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130218_Luxor-Egypt SECAP Final

Built Environment

Built Environment Buildings’ stock and materials Tourist Extreme heat - Concrete’s damages - Increased cooling demands - Higher maintenance costs - Urban heat island effect Low High High Low Medium Droughts - Higher water demand Low Low Sea level rise Storms Floods Extreme heat Droughts Sea level rise - Sinkholes collapse - Extensive damages, loss of property - Impact on coastal zone economy - Damages - Increased maintenance costs - Damages - Increased maintenance costs - Change of the tourism season – lower touristic flows - Reduction of the tourism related economy - Increased water supply costs - Potential increase of indirect costs for the tourists (infrastructure related) and reduction of touristic flows - Damages and even complete destruction of touristic infrastructure, nearby coastal areas and deltas Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Medium Medium Low Low Medium Low Low Low Medium Low Medium Storms - Damages to touristic facilities Medium Medium Economy Floods Extreme heat - Damages to touristic facilities - Potential effects on the touristic flows, in areas with flooding history - Changes in growth cycle - Damages / loss of harvest - Livestock loss and impacts on health - Lower crop yields - Increased fire risks Low Low Low Low Low Medium Low Low Medium - Low Agriculture Droughts - Damages / loss of harvest - Lower crop yields - Livestock loss & impacts on health - Land degradation - Increased fire risks Low Medium Low Medium Low Low- Medium Sea level rise - Damages / loss of harvest in areas near delta, sea etc. - Increased water salinity will result in existing crops’ long-term destruction. Low Medium Low- Medium 108

Storms Floods - Damages/ loss of harvest in afflicted areas - Surface soil erosion - Damages/ loss of harvest in afflicted areas - Livestock loss - Surface soil erosion Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Extreme heat - Loss of specific species (fish, etc.) Low Low Coastal zone ecosystems Droughts - Increase of coastal water salinity Medium Medium Rive Nile level rise/ drop - Loss of specific species (fish, etc.) - Soil erosion - Water salinization Low Low Low Low -Medium Storms - Soil erosion Low Medium Floods - Soil erosion Low Low Biodiversity Extreme heat Droughts - Fires and destruction of the ecosystem, flora and fauna - Fires and destruction of the ecosystem, flora and fauna Low Low Low Low Green zones/ Forests Sea level rise - Increase of underground water salinity and destruction of the ecosystem Low Low Storms - Destruction of trees and other damages Low Low Floods - Destruction of trees and other damages Low Low The vulnerability analysis of the City of Luxor was carried out by combining the results of Table 16 and the probability of scale 1 (High), 2 (Medium), and 3 (Low) for each receptor, are presented in Table 17 and Figure 24. Table 17: Risk assessment of receptors - city of Luxor, Governorate of Luxor Receptors Impact Probability R1 - Public Health 2 2 R2 - Transport 2 2 R3 - Energy 1.5 1 R4 - Water 1 2 R5 - Social 2 2 R6 - Buildings' stock & Materials 1.5 2 R7 - Tourists 2 3 R8 - Agriculture 1.5 2 R9 - Costal zones - ecosystems 2 2 R10 - Green zones - Forests 1 1 109

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