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2<br />
No.15 MARCH 6, 2018<br />
DAY AFTER DAY<br />
WWW.DAY.KIEV.UA<br />
REUTERS photo<br />
Thelastargument<br />
What stands behind Putin’s nuclear threats?<br />
THE BEST ACTORS: SAM ROCKWELL (FOR THE FILM THREE BILLBOARDS<br />
OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI AS THE BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR),<br />
FRANCES McDORMAND (FOR THE PICTURE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE<br />
EBBING, MISSOURI AS THE BEST ACTRESS), ALLISON JANNEY (FOR THE<br />
PICTURE I, TONYA AS THE BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS), AND GARY<br />
OLDMAN (FOR THE FILM DARKEST HOUR AS THE BEST ACTOR)<br />
Atriumphofpredictabilityandmelodrama<br />
The Oscars award ceremony was held in Los Angeles<br />
By Dmytro DESIATERYK, The Day<br />
Nine works competed in the main<br />
category, called the Best Picture Award.<br />
Quite predictably, it went to The<br />
Shape of Water (which also won awards<br />
for the best production design and best<br />
original score), which approached the<br />
contest having already won the Golden<br />
Lion at the Venice Festival. Mexican<br />
Guillermo del Toro also received a statuette<br />
as the best director (he already<br />
holds a Golden Globe in the same category).<br />
The action takes place in 1962, at<br />
the height of the confrontation between<br />
the USSR and the US in the Cold War.<br />
Elisa (Sally Hawkins) is a mute girl who<br />
works as a cleaner at a secret government<br />
laboratory in Baltimore. A new living<br />
“test subject,” who is a humanoid amphibian,<br />
is brought to the laboratory. A<br />
bond gradually forms between the cleaner<br />
and the alien. When Elisa finds out<br />
that the government intends to kill and<br />
dissect her beloved partner, she hatches<br />
a rescue plan.<br />
The director stylized the picture to<br />
approximate classical films of the early<br />
1960s, filled it with hairstyles, outfits,<br />
interiors of the time, and the<br />
soundtrack with appropriate songs. Of<br />
course, del Toro added violence and<br />
sex scenes to the mix to make it look like<br />
an adult production of sorts, but in<br />
essence, The Shape of Water is a melodramatic<br />
fairy tale with a sugary happy<br />
end. A beautifully filmed love story<br />
involving a Cinderella and an Amphibian<br />
Man: is not it just what a broad audience<br />
needs? Evidently, members of<br />
the Academy of Motion Picture Arts<br />
and Sciences saw it that way.<br />
Awards for the best actress and best<br />
supporting actor went, respectively, to<br />
Frances McDormand and Sam Rockwell,<br />
who played the antagonists in Three<br />
Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (directed<br />
by Martin McDonagh, known for<br />
the black comedy crime film In Bruges).<br />
Single mother Mildred Hayes goes<br />
against the police of her hometown, believing<br />
that law-enforcement officers<br />
do not want to solve the murder of her<br />
daughter Angela. To do this, she rents<br />
three billboards, located at the entrance<br />
to the city, and posts on them short inscriptions<br />
that remind people of Angela’s<br />
murder and the inaction of sheriff<br />
Bill Willoughby (Woody Harrelson).<br />
While Willoughby has no clue about the<br />
crime, the townspeople react to Hayes’s<br />
actions initially skeptically, and then aggressively;<br />
police officer Jason Dixon<br />
(Sam Rockwell) is especially active in opposition<br />
to her, and she resorts to aggression<br />
in response. Like with In<br />
Bruges, the strongest feature of the film<br />
is its screenplay: Three Billboards is an<br />
exciting story with a lot of unpredictable<br />
turns, but McDonagh’s directing is too<br />
melodramatic. McDormand is a favorite<br />
actress of the Cohen brothers; unfortunately,<br />
here she lacks the brothers’ ironic<br />
inspiration, but this Oscar is still long<br />
overdue for her.<br />
The best actor’s name became totally<br />
clear once Darkest Hour (directed by<br />
Joe Wright) hit the screens; it is a typical<br />
historical biopic of the “darkest hour”<br />
at the beginning of the war, when Germany<br />
seemed invincible.<br />
Wright shows events starting with<br />
the resignation of Prime Minister Neville<br />
Chamberlain and ending with the Operation<br />
Dynamo, initiated by his successor<br />
Winston Churchill to evacuate troops encircled<br />
by the Germans under Dunkirk.<br />
Churchill, played by Gary Oldman, is unquestionably<br />
the principal character<br />
here. We see him through the eyes of his<br />
opponents and allies, as well as his wife<br />
and secretary; immersed in doubts and<br />
despair; in funny or touching situations;<br />
in parliament and among the people.<br />
It will not be an exaggeration to say<br />
that this generally mediocre film rides to<br />
success on 60-year-old Oldman. His external<br />
transformation is striking (they<br />
say he spent a few hours a day with a<br />
makeup artist, who jokingly remarked<br />
that he had to “turn a ferret into a bulldog”),<br />
but no less noticeable is the actor’s<br />
effort to convey his character’s mind,<br />
with a great many individual traits,<br />
emotional contrasts, and a wide range of<br />
reactions. Most likely, Churchill will<br />
now be associated with Oldman for a long<br />
time, who, I would like to remind our<br />
readers, became famous for playing<br />
rebels, criminals, and outsiders.<br />
The Operation Dynamo itself, which<br />
involved the evacuation of 300,000<br />
British, Belgian, and French troops, cut<br />
off on the northern coast of France in<br />
1940, is covered in Dunkirk (a US-UK-<br />
France co-production, directed by<br />
Christopher Nolan), which won the<br />
awards for the best sound editing, best<br />
sound mixing, and best film editing.<br />
Its storylines unfold on a beach,<br />
filled with a demoralized army, on the<br />
sea, where the Allied ships are evacuating<br />
people under German bomb attacks,<br />
and in the air where British fighters are<br />
trying to resist the Luftwaffe. The director<br />
does not show the Germans themselves,<br />
turning them into an anonymous<br />
and therefore even more terrible threat.<br />
This structure allows him to saturate the<br />
plot with lots of parallel scenes and<br />
maintain a crazy dynamic without losing<br />
the integrity of the whole. Nolan sets an<br />
ultra-high pace right from the very first<br />
frames which show a young British soldier’s<br />
escape from the enemy’s bullets<br />
through the streets of a deserted town.<br />
All battles and disasters are filmed/pictured<br />
flawlessly. The strongest feature<br />
of Dunkirk is the fascinating density of<br />
events, which is enhanced by composer<br />
Hans Zimmer. His minimalist music<br />
heightens tension to the limit of the<br />
possible. When time comes for it, Zimmer<br />
lets out somewhat pathetic, but appropriately<br />
lengthy synthesized chords, and<br />
as a flotilla of civilian ships that came to<br />
the rescue of the encircled soldiers (the<br />
titular Dynamo) enters the frame, tears<br />
start coming by themselves. In general,<br />
Nolan and Zimmer can manipulate the<br />
audience’s emotions, and they did follow<br />
the suit this time as well.<br />
By Valentyn TORBA,<br />
Natalia PUSHKARUK, The Day<br />
On March 1, exactly four<br />
years after the Federation<br />
Council of Russia had approved<br />
the use of arms in<br />
Ukraine, President Vladimir<br />
Putin delivered an annual state-ofthe-nation<br />
address. His statements<br />
were of a boastful and even threatening<br />
nature. He had no scruples about<br />
intimidating the US and the Western<br />
world, saying that the Russian armed<br />
forces have adopted a small-scale<br />
heavy-duty nuclear energy unit that<br />
can be installed in a cruise missile<br />
which is invulnerable to missile defense<br />
systems. Speaking on national television,<br />
Putin demonstrated Russian<br />
intercontinental missiles, cruise missiles,<br />
and other weapons on video and<br />
animated trailers. He said Russia had<br />
made considerable progress in this<br />
sphere on the basis of designs by Russian<br />
scientists only.<br />
He said, among other things: “We<br />
started to develop new types of strategic<br />
arms that do not use ballistic trajectories<br />
at all when moving toward a target<br />
and, therefore, missile defense systems<br />
are useless against them, absolutely<br />
pointless… One of them is a<br />
small-scale heavy-duty nuclear energy<br />
unit that can be installed in a missile<br />
like our latest X-101 air-launched missile<br />
or the American Tomahawk missile<br />
– a similar type but with a range<br />
dozens of times longer, dozens, basically<br />
an unlimited range.”<br />
Putin issued direct threats in his<br />
speech: “I hope that everything that<br />
was said today would make any potential<br />
aggressor think twice, since unfriendly<br />
steps against Russia such as<br />
deploying missile defenses and bringing<br />
NATO infrastructure closer to the<br />
Russian border become ineffective in<br />
military terms and entail unjustified<br />
costs, making them useless for those<br />
promoting these initiatives.”<br />
“You did not listen to our country<br />
at the time. Listen to us now,” Putin<br />
said, claiming that some of these<br />
weapons are already being tested. So,<br />
Putin has in fact announced a new wave<br />
of the arms race.<br />
It will be recalled that as far back as<br />
February 16 NATO Secretary General<br />
Jens Stoltenberg called on Russia to be<br />
open about observation of the 1987<br />
USSR-US Treaty on the Elimination of<br />
their Intermediate-Range and Shorter-<br />
Range Missiles. Stoltenberg pointed<br />
out that, unfortunately, NATO is<br />
forced to remain a nuclear bloc to counterbalance<br />
the threat from such countries<br />
as Russia, China, and North Korea.<br />
Tellingly, the USSR-US arms race<br />
was based not only on the desire to dominate<br />
in the world, but also on ideological<br />
differences between the capitalist<br />
and the socialist worlds. In 1991 Russia<br />
declared an opposite path – towards<br />
democratization, free trade, freedom of<br />
speech, etc. But Russia has remained de<br />
facto a totalitarian state with simulated<br />
democratic institutions. The latter<br />
aspect continues to relax, to some extent,<br />
the vigilance of some Western<br />
politicians. They remain prepared not<br />
only for a dialog with the Kremlin (a dialog<br />
with a dangerous potential enemy<br />
is necessary), but also for cooperation.<br />
The proof of this is the recent statement<br />
of Austrian Chancellor Sebastian<br />
Kurz who supported Russia’s construction<br />
of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.<br />
In this situation, consolidation of<br />
the Western world is of dire necessity<br />
in spite of all the existing array of sanctions.<br />
Obviously, every time Putin<br />
makes such a harsh and blackmailing<br />
statement, he resorts to intimidation in<br />
response to increased pressure on him.<br />
The Day has asked some military<br />
experts what Putin’s aggressive statement<br />
really means. Is it blackmail of<br />
the West or an attempt to use his old<br />
pre-election ploy of flexing muscles?<br />
● “THE KREMLIN KNOWS<br />
NO OTHER WAYS OF<br />
INFLUENCE THAN<br />
INTIMIDATION AND<br />
BRIBERY”<br />
Valentyn BADRAK, director, Center for<br />
Army, Conversion, and Disarmament<br />
Studies:<br />
“What Putin is saying and doing is a<br />
mix of populism and the threshold of adventurism<br />
which is higher than that of<br />
Western leaders. Owing to this higher<br />
threshold, he acts quite actively and<br />
sometime achieves his goal. His current<br />
statement on strategic nuclear armaments<br />
is the reaction of a beast at the end<br />
of its tether. For he can see that the<br />
Western world began to knit together<br />
for obvious reasons and is correcting its<br />
mistakes in spite of problems, such as<br />
Trump-Merkel relations and different<br />
views of the current US administration<br />
and European capitals on the solution of<br />
some problems. Putin is aware that this<br />
situation works against him. But he<br />
knows no other ways of influence than<br />
intimidation, blackmail, and bribery. A<br />
time is coming when an anti-Putin coalition<br />
may be formed. On the other hand,<br />
we can notice a grave problem of Russia<br />
in terms of technology. All grand projects,<br />
such as the PAK DA next-generation<br />
strategic bomber and the PAK FA<br />
fifth-generation jet fighter, are failing<br />
and have achieved no tangible success.<br />
In reality, Putin has not a single weighty<br />
argument except for nuclear weapons.<br />
Therefore, he is undoubtedly insisting<br />
on this aspect and hinting that he can resort<br />
to the last arguments. The abovementioned<br />
statements were caused by a<br />
series of Russia’s defeats, particularly<br />
in Syria. On the Ukrainian territory, he<br />
may be increasing attacks in the battlefield<br />
but is unable to prevent Ukraine<br />
from receiving technical military aid,<br />
which means that Ukraine is getting<br />
stronger. But time is no longer playing<br />
in favor of Putin, for the West has begun<br />
to awaken and draw proper conclusions<br />
after his aggressive actions. The<br />
current presidential race is his last<br />
‘swan song.’ That’s why he is using all<br />
the possible arsenals to make his voters<br />
respect him. Hence, the very fact of this<br />
speech shows that Putin is very much<br />
nervous. On the other hand, this cannot<br />
help causing alarm because, in a condition<br />
like this, Putin may resort to any<br />
destructive measures, including raising<br />
the quality of attacks against Ukraine.<br />
The latter fact is particularly dangerous<br />
to us. Ukraine has so far nothing to<br />
counterbalance Putin in a 5th-generation<br />
war. And he knows that, under<br />
these circumstances, the West will be<br />
unable to offer military support.”<br />
● “NONTRIVIAL BLACKMAIL<br />
OF THE WEST”<br />
Galia ACKERMAN, chief,<br />
Russian bureau, journal Politique<br />
Internationale; Paris:<br />
“Russia is rife with military hysteria.<br />
The regime is trying to convince<br />
the Russians that they are standing almost<br />
on the brink of World War Three.<br />
Sanctions are interpreted as not a punishment<br />
for Ukraine but a wish to curb<br />
the rise of Russia. So, the only thing he<br />
[Putin. – Ed.] can boast of is weapons.<br />
“Indeed, he said they have totally<br />
new types of weapons, for example,<br />
non-ballistic missiles which he alleges<br />
cannot be spotted by air defense systems.<br />
If this is the case, the air defense<br />
system loses some of its advantages. He<br />
can boast of supersonic weapons and<br />
submarines that can dive to a hitherto<br />
inaccessible depth.<br />
“Clearly, Russia is arming to the<br />
teeth and, owing to military superiority,<br />
wants to become a major player on<br />
the international stage. As a matter of<br />
fact, the operation in Syria showed this.<br />
“I think this is important, above<br />
all, in the context of the election campaign.<br />
As there are no great economic<br />
successes, it only remains to set hopes<br />
on the object of national pride – ‘we are<br />
the strongest of all.’<br />
“These statements show that Russia<br />
is becoming a more dangerous player on<br />
the international stage. Essentially, it<br />
is nontrivial blackmail of the West.”<br />
Does the West have any grounds<br />
for alarm and how should it respond to<br />
these statements of the Russian president?<br />
“There may be grounds for alarm,<br />
especially in the US, because relations<br />
are very tense now. America is imposing<br />
new, sectoral, sanctions. For example,<br />
it became known yesterday that<br />
Exxon Mobil is cutting ties with Russia<br />
because of these sanctions. In other<br />
words, Exxon Mobil, as an American<br />
company, no longer has a right to this<br />
kind of cooperation. All these measures<br />
are dealing quite a painful blow to Russia,<br />
so the latter must have adopted the<br />
strategy of relying on military force,<br />
which will force the West to reckon<br />
with Russia and meet its demands in order<br />
to avoid a confrontation.<br />
“It is difficult to say how the West<br />
will respond. They will take it into account,<br />
but NATO and other entities will<br />
hardly make any statements in reply.”<br />
● “PUTIN’S STATEMENTS ARE,<br />
FIRST OF ALL, INTENDED<br />
FOR THE DOMESTIC<br />
CONSUMER”<br />
Leonid POLIAKOV, former Deputy<br />
Minister of Defense, Ukraine:<br />
“Putin’s statement on the nuclear<br />
weapons shows that he got into a very<br />
difficult situation due to his Chekastyle<br />
subversive activities. Suffice it to<br />
recall interference into US elections,<br />
the recently exposed drug traffic, terrorism,<br />
bombings in Syria, and many<br />
other things. On the eve of the elections,<br />
he must rehabilitate himself in some<br />
way as a strong international leader capable<br />
of exerting worldwide influence.<br />
But he is trying to rehabilitate himself<br />
in the eyes of his potential voters. Sanctions<br />
as well as criminal cases are pushing<br />
Putin to an ignominious end – either<br />
through a court action or through a<br />
Kremlin plot. That’s why it is extremely<br />
necessary for him to be reelected and<br />
thus remain a legitimate leader, for his<br />
legitimacy has been considerably undermined.<br />
As for the essential side of<br />
the matter – whether Russia really has<br />
an arsenal that poses a threat to the<br />
world – it is known that it really was<br />
and still is developing this kind of<br />
weapons. But, in reality, there is no convincing<br />
evidence that these weapons (especially<br />
hard-to-intercept hypersonic<br />
missiles) arouse serious concern in the<br />
West. If this posed a serious threat,<br />
then, judging by the way the Americans<br />
react to such things, this would have<br />
been common knowledge long ago. I<br />
think Putin is so far exaggerating the<br />
real danger of his weapons to the West,<br />
and his statements are, first of all, intended<br />
for the domestic consumer.”