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QUARTERLY<br />
MARKET REPORT<br />
NEW FARM, NEWSTEAD, TENERIFFE, FORTITUDE VALLEY<br />
JANUARY - MARCH 2015<br />
TOM LYNE<br />
RAY WHITE NEW FARM
I hope everyone had a very safe and enjoyable<br />
Christmas break and had an opportunity to recharge<br />
their batteries for what I think will be an exceptional<br />
year ahead of us. As we embark on 2015, reflecting<br />
on the 2014 market provides an indication of what<br />
we can expect over the coming months. In monitoring<br />
the New Farm peninsula as a whole (New Farm,<br />
Teneriffe, Newstead and the Fortitude Valley), it was<br />
evident that all areas of the market have seen growth<br />
on the previous year, whether it be a two bedroom<br />
investment apartment or prestige riverfront homes,<br />
each individual market performed significantly better<br />
than the previous year in 2013. The latest Core-<br />
Logic RP Data results show that capital city home<br />
values in Australia rose by 7.9% in 2014, with Brisbane<br />
seeing 4.8% in growth for the year compared to<br />
Sydney’s 12.4% and Melbourne 7.6%. These figures<br />
put Brisbane as Australia’s third highest capital city<br />
growth in the country for 2014.<br />
With growth statistics like these and a strong finish<br />
to the last quarter of 2014, the big question I am<br />
now regularly asked is “will the momentum of last<br />
year’s market continue through into 2015?” I believe<br />
the answer is yes.<br />
Throughout the last quarter of 2014, there was<br />
“<br />
MARKET UPDATE<br />
2015 MARKET REPORT<br />
JANUARY - MARCH 2015<br />
I EXPECT THESE PRICES TO HOLD FIRM AND CONTINUE IN 2015<br />
WITH BUYER ENQUIRY ALREADY UP ON LAST YEAR COUPLED WITH<br />
INTEREST RATES STILL BEING HELD AT AN ALL-TIME LOW.<br />
REFLECTING ON 2014’S MARKET<br />
and still is a strong demand for un-renovated<br />
houses and cottages within the area, with many<br />
buyers opting to design and renovate to their particular<br />
needs. This has brought on a shortage of<br />
stock which has resulted in some exceptional prices<br />
achieved for our sellers and also set new benchmarks<br />
in prices that have now exceeded previous<br />
prices pre GFC. I expect these prices to hold firm<br />
and continue in 2015 with buyer enquiry already<br />
up on last year coupled with interest rates still<br />
being held at an all-time low. CoreLogic RP Data<br />
research analyst Cameron Kusher recently stated,<br />
“Detached housing remains in high demand despite<br />
the higher price point.” He said we haven’t<br />
seen the same ramp up in building approvals for<br />
detached housing compared with multi-unit dwelling<br />
approvals.<br />
In 2014, the capital gain on houses compared to<br />
units was higher, with house values gaining 8.4%<br />
over the calendar year compared with a 5.1% increase<br />
in unit values. (PropertyWire 2015)<br />
Many owners, who had been planning to sell<br />
their homes or investments, took the plunge and<br />
made the decision to market their properties, with<br />
a high number being sold within weeks of being<br />
listed. Chief Executive Officer of REIQ, Antonia<br />
Mercorella said house sales activity continued to<br />
improve, with figures revealing a five per cent increase<br />
across greater Brisbane in the September<br />
quarter.<br />
Sydney and Melbourne have always been known as<br />
the leading capital cities in Australia for record-high<br />
QUEENSLAND’S AUCTION SUCCESS<br />
“<br />
auction numbers and auction success rates. Brisbane’s<br />
appetite and understanding for auctions<br />
is continuing to grow, which is closing the gap on<br />
both Sydney and Melbourne. November 2014 was<br />
a record month for the highest number of auctions<br />
conducted. Brisbane had an unprecedented spring<br />
auction selling season, with 2093 homes listed and<br />
going under the hammer. The previous high was<br />
1729, recorded in spring 2010. When auctions are<br />
understood correctly they are the most transparent<br />
way in transacting property for the highest price.<br />
New Farm is now one of Brisbane’s leading suburbs<br />
for auctions and level of success rate.<br />
Experts are talking that the current weakness in<br />
jobs and wage growth means that inflation is un-<br />
HOW LONG WILL THE LOW<br />
INTEREST RATES LAST?<br />
likely to cause the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise<br />
interest rates for the short term. Consequently if interest<br />
rates rose, we would see a major slowdown in<br />
the economy and will trigger the exchange rate to go<br />
against us. Therefore the Reserve Bank has almost<br />
no option, but to keep the official cash rate at barrel.<br />
Reserve Bank of Australia governor, Glenn Stevens<br />
indicated that interest rates may need to stay<br />
low for years because of the weak economy, but<br />
warned this would only be possible if property prices<br />
are kept in check. “Leaving interest rates low<br />
could cause further house price increases as investors<br />
look for a better return than they can get in the<br />
bank.” (RBA 2014)<br />
Dr Andrew Wilson, senior economist for the Domain<br />
Group said, “The rate of growth in Brisbane<br />
will depend on local supply and demand factors,<br />
rather than the overarching incentive of low and<br />
falling interest rates, which has driven markets generally<br />
over the past two years.”<br />
In such a competitive market banks are now offering<br />
deals and incentives to try and win your<br />
business that we haven’t seen before. When researching<br />
or shopping around for a new home loan<br />
or looking to refinance your current mortgage remember<br />
to push the banks for a better deal than<br />
what is advertised. At Ray White New Farm we<br />
work closely with Loan Market and Paul Hixon.<br />
Paul in 2014 was such an asset for my clients, securing<br />
rates substantially lower than the industry<br />
advertised rates. Please feel free to call me directly<br />
or Paul if you are looking for some advice on how to<br />
best approach your new home loan.<br />
I have several clients asking me what the dynamics<br />
of the 2015 market will be. Although this is something<br />
I cannot simply predict, looking back at the<br />
“<br />
WHAT TO EXPECT IN 2015?<br />
steady trends from 2014 can give a clear indication.<br />
The Brisbane market has experienced a resurgence<br />
of activity over 2014 as market confidence<br />
strengthened significantly over the past 12 months.<br />
In addition, current stock levels are the tightest<br />
since the market peak in 2007, resulting in the<br />
number of days on the market shortening to less<br />
than 45 days for the suburb and fewer than 30 days<br />
for Ray White New Farm.<br />
Last year’s property market ended on a strong note,<br />
with homes still being negotiated all the way up to<br />
Christmas Eve. Looking at the trends we have seen in<br />
2014, I expect the positives of the market to continue.<br />
Dr Andrew Wilson, said that Brisbane would have a<br />
similar year to 2014, with inner city, blue-chip areas<br />
outperforming the market. He also predicted Brisbane's<br />
growth would be better than most other capital<br />
cities. According to Mr Kusher, Corelogic RP Data<br />
expects dwelling values will continue to appreciate in<br />
2015, at least across the combined capital cities.<br />
Predictions by property analysts pinpoint Brisbane<br />
as a property market to watch in 2015. A property<br />
forecast by the National Australian Bank puts<br />
Brisbane near the head of the pack over coming<br />
years. By their estimates, Brisbane prices are expected<br />
to increase by 6.3 per cent in 2015, the highest<br />
anticipated growth of any capital city.<br />
While dwelling values are generally still rising,<br />
rental growth is sitting at its lowest annual rate<br />
in more than a decade, with combined capital city<br />
rents increasing by just 1.8 per cent over the past 12<br />
months. House rents have increased by 1.7 per cent<br />
over the past year compared with a 2.4 per cent for<br />
units. With value growth outpacing rental growth,<br />
yields continue to shift lower. (CoreLogic 2015)<br />
BY PROPERTY ANALYST ESTIMATES, BRISBANE PRICES ARE<br />
EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 6.3 PER CENT IN 2015 THE HIGHEST<br />
ANTICIPATED GROWTH OF ANY CAPITAL CITY.<br />
“<br />
TOM LYNE<br />
LICENSED REAL ESTATE AGENT<br />
TOM<br />
LYNE<br />
AVAILABLE 7 DAYS ON: 0423 696 862<br />
D: 07 3358 0603<br />
O: 07 3254 1022<br />
tom.lyne@raywhite.com
2014-2015 SALES BY TOM LYNE<br />
FOR RAY WHITE NEW FARM<br />
26/46 Arthur Street, Fortitude Valley<br />
$595,000<br />
4/73 Oxlade Drive, New Farm<br />
$473,000<br />
6/41 Griffith Street, New Farm<br />
$451,000<br />
13/378 Bowen Terrace, New Farm<br />
$425,000<br />
16/27 Cunningham Street, Newstead<br />
$825,000<br />
1 Gray Street, New Farm<br />
$1,595,000<br />
30/45 Moray Street, New Farm<br />
$540,000<br />
31 Hetherington Street, Herston<br />
$591,000<br />
225/1000 Ann Street, New Farm<br />
$530,000<br />
9A Hickey Street, New Farm<br />
$1,280,000<br />
116 Heal Street, New Farm<br />
$1,505,000<br />
55 Mountford Road, New Farm<br />
$1,550,000<br />
45 Dalrymple Street, Wilston<br />
Sold<br />
17/140 Sydney Street, New Farm<br />
$ 785,000<br />
29/45 Moray Street, New Farm<br />
$530,000<br />
23/2 Oxlade Drive, New Farm<br />
$660,000<br />
6/44 Moray Street, New Farm<br />
$700,000<br />
5/95 Oxlade Drive, New Farm<br />
$480,000<br />
632/1 Newstead Terrace, Newstead<br />
$3,225,000
NEW FARM PENINSULA<br />
TOP SALES 2014-2015<br />
HOUSE SALES 2014-2015<br />
MARKET SHARE OF NEW LISTINGS<br />
50 %<br />
RWNF<br />
Houses<br />
ADDRESS SUBURB SALE $ STATUS DATE AREA SIZE<br />
Units<br />
24 %<br />
RWNF<br />
#1<br />
AGENCY<br />
FOR<br />
NEW AND<br />
SOLD LISTINGS<br />
CIRCA $330M TOTAL VOLUME<br />
OF PROPERTIES SOLD IN 2014<br />
MARKET SHARE OF SOLD LISTINGS<br />
66 %<br />
RWNF<br />
26.5%<br />
RWNF<br />
49 Macquarie Street Teneriffe $5,150,000 Off Market 05/11/2014 354m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
77 Macquarie Street Teneriffe $3,785,000 Auction 04/12/2014 365m 2 MARKET 4 SHARE bed, 3 OF bath, SOLD 3 car LISTINGS<br />
Houses<br />
Units<br />
265 Kent Street Teneriffe $3,350,000 Sale by Neg 17/04/2014 607m 2 5 bed, 3 bath, 4 car<br />
26.5%<br />
26 Chester Street Newstead $3,275,000 Auction 30/03/2014 579m 2 RWNF<br />
66 7 bed, % 11 bath, 4 car<br />
RWNF<br />
192 Heal Street New Farm $3,100,000 Auction 24/05/2014 926m 2 5 bed, 3 bath, 3 car<br />
81 Chester Street Newstead $2,900,000 Auction 01/08/2014 966m 2 Houses 5 bed, 3 bath, 2 bed Units<br />
55 Kingsholme Street Teneriffe $2,800,000 Sale by Neg 13/01/2014 607m 2 5 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
$<br />
CIRCA $330M TOTAL<br />
VOLUME OF PROPERTIES<br />
SOLD IN 2014<br />
72% AUCTION<br />
SUCCESS RATE<br />
MARKET SHARE OF NEW LISTINGS<br />
50 %<br />
RWNF<br />
24 %<br />
RWNF<br />
60 Mark Street New Farm $2,650,000 Off Market 14/09/2014 607m 2 4 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
24 Oxlade Drive New Farm $2,650,000 Auction 15/12/2014 845m 2 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
106 Villiers Street New Farm $2,605,000 Auction 05/07/2014 374m 2 5 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
44 Moreton Street New Farm $2,541,000 Auction 22/11/2014 723m 2 6 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
Houses<br />
APARTMENT SALES 2014-2015<br />
Units<br />
120 Annie Street New Farm $2,500,000 Off Market 28/01/2014 1,745m 2 4 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
249 Harcourt Street New Farm $2,500,000 Auction 17/05/2014 486m 2 4 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
233 Kent Street New Farm $2,250,000 Sale by Neg 14/04/2014 1012m 2 2 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
114 Browne Street New Farm $2,200,000 Auction 16/08/2014 374m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
16 Browne Street New Farm $2,200,000 Sale by Neg 30/06/2014 577m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
30 Gibbon Street New Farm $1,950,000 Sale by Neg 03/02/2014 494m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
ADDRESS SUBURB SALE $ STATUS DATE AREA SIZE<br />
MARKET SHARE OF SOLD LISTINGS<br />
1 Gray Street New Farm $4,500,000 Off Market 25/02/2014 475m 2 3 bed, 3 bath 3, car<br />
771/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $3,712,500 Sale by Neg 27/02/2014 334m 2 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
66 %<br />
RWNF<br />
26.5%<br />
RWNF<br />
761/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $3,588,750 Sale by Neg 01/04/2014 334m 2 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
751/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $3,360,000 Sale by Neg 10/04/2014 334m 2 4 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
31/1 Macquarie Street Teneriffe $2,950,000 Off Market 15/04/2014 308m 2 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car<br />
872/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,868,750 Sale by Neg 05/03/2014 262m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
Houses<br />
169/45 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,859,000 Off market 30/06/2014 484m 2 4 bed, 3 bath, 2 car<br />
Units<br />
852/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,792,500 Sale by Neg 08/09/2014 262m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
861/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,758,250 Sale by Neg 26/02/2014 258m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
841/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,700,000 Sale by Neg 04/08/2014 257m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
10/6 Merthyr Road New Farm $2,550,000 Sale by Neg 27/05/2014 425m 2 3 bed, 3 bath, 4 car<br />
952/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,120,000 Sale by Neg 04/07/2014 214m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
541/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $2,150,000 Sale by Neg 11/03/2014 204m 2 2 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
6/6 Merthyr Road New Farm $2,000,000 Sale by Neg 28/05/2014 208m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
511/1 Newstead Terrace Newstead $1,960,000 Sale by Neg 14/02/2014 289m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
65/6 Merthyr Road New Farm $1,925,000 Off Market 09/07/2014 186m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car<br />
9/6 Merthyr Road New Farm $1,850,000 Sale by Neg 09/07/2014 305m 2 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car
MY PERFORMANCE<br />
2014 was my busiest and most memorable for<br />
me to date. Working in Brisbane’s most dynamic<br />
Real Estate agency has given me an extraordinary<br />
platform to achieve some outstanding results for<br />
my valued clients. Working and living in the area<br />
excites me every day for what is yet to come. To<br />
personally see this area grow and further develop,<br />
most recently in the past few years has really<br />
cemented the fact that we live in Brisbane’s most<br />
desirable and progressive suburb. I have a strong<br />
commitment in working with New Farm locals and<br />
a passion for the variety and style of homes this<br />
suburb offers. My specialist and expert knowledge<br />
of the market is a key contributing factor to my<br />
success rate.<br />
Integrity is my most important asset, and honestly<br />
at all times forms the foundation that all my work<br />
evolves from. Ray White New Farm’s impeccable<br />
reputation and continued record of success is a<br />
clear indication that I will deliver the highest customer<br />
service levels, aiming to get you an absolute<br />
premium sales result.<br />
The momentum from 2014 and unprecedented<br />
confidence has underpinned a flying start to 2015.<br />
We are already seeing very strong levels of sales activity<br />
within the area and it’s only February.<br />
Feel free to call me anytime to discuss any property<br />
queries you may have.<br />
Wishing you all the best for 2015.<br />
Yours Sincerely, TOM LYNE<br />
CLIENT FEEDBACK<br />
Georgie and Sam Robson<br />
116 Heal Street, New Farm<br />
We have recently sold our home in New Farm,<br />
and had the pleasure of being guided through this<br />
process by the delightful Tom Lyne from Ray White.<br />
We knew from the very moment we met Tom that<br />
he was the right person for the job to assist our family<br />
through the daunting experience of selling our<br />
most valuable asset. He made the process a pure<br />
joy, kept us continually updated throughout the entire<br />
marketing campaign, and secured a great price<br />
for our home at auction, well above our reserve.<br />
Tom’s local knowledge of sales in the area and<br />
an extensive network of contacts were invaluable<br />
during the campaign. If you are considering selling<br />
your home, we have no hesitation in recommending<br />
him to anyone looking to buy or sell real estate in<br />
the area. You will be beyond impressed!<br />
John & Donna McCormack<br />
55 Mountford Road, New Farm<br />
We found Tom to be professional, personable<br />
and ethical. Tom worked diligently to keep us fully<br />
completely informed throughout the marketing and<br />
inspection process and was ably supported by his<br />
Team. We accepted an offer prior to auction that we<br />
were happy with, but at all times Tom was striving<br />
to achieve the best outcome for us. We would definitely<br />
use Tom’s services in the future and have no<br />
hesitation in recommending him.<br />
“<br />
WE KNEW FROM THE VERY MOMENT WE<br />
MET TOM THAT HE WAS THE RIGHT PERSON<br />
FOR THE JOB TO ASSIST OUR FAMILY<br />
THROUGH THE DAUNTING EXPERIENCE OF<br />
SELLING OUR MOST VALUABLE ASSET.<br />
“<br />
Domenica DePasqulae<br />
45 Dalrymple Street, Wilston<br />
I have known Tom Lyne for some 5 years now<br />
and during this time I have watched him develop<br />
into a dynamic young business man and a committed<br />
real estate sales person. Recently I did sell my<br />
family home at Wilston choosing Tom and his Ray<br />
White New Farm team to be my sales agent. I was<br />
continually impressed by his dedicated enthusiasm<br />
in obtaining a successful result for me. Tom’s honesty<br />
and informative advice lead me to committing<br />
to a very comprehensive marketing campaign which<br />
resulted in a positive outcome.<br />
Whilst it was an emotional time for me it was an<br />
absolute pleasure to deal with Tom and have him<br />
present my home at all the open homes. Tom was<br />
always courteous, punctual and most polite providing<br />
me with up to date information daily re the progression<br />
of the selling process. Even my neighbours<br />
at Wilston did commend me on choosing such a<br />
pleasant and positive sales person to sell my property.<br />
I would personally recommend Tom Lyne to<br />
sell your property, I have worked with Real Estate<br />
agents for many years now and I know Tom would<br />
give 100 percent effort and work tirelessly to obtain<br />
the best result possible for you. I look forward to<br />
working with Tom again in the future, either buying<br />
or selling my next property. Please contact me<br />
directly should you wish me to endorse these comments.<br />
TOM LYNE<br />
AVAILABLE 7 DAYS ON 0423 696 862