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The Intelligence Review | volume 2 | issue 4 |

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Four CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics in this volume include the possibility of a war with North Korea, and the rise of far-right militancy in the United States. The volume also includes an assessment of the impact of the Islamic State in the relations between Russia and the United States, and a discussion of Turkish politics and its effect on NATO's cohesion.


Foreword There is something to be said about the synergy one feels as they step into room 300 at Coastal Carolina University’s Science Center at 6 o’clock on a Wednesday night. It crackles in the air, lights up the room, and gives everyone a sense of purpose. At that time every week, students of Coastal’s Intelligence and National Security Studies program gather and discuss world events. They dig deep into a topic of their choice, literally bringing the most relevant news developments of the week to the table and explaining their significance. These students do not receive class credit for this, and yet they continue to come back each week. Despite the deadlines, the pressure to perform well, and the additional stressors of life, students of the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB) refuse to let schooling interfere with their education. The most dedicated of the CIB’s students decide to sacrifice their social lives for an entire semester and register for the CIB class. You have in your hands the product of that sacrifice. This journal comprises the analytical works of some of those CIB students who took the plunge. They agreed to be subject to countless late nights, weekly stage fright, and open criticism in front of their peers. Some even do it a second and third time. By reading this issue of The Intelligence Review, you will see firsthand that it is greater than the sum of its parts. The possibility of a war involving North Korea, right-wing extremism in the United States, American-Russian relations, and Turkey’s instability within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, represent some of the most significant crises of our time. 2017 turned out to be one of the most tumultuous years in America’s recent history. The election of President Donald Trump has changed the game in many ways when it comes to international politics. As part of their intelligence product, the analysts featured in this issue were tasked with evaluating the effects that the 7

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