The True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong><br />
4 th Edition<br />
Milan, February 16 th , 2017
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> panel<br />
Vs.<br />
2016 Ed.<br />
12 000+<br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
• +1 000 in China<br />
• +1 000 in US<br />
~36 k€<br />
Avg. luxury spend<br />
• +15 k€<br />
10<br />
Nationalities<br />
Source: BCG-Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong><br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 1<br />
1
We push to be relevant on the highest segments of<br />
the luxury consumers<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s sample distribution (% respondents)<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> yearly spend 1<br />
(k€ per consumer)<br />
3 rd edition<br />
4 th edition<br />
> 100 k€<br />
50 - 100 k€<br />
1 %<br />
7% 25%<br />
6 %<br />
7 %<br />
18 %<br />
20 - 50 k€<br />
28 %<br />
30 %<br />
10 - 20 k€<br />
5 - 10 k€<br />
Average Spend for<br />
overall sample<br />
35 %<br />
30 %<br />
~21 k€<br />
25 %<br />
20 %<br />
~ 36 k€<br />
Clusters size evolution 4 th vs 3 rd Edition<br />
1. Expenditure includes personal luxury (e.g. handbags, shoes, sunglasses and other accessories, clothing) and experiential luxury (e.g. hotels, wine and<br />
spirits, exclusive vacations). Excluded cars, yachts, smartphones & tablets<br />
Source: BCG-Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong><br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 2<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
2
We set higher thresholds by category vs previous<br />
edition to identify a "<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>"<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Personal <strong>Luxury</strong> Goods<br />
Experiential <strong>Luxury</strong> Goods<br />
Category<br />
Handbags<br />
Shoes<br />
Sunglasses<br />
Other accessories 1<br />
Outerwear / Coats<br />
Dresses for women<br />
Suits for men<br />
Sweaters / Knitwear<br />
Shirts / Topwear<br />
Jeans / Pants / Skirts<br />
Fragrances & Cosmetics<br />
Watches<br />
Smart watches<br />
Jewelry<br />
Threshold Price<br />
>1 000 € / each<br />
>300 € / each<br />
>180 € / each<br />
>180 € / each 2<br />
>1 400 € / each<br />
>1 200 € / each<br />
>1 600 € / each<br />
>400 € / each<br />
>200 € / each<br />
>250 € / each<br />
>100 € / each<br />
>2 000 € / each<br />
>400 € / each<br />
>1 200 € / each<br />
vs. '16 Category Threshold Price vs. '16<br />
Restaurants<br />
Wine & Spirits<br />
Hotels (leisure)<br />
Cruise / resort<br />
Design furniture<br />
Lighting<br />
Cars<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> Boats / Yachts<br />
Smartphones / Tablets<br />
>200 € / person<br />
>100 € / bottle<br />
>450 € / night<br />
>4 000 € / pers./ week<br />
>3 000 € / each<br />
>1 000 € / each<br />
Other <strong>Luxury</strong> Goods<br />
Category Threshold Price vs. '16<br />
>100 000 € / each<br />
>750 000 € / each<br />
>1 000 € / each<br />
Minimum spent 5 k€ in the past year<br />
on personal luxury goods<br />
1. "Other accessories " includes scarves, wallets, belts and ties 2. > 180€/each for Small Leather Goods, >150 €/each for Silk Goods<br />
Source: BCG-Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong>; BCG<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 3<br />
3
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 4 th Edition<br />
Main Outcomes<br />
Steady market, <strong>True</strong> luxury consumers growing<br />
A rising perception of price-value misalignment<br />
More casual, more customized!<br />
<strong>True</strong> luxury consumers buying more at home<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> goes omnichannel<br />
Monobrand at the heart of an omnichannel experience<br />
#<strong>Luxury</strong>goessocial<br />
Behavioral consumer segment evolution<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
4<br />
4
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Steady market, <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s growing<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
5
<strong>The</strong> global luxury market worth ~860Bn€ in 2016,<br />
experiential growing faster than personal luxury<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>Global</strong> luxury goods market (B€)<br />
@ Retail value<br />
CAGR<br />
4-5%<br />
1 187<br />
09-13<br />
13-16 16-23F<br />
511<br />
551<br />
207 233<br />
9.3%<br />
623<br />
257<br />
692<br />
280<br />
5.6%<br />
844 860<br />
730 755<br />
322 318<br />
285 291<br />
380<br />
807<br />
8.3%<br />
9.9%<br />
3.8% 2-3%<br />
6.8% 5-6%<br />
305 317 366 412 445 464 522 542<br />
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2023F<br />
Personal 1<br />
Experiential<br />
1. Personal goods include accessories, apparel, watches & jewelry, fragrances & cosmetics<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 6<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
6
Out of ~400 Mn <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s only 17Mn<br />
identified as "<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s"<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
CLUSTER 2016<br />
2023<br />
# (M) Bn(€) # (M) Bn(€)<br />
50 k€ Beyond money 0.4 0.5<br />
20 k€<br />
10 k€<br />
Top Absolute<br />
Absolute<br />
1.3<br />
4.5<br />
2.0<br />
6<br />
Entry Absolute<br />
11<br />
14<br />
5 k€<br />
Total <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> 17 22<br />
+5<br />
2 k€<br />
Top Aspirational 21 28<br />
Other Aspirational 375 440<br />
+72<br />
Total <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
~415 ~490<br />
+75<br />
Note: rounded numbers<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 7<br />
7
A further polarizing pyramid ahead: <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong><br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s up from ~29% to ~32% of global market<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
5 k€<br />
2 k€<br />
20 k€<br />
10 k€<br />
CLUSTER<br />
2016<br />
2023<br />
# (M) Bn(€) 1 # (M) Bn(€) 1<br />
50 k€ Beyond money<br />
0.4 20 0.5 40<br />
Top Absolute<br />
Absolute<br />
Entry Absolute<br />
Total <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong><br />
Top Aspirational<br />
1.3<br />
4.5<br />
11<br />
30<br />
93<br />
107<br />
2.0<br />
6<br />
14<br />
17 250 22<br />
+131<br />
53<br />
141<br />
147<br />
381<br />
21 61 28 92<br />
Other Aspirational<br />
375 549 440 715<br />
+196<br />
Total <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
~415 ~860 ~490 ~1185<br />
+325<br />
1. Including Experiential and Personal luxury, excluding cars and Yachts<br />
Note: rounded numbers<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 8<br />
8
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s maintaining a healthier and<br />
steadier growth for the future<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
CAGR 2016 - 2023<br />
20 k€<br />
10 k€<br />
50 k€ Personal Experiential<br />
<strong>True</strong><br />
<strong>Luxury</strong><br />
4-5%<br />
7-8%<br />
Total<br />
6-7%<br />
5 k€<br />
2 k€<br />
Aspirational<br />
1-2%<br />
5-6%<br />
~4%<br />
2-3% 5-6%<br />
4-5%<br />
Note: rounded numbers<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 9<br />
9
In a slower personal luxury market, there will be<br />
clear winners and losers among Brands<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Turnover growth for 20 leading personal luxury brands 1<br />
# brands<br />
2009 - 2013 2013 - 2016<br />
2016 - 2023<br />
Strong Growth<br />
CAGR >10%<br />
14<br />
5<br />
Growth<br />
CAGR 4% to 10%<br />
Flat<br />
CAGR 0% to +4%<br />
1<br />
3<br />
1<br />
6<br />
...<br />
Decreasing<br />
CAGR < 0%<br />
2<br />
8<br />
Average Market<br />
Growth<br />
8.3% 3.8%<br />
~2-3%<br />
1. Sample of 20 leading brands in personal luxury<br />
Source: Press Search; BCG Analysis<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 10<br />
10
In a slower personal luxury market, winners and<br />
losers expected also among categories<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s net appetite by category 1<br />
(net appetite = people increasing spend in the future > +20% – people decreasing spend in the future > - 20%)<br />
40%<br />
33%<br />
21%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-7%<br />
-25%<br />
Shoes<br />
Fragrances &<br />
Cosmetics<br />
Watches<br />
Handbags Clothing Sunglasses<br />
& Jewelry 2<br />
Small leather<br />
goods<br />
Silk<br />
goods<br />
1. Index calculated as percentage of customers who see growth in spend less the percentage who foresee a decrease in spend on the category (Positive – Negative).<br />
Multiple options answer (up to 5 categories ) 2. Including jeans / pants; shirts / topwear; dresses / suits; coats / outerwear; knitwear<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 11<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
11
Appetite driven by Millennials with shoes and F&C<br />
key to recruit them - Handbags polarized<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Overall<br />
Net appetite by category 1<br />
By generation<br />
Millennials<br />
Gen. X<br />
Baby B. & Silver<br />
40%<br />
43%<br />
43%<br />
13%<br />
33%<br />
36%<br />
32%<br />
22%<br />
21%<br />
24%<br />
18%<br />
13%<br />
15%<br />
23%<br />
10%<br />
-16%<br />
10%<br />
14%<br />
10%<br />
-10%<br />
0%<br />
3%<br />
0%<br />
-16%<br />
-7%<br />
-3%<br />
-11%<br />
-14%<br />
-25%<br />
-22%<br />
-27%<br />
-33%<br />
1. Index calculated as percentage of customers who see growth in spend less the percentage who foresee a decrease in spend on the category<br />
(Positive – Negative). Multiple options answer (up to 5 categories ) Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 12<br />
12
Chinese and Americans will continue to drive the<br />
appetite for luxury consumption<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s net appetite by nationality 1<br />
(net appetite = people increasing spend in the future > +20% – people decreasing spend in the future > - 20%)<br />
46%<br />
41%<br />
24%<br />
24%<br />
20%<br />
18%<br />
13%<br />
11%<br />
11%<br />
5%<br />
-10%<br />
Overall<br />
1. Index calculated as percentage of customers who see growth in spend less the percentage who foresee a decrease in spend (Positive – Negative)<br />
2. Share of nationalities in terms of luxury market value<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model; BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers respondents in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 13<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
13
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s showing a good appetite<br />
for 2017<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> Barometer®<br />
"Do you expect to spend more or less on luxury products in the next year?"<br />
More<br />
(+20%)<br />
33%<br />
23%<br />
37%<br />
38%<br />
40%<br />
Same<br />
43%<br />
48%<br />
39%<br />
41%<br />
43%<br />
Less<br />
(-20%)<br />
24% 29% 24%<br />
21%<br />
17%<br />
2013 2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
2017E<br />
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
Barometer® 1<br />
9pp -5pp 13pp<br />
17pp<br />
24pp<br />
1. Index calculated as percentage of customers who see growth in spend less the percentage who foresee a decrease in spend (Positive – Negative).<br />
<strong>The</strong> index represents a proxy of the expected growth of spend in <strong>Luxury</strong> by Top <strong>Luxury</strong> consumers<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers respondents in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 14<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
14
Only 17% of true luxury consumers declare they will<br />
spend less in 2017<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"This year have you spent more or<br />
less on luxury products vs last year?"<br />
" What are the key reasons for which you<br />
have spent less?"<br />
More<br />
(+20%)<br />
40%<br />
43%<br />
External<br />
• Economic instability<br />
• Travel less frequently<br />
• Lower confidence in future income<br />
• Fear of terroristic attacks<br />
Same<br />
Less<br />
(-20%)<br />
43%<br />
17%<br />
Mainly low<br />
spender<br />
Millennials –<br />
mostly European<br />
57%<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong><br />
sector<br />
related<br />
• <strong>Luxury</strong> prices increase<br />
• Personal luxury saturation<br />
• Less special occasions to attend<br />
• Lower interest in luxury brands<br />
• Partial shift to premium / fast fashion brands<br />
• Brands selling too much non core categories<br />
Note: multiple options answer (ranking of three reasons)<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 15<br />
15
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
A rising perception of price – value misalignment<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
16
Over the last years the price of luxury iconic items<br />
has increased by far more than inflation<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Index: 2010 = 100<br />
17<br />
155<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> iconic<br />
bags price 1<br />
3 x<br />
118<br />
<strong>Global</strong><br />
inflation<br />
100<br />
2010 2012 2014 2016<br />
1. Average luxury products price increase calculated based on 2010-2016 list prices of a panel of iconic luxury handbags<br />
Source: Press search; World Bank; BCG analysis<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 17
50% of <strong>Luxury</strong> consumers perceive a price/value<br />
misalignment. Americans & Millennials most disappointed<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you feel a progressive separation between overall value of <strong>Luxury</strong> products and their price?"<br />
% of<br />
respondents<br />
Overall<br />
By nationality<br />
By generation<br />
Millennials<br />
Gen. X<br />
Baby B. &<br />
Silver<br />
No<br />
42 %<br />
48 %<br />
49 % 51 %<br />
45 %<br />
56 %<br />
50 % 54 %<br />
Yes<br />
52 %<br />
58 %<br />
51 % 49 % 44 %<br />
55 %<br />
50 % 46 %<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 18<br />
18
2 / 3 of misalignment perception driven by price, 1 / 3<br />
by exclusivity loss and product quality issues<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Thinking about your favorite luxury brand, you told that you noticed a discrepancy<br />
between the overall value and the price. What are the main reasons for this?"<br />
% of respondents perceiving<br />
63 %<br />
Emerging Markets<br />
Key reasons 1<br />
#1<br />
#2<br />
#3<br />
Iconic products' exclusivity loss<br />
Lack of innovation<br />
Overall Brand's exclusivity loss<br />
a price discrepancy<br />
Key reasons 1<br />
100 %<br />
Mature Markets<br />
37 %<br />
#1<br />
Lower material quality<br />
Discrepancy<br />
Price<br />
increase<br />
Product<br />
value<br />
decrease<br />
#2<br />
#3<br />
Lower manufacture quality<br />
Iconic products' exclusivity loss<br />
1. Multiple options answer (ranking of three reasons)<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 19<br />
19
8 out of 10 disappointed consumers plan to react :<br />
In ~50% of cases likely to translate in lost sales<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"In case of a progressive separation between the price and the perceived product value,<br />
17 %<br />
100 %<br />
83 %<br />
17% 15%<br />
13%<br />
9%<br />
Perceived No reaction<br />
misalignment<br />
Reaction<br />
what would you do?<br />
20<br />
% of respondents perceiving a price discrepancy<br />
45%<br />
Lost sales<br />
25%<br />
10% 10%<br />
Buy other<br />
luxury<br />
brand<br />
Look for Look for Go to<br />
discounts discounts brand’s<br />
online offline outlets to<br />
(multibrand) find<br />
discounts<br />
Renounce<br />
to buy<br />
Trade<br />
down to<br />
premium<br />
brands<br />
Buy lower<br />
priced<br />
from same<br />
brand<br />
Lost sales<br />
Going off-price / lower priced items<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 20
As a result ~60 out of ~230 Brands surveyed losing<br />
traction, especially total look ones<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Is there a brand on which you have the feeling that you have reduced /<br />
you will probably reduce your luxury spending?"<br />
100%<br />
74%<br />
Lifestyle /<br />
total look<br />
Category<br />
specialists<br />
26%<br />
Total personal<br />
luxury brands<br />
Resilient<br />
% of brands recalled by respondents<br />
Brands Affected by<br />
36%<br />
19%<br />
Affected by<br />
spend decrease<br />
spend decrease<br />
Note: Out of the total 12,000 respondents, 79% mentioned a luxury brand on which they reduced their spend. Total personal luxury brands include 230 brands<br />
spontaneously recalled by respondents. Brands affected by spending decrease include those mentioned by more than 50 respondents. Possible to mention<br />
only one brand Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 21<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
21
Trading down is an attitude also for beyond money<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> consumers . Americans the most active<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you have the feeling that you have partially shifted your spending from luxury<br />
brands to premium and / or fast fashion brands?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
By luxury spend<br />
By nationality<br />
7%<br />
10%<br />
Yes<br />
41%<br />
37%<br />
43% 44%<br />
57%<br />
81%<br />
93%<br />
90%<br />
No<br />
59%<br />
63%<br />
57%<br />
56%<br />
43%<br />
19%<br />
Total<br />
5-20 k€ 20-50 k€ > 50 k€<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 22<br />
22
<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s trading down to premium brands<br />
almost 2x than to fast fashion ones<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you have the feeling that you have partially shifted your spending from luxury<br />
brands to premium and / or fast fashion brands?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
% of respondents trading down<br />
Yes<br />
41%<br />
Premium<br />
64%<br />
70%<br />
No<br />
59%<br />
Fast<br />
fashion<br />
36%<br />
46%<br />
Total<br />
Total<br />
Note: Multiple options answer. In calculating the % of respondents trading down to premium and fast fashion brands, respondents trading down to both<br />
premium and fast fashion brands were counted twice<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx 23<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
23
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
More Casual, more Customized!<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
24
Casualwear with increasing appeal vs. formal<br />
for 2 / 3 rd of <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Has your attitude towards formal wear changed?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
34 %<br />
100 %<br />
66 %<br />
Overall<br />
No change<br />
perceived<br />
in formal<br />
Decrease of<br />
formal in favor<br />
of casual<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 25<br />
25
Casualwear fuelled by wardrobe saturation for the<br />
eldest, higher appeal and acceptance for the youngest<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"What are the key reasons driving the lower appeal for formal wear in your mind?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
with lower appeal<br />
Overall By generation<br />
for formal wear<br />
Millennials<br />
Gen. X<br />
Baby B. & Silver<br />
Enough formal wear<br />
for formal occasions<br />
55%<br />
55%<br />
54%<br />
61%<br />
Casual suitable<br />
to more occasions<br />
51%<br />
52%<br />
50%<br />
49%<br />
More comfort<br />
with casual<br />
48%<br />
50%<br />
48%<br />
40%<br />
Follow casualization<br />
at the office<br />
37%<br />
40%<br />
36%<br />
28%<br />
Formal wear now<br />
too expensive<br />
29%<br />
33%<br />
28%<br />
19%<br />
Note: multiple options answer (up to three reasons)<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 26<br />
26
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Luxurization of the Casualwear<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> sneakers<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> down jackets<br />
Market @ Retail value (Bn€)<br />
Market @ Retail value (Bn€)<br />
Sneakers<br />
9.3 Bn€<br />
0.9<br />
16.0 Bn€<br />
3.0<br />
Down jackets<br />
9.6 Bn€<br />
0.5<br />
13.0 Bn€<br />
2.0<br />
Other shoes<br />
8.4<br />
13.0<br />
Other outerwear<br />
9.1<br />
11.0<br />
2009<br />
2016<br />
2009<br />
2016<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> market model<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 27<br />
27
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Growing demand for customization<br />
"Is customization relevant for you when purchase luxury?"<br />
Avg.<br />
% of respondents answering "Yes"<br />
22%<br />
Avg.<br />
13 %<br />
16 %<br />
17 %<br />
18 %<br />
23 % 23 %<br />
23 %<br />
22 %<br />
20 %<br />
15 % 15 %<br />
14%<br />
15 %<br />
13 %<br />
10 %<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 28<br />
28
Bespoke is the most desired feature;<br />
different customization priorities by product category<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Which are the elements of customization that you value the most?"<br />
% of respondents considering each customization aspect relevant<br />
#1 Bespoke #2 Product #3 Service #4 Made to #5<br />
products configuration<br />
measure<br />
Initials or<br />
writings<br />
57% 53% 52% 50% 47%<br />
1 st category<br />
by relevance<br />
Note: multiple options answer (ranking of three reasons)<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 29<br />
29
Made-in Italy still leading, fuelled by Apparel,<br />
Bags and Shoes<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Which country of manufacturing do you consider the best for luxury products?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
that check Made-in 1<br />
Δ 2014-2016 (pp)<br />
Drivers of the increase (2014-2016)<br />
29%<br />
11<br />
+13 pp<br />
+20 pp<br />
-3 pp -5 pp<br />
23%<br />
5<br />
19%<br />
32%<br />
20%<br />
40%<br />
21% 18%<br />
15% 10%<br />
12% 4<br />
2014 2016 2014 2016 2014 2016<br />
2014 2016<br />
10%<br />
6%<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
+6 pp<br />
14% 20%<br />
+1 pp<br />
16% 17%<br />
+10 pp +18 pp<br />
53%<br />
16%<br />
26%<br />
35%<br />
6%<br />
...<br />
0<br />
2014 2016<br />
+7 pp<br />
2014 2016<br />
+2 pp<br />
2014 2016 2014 2016<br />
+0 pp +2 pp<br />
3%<br />
-2<br />
10% 17%<br />
8% 10%<br />
11% 11%<br />
8% 10%<br />
2014 2016<br />
2014 2016<br />
2014 2016<br />
2014 2016<br />
1. Excluding cars, luxury boats, design and lightening<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 30<br />
30
Made-in Italy recognized worldwide, while<br />
Made-in U.S. mainly appreciated by Americans<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Made-in preference (Italy vs. US) by consumer nationality<br />
% of respondents<br />
Focus on Personal <strong>Luxury</strong> 1<br />
40%<br />
Made-in<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
Made-in<br />
0%<br />
1. Excluding cars, luxury boats, design and lightening<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 31<br />
31
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s buying more at home<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
32
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s are buying more in their<br />
home country<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Where did you buy your last luxury item?" 1<br />
"Where did you buy your last luxury item?" 1<br />
% of American respondents<br />
35%<br />
Abroad<br />
61%<br />
65%<br />
% of Chinese respondents<br />
65%<br />
23%<br />
Abroad 35%<br />
Of which<br />
16%<br />
online<br />
Local<br />
77%<br />
Of which<br />
20%<br />
online<br />
Local<br />
39%<br />
2014<br />
2016<br />
2014<br />
2016<br />
1. For Top 4 EU nationalities (French, German, Italian, British) local purchases from 48% in 2014 to 79% in 2016. For Japanese local purchases from 71% in<br />
2014 to 82% in 2016 2. Includes both cities where respondents bought in the last 12 months and plan to buy in the next 12 months. Multiple options<br />
answer (all cities that apply) Note: Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macau included in "Abroad" Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 33<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
33
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Chinese increasingly back home to buy luxury<br />
% of Chinese buying locally 1<br />
"Where did you buy your last luxury item?"<br />
Daigou Effect<br />
High Price Gap<br />
Strong Yuan<br />
41%<br />
65%<br />
Locally<br />
(Mainland<br />
China)<br />
30%<br />
39%<br />
Government Initiatives<br />
(Duty Rates, Boarder Controls)<br />
<strong>Global</strong> Pricing<br />
Weak Yuan<br />
2013 2014 2015 2016<br />
1. Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan excluded<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 34<br />
34
<strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s are buying more in their<br />
home country<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Where did you buy your last luxury item?" 1 "Where did you buy your last luxury item?" 1<br />
Top destinations for luxury shopping 2 Top destinations for luxury shopping 2<br />
% of Chinese respondents<br />
% of American respondents<br />
2015 2016<br />
2015 2016<br />
#1<br />
Paris<br />
Tokyo<br />
#1<br />
Paris<br />
London<br />
#2<br />
Tokyo<br />
London<br />
#2<br />
London<br />
Tokyo<br />
#3<br />
New York<br />
Paris<br />
#3<br />
Milan<br />
Paris<br />
#4<br />
Milan<br />
New York<br />
#4<br />
Dubai<br />
Dubai<br />
#5<br />
Dubai<br />
Milan<br />
#5<br />
Hong Kong<br />
Milan<br />
1. For Top 4 EU nationalities (French, German, Italian, British) local purchases from 48% in 2014 to 79% in 2016. For Japanese local purchases from 71% in<br />
2014 to 82% in 2016 2. Includes both cities where respondents bought in the last 12 months and plan to buy in the next 12 months. Multiple options<br />
answer (all cities that apply) Note: Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macau included in "Abroad" Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 35<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
35
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> goes Omnichannel<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
36
Store solo sales decreasing but omnichannel the<br />
real trend vs. online solo sales<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Where have you bought your last luxury item? Where have you researched it?"<br />
% of respondents on last purchase<br />
2013<br />
2016<br />
53%<br />
Digitally Influenced<br />
61%<br />
Digitally Influenced<br />
38%<br />
8%<br />
7%<br />
100%<br />
42%<br />
9%<br />
10%<br />
100<br />
100%<br />
47%<br />
46%<br />
Omnichannel<br />
39%<br />
51%<br />
Omnichannel<br />
Store<br />
solo<br />
ROPO 1<br />
Show<br />
rooming 2<br />
Online<br />
solo<br />
Total<br />
Store<br />
solo<br />
ROPO 1<br />
Show<br />
Rooming<br />
2<br />
Online<br />
solo<br />
Total<br />
1. Researched Online, Purchased Offline 2. Researched Offline, Purchased Online<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 37<br />
37
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Digital influence growth fuelled by Americans<br />
"Where have you bought the last item purchased? Where have you researched it?"<br />
Overall<br />
By nationality<br />
Digitally influenced<br />
purchases1 2016 (%)<br />
( On line solo + Show<br />
rooming + ROPO)<br />
61%<br />
64% 72% 54%<br />
22 pp<br />
Trend 2013-2016<br />
(Δ pp)<br />
9 pp<br />
6 pp<br />
8 pp<br />
1. Considering the last luxury purchase<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 38<br />
38
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Millennials the most digitally influenced<br />
"Where have you bought the last luxury item purchased? Where have you researched it?" 1<br />
Overall<br />
By generation<br />
% of respondents on<br />
last purchase<br />
Millennials<br />
Gen. X<br />
Baby B. & Silver<br />
Store solo<br />
39%<br />
32%<br />
42%<br />
56%<br />
ROPO<br />
Showrooming<br />
Online solo<br />
42%<br />
9%<br />
10%<br />
46%<br />
12%<br />
10%<br />
41%<br />
7%<br />
10%<br />
28%<br />
6%<br />
10%<br />
Digitally influenced<br />
purchases (%)<br />
61%<br />
68% 58% 44%<br />
1. Mainly personal items (~90%), among experiential includes wine & spirts, furniture, smartphones,..<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 39<br />
39
60% of online purchases are perceived to be<br />
additional to physical retail purchases<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you have the feeling that your spending online is in addition to or<br />
cannibalizing your luxury spending in physical stores?"<br />
% of respondents 1<br />
Overall<br />
By nationality<br />
2016<br />
online purchases<br />
19% 21% 22% 17% 15%<br />
In addition<br />
to physical<br />
61%<br />
56% 62% 66%<br />
77%<br />
Cannibalization 39%<br />
44% 38% 34%<br />
23%<br />
1. Considering the online channel among the top 3 channels used over the last 12 months<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 40<br />
40
Full price multibrand eShops key for Millennials :<br />
Brands' websites and Marketplaces for the eldest<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Which kind of online store did you buy the product from?"<br />
% of respondents Overall<br />
By generation<br />
Millennials<br />
Gen. X<br />
Baby B. & Silver<br />
Brand owned online<br />
stores<br />
34%<br />
33%<br />
33%<br />
37%<br />
Full price multi-brand<br />
online stores<br />
(e.g. Net à Porter, Dept.<br />
Store e-commerce)<br />
46%<br />
49% 46% 36%<br />
Online marketplace<br />
(e.g. Amazon, TMall, JD.com)<br />
Discount specialized<br />
online stores (e.g. Yoox)<br />
15%<br />
5%<br />
14%<br />
4%<br />
15%<br />
6%<br />
20%<br />
7%<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 41<br />
41
Demand for an omnichannel experience is growing<br />
fast , driven by Chinese and Americans<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"How important is it for you that a brand can be<br />
reached through different channels?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
Overall<br />
Not important<br />
2014 2016<br />
25%<br />
15%<br />
8%<br />
By nationality (2016)<br />
13%<br />
19% 23%<br />
"What you would expect when<br />
interacting with your preferred luxury<br />
brand through multiple channels?" 1<br />
% of respondents considering omnichannel<br />
not negotiable/very important<br />
54%<br />
Consistent Brand<br />
Image<br />
Somehow<br />
important<br />
38%<br />
39%<br />
38%<br />
36%<br />
41%<br />
38%<br />
49%<br />
Integrated Delivery<br />
and Service Level<br />
39%<br />
Same Rewards<br />
Not negotiable /<br />
very important<br />
37%<br />
46%<br />
54% 51%<br />
40% 39%<br />
38%<br />
Customer relationship<br />
Management<br />
1. Multiple options answer (ranking of three reasons)<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 42<br />
42
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
How effectively are <strong>Luxury</strong> Brands responding to the<br />
omnichannel expectations? (I)<br />
Brands' satisfaction distribution (2016)<br />
~100 brands included<br />
in the analysis 1<br />
Omnichannel Satisfaction Index = (People mentioning as the best brand – people mentioning as the worse brand)<br />
100%<br />
50%<br />
0%<br />
-50%<br />
1. Only personal luxury goods, Included only brands with statistical significant observations in total satisfaction<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 43<br />
43
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
How effectively are <strong>Luxury</strong> Brands responding to the<br />
omnichannel expectations? (II)<br />
~100 brands included<br />
in the analysis 1<br />
Omnichannel needs<br />
Brands' satisfaction distribution (2016)<br />
Consistent brand image<br />
Integrated delivery<br />
and service level<br />
Same Rewards<br />
across channels<br />
Customer relationship<br />
management<br />
Satisfaction Index 2<br />
1. Only personal luxury, Included only brands with statistical significant observations 2.# respondents who selected the brand as best brand –<br />
# respondents who selected the brand as worst brand Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 44<br />
44
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Monobrand at the heart of an omnichannel experience<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
45
Monobrand stores losing traffic and sales;<br />
Japan and China more resilient<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Have you bought your last luxury item from a monobrand store?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
Overall<br />
By nationality (2016)<br />
35%<br />
36%<br />
27%<br />
7%<br />
29%<br />
32%<br />
11%<br />
30%<br />
19%<br />
27%<br />
12%<br />
26%<br />
6%<br />
Abroad<br />
26%<br />
6%<br />
At home<br />
21%<br />
11%<br />
15%<br />
20%<br />
20%<br />
12%<br />
9%<br />
3%<br />
2014<br />
2016<br />
Trend '14-'16<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 46<br />
46
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Too many stores opened in the past vs. market growth<br />
<strong>Global</strong> retail footprint 1 growth vs. Personal <strong>Luxury</strong> Market growth (2014-2016)<br />
@ Constant Exchange Rate<br />
3x<br />
2x<br />
5.0%<br />
4.0%<br />
1.9%<br />
1.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0-1%<br />
... 2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
Market Growth Retail Footprint Growth (Store #)<br />
1. # stores<br />
Source: BCG Analysis, "<strong>Luxury</strong> Goods Store Wars 2016" - Bernstein<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 47<br />
47
Shopping experience and product assortment the<br />
main reasons for monobrand disaffection<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you have the feeling that you will<br />
purchase more or less frequently in<br />
monobrand stores?"<br />
"Which are the reasons for which you<br />
are purchasing less frequently<br />
in mono-brand physical stores?" 1<br />
% of respondents<br />
Less<br />
frequently<br />
21%<br />
33%<br />
32%<br />
Same<br />
52%<br />
frequency 17% 16%<br />
More<br />
frequently<br />
27%<br />
Monotonous<br />
shopping<br />
experience<br />
Lack of<br />
product<br />
assortment<br />
newness<br />
Price<br />
Proximity<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 48<br />
48
But monobrand still at the heart of an omnichannel<br />
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> consumer experience around the Brand<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Monobrand influence<br />
Reasons to buy in Monobrand<br />
% of respondents<br />
on last purchase<br />
Monobrand<br />
Solo<br />
Researched in<br />
Monobrand<br />
Purchased Online<br />
Researched in<br />
Monobrand<br />
Purchased in other<br />
physical channel<br />
22%<br />
27%<br />
7%<br />
15%<br />
#1<br />
#2<br />
#3<br />
#4<br />
Try & touch the product<br />
Offer range of the brand<br />
Product customization<br />
Experienced / trustable<br />
sales staff<br />
Monobrand<br />
Influence<br />
49%<br />
#5<br />
Presence of signature /<br />
exclusive items<br />
Monobrand influencing 22% of purchases<br />
done in other channels<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 49<br />
49
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
#luxurygoessocial<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Edition_Draft PPT_v44(Storyline).pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
50
Word of Mouth the 1 st influence lever on <strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s, thanks to digital /social media<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Which of these levers has an impact on how you develop opinions or purchase decisions?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
Magazines 2 50%<br />
Seen<br />
2013 2016<br />
WoM 1 19% 38% 57%<br />
WoM 1 32% 11% 43%<br />
Magazines 2 39%<br />
Store<br />
windows<br />
Brand<br />
websites 3<br />
TV &<br />
Movies<br />
24%<br />
34%<br />
39%<br />
Brand<br />
websites 3 33%<br />
Store<br />
windows<br />
TV &<br />
Movies<br />
26%<br />
23%<br />
Events 20%<br />
Events 17%<br />
Celebrities 20%<br />
Celebrities 16%<br />
Seen<br />
Worn<br />
13%<br />
Physical<br />
Social Media & Online Blogs<br />
Note: Multiple options answer (ranking of five levers) 1 Includes physical Word Of Mouth, Social Media and Other online blogs 2. Editorials and<br />
Commercial in Magazines. Includes both traditional & digital magazines 3. Includes also Brand's App<br />
Source: BCG 2014 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 51<br />
Worn<br />
12%<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
51
72% of true luxury consumers use Social Media to<br />
interact with their favourite luxury brands<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"Do you use Social Media to interact with luxury brands?"<br />
% of respondents<br />
Overall<br />
By generation<br />
Millennials Gen. X Baby B. & Silver<br />
By nationality<br />
No<br />
Yes,<br />
occasionally<br />
28%<br />
15%<br />
23% 28%<br />
13%<br />
16%<br />
47%<br />
18%<br />
12%<br />
22%<br />
16%<br />
34%<br />
15%<br />
51%<br />
72%<br />
Yes,<br />
57%<br />
frequently 1<br />
64%<br />
56%<br />
24%<br />
29%<br />
70%<br />
62%<br />
51%<br />
17%<br />
32%<br />
1. At least one Social Media used more than once per day<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 52<br />
52
Facebook, YouTube, Instagram the hottest Platforms<br />
Instant messaging with very high frequency<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
"How frequently and which Social Media do you use to interact with luxury brands or<br />
social media peers to share opinions?"<br />
Users (% of respondents)<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
≤1 time per week<br />
Focus on Content<br />
Facebook<br />
1)<br />
2)<br />
Focus on<br />
Interaction/Service<br />
≥1 time per day<br />
Frequency<br />
of usage<br />
1. Tencent QQ 2. Sina Weibo<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 respondents in 10 countries)<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx 53<br />
53
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Behavioral <strong>Consumer</strong> Segments Evolution<br />
primocapitolo.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
54
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Where does behavioral segmentation apply?<br />
20 k€<br />
10 k€<br />
50 k€<br />
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong><br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
Behavioral Segmentation<br />
5 k€<br />
Top Aspirational<br />
2 k€<br />
Other Aspirational<br />
Occasional <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
1. Including Experiential and Personal luxury, excluding cars and Yachts<br />
Note: rounded numbers<br />
Source: BCG <strong>Luxury</strong> Market model<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 55<br />
55
Absolute Luxurer, Megacitier and Social Wearer have<br />
driven market growth over the last years<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Contribution to luxury market growth by segment (2013-2016)<br />
Total P & E Market generated by <strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> & Top Aspirational consumers – Bn€<br />
~90%<br />
of total<br />
growth<br />
13<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
1<br />
-1<br />
-1<br />
-1<br />
-3<br />
-4<br />
312<br />
16<br />
22<br />
255<br />
Segment Value<br />
Size, Bn€<br />
Abs.<br />
Social<br />
Experiencer<br />
Status<br />
Luxe<br />
Omni<br />
2013<br />
Luxurer<br />
Wearer Seaker Immune<br />
Gifter<br />
2016<br />
#LITTLE<br />
Rich<br />
Timeless<br />
Class-<br />
Megacitier<br />
Fashionista<br />
PRINCE Upstarter<br />
Proper<br />
pirational<br />
83 54 23 21 38 9 17 20 5 20 16 6<br />
Absolute Luxurer growing by spend increase, Megacitier<br />
and Social Wearer growing by luxury consumer number<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 56<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
56
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Each geography has its own segment mix<br />
% of # of luxury<br />
Overall<br />
Segment distribution by nationality<br />
Fashionista<br />
11%<br />
12%<br />
14%<br />
9%<br />
6%<br />
Megacitier<br />
11%<br />
16%<br />
10%<br />
9%<br />
3%<br />
Classpirational<br />
10%<br />
7%<br />
8%<br />
7%<br />
15%<br />
Experiencer<br />
9%<br />
4%<br />
10%<br />
13%<br />
10%<br />
Timeless Proper<br />
9%<br />
6%<br />
9%<br />
11%<br />
15%<br />
Status Seeker<br />
9%<br />
7%<br />
9%<br />
9%<br />
9%<br />
Social Wearer<br />
8%<br />
8%<br />
10%<br />
8%<br />
3%<br />
Absolute Luxurer<br />
8%<br />
6%<br />
11%<br />
10%<br />
3%<br />
Rich Upstarter<br />
8%<br />
22%<br />
0%<br />
1%<br />
0%<br />
#LITTLEPRINCE<br />
8%<br />
5%<br />
8%<br />
9%<br />
3%<br />
Omni Gifter<br />
6%<br />
6%<br />
4%<br />
7%<br />
11%<br />
Luxe Immune<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
consumers<br />
57<br />
Top 3 Segments<br />
6%<br />
7%<br />
21%<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 57<br />
Draft—for discussion only
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Working well on a segment pays back<br />
Share of # of luxury consumers, %<br />
Absolute<br />
Luxurer<br />
Megacitier<br />
Social Wearer<br />
+7pp<br />
+3pp<br />
+9pp<br />
17%<br />
15%<br />
13%<br />
8%<br />
10%<br />
11%<br />
12%<br />
8%<br />
4%<br />
Overall<br />
2016<br />
2013<br />
2016<br />
5 brands with highest<br />
penetration in the<br />
segment<br />
Overall<br />
2016<br />
2013<br />
2016<br />
5 brands with highest<br />
penetration in the<br />
segment<br />
Overall<br />
2016<br />
2013<br />
2016<br />
5 brands with highest<br />
penetration in the<br />
segment<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 58<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
58
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
Example: a Brand successfully changing its consumers<br />
mix towards more attractive behavioral segments<br />
Segment<br />
Segment with highest penetration vs. segment with lowest penetration<br />
for a successful and growing brand<br />
Share of # of luxury consumers, %<br />
Example for an high-end<br />
personal luxury brand<br />
Avg. Spend 40k€<br />
Growing 1 +11% p.a.<br />
8%<br />
+6pp<br />
14%<br />
Tends to be very loyal<br />
Absolute Luxurer<br />
Overall<br />
Brand share<br />
Avg. Spend 3k€<br />
Diminishing 1 -15% p.a.<br />
Less loyal to a brand<br />
10%<br />
-5pp<br />
5%<br />
Classpirational<br />
Overall<br />
Brand share<br />
<strong>The</strong> luxury brand here represented achieved a<br />
+ 16 % revenue growth p.a. in the last 3 years<br />
1. Segment Generated Market<br />
Source: BCG 2016 ad hoc study (12,000 luxury consumers in 10 countries)<br />
primocapitolo.pptx 59<br />
Draft—for discussion only<br />
59
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> <strong>Insight</strong> 4 th Edition<br />
Main Outcomes<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
6<br />
7<br />
8<br />
9<br />
10<br />
In a moderate growth luxury market, <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s maintaining a healthier and steadier pace<br />
In a slower personal luxury market expected winners and losers both among Brands and among Categories<br />
Discrepancy between perceived value and price puts at risk affection of ~50% of consumers<br />
Casualwear with increasing appeal vs. formal for 2 / 3 of <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s<br />
Customization a growing request and purchase driver, especially in Apparel<br />
<strong>Consumer</strong>s buying more in their home country, especially Chinese<br />
Store solo sales decreasing but omnichannel the real trend vs. online solo sales<br />
Monobrand stores losing traffic and sales, not only for online effect<br />
<strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s massively engaging on Social Media with their favorite Brands<br />
Strong differences in Brands performances within winning <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>s BCG Behavioral segments<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong>: What BCG could do for<br />
<strong>Luxury</strong> Companies leveraging the study<br />
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
1<br />
Brand Equity<br />
to support<br />
sales boost<br />
Launch an ad hoc survey on <strong>True</strong> <strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Consumer</strong> of the brand to bring<br />
insight to the next level on key topics relevant for the business<br />
• e.g. Categories, Geographical Markets, <strong>Consumer</strong> generations<br />
• e.g. Digital, retail execution, megacities penetration,<br />
• ....<br />
2 Voice of<br />
consumers to<br />
inform key<br />
decisions<br />
Launch an ad hoc consumer study tailored on the specific target consumer<br />
of a Brand to inform key business decisions<br />
• e.g. Possible merge / demerge of two lines<br />
• ...<br />
3<br />
Actionable<br />
consumer<br />
segmentation<br />
Develop a tailored and proprietary consumer behavioral segmentation for<br />
the brand, applying BCG behavioral segmentation to Brand CRM data<br />
• To capture future organic growth and boost LFL retail sales<br />
– Inform key decisions in merchandising, assortment, CRM, marketing,...<br />
– Define and launch pilots<br />
– Measure and scale up<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
62<br />
62
Copyright © 2016 by <strong>The</strong> Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.<br />
BCG Authors<br />
Nicola<br />
Pianon<br />
Olivier<br />
Abtan<br />
Federico<br />
Bonelli<br />
Senior Partner<br />
and Managing<br />
Director<br />
- Milan<br />
Leading Fashion & <strong>Luxury</strong> Division<br />
in Italy<br />
26 years @ BCG<br />
Partner and<br />
Managing<br />
Director<br />
- Paris<br />
<strong>Global</strong> Lead of Fashion & <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
Division<br />
17 years @ BCG<br />
Principal<br />
- Milan<br />
Fashion & <strong>Luxury</strong> Division Core<br />
Member<br />
8 years of Strategy Consulting in F&L<br />
Expertise areas<br />
• Business planning, strategy<br />
definition and implementation in<br />
Fashion and <strong>Luxury</strong><br />
• Retailing and retail development<br />
• Go to market strategy definition for<br />
luxury brands in Europe, US & Asia<br />
• Deep expertise in Digital strategy<br />
Contacts<br />
Pianon.nicola@bcg.com<br />
Tel. +39 02 65599 204<br />
Mobile +39 335 237556<br />
Expertise areas<br />
• 20+ fashion & <strong>Luxury</strong> (vendor) due<br />
diligences in the last 3 years alone<br />
• Deep expertise in digital strategies<br />
• Retail transformation and concept<br />
definition across Europe and Africa<br />
• Deep expertise in Merchandising,<br />
Category Management and Product<br />
Development<br />
Contacts<br />
Abtan.olivier@bcg.com<br />
Tel. +33 1 4017 4381<br />
Mobile +33 6 03 61 61 00<br />
Expertise areas<br />
• Focus on luxury and premium<br />
industry in all categories<br />
• Assisted 40+ luxury groups<br />
• Led large transformations, focusing<br />
on distribution, retail, merch., ...<br />
• Interim General Manager of Recarlo<br />
in 2012<br />
Contacts<br />
Bonelli.federico@bcg.com<br />
Tel. +39 02 65599 608<br />
Mobile +39 335 8495649<br />
BCG Altagamma <strong>True</strong>-<strong>Luxury</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Cons <strong>Insight</strong> 2017 Ed v69 14feb17 Final No BUP.pptx Draft—for discussion only<br />
63<br />
63
Thank you<br />
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