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According to Keynesian

According to Keynesian theory, a change in one of the components of Total Expenditures will lead to a multiplied change in Real GDP. The multiplier effect occurs because the initial change in Total Expenditures triggers a chain reaction. In Example 8, investment spending increases by $120 billion. This new production generates $120 billion in new income for the resource owners who produced the new physical capital. What will the recipients of this income do with $120 billion in new income? (For simplicity, we will ignore the effect of taxes.) With an MPC of .60, consumption will increase by $72 billion ($120 billion x .60). This new production generates $72 billion in new income for the resource owners who produced the new consumption goods. This will lead to another $43.2 billion ($72 billion x .60) in new consumption. This new production generates $43.2 billion in new income for the resource owners who produced the new consumption goods. This will lead to another $25.92 billion ($43.2 billion x .60) in new consumption. The chain reaction continues. We can compute the eventual change in Real GDP by using the following formula: Change in Real GDP = Initial change x Multiplier The Multiplier The size of the multiplier effect depends on a factor called the multiplier. The multiplier is computed using the following formula: Multiplier = 1 ÷ (1 – MPC) Example 9: In Example 8 above, the MPC was .60. Thus, the multiplier would be 2.5, as computed below: Multiplier = 1 ÷ (1 – MPC) = 1 ÷ (1 – .60) = 1 ÷ .40 = 2.5 With a multiplier of 2.5, the Change in Real GDP resulting from a $120 billion increase in investment would be a $300 billion increase, as computed below: Change in Real GDP = Initial change x Multiplier = $120 billion x 2.5 = $300 billion The size of the multiplier depends on the MPC. The greater the MPC, the larger the multiplier. The larger the multiplier, the larger the eventual change in Real GDP. Example 10: Assume the same facts as Example 8, except that the MPC is .75. When investment spending increases by $120 billion, what is the change in Real GDP? Multiplier = 1 ÷ (1 – MPC) = 1 ÷ (1 – .75) = 1 ÷ .25 = 4 Change in Real GDP = Initial change x Multiplier = $120 billion x 4 = $480 billion In Examples 9 and 10, the initial change was an increase in Total Expenditures. What if the initial change is a decrease in Total Expenditures? According to Keynesian theory, the multiplier effect works the same for an initial decrease in Total Expenditures as for an initial increase. The initial decrease in Total Expenditures would lead to a multiplied decrease in Real GDP. Example 11: If investment spending decreases by $100 billion when the MPC is .80, what is the change in Real GDP? Multiplier = 1 ÷ (1 – MPC) = 1 ÷ (1 – .80) = 1 ÷ .20 = 5 Change in Real GDP = Initial change x Multiplier = $100 billion decrease x 5 = $500 billion decrease FOR REVIEW ONLY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 8 - 9 Keynesian Economic Theory

Appendix: Book Review – “The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money” In January of 1935, Maynard Keynes wrote a letter to George Bernard Shaw in which he stated, “…I believe myself to be writing a book on economic theory which will largely revolutionize – not, I suppose, at once but in the course of the next ten years – the way the world thinks about economic problems”. That book, published in 1936, was “The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money”. Keynes’s book has had the kind of revolutionary impact that he anticipated. “The General Theory” was controversial when published, and remains so to this day. Keynes’s prescription for ending the Great Depression – government deficit spending – was not put into practice immediately. The consensus at the time was that deficit spending was dangerous and irresponsible behavior. The only legitimate excuse for deficit spending was to finance a military effort. In peacetime, budget surpluses were to be accomplished in order to pay down previous war debt. War debt needed to be paid down because, well, there would always be another war that would need to be financed. President Franklin Roosevelt signed a tax increase in 1936, hoping to balance the federal budget. When World War II began, the nations involved deficit spent as never before. The Great Depression, which had lingered for years, abruptly came to an end. The Keynesian prescription for ending the depression appeared to have been proven correct. After the war, the U.S. federal government enacted the Employment Act of 1946, which established the federal government’s responsibility to “promote maximum employment, production, and purchasing power”. Keynesian theory, as expressed in “The General Theory” and as developed in the writings of such economists as John Hicks, Alvin Hansen, and Paul Samuelson, dominated economic theory and practice through the 1960s. Even one of the harshest critics of “The General Theory”, Henry Hazlitt, wrote in 1959, “The most famous economist of the twentieth century is John Maynard Keynes; and the most influential economic book of the present era, both on theory and on economic policy, is his “General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money”.” The December 31, 1965 issue of “Time” magazine featured a cover story entitled, “We Are All Keynesians Now”. The article stated, “Today, some 20 years after his (Keynes) death, his theories are a prime influence on the world’s free economies, especially on America’s, the richest and most expansionist. In Washington the men who formulate the nation’s economic policies have used Keynesian principles not only to avoid the violent cycles of prewar days but to produce a phenomenal economic growth and to achieve remarkably stable prices.” In the 1970s, the U.S. economy suffered from a combination of high unemployment and high inflation, dubbed “stagflation”. According to Keynesian theory, high unemployment is caused by inadequate aggregate demand and high inflation is caused by excessive aggregate demand. Keynesian theory provides no explanation for stagflation. “The General Theory” is a tough read. Keynesian economist Paul Samuelson wrote, “It is a badly written book, poorly organized…It is not well suited for classroom use. It is arrogant, badtempered, polemical, and not overly generous in its acknowledgements. It abounds in mares’ nests and confusion…” The most influential assertions of “The General Theory” can be summarized as follows: 1. Say’s Law (supply creates its own demand) is incorrect. Equilibrium total output is determined by Total Expenditures, and will not necessarily correspond to full employment. 2. A decrease in investment caused by a decrease in expected rates of return is the most likely cause of a recession. 3. If investors are very pessimistic about future rates of return, they may not invest more in response to lower interest rates (thus monetary policy may fail to restore full employment). 4. Expansionary fiscal policy (deficit spending) is the best way to restore full employment. 5. Any change in government spending or taxation will have a multiplied effect on total output. FOR REVIEW ONLY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION Keynesian Economic Theory 8 - 10

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    PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS JEFF HOLT S

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    Principles of Economics, 6th Editio

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    16. Study Guide for Chapter 7 17. C

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    11. Appendix: Book Review - “The

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    20. Appendix: The NCAA Cartel 21. S

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    Introduction: A Brief History of U.

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    In the twentieth century, per capit

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    Appendix: The 35 Largest National E

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    Multiple Choice: ___ 1. The Jamesto

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    2. Describe the economic cost of th

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    Chapter 1 Scarcity and Choices The

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    Example 5B: At the end of 1982, the

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    Example 11: When Cindy quits her jo

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    consequences may result in failure

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    An upward sloping curve (as in Exam

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    In making decisions, humans tend to

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    5. ______________________ _________

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    Y Point X Y A 0 1 B 3 3 C 6 5 D 9 7

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    Chapter 2 Trade and Economic System

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    Example 4B: The following quantitie

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    1. An increase in the quantity of r

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    3. For whom to produce? This is det

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    The graph below illustrates the shi

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    The two primary economic systems ar

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    Chapter 3 Demand, Supply, and Equil

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    . For inferior goods, income and de

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    The same information can be placed

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    Not only does a free market elimina

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    Example 17: The graph below illustr

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    Chapter 4 Inflation and Unemploymen

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    Computing the Rate of Inflation The

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    Full Employment Though unemployment

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    3. Cyclical unemployment - due to d

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    During the Great Depression, the ec

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    Appendix: Think Like an Economist -

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    Answer questions 8. and 9. based on

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    ___ 25. The extension of unemployme

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    On February 17, 2009, the federal g

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    Fed policies caused short-term inte

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    Monetarist Transmission Mechanism C

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    3. Borrowers do not have to seek ou

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    Appendix: Book Review - “The Age

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    Questions for Chapter 12 Fill-in-th

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    the current government spending and

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    cut of 1964. The top rate was lower

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    Chapter 14 Economic Growth The basi

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    2. Labor. Labor can contribute to e

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    estricting international trade (e.g

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    An improvement in technology (e.g.

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    The table below shows the economic

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    will increase both Real GDP and per

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    ___ 26. The opinion that economic g

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    Chapter 15 Less Developed Countries

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    Obstacles to Economic Development f

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    c. Restrictions on international tr

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    Example 25: In Brazil, about half t

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    4. List four ways that governments

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    Chapter 16 International Trade The

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    Other Benefits of Free Internationa

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    Example 6: The graph below illustra

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    competitive disadvantage. But dumpi

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    is only 25% as productive as before

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    Smith was skeptical of government a

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    Chapter 17 Elasticity We are often

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    Example 4A: What is price elasticit

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    Example 5A: Gertie’s Gas and Go i

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    Example 10A: When the price of Good

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    In the long run, would the deadweig

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    Chapter 18 Utility The basic econom

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    Nonetheless, society generally assu

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    Example 9: Capital City operates a

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    Marginal rate of substitution - the

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    The diamond-water paradox is the ob

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    4. The graph below shows indifferen

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    Chapter 19 The Firm The basic econo

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    than contributing to team productio

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    1. Difficulty in raising large amou

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    Example 24: A blacksmith who produc

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    For financing needs, proprietorship

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    Chapter 20 Production and Costs The

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    In Example 5B, Birdwell finds that

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    variable cost initially decreases,

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    Quantity TC MC AFC AVC ATC 0 240 X

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    If the scale of operation is increa

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    average total cost. Average fixed c

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    ___ 11. Concerning the cost curves:

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    5. Complete the following cost tabl

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    Chapter 21 Perfect Competition The

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    Even though a perfect competitor ca

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    At what price will there be neither

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    Multiple Choice: ___ 1. A perfect c

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    ___ 17. Perfect competition: a. req

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    Answers for Chapter 21 Fill-in-the-

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    Chapter 22 Monopoly Of the four mar

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    3. Exclusive ownership of an essent

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    maximizing quantity (4 units) creat

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    $22 - 20 - 18 - 16 - 14 - Deadweigh

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    2. Negotiating, beginning at a high

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    Legal barriers are created by gover

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    Price Quantity 3. List some of the

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    Chapter 23 Monopolistic Competition

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    For Percomp (the perfect competitor

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    Example 7A: The graph below represe

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    Example 9: The Organization of the

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    Example 12 illustrates the dilemma

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    its current price and quantity. The

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    ___ 14. Game theory: a. is a method

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    Answers for Chapter 23 Fill-in-the-

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    Chapter 24 Factor Markets The basic

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    $ $240 - 200 - 160 - 120 - 80 - 40

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    Since producers will attempt to equ

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    2. Differences in nonmoney aspects

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    were his strikeouts, walks, and hom

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    ___ 3. To maximize profits, a produ

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    Multiple Choice: 1. a. 8. c. 15. d.

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    Chapter 25 Labor Unions The primary

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    The elasticity of demand for union

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    Example 4A: Assume that the graph b

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    Wage Factory A Quantity of Labor S

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    Chapter 26 Interest, Present Value,

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    An increase in expected rates of re

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    ___ 4. An increase in expected rate

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    Problems: 1. List and explain the t

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    Chapter 27 Market Failure The basic

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    External Benefit If a market genera

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    Example 2: To encourage the consump

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    $100 - 90 - 80 - MSC 70 - $ 60 - 50

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    A common good is nonexcludable. Non

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    Study Guide for Chapter 27 Chapter

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    ___ 5. What government policy would

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    4. Based on the information on the

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    Chapter 28 Public Choice and Govern

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    Candidates and the Median Voter Mod

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    Example 8: According to State and F

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    Example 10: When Elvis Presley was

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    ___ 5. An elected official will: a.

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    2. If a certain policy will yield s

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    Chapter 29 Government Regulation of

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    underproduction is the amount that

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    micromanagement results in business

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    market. They may agree with their c

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    Questions for Chapter 29 Fill-in-th

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    ___ 10. The public interest theory

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    4. List the four types of costs imp

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    weather may cause bumper crops. Bad

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    Security and Rural Investment Act o

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    Example 12: From 1960 to 2013, the

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    1. NHI would provide universal heal

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    d. Insurance providers are not allo

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    Study Guide for Chapter 30 Chapter

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    ___ 21. If there were no individual

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    Chapter 31 Income Distribution and

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    Income is more equally distributed

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    over a typical career is the accumu

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    Ideal Income Redistribution The ide

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    Poverty - a family whose income fal

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    Appendix: Income Inequality around

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    How is this story an analogy for th

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    ___ 2. In 2013, the Lowest Income 6

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    Problems: 1. Explain the two primar

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    Absolute advantage - when one natio

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    Fiat money - money by government de

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    Nonrivalrous good - a good for whic

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    Absolute advantage, 16-9 Absolute e

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    “Company town”, 25-6 Comparativ

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    Eli Lilly and Company, 22-1 Emergen

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    Houston, Texas, 15-10 Human capital

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    Market, 3-1, 3-8-9 Market basket, 4

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    Upturns, 9-4 USDA, 27-9, 30-1-2, 30

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