represente

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    3 Germany Taking a closer look at t

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    3 Germany When looking at all the c

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    3 Germany with different demographi

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    3 Germany Figure 7 Fears of respond

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    3 Germany feeling of insecurity ont

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    3 Germany Insight 3: Concerns about

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    3 Germany of the politicians interv

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    3 Germany Figure 11 Fears of respon

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    3 Germany I haven’t heard anyone

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    3 Germany Figure 13 Fears of respon

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    3 Germany issues that are the EU’

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    3 Germany are able to draw on compa

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    Conclusions 3 Germany Using the lat

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    3 Germany concerns and alleviating

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    3 Germany Provide avenues for knowl

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    3 Germany public-elite comparisons

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    3 Germany ·· €1,351-1,660 ··

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    3 Germany ·· Q5. Which of the fol

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    3 Germany a Angela Merkel b The Ger

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    3 Germany 6 T Lochocki, The Unstopp

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    3 Germany European Parliament, Stan

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    Contents Introduction 1 Migration,

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    4 Spain 1 Migration, economic crisi

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    4 Spain During the rapid economic e

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    4 Spain Figure 4 GDP (adjusted for

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    4 Spain Figure 8 Household expendit

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    4 Spain In short, high levels of mi

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    4 Spain of them also illiberal, wer

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    4 Spain Figure 9 The proportion of

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    4 Spain This Europeanism presents i

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    4 Spain Table 3 The views of respon

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    4 Spain The acceptance of globalisa

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    4 Spain Figure 13 The views of resp

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    4 Spain Increased acceptance of dif

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    4 Spain Table 7 The percentage of r

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    4 Spain Figure 15 Views of responde

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    4 Spain Table 9 The extent to which

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    4 Spain Table 10 Respondents’ vie

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    4 Spain are most inclined to vote f

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    4 Spain 3 Electoral and party polit

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    4 Spain The extreme right was disco

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    4 Spain towns, although none of the

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    4 Spain emphasising unity and the l

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    4 Spain cradles of successful natio

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    4 Spain of the population supportin

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    4 Spain Appendix 2: Results of the

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Total (%) Partido Popular (

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    4 Spain Notes 1 Jose Pablo Martíne

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    4 Spain Material deprivation covers

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    4 Spain 23 European Commission, Sta

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    4 Spain See Centro de Investigacion

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    4 Spain European Commission, ‘Pub

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    4 Spain INE, ‘Padrón municipal

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    4 Spain paper presented at the 12th

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    Contents Summary Introduction 1 Soc

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    5 Poland Introduction - what happen

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    5 Poland the Hungarian political sc

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    5 Poland the Law and Justice party,

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    5 Poland giving the winner an absol

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    5 Poland and to tire out the domest

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    5 Poland 1 Social cohesion and econ

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    5 Poland and an inflow of European

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    5 Poland The second factor is the p

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    5 Poland seems economic indicators

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    5 Poland occupational qualification

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    5 Poland Table 2 Respondents’ ans

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    5 Poland Table 3 Respondents’ vie

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    5 Poland Despite the generally posi

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    5 Poland not the Law and Justice pa

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    5 Poland or immigrants from Arab co

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    5 Poland Post-election developments

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    5 Poland 3 Social conservatism and

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    5 Poland women’s empowerment, LGB

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    5 Poland women’s access to legal

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    5 Poland commentators did not expec

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    5 Poland Conclusions - resilience a

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    5 Poland The rise of authoritarian

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    5 Poland Notes 1 YouGov surveyed ad

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    5 Poland Since then, the near absen

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    5 Poland 24 World Bank, ‘GINI ind

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    5 Poland European Union’, Standar

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    5 Poland migrants-asylum-poland-kac

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    5 Poland 67 In 1993 60 per cent sup

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    5 Poland 82 Fomina and Kucharczyk,

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    5 Poland Boguszewski R, ‘Nastroje

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    5 Poland Faiola A, ‘In Poland, a

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    5 Poland Kucharczyk J and Zbieranek

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    5 Poland Public Opinion Research, 2

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    6 Sweden - Sweden: the immigration

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    375 Introduction In Swedish migrati

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    377 migrants came mainly as family

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    379 Citizens from outside the EU ar

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    381 2018 elections. The Sweden Demo

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    383 Figure 3 The proportion of Swed

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    385 science: national identity is t

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    387 During the refugee crisis of 20

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    389 and immigrants even when suppos

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    391 2 Analysis and results The main

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    393 she suggested that the ‘migra

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    395 emphasised, this crisis came ac

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    397 directed towards Swedishness in

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    399 which leads voters to connect S

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    401 exclusively of people with a ci

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    403 Table 3 confirms the findings i

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    405 Summary and discussion During 2

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    407 rhetoric of the Christian Democ

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    409 6 Migrationsverket, ‘Asylsök

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    411 22 H Oscarsson and A Bergström

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    413 37 P Mouritsen and TV Olsen,

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    415 References ‘Historiskt högt

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    417 Jenkins R, Social Identity, Lon

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    419 Regeringskansliet, ‘Regeringe

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    7 Responding to the politics of fea

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    423 Introduction This project has i

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    425 In responding to the current fe

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    427 in facilitated discussion to es

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    429 2 Reconnect ‘political elites

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    431 background is also central to r

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    433 Boost the accountability of EU

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    435 3 Make the case for openness an

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    437 communities and country’s pla

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    439 1.8 million signatures, predomi

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    441 4 Counter post-truth narratives

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    443 organisation’ 30 - including

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    445 - whether through public policy

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    447 8 C Malmström, ‘Shaping glob

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    449 24 J Haidt, ‘The ethics of gl

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    451 References Arthur J and Kristj

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    453 European Ombudsman, ‘Ombudsma

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    Demos - License to Publish The work

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    This project is supported by The ca

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