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280218_Luxor-Egypt SECAP Final_revised

Table 16: Suggested

Table 16: Suggested template for the risk assessment (1-3), the City of Luxor has a river not a sea 106 Population Infrastructure Receptors Public Health Transport Energy Weather Sensitivity Extreme heat Droughts River Nile level rise/ drop Storms Floods Extreme heat Future Risk Impact/ risk Impact - Increased number of deaths - Reinforcement of heat stress - Increased infectious diseases - Altered allergic patterns - Increased allergic incidents - Decreased air quality - More respiratory problems - Increased incidents of asthma and pneumonia - Increased water-borne diseases - Limitations to the healthcare access - Limitations to the healthcare access - Increased numbers of injuries and deaths - Limitations to the healthcare access - Increased numbers of injuries and deaths - Damages on road and rail network - Modification of transport frequency and means - Air quality problems - Higher maintenance costs Low High Medium Low Medium Medium Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Low – Medium Low Droughts - Difficult transport of bulk material Low Low River Nile level rise/ drop Storms Floods Extreme heat Droughts River Nile level rise/ drop - Damages Medium - High - Damages - Mobility problems - Damages - Mobility problems - Blackouts and inability to cover demand load - Damages, especially in the thermal power plants - Blackouts and inability to cover demand load - Higher maintenance costs - Cooling problems in power plants - Damages - Shut down of power plants near rivers, etc. - Operational difficulties Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Low Low Low Low Medium Low Low – Medium Medium - High Medium Medium Low Low Low

Storms - Higher maintenance cost - Damages / Failures in the production facilities and distribution grid / power cuts Low Medium Medium Floods - Damages / power cuts Medium Medium Extreme heat - Water scarcity - Water quality issues Low Low Low Droughts - Water scarcity - Water quality issues Medium Low Low- Medium Water River Nile level rise/ drop - Increased salinity of underground water - Water management issues - Damages - Water quality issues - Higher maintenance costs Low Low Low Low Low Low Storms - Increased damages and related maintenance costs - Water management issues Low Low Low Floods - Increased damages and related maintenance costs - Water management issues - Water quality issues Low Low Low Low Extreme heat - Increased needs for air-conditioned public spaces High High Droughts - Increased numbers of people presenting respiratory problems and burdening the health care facilities - Inability to cover the water demand - Difficulties in the operation of certain facilities due to lack of water (e.g. swimming pools) Medium Low Low Medium Social River Nile level rise/ drop - Potential damages in the coastal area facilities - Loss of coastal public spaces (beaches etc.) Low Low Low Storms - Damages - Increased maintenance costs Low Low Low Floods - Damages - Increased maintenance costs - Flooding at the city level of the afflicted public building infrastructure (schools, hospitals, etc.) - Difficulties in providing the envisaged services Low Low Low Low 107

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