280218_Luxor-Egypt SECAP Final_revised

Section II: Baseline Emission Inventory
Executive Summary
This section presents the Baseline Emission Inventory (BEI) of the city of Luxor, Governorate of Luxor, Egypt.
The BEI is part of the preparation for the Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plan (SECAP).
The BEI is based on calculation, not a measure. It includes the scope and methodological principles of the
Greenhouse Gases (GHG) emissions of the aforementioned city based on data collection from the
Governorate of Luxor and many other governmental entities as well as data crunching and analysis.
The BEI covers many sectors such as: a) Residential buildings; b) Tertiary buildings and Public lighting; c)
Industry; d) Transport; e) Waste and water management; and f) Agriculture (crops, animal production and
fishing); g) Tourism; and h) Renewable energy.
This section also depicts the results of energy consumption and GHG emissions for the seven sectors
mentioned above. In addition, it highlights the Governorate assets and energy consumption (Governorate
building, Governorate fleet and water and waste management). Finally, it presents the BAU scenario
forecasts and important rise of emissions from 2015 till 2020 and stabilisation till 2030.
1. Considered scope and methodological principles
1.1. Some orders of magnitude
To apprehend the results of this Baseline Emissions Inventory (BEI), it is useful to understand the greenhouse
gases (GHG) emissions orders of magnitude globally and in Egypt.
• World human GHG emissions: 53 billion tCO 2eq/year
• World human GHG emissions per capita: 7,55 teqCO 2/year
• Egypt’s GHG emissions in 2012: 295 million tCO 2eq/year
• Egypt’s population in 2012: 85,660,902 inhabitants
• Egypt’s GHG emissions per capita in 2012: 3.44 tCO 2eq/year
These average values are valid for the whole Egypt, including the city of Luxor - Governorate of Luxor and
city of Hurghada - Governorate of Red Sea. In the two cities studied by the BEI-SECAP team*, the average
GHG emissions per capita is aligned with national ratio for the city of Luxor, and significantly higher Hurghada
(48.3 per cent higher than the national average). This result for Hurghada is due to the importance of tourism
in this sector.
Knowing that the IPCC set a target of dividing by two the global human GHG emissions, currently reaching
the average 7.55 tCO 2eq/capita/year, we observe that emissions of Egyptian citizens are already near the
target (3.5 tCO 2eq/capita/year), which is 3.44 tCO 2eq/capita/year. However, Egyptians GHG emissions tend
to increase and could exceed this limit in the coming years due to rapid development currently underway.
This is another reason why Egyptian cities need to develop strategic plans to reduce their energy
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