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020318_Hurghada SECAP_FINAL

TABLE 16: RISK

TABLE 16: RISK ASSESSMENT (1-3) Population Infrastructure Receptors Public Health Transport Energy Weather Sensitivity Extreme heat Droughts Sea level rise* Significantly fewer waves due to corals Storms Floods Extreme heat Future Risk - Increased number of deaths - Reinforcement of heat stress - Increased infectious diseases - Altered allergic patterns - Increased allergic incidents - Decreased air quality - More respiratory problems - Increased incidents of asthma and pneumonia - Increased water-borne diseases - Limitations to the healthcare access - Limitations to the healthcare access - Increased numbers of injuries and deaths - Limitations to the healthcare access - Increased numbers of injuries and deaths - Damages on roads - Modification of transport frequency and means - Air quality problems - Higher maintenance costs Impact per risk Low Medium Low Low Low Low Medium Low Low Low Low Low N/A N/A Low Low Low Low Impact Low- Medium Low- Medium Low Low N/A Low Droughts - Difficult transport of bulk material Low Low Sea level rise* Significantly fewer waves due to coral reefs Storms Floods Extreme heat Droughts - Damages N/A N/A - Damages - Mobility problems - Damages - Mobility problems - Blackouts and inability to cover demand load - Damages, especially in the thermal power plants - Blackouts and inability to cover demand load - Higher maintenance costs - Cooling problems in power plants Low Low Low Low N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Low Low N/A N/A 94

Sea level rise* Significantly fewer waves due to coral reefs Storms - Damages - Shut down of power plants near rivers, etc. - Operational difficulties - Higher maintenance cost - Damages / Failures in the production facilities and distribution grid / power cuts Low Low Low Low Low Low Floods - Damages / power cuts Medium Medium Extreme heat - Water scarcity* (Desalinated water) - Water quality issues** (bottled water) Low Low Droughts - Water scarcity* (Desalinated water) - Water quality issues** (Desalinated water) N/A N/A N/A Water Sea level rise* Significantly fewer waves due to coral reefs - Increased underground water salinity - Water management issues - Damages - Water quality issues - Higher maintenance costs Low Low Low Low Low Low Storms - Increased damages and related maintenance costs - Water management issues Low Medium Medium Medium Floods - Increased damages and related maintenance costs - Water management issues - Water quality issues Low Low Low Low Extreme heat - Increased need for air-conditioned public spaces Medium Medium Social Droughts - Increased numbers of people presenting respiratory problems and burdening the health care facilities - Inability to cover the water demand - Difficulties in the operation of certain facilities due to lack of water (e.g., swimming pools) Low Low Low Low Sea level rise* Significantly fewer waves due to coral reefs Storms - Potential damages in the coastal area facilities - Loss of coastal public spaces (beaches etc.) - Damages - Increased maintenance costs Low Low Low Low Low Low Floods - Damages Low Low 95

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