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SOAR

SOAR-February-2017.pdf?ext=

4.2 Air and Sea

4.2 Air and Sea Connectivity Air Access Seat Capacity Estimates Winter 2016/17 vs. Winter 2015/16 YOY % Change Ireland NI Island Great Britain +1% +1% +1% Mainland Europe +4% +109%* +8% -France -7% NC -6% -Germany +4% NA** +7% North America +17% NC*** +17% ADM -9% NA -9% Overall +3% +8% +4% Source: TTC Winter Access Inventory Report 2016/17 on scheduled direct one-way weekly seat capacity. Capacity is estimated at a single point in time (December) for the season. NA= Not applicable NC = No change * Northern Ireland one-way weekly air seats available grew from just under 6,000 to over 12,000 **Note: Germany-Northern Ireland new service offering 567 one way seats per week *** United Airlines ended their Newark to Belfast service in January 2017. There are estimated to be approximately 418,000 direct, one-way air seats available each week this winter to the island of Ireland, a +4% increase in capacity compared to the same period last year. This is the largest number of seats since the winter of 2008/09, when there were just over 440,000 available. Key air announcements for this winter include Ryanair adding new routes and frequency to their network such as Berlin and Milan to Belfast, expansion by Aer Lingus on transatlantic services and KLM introducing a new Amsterdam-Dublin service. Ferry capacity this winter is estimated to be unchanged. Indications for air capacity for summer 2017 are positive, with an overall increase anticipated. Developments include a new Aer Lingus flight from Miami to Dublin, as well as expanded services from Los Angeles, Chicago and Orlando. Other new routes include a Delta flight from Boston to Dublin; Transavia from Munich to Dublin; a Norwegian service between Stockholm and Dublin; an SAS flight from Stockholm to Shannon; a Lufthansa flight from Frankfurt to Shannon; a Ryanair service from Girona to Belfast; WOW Air service from Reykjavik to Cork; an Air Iceland service from Reykjavik to Belfast; and a Swiss Air flight from Zurich to Cork. Etihad will once again operate double-daily departures from April between Abu Dhabi and Dublin and Qatar Airways will fly from Doha to Dublin, commencing in June. While connectivity improvements are paying dividends, airlines have alluded to yield concerns (which have been squeezed in recent years). Yield is critical for overall viability and for sustaining future capacity growth.

4.3 Total Passenger Numbers Total Pax 2016* 2016 v 2015 YOY % change Dublin Airport 28m +11% Shannon Airport 1.7m +2% Cork Airport 2.2m +8% Ireland West Airport Knock 0.7m +7% Belfast International Airport 5.1m +17% Belfast City Airport 2.7m -1% City of Derry Airport 0.3m +2% All ROI Airports 32.6m +10% All NI Airports 8.1m +10% All UK Airports 222m +5% All Netherlands Airports 70m +9% All Norwegian Airports 54m +1% All Swedish Airports 43m +5% ROI sea passengers 3.1m -3% NI sea passengers 2m +1% Sources: CAA, Annaero, DAA, Shannon Group, IWAK, Fáilte Ireland, Ferrystat. *Total Pax 2016 is the total traffic estimate (two-way and includes transit passenger) at the airport(s)/seaports A number of Northern European markets included for comparison purposes. Published air passenger traffic results to the island of Ireland(two-way and includes connecting transit business) were mainly positive for 2016. These included two-way travel as well as transit business. Sea passenger numbers to and from Ireland, which also includes Irish residents, were down -3% YOY in 2016, while sea passengers to and from Northern Ireland were up +1% YOY. Ryanair reports that its total annual traffic grew by +15% to 117m customers in 2016. According to IAG, Aer Lingus traffic (measured in revenue passenger kilometres RPKs) in December 2016 was up by +11.7% on December 2015. The year appears to have started well, with key airports on the island of Ireland realising positive results for January.

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