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The Intelligence Review | volume 1 | issue 2 |

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics include the gun control debate in the United States, Russia’s involvement in the Syrian Civil War, the future of Kurdish nationalism, and the internal Palestinian dispute between Hamas and Fatah. Papers in this volume also examine the current state of Islamist extremism, and extrapolate on its future prospects in the Middle East, West Africa, the Lake Chad region, as well as in Southeast and Central Asia. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.

The Intelligence Review | volume 1 | issue 2

• Will gun control legislation be introduced in the United States in 2017? • Does Jemaah Islamiyah continue to pose a security threat today? • How has Russia’s entry in the Syrian Civil War affected its internal security? • How popular is the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria in Central Asia? • Did the North Korean government become more stable in 2016? • Did Boko Haram grow stronger in the Lake Chad region in 2016? • Will the prospect of an independent Kurdish state become viable in 2017? • Is France winning the ground war against Islamic militants in West Africa? • Have Islamist non-state groups come closer to developing weapons of mass destruction? • Will Nigeria continue to be Africa’s largest oil producer for the foreseeable future? • Will the Palestinian groups Hamas and Fatah reunite in 2017? FOREWORD BY JOHN NOMIKOS 0 EDITED BY JOSEPH FITSANAKIS

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