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Turning the Improbable<br />

Into the Exceptional!<br />

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The Advocacy Foundation, Inc.<br />

Helping Individuals, Organizations & Communities<br />

Achieve Their Full Potential<br />

Since its founding in 2003, The Advocacy Foundation has become recognized as an effective<br />

provider of support to those who receive our services, having real impact within the communities<br />

we serve. We are currently engaged in community and faith-based collaborative initiatives,<br />

having the overall objective of eradicating all forms of youth violence and correcting injustices<br />

everywhere. In carrying-out these initiatives, we have adopted the evidence-based strategic<br />

framework developed and implemented by the Office of Juvenile Justice & Delinquency<br />

Prevention (OJJDP).<br />

The stated objectives are:<br />

1. Community Mobilization;<br />

2. Social Intervention;<br />

3. Provision of Opportunities;<br />

4. Organizational Change and Development;<br />

5. Suppression [of illegal activities].<br />

Moreover, it is our most fundamental belief that in order to be effective, prevention and<br />

intervention strategies must be Community Specific, Culturally Relevant, Evidence-Based, and<br />

Collaborative. The Violence Prevention and Intervention programming we employ in<br />

implementing this community-enhancing framework include the programs further described<br />

throughout our publications, programs and special projects both domestically and<br />

internationally.<br />

www.TheAdvocacy.Foundation<br />

ISBN: ......... ../2017<br />

......... Printed in the USA<br />

Advocacy Foundation Publishers<br />

Philadlephia, PA<br />

(878) 222-0450 | Voice | Data | SMS<br />

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Dedication<br />

______<br />

Every publication in our many series’ is dedicated to everyone, absolutely everyone, who by<br />

virtue of their calling and by Divine inspiration, direction and guidance, is on the battlefield dayafter-day<br />

striving to follow God’s will and purpose for their lives. And this is with particular affinity<br />

for those Spiritual warriors who are being transformed into excellence through daily academic,<br />

professional, familial, and other challenges.<br />

We pray that you will bear in mind:<br />

Matthew 19:26 (NIV)<br />

Jesus looked at them and said, "With man this is impossible,<br />

but with God all things are possible." (Emphasis added)<br />

To all of us who daily look past our circumstances, and naysayers, to what the Lord says we will<br />

accomplish:<br />

Blessings!!<br />

- The Advocacy Foundation, Inc.<br />

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The Transformative Justice Project<br />

Eradicating Juvenile Delinquency Requires a Multi-Disciplinary Approach<br />

The way we accomplish all this is a follows:<br />

The Juvenile Justice system is incredibly overloaded, and<br />

Solutions-Based programs are woefully underfunded. Our<br />

precious children, therefore, particularly young people of<br />

color, often get the “swift” version of justice whenever they<br />

come into contact with the law.<br />

Decisions to build prison facilities are often based on<br />

elementary school test results, and our country incarcerates<br />

more of its young than any other nation on earth. So we at<br />

The Foundation labor to pull our young people out of the<br />

“school to prison” pipeline, and we then coordinate the efforts<br />

of the legal, psychological, governmental and educational<br />

professionals needed to bring an end to delinquency.<br />

We also educate families, police, local businesses, elected<br />

officials, clergy, and schools and other stakeholders about<br />

transforming whole communities, and we labor to change<br />

their thinking about the causes of delinquency with the goal<br />

of helping them embrace the idea of restoration for the young<br />

people in our care who demonstrate repentance for their<br />

mistakes.<br />

1. We vigorously advocate for charges reductions, wherever possible, in the adjudicatory (court)<br />

process, with the ultimate goal of expungement or pardon, in order to maximize the chances for<br />

our clients to graduate high school and progress into college, military service or the workforce<br />

without the stigma of a criminal record;<br />

2. We then enroll each young person into an Evidence-Based, Data-Driven Restorative Justice<br />

program designed to facilitate their rehabilitation and subsequent reintegration back into the<br />

community;<br />

3. While those projects are operating, we conduct a wide variety of ComeUnity-ReEngineering<br />

seminars and workshops on topics ranging from Juvenile Justice to Parental Rights, to Domestic<br />

issues to Police friendly contacts, to CBO and FBO accountability and compliance;<br />

4. Throughout the process, we encourage and maintain frequent personal contact between all<br />

parties;<br />

5 Throughout the process we conduct a continuum of events and fundraisers designed to facilitate<br />

collaboration among professionals and community stakeholders; and finally<br />

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6. 1 We disseminate Quarterly publications, like our e-Advocate series Newsletter and our e-Advocate<br />

Quarterly electronic Magazine to all regular donors in order to facilitate a lifelong learning process<br />

on the ever-evolving developments in the Justice system.<br />

And in addition to the help we provide for our young clients and their families, we also facilitate<br />

Community Engagement through the Restorative Justice process, thereby balancing the interesrs<br />

of local businesses, schools, clergy, elected officials, police, and all interested stakeholders. Through<br />

these efforts, relationships are rebuilt & strengthened, local businesses and communities are enhanced &<br />

protected from victimization, young careers are developed, and our precious young people are kept out<br />

of the prison pipeline.<br />

This is a massive undertaking, and we need all the help and financial support you can give! We plan to<br />

help 75 young persons per quarter-year (aggregating to a total of 250 per year) in each jurisdiction we<br />

serve) at an average cost of under $2,500 per client, per year.*<br />

Thank you in advance for your support!<br />

* FYI:<br />

1. The national average cost to taxpayers for minimum-security youth incarceration, is around<br />

$43,000.00 per child, per year.<br />

2. The average annual cost to taxpayers for maximun-security youth incarceration is well over<br />

$148,000.00 per child, per year.<br />

- (US News and World Report, December 9, 2014);<br />

3. In every jurisdiction in the nation, the Plea Bargain rate is above 99%.<br />

The Judicial system engages in a tri-partite balancing task in every single one of these matters, seeking<br />

to balance Rehabilitative Justice with Community Protection and Judicial Economy, and, although<br />

the practitioners work very hard to achieve positive outcomes, the scales are nowhere near balanced<br />

where people of color are involved.<br />

We must reverse this trend, which is right now working very much against the best interests of our young.<br />

Our young people do not belong behind bars.<br />

- Jack Johnson<br />

1 In addition to supporting our world-class programming and support services, all regular donors receive our Quarterly e-Newsletter<br />

(The e-Advocate), as well as The e-Advocate Quarterly Magazine.<br />

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The Advocacy Foundation, Inc.<br />

Helping Individuals, Organizations & Communities<br />

Achieve Their Full Potential<br />

…a collection of works on<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

“Turning the Improbable Into the Exceptional”<br />

Atlanta<br />

Philadelphia<br />

______<br />

John C Johnson III<br />

Founder & CEO<br />

(878) 222-0450<br />

Voice | Data | SMS<br />

www.TheAdvocacy.Foundation<br />

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Biblical Authority<br />

______<br />

1 Thessalonians 5:14 (NIV)<br />

14 And we urge you, brothers and sisters, warn those who are idle and disruptive,<br />

encourage the disheartened, help the weak, be patient with everyone.<br />

Matthew 18:20<br />

20<br />

For where two or three gather in my name, there am I with them.”<br />

Romans 12:9-21<br />

Love in Action<br />

9<br />

Love must be sincere. Hate what is evil; cling to what is good. 10 Be devoted to one<br />

another in love. Honor one another above yourselves. 11 Never be lacking in zeal, but<br />

keep your spiritual fervor, serving the Lord. 12 Be joyful in hope, patient in<br />

affliction, faithful in prayer. 13 Share with the Lord’s people who are in need. Practice<br />

hospitality.<br />

14<br />

Bless those who persecute you; bless and do not curse. 15 Rejoice with those who<br />

rejoice; mourn with those who mourn. 16 Live in harmony with one another. Do not be<br />

proud, but be willing to associate with people of low position. Do not be conceited.<br />

17<br />

Do not repay anyone evil for evil. Be careful to do what is right in the eyes of<br />

everyone. 18 If it is possible, as far as it depends on you, live at peace with<br />

everyone. 19 Do not take revenge, my dear friends, but leave room for God’s wrath, for it<br />

is written: “It is mine to avenge; I will repay,” says the Lord. 20 On the contrary:<br />

“If your enemy is hungry, feed him;<br />

if he is thirsty, give him something to drink.<br />

In doing this, you will heap burning coals on his head.”<br />

21<br />

Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.<br />

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Hebrews 10:24-25<br />

24<br />

And let us consider how we may spur one another on toward love and good<br />

deeds, 25 not giving up meeting together, as some are in the habit of doing, but<br />

encouraging one another—and all the more as you see the Day approaching.<br />

1 Peter 2:9-10<br />

9<br />

But you are a chosen people, a royal priesthood, a holy nation, God’s special<br />

possession, that you may declare the praises of him who called you out of darkness into<br />

his wonderful light. 10 Once you were not a people, but now you are the people of<br />

God; once you had not received mercy, but now you have received mercy.<br />

1 Peter 4:8-11<br />

8<br />

Above all, love each other deeply, because love covers over a multitude of sins. 9 Offer<br />

hospitality to one another without grumbling. 10 Each of you should use whatever gift<br />

you have received to serve others, as faithful stewards of God’s grace in its various<br />

forms. 11 If anyone speaks, they should do so as one who speaks the very words of<br />

God. If anyone serves, they should do so with the strength God provides, so that in all<br />

things God may be praised through Jesus Christ. To him be the glory and the power for<br />

ever and ever. Amen.<br />

1 Corinthians 12:25-27<br />

25<br />

so that there should be no division in the body, but that its parts should have equal<br />

concern for each other. 26 If one part suffers, every part suffers with it; if one part is<br />

honored, every part rejoices with it.<br />

27<br />

Now you are the body of Christ, and each one of you is a part of it.<br />

Acts 2:44-47<br />

44<br />

All the believers were together and had everything in common. 45 They sold property<br />

and possessions to give to anyone who had need. 46 Every day they continued to meet<br />

together in the temple courts. They broke bread in their homes and ate together with<br />

glad and sincere hearts, 47 praising God and enjoying the favor of all the people. And the<br />

Lord added to their number daily those who were being saved.<br />

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Table of Contents<br />

…a compilation of works on<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Biblical Authority<br />

I. Introduction: <strong>Gentrification</strong>……………………………………….. 15<br />

II. Development-Induced Displacement……………………………. 51<br />

III. Forced Displacement……….……………………………………. 55<br />

IV. White Flight………………………………………………………… 63<br />

V. Black Flight………………………………………………………… 77<br />

VI. Ethnic Succession…………….………………………………….. 83<br />

VII. Urban Decay………………………………................................. 89<br />

VIII. Urban Renewal…………………………………………………… 97<br />

IX. Urban Planning………………………………………………….. 111<br />

X. References……………………………………………………..... 115<br />

______<br />

Attachments<br />

A. <strong>Gentrification</strong> and Socioeconomic Impacts of Neighborhood<br />

Integration and Diversification in Atlanta GA<br />

B. Revitalization Without <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

C. In The Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong> - Case Studies on Local Efforts<br />

to Mitigate Displacement<br />

D. Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Copyright © 2018 The Advocacy Foundation, Inc. All Rights Reserved.<br />

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I. Introduction<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is a process of renovation of deteriorated urban neighborhoods by<br />

means of the influx of more affluent residents. This is a common and controversial topic<br />

in politics and in urban planning. <strong>Gentrification</strong> can improve the quality of a<br />

neighborhood, while also potentially forcing relocation of current, established residents<br />

and businesses, causing them to move from a gentrified area, seeking lower cost<br />

housing and stores.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> often shifts a neighborhood’s racial/ethnic composition and average<br />

household income by developing new, more expensive housing, businesses and<br />

improved resources. Conversations about gentrification have evolved, as many in the<br />

social-scientific community have questioned the negative connotations associated with<br />

the word gentrification. One example is that gentrification can lead to community<br />

displacement for lower-income families in gentrifying neighborhoods, as property values<br />

and rental costs rise; however, every neighborhood faces unique challenges, and<br />

reasons for displacement vary.<br />

The gentrification process is typically the result of increasing attraction to an area by<br />

people with higher incomes spilling over from neighboring cities or towns. Further steps<br />

are increased investments in a community and the related infrastructure by real estate<br />

development businesses, local government, or community activists and<br />

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esulting economic development, increased attraction of business, and<br />

lower crime rates. In addition to these potential benefits, gentrification can lead<br />

to population migration and displacement. However, some view the fear of<br />

displacement, which is dominating the debate about gentrification, as hindering<br />

discussion about genuine progressive approaches to distribute the benefits of urban<br />

redevelopment strategies.<br />

Origin and Etymology<br />

The term gentrification has come to refer to a multi-faceted phenomenon that can be<br />

defined in different ways. Historians say that gentrification took place in ancient<br />

Rome and in Roman Britain, where large villas were replacing small shops by the 3rd<br />

century, AD. [11] The word gentrification derives from gentry—which comes from the Old<br />

French word genterise, "of gentle birth" (14th century) and "people of gentle birth" (16th<br />

century). In England, Landed gentry denoted the social class, consisting<br />

of gentlemen. British sociologist Ruth Glass coined the term "gentrification" in 1964 to<br />

describe the influx of middle-class people displacing lower-class worker residents in<br />

urban neighborhoods; her example was London, and its working-class districts such<br />

as Islington:<br />

One by one, many of the working class neighbourhoods of London have been invaded<br />

by the middle-classes—upper and lower. Shabby, modest mews and cottages—two<br />

rooms up and two down—have been taken over, when their leases have expired, and<br />

have become elegant, expensive residences ... Once this process of 'gentrification'<br />

starts in a district it goes on rapidly, until all or most of the original working-class<br />

occupiers are displaced and the whole social character of the district is changed.<br />

In the US, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report Health Effects of<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> defines the real estate concept of gentrification as "the transformation of<br />

neighborhoods from low value to high value. This change has the potential to cause<br />

displacement of long-time residents and businesses ... when long-time or original<br />

neighborhood residents move from a gentrified area because of higher<br />

rents, mortgages, and property taxes. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is a housing, economic, and health<br />

issue that affects a community's history and culture and reduces social capital. It often<br />

shifts a neighborhood's characteristics, e.g., racial-ethnic composition and household<br />

income, by adding new stores and resources in previously run-down neighborhoods."<br />

In the Brookings Institution report Dealing with Neighborhood Change: A Primer on<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices (2001), Maureen Kennedy and Paul Leonard say that<br />

"the term 'gentrification' is both imprecise and quite politically charged", suggesting its<br />

redefinition as "the process by which higher income households displace lower income<br />

residents of a neighborhood, changing the essential character and flavour of that<br />

neighborhood", so distinguishing it from the different socio-economic process of<br />

"neighborhood (or urban) revitalization", although the terms are sometimes used<br />

interchangeably.<br />

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German geographers have a more distanced view on gentrification. Actual gentrification<br />

is seen as a mere symbolic issue happening in a low amount of places and blocks, the<br />

symbolic value and visibility in public discourse being higher than actual migration<br />

trends. E.g. Gerhard Hard assumes that urban flight is still more important than inner<br />

city gentrification. Volkskunde scholar Barbara Lang introduced the term 'symbolic<br />

gentrification' with regard to the Mythos Kreuzberg in Berlin. Lang assumes that<br />

complaints about gentrification often come from those who have been responsible for<br />

the process in their youth. When former students and bohemians started raising families<br />

and earning money in better paid jobs, they become the yuppies they claim to<br />

dislike. Especially Berlin is a showcase of intense debates about symbols of<br />

gentrification, while the actual processes are much slower than in other cities. The city's<br />

Prenzlauer Berg district is, however, a poster child of the capital's gentrification, as this<br />

area in particular has experienced a rapid transformation over the last two decades.<br />

This leads to mixed feelings amidst the local population. The neologism Bionade-<br />

Biedermeier was coined about Prenzlauer Berg. It describes the post-gentrifed milieu of<br />

the former quartier of the alternative scene, where alleged leftist alternative accessoires<br />

went into the mainstream. The 2013 Schwabenhass controversy in Berlin put the blame<br />

of gentrification in Prenzlauer Berg on well-to-do southern German immigrants and<br />

allowed for inner German ethnic slurs, which in case of foreign immigration would have<br />

been totally unacceptable.<br />

American economists describe gentrification as a natural cycle: the well-to-do prefer to<br />

live in the newest housing stock. Each decade of a city's growth, a new ring of new<br />

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housing is built. When the housing at the center has reached the end of its useful life<br />

and is therefore cheap, the well-to-do gentrify the neighborhood. The push outward from<br />

the city center continues as the housing in each ring reaches the end of its economic<br />

life. They observe that gentrification has three interpretations: (a) "great, the value of my<br />

house is going up, (b) coffee is more expensive, now that we have a Starbucks, and (c)<br />

my neighbors and I can no longer afford to live here (community displacement)<br />

London and Palen<br />

Causes<br />

There are several approaches that attempt to explain the roots and the reasons behind<br />

the spread of gentrification. Bruce London and J. John Palen (1984) compiled a list of<br />

five explanations: (1) demographic-ecological, (2) sociocultural, (3) political-economical,<br />

(4) community networks, and (5) social movements.<br />

Demographic-Ecological<br />

The first theory, demographic-ecological, attempts to explain gentrification through the<br />

analysis of demographics: population, social organization, environment, and technology.<br />

This theory frequently refers to the growing number of people between the ages of 25<br />

and 35 in the 1970s, or the baby boom generation. Because the number of people that<br />

sought housing increased, the demand for housing increased also. The supply could not<br />

keep up with the demand; therefore cities were "recycled" to meet such demands<br />

(London and Palen, 1984). The baby boomers in pursuit of housing were very different,<br />

demographically, from their house-hunting predecessors. They married at an older age<br />

and had fewer children. Their children were born later. Women, both single and married,<br />

were entering the labor force at higher rates which led to an increase of dual wageearner<br />

households. These households were typically composed of young, more affluent<br />

couples without children. Because these couples were child-free and were not<br />

concerned with the conditions of schools and playgrounds, they elected to live in<br />

the inner city in close proximity to their jobs. These more affluent people usually had<br />

white-collar, not blue-collar jobs. Since these white-collar workers wanted to live closer<br />

to work, a neighborhood with more white-collar jobs was more likely to be invaded; the<br />

relationship between administrative activity and invasion was positively correlated<br />

(London and Palen, 1984).<br />

Sociocultural<br />

The second theory proposed by London and Palen is based on a sociocultural<br />

explanation of gentrification. This theory argues that values, sentiments, attitudes,<br />

ideas, beliefs, and choices should be used to explain and predict human behavior, not<br />

demographics, or "structural units of analysis" (i.e., characteristics of populations)<br />

(London and Palen, 1984). This analysis focuses on the changing attitudes, lifestyles,<br />

and values of the middle- and upper-middle-class of the 1970s. They were becoming<br />

more pro-urban than before, opting not to live in rural or even suburban areas anymore.<br />

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These new pro-urban values were becoming more salient, and more and more people<br />

began moving into the cities. London and Palen refer to the first people to invade the<br />

cities as "urban pioneers". These urban pioneers demonstrated that the inner-city was<br />

an "appropriate" and "viable" place to live, resulting in what is called "inner city chic"<br />

(London and Palen, 1984). The opposing side of this argument is that dominant, or<br />

recurring, American values determine where people decide to live, not the changing<br />

values previously cited. This means that people choose to live in a gentrified area to<br />

restore it, not to alter it, because restoration is a "new way to realize old values"<br />

(London and Palen, 1984).<br />

Political-Economic<br />

The third theoretical<br />

explanation of gentrification is<br />

political-economic and is<br />

divided into two approaches:<br />

traditional and Marxist. The<br />

traditional approach argues<br />

that economic and political<br />

factors have led to the invasion<br />

of the inner-city, hence the<br />

name political-economic. The<br />

changing political and legal<br />

climate of the 1950s and 1960s<br />

(new civil rights legislation,<br />

anti-discrimination laws in housing and employment, and desegregation) had an<br />

"unanticipated" role in the gentrification of neighborhoods. A decrease in prejudice led<br />

to more blacks moving to the suburbs and whites no longer rejected the idea of moving<br />

to the city. The decreasing availability of suburban land and inflation in suburban<br />

housing costs also inspired the invasion of the cities. The Marxist approach denies the<br />

notion that the political and economic influences on gentrification are invisible, but are<br />

intentional. This theory claims that "powerful interest groups follow a policy of neglect of<br />

the inner city until such time as they become aware that policy changes could yield<br />

tremendous profits" (London and Palen, 1984). Once the inner city becomes a source of<br />

revenue, the powerless residents are displaced with little or no regard from the<br />

powerful.<br />

Community Networks<br />

The community-network approach is the fourth proposed by London and Palen. This<br />

views the community as an "interactive social group". Two perspectives are noted:<br />

community lost and community saved. The community lost perspective argues that the<br />

role of the neighborhood is becoming more limited due to technological advances in<br />

transportation and communication. This means that the small-scale, local community is<br />

being replaced with more large-scale, political and social organizations (Greer, 1962).<br />

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The opposing side, the community saved side, argues that community activity increases<br />

when neighborhoods are gentrified because these neighborhoods are being revitalized.<br />

Social Movements<br />

The fifth and final approach is social movements. This theoretical approach is focused<br />

on the analysis of ideologically based movements, usually in terms of leader-follower<br />

relationships. Those who support gentrification are encouraged by leaders (successful<br />

urban pioneers, political-economic elites, land developers, lending institutions, and even<br />

the Federal government in some instances) to revive the inner-city. Those who are in<br />

opposition are the people who currently reside in the deteriorated areas. They develop<br />

countermovements in order to gain the power necessary to defend themselves against<br />

the movements of the elite. An excellent example was the turned around gang in<br />

Chicago who fought for years against the Richard J. Daley machine: the Young<br />

Lords led by Jose Cha Cha Jimenez. They occupied neighborhood institutions and led<br />

massive demonstration to make people aware. These countermovements can be<br />

unsuccessful, though. The people who support reviving neighborhoods are also<br />

members, and their voices are the ones that the gentrifiers tend to hear (London and<br />

Palen, 1984).<br />

As an Economic Process<br />

Two discrete, sociological theories explain and justify gentrification as an economic<br />

process (production-side theory) and as a social process (consumption-side theory) that<br />

occurs when the suburban gentry tire of the automobile-dependent urban sprawl style of<br />

life; thus, professionals, empty nest aged parents, and recent university graduates<br />

perceive the attractiveness of the city center—earlier abandoned during white flight—<br />

especially if the poor community possesses a transport hub and its architecture sustains<br />

the pedestrian traffic that allows the proper human relations impeded by (sub)urban<br />

sprawl.<br />

Furthermore, proximity to urban amenities such as transit stops has been shown to<br />

drive up home prices over time. A survey of Northwest Chicago conducted between<br />

1975 and 1991 showed that homes located directly in the vicinity Red Line and Brown<br />

Line stops of the "L" rail transit system saw a huge price jump during these years,<br />

compared to only modest increases for area outside the zone. Between 1985 and 1991<br />

in particular, homes near transit stops nearly doubled in value.<br />

Professor Smith and Marxist sociologists explain gentrification as a structural economic<br />

process; Humanistic Geographer, David Ley explains gentrification as a natural<br />

outgrowth of increased professional employment in the central business district (CBD),<br />

and the creative sub-class's predilection for city living. "Liberal Ideology and the Post-<br />

Industrial City" (1980) describes and deconstructs the TEAM committee's effort to<br />

rendering Vancouver, BC, Canada, a "livable city". The investigators Rose, Beauregard,<br />

Mullins, Moore et al., who base themselves upon Ley's ideas, posit that "gentrifiers and<br />

their social and cultural characteristics [are] of crucial importance for an understanding<br />

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of gentrification"—theoretical work Chris Hamnett criticized as insufficiently<br />

comprehensive, for not incorporating the "supply of dwellings and the role of developers<br />

[and] speculators in the process".<br />

Production-Side Theory<br />

The production-side theory of urban gentrification derives from the work of human<br />

geographer Neil Smith, explaining gentrification as an economic process consequent to<br />

the fluctuating relationships among capital investments and the production<br />

of urban space. He asserts that restructuring of urban space is the visual component of<br />

a larger social, economic, and spatial restructuring of the contemporary capitalist<br />

economy. Smith summarizes the causes of gentrification into five main processes:<br />

suburbanization and the emergence of rent gap, deindustrialization, spatial<br />

centralization and decentralization of capital, falling profit and cyclical movement of<br />

capital, and changes in demographics and consumption patterns.<br />

Suburbanization and Rent Gap<br />

Suburban development derives from outward expansion of cities, often driven by sought<br />

profit and the availability of cheap land. This change in consumption causes a fall in<br />

inner city land prices, often resulting in poor upkeep and a neglect of repair for these<br />

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properties by owners and landlords. The depressed land is then devalued, causing rent<br />

to be significantly cheaper than the potential rent that could be derived from the "best<br />

use" of the land while taking advantage of its central location. From this derives<br />

the Rent-gap Theorydescribing the disparity between "the actual capitalized ground rent<br />

(land price) of a plot of land given its present use, and the potential ground rent that<br />

might be gleaned under a 'higher and better' use."<br />

The rent gap is fundamental to explaining gentrification as an economic process. When<br />

the gap is sufficiently wide, real estate developers, landlords, and other people with<br />

vested interests in the development of land perceive the potential profit to be derived<br />

from re-investing in inner-city properties and redeveloping them for new tenants. Thus,<br />

the development of a rent gap creates the opportunity for urban restructuring and<br />

gentrification.<br />

De-Industrialization<br />

The de-industrialization of cities in developed nations reduces the number of bluecollar<br />

jobs available to the urban working class as well as middle-wage jobs with the<br />

opportunity for advancement, creating lost investment capital needed to physically<br />

maintain the houses and buildings of the city. Abandoned industrial areas create<br />

availability for land for the rent gap process.<br />

Spatial Centralization and Decentralization of Capital<br />

De-industrialization is often integral to the growth of a divided white collar employment,<br />

providing professional and management jobs that follow the spatial decentralization of<br />

the expanding world economy. However, somewhat counter-intuitively, globalization<br />

also is accompanied by spatial centralization of urban centers, mainly from the growth<br />

of the inner city as a base for headquarter and executive decision-making centers. This<br />

concentration can be attributed to the need for rapid decisions and information flow,<br />

which makes it favorable to have executive centers in close proximity to each other.<br />

Thus, the expanding effect of suburbanization as well as agglomeration to city centers<br />

can coexist. These simultaneous processes can translate to gentrification activities<br />

when professionals have a high demand to live near their executive workplaces in order<br />

to reduce decision-making time.<br />

Falling Profit and The Cyclical Movement of Capital<br />

This section of Smith's theory attempts to describe the timing of the process of<br />

gentrification. At the end of a period of expansion for the economy, such as a boom in<br />

postwar suburbs, accumulation of capital leads to a falling rate of profit. It is then<br />

favorable to seek investment outside the industrial sphere to hold off onset of<br />

an economic crisis. By this time, the period of expansion has inevitably led to the<br />

creation of rent gap, providing opportunity for capital reinvestment in this surrounding<br />

environment.<br />

Page 22 of 150


Changes In Demographic and<br />

Consumption Patterns<br />

Smith emphasizes that<br />

demographic and life-style changes<br />

are more of an exhibition of<br />

the form of gentrification, rather than<br />

real factors behind gentrification.<br />

The aging baby-boomer population,<br />

greater participation of women in<br />

the workforce, and the changes in<br />

marriage and childrearing norms<br />

explain the appearance that<br />

gentrification takes, or as Smith<br />

says, "why we have proliferating<br />

quiche bars rather than Howard<br />

Johnson's".<br />

Consumption-Side Theory<br />

In contrast to the production-side<br />

argument, the consumptionside<br />

theory of urban gentrification<br />

posits that the "socio-cultural<br />

characteristics and motives" of the<br />

gentrifiers are most important to<br />

understanding the gentrification of the post-industrial city. The changes in the structure<br />

of advanced capitalist cities with the shift from industrial to service-based economy were<br />

coupled with the expanding of a new middle class—one with a larger purchasing power<br />

than ever before. As such, human geographer David Ley posits a rehabilitated postindustrial<br />

city influenced by a this "new middle class". The consumption theory contends<br />

that it is the demographics and consumption patterns of this "new middle class" that is<br />

responsible for gentrification.<br />

The economic and cultural changes of the world in the 1960s have been attributed to<br />

these consumption changes. The antiauthoritarian protest movements of the young in<br />

the U.S., especially on college campuses, brought a new disdain for the<br />

"standardization of look-alike suburbs," as well as fueled a movement toward<br />

empowering freedom and establishing authenticity. In the postindustrial economy, the<br />

expansion of middle class jobs in inner cities came at the same time as many of the<br />

ideals of this movement. The process of gentrification stemmed as the new middle<br />

class, often with politically progressive ideals, was employed in the city and recognized<br />

not only the convenient commute of a city residence, but also the appeal towards the<br />

urban lifestyle as a means of opposing the "deception of the suburbanite".<br />

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This new middle class was characterized by professionals with life pursuits expanded<br />

from traditional economistic focus. <strong>Gentrification</strong> provided a means for the 'stylization of<br />

life' and an expression of realized profit and social rank. Similarly, Michael Jager<br />

contended that the consumption pattern of the new middle class explains gentrification<br />

because of the new appeal of embracing the historical past as well as urban lifestyle<br />

and culture. The need of the middle class to express individualism from both the upper<br />

and lower classes was expressed through consumption, and specifically through the<br />

consumption of a house as an aesthetic object. Consumers' desire for "local" products<br />

and services has been used to explain the effects of businesses such as craft breweries<br />

on neighborhood gentrification.<br />

"This permanent tension on two fronts is evident in the architecture of gentrification: in<br />

the external restorations of the Victoriana, the middle classes express their candidature<br />

for the dominant classes; in its internal renovation work this class signifies its distance<br />

from the lower orders." p. 154<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong>, according to consumption theory, fulfills the desire for a space with social<br />

meaning for the middle class as well as the belief that it can only be found in older<br />

places because of a dissatisfaction with contemporary urbanism.<br />

Economic Globalization<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is integral to the new economy of centralized, high-level services work—<br />

the "new urban economic core of banking and service activities that come to replace the<br />

older, typically manufacturing-oriented, core" that displaces middle-class retail<br />

businesses so they might be "replaced by upmarket boutiques and restaurants catering<br />

to new high-income urban élites". In the context of globalization, the city's importance is<br />

determined by its ability to function as a discrete socio-economic entity, given the lesser<br />

import of national borders, resulting in de-industrialized global cities and economic<br />

restructuring.<br />

To wit, the American urban theorist John Friedman's seven-part theory posits a<br />

bifurcated service industry in world cities, composed of "a high percentage of<br />

professionals specialized in control functions and ... a vast army of low-skilled workers<br />

engaged in ... personal services ... [that] cater to the privileged classes, for whose sake<br />

the world city primarily exists". The final three hypotheses detail (i) the increased<br />

immigration of low-skill laborers needed to support the privileged classes, (ii) the class<br />

and caste conflict consequent to the city's inability to support the poor people who are<br />

the service class, and (iii) the world city as a function of social class struggle—matters<br />

expanded by Saskia Sassen et al. The world city's inherent socio-economic inequality<br />

illustrates the causes of gentrification, reported in "Where Did They Go? The Decline of<br />

Middle-Income Neighborhoods in Metropolitan America" (2006)<br />

demonstrating geographical segregation by income in US cities, wherein middle-income<br />

(middle class) neighborhoods decline, while poor neighborhoods and rich<br />

neighborhoods remain stable.<br />

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Effects<br />

As rent-gap theory would predict, one of the most visible changes the gentrification<br />

process brings is to the infrastructure of a neighborhood. Typically, areas to be<br />

gentrified are deteriorated and old, though structurally sound, and often have some<br />

obscure amenity such as a historical significance that attracts the potential<br />

gentrifiers. Gentry purchase and restore these houses, mostly for single-family homes.<br />

Another phenomenon is "loft conversion," which rehabilitates mixed-use areas, often<br />

abandoned industrial buildings or run-down apartment buildings to housing for the<br />

incoming gentrifiers. While this upgrade of housing value is the superficial keynote to<br />

the gentrification process, there is a greater number of less-visible shifts the gentry<br />

bring with them into their new neighborhoods in the community.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> has been substantially advocated by local governments, often in the form<br />

of 'urban restructuring' policies. Goals of these policies include dispersing lowincome<br />

residents out of the inner city and into the suburbs as well as redeveloping the<br />

city to foster mobility between both the central city and suburbia as residential<br />

options. The strain on public resources that often accompanies concentrated poverty is<br />

relaxed by the gentrification process, a benefit of changed social makeup that is<br />

favorable for the local state. Rehabilitation movements have been largely successful at<br />

restoring the plentiful supply of old and deteriorated housing that is readily available in<br />

inner cities. This rehabilitation can be seen as a superior alternative to expansion, for<br />

Page 25 of 150


the location of the central city offers an intact infrastructure that should be taken<br />

advantage of: streets, public transportation, and other urban facilities. Furthermore, the<br />

changed perception of the central city that is encouraged by gentrification can be<br />

healthy for resource-deprived communities who have previously been largely ignored.<br />

A change of residence that is forced upon people who lack resources to cope has social<br />

costs. Measures protecting these marginal groups from gentrification may reduce those.<br />

There is also the argument that gentrification reduces the social capital of the area it<br />

affects. Communities have strong ties to the history and culture of their neighborhood,<br />

and causing its dispersal can have detrimental costs. The Center for Disease Control<br />

and Prevention has a webpage discussing adverse effects gentrification has on health,<br />

and provides a list of policies that would inhibit gentrification in order to prevent these<br />

impacts.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Positive<br />

Higher incentive for property owners to<br />

increase/improve housing<br />

Reduction in crime<br />

Stabilization of declining areas<br />

Increased property values<br />

Increased consumer purchasing power<br />

at local businesses<br />

Reduced vacancy rates<br />

Increased local fiscal revenues<br />

Encouragement and increased viability<br />

of further development<br />

Reduced strain on local infrastructure<br />

and services<br />

Increased social mix<br />

Rehabilitation of property both with and<br />

without state sponsorship<br />

Negative<br />

Displacement through rent/price increases<br />

Loss of affordable housing<br />

Commercial/industrial displacement<br />

Unsustainable property prices<br />

Displacement and housing demand pressures<br />

on surrounding poor areas<br />

Community resentment and conflict<br />

Homelessness<br />

Secondary psychological costs of<br />

displacement<br />

Increased cost and charges to local services<br />

Loss of social diversity (from socially disparate<br />

to rich ghettos)<br />

Under occupancy and population loss to<br />

gentrified area<br />

Source: Loretta Lees, Tom Slater, and Elvin Wyly, <strong>Gentrification</strong> Reader, p. 196. © 2008 Routledge.;<br />

Rowland Atkinson and Gary Bridge, eds., <strong>Gentrification</strong> in a Global Context: the New Urban Colonialism,<br />

p. 5. © 2005 Routledge.<br />

Displacement<br />

Displacement of lower income families as a result of gentrification has been a major<br />

issue for decades. However, research has shown that oftentimes the opposite is true.<br />

Low-income families in gentrifying neighborhoods are less likely to be displaced than in<br />

non-gentrifying neighborhoods. A common theory has been that as affluent people<br />

move into a poorer neighborhood, housing prices increase as a result, causing poorer<br />

people to move out of the neighborhood. Although there is evidence showing<br />

gentrification may modestly raise real estate prices, numerous studies show that in<br />

many circumstances, other benefits from gentrification such as lower crime and an<br />

improved local economy outweigh the increased housing costs—displacement tends to<br />

decrease in gentrifying areas such as these as a result.<br />

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A study from 2016 found that nearly 10,000 Hispanic families have had to move out<br />

of Pilsen in Chicago, Illinois, originally an Eastern European neighborhood which had<br />

become predominantly Mexican by the 1970s. This has come as a result of more<br />

wealthier people moving into the area. Chicago itself has been going through a process<br />

of gentrification and displacement quite rapidly in the past decade. When young often<br />

wealthier white people move into areas historically of color it can cause the ethnic<br />

groups common to the area to leave because of rent hikes.<br />

Social Changes<br />

Many of the social effects of gentrification have been based on extensive theories about<br />

how socioeconomic status of an individual's neighborhood will shape one's behavior<br />

and future. These studies have prompted "social mix policies" to be widely adopted by<br />

governments to promote the process and its positive effects, such as lessening the<br />

strain on public resources that are associated with de-concentrating poverty. However,<br />

more specific research has shown that gentrification does not necessarily correlate with<br />

"social mixing," and that the effects of the new composition of a gentrified neighborhood<br />

can both weaken as well as strengthen community cohesion.<br />

Housing confers social status, and the changing norms that accompany gentrification<br />

translate to a changing social hierarchy. The process of gentrification mixes people of<br />

Page 27 of 150


different socioeconomic strata, thereby congregating a variety of expectations and<br />

social norms. The change gentrification brings in class distinction also has been shown<br />

to contribute to residential polarization by income, education, household composition,<br />

and race. It conveys a social rise that brings new standards in consumption, particularly<br />

in the form of excess and superfluity, to the area that were not held by the pre-existing<br />

residents. These differing norms can lead to conflict, which potentially serves to divide<br />

changing communities. Often this comes at a larger social cost to the original residents<br />

of the gentrified area whose displacement is met with little concern from the gentry or<br />

the government. Clashes that result in increased police surveillance, for example, would<br />

more adversely affect young minorities who are also more likely to be the original<br />

residents of the area.<br />

There is also evidence to support that gentrification can strengthen and stabilize when<br />

there is a consensus about a community's objectives. Gentrifiers with an organized<br />

presence in deteriorated neighborhoods can demand and receive better resources. A<br />

characteristic example is a combined community effort to win historic district designation<br />

for the neighborhood, a phenomenon that is often linked to gentrification activity. Gentry<br />

can exert a peer influence on neighbors to take action against crime, which can lead to<br />

even more price increases in changing neighborhoods when crime rates drop and<br />

optimism for the area's future climbs.<br />

Economic Shifts<br />

The economic changes that occur as a community goes through gentrification are often<br />

favorable for local governments. Affluent gentrifiers expand the local tax base as well as<br />

support local shops and businesses, a large part of why the process is frequently<br />

alluded to in urban policies. The decrease in vacancy rates and increase in property<br />

value that accompany the process can work to stabilize a previously struggling<br />

community, restoring interest in inner-city life as a residential option alongside the<br />

suburbs. These changes can create positive feedback as well, encouraging other forms<br />

of development of the area that promote general economic growth.<br />

Home ownership is a significant variable when it comes to economic impacts of<br />

gentrification. People who own their homes are much more able to gain financial<br />

benefits of gentrification than those who rent their houses and can be displaced without<br />

much compensation.<br />

Economic pressure and market price changes relate to the speed of gentrification.<br />

English-speaking countries have a higher amount of property owners and a higher<br />

mobility. German speaking countries provide a higher share of rented property and have<br />

a much stronger role of municipalities, cooperatives, guilds and unions offering lowprice-housing.<br />

The effect is a lower speed of gentrification and a broader social<br />

mix. Gerhard Hard sees gentrification as a typical 1970s term with more visibility in<br />

public discourse than actual migration.<br />

Measurement<br />

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Whether gentrification has occurred in a census tract in an urban area in the United<br />

States during a particular 10-year period between censuses can be determined by a<br />

method used in a study by Governing: If the census tract in a central city had 500 or<br />

more residents and at the time of the baseline census had median household income<br />

and median home value in the bottom 40th percentile and at the time of the next 10-<br />

year census the tract's educational attainment (percentage of residents over age 25 with<br />

a bachelor's degree) was in the top 33rd percentile; the median home value, adjusted<br />

for inflation, had increased; and the percentage of increase in home values in the tract<br />

was in the top 33rd percentile when compared to the increase in other census tracts in<br />

the urban area then it was considered to have been gentrified. The method measures<br />

the rate of gentrification, not the degree of gentrification; thus, San Francisco, which has<br />

a history of gentrification dating to the 1970s, show a decreasing rate between 1990<br />

and 2010.<br />

San Francisco<br />

Gentrifier Types<br />

Just as critical to the gentrification process as creating a favorable environment is the<br />

availability of the 'gentry,' or those who will be first-stage gentrifiers. The typical<br />

gentrifiers are affluent and have professional-level, service industry jobs, many of which<br />

involve self-employment. Therefore, they are willing and able to take the investment risk<br />

in the housing market. Often they are single people or young couples without children<br />

who lack demand for good schools. Gentrifiers are likely searching for inexpensive<br />

housing close to the workplace and often already reside in the inner city, sometimes for<br />

Page 29 of 150


educational reasons, and do not want to make the move to suburbia. For this<br />

demographic, gentrification is not so much the result of a return to the inner city but is<br />

more of a positive action to remain there.<br />

The stereotypical gentrifiers also have shared consumer preferences and favor a largely<br />

consumerist culture. This fuels the rapid expansion of trendy restaurant, shopping, and<br />

entertainment spheres that often accompany the gentrification process. Holcomb and<br />

Beauregard described these groups as those who are "attracted by low prices and<br />

toleration of an unconventional lifestyle".<br />

An interesting find from research on those who participate and initiate the gentrification<br />

process, the "marginal gentrifiers" as referred to by Tim Butler, is that they become<br />

marginalized by the expansion of the process. Research has also shown subgroups of<br />

gentrifiers that fall outside of these stereotypes. Two important ones are white women,<br />

typically single mothers, as well as white gay people who are typically men.<br />

Women<br />

Women increasingly obtaining higher education as well as higher paying jobs has<br />

increased their participation in the labor force, translating to an expansion of women<br />

who have greater opportunities to invest. Smith suggests this group "represents a<br />

reservoir of potential gentrifiers". The increasing number of highly educated women play<br />

into this theory, given that residence in the inner city can give women access to the<br />

well-paying jobs and networking, something that is becoming increasingly common.<br />

There are also theories that suggest the inner-city lifestyle is important for women with<br />

children where the father does not care equally for the child, because of the proximity to<br />

professional childcare. This attracts single parents, specifically single mothers, to the<br />

inner-city as opposed to suburban areas where resources are more geographically<br />

spread out. This is often deemed as "marginal gentrification," for the city can offer an<br />

easier solution to combining paid and unpaid labor. Inner city concentration increases<br />

the efficiency of commodities parents need by minimizing time constraints among<br />

multiple jobs, childcare, and markets.<br />

Artists<br />

Phillip Clay's two-stage model of gentrification places artists as prototypical stage one or<br />

"marginal" gentrifiers. The National Endowment for the Arts did a study that linked the<br />

proportion of employed artists to the rate of inner city gentrification across a number of<br />

U.S. cities. Artists will typically accept the risks of rehabilitating deteriorated property, as<br />

well as have the time, skill, and ability to carry out these extensive renovations. David<br />

Ley states that the artist's critique of everyday life and search for meaning and renewal<br />

are what make them early recruits for gentrification.<br />

The identity that residence in the inner city provides is important for the gentrifier, and<br />

this is particularly so in the artists' case. Their cultural emancipation from the bourgeois<br />

Page 30 of 150


makes the central city an appealing alternative that distances them from the conformity<br />

and mundaneness attributed to suburban life. They are quintessential city people, and<br />

the city is often a functional choice as well, for city life has advantages that include<br />

connections to customers and a closer proximity to a downtown art scene, all of which<br />

are more likely to be limited in a suburban setting. Ley's research cites a quote from a<br />

Vancouver printmaker talking about the importance of inner city life to an artist, that it<br />

has, "energy, intensity, hard to specify but hard to do without" (1996).<br />

Ironically, these<br />

attributes that<br />

make artists<br />

characteristic<br />

marginal<br />

gentrifiers form<br />

the same<br />

foundations for<br />

their isolation<br />

as the<br />

gentrification<br />

process<br />

matures. The<br />

later stages of<br />

the process<br />

generate an<br />

influx of more<br />

affluent,<br />

"yuppie" residents. As the bohemian character of the community grows, it appeals "not<br />

only to committed participants, but also to sporadic consumers," and the rising property<br />

values that accompany this migration often lead to the eventual pushing out of the<br />

artists that began the movement in the first place. Sharon Zukin's study of SoHo<br />

in Manhattan, NYC was one of the most famous cases of this phenomenon. Throughout<br />

the 1960s and 1970s, Manhattan lofts in SoHo were converted en masse into housing<br />

for artists and hippies, and then their sub-culture's followers.<br />

Gay Community<br />

Manuel Castells has researched the role of gay communities, especially in San<br />

Francisco, as early gentrifiers. The film Quinceañera depicts a similar situation in Los<br />

Angeles. Flag Wars (Linda Goode Bryant) shows tensions as of 2003 between<br />

white LGBT-newcomers and a black middle-class neighborhood in Columbus, Ohio.<br />

Control<br />

To counter the gentrification of their mixed-populace communities, there are cases<br />

where residents formally organized themselves to develop the necessary socio-political<br />

strategies required to retain local affordable housing. The gentrification of a mixedincome<br />

community raises housing affordability to the fore of the community's<br />

Page 31 of 150


politics. There are cities, municipalities, and counties which have countered<br />

gentrification with inclusionary zoning(inclusionary housing) ordinances requiring the<br />

apportionment of some new housing for the community's original low- and moderateincome<br />

residents. Inclusionary zoning is a new social concept in English speaking<br />

countries; there are few reports qualifying its effective or ineffective limitation of<br />

gentrification in the English literature. The basis of inclusionary zoning is partial<br />

replacement as opposed to displacement of the embedded communities. In Los<br />

Angeles, California, inclusionary zoning apparently accelerated gentrification, as older,<br />

unprofitable buildings were razed and replaced with mostly high-rent housing, and a<br />

small percentage of affordable housing; the net result was less affordable<br />

housing. German (speaking) municipalities have a strong legal role in zoning and on the<br />

real estate market in general and a long tradition of integrating social aspects in<br />

planning schemes and building regulations. The German approach uses en (milieu<br />

conservation municipal law), e.g. in Munichs Lehel district in use since the 1960s. The<br />

concepts of socially aware renovation and zoning of Bologna's old city in 1974 was used<br />

as role model in the Charta of Bologna, and recognized by the Council of Europe.<br />

Direct Action and Sabotage<br />

Other Methods<br />

When wealthy people move into low-income working-class neighborhoods, the resulting<br />

class conflict sometimes involves vandalism and arson targeting the property of the<br />

gentrifiers. During the dot-com boom of the late 1990s, the gentrification of San<br />

Francisco's predominantly working class Mission District led some long-term<br />

neighborhood residents to create what they called the "Mission Yuppie Eradication<br />

Project. This group allegedly destroyed property and called for property destruction as<br />

part of a strategy to oppose gentrification. Their activities drew hostile responses from<br />

the San Francisco Police Department, real estate interests, and "work-within-thesystem"<br />

housing activists.<br />

Meibion Glyndŵr (Welsh: Sons of Glyndŵr), also known as the Valley Commandos, was<br />

a Welsh nationalist movement violently opposed to the loss of Welsh<br />

culture and language. They were formed in response to the housing crisis precipitated<br />

by large numbers of second homes being bought by the English which had increased<br />

house prices beyond the means of many locals. The group were responsible for setting<br />

fire to English-owned holiday homes in Wales from 1979 to the mid-1990s. In the first<br />

wave of attacks, eight holiday homes were destroyed in a month, and in 1980, Welsh<br />

Police carried out a series of raids in Operation Tân. Within the next ten years, some<br />

220 properties were damaged by the campaign. Since the mid-1990s the group has<br />

been inactive and Welsh nationalist violence has ceased. In 1989 there was a<br />

movement that protested an influx of Swabians to Berlin who were deemed as<br />

gentrification drivers. Berlin saw the Schwabenhass and 2013 Spätzlerstreit<br />

controversies, which identified gentrification with newcomers from the German south.<br />

Zoning Ordinances<br />

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Zoning ordinances and other urban planning tools can be used to recognize and<br />

support local business and industries. This can include requiring developers to continue<br />

with a current commercial tenant or offering development incentives for keeping existing<br />

businesses, as well as creating and maintaining industrial zones. Designing zoning to<br />

allow new housing near to a commercial corridor but not on top of it increases foot traffic<br />

to local businesses without redeveloping them. Businesses can become more stable by<br />

securing long-term commercial leases.<br />

Although developers may recognize value in responding to living patterns, extensive<br />

zoning policies often prevent affordable homes from being constructed within urban<br />

development. Due to urban density restrictions, rezoning for residential development<br />

within urban living areas is difficult, which forces the builder and the market into urban<br />

sprawl and propagates the energy inefficiencies that come with distance from urban<br />

centers. In a recent example of restrictive urban zoning requirements, Arcadia<br />

Development Co. was prevented from rezoning a parcel for residential development in<br />

an urban setting within the city of Morgan Hill, California. With limitations established in<br />

the interest of public welfare, a density restriction was applied solely to Arcadia<br />

Development Co.'s parcel of development, excluding any planned residential expansion.<br />

Community Land Trusts<br />

Because land speculation tends to raise property values, removing real estate (houses,<br />

buildings, land) from the open market stabilizes property values, and thereby prevents<br />

the economic eviction of the community's poorer residents. The most common,<br />

formal legal mechanism for such stability in English speaking countries is<br />

the community land trust; moreover, many inclusionary zoning ordinances formally<br />

place the "inclusionary" housing units in a land trust. German municipalities and other<br />

Page 33 of 150


cooperative actors have and maintain strong roles on the real estate markets in their<br />

realm.<br />

Rent Control<br />

In jurisdictions where local or national government has these powers, there may be rent<br />

control regulations. Rent control restricts the rent that can be charged, so that<br />

incumbent tenants are not forced out by rising rents. If applicable to private landlords, it<br />

is a disincentive to speculating with property values, reduces the incidence of dwellings<br />

left empty, and limits availability of housing for new residents. If the law does not restrict<br />

the rent charged for dwellings that come onto the rental market (formerly owneroccupied<br />

or new build), rents in an area can still increase. The cities of<br />

southwestern Santa Monica and eastern West Hollywood in California, United States<br />

gentrified despite—or perhaps, because of—rent control.<br />

Occasionally, a housing black market develops, wherein landlords withdraw houses and<br />

apartments from the market, making them available only upon payment of<br />

additional key money, fees, or bribes—thus undermining the rent control law. Many<br />

such laws allow "vacancy decontrol", releasing a dwelling from rent control upon the<br />

tenant's leaving—resulting in steady losses of rent-controlled housing, ultimately<br />

rendering rent control laws ineffective in communities with a high rate of resident<br />

turnover. In other cases social housingowned by local authorities may be sold to<br />

tenants and then sold on. Vacancy decontrol encourages landlords to find ways of<br />

shortening their residents' tenure, most aggressively through landlord harassment. To<br />

strengthen the rent control laws of New York City, housing advocates active in rent<br />

control in New York are attempting to repeal the vacancy decontrol clauses of rent<br />

control laws. The state of Massachusetts abolished rent control in 1994; afterwards,<br />

rents rose, accelerating the pace of Boston's gentrification; however, the laws protected<br />

few apartments, and confounding factors, such as a strong economy, had already been<br />

raising housing and rental prices.<br />

Inner London, England<br />

Examples<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is not a new phenomenon in Britain; in ancient Rome the shop-free forum<br />

was developed during the Roman Republican period, and in 2nd- and 3rd-century cities<br />

in Roman Britain there is evidence of small shops being replaced by large villas.<br />

King's College London academic Loretta Lees reported that much of Inner London was<br />

undergoing "super-gentrification", where "a new group of super-wealthy professionals,<br />

working in the City of London [i.e. the financial industry], is slowly imposing its mark on<br />

this Inner London housing market, in a way that differentiates it, and them, from<br />

traditional gentrifiers, and from the traditional urban upper classes ... Supergentrification<br />

is quite different from the classical version of gentrification. It's of a higher<br />

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economic order; you need a much higher salary and bonuses to live in Barnsbury"<br />

(some two miles north of central London).<br />

Barnsbury was built around 1820, as a middle-class suburb, but after the Second World<br />

War (1939–1945), people moved to the suburbs. The upper and middle classes were<br />

fleeing from the working class residents of London; the modern railway allowed it. At the<br />

war's end, the great housing demand rendered Barnsbury the place of cheap housing,<br />

where most people shared accommodation. In the late 1950s and early 1960s, people<br />

moving into the area had to finance house renovations with their money, because banks<br />

rarely financed loans for Barnsbury. Moreover, the rehabilitating spark was The 1959<br />

Housing Purchase and Housing Act, investing £100 million to rehabilitating old<br />

properties and infrastructure. As a result, the principal population influx occurred<br />

between 1961 and 1975; the UK Census reports that "between the years of 1961 and<br />

1981, owner-occupation increased from 7 to 19 per cent, furnished rentals declined<br />

from 14 to 7 per cent, and unfurnished rentals declined from 61 to 6 per cent"; another<br />

example of urban gentrification is the super-gentrification, in the 1990s, of the<br />

neighboring working-class London Borough of Islington, where Prime minister Tony<br />

Blair moved upon his election in 1997.<br />

United States<br />

From a market standpoint, there are two main requirements that are met by the U.S.<br />

cities that undergo substantial effects of gentrification. These are: an excess supply of<br />

deteriorated housing in central areas, as well as a considerable growth in the availability<br />

of professional jobs located in central business districts. These conditions have been<br />

met in the U.S. largely as a result of suburbanization and other postindustrial<br />

phenomena.<br />

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Starting in the 1960s and 1970s, U.S. industry has created a surplus of housing units as<br />

construction of new homes has far surpassed the rate of national household growth.<br />

However, the market forces that are dictated by an excess supply cannot fully explain<br />

the geographical specificity of gentrification in the U.S., for there are many large cities<br />

that meet this requirement and have not exhibited gentrification. The missing link is<br />

another factor that can be explained by particular, necessary demand forces. In U.S.<br />

cities in the time period from 1970 to 1978, growth of the central business district at<br />

around 20% did not dictate conditions for gentrification, while growth at or above 33%<br />

yielded appreciably larger gentrification activity. Succinctly, central business district<br />

growth will activate gentrification in the presence of a surplus in the inner city housing<br />

market.<br />

In the U.S., these conditions were generated by the economic transition from<br />

manufacturing to post-industrial service economies. The post-World War II economy<br />

experienced a service revolution, which created white-collar jobs and larger<br />

opportunities for women in the work force, as well as an expansion in the importance of<br />

centralized administrative and cooperate activities. This increased the demand for inner<br />

city residences, which were readily available cheaply after much of the movement<br />

towards central city abandonment of the 1950s. The coupling of these movements is<br />

what became the trigger for the expansive gentrification of U.S. cities,<br />

including Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Philadelphia, St. Louis, and Washington, D.C.<br />

Measurement of the rate of gentrification during the period from 1990 to 2010 in 50 U.S.<br />

cities showed an increase in the rate of gentrification from 9% in the decade of the<br />

1990s to 20% in the decade from 2000 to 2010 with 8% of the urban neighborhoods in<br />

the 50 cities being affected.<br />

Cities with a rate of gentrification of ≈40% or more in the decade from 2000 to 2010<br />

included:<br />

Portland, Oregon 58.1%<br />

Washington, D.C. 51.9%<br />

Minneapolis 50.6%<br />

Seattle 50%<br />

Atlanta 46.2%<br />

Virginia Beach 46.2%<br />

Denver 42.1%<br />

Austin 39.7%<br />

Cities with a rate of less than 10% in the decade from 2000 to 2010 included:<br />

Memphis 8.8%<br />

Tucson 8.3%<br />

Tulsa 7%<br />

Cleveland 6.7%<br />

Detroit 2.8%<br />

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Las Vegas 2%<br />

El Paso 0%<br />

Arlington, Texas 0%<br />

Atlanta<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> in Atlanta has been taking place in its inner-city neighborhoods since the<br />

1970s. Many of Atlanta's neighborhoods experienced the urban flight that affected other<br />

major American cities in the 20th century, causing the decline of once upper and uppermiddle-class<br />

east side neighborhoods. In the 1970s, after neighborhood opposition<br />

blocked two freeways from being built through the east side, its neighborhoods such<br />

as Inman Park and Virginia-Highland became the starting point for the city's<br />

gentrification wave, first becoming affordable neighborhoods attracting young people,<br />

and by 2000 having become relatively affluent areas attracting people from<br />

across Metro Atlantato their upscale shops and restaurants. In the 1990s and 2000s,<br />

gentrification expanded into other parts of Atlanta, spreading throughout the<br />

historic streetcar suburbs east of Downtown and Midtown, mostly areas that had long<br />

had black majorities such as the Old Fourth<br />

Ward, Kirkwood, Reynoldstown and Edgewood. On the western side of the city, onceindustrial<br />

West Midtown became a vibrant neighborhood full of residential lofts and a<br />

nexus of the arts, restaurants, and home furnishings. <strong>Gentrification</strong> by young African<br />

Americans was also taking place in the 1990s in southwest Atlanta<br />

neighborhoods. The BeltLine trail construction is expected to bring further gentrification<br />

in the neighborhoods alongside which it runs. Concerns about displacement of existing<br />

working-class black residents by increasing numbers of more affluent whites moving in<br />

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are expressed by author Nathan McCall in his novel Them, in The Atlanta Progressive<br />

News, and in the documentary The Atlanta Way.<br />

Boston<br />

The city of Boston has seen several neighborhoods undergo significant periods of urban<br />

renewal, specifically during the 1960s to the 1980s. Called "turbo-gentrification" by<br />

sociologist Alan Wolfe, particular areas of study of the process have been done in South<br />

End, Bay Village, and West Cambridge. In Boston's North End, the removal of the<br />

noisy Central Artery elevated highway attracted younger, more affluent new residents,<br />

in place of the traditional Italian immigrant culture.<br />

South End<br />

In the early 1960s, Boston's South End had a great many characteristics of a<br />

neighborhood that is prime for gentrification. The available housing was architecturally<br />

sound and unique row houses in a location with high accessibility to urban transport<br />

services, while surrounded by small squares and parks. A majority of the area had also<br />

been designated a National Historic District.<br />

South End became deteriorated by the 1960s. Many of the row houses had been<br />

converted to cheap apartments, and the neighborhood was plagued by dominant,<br />

visible poverty. The majority of the residents were working-class individuals and families<br />

with a significant need for public housing and other social services. The situation was<br />

recognized by local governments as unfavorable, and in 1960 became the target of<br />

an urban renewal effort of the city.<br />

The construction of the Prudential Tower complex that was finished in 1964 along the<br />

northwest border of South End was a spark for this urban-renewal effort and the<br />

gentrification process for the area that surrounded it. The complex increased job<br />

availability in the area, and the cheap housing stock of South End began to attract a<br />

new wave of residents. The next 15 years saw an influx of predominantly affluent,<br />

young professionals who purchased and renovated houses in South End. Unfortunately,<br />

tension characterized the relationship between these new residents and the previous<br />

residents of the neighborhood. Clashes in the vision for the area's future was the main<br />

source of conflict. The previous, poorer residents, contended that "renewal" should<br />

focus on bettering the plight of South End's poor, while new, middle-class residents<br />

heavily favored private market investment opportunities and shunned efforts such as<br />

subsidized housing with the belief that they would flood the market and raise personal<br />

security concerns.<br />

Bay Village<br />

The late 1940s was a transition for the area from primarily families with children as<br />

residents to a population dominated by both retired residents and transient renters. The<br />

2–3 story brick row houses were largely converted to low-cost lodging houses, and the<br />

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neighborhood came to be described as "blighted" and "down at heel". This deterioration<br />

was largely blamed on the transient population.<br />

The year 1957 began the upgrading of what was to become Bay Village, and these<br />

changes were mainly attributed to new artists and gay men moving to the area. These<br />

"marginal" gentrifiers made significant efforts towards superficial beautification as well<br />

as rehabilitation of their new homes, setting the stage for realtors to promote the rising<br />

value of the area.<br />

Of the homebuyers in Bay Village from 1957 to 1975, 92% had careers as white-collar<br />

professionals. 42% of these homebuyers were 25–34 years old. The majority of them<br />

were highly educated and moving from a previous residence in the city, suggesting ties<br />

to an urban-based educational institution. The reasons new homebuyers gave for their<br />

choice of residence in Bay Village was largely attributed to its proximity to downtown, as<br />

well as an appreciation for city life over that of suburbia (Pattison 1977).<br />

West Cambridge<br />

The development and gentrification of West Cambridge began in 1960 as the resident<br />

population began to shift away from the traditional majority of working class Irish<br />

immigrants. The period of 1960–1975 had large shifts in homebuyer demographics<br />

comparable to that experienced by Bay Village. Professional occupations were<br />

overrepresented in homebuyers during this 15-year period, as well as the age group of<br />

25–34 years old. Residents reported a visible lack of social ties between new<br />

homebuyers and the original residents. However, displacement was not cited as a<br />

problem because the primary reason of housing sale remained the death of the solesurviving<br />

member of the household or the death of a spouse.<br />

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Researcher Timothy Pattison divided the gentrification process of West Cambridge into<br />

two main stages. Stage one began with various architects and architectural students<br />

who were attracted to the affordability of the neighborhood. The renovations efforts<br />

these "marginal" gentrifiers undertook seemed to spark a new interest in the area,<br />

perhaps as word of the cheap land spread to the wider student community.<br />

The Peabody Schools also served as an enticing factor for the new gentrifiers for both<br />

stages of new homebuyers. Stage two of the process brought more architects to the<br />

area as well as non-architect professionals, often employed at a university institution.<br />

The buyers in stage two cited Peabody schools and the socioeconomic mix of the<br />

neighborhood as primary reasons for their residential choice, as well as a desire to<br />

avoid job commutes and a disenchantment with the suburban life.<br />

Chicago<br />

Chicago's gentrification rate was reported to be 16.8% in 2015. But researchers have<br />

claimed that it has had a significant on specific urban neighborhoods and led to<br />

destabilization of black and Latino communities and their shared cultural identity.<br />

Philadelphia: Darien Street<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> Amid Urban Decline: Strategies for America's Older Cities, by Michael<br />

Lang, reports the process and impact (social, economic, cultural) of gentrification. In<br />

particular, it focuses on the section of Darien Street (a north-south street running<br />

intermittently from South to North Philadelphia) which is essentially an alley in the<br />

populous Bella Vista neighborhood. That part of Darien Street was a "back street",<br />

because it does not connect to any of the city's main arteries and was unpaved for most<br />

of its existence.<br />

In its early days, this area of Darien Street housed only Italian families; however, after<br />

the Second World War (1939–1945), when the municipal government spoke of building<br />

a cross-town highway, the families moved out. Most of the houses date from 1885 (built<br />

for the artisans and craftsmen who worked and lived in the area), but, when the Italian<br />

Americans moved out, the community's low-rent houses went to poor African American<br />

families. Moreover, by the early 1970s, blighted Darien Street was at its lowest point as<br />

a community, because the houses held little property value, many were abandoned,<br />

having broken heaters and collapsed roofs, et cetera. Furthermore, the houses were<br />

very small — approximately 15 feet (4.6 m) wide and 15 feet (4.6 m) deep, each had<br />

three one-room stories (locally known, and still currently advertised as a "Trinity" style<br />

house) and the largest yard was 8 feet (2.4 m) deep. Despite the decay, Darien Street<br />

remained charmed with European echoes, each house was architecturally different,<br />

contributing to the street's community character; children were safe, there was no car<br />

traffic. The closeness of the houses generated a closely knit community located just to<br />

the south of Center City, an inexpensive residential neighborhood a short distance from<br />

Page 40 of 150


the city-life amenities of Philadelphia; the city government did not hesitate<br />

to rehabilitate it.<br />

The gentrification began in 1977; the first house rehabilitated was a corner property that<br />

a school teacher re-modeled and occupied. The next years featured (mostly) white<br />

middle-class men moving into the abandoned houses; the first displacement of original<br />

Darien Street residents occurred in 1979. Two years later, five of seven families had<br />

been economically evicted with inflated housing prices; the two remaining families were<br />

renters, expecting eventual displacement. In five years, from 1977 to 1982, the<br />

gentrification of Darien Street reduced the original population from seven black<br />

households and one white household, to two black households and eleven white<br />

households. The average rent increased 488 per cent — from $85 to $500 a month; by<br />

1981, a house bought for $5,000 sold for $35,000. Of the five black households<br />

displaced, three found better houses within two blocks of their original residence, one<br />

family left Pennsylvania, and one family moved into a public housing apartment building<br />

five blocks from Darien Street. The benefits of the Darien Street gentrification included<br />

increased property tax revenues and better-quality housing. The principal detriment was<br />

residential displacement via higher priced housing.<br />

Washington, D.C.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> in Washington, D.C. is one of the most studied examples of the process,<br />

as well as one of the most extreme. The process in the U Street Corridor and other<br />

downtown areas has recently become a major issue, and the resulting changes have<br />

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led to African-Americans dropping from a majority to a minority of the population, as<br />

they move out and middle-class whites and Asians have moved in.<br />

Washington is one of the top three cities with the most pronounced capital flow into its<br />

"core" neighborhoods, a measurement that has been used to detect areas experiencing<br />

gentrification. Researcher Franklin James found that, of these core areas, Capitol<br />

Hill was significantly revitalized during the decade of 1960–1970, and by the end of the<br />

decade this revitalization had extended outward in a ring around this core<br />

area. [34] Dennis Gale studied these "Revitalization Areas," which include the Dupont<br />

Circle, Adams Morgan, and Capitol Hill neighborhoods, and as compared to the rest of<br />

the city found that these areas were experiencing a faster rate of depopulation in the<br />

1970s than the surrounding areas. U.S. census data show that in the Revitalization<br />

Areas, the percentage of the population with four or more years of college education<br />

rose from 24% in 1970 to 47% in 1980, as opposed to an increase of 21% to 24% for<br />

the remaining areas of Washington. Additionally, Gale's data show that in 1970, 73% of<br />

the residents living in the Revitalization Areas had been residents since 1965; however,<br />

in 1975, only 66% of the residents living there had been residents of the area in 1970 as<br />

well.<br />

The gentrification during this time period resulted in a significant problem of<br />

displacement for marginalized city residents in the 1970s. A decrease in the stock of<br />

affordable housing for needy households as well as nonsubsidized housing for lowincome<br />

workers has had a burdensome effect on individuals and families.<br />

As a result of gentrification, however, Washington's safety has improved drastically. In<br />

the early 1990s, the city had an average of 500 homicides a year; by 2012, the rate had<br />

dropped by more than 80% to about 100 before again seeing a 54% spike in 2015 over<br />

2014. Many of the city's poorer residents were pushed out to adjacent Prince George's<br />

County, Maryland and further south to Charles County, Maryland. Prince George's<br />

County saw a huge spark of violent crimes in 2008 and 2009, but the rate has<br />

decreased since then.<br />

San Francisco<br />

A major driver of gentrification in Bay Area cities such as San Francisco has been<br />

attributed with the Dot-Com Boom in the 1990s, creating a strong demand for skilled<br />

tech workers from local startups and nearby Silicon Valley businesses leading to rising<br />

standards of living. Private shuttle buses operated by companies such as Google have<br />

driven up rents in areas near their stops, leading to some protests. As a result, a large<br />

influx of new workers in the internet and technology sector began contributing to the<br />

gentrification of historically poor immigrant neighborhoods such as the Mission<br />

District. During this time San Francisco began a transformation, eventually culminating<br />

in it becoming the most expensive city in which to live in the United States.<br />

From 1990 to 2010, 18,000 African Americans left San Francisco, while the White,<br />

Asian, and Hispanic populations saw growth in the city. From 2010 to 2014, the number<br />

Page 42 of 150


of households making $100,000 grew while households making less than $100,000<br />

declined. According to the American Community Survey, during this same period an<br />

average of 60,000 people both migrated to San Francisco and migrated out. The people<br />

who left the city were more likely to be nonwhite, have lower education levels, and have<br />

lower incomes than their counterparts who moved into the city. In addition, there was a<br />

net annual migration of 7,500 people age 35 or under, and net out migration of over<br />

5,000 for people 36 or over.<br />

Canada<br />

As of 2011, gentrification in Canada has proceeded quickly in older and denser cities<br />

such as Montreal, Toronto, Ottawa and Vancouver, but has barely begun in places such<br />

as Calgary, Edmonton, or Winnipeg, where suburban expansion is still the primary type<br />

of growth. Since Canada did not experience the same degree of "white flight" as in the<br />

U.S. during the 1960s and 70s, the term "gentrification" in Canada is not synonymous<br />

with predominantly-white people moving into the neighborhoods of people of color, as it<br />

is in the United States. In fact in Toronto and Vancouver recent Asian immigrants and<br />

foreign buyers are also major purchasers of downtown housing, contributing to a major<br />

housing price spike in those cities in 2011.<br />

In Quebec City. The Saint Roch district in the city's lower town was previously<br />

predominantly working class and had gone through a period of decline. However, since<br />

the early to mid 2000's, the area has seen the derelict buildings turned into condos and<br />

the opening of bars, restaurants and cafes, attracting young professionals into the area,<br />

but kicking out the residents from many generations back. Several software developers<br />

and gaming companies, such as Ubisoft and Benox have also opened offices there.<br />

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France<br />

In Paris, most poor neighborhoods in the east have seen rising prices and the arrival of<br />

many wealthy residents. However, the process is mitigated by social housing and most<br />

cities tend to favor a "social mix"; that is, having both low and high-income residents in<br />

the same neighborhoods. But in practice, social housing does not cater to the poorest<br />

segment of the population; most residents of social dwellings are from the low-end of<br />

the middle class. As a result, a lot of poor people have been forced to go first to the<br />

close suburbs (1970 to 2000) and then more and more to remote "periurban areas"<br />

where public transport is almost nonexistent. The close suburbs (Saint-Ouen, Saint<br />

Denis, Aubervilliers, ...) are now in the early stages of gentrification although still poor. A<br />

lot of high-profile companies offering well-paid jobs have moved near Saint-Denis and<br />

new real-estate programs are underway to provide living areas close to the new jobs.<br />

On the other side, the eviction of the poorest people to periurban areas since 2000 has<br />

been analyzed as the main cause for the rising political far-right national front. When the<br />

poor lived in the close suburbs, their problems were very visible to the wealthy<br />

population. But the periurban population and its problem is mainly "invisible" from recent<br />

presidential campaign promises. These people have labelled themselves "les<br />

invisibles". Many of them fled both rising costs in Paris and nearby suburbs with an<br />

insecure and ugly environment to live in small houses in the countryside but close to the<br />

city. But they did not factor in the huge financial and human cost of having up to four<br />

hours of transportation every day. Since then, a lot has been invested in the close<br />

suburbs (with new public transports set to open and urban renewal programs) they fled,<br />

but almost nobody cares of these "invisible" plots of land. Since the close suburbs are<br />

now mostly inhabited by immigrants, these people have a strong resentment against<br />

immigration: They feel everything is done for new immigrants but nothing for the native<br />

French population.<br />

This has been first documented in the book Plaidoyer pour une gauche populaire by<br />

think-tank Terra-Nova which had a major influence on all contestants in the presidential<br />

election (and at least, Sarkozy, François Hollande, and Marine Le Pen). This electorate<br />

voted overwhelmingly in favor of Marine Le Pen and Sarkozy while the city centers and<br />

close suburbs voted overwhelmingly for François Hollande.<br />

Most major metropolises in France follow the same pattern with a belt of periurban<br />

development about 30 to 80 kilometers of the center where a lot of poor people moved<br />

in and are now trapped by rising fuel costs. These communities have been disrupted by<br />

the arrival of new people and already suffered of high unemployment due to the<br />

dwindling numbers of industrial jobs.<br />

In smaller cities, the suburbs are still the principal place where people live and the<br />

center is more and more akin to a commercial estate where a lot of commercial<br />

activities take place but where few people live.<br />

Cape Town, South Africa<br />

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The Bo-Kaap pocket of Cape Town nestles against the slopes of Signal Hill. It has<br />

traditionally been occupied by members of South Africa's minority, mainly Muslim, Cape<br />

Malay community. These descendants of artisans and political captives, brought to the<br />

Cape as early as the 18th century as slaves and indentured workers, were housed in<br />

small barrack-like abodes on what used to be the outskirts of town. As the city limits<br />

increased, property in the Bo-Kaap became very sought after, not only for its location<br />

but also for its picturesque cobble-streets and narrow avenues. Increasingly, this closeknit<br />

community is "facing a slow dissolution of its distinctive character as wealthy<br />

outsiders move into the suburb to snap up homes in the City Bowl at cut-rate<br />

prices". Inter-community conflict has also arisen as some residents object to the sale of<br />

buildings and the resultant eviction of long-term residents.<br />

Italy<br />

In Italy, similarly to other countries around the world, the phenomenon of gentrification is<br />

proceeding in the largest cities, such as Milan, Turin, Genoa and Rome.<br />

In Milan, gentrification is changing the look of some semi-central neighborhoods, just<br />

outside the inner ring road (called Cerchia dei Bastioni), particularly of former working<br />

class and industrial areas. One of the most well known cases is the neighborhood<br />

of Isola. Despite its position, this area has been for a long time considered as a suburb<br />

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since it has been an isolated part of the city, due to the physical barriers such as the<br />

railways and the Naviglio Martesana. In the 1950s, a new business district was built not<br />

far from this area, but Isola remained a distant and low-class area. In the 2000s<br />

vigorous efforts to make Isola as a symbolic place of the Milan of the future were carried<br />

out and, with this aim, the Porta Garibaldi-Isola districts became attractors for stylists<br />

and artists. Moreover, in the second half of the same decade, a massive urban<br />

rebranding project, known as Progetto Porta Nuova, started and the neighborhood of<br />

Isola, despite the compliances residents have had, has been one of the regenerated<br />

areas, with the Bosco Verticale and the new Giardini di Porta Nuova.<br />

Another semi-central district that has undergone this phenomenon in Milan is Zona<br />

Tortona. Former industrial area situated behind Porta Genova station, Zona Tortona is<br />

nowadays the mecca of Italian design and annually hosts some of the most important<br />

events of the Fuorisalone during which more than 150 expositors, such as Superstudio,<br />

take part. In Zona Tortona, some of important landmarks, related to culture, design and<br />

arts, are located such as Fondazione Pomodoro, the Armani/Silos, Spazio<br />

A and MUDEC.<br />

Going towards the outskirts of the city, other gentrified areas of Milan are Lambrate-<br />

Ventura (where others events of the Fuorisalone are hosted), Bicocca and Bovisa (in<br />

which universities have contributed to the gentrification of the areas), Sesto San<br />

Giovanni, Via Sammartini, and the so-called NoLo district (which means Nord di Loreto).<br />

Poland<br />

In Poland, gentrification is proceeding mostly in the big cities<br />

like Warsaw, Łódź, Cracow, Silesian Metropolis, Poznań, Wrocław. The reason of this is<br />

both de-industrialisation and poor condition of residential areas.<br />

The biggest European ongoing gentrification process has been occurring in Łódź from<br />

the beginning of 2010s. Huge unemployment (24% in 1990s) caused by the downfall of<br />

the garment industry created both economic and social problems. Moreover, vast<br />

majority of industrial and housing facilities had been constructed in the late 19th century<br />

and the renovation was neglected after WWII. Łódź authorities rebuilt the industrial<br />

district into the New City Center. This included re-purposing buildings including the<br />

former electrical power and heating station into the Łódź Fabryczna railway station and<br />

the EC1 Science Museum.<br />

There are other significant gentrifications in Poland, such as:<br />

<br />

<br />

Cracow – the Jewish district Kazimierz, gentrification financed mostly by private<br />

investors.<br />

Poznań – build up Law Department of Adam Mickiewicz University in the post<br />

military facility.<br />

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Wrocław – Nadodrze and Nowe Żerniki districts; residential area drown upon<br />

the modernism concepts.<br />

Wałbrzych, Julia coal mine – adaptation post-industrial buildings to art and<br />

cultural facilities.<br />

Warsaw, Praga Północ district.<br />

Nowadays the Polish government has started National Revitalization Plan which<br />

ensures financial support to municipal gentrification programs.<br />

Movement for Justice in El Barrio<br />

Anti-<strong>Gentrification</strong> Protests<br />

The Movement for Justice in El Barrio is an immigrant-led, organized group of tenants<br />

who resist against gentrification in East Harlem, New York. This movement has 954<br />

members and 95 building communities. On 8 April 2006, the MJB gathered people to<br />

protest in the New York City Hall against an investment bank in the United Kingdom that<br />

Page 47 of 150


purchased 47 buildings and 1,137 homes in East Harlem. News of these protests<br />

reached England, Scotland, France and Spain. MJB made a call to action that<br />

everyone, internationally, should fight against gentrification. This movement gained<br />

international traction and also became known as the International Campaign Against<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> in El Barrio.<br />

Cereal Killer Cafe Protest<br />

On 26 September 2015, a cereal cafe in East London called Cereal Killer Cafe was<br />

attacked by a large group of anti-gentrification protestors. These protestors carried with<br />

them a pig's head and torches, stating that they were tired of unaffordable luxury flats<br />

going into their neighbourhoods. These protestors were alleged to primarily be "middleclass<br />

academics," who were upset by the lack of community and culture that they once<br />

saw in East London. People targeted Cereal Killer Cafe during their protest because of<br />

an alleged article in which one of the brothers with ownership of the cafe had said<br />

marking up prices was necessary as a business in the area. After the attack on the cafe,<br />

users on Twitter were upset that protestors had targeted a small business as the focus<br />

of their demonstration, as opposed to a larger one.<br />

San Francisco Tech Bus Protests<br />

The San Francisco tech bus protests occurred in late 2013 in the San Francisco Bay<br />

Area in the United States, protesting against tech shuttle buses that take employees to<br />

and from their homes in the Bay Area to workplaces in Silicon Valley. Protestors said<br />

the buses were symbolic of the gentrification occurring in the city, rising rent prices, and<br />

the displacement of small businesses. This protest gained global attention and also<br />

inspired anti-gentrification movements in East London.<br />

ink! Coffee Protest (Denver, Colorado)<br />

On November 22, 2017, ink! Coffee, a small coffee shop, placed a manufactured<br />

metal Sandwich board sign on the sidewalk outside one of their Denver locations in the<br />

historic Five Points, Denver neighborhood. The sign said “Happily gentrifying the<br />

neighborhood since 2014” on one side and "Nothing says gentrification like being able<br />

to order a cortado” on the other side.<br />

Ink's ad ignited outrage and garnered national attention when a picture of the sign was<br />

shared on social media by a prominent Denver writer, Ru Johnson. The picture of the<br />

sign quickly went viral accumulating critical comments and negative reviews. Ink!<br />

responded to the social media outrage with a public apology followed by a lengthier<br />

apology from its founder, Keith Herbert. Ink's public apology deemed the sign a bad joke<br />

causing even more outrage on social media. The ad design was created by a Five<br />

Points, Denver firm named Cultivator Advertising & Design. The advertising firm<br />

responded to the public's dismay by issuing an ill-received social media apology, "An<br />

Open Letter to Our Neighbors".<br />

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The night following the debut of ink's controversial ad campaign their Five Points,<br />

Denver location was vandalized. A window was broken and the words "WHITE<br />

COFFEE" among others were spray-painted onto the front of the building. Protest<br />

organizers gathered at the coffee shop daily following the controversy. The coffee shop<br />

was closed for business the entire holiday weekend following the scandal.<br />

At least 200 people attended a protest and boycott event on November 25, 2017<br />

outside of ink!'s Five Points location. News of the controversy was covered by media<br />

outlets worldwide.<br />

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II. Development-Induced<br />

Displacement<br />

Development-Induced Displacement and resettlement (DIDR) occurs<br />

when people are forced from their homes and/or land as a result of development. This<br />

subset of forced migration has been historically associated with the construction of<br />

dams for hydroelectric powerand irrigation but is also the result of various development<br />

projects such as mining, agriculture, the creation of military installations, airports,<br />

industrial plants, weapon testing grounds, railways, road developments, urbanization,<br />

conservation projects, and forestry. Development-induced displacement is a social<br />

problem affecting multiple levels of human organization, from tribal and village<br />

communities to well-developed urban areas. Development is widely viewed as an<br />

inevitable step towards modernization and economic growth in developing countries;<br />

however, for those who are displaced, the end result is most often loss of livelihood and<br />

impoverishment.<br />

Classification of development-induced displaced persons<br />

(DIDPs), refugees and internally displaced persons rests on fundamental differences in<br />

the type of assistance provided to each category. Refugees and internally displaced<br />

persons typically need international protection and assistance as a result of fleeing<br />

violence and persecution. Development-induced displaced persons require the<br />

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estoration of their capacity to generate income and protection from the state. While<br />

people displaced as a result of development have similar experiences to refugees (as<br />

defined by the UNHCR) in terms of economic and social loss, they are not protected by<br />

international law.<br />

Types of Displacement<br />

"Primary" or "direct" displacement occurs when people are moved from their traditional<br />

lands to make way for a development project or when people move towards a project to<br />

meet a new labor demand. Primary displacement is usually predictable and can<br />

therefore be mitigated through planning.<br />

"Secondary" or "indirect" displacement is a result of environmental, geographical and<br />

socio-political consequences of the development project that take place over time and<br />

distance from the initial project. This type of displacement is less predictable and difficult<br />

to control. One example of secondary displacement is if a community is forced to move<br />

because of pollution of their water supply by a mining project.<br />

Some examples of development-induced displacement are:<br />

<br />

<br />

Three Gorges Dam in China – A hydroelectric dam on China's Yangtze River<br />

constructed between 1994 and 2006, which displaced over 1.4 million people<br />

through primary and secondary displacement.<br />

Sardar Sarovar Dam in India – The largest dam in the Narmada Valley Project,<br />

which displaced over 40,000 people. The dam was the subject of protest by<br />

environment groups and tribal groups during the 1980s and 1990s.<br />

Ahafo Mine in Ghana – An open-pit mine which displaced approximately 10,000<br />

people in 2005 and 2006. Most of the displaced were subsistence farmers, but<br />

the mining company, Newmont, denied them compensation for loss of land.<br />

<br />

Kuno Wildlife Sanctuary in India – Between 1999 and 2003, 24 villages were<br />

displaced to reintroduce the Asiatic Lion to the area. Resettlement and<br />

enforcement of forest boundaries disrupted social and economic ties between the<br />

displaced and the host community.<br />

Effects<br />

It has been estimated that fifteen million people each year are forced to leave their<br />

homes as a result of public and private development projects and that number<br />

continues to increase as countries move from developing to developed nations.<br />

Compensation and rehabilitation policies designed to mitigate effects of displacement<br />

are often unsuccessful. This is largely due to corruption of street level bureaucrats,<br />

underestimation of the value of resources, failure of planners to recognize the intricacies<br />

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of the existing social and economic systems of the displaced and lack of involvement of<br />

displaced persons in the planning process. Communities and individuals are most often<br />

only compensated monetarily, without proper mechanisms for addressing their<br />

grievances or political support to improve their livelihoods. When land is used as<br />

compensation, it is often inadequate in terms of size, location and natural<br />

resources. Land tenure laws may also prevent resettlement policy from being<br />

effective. Poor and indigenous people are mostly affected by displacement as they have<br />

few political and monetary resources.<br />

Michael Cernea's impoverishment and reconstruction model (IRR) sets forth eight<br />

potential risks of displacement:<br />

1. Landlessness<br />

2. Joblessness<br />

3. Homelessness<br />

4. Marginalization<br />

5. Food insecurity<br />

6. Increased morbidity and mortality<br />

7. Loss of access to common property<br />

8. Social Disarticulation<br />

The consensus among researchers is that impoverishment due to loss of capacity to<br />

generate income is the most apparent effect of DIDR. Additionally, displacement severs<br />

social ties which are often crucial for survival in indigenous communities. Loss of<br />

connection to historical, religious, symbolic or spatial locations resulting from forced<br />

migration diminishes cultural identity. Development-induced displaced persons, like<br />

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efugees and internally displaced persons, experience psychological stress as well as<br />

feelings of helplessness and distrust towards their government and humanitarian<br />

groups. While the state is charged with protecting them as equal citizens, they are<br />

considered "others" and left to bear the cost for those who will benefit.<br />

Women are disproportionately affected by DIDR as the loss of land used by women to<br />

generate economic worth further marginalizes their socio-economic standing as they<br />

become more dependent on their husbands.<br />

Policy and Mitigation<br />

The work of sociologists and anthropologists studying displaced populations gradually<br />

led to a body of theoretical and conceptual knowledge. Development planners were<br />

eventually forced to rely on the work of social scientists in order to devise resettlement<br />

plans. Cernea explains that, assisted by dissent from NGOs and displaced persons<br />

themselves, a "ripple effect" of early policies led to expansion of resettlement policy<br />

which continues to broaden over time.<br />

Resettlement policy may be adopted by the state, regional associations, private<br />

development companies, NGOs, large financial institutions and the United Nations.<br />

Regardless of the source of the policy, local-level participation during all stages of the<br />

planning process is crucial to mitigating negative outcomes. Policies adopted by large<br />

financial institutions (mainly the World Bank and OECD), NGOs (The Brookings<br />

Institution) and the World Commission on Dams provide guidelines for resettlement of<br />

those displaced by development. Implementation of these policies is often lacking and,<br />

with no political mandate, the guidelines are usually ineffective. State involvement is<br />

dependent on political will but the precarious position of the state as "player and<br />

referee" leaves the displaced with little protection.<br />

In 1998, the United Nations was presented with the Guiding Principals on Internal<br />

Displacement, a set of guidelines proposed by group of legal scholars identifying rights<br />

and protections for internally displaced people. These guidelines specifically name the<br />

state as the protector of the rights of its citizens against the effects of developmentinduced<br />

displacement. Should the state fail to protect the rights of DIDRs,<br />

the Guidelines state that the international community must respond. In 2002, the United<br />

Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs established an IDP Unit to<br />

investigate instances of DIDR. There is currently no enforceable international law<br />

governing DIDR.<br />

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III. Forced Displacement<br />

Forced Displacement or forced immigration is the coerced movement of a<br />

person or people away from their home or home region and it often connotes violent<br />

coercion. Someone who has experienced forced displacement is a "forced<br />

immigrant", a "displaced person" (DP), rarely also a "displacee", or if it is within the<br />

same country, an internally displaced person (IDP). In some cases the forced immigrant<br />

can also become a refugee, as that term has a specific legal definition. A specific form<br />

of forced displacement is population transfer, which is a coherent policy to move<br />

unwanted groups, for example, as an attempt at ethnic cleansing. Another form<br />

is deportation.<br />

Forced displacement has accompanied persecution, as well as war, throughout human<br />

history but has only become a topic of serious study and discussion relatively recently.<br />

This increased attention is the result of greater ease of travel, allowing displaced people<br />

to flee to nations far removed from their homes, the creation of an international legal<br />

structure of human rights, and the realizations that the destabilizing effects of forced<br />

immigration, especially in parts of Africa, the Middle East, south and central Asia, ripple<br />

out well beyond the immediate region.<br />

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Definition<br />

The concept of forced displacement envelopes demographic movements like flight,<br />

evacuation, displacement, and resettlement. The International Organization for<br />

Migration defines a forced migrant as any person who migrates to "escape persecution,<br />

conflict, repression, natural and human-made disasters, ecological degradation, or other<br />

situations that endanger their lives, freedom or livelihood".<br />

The International Association for the Study of Forced Migration (IASFM) defines it as "a<br />

general term that refers to the movements of refugees and internally displaced people<br />

(those displaced by conflicts) as well as people displaced by natural or environmental<br />

disasters, chemical or nuclear disasters, famine, or development projects."<br />

According to Alden Speare, "in the strictest sense migration can be considered to be<br />

involuntary only when a person is physically transported from a country and has no<br />

opportunity to escape from those transporting him." Movement under threat, even the<br />

immediate threat to life, contains a voluntary element, as long as there is an option to<br />

escape to another part of the country, go into hiding or to remain and hope to avoid<br />

persecution." However this thought has been questioned, especially by Marxians, who<br />

argue that in most cases migrants have little or no choice.<br />

Causes<br />

Causes for forced displacement can include:<br />

<br />

<br />

Natural disaster: Occurrence of a disaster - such as floods, tsunamis, landslides,<br />

earthquakes or volcanoes - leads to temporary or permanent displacement of<br />

population from that area. In such a scenario, migration becomes more of a<br />

survival strategy, as natural disasters often cause the loss of money, homes, and<br />

jobs. For example, Hurricane Katrina resulted in displacement of almost the<br />

entire population of New Orleans, leaving the community and government with<br />

several economic and social challenges.<br />

Environmental problems: The term environmental refugee has been in use<br />

recently representing people who are forced to leave their traditional habitat<br />

because of environmental factors which negatively impact his or her livelihood, or<br />

even environmental disruption i.e. biological, physical or chemical change in<br />

ecosystem. Migration can also occur as a result of slow-onset climate change,<br />

such as desertification or sea-level rise, of deforestation or land degradation.<br />

Man-made disasters can also cause forced migration: examples are industrial<br />

accidents and especially accidents that involve radioactivity, such as<br />

in Chernobyl or Fukushima. An elaboration of such migrants is given by Essam<br />

El-Hinnawi:<br />

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1. Migrants who are able to return to their original habitat once the disruption is<br />

over, as in the case of the Bhopal disaster.<br />

2. Migrants who remain permanently displaced.<br />

3. Migrants who seek better living conditions due to deterioration of<br />

environmental conditions in their present habitat, such as soil fertility. In the<br />

middle of the 19th century, for example, Ireland experienced a famine never<br />

before seen in the country’s history.<br />

<br />

<br />

War, civil war, political repression or religious conflicts: Some migrants are<br />

impelled to cross national borders by war or persecution, due to political, social,<br />

ethnic, religious reasons. These immigrants may be considered refugees if they<br />

apply for asylum in the receiving country.<br />

Development-induced displacement: Such displacement or population transfer is<br />

the forcing of communities and individuals out of their homes, often also their<br />

homelands, for the purposes of economic development. It has been historically<br />

associated with the construction of dams for hydroelectric<br />

power and irrigation purposes but also appears due to many other activities, such<br />

as mining and transport (roads, ports, airports). The best-known recent example<br />

of such development-induced displacement may be that resulting from the<br />

construction of the Three Gorges Dam in China. This type of forced migration<br />

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disproportionately affects low income earners and ethnic minorities. According to<br />

estimates, between 90 and 100 million people were forced to leave their homes<br />

due to development projects in the 1990s.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Human trafficking and human smuggling: Migrants displaced through deception<br />

or coercion with purpose of their exploitation fall under this category. The data on<br />

such forced migration are limited since the activities involved are clandestine in<br />

nature. While migration of this nature is well covered for male migrants (working<br />

in agriculture, construction etc.), same cannot be said for their female<br />

counterparts as the market situation for them might be unscrupulous (sex work or<br />

domestic service). The International Labour Organization considers trafficking an<br />

offence against labor protection and denies them the opportunity of utilizing their<br />

resources for their country. ILO’s Multilateral Framework includes principle no. 11<br />

that recommends, "Governments should formulate and implement, in<br />

consultation with the social partners, measures to prevent abusive practices,<br />

migrant smuggling and people trafficking; they should also work towards<br />

preventing irregular labor migration.<br />

Slavery: History's greatest forced migration was the Middle Passage of<br />

the Atlantic slave trade during the 15th through the 19th centuries. Of the 20<br />

million Africans captured for the trade, half died in their forced march to the<br />

African coast, and another ten to twenty percent died on slave ships carrying<br />

them from Africa to the Americas.<br />

Ethnic cleansing: The systematic forced removal of ethnic or religious groups<br />

from a given territory by a more powerful ethnic group, with the intent of making it<br />

ethnically homogeneous.<br />

Conditions<br />

In the majority of cases forced migration across borders takes place without the<br />

required documentation. It may even involve human smugglers and traffickers.<br />

Displaced people often place their lives at risk, are obliged to travel in inhumane<br />

conditions and may be exposed to exploitation and abuse. And on top of that the states<br />

where they seek protection may regard them as a threat to their security.<br />

Overview and Distinctions Between the Terms<br />

<br />

The term 'Refugee Studies' denotes an academic discipline or field of study<br />

which covers the study of refugees, often their experiences in seeking<br />

refuge. There are several categories of individuals who are included in this study,<br />

with labels that include: 'Refugee’; ‘expellees’; ‘exile’; ‘displaced person’;<br />

‘internally displaced person (IDP)’; ‘economic refugees’; ‘humanitarian refugee’;<br />

‘stateless person’; ‘tsunami refugee’; ‘development refugee’; ‘environmental<br />

refugee’; ‘government assisted refugee (GAR)’ etc.<br />

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The term displaced person (DP) was first widely used during World War II and<br />

the resulting refugee outflows from Eastern Europe, when it was used to<br />

specifically refer to one removed from his or her native country as<br />

a refugee, prisoner or a slave laborer. Most of the victims of war, political<br />

refugees and DPs of the immediate post-Second World War period were<br />

Ukrainians, Poles, other Slavs, as well as citizens of the Baltic states -<br />

Lithuanians, Latvians, and Estonians, who refused to return to Soviet-dominated<br />

eastern Europe. A.J. Jaffe claimed that the term was originally coined by Eugene<br />

M. Kulischer. The meaning has significantly broadened in the past half-century.<br />

<br />

<br />

If the displaced person has crossed an international border and falls under one of<br />

the relevant international legal instruments, they may become a refugee. The<br />

term "refugee" is also commonly used as a synonym for displaced person,<br />

causing confusion between the general descriptive class of anyone who has left<br />

their home and the subgroup of legally defined refugees who enjoy specified<br />

international legal protection. However, forced migrants may not apply for asylum<br />

in the country they fled to, so they may not be classed as asylum seekers or - if<br />

application would be successful - refugees. The terms refugee and asylum<br />

seeker always have a legal framework or system as context. If forced migrants<br />

do not access this legal system or it does not exist in the country they have fled<br />

to, they cannot be categorised as such.<br />

Forced migrants are always either IDPs or displaced people, as both of these<br />

terms do not require a legal framework and the fact that they left their homes is<br />

sufficient. The distinction between the terms displaced person and forced migrant<br />

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is minor, however, the term displaced person has an important historic context<br />

(e.g. World War II).<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

A displaced person who crosses an international border without permission from<br />

the country they are entering, and without applying for asylum, may be<br />

considered an illegal immigrant.<br />

A displaced person who left his or her home because of political persecution or<br />

violence, but did not cross an international border, is commonly considered to be<br />

the less well-defined category of internally displaced person (IDP), and is subject<br />

to more tenuous international protection. Bogumil Terminski distinguishes two<br />

general categories of internal displacement: displacement of risk (mostly conflictinduced<br />

displacement, deportations and disaster-induced displacement) and<br />

displacement of adaptation (associated with voluntary resettlement,<br />

development-induced displacement and environmentally-induced displacement).<br />

If the displaced person was forced out their home because of economically<br />

driven projects like that of the Three Gorges Dam in China and<br />

various Indian dams, it is called development-induced displacement. People are<br />

also often displaced due to natural or man-made disasters. Displacement can<br />

also occur as a result of slow-onset climate change, such<br />

as desertification or sea-level rise. A person who is displaced due to<br />

environmental factors which negatively impact his or her livelihood is generally<br />

known as an environmental migrant. Such displacement can be cross-border in<br />

nature but is frequently internal. No specific international legal instrument applies<br />

to such individuals. Foreign nations often offer disaster relief to mitigate the<br />

effects of such disaster displacement.<br />

Displaced person generally refers to one who is forced to migrate for reasons<br />

other than economic conditions, such as war or persecution. A migrant who fled<br />

because of economic hardship is an economic migrant.<br />

Criminal Prosecution<br />

Forced displacement has been subjected to several trials before local and international<br />

courts. One of the requirements that need to be met for an offence as a war crime is<br />

that the victim is a "protected person" under international humanitarian law. The<br />

expression "protected person" originally referred only to the categories of individuals<br />

explicitly protected under one of the four Geneva Conventions of 1949, but was later<br />

accepted as defining a civilian or police force who do not participate directly in a<br />

conflict. Following the end of World War II, the Krupp trial was held with a specific<br />

charge to the forced displacement of civilian populations for the purpose of forced<br />

labour. The US Military Tribunal concluded that " [t]here is no international law that<br />

permits the deportation or the use of civilians against their will for other than on<br />

reasonable requisitions for the need of the army, either within the area of the army or<br />

after deportation to rear areas or to the homeland of the occupying power". At<br />

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the Nuremberg trials, Hans Frank, chief jurist in occupied Poland, was found guilty,<br />

among others for forced displacement of the civilian population.<br />

In Article 49, the Fourth Geneva Convention, adopted on 12 August 1949, specifically<br />

forbids forced displacement:<br />

“ Individual or mass forcible transfers, as well as deportations of protected people from occupied<br />

territory to the territory of the Occupying Power or to that of any other country, occupied or not,<br />

are prohibited, regardless of their motive. ”<br />

The Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court defines forced displacement as a<br />

crime within the jurisdiction of the court:<br />

“ "Deportation or forcible transfer of population" means forced displacement of the people<br />

concerned by expulsion or other coercive acts from the area in which they are lawfully present,<br />

without grounds permitted under international law. ”<br />

Several people were tried and convicted by the ICTY for connection to forced<br />

displacement during the Yugoslav Wars in the 1990s. On 11 April 2018, the Appeals<br />

Chamber sentenced Vojislav Šešelj 10 years in prison under Counts 1, 10, and 11 of<br />

the indictment for instigating deportation, persecution (forcible displacement), and other<br />

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inhumane acts (forcible transfer) as crimes against humanity due to his speech in<br />

Hrtkovci on 6 May 1992, in which he called for the expulsion of Croats from<br />

Vojvodina. Other convictions for forced displacement included ex-Bosnian Serb<br />

politician Momčilo Krajišnik, ex-Croatian Serb leader Milan Martić, former Bosnian<br />

Croat paramilitary commander Mladen Naletilić, and Bosnian Serb politician Radoslav<br />

Brđanin.<br />

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IV. White Flight<br />

White Flight is a term that originated in the United States, starting in the 1950s and<br />

1960s, and applied to the large-scale migration of people of various European<br />

ancestries from racially mixed urban regions to more racially<br />

homogeneous suburban or exurban regions. The term has more recently been applied<br />

to other migrations by whites, from older, inner suburbs to rural areas, as well as from<br />

the US Northeast and Midwest to the milder climate in<br />

the Southeast and Southwest. [1][2][3] The term has also been used for large-scale postcolonial<br />

emigration of whites from Africa, or parts of that continent, driven by levels of<br />

violent crime and anti-colonial state policies.<br />

Migration of middle-class white populations was observed during the Civil Rights<br />

Movement in the 1950s and 1960s out of cities such as Cleveland, Detroit, Kansas<br />

City and Oakland, although racial segregation of public schools had ended there long<br />

before the US Supreme Court's decision Brown v. Board of Education in 1954. In the<br />

1970s, attempts to achieve effective desegregation by means of forced busing in some<br />

areas led to more families' moving out of former areas. More generally, some historians<br />

suggest that white flight occurred in response to population pressures, both from the<br />

large migration of blacks from the rural South to northern cities in the Great<br />

Migration and the waves of new immigrants from southern and eastern<br />

Europe. However, some historians have challenged the phrase "white flight" as a<br />

misnomer whose use should be reconsidered. In her study of West<br />

Side in Chicago during the post-war era, historian Amanda Seligman argues that the<br />

phrase misleadingly suggests that whites immediately departed when blacks moved into<br />

the neighborhood, when in fact, many whites defended their space with violence,<br />

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intimidation, or legal tactics. Leah Boustan, Professor of Economics at Princeton,<br />

attributes white flight both to racism and economic reasons.<br />

The business practices of redlining, mortgage discrimination, and racially restrictive<br />

covenants contributed to the overcrowding and physical deterioration of areas where<br />

minorities chose to congregate. Such conditions are considered to have contributed to<br />

the emigration of other populations. The limited facilities for banking and insurance, due<br />

to a perceived lack of profitability, and other social services, and extra fees meant to<br />

hedge against perceived profit issues increased their cost to residents in predominantly<br />

non-white suburbs and city neighborhoods. According to the environmental geographer<br />

Laura Pulido, the historical processes of suburbanization and urban decentralization<br />

contribute to contemporary environmental racism.<br />

United States<br />

In the United States during the 1940s, for the first time a powerful interaction between<br />

segregation laws and race differences in terms of socioeconomic status enabled white<br />

families to abandon inner cities in favor of suburban living. The result was severe urban<br />

decaythat, by the 1960s, resulted in crumbling "ghettos". Prior to national data available<br />

in the 1950 US census, a migration pattern of disproportionate numbers of whites<br />

moving from cities to suburban communities was easily dismissed as merely anecdotal.<br />

Because American urban populations were still substantially growing, a relative<br />

decrease in one racial or ethnic component eluded scientific proof to the satisfaction of<br />

policy makers. In essence, data on urban population change had not been separated<br />

into what are now familiarly identified its "components." The first data set potentially<br />

capable of proving "white flight" was the 1950 census. But original processing of this<br />

data, on older-style tabulation machines by the US Census Bureau, failed to attain any<br />

approved level of statistical proof. It was rigorous reprocessing of the same raw data on<br />

a UNIVAC I, led by Donald J. Bogue of the Scripps Foundation and Emerson Seim of<br />

the University of Chicago, that scientifically established the reality of white flight.<br />

It was not simply a more powerful calculating instrument that placed the reality of white<br />

flight beyond a high hurdle of proof seemingly required for policy makers to consider<br />

taking action. Also instrumental were new statistical methods developed by Emerson<br />

Seim for disentangling deceptive counter-effects that had resulted when numerous<br />

cities reacted to departures of a wealthier tax base by annexation. In other words,<br />

central cities had been bringing back their new suburbs, such that families that had<br />

departed from inner cities were not even being counted as having moved from the<br />

cities.<br />

During the later 20th century, industrial restructuring led to major losses of jobs, leaving<br />

formerly middle-class working populations suffering poverty, with some unable to move<br />

away and seek employment elsewhere. Real estate prices often fall in areas of<br />

economic erosion, allowing persons with lower income to establish homes in such<br />

areas. Since the 1960s and changed immigration laws, the United States has received<br />

immigrants from Mexico, Central and South America, Asia, and Africa. Immigration has<br />

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changed the demographics of both cities and suburbs, and the US has become a<br />

largely suburban nation, with the suburbs becoming more diverse. In addition, Latinos,<br />

the fastest growing minority group in the US, began to migrate away from traditional<br />

entry cities and to cities in the Southwest, such as Phoenix and Tucson. In 2006, the<br />

increased number of Latinos had made whites a minority group in some western cities.<br />

Legal exclusion<br />

Catalysts<br />

In the 1930s, states outside the South (where racial segregation was legal) practiced<br />

unofficial segregation via exclusionary covenants in title deeds and real estate<br />

neighborhood redlining – explicit, legally sanctioned racial discrimination in real property<br />

ownership and lending practices. Blacks were effectively barred from pursuing<br />

homeownership, even when they were able to afford it. Suburban expansion was<br />

reserved for middle-class and working-class white people, facilitated by their increased<br />

wages incurred by the war effort and by subsequent federally guaranteed mortgages<br />

(VA, FHA, HOLC) available only to whites to buy new houses, such as those created by<br />

the Federal Housing Administration.<br />

Roads<br />

After World War II, aided by the construction of the Interstate Highway System,<br />

many White Americans began leaving industrial cities for new housing in suburbs. The<br />

roads served to transport suburbanites to their city jobs, facilitating the development of<br />

suburbs, and shifting the tax base away from the city. This may have exacerbated urban<br />

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decay. In some cases, such as in the Southern United States, local governments used<br />

highway road constructions to deliberately divide and isolate black neighborhoods from<br />

goods and services, often within industrial corridors. In Birmingham, Alabama, the local<br />

government used the highway system to perpetuate the racial residence-boundaries the<br />

city established with a 1926 racial zoning law. Constructing interstate highways through<br />

majority-black neighborhoods eventually reduced the populations to the poorest<br />

proportion of people financially unable to leave their destroyed community.<br />

Blockbusting<br />

The real estate business practice of "blockbusting" was a for-profit catalyst for white<br />

flight and a means to control non-white migration. By subterfuge, real estate agents<br />

would facilitate black people buying a house in a white neighborhood, either by buying<br />

the house themselves, or via a white proxy buyer, and then re-selling it to the black<br />

family. The remaining white inhabitants (alarmed by real estate agents and the local<br />

newsmedia), fearing devalued residential property, would quickly sell, usually at a loss.<br />

Losses happened when they sold en masse, and would sell the properties to the<br />

incoming black families, profiting from price arbitrage and the sales commissions from<br />

both the blacks and the whites. By such tactics, the racial composition of a<br />

neighborhood population often changed completely in a few years.<br />

Association with Urban Decay<br />

Urban decay is the sociological process whereby a city, or part of a city, falls into<br />

disrepair and decrepitude. Its characteristics are depopulation, economic restructuring,<br />

abandoned buildings, high local unemployment (and thus poverty), fragmented families,<br />

political disenfranchisement, crime, and a desolate, inhospitable city landscape. White<br />

flight contributed to the draining of cities' tax bases when middle-class people left.<br />

Abandoned properties attracted criminals and street gangs, contributing to crime.<br />

In the 1970s and 1980s, urban decay was associated with Western cities, especially in<br />

North America and parts of Europe. In that time, major structural changes in global<br />

economies, transportation, and government policy created the economic, then social,<br />

conditions resulting in urban decay.<br />

White flight in North America started to reverse in the 1990s, when the rich suburbanites<br />

returned to cities, gentrifying the decayed urban neighborhoods.<br />

Government-Aided White Flight<br />

New municipalities were established beyond the abandoned city's jurisdiction to avoid<br />

the legacy costs of maintaining city infrastructures; instead new governments spent<br />

taxes to establish suburban infrastructures. The federal government contributed to white<br />

flight and the early decay of non-white city neighborhoods by withholding maintenance<br />

capital mortgages, thus making it difficult for the communities to either retain or attract<br />

middle-class residents.<br />

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The new suburban communities limited the emigration of poor and non-white residents<br />

from the city by restrictive zoning; thus, few lower-middle-class people could afford a<br />

house in the suburbs. Many all-white suburbs were eventually annexed to the cities their<br />

residents had left. For instance, Milwaukee, Wisconsin partially annexed towns such<br />

as Granville; the (then) mayor, Frank P. Zeidler, complained about the socially<br />

destructive "Iron Ring" of new municipalities incorporated in the post–World War II<br />

decade. Analogously, semi-rural communities, such as Oak Creek, South Milwaukee,<br />

and Franklin, formally incorporated as discrete entities to escape urban annexation.<br />

Wisconsin state law had allowed Milwaukee's annexation of such rural and suburban<br />

regions that did not qualify for discrete incorporation per the legal incorporation<br />

standards.<br />

Desegregation<br />

of Schools<br />

In some areas,<br />

the post–World<br />

War II racial<br />

desegregation of<br />

the public<br />

schools catalyzed<br />

white flight. In<br />

1954, the US<br />

Supreme Court<br />

case Brown v.<br />

Board of<br />

Education (1954)<br />

ordered the de<br />

jure termination<br />

of the "separate,<br />

but equal" legal<br />

racism<br />

established with<br />

the Plessy v.<br />

Ferguson (1896)<br />

case in the 19th<br />

century. It<br />

declared that<br />

segregation of public schools was unconstitutional. Many southern jurisdictions<br />

mounted massive resistance to the policy. In some cases, white parents withdrew their<br />

children from public schools and established private religious schools instead. These<br />

schools, termed segregation academies, sprung up in the American South between the<br />

late 1950s and mid-1970s and allowed parents to prevent their children from being<br />

enrolled in racially mixed schools.<br />

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Upon desegregation in 1957 in Baltimore, Maryland, the Clifton Park Junior High School<br />

had 2,023 white students and 34 black students; ten years later, it had twelve white<br />

students and 2,037 black students. In northwest Baltimore, Garrison Junior High<br />

School's student body declined from 2,504 whites and twelve blacks to 297 whites and<br />

1,263 blacks in that period. At the same time, the city's working class population<br />

declined because of the loss of industrial jobs as heavy industry restructured.<br />

In Swann v. Charlotte-Mecklenburg Board of Education (1971), the Supreme Court<br />

ordered the desegregation busing of poor black students to suburban white schools,<br />

and suburban white students to the city to try to integrate student populations.<br />

In Milliken v. Bradley(1974), the dissenting Justice William Douglas observed, "The<br />

inner core of Detroit is now rather solidly black; and the blacks, we know, in many<br />

instances are likely to be poorer." Likewise, in 1977, the Federal decision in Penick v.<br />

The Columbus Board of Education(1977) accelerated white flight from Columbus, Ohio.<br />

Although the racial desegregation of schools affected only public school districts, the<br />

most vehement opponents of racial desegregation have sometimes been whites whose<br />

children attended private schools.<br />

A secondary, non-geographic consequence of school desegregation and busing was<br />

"cultural" white flight: withdrawing white children from the mixed-race public school<br />

system and sending them to private schools unaffected by US federal integration laws.<br />

In 1970, when the United States District Court for the Central District of<br />

California ordered the Pasadena Unified School District desegregated, the proportion of<br />

white students (54%) reflected the school district's proportion of whites (53%). Once the<br />

federally ordered school desegregation began, whites who could afford private schools<br />

withdrew their children from the racially diverse Pasadena public school system. By<br />

2004, Pasadena had 63 private schools educating some 33% of schoolchildren, while<br />

white students made up only 16% of the public school populace. The Pasadena Unified<br />

School District superintendent characterized public schools as "like the bogey-man" to<br />

whites. He implemented policies to attract white parents to the racially diverse<br />

Pasadena public school district.<br />

Checkerboard and Tipping Models<br />

In studies in the 1980s and 1990s, blacks said they were willing to live in neighborhoods<br />

with 50/50 ethnic composition. Whites were also willing to live in integrated<br />

neighborhoods, but preferred proportions of more whites. Despite this willingness to live<br />

in integrated neighborhoods, the majority still live in largely segregated neighborhoods,<br />

which have continued to form.<br />

In 1969, Nobel Prize-winning economist Thomas Schelling published "Models of<br />

Segregation", a paper in which he demonstrated through a "checkerboard model" and<br />

mathematical analysis, that even when every agent prefers to live in a mixed-race<br />

neighborhood, almost complete segregation of neighborhoods emerges as individual<br />

decisions accumulate. In his "tipping model", he showed that members of an ethnic<br />

group do not move out of a neighborhood as long as the proportion of other ethnic<br />

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groups is relatively low, but if a critical level of other ethnicities is exceeded, the original<br />

residents may make rapid decisions and take action to leave. This tipping point is<br />

viewed as simply the end-result of domino effect originating when the threshold of the<br />

majority ethnicity members with the highest sensitivity to sameness is exceeded. If<br />

these people leave and are either not replaced or replaced by other ethnicities, then this<br />

in turn raises the level of mixing of neighbors, exceeding the departure threshold for<br />

additional people.<br />

South Africa<br />

Africa<br />

About 800,000 out of an earlier total population of 5.2 million whites have left South<br />

Africa since 1995, according to a report from 2009. (Apartheid, a system of segregation<br />

of whites, blacks, and people of other races, had ended in 1994.) The country has<br />

suffered a high rate of violent crime, a primary stated reason for emigration. Other<br />

causes include attacks against white farmers, concern about being excluded<br />

by affirmative action programs, rolling blackouts in electrical supplies, and worries about<br />

corruption and autocratic political tendencies among new leaders. Since many of those<br />

who leave are highly educated, there are shortages of skilled personnel in the<br />

government, teaching, and other professional areas. Some observers fear the long-term<br />

consequences, as South Africa's labor policies make it difficult to attract skilled<br />

immigrants. The migration of whites in South Africa was facilitated by the creation of<br />

immigration routes into European countries for people with European ancestry. For<br />

instance, the British government introduced the notion of patriality to ensure white<br />

people of British ancestry from Africa could settle in the UK. In the global economy,<br />

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some professionals and skilled people have been attracted to work in the US and<br />

European nations.<br />

Zimbabwe (Rhodesia)<br />

Until 1980, the former British dependency of Rhodesia held a well-publicised image as<br />

being one of two nations in sub-Saharan Africa where a white minority of European<br />

descent and culture held political, economic, and social control over a preponderantly<br />

black African majority. Nevertheless, unlike white South Africans, a significant<br />

percentage of white Rhodesians represented recent immigrants. Initially, about threefourths<br />

of resident whites were of British origin, with those from England and Wales<br />

predominating. After World War II there was a substantial influx of the British diaspora,<br />

including former colonials from India, Pakistan, and other British possessions in Africa.<br />

Also represented were working-class Englishmen responding to economic<br />

opportunities. In 1969 only 41% of Rhodesia's white community were natural born<br />

citizens, or 93,600 people. The remainder were naturalised British and South African<br />

citizens or expatriates, with many holding dual citizenship.<br />

During the Rhodesian Bush War, almost the entire white male population between<br />

eighteen and fifty-eight was affected by various military commitments, and individuals<br />

spent up to five or six months of the year on combat duty away from their normal<br />

occupations in the civil service, commerce, industry, or agriculture. These long periods<br />

of service in the field led to an increased emigration of men of military age. In November<br />

1963, state media cited the chief reasons for emigration as uncertainty about the future,<br />

economic decline due to embargo and war, and the heavy commitments of national<br />

service, which was described as "the overriding factor causing people to leave". Of the<br />

male emigrants in 1976 about half fell into the 15 to 39 age bracket. Between 1960 and<br />

1976 160,182 whites immigrated, while 157,724 departed. This dynamic turnover rate<br />

led to depressions in the property market, a slump in the construction industry, and a<br />

decline in retail sales. The number of white Rhodesians peaked in 1975 at 278,000 and<br />

rapidly declined as the bush war intensified. In 1976 around 14,000 whites left the<br />

country, marking the first year since Rhodesia's Unilateral Declaration of<br />

Independence in 1965 that more whites had left the country than arrived, with most<br />

leaving for South Africa. This became known as the 'chicken run', the earliest use of<br />

which was recorded the following year, often by Rhodesians who remained to<br />

contemptuously describe those who had left. Other phrases such as 'taking the gap' or<br />

'gapping it' were also used. As the outward flow increased, the phrase 'owl run' also<br />

came into use as leaving the country was deemed by many to be a wise<br />

choice. Disfavour with the biracial Zimbabwe Rhodesia administration in 1979 also<br />

contributed to a mass exodus.<br />

The establishment of the new Republic of Zimbabwe in 1980 sounded the death knell<br />

for white political power and ushered in a new era of black majority rule. White<br />

emigration peaked between 1980 and 1982 at 53,000 persons, with the breakdown of<br />

law and order, an increase in crime in the rural areas, and the provocative attitude of<br />

Zimbabwean officials being cited as the main causes. Political conditions typically had a<br />

Page 70 of 150


greater impact on the<br />

decision to migrate among<br />

white than black<br />

professionals. Between<br />

1982 and 2000 Zimbabwe<br />

registered a net loss of<br />

100,000 whites, or an<br />

average of 5,000<br />

departures per year. A<br />

second wave of white<br />

emigration was sparked by<br />

President Robert Mugabe's<br />

violent land<br />

reform programme after<br />

2000. Popular destinations<br />

included South Africa<br />

and Australia, which<br />

emigrants perceived to be<br />

geographically, culturally,<br />

or sociopolitically similar to<br />

their home country.<br />

From a strictly economic<br />

point of view, the departure<br />

figures were not as<br />

significant as the loss of the<br />

skills of those leaving. A<br />

disproportionate number of<br />

white Zimbabwean<br />

emigrants were well<br />

educated and highly skilled.<br />

Among those living in the<br />

United States, for example,<br />

53.7% had a bachelor's degree, while only 2% had not completed secondary<br />

school. Most (52.4%) had occupied technical or supervisory positions of critical<br />

importance to the modern sector of the economy. Inasmuch as black workers did not<br />

begin making large inroads into apprenticeships and other training programs until the<br />

1970s, few were in a position to replace their white colleagues in the 1980s.<br />

Denmark<br />

Europe<br />

A study of school choice in Copenhagen found that an immigrant proportion of below<br />

35% in the local schools did not affect parental choice of schools. If the percentage of<br />

immigrant children rose above this level, native Danes are far more likely to choose<br />

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other schools. Immigrants who speak Danish at home also opt out. Other immigrants,<br />

often more recent ones, stay with local schools.<br />

Ireland<br />

A 2007 government report stated that immigration in Dublin has caused "dramatic"<br />

white flight from elementary schools in a studied area (Dublin 15). 27% of residents<br />

were foreign-born immigrants. The report stated that Dublin was risking creating<br />

immigrant-dominated banlieues, on the outskirts of a city, similar to such areas in<br />

France. The immigrants in the area included Eastern Europeans (such as those<br />

from Poland), Asians, and Africans (mainly from Nigeria).<br />

Norway<br />

White flight in Norway has increased in the 1970s with the immigration of non-<br />

Scandinavians from (in numerical order, starting with the largest):<br />

Poland, Pakistan, Iraq, Somalia, Vietnam, Iran, Turkey, Bosnia<br />

and<br />

Herzegovina, Russia, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, the<br />

former Yugoslavia, Thailand, Afghanistan, and Lithuania. By June 2009, more than 40%<br />

of Oslo schools had an immigrant majority, with some schools having a 97% immigrant<br />

share. Schools in Oslo are increasingly divided by ethnicity. For instance, in<br />

the Groruddalen (Grorud valley), four boroughs which currently has a population of<br />

around 165,000, the ethnic Norwegian population decreased by 1,500 in 2008, while the<br />

immigrant population increased by 1,600. In thirteen years, a total of 18,000 ethnic<br />

Norwegians have moved from the borough.<br />

In January 2010, a news feature from Dagsrevyen on the public Norwegian<br />

Broadcasting Corporation said, "Oslo has become a racially divided city. In some city<br />

districts the racial segregation starts already in kindergarten." Reporters said, "In the<br />

last years the brown schools have become browner, and the white schools whiter," a<br />

statement which caused some minor controversy.<br />

Sweden<br />

After World War II, immigration into Sweden occurred in three phases. The first was a<br />

direct result of the war, with refugees from concentration camps and surrounding<br />

countries in Scandinavia and Northern Europe. The second, prior to 1970, involved<br />

immigrant workers, mainly from Finland, Italy, Greece, and Yugoslavia. In the most<br />

recent phase, from the 1970s onwards, refugees immigrated from the Middle East,<br />

Africa, and Latin America, joined later by their relatives.<br />

A study which mapped patterns of segregation and congregation of incoming population<br />

groups found that, if a majority group is reluctant to accept a minority influx, they may<br />

leave the district, avoid the district, or use tactics to keep the minority out. The minority<br />

group in turn react by either dispersing or congregating, avoiding certain districts in turn.<br />

Detailed analysis of data from the 1990s onwards indicates that the concentration of<br />

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immigrants in certain city districts, such as Husby in Stockholm<br />

and Rosengård in Malmö, is in part due to immigration influx, but primarily due to white<br />

flight.<br />

According to researcher Emma Neuman at Linnaeus University, the white flight<br />

phenomenon commences when the fraction of non-European immigrants reaches 3-4%<br />

but European immigration show no such effect. High income earners and the highly<br />

educated move out first, so the ethnic segregation also leads to class segregation.<br />

In a study performed at Örebro University, mothers of young children were interviewed<br />

to study attitudes on swedishness, multiculturalism and segregation. It concluded that<br />

while many expressed values as ethnic diversity being an enriching factor, but when in<br />

practice it came to choosing schools or choosing district to move to, ensuring the<br />

children had an access to a school with robust Swedish majority as they didn't want<br />

their children to grow up in a school as a minority and wanted them to be in a good<br />

Swedish language learning environment.<br />

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United Kingdom<br />

For centuries, London was the destination for refugees and immigrants from continental<br />

Europe. Although all the immigrants were European, neighborhoods showed ethnic<br />

succession over time, as older residents (in some cases, ethnic British) moved out and<br />

new immigrants moved in, an early case of white flight (though the majority of London's<br />

population was still ethnic British).<br />

In the 2001 census, the London boroughs of Newham and Brent were found to be the<br />

first areas to have non-white majorities. The 2011 census found that, for the first time,<br />

less than 50% of London's population were white British, and that in some areas of<br />

London white British people make up less than 20% of the population.<br />

A 2005 report stated that white migration within the UK is mainly from areas of high<br />

ethnic minority population to those with predominantly white populations. White British<br />

families have moved out of London as many immigrants have settled in the capital. The<br />

report's writers expressed concern about British social cohesion and stated that different<br />

ethnic groups were living "parallel lives"; they were concerned that lack of contact<br />

between the groups could result in fear more readily exploited by extremists. The<br />

London School of Economics in a study found similar results.<br />

Researcher Ludi Simpson says that the growth of ethnic minorities in Britain is due<br />

mostly to natural population growth (births outnumber deaths) rather than immigration.<br />

Both white and non-white Britons who can do so economically are equally likely to leave<br />

mixed-race inner-city areas. In his opinion, these trends indicate counter<br />

urbanisation rather than white flight.<br />

Australia<br />

Oceania<br />

In Sydney, the suburbs that attracted migrants were in the Greater Western<br />

Sydney region, away from the Sydney CBD, such<br />

as Fairfield, Cabramatta, Merrylands, Auburn, Bankstown and Liverpool, among others.<br />

Those areas popular with Middle Eastern and Asian migrants experienced a degree of<br />

white flight, with a concentration of Anglo-Celtic people in certain areas, such<br />

as Penrith in far-western Sydney, the Sutherland Shire and the Gosford–Wyong area of<br />

the Central Coast, north of Sydney. These suburbs remain predominantly Anglo-<br />

Australian.<br />

According to the New South Wales Secondary Principals Council and the University of<br />

Western Sydney, public schools in that state have experienced white flight to private<br />

and Catholic schools wherever there is a large presence of Aboriginal and Middle<br />

Eastern students.<br />

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New Zealand<br />

White flight has been observed in low socioeconomic decile schools in New Zealand.<br />

Data from the Ministry of Education found that 60,000 New Zealand European students<br />

attended low-decile schools (situated in the poorest areas) in 2000, and had fallen to<br />

half that number in 2010. The same data also found that highdecile<br />

schools (which are in the wealthiest areas) had a<br />

corresponding increase in New Zealand European students. The<br />

Ministry claimed demographic changes were behind the shifts,<br />

but teacher and principal associations have attributed white flight<br />

to racial and class stigmas of low-decile schools, which<br />

commonly have majority Maori and Pacific Islander rolls.<br />

In one specific case, white flight has significantly affected Sunset Junior High School in<br />

a suburb of the city of Rotorua, with the total number of students reduced from 700 to<br />

70 in the early 1980s. All but one of the 70 students are Maori. The area has a<br />

concentration of poor, low-skilled people, with struggling families, and many single<br />

mothers. Related to the social problems of the families, student educational<br />

achievement is low on the standard reading test.<br />

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Page 76 of 150


V. Black Flight<br />

Black Flight is a term applied to the out-migration of African Americans from<br />

predominantly black or mixed inner-city areas in the United States to suburbs and<br />

outlying edge cities of newer home construction. While more attention has been paid to<br />

this since the 1990s, the movement of blacks to the suburbs has been underway for<br />

some time, with nine million people having migrated from 1960 to 2000. Their goals<br />

have been similar to those of the white middle class, whose out-migration was called<br />

white flight: newer housing, better schools for their children, and attractive<br />

environments. From 1990 to 2000, the percentage of African Americans who lived in the<br />

suburbs increased to a total of 39 percent, rising 5 percent in that decade. Most who<br />

moved to the suburbs after World War II were middle class.<br />

Early years of residential change accelerated in the late 1960s after passage of civil<br />

rights legislation ended segregation, and African Americans could exercise more<br />

choices in housing and jobs. Since the 1950s, there began a period of major<br />

restructuring of industries and loss of hundreds of thousands of industrial jobs in<br />

northeast and Midwest cities. Since the late 20th century, these events led to reduced<br />

density in formerly black neighborhoods in cities such as Chicago, Detroit, and<br />

Philadelphia, which have also had absolute population decreases, losing white<br />

population as well. Since the 2000 census, the number and proportion of black<br />

population has decreased in several major cities, including New York, Los Angeles,<br />

Atlanta, Boston, San Francisco, Seattle, St. Louis and Washington, DC.<br />

More importantly, in addition to moving to suburbs, since 1965 African Americans have<br />

been returning to the South in a New Great Migration, especially since 1990 to the<br />

states of Georgia, Texas, and Maryland, whose economies have expanded. In many<br />

cases, they are following the movement of jobs to the suburbs and the South. Because<br />

more African Americans are attaining college degrees, they are better able to find and<br />

obtain better-paying jobs and move to the suburbs. Most African-American migrants<br />

leaving the northern regions have gone to the "New South" states, where economies<br />

and jobs have grown from knowledge industries, services and technology.<br />

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Achieving higher education has contributed to an increase in overall affluence within the<br />

African-American community, with increasing median income, both in absolute terms<br />

and in relation to that of European Americans. According to a 2007 study, average<br />

African-American family income has increased, but the gap with white families has<br />

increased slightly.<br />

History<br />

In his After the Fact (1995) study, the anthropologist Clifford Geertz documented<br />

changes in a city in Morocco. As poor rural migrants moved into the center city during<br />

urbanization, the older, more established and wealthier populations moved to the<br />

outskirts. This pattern of class and education succession has been seen in United<br />

States cities, where poor immigrants and migrants have occupied older areas of<br />

affordable housing, but when economically established, they move to better areas, often<br />

in the suburbs. In recent decades, such ethnic succession seen first in center cities has<br />

been taking place in the suburbs, too.<br />

Since the 1960s, many middle-class African-Americans have been moving to the<br />

suburbs for newer housing and good schools, just as European Americans had done<br />

before them. From 1960 to 2000, the number of African Americans who moved to<br />

suburbs was nine million, a number considerably higher than the Great Migration of<br />

African-Americans from the rural South to the North during the first half of the century.<br />

As C. Hocker writes,<br />

The fact is African Americans desire the same things all Americans want for their<br />

families: employment opportunities with well-paying positions that can keep up with -or<br />

stay ahead of- the cost of living; the chance to own affordable homes in safe<br />

neighborhoods; quality options for educating our children; and the social and cultural<br />

amenities that make it all worthwhile. Right now, the South, more than any other region<br />

of the country, is living up to that promise.<br />

In the last 25 years, for example, the population of Prince George's County, Maryland,<br />

where suburban housing was developed near Washington, DC, became majority<br />

African American. By 2006 it was the wealthiest majority-black county in the nation.<br />

Similar to White Americans, African Americans continue to move to more distant areas.<br />

Charles County, Maryland has become the next destination for middle-class black<br />

migrants from Washington and other areas; by 2002, the students in the school system<br />

were majority black. Charles County has the fastest-growing black population of any<br />

large county in the nation except the Atlanta suburbs. Randallstown near Baltimore has<br />

also become a majority-black suburb. Other major majority-black suburbs include<br />

Bessemer, AL; Miami Gardens, FL; Pine Hills, FL; College Park, GA; East Point, GA;<br />

Harvey, IL; Maywood, IL; Inkster, MI; Oak Park, MI; Southfield, MI; East Orange, NJ;<br />

Irvington, NJ; Orange, NJ; Plainfield, NJ; Willingboro, NJ; Hempstead, NY; Mount<br />

Vernon, NY; Forest Park, OH; Darby, PA; Rankin, PA; Wilkinsburg, PA; Yeadon, PA;<br />

Desoto, TX; Glenn Heights, TX; Lancaster, TX; Missouri City, TX and others.<br />

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In 1950 few northern cities yet had majority or near majority percentages of blacks, nor<br />

did southern ones: Washington, DC was 35 percent African American and Baltimore<br />

was 40 percent. From 1950 to 1970, the black population increased dramatically in<br />

Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Newark, Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, St. Louis, Kansas City,<br />

Cincinnati and Indianapolis. By 1960 75 percent of blacks lived in urban environments,<br />

while whites had been moving to suburbs in large numbers following WWII. Black flight<br />

has altered the hyper-urban density that had resulted from the Second Great Migration<br />

to cities (1940–70), with hyper-segregation in inner-city areas, such as in Chicago, St.<br />

Louis, and East St. Louis.<br />

Job losses in former industrial cities have often pushed population out, as people<br />

migrate to other areas to find new work. In the 1950s and 1960s, numerous blacks from<br />

Chicago began to move to suburbs south of the city to improve their housing. Industry<br />

job losses hit those towns, too, and many people have left the area altogether. Chicago<br />

lost population from 1970 to 1990, with some increases as of the 2000 census, and<br />

decreases again from 2000-2005. Since 2000, nearly 55,000 blacks have left Chicago,<br />

although one million still live in the city. The migrants caused losses in businesses,<br />

churches, and other African-American community institutions. The concentration of<br />

poverty and deterioration of inner-city public schools in many cities also contributes to<br />

pushing black parents to move their families to suburban areas, with traditionally better<br />

funded schools. Detroit and Philadelphia are two other major industrial cities that have<br />

suffered dramatic population losses since the mid-20th century due to the loss of<br />

industrial jobs.<br />

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Reviews of the 2000 census showed that African Americans have also left New York,<br />

but continued in-migration of young whites and immigrants has appeared to stabilize the<br />

white proportion of residents. Joseph J. Salvo, director of the New York Department of<br />

City Planning's population division, noted the diversity within the white population, as<br />

older European Americans are replaced by new immigrants, including the many<br />

Hispanics who identify as white. Similarly, black out-migration from Boston since 2000<br />

resulted in the city's becoming majority white again by 2006. In 1970 at the peak of<br />

African-American expansion in Washington, DC, blacks comprised 70% of the capital's<br />

population. The percentage of black population has decreased significantly - to 55.6% in<br />

2007, down nearly 8% since 2000, and much more since the 1970s.<br />

California cities, a destination for black migrants from 1940 to 1970, have changed as<br />

well. The state has lost black migrants for the first time in three decades. San Francisco<br />

has had the largest decrease in black population, 23 percent from 1990 to 2000, but<br />

Oakland, Los Angeles and San Diego also have had losses. In Los Angeles, the<br />

percentage of population that is black has dropped by half to 9.9% since 1970, a<br />

proportion that also reflects recent increased Hispanic and Asian immigration.<br />

The large inner-city area of South Los Angeles offers an example of change caused by<br />

ethnic succession, where new immigrants replace former residents who move away or<br />

where an older generation is replaced by young people with children. This also often<br />

occurs because African Americans have emulated the white flight of their European<br />

American counterparts and move to the outer sections of the Greater Los Angeles<br />

areas to escape the ever-increasing Hispanic population. In 1985 African Americans<br />

made up 72% of the population of the area. By 2006 the black proportion of the<br />

population had decreased to just 24%. The Latino population had risen from 21% in<br />

1985 to 69% in 2006, as one population replaced another. From 2004-2005, Latino<br />

demand for housing caused prices to rise more than 40 percent in Watts and South<br />

Central Los Angeles.<br />

With the reverse movement of the New Great Migration, the South has been the gaining<br />

region for black migrants coming from all three other census regions, especially from<br />

1995 to 2000. The chief gaining states have been Georgia, Texas, North Carolina,<br />

Florida, Maryland, Virginia and Tennessee. In the same period, Georgia, Texas and<br />

Maryland attracted the most black college graduates. Houston and Dallas center cities<br />

have lost black population as the middle class has moved to the suburbs. In a change<br />

from previous settlement patterns, new regional migrants settle directly in the suburbs,<br />

the areas of largest residential growth and often the location of jobs as well. In addition<br />

to Atlanta, the top metropolitan areas attracting African Americans include Orlando,<br />

Jacksonville and Tallahassee, Florida; and Charlotte, North Carolina.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

In some cases, longtime black renters have been priced out of inner city neighborhoods<br />

because of rising rents caused by gentrification. Owners who want to move to smaller<br />

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housing cannot afford it. In other cases, rising home values increase property tax<br />

assessments to a level which longtime homeowners cannot afford.<br />

Inner-City Home Value Appreciation<br />

In other instances, longtime black homeowners in central city areas have "cashed out"<br />

at retirement age and profited from increasing home values. These longtime residents<br />

have relocated to more affordable condominiums in outlying suburban areas, or in other<br />

regions altogether.<br />

Economic Disparities<br />

The economic disparities between some classes of European Americans and African<br />

Americans have diminished. Black Americans today have a median income level much<br />

higher than they did in the 1990 census and as compared to the 2000 census, after<br />

inflation is considered. African Americans occupy a higher percentage of high-paying<br />

jobs within the USA than they used to. This has led to a rapidly increasing black middle<br />

class. Many of America's suburbs are becoming diversified with black and white<br />

residents coexisting in affluent neighborhoods. With the economic division within similar<br />

classes declining between races, African-American movement to the suburbs has<br />

resulted in some suburbs becoming more diverse. Other times middle and upper-middle<br />

class blacks have chosen to settle in chiefly African-American communities, so their<br />

children can grow up in a strong community of their own.<br />

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The extent to which increased economic prosperity among African Americans has led to<br />

integration among whites and blacks is debatable. Some scholars suggest that the<br />

narrowing economic divide is helping the USA to become an increasingly "color-blind"<br />

society, but others note the de facto segregation in many residential areas and<br />

continuing social discrimination.<br />

Other Uses<br />

The term "black flight" has also been used to describe African-American parents in<br />

some cities moving their children from public schools to charter schools or suburban<br />

schools featuring open enrollment. This has taken place in a variety of places, including<br />

the Twin Cities and the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. Other issues in the city proper of<br />

Dallas include an increase in immigration of Latinos. In the 1980s and 1990s, the school<br />

district had a majority of black students. Today it has a preponderance of Latino<br />

students, in a kind of ethnic succession that reflects residential changes in the city.<br />

Latinos constitute 68 percent of students, while blacks are 26 percent, and whites are 5<br />

percent. In addition, 87 percent of the Latino students qualify as "economically<br />

disadvantaged," and many are just learning English. Middle-class blacks are moving to<br />

suburbs in a repetition of earlier migration of middle-class whites. The issues of schools<br />

and residential patterns are strongly related to economic class, as well as parents'<br />

preferring that their children go to schools with native speakers of English.<br />

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VI. Ethnic Succession<br />

Ethnic Succession Theory is a theory in sociology stating that ethnic and<br />

racial groups entering a new area may settle in older neighborhoods or urban areas<br />

until achieving economic parity with certain economic classes. The concept of<br />

succession is well established in "both ecological and economic models of urban<br />

residential change." As the newer group becomes economically successful, it moves to<br />

a better residential area. With continued immigration, a new ethnic group will settle in<br />

the older neighborhood in a similar starting situation. This pattern will continue, creating<br />

a succession of groups moving through the neighborhood (and city) over time. Ethnic<br />

succession has taken place in most major United States cities, but is most well known in<br />

New York City, where this process has been observed since the 19th century.<br />

Explanations<br />

Immigration and Environment<br />

Because of the United States' continued attraction for immigrants, its cities have been<br />

sources of study for scholars of urban development and ethnic succession. Ethnic<br />

groups often settle together in urban neighborhoods as part of a "chain of immigration"<br />

to a new country, or migration to a new region, to keep personal networks, languages,<br />

foods, religions and cultures alive. They may be viewed by the dominant racial or<br />

cultural group as undesirable neighbors because of prejudice against a new culture's<br />

dominating a neighborhood. People with entry-level skills and/or limited language skills<br />

often have settled in older areas, where they can afford the housing and entry-level<br />

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jobs. Over time, the incoming group members find work, and members are able to<br />

establish themselves economically. The group rises in status with its economic<br />

achievements. The first, more established group tends to move out in the face of new<br />

arrivals, as it tends to have the economic resources to do so. The neighborhood takes<br />

on new demographics.<br />

Since the late twentieth century, more people in the United States live in suburbs than in<br />

center cities. Ethnic succession has also been observed taking place in suburbs, with<br />

newer groups settling in older suburbs, and more established groups' moving to newer<br />

developments. Many well-educated Indian and Nigerian immigrants, who could afford<br />

good housing, have settled immediately in better suburbs rather than in cities.<br />

Segregation<br />

Segregation has played a major part in the limitations on socioeconomic ascension of<br />

an ethnic group, whether by self-selection in settlement together or pressure to be<br />

confined by a majority group. In some cases, immigrants have been limited to small<br />

areas of rundown housing which they could afford. After reaching economic parity, highincome<br />

earners of a traditional low-status group may still not achieve integration in the<br />

majority culture. Some suburbs of cities have come to be dominated by different ethnic<br />

and cultural groups.<br />

Often economic class is a factor equally important as race. Mary Pattillo-McCoy<br />

provides an example from her studies of South Chicago in the 1990s. Although middleclass<br />

blacks moved out of their original neighborhoods, they settled in predominantly<br />

black neighborhoods, not venturing too far from their first, lower-class neighborhood.<br />

She studied Groveland, a middle-class enclave between poorer black areas and white<br />

suburbs. Although gaining the middle class, she found some African Americans were<br />

underemployed because of persistent discrimination. Living closer to lower-income<br />

neighborhoods put them and their children at risk of higher crime, poverty-related drugs<br />

and dysfunction, and problems in public schools.<br />

East End of London<br />

Historical Examples<br />

The East End of London has seen a succession of poor migrants from rural areas, as<br />

well as immigrant populations, who for centuries arrived as refugees from warfare on<br />

the Continent. For instance, in the 17th and 18th century, the area had many French<br />

Huguenot (Protestant) refugees, who managed the silk-weaving industry. At its peak in<br />

the mid-18th century, 12,000 silk weavers were employed in the Spitalfields area. In<br />

1742 they built a church, La Neuve Eglise. Later it became used as a Methodist chapel<br />

to serve mostly poor East Enders from around England. Although in the 17th century,<br />

the East End also had Sephardic Jewish immigrants, it was not until the concentration<br />

of 19th-century Ashkenazi Jewish immigration from eastern Europe, that the Methodist<br />

chapel was adapted as the Machzikei HaDath, or Spitalfields Great Synagogue; it was<br />

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consecrated in 1898. By the 1870s, thousands of unskilled Jewish immigrants were<br />

garment workers in sweatshops. Descendants of Jewish immigrants became educated,<br />

took better jobs, and gradually moved on to other parts of London and its suburbs, and<br />

new immigrants settled in the area. Since 1976, the synagogue was converted to the<br />

Jamme Masjid mosque, which serves the local ethnic Bangladeshi population, who are<br />

Muslim.<br />

U.S. Cities<br />

Most major American cities<br />

have historically had forms of<br />

ethnic succession, from the<br />

earliest years of colonial<br />

settlement, to recent times with<br />

newer immigrants altering city<br />

demographics. What is<br />

generally known are the<br />

successions as a result of the<br />

waves of immigration from<br />

eastern and southern Europe of<br />

the late nineteenth and early<br />

twentieth centuries, and the<br />

Great Migration of African<br />

Americans from the South to<br />

the North. Since changes to<br />

immigration laws in the 1960s,<br />

there have been new ethnic<br />

successions with the arrival of<br />

immigrants from Mexico,<br />

Central and South America;<br />

Africa and Asia. In addition,<br />

industrial restructuring and<br />

major economic changes<br />

upended the economies of<br />

cities throughout the Rust Belt, with implications for ethnic succession. In addition, there<br />

has been increased population movement to the South and Southwest over recent<br />

decades, causing shifts in population and voting patterns across the country.<br />

St Louis, Chicago, Cleveland, and Detroit<br />

Ethnic succession has been studied in these four cities of the Midwest, which had<br />

dramatic growth in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, fueled by<br />

industrialization, commodity resources, shipping traffic, and the automobile industry.<br />

From World War I through the 1930s, many African Americans moved to northern and<br />

midwestern cities in the first wave of the Great Migration. In addition, each of these<br />

cities received in total millions of immigrants from southern and eastern Europe. Both<br />

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the new immigrants and blacks competed with contemporary working class groups for<br />

housing and jobs. In Chicago, for example, ethnic Irish had become well established<br />

since the immigration of the mid-nineteenth century, and its members violently defended<br />

the physical boundaries of its neighborhoods, and its control of local working-class jobs.<br />

Similar issues prevailed in St. Louis, but the major nineteenth-century immigration had<br />

been by Germans. In both cases, the earlier ethnic groups resisted and tried to<br />

dominate the later ones, leading to outbreaks of violence in some cases. Tensions<br />

fueled by labor competition and post-World War I social tensions caused race riots, with<br />

ethnic whites, especially of Irish descent, attacking blacks during the summer of 1919 in<br />

Chicago. East St. Louis had a similar riot in 1917 that erupted after a strike.<br />

White Flight<br />

In the United States, ethnic succession has been seen both among Europeans groups<br />

and between European-American and other ethnic groups. By the late nineteenth<br />

century, some cities were served by commuter railroads and trolley public<br />

transportation, which made longer commutes to work easier. The wealthiest people<br />

were the first to move out to new suburban developments. Such new transportation<br />

systems stimulated residential real estate development in train and trolley suburbs, and<br />

people who could afford to move out of the inner cities started to do so.<br />

At the same time, major northern and midwestern cities were being crowded by two<br />

major groups: immigrants from southern and eastern Europe, and African Americans<br />

from the rural South. With federally subsidized highway construction after World War II,<br />

residential suburban development was stimulated and working middle-class white<br />

people began to leave the cities - often the children of immigrants. They were replaced,<br />

or sometimes moved away from competing for housing, by newer groups of both<br />

migrants and immigrants.<br />

People described the suburban migration as "white flight", because newer populations<br />

happened to be ethnic groups of color. Today's suburbs are more diverse, as ethnic<br />

groups of color have also moved to the suburbs when they could afford to. Other ethnic<br />

groups have occupied older, lower quality housing in the cities. Some cities also<br />

maintain residential areas of high-value housing, occupied by upper classes of various<br />

ethnic groups.<br />

Los Angeles<br />

During the early 1990s, numerous Hispanic immigrants, primarily from Mexico,<br />

increased their rate of settlement in South Central Los Angeles. It had historically been<br />

mostly African American from the Great Migration beginning in the early 1940s. In 1980<br />

Los Angeles was 28% Hispanic, 48% non-Hispanic white, and 17% black. By 1990 it<br />

was 40% Hispanic, 37% non-Hispanic white, and 13% black. This extremely rapid<br />

change in racial dynamics resulted in much social tension and some outbreaks of<br />

violence between groups. Such violence occurred in Watts.<br />

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Current Research<br />

Immigrant Enterprises<br />

Ethnic succession has been seen in the immigrant-dominated garment industry in New<br />

York since the turn of the 20th century. Ethnicity among entrepreneurs and workers<br />

continues to be an important determinant in maintaining the industry in New York<br />

against global competition. Bernard Wong's 1987 study of Chinese-owned factories<br />

noted that common ethnicity allowed the mobilization of capital and labor, and reduced<br />

management/labor conflict.<br />

Margaret Chin's book, Sewing Women (1998, 2005), examines how immigration,<br />

ethnicity and gender dynamics affect the contemporary garment industry. Also, Chin<br />

stresses the effect of unionization. She examines how ethnicity succession offers<br />

economic opportunities for immigrants, while limiting options for rising social mobility.<br />

The garment industry has long been immigrant-dominated, specifically in New York<br />

City. From Jewish immigrants in the early 1900s, to later 20th-century domination by<br />

Chinese owners and workers, to Hispanic workers under Korean owners today, the<br />

industry has been dominated by low skill, cheap labor, and poor working conditions.<br />

These conditions are typical of many jobs taken by immigrants without language skills in<br />

the larger cultures.<br />

Chin contrasts aspects of the industry and employer-employee relations of Chineseowned<br />

garment factories in Chinatown and Korean-owned factories outside the Korean<br />

enclave. She concludes that within the ethnic enclave, workers are more limited to low<br />

wages by familial and community relations. By contrast, Hispanics working for Korean<br />

owners may gain higher market wages, but be limited from advancing to supervisory<br />

positions by belonging to a different ethnicity than owners.<br />

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New York City Planning<br />

The researcher Ronald J.O. Flores, along with A.P. Lobo and J.J. Salvo of the New<br />

York City Department of Planning, have noticed since 1970 increasing succession<br />

among various Hispanic nationalities in residential neighborhoods in New York. Since<br />

about 1970, Hispanic ethnic groups have predominated among immigrants entering<br />

inner-city neighborhoods of New York City, succeeding whites of European ancestries.<br />

Puerto Ricans and Dominicans tended to settle in their own ethnic neighborhoods,<br />

perhaps because of a concentration of numbers. Immigrants from a variety of South<br />

American nations have integrated more in multi-ethnic neighborhoods. In the 21st<br />

century, numerous national groups of South American Hispanic ethnicity have begun to<br />

succeed the Puerto Ricans and Dominicans in some areas, creating the first Hispanic<br />

succession in the city.<br />

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VII. Urban Decay<br />

Urban Decay (also known as<br />

urban rot and urban blight) is the<br />

process by which a previously<br />

functioning city, or part of a city, falls<br />

into disrepair and decrepitude. It may<br />

feature<br />

deindustrialization,<br />

depopulation or de-urbanization,<br />

restructuring, abandoned buildings<br />

and infrastructure, high local<br />

unemployment, fragmented families,<br />

political disenfranchisement, crime,<br />

and a desolate cityscape, known as<br />

greyfield or urban prairie.<br />

Since the 1970s and 1980s, urban<br />

decay has been associated with<br />

Western cities, especially in North<br />

America and parts of Europe (mostly<br />

the United Kingdom and France).<br />

Since then, major structural changes<br />

in global economies, transportation,<br />

and government policy created the<br />

economic and then the social<br />

conditions resulting in urban decay.<br />

The effects counter the development of most of Europe and North America; on other<br />

continents, urban decay is manifested in the peripheral slums at the outskirts of a<br />

metropolis, while the city center and the inner city retain high real estate values and<br />

sustain a steadily increasing populace.<br />

In contrast, North American and British cities often experience population flights to the<br />

suburbs and exurb commuter towns; often in the form of white flight. Another<br />

characteristic of urban decay is blight—the visual, psychological, and physical effects of<br />

living among empty lots, buildings and condemned houses. Such desolate properties<br />

are socially dangerous to the community because they attract criminals and street<br />

gangs, contributing to the volume of crime.<br />

Urban decay has no single cause; it results from combinations of inter-related socioeconomic<br />

conditions—including the city's urban planning decisions, tight rent control,<br />

the poverty of the local populace, the construction of freeway roads and rail road lines<br />

that bypass—or run through—the area, depopulation by suburbanization of peripheral<br />

lands, real estate neighborhood redlining, and immigration restrictions.<br />

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History<br />

During the Industrial Revolution, from the late eighteenth century to the early nineteenth<br />

century, rural people moved from the country to the cities for employment in<br />

manufacturing industry, thus causing the urban population boom. However, subsequent<br />

economic change left many cities economically vulnerable. Studies such as the Urban<br />

Task Force (DETR 1999), the Urban White Paper (DETR 2000), and a study of Scottish<br />

cities (2003) posit that areas suffering industrial decline—high unemployment, poverty,<br />

and a decaying physical environment (sometimes including contaminated land and<br />

obsolete infrastructure)—prove "highly resistant to improvement".<br />

Changes in means of transport, from the public to the private—specifically, the private<br />

motor car—eliminated some of the cities' public transport service advantages, e.g.,<br />

fixed-route buses and trains. In particular, at the end of World War II, many political<br />

decisions favored suburban development and encouraged suburbanization, by drawing<br />

city taxes from the cities to build new infrastructure for towns.<br />

The manufacturing sector has been a base for the prosperity of major cities. When the<br />

industries have relocated outside of cities, some have experienced population loss with<br />

associated urban decay, and even riots. Cut backs on police and fire services may<br />

result, while lobbying for government funded housing may increase. Increased city<br />

taxes encourage residents to move out.<br />

Rent Control<br />

Rent controls are often enacted due to public pressure and complaint regarding the cost<br />

of living. Proponents of rent controls argue that rent controls combat inflation, stabilize<br />

the economic characteristics of a city's population, prevent rent gouging, and improve<br />

the quality of housing. It has been documented that rent control distorts the supply and<br />

demand relationship in housing markets which contributes to the rapid deterioration of<br />

the community and to urban blight and does not provide the supposed benefits its<br />

proponents promise. Rent control contributes to urban blight by reducing new<br />

construction and investment in housing and de-incentivizing maintenance. If a landlord's<br />

costs to perform maintenance consume too large a proportion of revenue from rent, the<br />

landlord will feel pressure to drastically reduce or eliminate maintenance entirely. This<br />

effect has been observed in New York City as 29% of rent-controlled buildings were<br />

categorized as either deteriorated or dilapidated in contrast with 8% of non-rentcontrolled<br />

housing.<br />

United States<br />

Countries<br />

Historically in the United States, the white middle class gradually left the cities for<br />

suburban areas because of higher crime rates and perceived danger caused by African-<br />

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American migration north toward cities after World War I (the Great Migration)—the socalled<br />

"white flight" phenomenon.<br />

Some historians differentiate between the first Great Migration (1910–1930), numbering<br />

about 1.6 million Black migrants who left mostly Southern rural areas to migrate to<br />

northern and midwestern industrial cities, and, after a lull during the Great Depression, a<br />

Second Great Migration (1940–1970), in which 5 million or more African-Americans<br />

moved, including many to California and various western cities.<br />

Between 1910 and 1970, Blacks moved from 14 states of the South, especially<br />

Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas to the other three cultural (and censusdesignated)<br />

regions of the United States. More townspeople with urban skills moved<br />

during the second migration. By the end of the Second Great Migration, African<br />

Americans had become an urbanized population. More than 80 percent lived in cities. A<br />

majority of 53 percent remained in the South, while 40 percent lived in the North and 7<br />

percent in the West.<br />

From the 1930s until 1977, African-Americans seeking borrowed capital for housing and<br />

businesses were discriminated against via the federal-government–legislated<br />

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discriminatory lending practices for the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) via<br />

redlining. In 1977, the US Congress passed the Community Reinvestment Act,<br />

designed to encourage commercial banks and savings associations to help meet the<br />

needs of borrowers in all segments of their communities, including low- and moderateincome<br />

neighborhoods.<br />

Later urban centers were drained further through the advent of mass car ownership, the<br />

marketing of suburbia as a location to move to, and the building of the Interstate<br />

Highway System. In North America this shift manifested itself in strip malls, suburban<br />

retail and employment centers, and very low-density housing estates. Large areas of<br />

many northern cities in the United States experienced population decreases and a<br />

degradation of urban areas.<br />

Inner-city property values declined and economically disadvantaged populations moved<br />

in. In the U.S., the new inner-city poor were often African-Americans that migrated from<br />

the South in the 1920s and 1930s. As they moved into traditional white neighborhoods,<br />

ethnic frictions served to accelerate flight to the suburbs.<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Britain experienced severe urban decay in the 1970s and 1980s exemplified by The<br />

Specials' 1981 hit single "Ghost Town". Major cities like Glasgow, the towns of the<br />

South Wales valleys, and some of the major industrial cities like Manchester, Liverpool,<br />

Newcastle, and East London, all experienced population decreases, with large areas of<br />

19th-century housing experiencing market price collapse. Some seaside resort towns<br />

have also experienced urban decay towards the end of the 20th century, due to the<br />

popularity of Package holidays to the continent.<br />

France<br />

Large French cities are often surrounded by areas of urban decay. While city centers<br />

tend to be occupied mainly by upper-class residents, cities are often surrounded by<br />

public housing developments, with many tenants being of North African origin (from<br />

former French colonies Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia), and recent immigrants.<br />

From the 50s to the 70s, publicly funded housing projects resulted in large areas of mid<br />

to high-rise buildings. These modern "grands ensembles" were welcomed at the time,<br />

as they replaced shanty towns and raised living standards, but these areas were heavily<br />

affected by economic depression in the 80s.<br />

The banlieues of large cities like Lyon, especially the northern Parisian banlieues, are<br />

severely criticized and forgotten by the country's territorial spatial planning<br />

administration. They have been ostracised ever since the French Commune<br />

government of 1871, considered as "lawless" or "outside the law", even "outside the<br />

Republic", as opposed to "deep France" or "authentic France", which is associated with<br />

the countryside.<br />

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In November 2005, the French suburbs were the scene of severe riots sparked by the<br />

accidental electrocution of two teenagers in the northern suburbs of Paris, and fueled in<br />

part by the substandard living conditions in these areas. Many deprived suburbs of<br />

French cities were suddenly the scenes of clashes between youngsters and the police,<br />

with violence and numerous car burnings resulting in huge media coverage.<br />

Today the situation remains generally unchanged; however, there is a level of disparity.<br />

Some areas are experiencing increased drug trafficking, while some northern suburbs<br />

of Paris and areas like Vaulx-en-Velin are undergoing refurbishment and redevelopment.<br />

Some previously mono-industrial towns in France are experiencing increasing crime,<br />

decay, and decreasing population. The issue remains a divisive issue in French public<br />

politics.<br />

Italy<br />

In Italy, one of the most well-known case of urban decay is represented by the Vele di<br />

Scampia, a large public housing estate built between 1962 and 1975 in the Scampia<br />

neighbourhood of Naples. The idea behind the project was to provide a huge urban<br />

housing project, where hundreds of families could socialise and create a community.<br />

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The design included a public transportation rail station, and a large park area between<br />

the two buildings. The planners wanted to create a small city model with large parks,<br />

playing fields, and other facilities.<br />

However, various events led to tremendous urban decay inside this project and in the<br />

surrounding areas. It all started with the 1980 earthquake in Irpinia, which led many<br />

families, left homeless, to squat the flats inside the Vele. This has caused a melting of<br />

different cultures together and, as often the case, crime and abusiveness has grown<br />

rapidly. Things were made worse by the total lack of police presence, resulting in a<br />

deep bundling of the Camorra inside the area, which now controls drug trafficking,<br />

illegal street racing, gangs, and fencing operations.<br />

Policy responses to urban decay<br />

The main responses to urban decay have been through positive public intervention and<br />

policy, through a plethora of initiatives, funding streams, and agencies, using the<br />

principles of New Urbanism (or through Urban Renaissance, its UK/European<br />

equivalent). <strong>Gentrification</strong> has also had a significant effect, and remains the primary<br />

means of a natural remedy.<br />

United States<br />

In the United States, early government policies included "urban renewal" and building of<br />

large-scale housing projects for the poor. Urban renewal demolished entire<br />

neighborhoods in many inner cities; in many ways, it was a cause of urban decay rather<br />

than a remedy. These government efforts are now thought by many to have been<br />

misguided.<br />

For multiple reasons, some cities have rebounded from these policy mistakes.<br />

Meanwhile, some of the inner suburbs built in the 1950s and 60s are beginning the<br />

process of decay, as those who are living in the inner city are pushed out due to<br />

gentrification.<br />

Europe<br />

In Western Europe, where undeveloped land is scarce and urban areas are generally<br />

recognised as the drivers of the new information and service economies, urban renewal<br />

has become an industry in itself, with hundreds of agencies and charities set up to<br />

tackle the issue. European cities have the benefit of historical organic development<br />

patterns already concurrent to the New Urbanist model, and although derelict, most<br />

cities have attractive historical quarters and buildings ripe for redevelopment.<br />

In the inner-city estates and suburban cités, the solution is often more drastic, with<br />

1960s and 70s state housing projects being totally demolished and rebuilt in a more<br />

traditional European urban style, with a mix of housing types, sizes, prices, and tenures,<br />

as well as a mix of other uses such as retail or commercial. One of the best examples of<br />

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this is in Hulme, Manchester, which was cleared of 19th-century housing in the 1950s to<br />

make way for a large estate of high-rise flats. During the 1990s, it was cleared again to<br />

make way for new development built along new urbanist lines.<br />

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VIII. Urban Renewal<br />

Urban Renewal (also called urban regeneration in the United Kingdom, urban<br />

renewal or urban redevelopment in the United States) is a program of land<br />

redevelopment in cities, often where there is urban decay. However, in more recent<br />

cases this term has been replaced with more vague ones, like "blight," an elastic term<br />

that has been used and abused to justify the taking and destruction of habitable and<br />

badly needed low-cost urban housing, and its replacement with privately-owned, private<br />

profit-making commercial structures. Modern attempts at renewal began in the late 19th<br />

century in developed nations, and experienced an intense phase in the late 1940s<br />

under the rubric of reconstruction. The process has had a major impact on many urban<br />

landscapes, and has played an important role in the history and demographics of cities<br />

around the world.<br />

Urban renewal is a process whereby privately owned properties within a designated<br />

renewal area are purchased or taken by eminent domain by a municipal redevelopment<br />

authority, razed and then reconveyed to selected developers who devote them to other<br />

uses. Until 1970, the displaced owners and tenants received only the constitutionallymandated<br />

"just compensation" specified in the Fifth Amendment to the U.S.<br />

Constitution. This measure of compensation covered only the fair market value of the<br />

taken property, and omitted compensation for a variety of incidental losses like, for<br />

example, moving expenses, loss of favorable financing and notably, business losses,<br />

such as loss of business goodwill. In the 1970s the federal government and state<br />

governments enacted the Uniform Relocation Assistance Act which provides for limited<br />

compensation of some of these losses. However the Act denies the displaced land<br />

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owners the right to sue to enforce its provisions, so it is deemed an act of legislative<br />

grace rather than a constitutional right. Historically, urban redevelopment has been<br />

controversial because of such practices as taking private property by eminent domain<br />

for "public use" and then turning it over to redevelopers free of charge or for less than<br />

the acquisition cost (known as "land write-down"). Thus, in the controversial Connecticut<br />

case of Kelo v. City of New London (2005) the plan called for a redeveloper to lease the<br />

subject 90-acre waterfront property for $1 per year.<br />

This process is also carried out in rural areas, referred to as village renewal, though it<br />

may not be exactly the same in practice.<br />

In some cases, renewal may result in urban sprawl and less congestion when areas of<br />

cities receive freeways and expressways.<br />

Urban renewal has been seen by proponents as an economic engine and a reform<br />

mechanism, and by critics as a mechanism for control. It may enhance existing<br />

communities. On the other hand, some redevelopment projects have been failures,<br />

including the Kelo case, in which the U.S. Supreme Court upheld the taking by a 5 to 4<br />

vote, but where nothing was built on the taken property.<br />

Many cities link the revitalization of the central business district and gentrification of<br />

residential neighborhoods to earlier urban renewal programs. Over time, urban renewal<br />

evolved into a policy based less on destruction and more on renovation and investment,<br />

and today is an integral part of many local governments, often combined with small and<br />

big business incentives.<br />

Pros and Cons<br />

Urban renewal sometimes lives up to the hopes of its original proponents – it has been<br />

assessed by politicians, urban planners, civic leaders, and residents – it has played an<br />

undeniably important if controversial role. But at other times urban redevelopment<br />

projects have failed in several American cities, having wasted large amounts of public<br />

funds to no purpose.<br />

Replenished housing stock might be an improvement in quality; it may increase density<br />

and reduce sprawl; it might have economic benefits and improve the global economic<br />

competitiveness of a city's center. It may, in some instances, improve cultural and social<br />

amenity, and it may also improve opportunities for safety and surveillance.<br />

Developments such as London Docklands increased tax revenues for government. In<br />

late 1964, the British commentator Neil Wates expressed the opinion that urban renewal<br />

in the United States had 'demonstrated the tremendous advantages which flow from an<br />

urban renewal program,' such as remedying the 'personal problems' of the poor,<br />

creation or renovation of housing stock, educational and cultural 'opportunities'. In the<br />

United States successful urban redevelopment projects tend to revitalize downtown<br />

areas, but have not been successful in revitalizing cities as a whole. The process has<br />

often resulted in the displacement of low-income city inhabitants when their dwellings<br />

were taken and demolished. Eventually, urban redevelopment became an engine of<br />

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construction of shopping malls,<br />

automobile factories and<br />

dealerships, "large box"<br />

department stores (like Target,<br />

Costco and Best Buy). Thus, in<br />

Washington, DC, the famous (or<br />

notorious)<br />

Southwest<br />

Washington renewal project (see<br />

Berman v. Parker) displaced<br />

thousands of largely African-<br />

American families, but provided<br />

them with no replacement<br />

housing because at the time<br />

(1954) the law did not provide for<br />

any. Also, the version of the<br />

project that was approved by the<br />

U.S. Supreme Court in Berman,<br />

provided for low-cost<br />

replacement housing, one-third<br />

of which was to rent for<br />

$17/room/month, but after the<br />

court's decision, that provision in<br />

the local law was repealed.<br />

Replacement housing –<br />

particularly in the form of highrise<br />

housing for low-income<br />

tenants – have not been<br />

successful. These projects are<br />

difficult to police, leading to an<br />

increase in crime, and such<br />

structures might in themselves be dehumanising. Public housing projects like Cabrini-<br />

Green in Chicago and Pruitt-Igoe in St. Louis became so bad that they had to be<br />

demolished.<br />

History<br />

The concept of urban renewal as a method for social reform emerged in England as a<br />

reaction to the increasingly cramped and unsanitary conditions of the urban poor in the<br />

rapidly industrializing cities of the 19th century. The agenda that emerged was a<br />

progressive doctrine that assumed better housing conditions would reform its residents<br />

morally and economically.<br />

Another style of reform – imposed by the state for reasons of aesthetics and efficiency –<br />

could be said to have begun in 1853, with the recruitment of Baron Haussmann by<br />

Louis Napoleon for the redevelopment of Paris.<br />

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By Country<br />

Argentina<br />

In Buenos Aires, Argentina, Puerto Madero is a known example of an urban renewal<br />

project. In the 1990s, the Argentine government decided to build a new residential and<br />

commercial district to replace city's old port and docks. More than 50 skyscrapers have<br />

been built in the last 20 years. Puerto Madero is now Buenos Aires' most expensive and<br />

exclusive neighborhood.<br />

Brazil<br />

In Rio de Janeiro, the Porto Maravilha (pt) is a large-scale urban waterfront revitalization<br />

project, which covers a centrally located five million square meter area. The project<br />

aims to redevelop the port area, increasing the city center attractiveness as a whole and<br />

enhancing the city's competitiveness in the global economy. The urban renovation<br />

involves 700 km of public networks for water supply, sanitation, drainage, electricity, gas<br />

and telecom; 5 km of tunnels; 70 km of roads; 650 km² of sidewalks; 17 km of bike path;<br />

15.000 trees; and 3 plants for sanitation treatment.<br />

Singapore<br />

The history of Singapore's urban renewal goes back to the time period surrounding the<br />

Second World War. Before the war, Singapore's housing environment had already been<br />

a problem. The tension of both infrastructure and housing conditions were worsened by<br />

the rapidly increasing number of the Singapore population in the 1930s. As a<br />

consequence of the war and the lack of economic development, between the 1940s to<br />

the 1950s, the previous evil of housing conditions continued to happen. As much as<br />

240,000 squatters were placed in the Singapore during the 1950s. It was caused by the<br />

movement of migrants, especially from peninsular Malaysia and the baby boom. In mid<br />

1959, overcrowded slums were inhabited by a big number of squatter populations,<br />

whereas these areas lacked the existence of service facilities such as sanitation.<br />

Since the establishment of the Republic of Singapore, urban renewal has been included<br />

in the part of the national improvement policy that was urgently put in action. Before<br />

that, the 1958 master plan had already been designed to solve the city problems.<br />

However, due to the lack of urban planning experts caused by the deficiency of<br />

professional staff, criticism came from many urban practitioners. The professional team<br />

recommended by the United Nations then was asked by the government to cope with<br />

the urban renewal matters and its redevelopment plan in 1961. Based on the UN<br />

assistance report, two pilot developments were initiated in the end of 1964 by the<br />

government. These redevelopments then led to the success of Singapore's urban<br />

renewal because the government could provide sufficient amount of public housing and<br />

business areas.<br />

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The most recent project is Paya Lebar Quarter. This will be a centrally located<br />

international mixed-use development and a key catalyst to the URA masterplan to<br />

regenerate Paya Lebar. Paya Lebar Quarter offers 3 grade A office towers with close to<br />

1 million square feet of office space and amenities, a standalone mid-to-mid plus retail<br />

mall with over 340,000 square feet of shopping, dining and entertainment options and 3<br />

residential towers comprising 429 apartments, positioned within a public space. [7] Paya<br />

Lebar Quarter is developed by Lendlease, an international developer with a strong track<br />

record in urban regeneration projects around the world,<br />

In the establishment of urban renewal programmes, some difficulties were experienced<br />

by the PAP government. The obstacles came from the resistance of people who used to<br />

live in the slums and squatters. It was reported by Singapore newspapers that those<br />

people were reluctant to be replaced. This became the major problems of 1960s<br />

redevelopment schemes. Affordable land value also became one of its reasons.<br />

Another problem was that the government had to purchase the private land owned by<br />

the middle and upper society to make the land vacant and be used for redevelopment.<br />

United Kingdom<br />

South Korea<br />

From the 1850s onwards, the terrible conditions of the urban poor in the slums of<br />

London began to attract the attention of social reformers and philanthropists, who began<br />

a movement for social housing. The first area to be targeted was the notorious slum<br />

called the Devil's Acre near Westminster. This new movement was largely funded by<br />

George Peabody and the Peabody Trust and had a lasting impact on the urban<br />

character of Westminster.<br />

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Slum clearance began with the Rochester Buildings, on the corner of Old Pye Street<br />

and Perkin's Rent, which were built in 1862 by the merchant William Gibbs. They are<br />

one of the earliest large-scale philanthropic housing developments in London. The<br />

Rochester Buildings were sold to the Peabody Trust in 1877 and later become known<br />

as Blocks A to D of the Old Perkin's Rents Estate. Angela Burdett-Coutts, 1st Baroness<br />

Burdett-Coutts funded an experimental social housing estate, among the first of its kind,<br />

on the corner of Columbia Road and Old Pye Street (now demolished). In 1869 the<br />

Peabody Trust built one of its first housing estates at Brewer's Green, between Victoria<br />

Street and St. James's Park. What remained of the Devil's Acre on the other side of<br />

Victoria Street was cleared and further Peabody estates were built after the Cross Act of<br />

1875.<br />

In 1882, the Peabody Trust built the Abbey Orchard Estate on former marshland at the<br />

corner of Old Pye Street and Abbey Orchard Street. Like many of the social housing<br />

estates, the Abbey Orchard Estate was built following the square plan concept. Blocks<br />

of flats were built around a courtyard, creating a semi-private space within the estate<br />

functioning as recreation area. The courtyards were meant to create a community<br />

atmosphere and the blocks of flats were designed to allow sunlight into the courtyards.<br />

The blocks of flats were built using high-quality brickwork and included architectural<br />

features such as lettering, glazing, fixtures and fittings. The estates built in the area at<br />

the time were considered model dwellings and included shared laundry and sanitary<br />

facilities, innovative at the time, and fireplaces in some bedrooms. The design was<br />

subsequently repeated in numerous other housing estates in London.<br />

State intervention was first achieved with the passage of the Public Health Act of 1875<br />

through Parliament. The Act focused on combating filthy urban living conditions that<br />

were the cause of disease outbreaks. It required all new residential construction to<br />

include running water and an internal drainage system and also prohibited the<br />

construction of shoddy housing by building contractors.<br />

The London County Council was created in 1889 as the municipal authority in the<br />

County of London and in 1890 the Old Nichol in the East End of London was declared a<br />

slum and the Council authorized its clearance and the rebuilding of an area of some 15-<br />

acre (61,000 m 2 ), including the Nichol and Snow estates, and a small piece on the<br />

Shoreditch side of Boundary Street, formally Cock Lane. The slum clearance began in<br />

1891 and included 730 houses inhabited by 5,719 people. The LCC architects designed<br />

21 and Rowland Plumbe two of 23 blocks containing between 10 and 85 tenements<br />

each. A total of 1,069 tenements, mostly two or three-roomed, were planned to<br />

accommodate 5,524 persons. The project was hailed as setting "new aesthetic<br />

standards for housing the working classes" and included a new laundry, 188 shops, and<br />

77 workshops. Churches and schools were preserved. Building for the project began in<br />

1893 and it was opened by the Prince of Wales in 1900. Other such schemes in the<br />

1880s, where newly cleared sites were sold on to developers, included Whitechapel,<br />

Wild Street, Whitecross Street and Clerkenwell.<br />

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Currently there are two main Urban Regeneration projects going on in London, Elephant<br />

Park at Elephant and Castle and at Stratford. These are both being done by Lendlease,<br />

a multinational company focusing on redeveloping neglected city areas.<br />

Interwar Period<br />

The 1917 Tudor Walters Committee Report into the provision of housing and post-war<br />

reconstruction in the United Kingdom, was commissioned by Parliament as a response<br />

to the shocking lack of fitness amongst many recruits during the War; this was attributed<br />

to poor living conditions, a belief summed up in a housing poster of the period "you<br />

cannot expect to get an A1 population out of C3 homes".<br />

The report's recommendations, coupled with a chronic housing shortage after the First<br />

World War led to a government-led program of house building with the slogan 'Homes<br />

for Heroes'. Christopher Addison, the Minister for Housing at the time was responsible<br />

for the drafting of the Housing, Town Planning, &c. Act 1919 which introduced the new<br />

concept of the state being involved in the building of new houses. This marked the start<br />

of a long 20th century tradition of state-owned housing, which would much later evolve<br />

into council estates.<br />

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With the onset of the Great Depression in 1929, increased house building and<br />

government expenditure was used to pull the country out of recession. The Housing Act<br />

of 1930 gave local councils wide-ranging powers to demolish properties unfit for human<br />

habitation or that posed a danger to health, and obligated them to rehouse those people<br />

who were relocated due to the large scale slum clearance programs. Cities with a large<br />

proportion of Victorian terraced housing - housing that was no longer deemed of<br />

sufficient standard for modern living requirements - underwent the greatest changes.<br />

Over 5,000 homes (25,000 residents) in the city of Bristol were designated as<br />

redevelopment areas in 1933 and slated for demolition. Although efforts were made to<br />

house the victims of the demolitions in the same area as before, in practice this was too<br />

difficult to fully implement and many people were rehoused in other areas, even<br />

different cities. In an effort to rehouse the poorest people affected by redevelopment,<br />

the rent for housing was set at an artificially low level, although this policy also only<br />

achieved mixed success.<br />

The Josefov neighborhood, or Old Jewish Quarter, in Prague was leveled and rebuilt in<br />

an effort at urban renewal between 1890 and 1913.<br />

Other programs, such as that in Castleford in the United Kingdom and known as The<br />

Castleford Project seek to establish a process of urban renewal which enables local<br />

citizens to have greater control and ownership of the direction of their community and<br />

the way in which it overcomes market failure. This supports important themes in urban<br />

renewal today, such as participation, sustainability and trust – and government acting as<br />

advocate and 'enabler', rather than an instrument of command and control.<br />

During the 1990s the concept of culture-led regeneration gained ground. Examples<br />

most often cited as successes include Temple Bar in Dublin where tourism was<br />

attracted to a bohemian 'cultural quarter', Barcelona where the 1992 Olympics provided<br />

a catalyst for infrastructure improvements and the redevelopment of the water front<br />

area, and Bilbao where the building of a new art museum was the focus for a new<br />

business district around the city's derelict dock area. The approach has become very<br />

popular in the UK due to the availability of lottery funding for capital projects and the<br />

vibrancy of the cultural and creative sectors. However, the arrival of Tate Modern in the<br />

London borough of Southwark may be heralded as a catalyst to economic revival in its<br />

surrounding neighborhood.<br />

In post-apartheid South Africa major grassroots social movements such as the Western<br />

Cape Anti-Eviction Campaign and Abahlali base Mjondolo emerged to contest 'urban<br />

renewal' programs that forcibly relocated the poor out of the cities.<br />

The politics of urban renewal which frequently relies on the state's dominance in the<br />

discourse of removing the character and infrastructure of older city cores, with that<br />

which is required by existing market based constituents has to be examined further.<br />

Professor Kenneth Paul Tan of the National University of Singapore has this to say<br />

"Singapore’s self-image of having achieved success against all odds puts tremendous<br />

pressure on its government and people to maintain and exceed this success. The push<br />

for progress and development destroys many things in its path, often indiscriminately,<br />

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sometimes unwittingly. To cope psychically with such losses, Singapore’s culture of<br />

comfort and affluence has been attained through the self-mastery of repressive<br />

techniques. Desiring economic progress, upward mobility, affluent and convenient<br />

lifestyles and a ‘world-class’ city."<br />

"Singaporeans have had to repress the loss of their sense of place and community,<br />

family ties, passion and compassion, Asian customs and values, openness to the rest of<br />

the world and even the discipline, hard work and thrift associated with earlier capitalist–<br />

industrial attitudes. But no repressive efforts can be complete, consistent and fully<br />

successful, even in dominant hegemony. Therefore, the ‘now’ is always a complex and<br />

fractured world of disjunctive values, attitudes and ideals. The supernatural intrusions<br />

featured in these five films should tell us something about the impossibility of a coherent<br />

world of ideology and experience."<br />

United States<br />

Large scale urban renewal projects in the US started in the interwar period. Prototype<br />

urban renewal projects include the design and construction of Central Park in New York<br />

and the 1909 Plan for Chicago by Daniel Burnham. Similarly, the efforts of Jacob Riis in<br />

advocating for the demolition of degraded areas of New York in the late 19th century<br />

was also formative. The redevelopment of large sections of New York City and New<br />

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York State by Robert Moses between the 1930s and the 1970s was a notable and<br />

prominent example of urban redevelopment. Moses directed the construction of new<br />

bridges, highways, housing projects, and public parks.<br />

Other cities across the USA began to create redevelopment programs in the late 1930s<br />

and 1940s. These early projects were generally focused on slum clearance and were<br />

implemented by local public housing authorities, which were responsible both for<br />

clearing slums and for building new affordable housing. In 1944, the GI Bill (officially the<br />

Serviceman's Readjustment Act) guaranteed Veterans Administration (VA) mortgages<br />

to veterans under favorable terms, which fueled suburbanization after the end of World<br />

War II, as places like Levittown, New York, Warren, Michigan and the San Fernando<br />

Valley of Los Angeles were transformed from farmland into cities occupied by tens of<br />

thousands of families in a few years.<br />

The Housing Act of 1949 kick-started the "urban renewal" program that would reshape<br />

American cities. The Act provided federal funding to cities to cover the cost of acquiring<br />

areas of cities perceived to be "slums". Those sites were then given to private<br />

developers to construct new housing. The phrase used at the time was "urban<br />

redevelopment". "Urban renewal" was a phrase popularized with the passage of the<br />

Housing Act of 1954, which made these projects more enticing to developers by, among<br />

other things, providing FHA-backed mortgages.<br />

Under the powerful influence of multimillionaire R.K. Mellon, Pittsburgh became the first<br />

major city to undertake a modern urban-renewal program in May 1950. Pittsburgh was<br />

infamous around the world as one of the dirtiest and most economically depressed<br />

cities, and seemed ripe for urban renewal. A large section of downtown at the heart of<br />

the city was demolished, converted to parks, office buildings, and a sports arena and<br />

renamed the Golden Triangle in what was universally recognized as a major success.<br />

Other neighborhoods were also subjected to urban renewal, but with mixed results.<br />

Some areas did improve, while other areas, such as East Liberty and the Hill District,<br />

declined following ambitious projects that shifted traffic patterns, blocked streets to<br />

vehicular traffic, isolated or divided neighborhoods with highways, and removed large<br />

numbers of ethnic and minority residents. An entire neighborhood was destroyed (to be<br />

replaced by the Civic Arena), displacing 8000 residents (most of whom were poor and<br />

black).<br />

Because of the ways in which it targeted the most disadvantaged sector of the<br />

American population, novelist James Baldwin famously dubbed Urban Renewal "Negro<br />

Removal" in the 1960s.<br />

The term "urban renewal" was not introduced in the USA until the Housing Act was<br />

again amended in 1954. That was also the year in which the U.S. Supreme Court<br />

upheld the general validity of urban redevelopment statutes in the landmark case,<br />

Berman v. Parker. See Amy Lavine, Italic textUrban Renewal and the Story of Berman<br />

v. ParkerItalic text 42 The Urban Lawyer 423 (2010).<br />

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In 1956, the Federal-Aid Highway Act gave state and federal government complete<br />

control over new highways, and often they were routed directly through vibrant urban<br />

neighborhoods—isolating or destroying many—since the focus of the program was to<br />

bring traffic in and out of the central cores of cities as expeditiously as possible and nine<br />

out of every ten dollars spent came from the federal government. This resulted in a<br />

serious degradation of the tax bases of many cities, isolated entire neighborhoods, and<br />

meant that existing commercial districts were bypassed by the majority of commuters.<br />

Segregation continued to increase as communities were displaced and many African<br />

Americans and Latinos were forced to move into public housing while some whites<br />

moved to the suburbs.<br />

In Boston, one of the country's oldest cities, almost a third of the old city was<br />

demolished—including the historic West End—to make way for a new highway, lowand<br />

moderate-income high-rises (which eventually became luxury housing), and new<br />

government and commercial buildings. This came to be seen as a tragedy by many<br />

residents and urban planners, and one of the centerpieces of the redevelopment—<br />

Government Center—is still considered an example of the excesses of urban renewal.<br />

Reaction<br />

In 1961, Jane Jacobs published The Death and Life of Great American Cities, one of<br />

the first—and strongest—critiques of contemporary large-scale urban renewal.<br />

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However, it would still be a few years before organized movements began to oppose<br />

urban renewal. The Rondout neighborhood in Kingston, New York (on the Hudson<br />

River) was essentially destroyed by a federally funded urban renewal program in the<br />

1960s, with more than 400 old buildings demolished, most of them historic brick<br />

structures built in the 19th century. Similarly ill-conceived urban renewal programs<br />

gutted the historic centers of other towns and cities across America in the 1950s and<br />

1960s (for example the West End neighborhood in Boston, the downtown area of<br />

Norfolk, Virginia and the historic waterfront areas of the towns of Narragansett and<br />

Newport in Rhode Island).<br />

By the 1970s many major cities developed opposition to the sweeping urban-renewal<br />

plans for their cities. In Boston, community activists halted construction of the proposed<br />

Southwest Expressway but only after a three-mile long stretch of land had been cleared.<br />

In San Francisco, Joseph Alioto was the first mayor to publicly repudiate the policy of<br />

urban renewal, and with the backing of community groups, forced the state to end<br />

construction of highways through the heart of the city. Atlanta lost over 60,000 people<br />

between 1960 and 1970 because of urban renewal and expressway construction, but a<br />

downtown building boom turned the city into the showcase of the New South in the<br />

1970s and 1980s. In the early 1970s in Toronto Jacobs was heavily involved in a group<br />

which halted the construction of the Spadina Expressway and altered transport policy in<br />

that city.<br />

Some of the policies around urban renewal began to change under President Lyndon<br />

Johnson and the War on Poverty, and in 1968, the Housing and Urban Development<br />

Act and The New Communities Act of 1968 guaranteed private financing for private<br />

entrepreneurs to plan and develop new communities. Subsequently, the Housing and<br />

Community Development Act of 1974 established the Community Development Block<br />

Grant program (CDBG) which began in earnest the focus on redevelopment of existing<br />

neighborhoods and properties, rather than demolition of substandard housing and<br />

economically depressed areas.<br />

Currently, a mix of renovation, selective demolition, commercial development, and tax<br />

incentives is most often used to revitalize urban neighborhoods. An example of an<br />

entire eradication of a community is Africville in Halifax, Nova Scotia. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is<br />

still controversial, and often results in familiar patterns of poorer residents being priced<br />

out of urban areas into suburbs or more depressed areas of cities. Some programs,<br />

such as that administered by Fresh Ministries and Operation New Hope in Jacksonville,<br />

Florida, Hill Community Development Corporation (Hill CDC) in Pittsburgh's historic Hill<br />

District attempt to develop communities, while at the same time combining highly<br />

favorable loan programs with financial literacy education so that poorer residents may<br />

still be able to afford their restored neighborhoods.<br />

An example of urban renewal gone wrong in the United States is in downtown Niagara<br />

Falls, New York. Most of the original downtown was demolished in the 1960s, and many<br />

replacement projects including the Rainbow Centre Factory Outlet, Niagara Falls<br />

Convention and Civic Center, the Native American Cultural Center, the Hooker<br />

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Chemical (later the Occidental Petroleum) Headquarters building, the Wintergarden, the<br />

Fallsville Splash Park, a large parking ramp, an enclosed pedestrian walkway, the Falls<br />

Street Faire & Falls Street Station entertainment complexes, sections of the Robert<br />

Moses State Parkway, and the Mayor E. Dent Lackey Plaza closed within twenty to<br />

thirty years of their construction. In several American cities, some demolished blocks<br />

were never replaced.<br />

Ultimately, the former tourist district of the city along Falls Street was destroyed. It went<br />

against the principles of several urban philosophers, such as Jane Jacobs, who claimed<br />

that mixed-use districts were needed (which the new downtown was not) and arteries<br />

needed to be kept open. Smaller buildings also should be built or kept. In Niagara Falls,<br />

however, the convention center blocked traffic into the city, located in the center of Falls<br />

Street (the main artery), and the Wintergarden also blocked traffic from the convention<br />

center to the Niagara Falls. The Rainbow Centre interrupted the street grid, taking up<br />

three blocks, and parking ramps isolated the city from the core, leading to the<br />

degradation of nearby neighborhoods. Tourists were forced to walk around the Rainbow<br />

Center, the Wintergarden, and the Quality Inn (all of which were adjacent), in total five<br />

blocks, discouraging small business in the city.<br />

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IX. Urban Planning<br />

Urban Planning is a technical and political process concerned with the<br />

development and design of land use in an urban environment, including air, water, and<br />

the infrastructure passing into and out of urban areas, such as transportation,<br />

communications, and distribution networks. Urban planning deals with physical layout of<br />

human settlements. The primary concern is the public welfare, which includes<br />

considerations of efficiency, sanitation, protection and use of the environment, as well<br />

as effects on social and economic activities. Urban planning is considered an<br />

interdisciplinary field that includes social, engineering and design sciences. It is closely<br />

related to the field of urban design and some urban planners provide designs for<br />

streets, parks, buildings and other urban areas. Urban planning is also referred to as<br />

urban and regional planning, regional planning, town planning, city planning,<br />

rural planning, urban development or some combination in various areas worldwide.<br />

Urban planning guides orderly development in urban, suburban and rural areas.<br />

Although predominantly concerned with the planning of settlements and communities,<br />

urban planning is also responsible for the planning and development of water use and<br />

resources, rural and agricultural land, parks and conserving areas of natural<br />

environmental significance. Practitioners of urban planning are concerned with research<br />

and analysis, strategic thinking, architecture, urban design, public consultation, policy<br />

recommendations, implementation and management. Enforcement methodologies<br />

include governmental zoning, planning permissions, and building codes, as well as<br />

private easements and restrictive covenants.<br />

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Urban planners work with the cognate fields of architecture, landscape architecture, civil<br />

engineering, and public administration to achieve strategic, policy and sustainability<br />

goals. Early urban planners were often members of these cognate fields. Today urban<br />

planning is a separate, independent professional discipline. The discipline is the broader<br />

category that includes different sub-fields such as land-use planning, zoning, economic<br />

development, environmental planning, and transportation planning.<br />

History<br />

There is evidence of urban planning and designed communities dating back to the<br />

Mesopotamian, Indus Valley, Minoan, and Egyptian civilizations in the third millennium<br />

BCE. Archeologists studying the ruins of cities in these areas find paved streets that<br />

were laid out at right angles in a grid pattern. The idea of a planned out urban area<br />

evolved as different civilizations adopted it. Beginning in the 8th century BCE, Greek<br />

city states were primarily centered on orthogonal (or grid-like) plans. The ancient<br />

Romans, inspired by the Greeks, also used orthogonal plans for their cities. City<br />

planning in the Roman world was developed for military defense and public<br />

convenience. The spread of the Roman Empire subsequently spread the ideas of urban<br />

planning. As the Roman Empire declined, these ideas slowly disappeared. However,<br />

many cities in Europe still held onto the planned Roman city center. Cities in Europe<br />

from the 9th to 14th centuries, often grew organically and sometimes chaotically. But in<br />

the following centuries some newly created towns were built according to preconceived<br />

plans, and many others were enlarged with newly planned extensions. From the 15th<br />

century on, much more is recorded of urban design and the people that were involved.<br />

In this period, theoretical treatises on architecture and urban planning start to appear in<br />

which theoretical questions are addressed and designs of towns and cities are<br />

described and depicted. During the Enlightenment period, several European rulers<br />

ambitiously attempted to redesign capital cities. During the Second French Republic,<br />

Baron Georges-Eugène Haussmann, under the direction of Napoleon III, redesigned the<br />

city of Paris into a more modern capital, with long, straight, wide boulevards.<br />

Planning and architecture went through a paradigm shift at the turn of the 20th century.<br />

The industrialized cities of the 19th century grew at a tremendous rate. The pace and<br />

style of this industrial construction was largely dictated by the concerns of private<br />

business. The evils of urban life for the working poor were becoming increasingly<br />

evident as a matter for public concern. The laissez-faire style of government<br />

management of the economy, in fashion for most of the Victorian era, was starting to<br />

give way to a New Liberalism that championed intervention on the part of the poor and<br />

disadvantaged. Around 1900, theorists began developing urban planning models to<br />

mitigate the consequences of the industrial age, by providing citizens, especially factory<br />

workers, with healthier environments.<br />

At the beginning of the 20th century, urban planning began to be recognized as a<br />

profession. The Town and Country Planning Association was founded in 1899 and the<br />

first academic course in Great Britain on urban planning was offered by the University of<br />

Liverpool in 1909. In the 1920s, the ideas of modernism and uniformity began to surface<br />

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in urban planning, and lasted until the 1970s. Many planners started to believe that the<br />

ideas of modernism in urban planning led to higher crime rates and social problems.<br />

Urban planners now focus more on individualism and diversity in urban centers.<br />

Theories<br />

Planning theory is the body of scientific concepts, definitions, behavioral relationships,<br />

and assumptions that define the body of knowledge of urban planning. There are eight<br />

procedural theories of planning that remain the principal theories of planning procedure<br />

today: the rational-comprehensive approach, the incremental approach, the transactive<br />

approach, the communicative approach, the advocacy approach, the equity approach,<br />

the radical approach, and the humanist or phenomenological approach.<br />

Technical Aspects<br />

Technical aspects of urban planning<br />

involve the applying scientific, technical<br />

processes, considerations and features<br />

that are involved in planning for land<br />

use, urban design, natural resources,<br />

transportation, and infrastructure. Urban<br />

planning includes techniques such as:<br />

predicting population growth, zoning,<br />

geographic mapping and analysis,<br />

analyzing park space, surveying the<br />

water supply, identifying transportation<br />

patterns, recognizing food supply<br />

demands, allocating healthcare and<br />

social services, and analyzing the<br />

impact of land use.<br />

In order to predict how cities will<br />

develop and estimate the effects of their<br />

interventions, planners use various<br />

models. These models can be used to<br />

indicate relationships and patterns in<br />

demographic, geographic, and<br />

economic data. They might deal with<br />

short-term issues such as how people move through cities, or long-term issues such as<br />

land use and growth.<br />

Building codes and other regulations dovetail with urban planning by governing how<br />

cities are constructed and used from the individual level.<br />

Urban Planners<br />

Page 113 of 150


An urban planner is a professional who works in the field of urban planning for the<br />

purpose of optimizing the effectiveness of a community's land use and infrastructure.<br />

They formulate plans for the development and management of urban and suburban<br />

areas, typically analyzing land use compatibility as well as economic, environmental and<br />

social trends. In developing any plan for a community (whether commercial, residential,<br />

agricultural, natural or recreational), urban planners must consider a wide array of<br />

issues including sustainability, existing and potential pollution, transport including<br />

potential congestion, crime, land values, economic development, social equity, zoning<br />

codes, and other legislation.<br />

The importance of the urban planner is increasing in the 21st century, as modern<br />

society begins to face issues of increased population growth, climate change and<br />

unsustainable development. An urban planner could be considered a green collar<br />

professional. [16]<br />

Some researchers suggest that urban planners around the world work in different<br />

"planning cultures", adapted to their local cities and cultures. However, professionals<br />

have identified skills, abilities and basic knowledge sets that are common to urban<br />

planners across national and regional boundaries.<br />

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X. References<br />

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Development-induced_displacement<br />

3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forced_displacement<br />

4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_flight<br />

5. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_flight<br />

6. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_succession_theory<br />

7. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_decay<br />

8. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_renewal<br />

9. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_planning<br />

10. https://www.nssa.us/journals/2010-35-1/pdf/35-1%2001%20Aka.pdf<br />

11.<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.osu.edu/reports/2004/07_2004_<strong>Gentrification</strong>%20and%20Rev<br />

italization.pdf<br />

12. https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/50791/411294-In-the-Face-of-<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong>.PDF<br />

13.<br />

https://communityinnovation.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/mapping_susceptibility_to_g<br />

entrification.pdf?width=1200&height=800&iframe=true<br />

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Notes<br />

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Page 118 of 150


Attachment A<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Socioeconomic Impacts of<br />

Neighborhood Integration and Diversification in<br />

Atlanta GA<br />

Page 119 of 150


<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Socioeconomic Impacts of Neighborhood Integration and<br />

Diversification in Atlanta, Georgia<br />

Ebenezer O. Aka, Jr.<br />

Morehouse College<br />

Introduction<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> can be defined as the upward change in land use to middle and upper income residential<br />

(Keating, 2003). In the simplest form it can be explained as the upgrading of devalued or deteriorated<br />

urban property by the middle class or affluent people. It can also be thought of as “reversed<br />

neighborhood” (Freeman, 2008). <strong>Gentrification</strong> is a common issue in urbanized nations around the<br />

world. The presences of gentrification begin to become common in the United States around the mid<br />

1970s. There are many factors that feed into the existence of gentrification. And there are numerous<br />

social and economic consequences of gentrification. Often times referred to as a double-edged sword,<br />

gentrification sets off a chain of both positive and negative effects. It is seemingly impossible to<br />

completely eradicate the negative effects of gentrification. However, it is possible to minimize the<br />

negative effects that gentrification presents. The question is, can gentrification lead to a long-term stable<br />

or greater volatility due to conflicts arising from the socioeconomic differences between whites, blacks,<br />

and other minorities in Atlanta.<br />

Purpose of Study<br />

This paper focuses on the socioeconomic effects of gentrification in five Atlanta neighborhoods. The<br />

five neighborhoods are in an area of Atlanta known as Intown-South. The neighborhoods include<br />

Summerhill, Grant Park, East Atlanta, Edgewood, and East Lake (see Map 1, Map 2, Map 3, Map 4, Map<br />

5, and Map 6). These neighborhoods span eastward from Atlanta’s Interstate 75/85 Connector. Each<br />

neighborhood is in close proximity to downtown Atlanta and is easily accessible to interstates 75/85 and<br />

or 20. These neighborhoods exist in different City Council Districts and different Neighborhood Planning<br />

Units. Each of these neighborhoods shares similar socioeconomic characteristics. These neighborhoods<br />

were chosen based on recent inter-metropolitan migration trends in Atlanta. Each of these areas has been<br />

or is becoming of immense popularity with persons moving into Atlanta’s in-town neighborhoods.<br />

Methodology of the Study<br />

Using the aforementioned neighborhoods as a point of reference, this paper seeks to provide<br />

recommendations on ways to minimize the negative effects of gentrification in Atlanta. In order to<br />

provide recommendations, we will analyze the political, economic, and social factors that feed into<br />

gentrification- using secondary research components as a catalyst. To determine the occurrence of<br />

gentrification and its effects, there will be a longitudinal analysis on variables of race, age, educational<br />

attainment, income, housing values and rent cost.<br />

Theoretical Framework for the Study of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

As stated in the introduction, gentrification may simply be defined as the upgrading of devalued urban<br />

property. But as one elects to go deeper into understanding gentrification, it broadens to encompass much<br />

more. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is not easily explained in a few sentences. We can begin to understand gentrification<br />

more thoroughly by dispelling one major inaccuracy associated with it. That inaccuracy being that<br />

gentrification is brought on only by wealthy individuals moving from suburbs or exurbs into blighted


areas of the central city. Bruce London and John Palen, two sociology professors, believe that this<br />

misconception is brought on by the root word of gentrification – gentry means upper or ruling class.<br />

While it is true that gentrification is the result of higher income groups moving into central city<br />

neighborhoods, these persons are often time only marginally middle class and often times relocate from<br />

other areas of the city proper (Keating, 2003). They also use their own labor to increase the value of the<br />

homes they purchase. “Newcomers are attracted to revitalizing areas because house prices are moderate<br />

compared” ( London and Palen, 1984, p.7).<br />

Despite the inaccuracy associated with only wealthy persons moving into the central city from the<br />

suburbs and exurbs, it is true that an influx of higher-income groups into an area increase property values<br />

and thus induces gentrification. This is true because higher-income helps fix up dilapidated houses, and<br />

because businesses follow consumers who have purchasing power. And as businesses invest in depressed<br />

areas, the residential and commercial property values increase. This increase in area property values is the<br />

double-edged sword that people refer to when they are speaking of gentrification. “Some observers see in<br />

this process the coming end of the urban crisis; others stress the increasing impoverishment of the<br />

displaced” (London and Palen, 1984, p. 14).<br />

From higher property values, there are great economic benefits for the local neighborhood as well as<br />

the municipality, county and state. However, these economic benefits flow from taxation- this means that<br />

citizens pay an increased price in the cost of living for improving an area. As property values rise, so do<br />

property taxes. And as conspicuous consumption increases in new found popular enclaves, so do sales tax<br />

revenues. In Atlanta, 50% of property taxes go to the Atlanta Board of Education; the remaining portion<br />

is divided between the City of Atlanta, Fulton County, and the State of Georgia. The property taxes and<br />

sales taxes that are divided up amongst the city, county and state, serve as general revenue. They are used<br />

to provide services such as police protection, sanitation, and highway maintenance. So as property taxes<br />

and sales tax revenues increase, the education provided in local public schools improves, the provision of<br />

public services becomes greater, and the overall quality of life is improved.<br />

Despite all of the positive effects that result from gentrification, there are negative effects that result as<br />

well. Displacement is probably the most notorious of all. “Displacement most frequently, refers to the<br />

forced involuntary dislocation of needy households (i.e., the poor, black, ethnic minorities, and the aged)”<br />

(London and Palen, 1984, p.12). As property taxes begin to rise, many long-term homeowners are<br />

unable to keep up with increasing property tax rates. In the process, commercial and residential landlords<br />

often increase rent to continue earning a profit on their investment property. Landlords also increase rent<br />

prices because they know renovations to the surrounding area will increase the attractiveness of their<br />

property. Those seeking conspicuous consumption will be willing to pay a higher price for the services<br />

and amenities that the property provides. Displaced residence often times find it difficult to find sufficient<br />

housing at a price relative to what they were paying before being displaced. In many gentrified areas it<br />

may be quite normal to see high-priced condominiums and fancy boutiques replace older dwellings, and<br />

“mom and pop” corner stores. Eventually, a neighborhoods entire demographic profile changes. The<br />

indigenous sociological community is destroyed and replaced by another. What is perhaps the one of the<br />

most disheartening effects of gentrification is that people who once owned gracious homes in the<br />

gentrified area- which may have needed a little maintenance- can often time not even conceive of buying<br />

back into the area once it had been totally restructured.<br />

Georgia Institute of Technology Professor, Larry Keating, suggest that <strong>Gentrification</strong> in Atlanta has<br />

six key characteristics. In Keating’s paper, “Resurgent <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Politics and Policy in Atlanta,”<br />

Keating refers to Atlanta’s current trends in gentrification as being more extensive, less dependent on<br />

unique architecture, state sponsored, having reversed racial tension, greater volatility, and affecting racial<br />

composition of the electorate. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is referred to as being more extensive because more housing<br />

units are being affected as more neighborhoods experience gentrification. It is because past occurrences<br />

of gentrification in Atlanta were based on historical preservation efforts that Keating adds that current<br />

gentrification is less dependant on unique architecture. People are moving into in-town neighborhoods<br />

because of its close proximity to the central business district and other amenities. Racial transition is a<br />

characteristic of gentrification in Atlanta because many persons moving into predominately black in-town


neighborhoods are white. The social and economic differences between blacks and whites create conflict.<br />

The conflict that arises is what accounts for the greater volatility. It is because public subsidies are being<br />

drastically reduced, that Keating sites gentrification as being state-sponsored. Also, the black population<br />

of Atlanta has declined from 67 percent in 1990, to 61.1 percent in 2000, while the white population has<br />

increased form 31 percent to 34 percent. These small shifts can shift political power by changing the<br />

racial composition of the electorate (Toon, 2003).<br />

Political, Economic, and Social Factors of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Political Factors<br />

The political factors that feed into gentrification stem from the policies and actions of governing<br />

authorities. One major political factor includes a decrease in the amount of federal funds given to<br />

municipalities throughout the United States. During the 1980s, the Regan administration drastically<br />

reduced the amount of money given to cities to sponsor redistributive activities such as affordable<br />

housing-the availability of affordable housing greatly affects gentrification and displacement. As cities<br />

face increasing difficulty in the equitable distribution of scarce resources, policy makers must often times<br />

choose between opportunities for economic development or redistributing resources to provide affordable<br />

housing. “City policy makers establish economic development and affordable housing policies in their<br />

communities. They also help determine the level of local resources to devote to each policy” (Baslo,<br />

2000, p.318). Both economic and social policy areas bare great affects on the well being of<br />

municipalities. Economic development initiatives work to improve the city’s fiscal problems and<br />

employment woes. Policies aimed at housing concerns ensure that there is a sufficient supply of adequate<br />

and affordable housing. In the face of inter-jurisdictional competition, policy makers will often times<br />

direct their attention to economic development issues – diverting attention away from redistributive<br />

affordable housing initiatives. Public choice argues that policy makers will likely be more sensitive to the<br />

desire of constituents that demand greater public services.<br />

Predictions about the policy choice of local officials are based on an extension of<br />

public choice theory. The mobility of residence and their desire for favorable serviceto-tax<br />

ratio motivates local decision makers to adopt developmental rather that<br />

redistributive policies. The potential for residence to move out of a jurisdiction results<br />

in local policies that provide the best benefit to cost to the above average income<br />

resident…This rational, economic decision criterion across cities leads to intercity<br />

competition as local decision makers seek to attract and retain residence (Baslo, 2000,<br />

p.17).<br />

Some government sponsored programs and initiatives may be inadvertently linked to gentrification.<br />

As development initiatives, the City of Atlanta has sponsored tax abatement programs. The development<br />

initiatives have been instrumental in helping to attract new businesses and residence to the city and<br />

increasing the city’s tax base. But the increased attractiveness of the city has also added to the rise in the<br />

cost of housing-having an adverse affect on the affordable housing market.<br />

The Urban Enterprise Zone (UEZ) Program is one of Atlanta’s most noted tax abatement programs. It<br />

was designed to relieve distressed areas of the city by offering tax incentives for private development and<br />

investment. “During the first five years of UEZ designation, property owners are eligible for 100 percent<br />

tax abatements. During the sixth and seventh years of designation, the tax abatement is reduced by 80<br />

percent, followed by 60 percent during the eight year, and 40 percent during the ninth year, and 20<br />

percent during the tenth year. Housing and Residential/ Commercial UEZs have played a significant role<br />

in helping to increase property values. The following chart shows the impact that Housing and<br />

Residential/Commercial UEZs have had on housing prices in three Atlanta neighborhoods. The figures<br />

are based on census tract data collected before UEZ designation, and after the expiration of UEZ<br />

designation (see Figure 1). In these three areas, UEZ designation has been beneficial. There have been<br />

423 new or rehabilitated units, and the median home values and rent prices have increased significantly.<br />

The Affordable Provisions Compliance requires that twenty percent of the dwellings be reserved as<br />

affordable housing units. Unfortunately, the city’s method for determining who is eligible for affordable<br />

housing is ineffective. “Housing is affordable in the City of Atlanta if it is accessible to individuals and


families who qualify as Extremely Low Income Families or Very Low Income Families according to<br />

HUD definitions of Area Median Income” (City of Atlanta Task Force, 2001). Because Atlanta bases its<br />

definition of affordable housing on the Area Median Income, extremely low income, and very low<br />

income households that live within the city limits are at a disadvantage. “…the median household income<br />

in the city of Atlanta for 2000 was approximately $35,000.00. The median household income for the<br />

metro Atlanta area was $63,000.00” (City of Atlanta, Comprehensive Development Plan, 2000).<br />

In addition to present day political factors linked to gentrification, historical political actions have has<br />

a bearing on the phenomenon as well. Housing subsidized after World War II helped to systematically<br />

move white citizens, as well as investment capital, out of the inner cities, and into the suburbs. “The FHA<br />

was a major source of home financing from its inception in 1930s through the 1950s, when it financed 60<br />

percent of all home purchases, virtually all of which were in suburban communities” (Squires, 1996).<br />

Years later, anti discrimination laws - such as the 1968 Federal Fair Housing Act and the 1974 Fair Credit<br />

Opportunity Act – made it possible for the black middle class to move out of the inner cities, and into the<br />

suburbs with their white counterparts. The mass exodus of the white middle-class, followed by the mass<br />

exodus of the black middle-class, lead to poverty concentration in central city neighborhoods. Poverty<br />

concentration in turn lead to the deterioration of inner-city neighborhoods.<br />

Economic Factors<br />

The economic factors of gentrification appear to be inherently linked to politics. In studying how<br />

economic forces have contributed to gentrification, there is a strong emphasis placed on intentional<br />

neglect of inner-city neighborhoods by powerful land-based interest groups. “This implication is that<br />

powerful interest groups follow a policy of neglect of inner-city neighborhoods until such time as they<br />

become aware that policy change could yield tremendous profits. Then policies change accordingly, with<br />

little regard for the powerless inner-city residences who will be displaced from their homes” (London and<br />

Palen, 1984). Stakeholders in the local real estate market have massive earning potential in distressed<br />

areas. Neil Smith’s rent gap theory substantiates this ideology. The rent gap is the difference in property<br />

values in depressed areas before renovations and after renovations. When the rent gap is large enough,<br />

investment money is pumped into dilapidated areas. According to Smith, the government amplifies this<br />

effect through various zoning, financing, and fiscal practices” (Kennedy and Leonard, 2001).<br />

Another economic factor, which contributes to gentrification, is the imbalance between job growth and<br />

the housing supply. As the number of jobs in a city grows greater, the demand for housing grows greater.<br />

As the demand for housing grows greater, the cost of housing grows greater – this is a simple example of<br />

supply and demand. A survey, conducted by social scientist Sybil McWilliams, showed that one of the<br />

top reasons people move into Atlanta’s inner-city neighborhoods, is to be close to their place of<br />

employment. Other reasons include closeness to downtown and the low cost of housing (McConnell,<br />

1980).<br />

Social Factor<br />

In studying the social motives that fuel gentrification, one is seeking to find out what are the noneconomic<br />

and non-political forces, which inspire higher income groups to move into inner-city<br />

neighborhoods. The search for cultural diversity is recognized as on of the key factors that inspires and<br />

increases the migration of upper-income groups to inner-city neighborhoods. Irvin Allen, a sociology<br />

professor at the University of Connecticut, claims that the heterogeneous city sponsors cultural<br />

advantages for both single persons and families with children. The higher-income, highly-educated adults<br />

that are moving into inner-city neighborhoods are able to emerge themselves in pro-urbanism – gaining<br />

acceptance of alternative lifestyles, different ethnic and racial groups, and taking responsibility for social<br />

injustices. Children raised in diverse ethnic and cultural environments have a greater understanding and<br />

tolerance of cultures that do not reflect their own (London and Palen, 1984). The complex social<br />

environment of the central city serves as an impetus for urban migration. Also, persons who gentrify are<br />

noted in many instances as being on a quest for individualism. With self expressionism being an<br />

important part of American culture, many find the heterogeneous central city to be a welcoming place.<br />

Low-income and minority groups have been vulnerable to the effects of gentrification primarily<br />

because they lack the knowledge necessary to recognize the phenomenon in its wake, and they lack the


unity needed to confront it. The breakdown in community ties is a driving force in the political and<br />

economic ignorance of inner-city residence. It disables residence from coming together and rectifying<br />

issues within their own community. Breakdown of community ties results from the poverty and crime that<br />

plagues the inner-city neighborhood. “This type of neighborhood has low voter turn out and weak<br />

community organizations. There is little connection between residence that live in fear of crimes such as<br />

muggings, rapes, drug-related violence, and burglary” (Grotidiner, 1994).<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> in the City of Atlanta<br />

To effectively gauge the occurrence and impact of gentrification in Atlanta’s Summerhill, Grant Park,<br />

East Atlanta, East Lake, and Edgewood neighborhoods, there are six variables that will be analyzed. The<br />

variables include, race, age, educational attainment, income, housing values, and rent prices. Many<br />

experts believe that these six variables are the essential indicators of gentrification. Variables on each<br />

neighborhood are based on U.S. Census Bureau census tract information. There are census tract maps for<br />

each neighborhood located at the end of the paper.<br />

The change in the racial composition of a neighborhood is a major indicator of gentrification. Only<br />

black and white residents are used in this paper because in each of the five neighborhoods, blacks and<br />

whites totals at minimum 90% of the population. From 1990 to 2000 four of the five neighborhoods have<br />

seen dramatic shifts in the number of black and white residence. Four of the five neighborhoods have<br />

experienced a dramatic decrease in the number of black residence. The total number of black residence<br />

decreased from 23,435 in 1990 to 16,019 in 2000. In ten years the black population dropped by 7,416 – a<br />

32% decrease (see Table 1). The only neighborhood to increase its black population was Summerhill.<br />

Population Change in the Five Neighborhoods<br />

While the black population declined in four of the neighborhoods, the white population increased in<br />

all five neighborhoods. The total white population increased from 2,331 in 1990 to 3,092 in 2000- a 34%<br />

increase. Although the white population is relatively small compared to the black population, the percent<br />

changes show that the white population is growing. With a 208% change and an 1160% change taking<br />

place in Summerhill and Edgewood respectively, these two neighborhoods had astonishing growth. The<br />

following are graphical representations of black and white population changes from 1990 to 2000 (see<br />

Figure 2).<br />

The senior citizen population is recognized in this paper as a person 65 years or older. It is<br />

important to recognize the change in the senior citizen population because they are one of the<br />

primary groups affected by gentrification. Many senior citizens live on a fixed income –<br />

receiving monthly social security and retirement checks as their only source of income. Unlike<br />

the working population, they are unable to get overtime pay or yearly salary increases. As the<br />

cost of living rises in their neighborhoods, many cannot keep up. In each of these five<br />

neighborhoods, the senior citizen population has decreased. From 1990 to 2000, the number of<br />

senior citizen residence has decreased from 2,944 to 1,845. With a decrease of 16%, Edgewood<br />

suffered the smallest loss of senior citizens, while East Lake suffered the largest loss of the<br />

senior citizen population with 57%Educational AttainmentHigher levels of educational<br />

attainment are indicative of gentrification as well. Each of the five neighborhoods in this paper<br />

has had an increase in the number of residents holding degrees in excess of a high school<br />

diploma. The following pie charts are a ten-year comparison on educational attainment in the<br />

combined five neighborhoods (see Table 2). In 1990 55% of the persons 25 years and over did<br />

not have least a high school diploma in these five neighborhoods. In 2000, the percentage of<br />

persons without at least a high school diploma dropped by 17%. The percentage of persons<br />

holding only a high school diploma remained the same at 29%. There was a small 1% increase in<br />

the number of persons holding an Associate Degree. The percentage of Bachelor Degrees present<br />

among neighborhood residents more than doubled – jumping form 9% in 1990, to 19% in 2000.<br />

Only 3% of residents held graduate and/or professional degrees in 1990, while 9% of residents<br />

held graduate and/or professional degrees in 2000 (see Figure 3)


Income<br />

Just as the levels of educational attainment have increased in each of the five neighborhoods, so have<br />

the yearly income amounts per individual. In 1990 the combined median<br />

income for the five neighborhoods was $84,821. In 2000 the combined median income for the five<br />

neighborhoods was $157,849. – a total increase of 86%. In each individual neighborhood, there was no<br />

one instance where the median income decreased. The smallest increase in the median income per<br />

individual occurred in Grant Park. The median income in this neighborhood was $24,560 in 1990 and<br />

$39,167 in 2000. East Lake had the largest increase in median income per individual. The income jumped<br />

from a measly $13,494 in 1990, to $36,887 in 2000 (see Table 3).<br />

Housing Cost<br />

The change in the cost of housing has been significant in each of these five neighborhoods. In 1990,<br />

the median home value for the combined five neighborhoods was $48,200. In 2000, the median home<br />

value for the combined neighborhoods was $116,700. With an increase of $43,500, Edgewood had the<br />

smallest change in median home values, while Grant Park had the largest change in median home values<br />

with a $126,400 increase. Just as the median home values increased significantly, so did the median<br />

gross rent prices. In 1990, the median gross rent price for the combined five neighborhoods was $374. In<br />

2000, the median gross rent price for the combined five neighborhoods was $530 (see Figure 4).<br />

Effects of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Analyzing each variable independently makes the presence of gentrification evident. When all of the<br />

variables are analyzed together, there is a greater understanding of how the neighborhood is being<br />

restructured. Each neighborhood is seeing an influx of white residents, while loosing segments of the<br />

black and senior citizen populations. There are a greater number of more educated individuals inhabiting<br />

the neighborhoods – bringing with them higher incomes. Just as the income of neighborhood residents<br />

has increased, so has the cost of housing and rental prices. This economic and social restructuring which<br />

is occurring in each of the neighborhoods brings with it lower crime rates, higher tax revenues, ascetics,<br />

poverty de-concentration, social motivation, and overall civic improvement. Unfortunately, the problem<br />

in neighborhood restructuring boils down to a matter of displacement and racial discord. We can account<br />

for the higher-educated individuals, with higher salaries that are moving into these five neighborhoods,<br />

but what is happening to the elderly, and those with little education and small yearly incomes. The only<br />

trace of these people is in a negative percent change. Racial discord can be seen as a spillover from the<br />

white flight era. Some black residents blame the state of inner-city urban America on the past actions of<br />

whites. They see the influx of middle-income whites back into the central city, not as a source of good,<br />

but as a “take over.”<br />

Policy Recommendations and Suggestions<br />

Recommendations and suggestions focus on how to minimize the negative effects of gentrification,<br />

how to create and preserve a stable community, and how to promote the idea that gentrification is not<br />

marketed for the whites only but for everybody.<br />

• There must be political and legal will to make the above statement to happen [may be<br />

pressed by, say, community development corporations (CDCs), etc.].<br />

• Make housing available for low income people to avoid the high volatility of those<br />

individuals.<br />

• Strengthening and preserving affordable housing more social housing through<br />

community development block grant (CDBG) money.<br />

• Bring resources into the neighborhoods e.g., good schools, good services, etc.<br />

• The assurance that most public subsidies reach the low income families, especially in<br />

education, skill development, job training, and job opportunities. Added here also are<br />

some of the recommendations formulated by the City of Atlanta <strong>Gentrification</strong>Task<br />

Force (2001) which include:


• Provide counseling to low income homeowners on the short term and long term<br />

consequences of neighborhood gentrification. It is advised that gentrification<br />

counseling should be coupled with loan counseling.<br />

• Adopt a one-for-one replacement housing policy providing that for each unit of<br />

affordable housing owned by the Atlanta Housing Authority (AHA) that is subject to<br />

demolition, one new unit of affordable hosing will be created and owned by the<br />

Atlanta Housing Authority.<br />

• Adopt as City policy a definition of Affordable Housing as being housing units that<br />

are accessible to individuals and families at or below 50% of Area Median Income.<br />

• Provide that utilization of housing enterprise zone tax abatement subsidies<br />

incorporates an obligation for the development of at least 33% of Affordable Housing<br />

Units.<br />

• Increase the basic homestead exemption for owner-occupied elderly and low-income<br />

residents.<br />

• Modify the existing zoning ordinance to create presumptions in favor of rezoning<br />

applications and zoning variances that contain an Affordable Housing component.<br />

• Increase federal resources to cities.<br />

Each of these recommendations correlates to the political, economic, and/or social factors of<br />

gentrification discussed in this paper.<br />

Conclusion<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is unquestionably a double-edged sword. The benefits of gentrification make it<br />

a welcomed occurrence. The detriments of gentrification make it a dreaded phenomenon.<br />

Results in Atlanta show: an influx of white residents, decrease in black and senior citizen<br />

populations, more educated individuals with their higher incomes, and higher housing and rental<br />

prices in the five studied neighborhoods of Summerhill, Grant Park, East Atlanta, Edgewood,<br />

and East Lake. Government officials, civic leaders, neighborhood organization, real estate<br />

investors, homeowners and renters must collaborate to minimize the negative effects of<br />

gentrification. The low-income and minority groups which are most affected by gentrification<br />

must not only become cognizant of political and economic decisions that impact their lives, they<br />

must speak out against injustices which will have adverse effects on their well being. In short,<br />

there is no cure for gentrification, only treatment.<br />

References<br />

Baslo, Victoria (2000). “City Spending on Economic Development versus Affordable Housing: Does<br />

Inner-City Competition or Local Politics Drive Decisions.” Journal of Urban Affairs, 22, pp. 317-322.<br />

City of Atlanta, Bureau of Planning, Comprehensive Development Plan (2000).<br />

City of Atlanta, <strong>Gentrification</strong> Task Force (2001). A City for All.<br />

Freeman, Lance (2008). Still Separate and Unequal: The State of Fair Housing in America. Presented by<br />

The National Commission on Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity. Panel 4: “A Vision of Fair Housing<br />

for the Future,” October 17, 2008. Morehouse College, Atlanta, GA 30314.<br />

Grotidiner, Mark (1994). The New Urban Sociology. (New York, NY: McGraw Hill).<br />

Keating, Larry (2003). “<strong>Gentrification</strong>: Policy, Politics, and Policies.” Political Science Seminar Series.<br />

Department of Political Science, Morehouse College, Atlanta, GA, Thursday, January 30, 2003. Dr.<br />

Larry Keating is a Professor at Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA. He was the Chairman of<br />

The tlanta <strong>Gentrification</strong> Task Force.<br />

Keating, Larry (2003). “Resurgent <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Politics and Policy in Atlanta.” Paper presented at the<br />

American Sociological Association’s annual meeting held August 16-19 in Atlanta.<br />

Kennedy, Maureen and Paul Leonard (2001). “Dealing with Neighborhood Change: A Primer in<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices,”___ A Discussion for The Brookings Institute Center on Urban and<br />

Metropolitan Policy.


London, Bruce and John Palen (1984). <strong>Gentrification</strong>, Displacement and Neighborhood Revitalization.<br />

(Albany, N.Y: State University Press of New York).<br />

McConnell, Dennis (1980). Urban Atlanta, Redefining the Role of the City. (Atlanta, GA: Business<br />

Publishing Division, Georgia State University).<br />

Squires, Gregory (1996). Revitalizing Urban Neighborhoods. (Lawrence, Kansas: University Press of<br />

Kansas).<br />

Toon, John (2003). “Tales of the City: Current <strong>Gentrification</strong> in Atlanta Contrast Sharply to Previous<br />

Waves of Urban Restoration.” Georgia Institute of technology Research News, September 4, 2003.<br />

Map 1: Atlanta Census Tracts<br />

Source: Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC)


Map 2: Summerhill (Census Tract 490)<br />

Map 3: Grant Park (Census Tract 50)<br />

East Atlanta (Census Tract 209


Map 4: East Atlanta (Census Tract 209)<br />

Map 5: Edgewood (Census Tract 205)


Map 6: East Lake (Census Tract 202.02)<br />

Figure 1: Median Home Values and Median Gross Rent in Atlanta Urban Enterprise Zones<br />

Median Home Values<br />

Median Gross Rent<br />

160000<br />

140000<br />

120000<br />

100000<br />

80000<br />

60000<br />

40000<br />

20000<br />

0<br />

McGill<br />

Place<br />

Peeples<br />

Street<br />

Four<br />

Oaks<br />

Before Uez<br />

Designation<br />

Af ter UEZ<br />

Designation<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

McGill<br />

Place<br />

Peeples<br />

Street<br />

Four Oaks<br />

Before UEZ<br />

Designation<br />

After UEZ<br />

Designation


Figure 2: Population Change in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods: 1990-2000<br />

10 Year Change in Black<br />

Population<br />

10 Year Change in White<br />

Population<br />

10000<br />

8000<br />

6000<br />

4000<br />

2000<br />

0<br />

Summerhill<br />

Grant Park<br />

East Atlanta<br />

East Lake<br />

Edgewood<br />

1990<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Summerhill<br />

Grant Park<br />

East Atlanta<br />

East Lake<br />

Edgewood<br />

Figure 3: Educational Attainments in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods: 1990 and 2000.<br />

1990<br />

2000<br />

3%<br />

1990<br />

2000<br />

4%<br />

9%<br />

NON HS GRAD<br />

HS GRAD<br />

19%<br />

9% NON HS GRAD<br />

38%<br />

HS GRAD<br />

29%<br />

55%<br />

ASSOCIATE<br />

BACHELOR'S<br />

GRAD OR<br />

PROF<br />

5%<br />

29%<br />

ASSOCIATE<br />

B.A. OR B.S.<br />

GRAD OR<br />

PROF<br />

Figure 4: Median Home and Rental Values in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods in 1990 and 2000<br />

Median Home and Rent Values<br />

Home Values<br />

250000<br />

200000<br />

150000<br />

100000<br />

50000<br />

0<br />

Summerhill East Lake East Atlanta Grant Park Edgew ood<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

Rent Prices<br />

1990 Home Values 2000 Home Values<br />

1990 Rent Prices 2000 Rent Prices


Table 1: Racial Composition in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods in 1990 and 2000<br />

Neighborhood Census Tract<br />

Black<br />

Population<br />

Percent<br />

Change<br />

White<br />

Population<br />

Percent<br />

Change<br />

1990 2000 1990 2000<br />

Summerhill 49 2479 4112 65.87% 49 151 208%<br />

Grant Park 50 1927 1511 -21.59% 1089 1255 15%<br />

East Atlanta 209 6532 5202 -20.36% 821 1072 31%<br />

East Lake 208.02 9118 2296 -75% 352 362 3%<br />

Edgewood 205 3379 2858 -15% 20 252 1160%<br />

Total 23435 16019 -32% 2331 3092 34%<br />

Table 2: Senior Citizens (65 years+) in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods in 1990 and 2000<br />

Neighborhood Census Tract 1990 2000 Percent Change<br />

Summerhill 49 235 159 -32%<br />

Grant Park 50 328 219 -33%<br />

East Atlanta 209 763 559 -27%<br />

East Lake 208.02 1101 473 -57%<br />

Edgewood 205 517 435 -16%<br />

Total 2944 1845 -37%<br />

Table 3: Median Incomes in the Five Atlanta Neighborhoods: 1990-2000<br />

Neighborhood 1990 2000 Percent change<br />

Summerhill $11,223 $19,018 69%<br />

Grant Park $24,811 $39,167 58%<br />

East Atlanta $20,560 $34,630 68%<br />

East Lake $13,494 $36,887 173%<br />

Edgewood $14,663 $28,147 92%<br />

Total $84,821 $157,849 86%


Page 120 of 150


Attachment B<br />

Revitalization Without <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Page 121 of 150


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Jason Reece, Kirwan Institute<br />

Technical Memorandum on <strong>Gentrification</strong> Issues<br />

July 28, 2004<br />

Revitalization without <strong>Gentrification</strong>:<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is a controversial and divisive issue that has been extensively debated.<br />

From our research and the work of others, we feel two critical issues must be addressed<br />

in the gentrification debate.<br />

1. Defining gentrification<br />

2. Achieving revitalization without gentrification<br />

Defining gentrification-<br />

Without defining gentrification, it becomes impossible to determine if gentrification is<br />

occurring within a neighborhood. Viewpoints on what gentrification is may vary<br />

significantly, and based on these misconstrued definitions identifying the impacts of<br />

gentrification becomes difficult. The term is often mistakenly intermixed with urban<br />

revitalization or is used to describe any physical investment within a neighborhood.<br />

These definitions are flawed and miss an important distinction. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is not<br />

simply reinvestment into the neighborhood, gentrification is a process that extensively<br />

dislocates traditional low income residents (usually residents of color) and extensively<br />

changes the social fabric of the neighborhood.<br />

Research by the Brookings Institute provides the best working definition of<br />

gentrification: i<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong>: the process by which higher income households displace significant<br />

numbers of lower income residents of a neighborhood, thus changing the essential<br />

character and flavor of the neighborhood. Based on this definition, three specific<br />

conditions must be met: displacement of original residents, physical upgrading of most of<br />

the housing stock and change in neighborhood character.<br />

This working definition produced by the Brookings Institute continues to address what<br />

gentrification does not entail. <strong>Gentrification</strong> is not occurring if higher income residents<br />

move into a neighborhood at a scale that is too small to displace existing residents, or<br />

redevelopment is targeted toward abandoned or vacant structures or lots. Also, the<br />

existence of economic development activity (revitalization) does not automatically<br />

provide for gentrification. ii <strong>Gentrification</strong> is the process of permanently changing a<br />

distressed community into an exclusive upper income community and does not simply<br />

equate with community reinvestment.<br />

By using this narrow definition it is easier to understand the negative impacts of<br />

gentrification and easier to distinguish revitalization from gentrification. <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

(by this definition) is not a healthy phenomenon for a community. The displacement<br />

caused by gentrification falls most heavily on disenfranchised low income resident.<br />

1


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> also does little to deconcentrate poverty, instead shifting the low income<br />

population into neighboring communities, further concentrating poverty in nearby areas. iii<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong>:<br />

Widespread displacement of traditional low income residents by<br />

affluent households.<br />

Residents unable to accrue wealth, remain highly susceptible to<br />

displacement.<br />

Existing social networks, neighborhood services and local<br />

businesses disrupted in the community.<br />

Community transitions to an exclusive community, inaccessible<br />

to low income households.<br />

Revitalization:<br />

Mixed income housing development, displacement avoided.<br />

Wealth building strategies for existing residents implemented,<br />

residents stabilized from displacement pressure.<br />

Social networks, neighborhood services and businesses<br />

reinforced in the community. Additional new business and<br />

services expand options for all residents.<br />

Community transitions to a mixed income, mixed wealth and<br />

diverse community.<br />

Table 1: Contrasting gentrification with revitalization<br />

Revitalization instead of gentrification-<br />

Neighborhood improvement (or revitalization) is not synonymous with gentrification.<br />

Neighborhood reinvestment can occur and improve the quality of life for existing<br />

residents without the widespread displacement associated with gentrification. Several<br />

urban/social policy research institutions have been pushing for a new model of<br />

development that does not gentrify the community. These new development models have<br />

been labeled as “equitable development” iv or “community revitalization”. All of these<br />

new models of development share certain characteristics.<br />

The distressed community transitions into a mixed income, mixed wealth and<br />

diverse community.<br />

The social networks and services utilized by traditional residents are maintained<br />

and improved.<br />

Existing neighborhood businesses are supported while additional viable<br />

businesses are created in the community.<br />

Neighborhood improvement not only focuses on improving the physical<br />

environment but focuses on creating wealth and opening opportunities (such as<br />

employment) to existing residents.<br />

PolicyLink has further refined its model of equitable development. Detailed information<br />

of the policies to promote equitable development can be found in Appendix A.<br />

Monitoring/Diagnostic Tools:<br />

One of the recommendations widely supported for addressing gentrification pressure is<br />

neighborhood monitoring and assessment. Establishing a diagnostic system for<br />

monitoring investment and property ownership enables intervention before gentrification<br />

occurs. Conversely, this system enables a community to analyze if reinvestment in the<br />

community poses little threat of gentrification, thus resources can be targeted toward<br />

2


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

other neighborhood concerns. The critical aspect of monitoring neighborhood change is<br />

to address potential problems before they occur, case studies have shown too many<br />

communities have organized to mitigate gentrification after significant displacement has<br />

altered the neighborhood. As addressed by the Brookings Institute:<br />

“Perhaps the most important task for neighborhood residents, local and regional government officials and<br />

other stakeholders is to identify gentrification pressures early, and to understand how gentrification<br />

dynamics are to unfold.” Brookings Institute. Dealing with Neighborhood Change. Page 30.<br />

Understand Context of the Neighborhood/Region-<br />

Before establishing a monitoring system for a neighborhood, it is also important to assess<br />

the neighborhood in the context of the surrounding city and region. Research by director<br />

powell (and supported by research from the Brookings Institute) has found that<br />

gentrification pressure is directly tied to the regional housing market.<br />

The degree of gentrification stress is higher for “rich” or high market cities (San<br />

Francisco, New York, Portland) and much less a phenomenon in weak market cities<br />

(Cleveland, Detroit). Also, the strategies to mitigate gentrification will vary within these<br />

cities. For example, inclusionary zoning may be a better strategy in a hot market city,<br />

while strategies to avoid displacement and build assets (for existing residents) may be<br />

more appropriate for a weak market city. (Many of these issues are addressed in the<br />

presentation prepared for the Community Development Partnership Network that I<br />

submitted to you earlier).<br />

Another consideration is assessment of what attributes may lead to gentrification in a<br />

neighborhood. Research by PolicyLink of California has identified several characteristics<br />

that gentrifying neighborhoods share.<br />

The neighborhood contains a high proportion of renters (population most sensitive<br />

to displacement pressure).<br />

Easy access to job centers and regional amenities.<br />

Comparatively low housing values in the context of the regional and local market,<br />

particularly for housing stock with architectural merit.<br />

Methods of Monitoring-<br />

The tools to monitor for gentrification depend on the housing market and size of the area<br />

of concern. Diagnostic systems may be city wide (measuring all neighborhoods) such as<br />

systems found in Philadelphia and Providence RI. The Providence, RI monitoring system<br />

analyzes the property sales and abandonment to identify areas of potential land<br />

speculation.<br />

At the neighborhood level, diagnostic systems can be more proactive, specific and<br />

accurate. Neighborhood organizations can track change in the community to understand<br />

if gentrification is occurring. Indicators to consider monitoring include:<br />

1. Property appreciation rates, how fast are they growing, compare rates with the<br />

region, the city or other urban neighborhoods.<br />

3


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

2. Analyze the rental market in the community. Determine if rents are changing and<br />

how they compare the change in rents in the region, the city or other urban<br />

neighborhoods<br />

3. Are critical neighborhood social services under pressure to relocate?<br />

4. Determine if any displacement is occurring in the neighborhood. Are other local<br />

(neighborhood) housing opportunities available to displaced residents?<br />

5. Are traditional residents able to maintain properties, monitor if code violations are<br />

threatening to cause displacement.<br />

Mitigation Strategies in Place-<br />

Neighborhood monitoring also requires planning for mitigating gentrification if it<br />

disrupts the neighborhood. Researching and identifying mitigation strategies beforehand<br />

can speed up any response to gentrification in the neighborhood. A wide range of<br />

mitigation policies exist to address gentrification. These vary from extensive inclusionary<br />

housing ordinances to localized programs to provide financing for local businesses or<br />

funding for code compliance for existing residents. Appendix B provides a brief<br />

summary of a selected number of potential mitigation strategies. More information can be<br />

provided for specific strategies at a later date, if this would be helpful to your efforts.<br />

Addressing Land Speculation:<br />

Land speculation is a problem in inner city neighborhoods across the nation. We are<br />

currently assisting a community advocacy organization in Detroit address vacancy and<br />

speculation problems by advocating for a city wide land bank program. Options for<br />

dealing with land speculation are somewhat limited, but two primary recommendations<br />

would be helpful in dealing with speculative property owners.<br />

First, strict code enforcement is the best policy for addressing land speculation. Second,<br />

aligning other redevelopment tools against abandoned properties can also prove effective.<br />

Land bank programs can be used to acquire properties for community use. Community<br />

groups can work proactively with the city to enforce codes and utilize eminent domain to<br />

address vacant properties. Finally, any incentive programs to revitalize the neighborhood<br />

should attach requirements to assure properties will be redeveloped in a timely manner.<br />

Also, incentives should not be given to potential property owners that have a history of<br />

speculation in the community or city at large.<br />

Potential Housing Policies:<br />

Based on the concerns you addressed in our conversation several policies may be useful<br />

to pursue in the neighborhood planning process for Weinland Park.<br />

Code Enforcement/Building Rehabilitation Policies – strategies to improve quality of<br />

housing for existing residents<br />

Examples: Local code enforcement monitoring, aligning community<br />

organizations with the city to address blight and code violations, maintain local<br />

database of code violations.<br />

4


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Asset Building Strategies – a neighborhood revitalization strategy that improves the<br />

quality of life for existing residents and buffers residents from future gentrification<br />

pressure.<br />

Examples: Limited equity housing cooperatives, strategies to promote<br />

homeownership for existing residents (financing availability, down payment<br />

assistance), also could include business assistance for existing businesses and<br />

service providers in community.<br />

Investment Strategies – encourage income diversity in the neighborhood and public<br />

investment<br />

Examples: Align public subsidies with neighborhood planning goals, use of<br />

incentives to increase homeownership and introduction of market rate housing<br />

Other (Addressing <strong>Gentrification</strong> Concerns)<br />

Establish Early Warning System – monitor for <strong>Gentrification</strong> and identify<br />

appropriate tools to mitigate gentrification if problems occur<br />

5


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Appendix A: Principles identified to promote a model of equitable<br />

development<br />

Source: PolicyLink, Equitable Development tool kit. http://www.policylink.com<br />

To create a context for equitable development while preventing displacement of<br />

residents:<br />

Understand the economic, political, and social forces at work<br />

Assess, map, and analyze the potential for displacement<br />

Support resident participation in land use planning that envisions community-wide<br />

economic improvement<br />

Stabilize current residents<br />

Build public awareness of the issues and proposed solutions among key players<br />

Advocate mixed-income development at every turn and across jurisdictions<br />

Expand the range of housing not susceptible to the commercial market through<br />

permanent affordability mechanisms<br />

Promote diverse homeownership opportunities for current residents<br />

Target income and asset strategies to stabilize current residents<br />

Utilize equity criteria to guide new investment<br />

Anchor culturally-rooted commercial, nonprofit and arts organizations<br />

Tie housing production to commercial growth<br />

Plan for newcomers to promote a diverse community mix and ensure affordability<br />

Strengthen regional cooperation in community and economic development planning<br />

Craft policies to engage local, regional, state and federal governments in addressing<br />

gentrification pressures<br />

6


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Appendix B: Equitable Development Strategies to promote<br />

revitalization while avoiding gentrification.<br />

Source: PolicyLink, Equitable Development tool kit. http://www.policylink.com<br />

Brownfields<br />

This tool covers strategies used to encourage redevelopment of brownfields (abandoned, idled,<br />

or underutilized commercial or industrial sites). Brownfield redevelopment is complicated by<br />

the real and perceived dangers of environmental contamination. Infill development is the use<br />

of vacant land within built urban areas. Reclaiming brownfields and the use of infill<br />

development offers new land use options in gentrifying areas.<br />

Minority Contracting<br />

Ensures that healthy local businesses owned by people of color are a basic component of<br />

strong, sustainable communities. These businesses generate job opportunities for residents,<br />

and keep money circulating within the neighborhood. This tool reviews major approaches for<br />

achieving parity for minority-owned businesses.<br />

Real Estate Transfer Taxes<br />

This innovative tool reviews techniques through which tax regulations can limit two<br />

destabilizing practices in low- and moderate-income communities: delinquency, when property<br />

taxes are not paid on blighted property; and speculation, when land is acquired with the intent<br />

of 'flipping' its ownership strictly for profitability as the housing market inflates.<br />

Local Hiring Strategies<br />

An array of strategies that connect economically marginalized communities to regional job<br />

opportunities. For example, linkage programs can require that a percentage of jobs created by<br />

a commercial development go to local residents. Other programs link urban core and innerring<br />

suburban residents to employment opportunities around the region. Building such<br />

economic opportunity helps residents remain in their communities.<br />

Affordable Housing Development 101<br />

Increasing and preserving affordable housing stock is critical to community stability. There are<br />

a range of practices that are aimed at both existing housing and new development. The focus<br />

is typically protecting low-income residents most at risk of displacement from gentrification.<br />

Often strategies expand to include a spectrum of housing choices from rental to ownership in a<br />

range of income classes.<br />

Expiring Use: Retention of Subsidized Housing<br />

Protects "expiring use" subsidized housing from losing its affordability-designation and<br />

reverting to the private market. This tool clarifies ways to protect affordable housing originally<br />

supported by HUD, with a special focus on regions with extreme housing shortages, and not<br />

coincidentally, considerable amounts of gentrification.<br />

7


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Commercial Linkage Strategies<br />

A range of programs and fees that tie economic development to the construction of affordable<br />

housing. Most require developers of new commercial properties to pay fees to support<br />

affordable housing construction. Linkage programs support smart growth, mitigate rising<br />

housing costs caused by economic development, and provide a dedicated source of revenue<br />

for affordable housing.<br />

Commercial Stabilization<br />

This tool reviews effective techniques employed by community-based organizations to<br />

preserve cultural organizations and longstanding commercial enterprises that define the<br />

historic character of communities. These institutions are frequently the most vulnerable to<br />

displacement in gentrifying neighborhoods.<br />

Community Mapping<br />

This tool identifies key information needed to assess the considerable public and private forces<br />

driving gentrification. The tool reviews effective community mapping and indicator projects;<br />

identifies key data sources to guide community interventions; and shows the role of mapping<br />

in community education and organizing.<br />

Community Development Financial Institutions<br />

Existing and emerging resident-owned financial institutions serve to build assets for lowincome/low-wealth<br />

residents and provide them with a stronger voice in running an institution<br />

dedicated to neighborhood development and revitalization.<br />

Cooperative Ownership Models<br />

Businesses, based on democratic principles, owned and run by various stakeholders such as<br />

employees, producers, consumers, or others. Co-op models targeted to low- income/lowwealth<br />

residents can offer potential financial benefits, business skills, and experience in<br />

running a democratically controlled enterprise.<br />

Just Cause Eviction Controls<br />

These laws give special protections to the elderly, disabled and catastrophically ill, and ensure<br />

that landlords can only evict with proper cause, such as failure to pay rent or property<br />

destruction. They protect renters against being unfairly evicted by landlords who want to<br />

capitalize on the explosive rental and housing markets.<br />

Code Enforcement<br />

Prevents and abates violations on private property such as vacant, poorly maintained, and<br />

dangerous buildings, illegal dumping, weeded lots, graffiti, junk motor vehicles and more.<br />

8


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

Code enforcement can be an important way to protect existing residents or to accelerate<br />

gentrification. This tool will provide strategies to ensure resident protection.<br />

Infill Incentives<br />

Density bonuses allow developers to create higher density projects, increasing affordability<br />

measures. Infill incentives reward innovative housing efforts to expand homeownership<br />

through unused or abandoned lots in urban core neighborhoods. Used properly, these<br />

programs can produce new housing units, reduce blight, preserve open space, reduce traffic,<br />

and encourage retail development that serves the needs of existing residents.<br />

Developer Exactions<br />

Requires new commercial developments to contribute fees to the development of affordable<br />

housing, community services and infrastructure. Creative nonprofit organizations are utilizing<br />

exactions as an anti-gentrification tool to finance services such as day care, cultural centers,<br />

job training, below market rate housing, and ride sharing.<br />

Living Wage Provisions<br />

Ordinances that ensure the employees of public contractors, private contractors receiving<br />

public sector funding, and public employees are paid wages at pace with regional cost of living<br />

measures. Higher wages achieved through living wage ordinances assist low-income residents<br />

in remaining in their communities, lead to greater stability in the workforce and increase the<br />

municipal tax base.<br />

Rent Controls<br />

A review of legal and programmatic protections for renters to slow the pace in markets with<br />

rapidly escalating rental prices. The effectiveness and implications of rent control has been<br />

heavily debated for as long as such ordinances have existed. This tool reviews their potential<br />

application in gentrifying contexts, as well as the compeimentary techniques necessary to<br />

make this a useful strategy.<br />

CDC's with Resident Shareholders<br />

An emerging tool that offers low-income/low-wealth residents the opportunity to own equity in<br />

real estate projects spearheaded by community development corporations (CDCs). Owning<br />

CDC project stock provides residents with financial benefits and voice in the neighborhood<br />

development process. This tool directs profits from development back into the community,<br />

ensuring benefit for existing residents.<br />

Community Reinvestment Act<br />

Congressional mandate that financial and depository institutions, such as commercial banks,<br />

help meet credit needs of the communities in which they operate, including low- and<br />

moderate-income neighborhoods. To utilize the Act as an anti-displacement tool requires<br />

9


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

diligent monitoring to ensure investment occurs, as well as strategic planning to direct<br />

investment to benefit residents.<br />

Inclusionary Zoning<br />

Land use regulation mandating a percentage (usually 15-20%) of the housing units in any<br />

project above a given size be affordable to people of low and moderate incomes. The<br />

developer can build the housing or contribute to a fund to develop it elsewhere. This tool has<br />

particular relevance in gentrifying communities, where high-income and luxury apartment<br />

developments can quickly overrun the existing low- and moderate-income housing stock.<br />

Housing Trust Funds<br />

Public funds, established by legislation, ordinance or resolution, to receive specific revenues<br />

dedicated to affordable housing development. The key characteristic of a housing trust fund is<br />

that it receives on-going revenues from dedicated sources such as commercial development<br />

taxes, fees on loan repayments, and transfer taxes. These funds can stabilize communities<br />

facing gentrification pressures.<br />

Limited Equity Housing Cooperatives<br />

A partnership wherein residents collectively own and control their housing. The limited equity<br />

component limits the return on resale, insuring that housing remains affordable to future<br />

residents. Limited equity co-ops promote democratic participation through resident control and<br />

ownership.<br />

Community Land Trusts<br />

A model where nonprofit organizations acquire and hold land for community benefit, making<br />

the land available to individuals through long-term land leases. Residents own the homes<br />

located on the land. This alternative property ownership model insures long term community<br />

benefits such as permanent affordability, while creating homeownership and equity<br />

opportunities for individual residents.<br />

i Excerpted from “Dealing with Neighborhood Change: A Primer on <strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices”<br />

written by Maureen Kennedy and Paul Leonard (April 2001). A Discussion paper prepared by the<br />

Brookings Institution Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy and Policy Link.<br />

ii Excerpted from “Dealing with Neighborhood Change: A Primer on <strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices”<br />

written by Maureen Kennedy and Paul Leonard (April 2001). A Discussion paper prepared by the<br />

Brookings Institution Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy and Policy Link.<br />

iii For more information about the impacts of gentrification please review “Giving Them the Old “One-<br />

Two”: <strong>Gentrification</strong> and the K.O. of Impoverished Urban Dwellers of Color”. By john a. powell and<br />

Marguerite L. Spencer. Forthcoming journal article. (2004)<br />

10


Kirwan Institute for the Study of<br />

Race & Ethnicity<br />

The Ohio State University<br />

http://www.kirwaninstitute.org<br />

iv For extensive information on equitable development tools and gentrification mitigation tools visit the<br />

equitable development toolbox website provided by PolicyLink at: http://www.policylink.org/EDTK/<br />

11


Page 122 of 150


Attachment C<br />

In The Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong> - Case Studies on<br />

Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Page 123 of 150


IN THE FACE OF GENTRIFICATION:<br />

Case Studies of Local Efforts to<br />

Mitigate Displacement<br />

Diane K. Levy<br />

Jennifer Comey<br />

Sandra Padilla


In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>:<br />

Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Copyright © 2006<br />

Diane K. Levy<br />

Jennifer Comey<br />

Sandra Padilla<br />

The Urban Institute<br />

Metropolitan Housing and Communities Policy Center<br />

2100 M Street, NW<br />

Washington, DC 20037<br />

The nonpartisan Urban Institute publishes studies, reports, and books on timely topics<br />

worthy of public consideration. The views expressed are those of the authors and<br />

should not be attributed to the Urban Institute or to its trustees or funders.


Acknowledgements<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

We would like to thank the Fannie Mae Foundation for funding and helping give shape to this<br />

study. In particular, Sohini Sarkhar, formerly with the Foundation, helped move the study along<br />

from start to completion. Anonymous reviewers provided by the Fannie Mae Foundation offered<br />

us excellent comments on the draft report, which we took to heart in our revisions. The study<br />

itself, of course, was dependent upon the willingness of people in each of the six study sites to<br />

meet with us and share their experiences and expertise on neighborhood change and affordable<br />

housing. We extend a special thanks to each of them for making this study possible. Their<br />

names and affiliations can be found in the list of resources. We are grateful for the help of<br />

Urban Institute colleagues. Jessica Cigna and Kathryn Pettit provided us access to HMDA and<br />

Census data specific to our study sites, as well as advice on developing the methodology for<br />

site selection. We greatly appreciate the work of Diane Hendricks with production of the report,<br />

which would not have happened without Marge Turner’s support for publication. Scott Forrey<br />

and Fiona Blackshaw helped clean up dangling modifiers and misplaced commas, and Maida<br />

Tryon launched the report on our website. As with all reports and publications, any errors and<br />

omissions remain the responsibility of the authors.


In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement


Table of Contents<br />

TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

INTRODUCTION 1<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Revitalization 1<br />

The Need for Affordable Housing 2<br />

Study Methodology and Housing Strategies 4<br />

Findings 8<br />

Organization of the Report 9<br />

CASE STUDIES 10<br />

Early Stages of Neighborhood Revitalization/<strong>Gentrification</strong> 11<br />

St. Petersburg, FL - Bartlett Park 12<br />

Sacramento, CA - Oak Park 22<br />

Middle Stages of Neighborhood Revitalization/<strong>Gentrification</strong> 32<br />

Atlanta, GA - Reynoldstown 33<br />

Los Angeles, CA - Figueroa Corridor 43<br />

Late Stages of Neighborhood <strong>Gentrification</strong> 52<br />

Seattle, WA - Central Area 53<br />

Chicago, IL - Uptown 66<br />

CONCLUSION 76<br />

Displacement Mitigation Strategies 76<br />

Cross-Cutting Lessons 79<br />

Wrapping Up 82


In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

REFERENCES 83<br />

ENDNOTES 86<br />

APPENDIX 1<br />

APPENDIX 2


Introduction 1<br />

1<br />

section<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

C<br />

oncern, and anger, over gentrification has grown in communities across the country as<br />

housing rental and sales prices have soared. Housing markets strengthened during the<br />

1990s along with the national economy, and have remained strong even while the<br />

economy began to slow down in the spring of 2000, one of the few sectors to do so. Decreases<br />

in affordable housing units have accompanied the higher prices in many places, and there are<br />

numerous reports of resident displacement from neighborhoods long ignored that now attract<br />

higher-income households.<br />

Increased housing prices themselves are<br />

not a problem per se. It is when costs<br />

increase in predominantly lower-income<br />

neighborhoods where residents’ incomes do<br />

not keep pace that displacement can occur.<br />

As housing prices increase, lower-income<br />

households are at risk of being pushed out<br />

or prevented from moving into certain<br />

geographic areas because of the prohibitive<br />

costs and limited household earnings. It is<br />

this geographic component, along with<br />

restricted economic opportunities, that<br />

makes gentrification-related displacement a<br />

problem.<br />

Balancing the revitalization of<br />

neighborhoods while reducing the risk of<br />

displacement of low-income families poses<br />

a challenge for city officials and housing<br />

practitioners. In this study, we present<br />

strategies used by nonprofit organizations,<br />

for-profit developers, and city agencies to<br />

ensure low- to-moderate-income residents<br />

can live in revitalizing and gentrifying<br />

neighborhoods. We present strategies used<br />

in the following neighborhoods in 2003:<br />

Bartlett Park (St. Petersburg, Florida), Oak<br />

Park (Sacramento, California),<br />

Reynoldstown (Atlanta, Georgia), Figueroa<br />

Corridor (Los Angeles, California), Central<br />

Area (Seattle, Washington), and Uptown<br />

(Chicago, Illinois).<br />

The types of strategies used to prevent<br />

displacement are influenced by a number of<br />

factors, including intensity of the housing<br />

market, local political climate and local<br />

organizational capacity. Through the case<br />

studies, we consider the impact of timing on<br />

strategy selection and implementation to<br />

untangle whether certain approaches work<br />

better in different housing-market contexts.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Revitalization<br />

For the purposes of this study, we define<br />

gentrification as the process whereby<br />

higher-income households move into lowincome<br />

neighborhoods, escalating the<br />

area’s property values to the point that<br />

displacement occurs. In addition to changes<br />

in economic class, gentrification often<br />

involves a change in a neighborhood’s


2 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

racial and ethnic composition, which can<br />

further alter an area’s characteristics,<br />

potentially leading to community tension.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> also involves investment in<br />

previously neglected neighborhoods. Those<br />

entities seeking to minimize displacement<br />

associated with gentrification face the<br />

challenge of encouraging neighborhood<br />

investment without negatively affecting<br />

residents who have weathered years of<br />

neighborhood disinvestment.<br />

We characterize the neighborhoods in this<br />

study as being in an early, middle, or later<br />

stage of gentrification in order to examine<br />

the usefulness of strategies within the<br />

context of the local housing market, and to<br />

acknowledge the balance needed between<br />

encouraging revitalization and managing<br />

gentrification. Though there are no exact<br />

thresholds for identifying different stages of<br />

gentrification, the concept of stage is<br />

important in regard to housing strategy<br />

selection and success. Neighborhoods<br />

showing signs of revitalization with the<br />

possibility of future gentrification—evidence<br />

of housing improvements and increased<br />

housing prices in an area proximate to other<br />

gentrifying neighborhoods—are<br />

characterized as the early stage. Mid-stage<br />

neighborhoods are those in which prices<br />

have risen sharply, yet affordable housing<br />

remains available along with some<br />

developable land parcels. Communities at<br />

the later stage of gentrification are those<br />

where the housing prices have skyrocketed,<br />

there is little affordable housing or few<br />

developable parcels, and the demand for<br />

profitable, market-rate housing<br />

overshadows the needs of lower-income<br />

households.<br />

The Need for Affordable Housing<br />

Though it is difficult to find data on<br />

displacement, evidence of changes in the<br />

housing market and the effect on<br />

households is strong. Inflation-adjusted<br />

home prices rose faster in 2001 than any<br />

time since the late 1970s, and 2002 almost<br />

matched that pace (Joint Center for Housing<br />

Studies 2003). Roughly 40 percent of the<br />

nation’s renter households spend 30<br />

percent or more of their income on housing,<br />

while 20 percent spend at least half their<br />

income on housing. The picture is especially<br />

dire for low-income households: almost half<br />

(46 percent) spent 50 percent or more on<br />

their housing in 2001 (Joint Center for<br />

Housing Studies 2002).


Introduction 3<br />

Defining <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

There is no agreed-upon definition of gentrification, although the aspect of higher-income households<br />

moving into lower-income neighborhoods is included in most versions. Urban geographer Ruth Glass first<br />

coined the term gentrification to describe London neighborhoods in the 1960s. She defined it as the<br />

process of middle- and upper-class households moving into distressed working-class neighborhoods,<br />

upgrading the derelict housing stock, and eventually displacing the working-class residents, thereby<br />

changing the social character of the neighborhood (Glass 1964).<br />

Contemporary definitions reflect Glass’s description of class change. For instance, some observers<br />

describe gentrification as the rehabilitation of working-class or derelict housing into housing for middleclass<br />

residents, or as the process of higher-income households moving into neighborhoods that have<br />

suffered from systematic outmigration, disinvestment, or neglect (Atkinson 2002, Wyly and Hammel<br />

1999). <strong>Gentrification</strong> also has been described as the middle- and upper-class remake of the central city—<br />

not just a residential phenomenon, but one that affects commercial and retail areas as well (Smith 1996).<br />

Other observers include a racial component in their definition of gentrification—new, higher-income<br />

residents are white and the incumbent, lower-income residents are racial or ethnic minorities. This change<br />

can lead to tensions along racial or ethnic lines in the gentrified neighborhood (Kennedy and Leonard<br />

2001).<br />

Not all definitions of gentrification include the displacement of the incumbent, lower-income residents.<br />

Some observers argue that displacement is not a necessary outcome of gentrification if original residents<br />

cannot afford to move elsewhere or are attached to the neighborhood, or if higher-income households are<br />

able to occupy vacant properties or move into newly constructed developments (Vigdor 2002).<br />

Freeman and Braconi (2002) define different types of displacement that can occur due to gentrification.<br />

“Direct displacement” occurs when a demographic or ethnic group succeeds another due specifically to a<br />

process or program. Direct displacement was typical in the federal urban renewal programs during the<br />

1950s and 1960s. “Secondary displacement” is the type of displacement most often of concern today:<br />

low-income households relocate due to new development or gentrification in their neighborhood once<br />

they can no longer afford to remain due to higher rents, appreciated taxes, tenant harassment, or the<br />

withholding of services. Others refer to secondary displacement as “involuntary displacement” because<br />

low-income households prefer to stay but cannot afford to (Kennedy and Leonard 2001). Marcuse (1986)<br />

describes a third type of displacement, “exclusionary displacement,” where changes in a gentrified<br />

neighborhood prevent future low-income households from locating there.<br />

Rising housing costs increase the pressure<br />

on existing affordable housing stock. Newly<br />

constructed housing in strong markets tends<br />

to target relatively higher-income<br />

households as the size and amenities of<br />

new homes increase. The conversion of<br />

rental properties into condominiums also<br />

increases the supply of upper-end housing


4 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

at the expense of potentially more<br />

affordable rental units. Compounding the<br />

affordable housing problem for very low<br />

income families is the increasing role of the<br />

private market in federally subsidized<br />

housing. Under the federal HOPE VI<br />

program, the number of public housing units<br />

has decreased, placing more low-income<br />

households into the subsidized and private<br />

market, thereby increasing demand for<br />

lower cost units. Another factor is the loss of<br />

Section 8 housing as term requirements<br />

expire and development owners opt out of<br />

the program.<br />

Altogether, these factors (and doubtless<br />

others) have led to an increased need for<br />

affordable housing units. The number of<br />

such units has declined over the past 30<br />

years from a surplus of 4 million units in<br />

1973 to nearly 3 million in 1983 (National<br />

Housing Task Force 1988). The Millennial<br />

Housing Commission reported that housing<br />

affordable to households with low to<br />

moderate incomes continued to disappear<br />

between 1985 and 1999 “at an alarming<br />

pace” (Millennial Housing Commission<br />

2002).<br />

Income stagnation among poorer<br />

households complicates the dwindling<br />

number of affordable housing units. The<br />

lowest 20 percent of the nation’s<br />

households have experienced virtually no<br />

economic gain since 1975; any slight gains<br />

have been negated during economic<br />

downturns (Joint Center for Housing Studies<br />

2002). Evidence of the financial difficulties<br />

faced by lower-income households is that<br />

the national median housing wage is<br />

$13.87—a wage earner would need to earn<br />

this wage to afford rent on a two-bedroom<br />

unit. This wage level is more than twice the<br />

federal minimum wage (FMR) of $5.15 an<br />

hour. On average, there must be more than<br />

two full-time, minimum-wage workers in a<br />

household to afford a two-bedroom home at<br />

the FMR (National Low-Income Housing<br />

Coalition 2002).<br />

Low- and moderate-income households<br />

face a number of challenges threatening<br />

their housing options: robust housing<br />

markets, stagnating wages, and the<br />

gentrification of their neighborhoods. This<br />

report highlights strategies used to help lowincome<br />

families weather these challenges<br />

and remain in their neighborhoods.<br />

Study Methodology and Housing<br />

Strategies<br />

Methodology<br />

We selected the six neighborhoods for this<br />

study based on analysis of Home Mortgage<br />

Disclosure Act (HMDA) data, U.S. Census<br />

data, and telephone interviews with local<br />

stakeholders. HMDA and Census data<br />

provided information on city-level change as<br />

indicated by the number of home sales, loan<br />

amounts, and demographic changes. We<br />

focused on cities that surpassed the<br />

national average in home mortgage


Introduction 5<br />

indicators (see Table 1 for the home<br />

mortgage indicators for the six selected<br />

cities). Through telephone interviews with<br />

stakeholders, we confirmed whether<br />

gentrification was occurring in the city, in<br />

which neighborhoods, and how far along it<br />

had progressed. We also asked about the<br />

types of displacement-mitigation strategies<br />

being implemented and their success, and<br />

the political and organizational climate of<br />

the city in regards to affordable housing<br />

efforts. The telephone conversations helped<br />

us select specific neighborhoods based<br />

upon the following criteria: whether the<br />

neighborhood was experiencing some level<br />

of gentrification, whether any type of<br />

affordable housing or asset building<br />

strategies were in effect, and how<br />

successful those strategies were perceived<br />

to be. (See appendix 1 for an expanded<br />

discussion of the site selection<br />

methodology.)<br />

Table 1: Home Mortgage Indicators for Case Study Cities<br />

Selected Cities<br />

% change in<br />

real median<br />

mortgage loan<br />

% change in<br />

housing<br />

originations per<br />

1,000 units<br />

% change in<br />

median<br />

income of<br />

buyer<br />

Difference in<br />

share of loans<br />

to whites<br />

1996–2001 1996–2001 1996–2001 1996–2001<br />

Atlanta, GA 19.4 45.9 11.5 -0.3<br />

Chicago, IL 26.8 30.4 19.9 4.2<br />

Los Angeles, CA 15.2 50.4 19.6 4.9<br />

Sacramento, CA 15.4 128.4 16.0 -3.6<br />

Seattle, WA 33.2 39.4 24.3 0.0<br />

St. Petersburg, FL 20.9 37.0 7.2 -1.3<br />

National average 14.2 28.9 10.3 -2.8<br />

Sources: 1996 and 2001 Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data.


6 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

During visits to the selected neighborhoods<br />

in the spring and summer of 2003, we<br />

interviewed a variety of stakeholders who<br />

were involved in and affected by the<br />

strategy implementation. Each city applies a<br />

variety of strategies to provide affordable<br />

housing and address neighborhood change.<br />

However, we selected the strategies for this<br />

report based upon those prioritized by<br />

respondents and our sense of what might<br />

prove most useful for other practitioners.<br />

Respondents included staff in city<br />

departments who create or implement<br />

affordable housing programs, nonprofit and<br />

for-profit developers who build or rehab<br />

affordable housing, nonprofit organizations<br />

that advocate for affordable housing,<br />

elected city officials who represent the<br />

targeted neighborhood, and local business<br />

owners.<br />

Housing Strategies<br />

Throughout this report, we refer to<br />

affordable housing strategies. We group<br />

strategies into three categories: housing<br />

production, housing retention, and asset<br />

building. (See Keeping the Neighborhood<br />

Affordable: A Handbook of Housing<br />

Strategies for Gentrifying Neighborhood for<br />

a full explanation of strategies that fall into<br />

each of the three categories.)<br />

Strategies to Produce Affordable<br />

Housing<br />

Municipalities, nonprofit organizations, and<br />

for-profit developers can mitigate<br />

displacement of low- and moderate-income<br />

households by building new affordable<br />

units. Three tools or strategies encourage<br />

the development of affordable housing—<br />

Housing Trust Funds, inclusionary zoning<br />

ordinances, and the federal Low-Income<br />

Housing Tax Credit. Additionally, a split-rate<br />

tax structure and tax-increment financing<br />

can support housing production, although<br />

their primary functions are not the<br />

development of affordable housing per se.<br />

Developing affordable housing has its<br />

challenges. First, there must be available<br />

space or land in gentrifying areas.<br />

Neighborhoods seemingly without space<br />

need to use creative tactics to free up land<br />

for development, such as altering zoning<br />

regulations or converting vacant properties<br />

into developable parcels. Another challenge<br />

is that new developments often leave out<br />

very low income households.<br />

Homeownership is not feasible for the very<br />

poor due to financial insecurity or poor<br />

credit ratings, and many unsubsidized rental<br />

developments target slightly higher income<br />

groups so that the projects will be financially<br />

feasible.<br />

Another challenge is attracting affordable<br />

development after the cost of land<br />

increases. The conundrum of many of the<br />

strategies described in this report is that it<br />

often takes foresight and political will to<br />

create incentives or pass regulations to<br />

build affordable housing before the need<br />

becomes pressing and costs soar. Once a


Introduction 7<br />

housing market accelerates and the need<br />

for affordable housing becomes more<br />

apparent, production becomes more difficult<br />

due to the higher housing costs and more<br />

profitable development alternatives.<br />

A final challenge for the development of<br />

affordable rental or homeownership units is<br />

the term of affordability. Most units built for<br />

low- and moderate-income households are<br />

required to remain affordable only for a set<br />

period of time. Once affordability<br />

requirements sunset on a project, the need<br />

for additional affordable housing will return.<br />

It should be noted that producing affordable<br />

housing in gentrifying areas will not<br />

necessarily permit low-income households<br />

to remain in their current units. What<br />

housing development can do, however, is<br />

provide affordable alternatives to<br />

involuntarily displaced households,<br />

potentially even within the same<br />

neighborhood, by building affordable<br />

housing stock for current and future lowand<br />

moderate-income residents.<br />

Strategies to Retain Affordable<br />

Housing<br />

Strategies to retain affordable housing help<br />

maintain existing affordable units, thereby<br />

preventing resident displacement and<br />

ensuring the future availability of such<br />

housing. Retention strategies target privatemarket<br />

and publicly subsidized rental<br />

housing, as well as privately owned<br />

housing. The strategies include code<br />

enforcement; rent control; preservation of<br />

federally subsidized affordable housing,<br />

such as Section 236 and project-based<br />

Section 8; and tax relief and assistance.<br />

The diverse strategies share a number of<br />

implementation concerns. Effective<br />

community organizing is necessary across<br />

the strategies. Whether they involve the<br />

enforcement of existing laws or lobbying<br />

property owners or government officials,<br />

most of the retention strategies will not<br />

succeed in reducing displacement if the<br />

people affected by the possible housing loss<br />

are not organized and motivated to act on<br />

their own behalf.<br />

The strategies also involve city, state, or<br />

federal regulations in some way. Where<br />

laws related to the strategies already exist,<br />

the focus of action will be on<br />

implementation. Where the laws do not<br />

exist, efforts might focus on lobbying<br />

legislators on the need for supportive laws.<br />

Either way, the retention strategies require<br />

knowledge of related laws and of how the<br />

laws tend to be implemented locally. For<br />

this reason, it is helpful for tenant groups<br />

and community-based organizations to work<br />

together closely.<br />

Strategies to Build Resident<br />

Assets<br />

Asset-building strategies aim to help lowincome<br />

individuals accumulate wealth.<br />

These strategies have increased in<br />

popularity due to the strength of the housing<br />

and financial markets, in addition to<br />

changes in welfare policy that have allowed<br />

for increased asset limits. Previously,


8 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

welfare policy required aid recipients to<br />

spend down any financial resources in order<br />

to qualify for welfare (Sherraden 1991).<br />

Policymakers from across the political<br />

spectrum have shown support for assetbuilding<br />

programs because they are<br />

designed to aid low- and moderate-income<br />

individuals move to economic selfsufficiency<br />

(Weber and Smith 2001).<br />

There are six primary asset-building<br />

strategies: individual development accounts<br />

(IDAs), homeownership education and<br />

counseling, limited equity housing co-ops<br />

(LEHCs), community land trusts (CLTs),<br />

location efficient mortgages (LEMs), and the<br />

Section 8 homeownership program.<br />

Although the strategies differ in program<br />

implementation and structure, they all seek<br />

to increase the assets of low-income<br />

households that are vulnerable to<br />

neighborhood economic cycles. The<br />

strategies focus both on place (affordable<br />

housing and land use) and people (job<br />

training and postsecondary education), and<br />

thus have the potential to increase resident<br />

stability and to promote equitable<br />

development in gentrifying communities.<br />

The majority of these programs require<br />

coordination among many key players such<br />

as nonprofits, community members,<br />

participants, financial institutions, and<br />

government agencies.<br />

Findings<br />

There are a number of strategy-based<br />

findings that we draw from the case studies.<br />

Though the sites differ from one another in<br />

many ways, together they suggest lessons<br />

that can inform most efforts to mitigate<br />

gentrification-related displacement.<br />

Housing production. Each site, regardless of<br />

housing market strength, engaged in the<br />

production of affordable housing units. The<br />

particular strategy, or the way in which a<br />

strategy is implemented, differs from site to<br />

site, but as a category of strategies,<br />

production appears to be key. This is due in<br />

part to the challenges of retaining affordable<br />

housing, such as acquiring properties that<br />

are occupied or extending participation in<br />

subsidy programs, such as Section 8. It is<br />

also related to the need to increase the<br />

number of affordable units (or at least<br />

maintain parity). Timing affects<br />

implementation in terms of land availability,<br />

and land and development costs. The<br />

stronger the housing market, the more<br />

constrained options will be and more likely<br />

that mixed financing will be necessary to<br />

complete new housing.<br />

Housing retention. Strategies to retain<br />

existing affordable housing stock were also<br />

implemented in most of the study sites.<br />

Efforts usually target individual properties of<br />

incumbent residents in neighborhoods with<br />

weaker housing markets so that their homes<br />

do not fall into disrepair. In stronger


Introduction 9<br />

markets, retention strategies can shift to a<br />

focus on purchasing larger affordable<br />

properties, such as property-based Section<br />

8 buildings, to prevent owners from<br />

converting housing to market-rate stock.<br />

Asset building. Efforts to increase the<br />

assets of low-income households play a<br />

complementary role to other strategies, but<br />

in themselves the strategies are unlikely to<br />

have a neighborhood-level impact on<br />

displacement mitigation. IDA and<br />

homeownership programs can benefit<br />

individual participants, however. While<br />

programs can be implemented in any<br />

housing market context, program outcomes<br />

will be affected by housing market strength.<br />

High housing costs in strong markets will<br />

limit the ability of program participants to<br />

purchase a home or use liquid assets for<br />

other house-related purposes.<br />

Organization of the Report<br />

We present the six case studies in order of<br />

housing market strength and reported<br />

gentrification. We start with neighborhoods<br />

showing signs of revitalization on through<br />

neighborhoods with increasingly strong<br />

gentrification pressures. In the final chapter,<br />

we discuss findings on relationships<br />

between stage of gentrification and strategy<br />

selection and implementation. We also<br />

discuss related crosscutting findings.<br />

Appendix 1 includes a thorough discussion<br />

of our site selection methodology. A<br />

companion piece, Keeping the<br />

Neighborhood Affordable: A Handbook of<br />

Housing Strategies for Gentrifying<br />

Neighborhoods, provides a detailed<br />

literature review of strategies used to<br />

produce and retain affordable housing, and<br />

to increase low-income families’ assets to<br />

afford increased housing costs.


10 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

2<br />

section<br />

CASE STUDIES<br />

T<br />

hrough six case studies we present a variety of strategies used to address affordable<br />

housing needs in neighborhoods at different stages of gentrification. We have ordered<br />

the case studies from neighborhoods in the earliest stages of revitalization/gentrification<br />

to those in advanced stages of gentrification. In each case study, we highlight one or two<br />

strategies, providing a detailed account of why a strategy was chosen, how it was implemented,<br />

strategy outcomes, and implementation challenges. We also include brief descriptions of<br />

additional strategies used in each community to address affordable housing needs. The<br />

following chart presents an overview of the cities, neighborhoods, and housing strategies.<br />

Table 2: Affordable Housing Strategy Overview by City (2003)<br />

Site<br />

Stage:<br />

revitalization/<br />

gentrification<br />

Key strategies<br />

Additional<br />

strategies<br />

Neighborhood<br />

organization<br />

Bartlett Park<br />

St. Petersburg, FL<br />

Oak Park<br />

Sacramento, CA<br />

Reynoldstown<br />

Atlanta, GA<br />

Figueroa Corridor<br />

Los Angeles, CA<br />

Central Area<br />

Seattle, WA<br />

Uptown<br />

Chicago, IL<br />

Early<br />

Early<br />

Middle<br />

(early)<br />

Middle<br />

(late)<br />

Late<br />

(early)<br />

Late<br />

Housing<br />

rehabilitation<br />

Infill development<br />

Vacant property<br />

redevelopment<br />

Housing<br />

rehabilitation<br />

Affordable<br />

housing<br />

production<br />

Housing Trust<br />

Fund<br />

Infill development<br />

Housing levy<br />

Voluntary<br />

inclusionary<br />

zoning<br />

Zoning changes<br />

Economic<br />

development<br />

Housing Trust<br />

Fund<br />

Homebuyer<br />

programs<br />

IDA Program<br />

Community<br />

building<br />

Code<br />

enforcement<br />

Rent stabilization<br />

Land trust<br />

Home repair<br />

Regulation<br />

reviews<br />

Employment<br />

Nonprofit<br />

retention<br />

strategies<br />

Tax assistance<br />

Active<br />

organizations<br />

Active<br />

organizations<br />

Active<br />

organizations<br />

Active<br />

organizations<br />

Active residents<br />

Active<br />

organization<br />

Moderate resident<br />

involvement<br />

Active<br />

organizations<br />

Active residents


Case Studies 11<br />

Early Stages of Neighborhood Revitalization/<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

When a lower-income neighborhood begins to experience revitalization after years or decades<br />

of being overlooked by developers and the city, focus tends to stay on ways to increase<br />

investment rather than on preserving or increasing affordable housing. Affordable housing is<br />

one asset such neighborhoods tend to have in abundance. It is difficult to raise issues of future<br />

affordable housing needs when the issue is not pressing. Waiting until there is a problem,<br />

however, can lead to its own set of difficulties. Bartlett Park in St. Petersburg, FL, and Oak Park<br />

in Sacramento, CA, offer interesting case studies of how to think about, and what to do, in a<br />

neighborhood that is not showing signs of gentrification but might in the future. These<br />

neighborhoods raise questions of how soon attention should be paid to affordable housing<br />

needs in an area still affordable though changing, and whether strategies can be employed that<br />

promote both revitalization and neighborhood stability and affordability.


12 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

ST. PETERSBURG, FL<br />

BARTLETT PARK<br />

Key strategies: housing rehabilitation and infill development<br />

Other strategies: zoning changes, economic development<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

St. Petersburg, located on the peninsula<br />

between the Gulf of Mexico and Tampa Bay<br />

in Pinellas County, is the fourth largest city<br />

in Florida, with a population of<br />

approximately 240,000 (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database) (see<br />

Table 3 at the end of the case study). With<br />

new construction and rehabilitation of<br />

existing structures occurring in a number of<br />

areas of the city, most people agree that St.<br />

Petersburg is revitalizing. Downtown is<br />

pointed to with pride because of the<br />

changes that continue to occur there,<br />

including a number of new restaurants,<br />

galleries, condominiums, and town houses.<br />

Geography is an important factor in the<br />

city’s development. St. Petersburg is<br />

bordered by water on three sides, and the<br />

fourth side to the north is considered built<br />

out. Without room to expand, the city has<br />

experienced considerable revitalization in<br />

older neighborhoods since the mid-1990s. A<br />

number of residential neighborhoods have<br />

rehabilitated the housing stock and<br />

experienced increases in property values.<br />

Vacancy rates dropped between 1990 and<br />

2000, with the greatest change occurring in<br />

the rental market. Homeowner units<br />

predominate in the city, where well over half<br />

of occupied units are owner-occupied<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

The city is divided into two sectors: north<br />

and south of Central Avenue. Two factors<br />

helped draw attention to neighborhoodbased<br />

needs in St. Petersburg’s poorer<br />

southern sector. In the 1993 election, the<br />

incumbent mayor ran on a platform that<br />

included strong neighborhood support in<br />

response to the frustration of residents from<br />

lower-income neighborhoods with the city’s<br />

focus on downtown revitalization. After<br />

winning the election, the mayor established<br />

a Neighborhood Partnership office and<br />

pledged to implement neighborhood plans,<br />

which focused on improvements such as<br />

sidewalk repair, lighting and landscaping,<br />

neighborhood signage, and increased police<br />

presence, within a six-month timeframe.<br />

Funding was made available to<br />

neighborhood groups through competitive<br />

grants.<br />

Second, in the fall of 1996, riots occurred<br />

after police shot an African American<br />

motorist in the area that later would be<br />

named Midtown. Following the unrest the<br />

mayor convened community leaders to<br />

address the needs in the so-called


St. Petersburg, FL 13<br />

“Challenge Area.” This area included most<br />

of the low-income areas of the city. One of<br />

the goals identified was that of community<br />

renewal through focusing on housing and<br />

homeownership, and the reduction of<br />

vacant and boarded units. The initial focus<br />

for action was on developing solid<br />

infrastructure and working on beautification<br />

to attract investors. After assuming office in<br />

2001, current mayor Baker changed the<br />

area’s name to “Midtown.”<br />

The focus neighborhood for this case<br />

study—Bartlett Park—is located in Midtown.<br />

For decades Bartlett Park was the seasonal<br />

home to “winter snowbirds” and, on a more<br />

permanent basis, predominantly white,<br />

lower-middle income households. Today,<br />

most of the neighborhood’s 4,000 residents<br />

are lower-income African Americans. The<br />

racial and ethnic makeup of the<br />

neighborhood has held fairly steady since<br />

1990. African Americans continue to make<br />

up almost all of the neighborhood’s<br />

population, while the percentage of white<br />

residents declined slightly from 9 to 7<br />

percent (Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database). Midtown, the broader area in<br />

which Bartlett Park is situated, has long<br />

been considered the poor part of town.<br />

Although Midtown’s unemployment rate<br />

dropped between 1990 and 2001 from 11 to<br />

7 percent, the rate was still higher than the<br />

city’s overall rate of three percent (RMPK<br />

Group, Inc. 2002). Both Bartlett Park and<br />

Midtown lost population during the 1990s by<br />

9 and 16 percent, respectively (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database).<br />

Bartlett Park is bordered to the north and<br />

east by a hospital complex and the<br />

University of South Florida, both of which<br />

continue to expand. The marina and Dali<br />

Museum are points of attraction to the east<br />

as well. A new shopping center is planned<br />

south of Bartlett Park, and the city is taking<br />

proposals for a 16-acre industrial parcel<br />

located to the northwest of Midtown.<br />

Tropicana Field, home to the Tampa Bay<br />

Devil Rays, is located north of the<br />

neighborhood. In addition to the institutional<br />

and commercial development nearby, the<br />

area is bounded by neighborhoods that<br />

have already experienced improvements in<br />

housing stock and increases in house<br />

values. Areas to the west are already<br />

showing signs of property value increases,<br />

and an upscale town house development is<br />

under construction on the northern border.<br />

Bartlett Park was one of the first<br />

neighborhoods in the early 1990s to<br />

develop a neighborhood plan that was<br />

approved by the city. The city provided a<br />

grant for $100,000 of infrastructure<br />

improvements. Whether due to<br />

neighborhood efforts, proximity to nearby<br />

revitalizing neighborhoods and St.<br />

Petersburg attractions, or the overall<br />

economy, Bartlett Park’s housing market is<br />

showing signs of change. The average<br />

housing value of owner-occupied units<br />

increased 4 percent, lower than the citywide<br />

increase of 9 percent during the last decade<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database). According to one respondent,<br />

Bartlett Park has had one of the highest


14 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

rates of property value increase in the city<br />

during the last few years, however. The<br />

area is beginning to attract younger<br />

residents and older white households, and<br />

new housing is being marketed to slightly<br />

higher-income households than would have<br />

been the case in the past. Census data<br />

indicate a dramatic 43 percent increase in<br />

the average household income between<br />

1990 and 2000 compared to the citywide<br />

increase of a much smaller 9 percent.<br />

Another indication of change is fewer<br />

residents are paying a large proportion of<br />

their incomes on rent—Bartlett Park had an<br />

11 percent decrease in the percent of<br />

renters who pay more than 35 percent of<br />

their income toward rent, a greater drop<br />

than the 4 percent decrease citywide<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Some people talk about Bartlett Park in<br />

terms of it being “squeezed” or pushed by<br />

the surrounding changes. In addition to the<br />

external factors, there are pressures<br />

affecting change from within the area and<br />

neighborhood, not least of which is that<br />

Bartlett Park is viewed as one of the better<br />

neighborhoods within Midtown in terms of<br />

housing conditions and poverty rate, making<br />

it more attractive to developers and<br />

potential residents. Renovations to existing<br />

houses also have drawn attention to the<br />

neighborhood’s bungalows.<br />

The availability of lots for development has<br />

started to attract private developers to<br />

Bartlett Park and Midtown in general. The<br />

increased competition has already led to<br />

increases in land prices. Vacant lots that<br />

used to sell for $3,000 are selling for<br />

between $7,000 and $10,000. As land costs<br />

increase, the cost of new construction and<br />

home sales has followed, reducing nonprofit<br />

developers’ ability to provide new housing.<br />

Another factor affecting prices is that more<br />

owners are holding onto properties for<br />

investment purposes because of the<br />

University and hospital’s demand for land.<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

There is consensus among respondents<br />

that Bartlett Park and other areas of<br />

Midtown are beginning to revitalize.<br />

According to city staff, 10 years ago the<br />

county devalued Midtown properties up to<br />

30 percent because there had been too few<br />

real estate transactions on which to base<br />

valuations. Since then, values have more or<br />

less regained the lost ground. While much<br />

of the housing stock, small wood-frame<br />

houses built between the 1920s and 1950s,<br />

is still considered dilapidated, it is showing<br />

signs of coming back. The majority of<br />

houses have been converted to rental units<br />

over time (65 percent rental compared with<br />

30–35 percent for the city). Midtown still has<br />

vacant lots and boarded houses, so as<br />

other parts of the city are built out and<br />

housing prices rise in neighboring areas,<br />

attention is turning to Midtown and Bartlett<br />

Park, and property values are beginning to


St. Petersburg, FL 15<br />

increase. With the available land and the<br />

loss in population, there is room to grow.<br />

When asked when the time might come that<br />

the area would face an affordable housing<br />

problem, most people estimated five years.<br />

Even though there was some agreement on<br />

the timeframe, there were differences of<br />

opinion on whether affordable housing<br />

should be on the neighborhood’s and the<br />

city’s agenda at this point in time, well<br />

before a supply problem exists.<br />

The response to that concern might well<br />

depend upon whether a future decrease in<br />

affordable housing would be considered a<br />

problem. Some respondents talked about<br />

the inevitability of a future problem with<br />

affordable housing and displacement<br />

because of the changes occurring in the<br />

surrounding areas that are “closing in on”<br />

Bartlett Park in particular. One person<br />

pointed out that if the economy and wages<br />

do not improve but land prices continue to<br />

increase, incumbent residents’ ability to<br />

afford housing will decline. The problem is<br />

not yet visible, but it does exist. Once it<br />

becomes visible, it will be too late by some<br />

people’s estimation. Given increasing costs<br />

and geography, there will be fewer housing<br />

and neighborhood options for lower-income<br />

households. Not everyone shares this<br />

perspective, however. Other respondents<br />

believe that change in Bartlett Park will<br />

occur more slowly than it has in other<br />

neighborhoods. And, given the affordable<br />

housing stock available in adjacent Midtown<br />

neighborhoods, residents from Bartlett Park<br />

will be able to find housing as prices<br />

increase.<br />

Key Strategies—Housing Rehabilitation<br />

and Infill Development<br />

Housing practitioners use owner-occupied<br />

housing rehabilitation and infill development<br />

to address housing needs and catalyze<br />

revitalization in Bartlett Park. These<br />

strategies aid in revitalizing the area as well<br />

as work against future displacement through<br />

maintaining and increasing the affordable<br />

housing stock. Both strategies are used<br />

across the city, though there is greater<br />

focus on the neighborhoods in Midtown due<br />

to the condition of the area’s housing stock<br />

and the history of disinvestment. The<br />

following sections describe how these two<br />

strategies operate and the challenges<br />

practitioners face in implementing them.<br />

Housing Rehabilitation<br />

The primary objective of housing<br />

rehabilitation is to retain incumbent<br />

residents while improving the housing stock.<br />

Through repairing roofs, updating plumbing<br />

and electrical systems of owner-occupied<br />

houses, long-time residents, especially<br />

elderly residents, will be able to remain in<br />

their homes for a longer period of time.<br />

Their presence can help prevent a decline<br />

in the area’s homeownership rate and can<br />

provide stability to Midtown neighborhoods.<br />

There are both nonprofit and city programs<br />

engaged in housing rehabilitation efforts.


16 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Funding for owner-occupied rehabilitation<br />

comes from city, state, federal, and private<br />

sources such as the city’s Working to<br />

Improve our Neighborhoods (WIN) program,<br />

State Housing Initiatives Partnership<br />

Program (SHIP), the federal Community<br />

Development Block Grant program, and<br />

federal HOME funds. Nonprofit<br />

organizations convinced the city to direct<br />

more of its owner-occupied rehabilitation<br />

funds to the Midtown area.<br />

WIN funds are often used for roof repair,<br />

plumbing, and electrical work. The city<br />

increased the project-funding cap per<br />

project in order to complete significant<br />

rehabilitation on a unit in the face of cost<br />

increases. The cap has been raised from<br />

$40,000 to approximately $60,000.<br />

Rehabilitation funds are disbursed either as<br />

loans or as forgiven loans. The city ended<br />

the practice of offering rehab funds as<br />

deferred loans because of difficulties some<br />

owners faced when selling a house of<br />

relatively low property value with deferred<br />

debt.<br />

Neighborhood Housing Services, a<br />

community-based organization in Midtown,<br />

has been able to rehabilitate approximately<br />

10 to 12 houses a year in the Bartlett<br />

Park/Midtown areas. A partnership<br />

established with Bank of America will be a<br />

source of funding for owner-occupied<br />

housing rehabilitation. Mt. Zion, a<br />

community housing development<br />

organization, or ChoDO, also completes an<br />

average of 10 housing rehabilitation projects<br />

a year. Across St. Petersburg, the city has<br />

supported 1,531 rehabilitation projects of<br />

single-family housing since 1997 (RMPK<br />

Group, Inc. 2002).<br />

Challenges for Rehabilitation<br />

One of the main challenges in rehabilitating<br />

old houses is staying within budget.<br />

Respondents said it is difficult to know<br />

beforehand exactly what work is needed<br />

until they get started. Deciding which work<br />

to do after discovering additional needs is<br />

difficult, but finances are limited. Housing<br />

rehabilitation can be successful when the<br />

following factors are taken into account:<br />

identify one or a small number of<br />

contractors who are reliable, stable, and do<br />

quality work; work with trusted contractors<br />

exclusively; and hire capable staff who can<br />

prepare clear work descriptions for<br />

contractors, monitor projects well, and keep<br />

them within budget.<br />

Infill Development<br />

The city, private developers, and nonprofit<br />

developers rely on infill development to turn<br />

vacant lots and abandoned buildings<br />

scattered throughout Midtown into<br />

developable land parcels and habitable<br />

properties in a city otherwise built out. The<br />

large number of vacant lots across Midtown<br />

encourages infill development—one<br />

respondent noted that there are 3,000–<br />

4,000 vacant lots, along with 300–500<br />

vacant, boarded-up houses on the city’s list


St. Petersburg, FL 17<br />

of properties in Midtown. The city also offers<br />

properties for sale to nonprofits at a<br />

discounted price to encourage<br />

development. The WIN program acquires<br />

boarded-up properties through code<br />

enforcement and demolition. The city also<br />

has 50–100 lots available for private<br />

developers to purchase, ranging from<br />

$8,000 to $15,000 in Midtown. To date, the<br />

majority of infill housing development is<br />

single-family detached houses.<br />

Infill development benefits incumbent<br />

residents by increasing the number of<br />

quality houses for sale, potentially turning<br />

former renters into homeowners.<br />

Homeowners will be less affected by<br />

increases in housing prices than if they<br />

remained renters. It can also serve to<br />

increase the population of Midtown by<br />

attracting new residents.<br />

There are two primary nonprofit<br />

organizations that develop housing in<br />

Midtown neighborhoods. Mt. Zion develops<br />

housing for households earning at or less<br />

than 80 percent of the area median income.<br />

It acquires old or otherwise abandoned<br />

houses to demolish, then rebuilds on the lot.<br />

To date, Mt. Zion has completed 50 units of<br />

housing in Midtown, averaging 10 a year.<br />

The director commented that the increasing<br />

competition for land in the area, along with<br />

dwindling number of available lots, is<br />

decreasing the number of units the<br />

organization will be able to build as private<br />

developers do more.<br />

Neighborhood Housing Services, another<br />

organization that focuses on housing<br />

development and homeownership, has<br />

formed a limited liability partnership with<br />

Bank of America to build 50 houses<br />

throughout the Bartlett Park neighborhood.<br />

It also hopes to receive a grant to fund<br />

construction and purchase assistance for 37<br />

properties in Midtown, 35 of which would be<br />

located in Bartlett Park.<br />

Private developers are also active in<br />

Midtown building affordable housing. There<br />

are approximately 10 companies active in<br />

St. Petersburg and Midtown at present,<br />

which according to one developer should<br />

enable Midtown to rebuild more quickly.<br />

The nonprofit and private developers have<br />

made an impact. Vacant and boarded<br />

properties in Midtown have decreased 50<br />

percent between 1998 and 2001, to 391.<br />

Since then such properties have further<br />

been reduced to 180. Public investment in<br />

Midtown since 1997 includes 383 new<br />

housing units and homeowner assistance<br />

for 170 clients (RMPK Group, Inc. 2002).<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

One challenge in building new houses in<br />

neighborhoods with old stock and few sales<br />

is getting appraisals for the initial sale.<br />

Resale can also be challenging because the<br />

new house will be priced much higher than<br />

surrounding properties.<br />

Infill development is practical for Bartlett<br />

Park and the broader Midtown area, but the<br />

pace of revitalization through this approach


18 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

can be slow. Because vacant land parcels<br />

are scattered, it is difficult to build more than<br />

one house at a time, which the nonprofit<br />

organizations and city would like to do.<br />

Respondents hope new housing itself will<br />

spark additional investments.<br />

Another challenge is that the city and some<br />

developers would like to build more<br />

condominiums and town houses, but such<br />

projects are difficult politically because of<br />

resident opposition to new multifamily<br />

developments. Respondents believe the<br />

opposition will change, but for now, infill<br />

development mostly is restricted to singlefamily<br />

houses.<br />

Having a supportive city government can<br />

make a difference in the cost and schedule<br />

of new housing production. Respondents<br />

believe the current city government is<br />

responsive to business and housing needs,<br />

and they give it credit for being flexible in<br />

responding to changing circumstances.<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

Zoning Changes<br />

St. Petersburg is revising its Land Development Regulations to allow greater flexibility in development<br />

across the city, including mixed-use developments and increased density. Current zoning regulations<br />

were established in the 1970s and reflected suburban realities of larger lot sizes: new construction has<br />

had to abide by the required 75-foot frontage. Houses in older areas of town, including Bartlett Park, have<br />

50-foot frontages. To build a new house in areas with smaller lots, builders have had to request a zoning<br />

variance, which slows the pace of building, or acquire two lots for one new house, which reduces the<br />

number of houses. While the revised zoning regulations will apply across the city, the benefits to Midtown<br />

are significant, in light of the current housing stock and mismatch between the lot sizes and current<br />

zoning regulations.<br />

Economic Development<br />

Many respondents view economic development as an important component of housing affordability and<br />

revitalization. The city hopes to spark revitalization by being the first to invest in economic development in<br />

many areas across the city. By providing early support, other business and residential investors will<br />

follow. Economic development is necessary early in the revitalization process because it will allow<br />

incumbent residents to increase their earnings, thereby reducing the chance that lower-income people will<br />

get caught in a cycle of being displaced to lower cost areas as neighborhoods change and housing<br />

values increase.


St. Petersburg, FL 19<br />

Conclusion<br />

Bartlett Park and Midtown are beginning to<br />

experience revitalization. At present,<br />

housing practitioners focus on developing<br />

and maintaining affordable housing to<br />

address current needs and to take<br />

advantage of opportunities available due to<br />

the lack of gentrification pressures. Factors<br />

such as the available and affordable land<br />

parcels make infill development and<br />

housing rehabilitation attractive strategies to<br />

use. Were the community experiencing<br />

stronger market-rate housing pressures,<br />

affordable infill development likely would<br />

give way to, or at least be more difficult<br />

because of, revitalization targeting higherincome<br />

households.<br />

These early revitalization efforts might very<br />

well help reduce any future displacement in<br />

the area if and when gentrification<br />

pressures materialize. City, nonprofit, and<br />

private developers are increasing the<br />

number of affordable houses in the area,<br />

increasing homeownership rates, and<br />

improving housing conditions for current<br />

residents so they can remain in their<br />

homes—all factors that lend stability to the<br />

area while also increasing investment. The<br />

city’s commitment to improving the Midtown<br />

area makes most respondents hopeful that<br />

change will come about in a positive<br />

manner.<br />

Most respondents talked about the<br />

interconnection between housing and<br />

economic development—that both needs<br />

should be addressed simultaneously in<br />

order to improve the lives of incumbent<br />

residents and to attract new residents to<br />

Midtown. If economic development is<br />

carried out in a way that increases<br />

employment and earnings opportunities for<br />

current residents, then the dual approach<br />

for revitalization can strengthen the hand of<br />

residents so that they are less likely to be<br />

displaced as housing prices continue to rise.


20 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Population<br />

Table 3: St. Petersburg, FL and Bartlett Park<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990-2000<br />

Year City total Bartlett Park<br />

Population 1990 240,800 4,300<br />

2000 250,300 3,900<br />

% change population 1990–2000 3.9 -9.3<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 19.2 89.5<br />

2000 22.6 89.5<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 76.4 9.3<br />

2000 69.7 6.9<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 2.1 0.5<br />

2000 3.6 0.8<br />

% Hispanic 1990 2.3 0.8<br />

2000 4.2 2.7<br />

Income and poverty<br />

Average family income (in 1999 dollars) 1990 52,500 22,400<br />

2000 57,300 32,300<br />

Poverty rate 1990 13.5 37.2<br />

2000 13.2 41.2<br />

Employment<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 5.2 13.8<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 5.2 12.7<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 106,900 1,600<br />

2000 110,500 1,400<br />

Total rental units 1990 44,800 1,200<br />

2000 42,400 1,000<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 13.7 21.9<br />

2000 8.9 19.3<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 63.8 41.7<br />

2000 65.0 44.7<br />

Average value owner-occupied housing units (in 2000<br />

dollars) 1990 106,000 50,400<br />

2000 115,800 52,600<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of income on rent 1990 34.6 49.4<br />

2000 31.2 38.1


St. Petersburg, FL 21<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 29.6 14.0<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 22.1 14.8<br />

% change in number of mortgages originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a -25.3 5.7<br />

Dollar value of mortgages originated/ housing unit a Avg. (95, 96) 2,534 670<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 2,399 820<br />

% change in dollar value of mortgages originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a -5 22<br />

Average value of mortgages originated<br />

(1–4-unit structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 85,600 47,700<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 108,600 55,400<br />

% change in average value of mortgages originated,<br />

1995/96–2000/2001 a 26.9 16.1<br />

Source: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban Institute’s Neighborhood<br />

Change Database (NCDB) based on 1990 and 2000 U.S. Censuses.<br />

Note: Data for Bartlett Park are analyzed using census tract 12103020500.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the Urban Institute.<br />

Dollar amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


22 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

SACRAMENTO, CA<br />

OAK PARK<br />

Key strategy: vacant property redevelopment<br />

Other strategies: Housing Trust Fund, homeownership programs<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

Sacramento, the capital of the nation’s most<br />

populous state, experienced rapid growth in<br />

employment, income, and population during<br />

the 1990s. The city’s reasonable cost of<br />

living and supply of affordable housing have<br />

attracted businesses away from neighboring<br />

high-cost areas, such as the Bay Area.<br />

Sacramento’s population increased 10<br />

percent between 1990 and 2000, climbing<br />

to almost 400,000 people (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database) (see<br />

Table 4 at the end of the case study). An<br />

influx of businesses located in Sacramento<br />

around the same time, including Hewlett-<br />

Packard, Company NEC, Apple Computers,<br />

and Oracle.<br />

Business and population growth have<br />

contributed to the rise of property values in<br />

Sacramento. Home purchases, as<br />

measured by mortgage originations,<br />

increased here more than in any other of<br />

the top 100 largest cities in the country<br />

between 1996 and 2001, while mortgage<br />

loan amounts increased at about the same<br />

rate as the national average during the<br />

same time period.<br />

Oak Park, one of Sacramento’s oldest<br />

communities, is beginning to experience<br />

changes in its housing market as well. The<br />

neighborhood is located southeast of<br />

downtown, adjacent to Tahoe Park, a<br />

middle-income community. Oak Park began<br />

as a farming community in the mid-1800s.<br />

The area developed into Sacramento’s first<br />

suburban, middle-class neighborhood by<br />

the early 1900s. The community started to<br />

decline in the 1930s when homeowners,<br />

affected first by the Depression and then<br />

World War II, were no longer able to<br />

maintain their properties. In response to a<br />

subsequent housing shortage, many owners<br />

divided their homes into rental units. By the<br />

mid-1940s, residents were leaving Oak Park<br />

for newer suburbs with inexpensive homes,<br />

which led to further deterioration of the<br />

neighborhood’s economic and social<br />

conditions. By the late 1960s, housing and<br />

commercial properties were in serious<br />

decline and the neighborhood was marked<br />

by vacant lots and poor infrastructure. The<br />

Redevelopment Agency of the City of<br />

Sacramento established Oak Park as a<br />

redevelopment area in 1973, which it<br />

remains today. The designation allows the<br />

agency to target its activities to the area.


Sacramento, CA 23<br />

The Oak Park neighborhood today is<br />

described as a diverse, densely populated,<br />

low-income residential area intersected by<br />

commercial streets. During the 1990s, the<br />

population grew about 7 percent, driven<br />

primarily by an increase in Latino residents.<br />

Latinos make up approximately one-third of<br />

the neighborhood, whites one-quarter and<br />

African Americans 20 percent (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database).<br />

Incomes in Oak Park rose slightly during the<br />

1990s. The average family income in Oak<br />

Park increased by 5 percent, while the<br />

percent of renters in Oak Park paying more<br />

than 35 percent of their income for rent – a<br />

proxy for housing hardship -- decreased<br />

from 53 percent of the renters to 41 percent<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

The majority of Oak Park residents are<br />

renters; absentee landlords own a<br />

significant percentage of the rental housing.<br />

According to respondents, the Oak Park<br />

neighborhood has a fair share of lowincome<br />

housing, much of which is not well<br />

maintained. Oak Park does have its<br />

attractions. It is close to William Land Park,<br />

a multipurpose park with picnic facilities, a<br />

golf course, and tennis courts. The<br />

neighborhood is also home to the<br />

Sacramento Zoo, the UC–Davis Medical<br />

Center, McGeorge Law School, and a local<br />

bakery.<br />

A number of community groups, churches,<br />

nonprofits, and coalitions are active within<br />

the neighborhood. These groups include<br />

Kevin Johnson’s St. Hope Corporation<br />

(SHDC), ACORN, Habitat for Humanity, city<br />

council member Lauren Hammond’s<br />

Renaissance Project, Rebuilding Together,<br />

and Building Unity. Many faith-based<br />

organizations, especially in Oak Park, are<br />

active in building homeownership<br />

opportunities in lower-income communities.<br />

Redevelopment efforts by the Sacramento<br />

Housing & Redevelopment Agency (SHRA),<br />

nonprofits, and community organizations<br />

within the neighborhood include housing<br />

renovations, street and sidewalk<br />

improvements, and promotion of<br />

commercial investment.<br />

Former NBA star Kevin Johnson’s<br />

involvement in the Oak Park community has<br />

been influential in the redevelopment<br />

efforts. Johnson, an Oak Park native, has<br />

been involved with revitalizing the<br />

neighborhood since his first year in the<br />

NBA. In 1989, he founded St. Hope<br />

Academy, an intensive after-school<br />

language arts and math program. Johnson<br />

has since expanded St. Hope and its<br />

revitalization efforts in Oak Park. According<br />

to respondents, Johnson’s involvement in<br />

the neighborhood has provided motivation<br />

for revitalization efforts. The St. Hope<br />

Development Corporation transformed a<br />

20,000 square foot complex into a<br />

commercially viable mixed-use property.<br />

The new development, 40 Acres, includes a<br />

bookstore, art gallery, barbershop,<br />

restaurant, Starbucks, and loft apartments.<br />

SHRA loans and grants in addition to SHDC<br />

dollars funded the project. SHDC has also


24 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

been involved with preserving and restoring<br />

other buildings in Oak Park.<br />

In general, Sacramento has a strong<br />

network of advocacy organizations and a<br />

broad-based coalition of housing leaders.<br />

The Sacramento Housing Alliance (SHA) is<br />

a membership organization composed of<br />

over 65 community agencies concerned<br />

with housing-related issues. SHA focuses<br />

on preserving and producing more<br />

affordable housing through public<br />

education, public policy targeting the needs<br />

of lower income people, and advocacy. SHA<br />

members include nonprofit and for-profit<br />

affordable housing developers, service<br />

providers, various constituency groups, and<br />

residents.<br />

According to respondents, council member<br />

Dave Jones has played a major role in<br />

placing affordable housing issues on the<br />

political agenda. In addition, developers, the<br />

SHRA, and city/county planning are all key<br />

players in affordable housing policy. It must<br />

be noted some respondents stated that a<br />

lack of political will among local elected<br />

officials for affordable housing has been a<br />

challenge in the city of Sacramento.<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Oak Park is in the early stage of<br />

gentrification. The neighborhood has begun<br />

to experience a resurgence over the past<br />

couple years due to the strong housing<br />

market citywide, the neighborhood’s<br />

proximity to downtown’s art and<br />

entertainment amenities and places of<br />

employment for many workers in the region,<br />

and the amenities located within Oak Park<br />

itself. Residents facing long commutes are<br />

moving closer to their places of<br />

employment, including neighborhoods close<br />

to downtown such as Oak Park. Although<br />

property values are increasing in Oak Park,<br />

inexpensive housing is still available. Those<br />

who cannot afford to live in many areas of<br />

Sacramento are gradually moving into the<br />

Oak Park because housing is less<br />

expensive.<br />

It is unclear whether gentrification will gain<br />

momentum, reducing the amount of<br />

affordable housing and displacing lowincome<br />

residents in large numbers. People<br />

have noticed an increase in first-time<br />

homebuyers moving into the community,<br />

along with longer-term households moving<br />

out. However, the magnitude of this<br />

movement is not clear. Some people<br />

believe that the recent boom in the housing<br />

market will encourage absentee<br />

homeowners to sell their properties now that<br />

there is a viable market in Oak Park. The<br />

neighborhood’s proximity to other<br />

gentrifying communities may also possibly<br />

lead to intensified gentrification efforts.<br />

However, ongoing problems with safety,<br />

crime, and drugs make the neighborhood an<br />

undesirable area for some development and<br />

higher-income residents.


Sacramento, CA 25<br />

Key Strategies—Vacant Property<br />

Redevelopment and Vacant Lot<br />

Development<br />

Key strategies used in Oak Park to promote<br />

revitalization and maintain affordable<br />

housing include rehabilitation through the<br />

Boarded and Vacant Homes Program and<br />

infill development through the Vacant Lot<br />

Development program. Both programs<br />

target the acquisition and redevelopment of<br />

vacant properties, and both serve to<br />

increase the stock of affordable housing<br />

while bringing investment to the<br />

neighborhood.<br />

Revitalization efforts in the Oak Park<br />

community have brought together<br />

community groups, churches, nonprofits,<br />

and the city council member to work<br />

together and address the abundance of<br />

vacant lots and buildings in the community<br />

and the low rate of homeownership. These<br />

community groups were able to push<br />

policies that address urban infill by<br />

transforming vacant lots and abandoned<br />

buildings into affordable housing<br />

opportunities for residents. The SHRA, as a<br />

partner, has been instrumental in<br />

redevelopment efforts in the neighborhood.<br />

Boarded and Vacant Homes<br />

Program (BVHP)<br />

Established in 1997, the Boarded and<br />

Vacant Homes Program (BVHP) arose from<br />

the need to provide incentives for the<br />

rehabilitation and development of singlefamily<br />

boarded and vacant homes in the city<br />

and county of Sacramento. Boarded and<br />

vacant properties have led to problems in<br />

SHRA redevelopment areas. According to<br />

respondents, the vacancies have come<br />

about in part due to the city’s stringent code<br />

enforcement. The city tried to purchase and<br />

rehabilitate the properties, but this proved<br />

too cumbersome. Instead, the SHRA moved<br />

to an incentive-based system, the BVHP, to<br />

attract developers to rehabilitate and<br />

develop these properties, and then sell<br />

them to low-income households.<br />

Through BVHP, developers receive a<br />

$10,000 fee for properties in target areas,<br />

$15,000 in redevelopment areas, and<br />

$20,000 in the Oak Park redevelopment<br />

area, for the acquisition and rehabilitation of<br />

a single-family boarded and vacant home.<br />

Homes eligible for the BVHP require a<br />

minimum of $15,000 of rehabilitation or<br />

must be listed on the city’s Dangerous<br />

Buildings Inspector Cases Report. The<br />

developer must provide the acquisition and<br />

rehabilitation financing. The Sacramento<br />

Housing and Redevelopment Agency runs<br />

the BVHP program and allocates the<br />

developer fees. Homes must be sold to an<br />

owner-occupant and income limits apply to<br />

the buyer due to the funding source. The<br />

developer receives the fee after final<br />

inspection by the SHRA and the sale of the<br />

home to a homebuyer.<br />

In a five-year period between 1997 and<br />

2002, more than 115 homes were acquired<br />

citywide through BVHP and 101 were sold<br />

to owner-occupants. In total, 119 properties<br />

have been acquired, rehabilitated, and sold


26 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

to low- and moderate-income homebuyers.<br />

Of the 119 homes, 24 have been completed<br />

in Oak Park with two pending.<br />

The Vacant Lot Development<br />

Program (VLDP)<br />

The Vacant Lot Development Program<br />

(VLDP) is intended to encourage the<br />

acquisition and development of unimproved<br />

single-family vacant lots in the North<br />

Sacramento, Oak Park, and Walnut Grove<br />

redevelopment areas. VLDP is modeled<br />

after the BVHP program, and is similar to it<br />

in that it targets difficult properties on<br />

scattered sites, provides a developer fee<br />

upon completion of a project, and sets a<br />

regulatory agreement against the property<br />

to guarantee long-term owner-occupancy<br />

and affordability.<br />

The Vacant Lot Development Program<br />

(VLDP) arose from the need to address the<br />

long-term difficulties connected with vacant<br />

lots, low owner-occupancy rate, and the<br />

lack of large homes in the North<br />

Sacramento neighborhood. Sacramento<br />

contemplated an infill policy, and<br />

brainstormed ideas to address the<br />

challenges of developing infill sites<br />

throughout Sacramento. Oak Park and<br />

North Sacramento were identified as the<br />

communities most appropriate to test the<br />

VLDP on a pilot basis. The two<br />

neighborhoods are redevelopment areas<br />

with numerous long-standing undeveloped<br />

residential lots that have become areas for<br />

dumping and other illegal activities. Both<br />

areas also had enough available set-aside<br />

funds to capitalize the program.<br />

In 2002, the SHRA, the city of Sacramento,<br />

and the county of Sacramento approved<br />

$200,000 in funding for Oak Park for the<br />

pilot Vacant Lot Development Program, as<br />

well as funding for North Sacramento and<br />

Walnut Grove neighborhoods. Developers<br />

participating in the VLDP receive a fee for<br />

the acquisition and development of a singlefamily<br />

residential vacant lot in the amount of<br />

$7,500 for a two-bedroom/two-bath house,<br />

$20,000 for a three-bedroom/two-bath<br />

house, and $25,000 for a four-bedroom/twobath<br />

house. The new home must be sold to<br />

an income-qualified household at an<br />

affordable price due to the tax increment<br />

funding of the VLDP. The developer fee is<br />

allocated upon approved completion and<br />

sale of home to an owner-occupant.<br />

Residential subdivisions cannot be<br />

developed under the VLDP because the<br />

purpose is to target scattered sites within<br />

current residential neighborhoods. Special<br />

homebuyer financing is available for some<br />

buyers of these homes.<br />

According to the SHRA, the pilot Vacant Lot<br />

Development Program has been a quick<br />

success. The initial allocation of $200,000<br />

for Oak Park was used immediately for the<br />

construction of eight new homes: six fourbedroom<br />

homes and two three-bedroom<br />

homes.


Sacramento, CA 27<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

The Boarded and Vacant Homes program<br />

and the Vacant Lot Development program<br />

face similar challenges. The incentives<br />

offered through the two programs are<br />

provided to offset costs of infill development<br />

or otherwise make the projects financially<br />

feasible. However, the payoff for developers<br />

from developing large subdivisions in the<br />

suburbs is more lucrative than infill<br />

development, according to respondents.<br />

Housing market strength also affects the<br />

value of the fee. In the early 1990s when<br />

the Sacramento housing market was not as<br />

strong, many properties were rehabilitated<br />

through the BVHP. Now that the market has<br />

strengthened, developers do not view the<br />

developer fee as much of an incentive as in<br />

years past. The city is working on an<br />

updated infill policy that would make urban<br />

infill development more financially feasible<br />

through discounting fees and streamlining<br />

design review and plan-check processes.<br />

Although the BVHP and the VLDP provide<br />

developer fees, an arsenal of tools for<br />

affordable development, which inherently<br />

requires subsidy layering, is necessary.<br />

Many nonprofit developers use tax<br />

increment financing, Low-Income Housing<br />

Tax Credit (LIHTC), and Community<br />

Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds for<br />

affordable housing development. Some<br />

affordable housing deals use mortgage<br />

revenue bonds and take advantage of fee<br />

waivers and deferral provided by the SHRA.<br />

Another challenge has come from residents<br />

who are opposed to additional affordable<br />

housing in their neighborhood. Some Oak<br />

Park residents feel the community already<br />

has a fair share of low-income housing and<br />

see a need for new market-rate units to<br />

attract higher-income residents into the<br />

neighborhood. Other respondents want the<br />

new affordable housing because they<br />

believe it will ultimately encourage the<br />

development of market rate-housing. Some<br />

respondents reported that NIMBY-ism is a<br />

major problem for affordable housing<br />

development in both high- and low-income<br />

neighborhoods. Various organizations in<br />

Sacramento are involved with community<br />

education and outreach to address the fears<br />

that affordable housing will have a negative<br />

impact on a community. The Sacramento<br />

Mutual Housing Alliance works with<br />

neighborhood organizations and provides<br />

affordable housing education and outreach<br />

before affordable housing development<br />

plans are even scheduled. SHRA staff has<br />

gone door-to-door to inform residents about<br />

the project taking place in their community.<br />

As a number of respondents pointed out,<br />

very low income households tend not to be<br />

served by the vacant property<br />

redevelopment programs. The newly<br />

constructed single-family homes would<br />

require deeper subsidies to reach very low<br />

income people. Some respondents also<br />

have concerns that the infill and<br />

homeownership programs, coupled with<br />

other revitalization forces in the Oak Park<br />

community, may fuel gentrification. These


28 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

respondents point to other neighborhoods in<br />

Sacramento to see the dwindling of<br />

economic diversity as a result of renovation<br />

projects.<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

Housing Trust Fund<br />

Enacted by the city council in 1989, the Housing Trust Fund is intended to ensure that nonresidential<br />

development assist with low-income housing needs connected with job growth. The Housing Trust Fund<br />

establishes a housing linkage fee per square foot of commercial development. The purpose of the funding<br />

is to support the development of housing for low-income workers that are employed in new retail or<br />

commercial developments.<br />

Sacramento was the first city in California to adopt a housing linkage fee for commercial development.<br />

The amount of the fee was based on a study that quantified the relationship between types of commercial<br />

development, low-wage jobs, low-income housing needs, and the subsidy cost of providing new<br />

affordable housing. Payment of the fee is required to receive a building permit. The fees are deposited<br />

into the citywide Housing Trust Fund and administered through the Sacramento Housing and<br />

Redevelopment Agency. The money can be used for gap financing for affordable housing development.<br />

Housing Trust Fund dollars are usually layered with other financial subsidies, such as state and federal<br />

tax credits, mortgage revenue bonds, state deferred loans, or rent subsidies.<br />

A total of $14,897,746 has been collected for the Trust Fund since 1989. Since that time, approximately<br />

$400,000 in Housing Trust Fund revenues has been used in Oak Park for the Boarded and Vacant Home<br />

program and another program called the Pre-Apprenticeship Construction Training Program.<br />

Homebuyer Programs<br />

The Sacramento Housing and Redevelopment Agency offers various homebuyer programs, two of which<br />

we highlight, the Target Area Homebuyer Program and the First-Time Homebuyer Program. The Target<br />

Area Homebuyer Program (TAHB) provides downpayment and closing cost assistance to low- and<br />

moderate-income homebuyers for home purchases within Oak Park and four other redevelopment areas.<br />

Eligible applicants must qualify for a loan to purchase the home, attend homebuyer-training classes, live<br />

in the home being purchased, and be low-to moderate-income. Eligible properties must be located with<br />

the program designation areas, meet minimum housing quality standards, and the sales price of the<br />

property cannot exceed the Affordable Housing Cost for the area.<br />

The First-Time Homebuyer Program (FTHP) offers downpayment and closing cost assistance to lowincome<br />

homebuyers on home purchases within the city and county of Sacramento. Eligible applicants<br />

must be first-time homebuyers, qualify for a loan to purchase the home, attend homebuyer training<br />

classes, live in the home being purchased, and be low-income. Eligible properties are single-family


Sacramento, CA 29<br />

homes located within the city or county of Sacramento and a few surrounding cities, and the appraised<br />

values cannot exceed the HUD 203b mortgage limit for the area. Program features include a deferred<br />

payment loan secured by a deed of trust and no interest charged on the loan.<br />

Prospective homebuyers can layer programs to purchase a home. In Oak Park, 107 homebuyers used<br />

some type of homebuyer assistance program to purchase a home, for a total of $395,089 in assistance.<br />

Within the entire city and county, 3,865 homebuyers used some type of homebuyer assistance program,<br />

for a total of $15,009,428 in assistance.<br />

Conclusion<br />

The increased investment and development<br />

in Oak Park is carried out in ways to<br />

balance The increased investment and<br />

development in Oak Park is carried out in<br />

ways to balance redevelopment efforts with<br />

nondisplacement strategies. The Boarded<br />

and Vacant Homes and the Vacant Lot<br />

Development programs combined with<br />

various homeownership programs through<br />

the SHRA provide homeownership<br />

opportunities for residents to move into the<br />

rehabilitated properties. Similar to efforts in<br />

St. Petersburg’s Bartlett Park, the<br />

combination of rehabilitating properties and<br />

providing affordable homeownership<br />

opportunities to residents will benefit current<br />

residents while supporting the area’s<br />

strengthening housing market.<br />

An important difference between the two<br />

neighborhoods is the opposition to<br />

increasing the affordable housing stock in<br />

Oak Park, leading to the need for greater<br />

community outreach. Oak Park practitioners<br />

learned the importance of involving the<br />

community in the planning and<br />

implementation of such strategies so that<br />

the community is aware of the potential<br />

benefits of redevelopment efforts. General<br />

misperceptions about affordable housing<br />

and NIMBYism within Oak Park and<br />

Sacramento have proven to be challenges<br />

to affordable housing development.


30 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Population<br />

Table 4: Sacramento, CA and Oak Park<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990 and 2000<br />

Year City total Oak Park<br />

Population 1990 358,800 37,000<br />

2000 395,800 39,500<br />

% change population 1990–2000 10.3 6.8<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 14.9 22.6<br />

2000 16.5 20.4<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 53.6 33.1<br />

2000 41.7 24.9<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 15.7 16.7<br />

2000 20.4 18.1<br />

% Hispanic 1990 15.7 27.6<br />

2000 21.4 36.6<br />

Income and poverty<br />

Average family income (in 1999<br />

dollars) 1990 54,900 32,600<br />

2000 54,500 34,100<br />

Poverty rate 1990 17.1 34.1<br />

Employment<br />

2000 19.8 33.9<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 7.6 12.7<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 7.8 14.1<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 140,600 12,300<br />

2000 150,500 12,300<br />

Total rental units 1990 73,400 7,500<br />

2000 79,700 7,600<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 6.5 8.3<br />

2000 5.6 6.5<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 51.2 44.0<br />

2000 50.0 41.9<br />

Average value owner-occupied<br />

housing units (in 2000 dollars) 1990 176,700 94,600<br />

2000 151,300 86,500<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of<br />

income on rent 1990 38.3 53.3<br />

2000 34.2 41.1


Sacramento, CA 31<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages<br />

originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 23.8 17.9<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 62.4 45.3<br />

% change in number of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a 162.1 153.1<br />

Dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated/housing unit a Avg. (95, 96) 2,916 1,330<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 8,053 3,468<br />

% change in dollar value of<br />

mortgages originated,<br />

1995/96–2000/2001 a 176.2 160.8<br />

Average value of mortgages<br />

originated (1–4-unit<br />

structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 122,400 74,500<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 129,000 76,600<br />

% change in average value of<br />

mortgages originated,<br />

1995/96–2000/2001 a 5.4 2.8<br />

Sources: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban Institute’s<br />

Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB) based on 1990 and 2000 U.S.<br />

Censuses.<br />

Note: Data for Oak Park are analyzed using census tracts 001800, 002700,<br />

002800,003700, 004401, 004402, 004601, and 004602.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the<br />

Urban Institute. Dollar amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


32 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Middle Stages of Neighborhood Revitalization/<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

The next two neighborhoods, Reynoldstown in Atlanta, GA, and Figueroa Corridor in Los<br />

Angeles, CA, have experienced increased gentrification pressures but still have considerable<br />

affordable housing stock and/or developable land. These neighborhoods are in the middle stage<br />

of gentrification. Increased land values make development more difficult, affecting the strategies<br />

selected and how they are implemented. Nonprofit organizations and city agencies active in<br />

these neighborhoods increasingly have turned to private partners, making it more challenging to<br />

manage the balance between meeting affordable housing needs and attracting private<br />

investors.


Atlanta, GA 33<br />

ATLANTA, GA<br />

REYNOLDSTOWN<br />

Key strategies: housing rehabilitation and affordable housing production<br />

Other strategies: IDA, community building<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

The city of Atlanta, Georgia, is relatively<br />

small in relation to its region—only 415,000<br />

people live in the city compared to the<br />

region’s population of 4.1 million (Census<br />

CD Neighborhood Change Database). The<br />

city’s population is significantly poorer than<br />

the region—Atlanta’s 2000 poverty rate is<br />

25 percent compared to the region’s 9<br />

percent. However, during the 1990s, Atlanta<br />

increased in population by 6 percent, and<br />

the housing market accelerated above the<br />

national average (see Table 5 at the end of<br />

the case study).<br />

Factors contributing to Atlanta’s increasing<br />

population and home values can be<br />

attributed to three interconnected factors:<br />

the hosting of the 1996 Olympics, the<br />

strengthening of community development<br />

corporations (CDCs), and public reactions<br />

against sprawl, traffic, and long commutes.<br />

The 1996 Olympics brought an influx of<br />

federal, state, and private funds into the city<br />

resulting in capital and streetscape<br />

improvements in select neighborhoods such<br />

as Summerhill, Mechanicsville, and<br />

Cabbagetown on the city’s eastern side.<br />

The games encouraged people to visualize<br />

improvements in other in-town<br />

neighborhoods surrounding the central<br />

business district, which suffered from<br />

decades of neglect. The Olympics also led<br />

to the displacement of many low-income<br />

residents to make room for the Olympic<br />

facilities.<br />

During approximately the same time period,<br />

national and local intermediary groups, such<br />

as the Enterprise Foundation and the<br />

Atlanta Neighborhood Development<br />

Partnership (ANDP), began building<br />

community development capacity in<br />

organizations located in these same in-town<br />

neighborhoods. This attention to<br />

community-based organizations and CDCs<br />

helped stabilize communities and attract<br />

private investment. It also ensured that<br />

long-term attention was paid to in-town<br />

neighborhoods after the Olympics were<br />

over.<br />

Sprawl and related commuter traffic and<br />

congestion also contributed to making<br />

Atlanta neighborhoods near the central<br />

business district attractive, as more people<br />

moved closer to their workplace. The region<br />

averages a 35-minute commute—second<br />

only to Los Angeles.<br />

Reynoldstown, the neighborhood for this<br />

case study, is located east of downtown,<br />

next door to the already gentrified<br />

neighborhood of Cabbagetown, and near<br />

some of the first neighborhoods to


34 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

experience housing market appreciation<br />

after the 1996 Olympics. Immediately to the<br />

north of Reynoldstown (across the railroad<br />

tracks) is the historically white, upper-class<br />

neighborhood of Inman Park, with its large<br />

single-family homes with sizeable yards.<br />

Reynoldstown was one of the first free<br />

African American neighborhoods in Atlanta,<br />

and it has been a black working-class<br />

neighborhood since World War II. It is a<br />

relatively small, residential community<br />

consisting of narrow, tree-lined streets. Little<br />

retail or commercial activity exists within the<br />

neighborhood, although small businesses<br />

such as auto repair shops and restaurants<br />

are located on the neighborhood’s<br />

boundaries. A steel plant sits in the middle<br />

of neighborhood and a former cotton mill<br />

(recently converted to lofts) is located just<br />

outside of the neighborhood. Historically,<br />

Reynoldstown residents worked at the steel<br />

and cotton plants.<br />

The neighborhood started to revitalize over<br />

the past decade. The local CDC,<br />

Reynoldstown Revitalization Corporation<br />

(RRC), worked with the police department<br />

to reduce petty crime, prostitution, and<br />

loitering. RRC’s sister civic organization,<br />

Reynoldstown Civic Improvement League<br />

(RCIL), initiated a neighborhood<br />

beautification campaign, cleaning the<br />

streets and planting trees. Long-term and<br />

absentee landlords have cleaned up their<br />

properties, and private investors developed<br />

interest in the neighborhood. Bike riders,<br />

dog walkers, and joggers can be found the<br />

neighborhood—positive signs that residents<br />

from the neighborhood and elsewhere feel<br />

comfortable doing recreational activities in<br />

Reynoldstown.<br />

With such improvements, new residents<br />

have begun to move in. Many of the new<br />

residents are childless couples or single<br />

residents, who represent a diversity of<br />

races, sexual orientations, and professions.<br />

These new residents tend to have higher<br />

incomes than the incumbent residents and<br />

pay more in rent. For instance, the<br />

neighborhood’s average income rose 21<br />

percent during the last decade (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database). The<br />

number of whites increased by over 200<br />

percent, pulling white resident’s proportion<br />

up to 12 percent in the neighborhood<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Reynoldstown’s housing market began<br />

accelerating three to four years ago.<br />

Housing consists primarily of single-story<br />

bungalows, many of which are for rent.<br />

Homeownership is historically low in<br />

Reynoldstown. However, within the last few<br />

years, RRC and private developers have<br />

built new single-family housing for sale<br />

similar in style to the original bungalow<br />

single-family stock but with additional floors.<br />

RRC also built a new multiunit rental<br />

apartment building, the first multiunit<br />

building in Reynoldstown.


Atlanta, GA 35<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Reynoldstown is in the early- to mid-stage<br />

of gentrification. <strong>Gentrification</strong> forces that<br />

previously affected the surrounding<br />

neighborhoods, the Historic District,<br />

Cabbagetown, and Kirkwood, have started<br />

affecting Reynoldstown. Housing and lot<br />

prices have appreciated during the past few<br />

years such that lots selling for $5,000 five<br />

years ago now sell for between $30,000 and<br />

$40,000. Also, five years ago single-family<br />

homes cost no more than $80,000, while<br />

now a rehabilitated house costs between<br />

$150,000 and $200,000.<br />

Census data show the average value of<br />

owner-occupied housing to have increased<br />

from $46,000 to $96,000, a 108 percent<br />

increase in a decade (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database). While<br />

there have been sharp increases in housing<br />

prices and turnover in properties, the<br />

majority of housing stock in Reynoldstown<br />

remains rental and affordable. It is not clear<br />

how much displacement has occurred due<br />

to the increased housing prices. It may have<br />

been minimal in the first few years because<br />

RRC built new units in vacant lots and<br />

targeted owner-occupied rehabilitation as<br />

their primary housing strategy.<br />

Instances of backlash against gentrification<br />

have occurred in some neighborhoods in<br />

Atlanta, particularly when new residents<br />

have been gay or lesbian. For instance, an<br />

African American clergyman spoke out<br />

against homosexuals moving into his<br />

parish’s neighborhood (Atlanta Journal and<br />

Constitution, Editorial, June 9, 2002).<br />

Separate from who is causing housing<br />

appreciation, there is also vocal concern for<br />

elderly homeowners on fixed incomes<br />

having to cope with appreciating property<br />

taxes. Proposals for tax abatement<br />

programs have stemmed from such<br />

discussions. Community support of<br />

gentrification has occurred as well. A former<br />

councilwoman, who represented<br />

Reynoldstown and other neighborhoods in<br />

east Atlanta, ran her reelection campaign on<br />

a strong anti-gentrification platform. She<br />

was voted out of office in favor of a new<br />

official, who takes a more moderate<br />

approach toward gentrification.<br />

Within Reynoldstown, there has been no<br />

public anti-gentrification, anti-white, or antigay<br />

or lesbian backlash, although<br />

gentrification has not progressed as far as it<br />

has in other neighborhoods. RRC’s strategy<br />

of serving incumbent residents first via<br />

owner-occupied rehabilitation programs<br />

may be a reason for the lack of opposition.<br />

(This strategy is discussed in greater detail<br />

below.)<br />

Key Strategies—Housing Rehabilitation<br />

and Affordable Housing Production<br />

Housing rehabilitation and production were<br />

first carried out in the neighborhood by the<br />

Reynoldstown Revitalization Corporation<br />

(RRC). RRC helps homeowners rehabilitate<br />

their homes, builds affordable single-family<br />

and multiunit rental housing projects, as well<br />

as offers an individual development account<br />

(IDA) program, works toward crime


36 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

reduction, and sponsors a yearly festival.<br />

The organization encourages incumbent<br />

residents to remain in their neighborhood<br />

and improve their properties, while<br />

simultaneously encouraging new residents<br />

to move in.<br />

RRC began its work in Reynoldstown by<br />

conducting a needs assessment survey in<br />

the early 1990s. Residents’ priorities<br />

included improving/repairing existing<br />

homes, increasing neighborhood safety,<br />

reducing abandoned property and lots, and<br />

building new housing. Based on this<br />

assessment, RRC worked in the early<br />

1990s to stabilize the existing housing stock<br />

through code compliance and rehabilitating<br />

owner-occupied housing. They successfully<br />

rehabilitated 300 units, which has been an<br />

important factor in stabilizing the<br />

community, bringing value to residents, and<br />

keeping residents connected to the<br />

community. According to respondents, this<br />

work was a comfort to long-term residents<br />

and helped RRC forge a partnership with<br />

the community. RRC made it clear that they<br />

were dedicated to the incumbent residents,<br />

and only later did they focus on developing<br />

new housing to attract new residents. RRC<br />

staff believe that working on existing<br />

community needs first helped reduce the<br />

negative effects of gentrification because<br />

new residents were not attracted to<br />

Reynoldstown until later.<br />

It was not until 1996 that RRC began<br />

building new homes. Often the newly<br />

constructed homes were on vacant lots,<br />

which RRC was able to purchase before the<br />

housing market appreciated. The<br />

community supported the development of<br />

these vacant lots, as they were recognized<br />

as a source of neighborhood blight.<br />

RRC’s success in developing affordable<br />

housing is reflected in the number of<br />

affordable homeownership and rental units<br />

they have built. Altogether they have built<br />

30 affordable rental units and built or<br />

rehabilitated 43 single-family homes, 35 of<br />

which are affordable. They are planning to<br />

build 80 affordable rental units in two<br />

projects, and an additional 35 affordable<br />

homeownership units—six single-family<br />

units, plus 12 town homes in one project<br />

and 17 town homes in another. Specific<br />

examples include 10 modular town homes<br />

where they used HOME financing to buy<br />

down the price, and they consolidated four<br />

rooming houses, which had been<br />

problematic in the community. In addition,<br />

they built Amberwood Village in 1994, a fully<br />

leased, 30-unit multifamily building financed<br />

by LIHTC and Section 8 that targets<br />

residents at 60 percent of the area median<br />

income (AMI).<br />

RRC was able to purchase vacant lots<br />

through a partnership with the Bank of<br />

America Community Development<br />

Corporation. The Bank of America CDC<br />

provided capital and startup financing<br />

enabling RRC to purchase vacant parcels<br />

before land prices became too high. RRC


Atlanta, GA 37<br />

spent two years assembling properties, and<br />

they worked with the state and county land<br />

bank to clear back taxes and liens on them.<br />

Currently, there are few parcels remaining—<br />

approximately six—and competition with<br />

private investors is fierce, driving up the<br />

cost of land.<br />

Because of the reduction in available land<br />

and increasing land prices, RRC has<br />

switched approaches—from building<br />

affordable housing on their own to building<br />

affordable housing with for-profit private<br />

developers. RRC’s impetus for partnering is<br />

their need for capacity, and private<br />

developers (or lending institutions) benefit<br />

by fulfilling community investment and basic<br />

philanthropic interests. RRC believes that<br />

their work in Reynoldstown has contributed<br />

to stabilizing the neighborhood’s rental and<br />

homeownership market—they have acted<br />

as the risk capital. Through partnership with<br />

RRC, developers learn the Reynoldstown<br />

housing market and can realize a profit.<br />

One for-profit partner is John Wieland<br />

Homes, a private development company<br />

known for its work in the Atlanta region.<br />

RRC and Wieland Homes have a joint<br />

venture partnership with a 50-50 split for a<br />

project to build homeownership and rental<br />

units on 3.7 acres of a subdivided property.<br />

On 1.25 acres will be 40 to 50 low-income<br />

rental units for seniors. In addition, they are<br />

renovating 22 existing flats and building 24<br />

new town homes, which will be two- and<br />

three-bedroom units. Approximately half of<br />

the new and rehabilitated town homes will<br />

be pegged as affordable, costing<br />

approximately $140,000, while the marketrate<br />

units will be priced between $180,000<br />

to $200,000.<br />

Financing is a key issue for RRC. According<br />

to respondents, RRC’s new affordable units<br />

tend to run between $135,000 and<br />

$180,000, which is the top of the IDA<br />

spectrum, compared to $270,000 for<br />

privately developed housing. One way RRC<br />

keeps the units affordable is by adjusting<br />

the unit size, building two floors instead of<br />

three, and reducing the number of<br />

bedrooms, while still including two<br />

bathrooms to ensure future marketability.<br />

RRC protects their subsidy through a<br />

“recapture clause,” which places a thirdposition<br />

lien on the property for the amount<br />

of the subsidy for 10 years. RRC decided<br />

against capping the resale value because<br />

they want to contribute to the buyer’s equity;<br />

however, the lien ensures that the CDC can<br />

recapture some of their investment should<br />

the buyers sell early. The recapture clause<br />

also acts as a disincentive for “flipping,” or<br />

buyers selling the property for a higher price<br />

soon after purchasing it.<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

The challenges facing RRC’s work are<br />

typical of any nonprofit developer. The<br />

market has made development difficult as<br />

demand has driven up the cost of land, and<br />

competition with private developers is fierce.<br />

For instance, respondents report that land<br />

prices increased from $1 a square foot in<br />

1998 to $6 a square foot in 2000. RRC must


38 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

rely on different types and multiple sources<br />

of financing, which results in more<br />

complicated and drawn-out deals—a<br />

disadvantage compared to private<br />

developers. They also rely on mixed-income<br />

housing to develop affordable units. The<br />

market-rate units help subsidize the<br />

affordable units. RRC’s partnerships with<br />

private developers has allowed them to<br />

provide affordable housing, especially in<br />

light of appreciated housing prices.<br />

Land acquisition is a large challenge for<br />

RRC, as prices have increased and<br />

availability decreased. A county-run land<br />

bank proved ineffective and hampered the<br />

potential for gaining parcels early on. Only<br />

RRC’s work with the Bank of America CDC<br />

assisted with acquiring vacant land. RRC<br />

approached funders in 1996 to create a land<br />

bank, but the funders questioned whether<br />

Reynoldstown would ever be a desirable<br />

locale. An effective land banking system<br />

would have allowed more affordable units to<br />

be built. Development and construction<br />

costs stay relatively consistent over time,<br />

even when gentrification occurs, while land<br />

costs more easily fluctuate and appreciate.<br />

By controlling land costs, CDCs can better<br />

provide affordable housing and reduce<br />

competition with private investors.<br />

RRC also recognizes the need to turn its<br />

attention back to rental housing. The market<br />

has driven the strategy of new construction<br />

and homeownership, but it is recognized<br />

that lower-income residents need more<br />

rental housing. The housing stock in<br />

Reynoldstown is typically single-family<br />

homes—the only multi-family rental unit<br />

available is a 30-unit apartment building<br />

RRC built in the mid-1990s. Consequently,<br />

they have another 30-unit apartment<br />

building in development funded with Low-<br />

Income Housing Tax Credits.<br />

RRC’s overall challenge is harnessing the<br />

forces of gentrification. In many ways, an<br />

appreciated housing market and new influx<br />

of residents have improved Reynoldstown.<br />

However, RRC needs to ensure that<br />

incumbent and new lower-income residents<br />

can live in the neighborhood as housing<br />

costs continue to increase.<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

IDA Program<br />

RRC’s IDA program began in 1998 and is funded by the United Way. The program enables participants to<br />

build wealth and serves as a community building tool. Participants can use their savings toward<br />

homeownership in Reynoldstown or in any of the other 10 approved neighborhoods. Participants receive<br />

$4,800 to match their required $1,200 in savings after successfully completing RRC’s education,<br />

homeownership, and budget counseling. The subsidy can be used for downpayment or closing costs.<br />

(The subsidy is slightly lower if participants use it outside of the approved neighborhoods but in the same


Atlanta, GA 39<br />

county.) Since the program began, 21 Reynoldstown residents have participated, eight of whom have<br />

purchased homes with IDA funds. Seven of the eight purchases were in Reynoldstown.<br />

Community Building<br />

In conjunction with their mission, RRC works with RCIL to improve the quality of life in Reynoldstown.<br />

RRC worked with the police department asking them to target nuisance and quality-of-life crimes that<br />

negatively affect the community, such as loitering, prostitution, and drug dealing. RRC and RCIL have<br />

worked to beautify the neighborhood through neighborhood cleanups and tree planting campaigns. Since<br />

1996 RRC has organized a yearly neighborhood festival, the Wheelbarrow Summer Theater, which<br />

attracts visitors from all over the city. The festival is designed to celebrate Reynoldstown by providing the<br />

community with quality entertainment and promoting local talent. The festival acts as a community<br />

outreach mechanism and a way to positively promote Reynoldstown.<br />

Task Forces<br />

Additionally, Atlanta convened two task forces on affordable housing showing the city’s interest in tackling<br />

the issue. The Atlanta city council convened the <strong>Gentrification</strong> Task Force in September 2001, with<br />

members from city agencies, area universities, and including involved residents. This first task force<br />

focused on the plight of the lowest income households in Atlanta. City Council passed 4 of the 40<br />

recommendations to assist in the development of affordable housing and to ensure that very low and<br />

extremely low income families were targeted for subsidies. One of these recommendations defined<br />

“affordability” as targeting only those making less than 50 percent of AMI, and the second required twothirds<br />

of all public subsidies (i.e., CDBG and HOME) to target “extremely low income” families or those<br />

making less than 30 percent of AMI. These stringent definitions were not well received by developers,<br />

both private and not-for-profit, who believed the strict definitions would eliminate profitability and restrict<br />

them from providing affordable housing at all. Currently it is unclear whether the legislation passed from<br />

the task force’s recommendations will be applied.<br />

Atlanta’s current mayor, Shirley Franklin, convened the Affordable Housing Task Force in 2002. This task<br />

force focused on “workforce housing”—housing for the middle class such as teachers, police officers, and<br />

firefighters—and championed mixed-income neighborhoods. Eleven members selected by the mayor sat<br />

on this task force, consisting of private and nonprofit developers, city officials from the housing<br />

department, representatives of intermediary groups, and the banking community. Among the<br />

recommendations of this task force are calls to improve the city’s building permit process, implement<br />

inclusionary zoning ordinances, create a more effective land bank authority, freeze property taxes for over<br />

65-year-old homeowners, and streamline Empowerment Zone and CDBG financing. In addition, the task<br />

force recommended targeting affordable housing to families making between 50 and 80 percent of AMI.


40 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Conclusion<br />

The majority of housing stock in<br />

Reynoldstown continues to be rental and<br />

affordable, though there have been sharp<br />

increases in housing prices and property<br />

turnovers. As Reynoldstown moves into a<br />

middle stage of gentrification, there could be<br />

adequate time to implement policies and<br />

processes to hedge future displacement of<br />

current residents. However, this goal has its<br />

challenges. To encourage additional<br />

investment without displacing residents<br />

requires carefully balancing efforts to attract<br />

private developers without losing focus on<br />

the housing needs of current and future<br />

lower-income residents. Respondents from<br />

different sectors reported that improving the<br />

city’s permitting process and implementing<br />

an effective land banking system would<br />

greatly improve community development<br />

corporations’ and other nonprofits’ ability to<br />

develop more affordable housing. Managing<br />

the influx of higher-income residents by<br />

offering rental housing for lower-income<br />

households, as well as subsidized<br />

homeownership options, will help lowerincome<br />

residents share in the neighborhood<br />

improvements. If development efforts are<br />

carried out in a way that reverses years of<br />

decline in Reynoldstown and creates new<br />

opportunities for lower-income residents,<br />

incumbent residents are less likely to be<br />

displaced as housing prices continue to<br />

increase.<br />

Involving the community is another crucial<br />

lesson learned in Reynoldstown. The role of<br />

RRC is not only affordable housing<br />

development and retention but community<br />

building as well. By focusing on the<br />

community—focusing on their needs and<br />

developing leadership among the incumbent<br />

residents to advocate for their own needs—<br />

RRC has been able build community<br />

support for its efforts and seemingly<br />

minimize displacement. Involving the<br />

community has also proved fruitful in<br />

involving residents in RRC programs. For<br />

instance, RRC reached out to renters from<br />

Amberwood (their low-income multiunit<br />

rental building) to participate in the IDA<br />

program. Approximately five previous<br />

Amberwood residents have purchased<br />

homes through the IDA program.


Atlanta, GA 41<br />

Population<br />

Table 5: Atlanta, GA and Reynoldstown<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990 and 2000<br />

Year City total Reynoldstown<br />

Population 1990 390,000 1,700<br />

2000 415,100 1,600<br />

% change population 1990–2000 6.4 -5.8<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 66.5 95.5<br />

2000 61.4 83.1<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 30.5 3.3<br />

2000 31.6 11.5<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 1.0 0.5<br />

2000 2.4 1.6<br />

% Hispanic 1990 1.9 0.7<br />

Income and poverty<br />

2000 4.5 3.8<br />

Average family income (in 1999 dollars) 1990 59,600 32,800<br />

2000 73,300 39,800<br />

Poverty rate 1990 27.3 26.4<br />

Employment<br />

2000 24.5 20.0<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 9.1 12.9<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 14.0 7.2<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 154,600 600<br />

2000 167,900 700<br />

Total rental units 1990 104,200 500<br />

2000 103,000 400<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 15.1 14.3<br />

2000 7.4 7.9<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 42.8 36.6<br />

2000 43.2 42.3<br />

Average value owner-occupied housing<br />

units (in 2000 dollars) 1990 165,500 46,200<br />

2000 240,900 96,000<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of income on<br />

rent 1990 34.9 39.2<br />

2000 32.3 26.2


42 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages<br />

originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 26.3 18.0<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 48.8 51.1<br />

% change in number of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 85.5 183.9<br />

Dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated/housing unit a Avg. (95, 96) 4,211 1,325<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 8,882 5,957<br />

% change in dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 111 350<br />

Average value of mortgages originated<br />

(1–4-unit structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 160,100 73,400<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 182,100 116,500<br />

% change in average value of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96-2000/2001 a 13.7 58.7<br />

Source: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban Institute’s Neighborhood<br />

Change Database (NCDB), based on 1990 and 2000 U.S. Censuses.<br />

Note: Reynoldstown consists of one entire census tract (131210031), and three partial census<br />

tracts (131210032, 131210050, and 131210052). The census and HMDA data shown above<br />

come exclusively from the one complete census tract, 131210031.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the Urban Institute. Dollar<br />

amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


Los Angeles, CA 43<br />

LOS ANGELES, CA<br />

FIGUEROA CORRIDOR<br />

Key strategy: Housing Trust Fund<br />

Other strategies: code enforcement, rent stabilization, land trust<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

Los Angeles grew in population by<br />

approximately 6 percent between 1990 and<br />

2000, reaching 3.7 million (see Table 6 at<br />

the end of the case study). During the same<br />

time period, the Latino population grew by<br />

one-quarter, accounting for approximately<br />

half of the total population by 2000 (Census<br />

CD Neighborhood Change Database). The<br />

housing market accelerated in the late<br />

1990s. Home purchases increased by 50<br />

percent, roughly 30 percentage points<br />

higher than the national average, and<br />

mortgage amounts increased by 15 percent.<br />

More than half of Los Angeles residents<br />

rent, and rental housing became scarce as<br />

the rental vacancy rate decreased from 7 to<br />

4 percent (Census CD Neighborhood<br />

Change Database). People talk of the city’s<br />

affordable housing crisis.<br />

The escalation of housing prices in Los<br />

Angeles can be attributed to steady<br />

population growth and the reduction in the<br />

supply of land. In years past, Los Angeles<br />

built new housing to meet the increasing<br />

housing needs of the growing population.<br />

Currently, construction has practically<br />

stopped altogether, even though the<br />

population continues to grow, because of<br />

high construction costs, especially for infill<br />

development, lack of vacant land, and<br />

building codes that prevent mixed-use<br />

development. By the late 1990s, property<br />

values increased to the point where working<br />

families in the city were paying a higher<br />

proportion of their income on rent than in<br />

any other jurisdiction in California<br />

(Recommendations of the Housing Crisis<br />

Task Force 2000). According to<br />

respondents, neighboring cities and<br />

counties have developed little affordable<br />

housing due to their policies of exclusionary<br />

zoning and covenants. This, in turn, placed<br />

additional pressure on Los Angeles to<br />

provide affordable housing in an already<br />

tight market.<br />

The Figueroa Corridor is a predominantly<br />

Latino community located downtown,<br />

southwest of the central business district.<br />

The neighborhood encompasses 40 blocks,<br />

bounded to the south by the University of<br />

Southern California (USC) and to the north<br />

by the Staples Center, home to the LA<br />

Lakers basketball team and Kings hockey<br />

team. The Figueroa community is an older<br />

residential part of the city with some<br />

commercial properties. The housing stock<br />

includes multifamily developments and<br />

single-family homes, including some<br />

Victorian homes. Part of the Figueroa<br />

Corridor is located in the West Adams<br />

section of Los Angeles. West Adams was<br />

one of the most fashionable areas in the city


44 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

at the turn of the 20th century until it was<br />

overshadowed by the development of<br />

Beverly Hills in 1917. Well-known architects<br />

constructed large mansions in West Adams,<br />

many of which remain today but are in poor<br />

condition. Some of the multifamily<br />

residences in Figueroa Corridor are<br />

severely overcrowded and in need of major<br />

rehabilitation. The Figueroa community was<br />

designated a redevelopment area by the<br />

Community Redevelopment Agency, but the<br />

designation has since expired.<br />

Figueroa Corridor has a large low-income<br />

population—the poverty rate for the<br />

neighborhood was 43 percent in 2000,<br />

almost double the city’s rate (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database). Many<br />

low-income residents are immigrants who<br />

work in garment factories and service jobs.<br />

Large concentrations of homeless can be<br />

found in Figueroa Corridor—the single-room<br />

occupancy hotels in the neighborhood<br />

provide temporary housing.<br />

During the 1990s, Figueroa Corridor<br />

experienced an influx of wealthier residents.<br />

The neighborhood’s population increased 7<br />

percent, slightly more than the citywide<br />

average, driven by new white residents.<br />

Greater numbers of Latinos moved out. The<br />

average household income increased by 23<br />

percent, and within two census tracts,<br />

average incomes increased by almost half<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database). Adding to a tight housing<br />

market, rental vacancy rates decreased<br />

from 11 to 4 percent in Figueroa Corridor<br />

overall.<br />

The housing market in the Figueroa<br />

Corridor has been affected in part by the<br />

area’s major institutions and amenities.<br />

USC students who want to live closer to<br />

campus are moving into the area. In<br />

response, landlords are evicting lowerincome<br />

residents to make room for students<br />

who pay higher rents. For instance, garment<br />

industry workers who live in the community<br />

have experienced rent increases and have<br />

noticed the marketing of low-income<br />

housing to students. Respondents noted<br />

that university alumni buy older buildings in<br />

the Figueroa neighborhood and rent them to<br />

students at higher rates.<br />

The Staples Center and its planned<br />

expansion has affected the housing market<br />

as well. Developers are converting<br />

commercial properties around Staples<br />

Center into lofts to attract people downtown.<br />

Consequently, single-room occupancy<br />

hotels are losing properties, as new lofts are<br />

being developed.<br />

In recent years, “urban pioneers” have<br />

moved into the Figueroa Corridor and<br />

surrounding areas to restore older buildings<br />

and revitalize the community. There is some<br />

tension between the historic preservation<br />

efforts by the West Adams Heritage<br />

Association and affordable housing efforts<br />

in the Figueroa Corridor. According to<br />

respondents, the West Adams Heritage


Los Angeles, CA 45<br />

Foundation was successful in removing the<br />

Community Redevelopment Agency from<br />

the area in order to receive a Historic<br />

Preservation Overlay Zone. Maintenance of<br />

historic properties tends to be more<br />

expensive, making it difficult to keep<br />

housing affordable for current residents.<br />

While some respondents noted the<br />

importance of historic preservation, they<br />

also noted the pressing need to ensure a<br />

safe and affordable living environment for<br />

current residents.<br />

The area has a strong affordable housing<br />

advocacy base, consisting of various<br />

community groups. When developers were<br />

initially planning the expansion of the<br />

Staples Center, they did not include local<br />

residents in the planning process. In<br />

response, Strategic Actions for a Just<br />

Economy (SAJE) brought together 30<br />

community, labor, and religious<br />

organizations and founded the Figueroa<br />

Corridor Coalition for Economic Justice<br />

(FCCEJ) to provide a community-based<br />

perspective to development plans.<br />

In May 2001, FCCEJ negotiated an historic<br />

Community Benefits Agreement with the LA<br />

Arena Land Company, owned by billionaires<br />

Rupert Murdoch and Phillip Anschutz.<br />

According to the agreement, the Land<br />

Company must make significant<br />

improvements to the area surrounding the<br />

Staples Center in order for the expansion to<br />

move forward. The agreement requires the<br />

developers to include living wage and union<br />

jobs, affordable housing, local hiring, and<br />

parks to the Center’s four million square foot<br />

addition (Esperanza 2003). The progressive<br />

Community Benefits Agreement provides a<br />

model for ensuring low-income residents<br />

are considered when major developments<br />

are built in their communities.<br />

The Esperanza Community Housing<br />

Corporation (ECHC) is another organization<br />

that has made a significant impact on<br />

affordable housing in the Figueroa Corridor.<br />

ECHC has taken a leadership role in<br />

pushing forward the dialogue and initiatives<br />

necessary to address the affordable<br />

housing crisis in Los Angeles. ECHC played<br />

an important part in the establishment of the<br />

Housing Trust Fund. The organization also<br />

provides information on legal rights to<br />

tenants living in dilapidated housing.<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

The Figueroa Corridor is in the middle to<br />

late stage of gentrification. According to<br />

respondents, rent prices are increasing at a<br />

faster rate in the Figueroa Corridor than in<br />

the city of Los Angeles. The changes<br />

occurring in the Figueroa Corridor can be<br />

attributed to its proximity to USC, the<br />

Staples Center, and the historic<br />

preservation efforts. As an example of the<br />

immense pressure on the local real estate<br />

market in the neighborhood, the Esperanza<br />

Community Housing Corporation (ECHC)<br />

was approached with high, all-cash offers<br />

for three of its properties. Around the same<br />

time, tenant organizers at SAJE were<br />

inundated with calls from tenants claiming<br />

their landlords were attempting illegal<br />

evictions, harassment, and discrimination in


46 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

order to evade the rent stabilization<br />

ordinance and replace working-class<br />

residents with higher-income renters. In<br />

response to the displacement efforts, SAJE<br />

organized tenant unions and trained<br />

residents on their legal rights. SAJE hired a<br />

tenants’ rights lawyer, held weekly legal<br />

clinics, and worked with a network of pro<br />

bono lawyers to slow the displacement<br />

process.<br />

Key Strategy—Housing Trust Fund<br />

The Housing Trust Fund, established in the<br />

2000–2001 budget by the Los Angeles City<br />

Council, provides money for a variety of<br />

affordable housing development and<br />

preservation needs using loans or grants for<br />

predevelopment, acquisition, development,<br />

new construction, rehabilitation, or<br />

restoration of rental or ownership housing.<br />

The trust fund allocates city funds to be<br />

leveraged with other state and federal funds<br />

to address affordable housing needs. The<br />

priority of the trust fund is to expand and<br />

preserve the number of rental units for<br />

households with combined incomes less<br />

than 60 percent of the area median income.<br />

The history of the trust fund begins with<br />

nonprofit attention. In 1998, the Southern<br />

California Association of Nonprofit Housing<br />

(SCANPH) organized a two-year campaign<br />

to establish a housing trust fund targeted<br />

solely toward affordable housing. This<br />

campaign was fueled by instances of<br />

affordable housing funding being<br />

reallocated for economic development. The<br />

campaign included a broad coalition of<br />

community organizations, housing<br />

advocates, and the business community,<br />

which marks a shift from the business<br />

community’s previous lack of involvement in<br />

housing issues. In 1999, the City Council<br />

convened the Housing Crisis Task Force to<br />

make recommendations on legislative and<br />

program reforms to address the affordable<br />

housing needs. The first recommendation<br />

listed in the 2000 report was the<br />

establishment of a housing trust fund.<br />

In 2000, the Housing Trust Fund was<br />

established with seed funding of $5 million.<br />

In the following fiscal year, $10.5 million<br />

was appropriated to the fund. In January<br />

2002 the mayor released a proposal for<br />

permanent funding sources, separate from<br />

the City Council proposal. The funding<br />

option produced through the mayor’s office<br />

was eventually approved. In the 2002–03<br />

budget, Mayor Hahn and the City Council<br />

provided $42 million for the trust fund as the<br />

first installment of a three-year, $100 million<br />

commitment, which is the largest<br />

commitment to a Housing Trust Fund for<br />

any city in the United States. Resources for<br />

the 2002–2003 allocation of $42 million<br />

comes from the city’s general fund, the<br />

Community Development Block Grant<br />

(CDBG), the Community Redevelopment<br />

Agency, the Department of Water and<br />

Power’s public benefits fund, and bond<br />

savings.


Los Angeles, CA 47<br />

In May 2002, Mayor Hahn appointed a<br />

Housing Trust Fund Advisory Committee<br />

composed of nonprofit and for-profit<br />

developers, community and business<br />

leaders, housing advocates, and land use<br />

experts to recommend guidelines to govern<br />

trust fund allocations and administration. In<br />

2003, the City Council approved the<br />

following percentages for expenditures of<br />

the Housing Trust until further guidelines<br />

are established: 60 percent for multifamily<br />

rental projects serving households at or<br />

below 60 percent of the area median<br />

income (AMI); 20 percent for projects that<br />

create homeownership opportunities for<br />

households at or below 120 percent of AMI;<br />

5 percent for emergency rental assistance;<br />

10 percent to remain flexible with the priority<br />

going toward preservation of housing that is<br />

at risk of converting to market rate; and 5<br />

percent for administrative costs.<br />

The Los Angeles Housing Department<br />

(LAHD) administers the Housing Trust<br />

Fund. The LAHD issues a Notice of<br />

Financial Award (NOFA) to announce the<br />

availability of funding. Developers may then<br />

apply for the money from the trust fund by<br />

completing the appropriate application along<br />

with other subsidy applications. Developers<br />

who apply for trust fund money must<br />

leverage the funds with other state, federal,<br />

or private market capital. Leveraged funding<br />

has come from federal programs such as<br />

Low Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC),<br />

HOME, Community Development Block<br />

Grants (CDBG), and state bond financing.<br />

Even while relatively new, the Housing Trust<br />

Fund has successfully contributed to the<br />

construction of new housing. The beginning<br />

net balance for 2002–2003 was $39.7<br />

million and the beginning net balance for<br />

2003–2004 was $57 million. Ten projects<br />

have received financial commitments<br />

totaling $15.2m for the development of 527<br />

units, of which 518 are earmarked for<br />

households earning below 60 percent of<br />

AMI. Two Housing Trust Fund projects are<br />

located near the Figueroa Corridor as<br />

defined in this study: Broadway II, located<br />

just south of Figueroa Corridor, and Mt.<br />

Zion, which is located slightly south and<br />

east of the Corridor.<br />

The Housing Trust Fund has also been<br />

successful in helping to establish affordable<br />

housing as a priority in the city. Inclusionary<br />

zoning and mixed-use development are now<br />

on the political agenda. According to some<br />

advocates, if made economically viable,<br />

inclusionary zoning offers the greatest<br />

potential for involving the private sector in<br />

affordable housing. SCANPH helped run a<br />

campaign for inclusionary zoning that<br />

advocated bonuses and other incentives<br />

provided to developers to offset their<br />

development costs. Many of the advocates<br />

for inclusionary zoning also worked on the<br />

Housing Trust Fund.<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

Respondents identified a couple of<br />

challenges to implementation, especially<br />

financing difficulties and land availability.<br />

The rising cost of affordable housing


48 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

construction and the difficulty in subsidy<br />

layering are factors inhibiting the<br />

effectiveness of the Housing Trust Fund.<br />

Money from LIHTC, HOME, CDBG, the<br />

CRA, state bond financing, and foundations<br />

contribute to the construction of affordable<br />

housing, but in certain instances, layering of<br />

these funds does not provide the gap<br />

financing needed for a project, even with<br />

trust fund dollars. Also, practitioners caution<br />

to ensure that other subsidies come through<br />

before allocating trust fund dollars. Some<br />

affordable housing developers hire a project<br />

manager or outside consultant to package<br />

the subsidy layers because working with the<br />

subsidies can be time-consuming and<br />

difficult. In addition, the cost of land is rising<br />

as the availability of inexpensive land<br />

quickly dwindles.<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

Code Enforcement<br />

In 1998, the city council approved the Systematic Housing Code Enforcement Program (SCEP),<br />

to inspect all residential rental properties with two or more dwellings every three years to<br />

determine housing code compliance. SCEP assigns a certificate of compliance if no deficiencies<br />

are found, and citations when a building is not in compliance. If deficiencies are found, a<br />

reinspection will take place, and if necessary, a General Manager’s Hearing will take place to<br />

deal with any continuing code compliance problems. If citations are not resolved, the LAHD has<br />

programs that address properties that are out of compliance: the Rent Escrow Account Program<br />

(REAP) allows tenants to pay their rent into a city-administered escrow account until the<br />

citations are resolved, and the Rent Reduction Program (RRP) reduces tenants’ rent based on<br />

the LAHD’s evaluation of the value of the missing service. SCEP also enables the housing<br />

department to identify areas of the city with older housing stock, and to direct developers to do<br />

rehabilitation in those neighborhoods. Esperanza Community Housing Corporation, legal aid<br />

groups, ACORN, and tenant advocates played an integral role in the adoption of SCEP.<br />

Rent Stabilization<br />

The Rent Stabilization Ordinance (RSO) was passed in 1978 to protect renters from sharp rent<br />

increases, while permitting landlords to receive a reasonable return on their investments. Most<br />

housing stock built before October 1978 is covered by RSO as long as a tenant has resided in it<br />

for 60 or more consecutive days. The annual permitted rent increase for units under the RSO is<br />

tied to the Consumer Price Index and is calculated each year. Workshops are available in some


Los Angeles, CA 49<br />

communities to inform tenants under the RSO about their rights as renters. The RSO is<br />

administered through the housing department.<br />

According to respondents, the RSO has played an integral role in maintaining units’ affordability<br />

in Los Angeles. However, the number of units under the RSO is decreasing due to the qualifying<br />

date of the program and turnover rate of the units. As a result, the preservation effects of the<br />

RSO are becoming diluted. In addition, respondents stated the average rents under rent<br />

stabilization do not tend to be much lower than market-rate rents.<br />

Land Trust<br />

Although the city offers programs such as the Housing Trust Fund for affordable housing<br />

development and preservation, community organizations are stepping in to take a more<br />

aggressive approach to affordable housing development and preservation in their communities.<br />

For example, the Esperanza Community Housing Corporation (ECHC) and Strategic Actions for<br />

a Just Economy (SAJE) are working to establish a land trust. Community leaders from the<br />

Figueroa Corridor visited cities across the country to explore longer-term solutions to slowing<br />

resident displacement. The idea for a land trust resulted from these visits. The goals of the land<br />

trust are to help stabilize the community by bringing existing housing under community<br />

ownership, help improve the quality of life of neighborhood residents, and create a variety of<br />

ownership opportunities, ranging from single-family ownership, limited-equity cooperatives, and<br />

condominiums, by regulating land costs over time.<br />

Conclusion<br />

The Housing Trust Fund has contributed to<br />

the construction of new affordable housing.<br />

Other strategies are needed, however, to<br />

provide additional affordable housing. The<br />

price of constructing new housing—<br />

particularly infill housing—is steadily<br />

increasing, which is motivating housing<br />

practitioners to consider other strategies<br />

involving private developers, such as<br />

inclusionary zoning. The city plays an<br />

important role in creating an environment<br />

that can help attract private developers.<br />

While the Housing Trust Fund is only one of<br />

a number of strategies, it has helped put<br />

affordable housing on the political agenda,<br />

which in itself is a success.<br />

Community groups within the Figueroa<br />

Corridor have played a crucial role in<br />

preserving and producing affordable<br />

housing within the community. Practitioners<br />

learned the importance of involving many<br />

stakeholders in the process of formulating<br />

the details of the trust fund. Hosting public<br />

hearings and workshops enabled the<br />

community to become involved creating<br />

support for the strategy. However, it is<br />

important to note that the community was<br />

torn between the pull for historic preservation<br />

and the need for affordable housing.


50 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Population<br />

Table 6: Los Angeles, CA and Figueroa Corridor<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990 and 2000<br />

Year<br />

City total<br />

Figueroa<br />

Corridor<br />

Population 1990 3,480,400 16,600<br />

2000 3,697,300 16,500<br />

% change population 1990–2000 6.2 -0.6<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 13.2 5.7<br />

2000 11.4 5.7<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 37.5 19.5<br />

2000 30.8 20.1<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 10.0 4.7<br />

2000 11.3 9.7<br />

% Hispanic 1990 39.3 70.1<br />

Income and poverty<br />

2000 46.5 64.5<br />

Average family income (in 1999 dollars) 1990 68,300 27,200<br />

2000 64,200 30,005<br />

Poverty rate 1990 18.9 44.3<br />

Employment<br />

2000 22.1 42.7<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 8.4 9.2<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 9.3 12.2<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 1,216,100 4,100<br />

2000 1,276,400 4,000<br />

Total rental units 1990 790,900 4,400<br />

2000 815,000 4,000<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 6.8 10.4<br />

2000 3.8 6.2<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 39.4 5.9<br />

2000 38.6 7.0<br />

Average value owner-occupied housing<br />

units (in 2000 dollars) 1990 380,400 206,700<br />

2000 316,100 167,400<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of income on<br />

rent 1990 39.4 45.5<br />

2000 37.0 37.0


Los Angeles, CA 51<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages<br />

originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 20.1 4.2<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 32.2 6.7<br />

% change in number of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 60.2 59.5<br />

Dollar value of mortgages originated/<br />

housing unit a Avg. (95, 96) 4,214 679<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 7,160 1,071<br />

% change in dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 69.9 57.7<br />

Average value of mortgages originated<br />

(1–4-unit structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 209,300 160,700<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 222,400 160,100<br />

% change in average value of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 6.3 -0.4<br />

Source: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban<br />

Institute’s Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB) based on 1990 and<br />

2000 U.S. Censuses.<br />

Note: Data for Figueroa Corridor are analyzed using census tracts 23110,<br />

221900, 224020, 224420, 224600, and 224700.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the Urban Institute. Dollar<br />

amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


52 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Late Stages of Neighborhood <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

In previously disinvested neighborhoods that now have a strong private housing market,<br />

housing practitioners face constrained options for addressing affordable housing needs.<br />

Organizations working to produce or preserve housing for lower-income households must act in<br />

an environment with limited access to land and high housing costs. Central Area in Seattle, WA,<br />

and Uptown in Chicago, IL, are examples of such neighborhoods.


Seattle, WA 53<br />

SEATTLE, WA<br />

CENTRAL AREA<br />

Key strategies: infill development and housing levy<br />

Other strategies: home repair, review of development regulations, employment<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

Seattle, Washington, located in the Pacific<br />

Northwest on Puget Sound, is perhaps best<br />

known as home to a number of major<br />

companies, including Boeing, Microsoft, and<br />

Amazon.com, as well as Starbucks. The city<br />

takes pride in being recognized as one of<br />

the best places to live and to locate a<br />

business. Between 1990 and 2000, Seattle<br />

grew by 9 percent to reach a population of<br />

563,374 (see Table 7 at the end of the case<br />

study). Whites make up more than twothirds<br />

of the population and Asians are the<br />

second largest demographic group, at<br />

approximately 13 percent (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database).<br />

Even though Seattle has been hit hard by<br />

the dot-com bust and layoffs at Boeing, the<br />

housing market has remained strong with<br />

home sales indicators above national<br />

averages. Home purchases increased by 39<br />

percent between 1996 and 2001, compared<br />

to a 29 percent national increase. The<br />

percent increase in median mortgage<br />

amount during the same time period was 33<br />

percent, compared to a 14 percent average<br />

increase nationwide (HMDA). Vacancy rates<br />

remained very low in Seattle for both<br />

homeowners and renters.<br />

Housing costs have increased tremendously<br />

across Seattle; respondents described<br />

prices as “skyrocketing” since the late<br />

1990s. One reason cited for the increases<br />

was the growth in management regulations<br />

limiting suburban growth. The regulations<br />

are believed to direct development back into<br />

the city. With the city mostly built out, land<br />

and housing prices have risen.<br />

Central Area, also referred to as Central<br />

District, is located about one mile east of<br />

downtown. Central Area has four sections,<br />

though it is considered one neighborhood.<br />

For this case study, we focus on the 23rd<br />

and Jackson section.<br />

Central Area is credited as being the first<br />

residential area in Seattle. Since it was<br />

developed in the mid-19th century, the<br />

neighborhood has been home to a number<br />

of white and Asian immigrants, and Jews.<br />

After the Second World War, African<br />

Americans who moved to Seattle for<br />

employment opportunities settled in Central<br />

Area, one of the few neighborhoods in<br />

which they were then allowed to purchase a<br />

home. Subsequent white flight led to<br />

increased racial segregation. A number of<br />

subsidized housing projects were built in the<br />

neighborhood beginning in the 1960s, which<br />

by 1990 constituted 25 percent of the<br />

neighborhood’s housing stock. In the mid-


54 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

1960s, the neighborhood was affected by<br />

urban renewal as many properties were torn<br />

down and lots left vacant. The commercial<br />

hub at 23rd and Jackson streets lost nearly<br />

all of its businesses in the 1960s (Carter<br />

1997). People who were able to move from<br />

Central Area did so in order to leave what<br />

was a growing problem of crime and drugs.<br />

Central Area was designated a Special<br />

Objective Area (SOA) in the late 1980s. The<br />

designation meant that without community<br />

approval, no additional subsidized housing<br />

could be built in the neighborhood with city<br />

funds. When Seattle was recognized as the<br />

most livable city in the early 1990s, Central<br />

Area residents raised the issues of high<br />

crime and poverty by organizing a large<br />

march downtown to the Chamber of<br />

Commerce. Participants asked the business<br />

community to become involved in efforts to<br />

revitalize Central Area and nearby Rainier<br />

Valley.<br />

In 1994, the Central Area Development<br />

Association (CADA), a community-based<br />

development organization, was founded to<br />

help spark neighborhood revitalization. As<br />

change began to occur in Central Area,<br />

higher-income white households started<br />

moving to the neighborhood, in part<br />

because of the attraction of living in a<br />

diverse area. Major chains, including<br />

Starbucks and Walgreens, also began<br />

investing in the community, which further<br />

supported housing price increases.<br />

Respondents commented that today, people<br />

who left the area before it started to<br />

revitalize no longer can afford to return.<br />

There has been considerable change in<br />

Central Area’s demographics between 1990<br />

and 2000. 1 The population increased 10<br />

percent to 22,000 residents. Whites and<br />

Latinos fueled the increase, while the<br />

African American population decreased<br />

from more than half of the neighborhood’s<br />

population to slightly more than one-third<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Housing and income data also point to<br />

change in Central Area. The average home<br />

value increased by 81 percent (from<br />

$153,000 to $277,000), much higher than<br />

the still-notable increase of 43 percent<br />

citywide. In addition to large increases in<br />

average house price, the change in average<br />

household income also was significant.<br />

Average income increased by 48 percent in<br />

Central Area compared to a 26 percent<br />

increase citywide (Census CD<br />

Neighborhood Change Database).<br />

Changes occurring in Central Area are<br />

attributed to its proximity to downtown and<br />

to public transportation. As the downtown<br />

area revitalized in the late 1980s to mid-<br />

1990s, interest in living near downtown<br />

increased. The neighborhood is also close<br />

to a freeway, parks, and universities.<br />

Another factor affecting the housing market<br />

is that houses are more affordable relative<br />

to other neighborhoods. According to


Seattle, WA 55<br />

CADA, 10 years ago housing prices were<br />

low in Central Area and as elderly<br />

homeowners either moved from the area or<br />

passed away, their houses were renovated<br />

and rented or sold for a higher price.<br />

Respondents also credited CADA for much<br />

of the change, especially in the business<br />

sector. Once major chains moved into the<br />

shopping center at 23rd and Jackson,<br />

changes began occurring more rapidly.<br />

Residents in Central Area have not been<br />

highly organized to work on affordable<br />

housing and other issues, though local<br />

leadership is strengthening. Residents did<br />

have input into the Neighborhood Action<br />

Plan, a plan that explicitly discusses<br />

gentrification and the need to balance<br />

neighborhood improvements with stability of<br />

the current residents and businesses. More<br />

than 2,000 people participated over three<br />

years in the planning process to develop the<br />

Central Area Action Plan II, the most recent<br />

neighborhood plan.<br />

There is hope that the city will increase its<br />

focus on gentrification in part due to the last<br />

mayoral election. Current Mayor Nickels<br />

narrowly was elected with help from the<br />

African American community because of his<br />

campaign promise to focus on race and<br />

social justice issues. Some respondents<br />

said that the city is not yet doing enough but<br />

is beginning to direct more attention and<br />

resources to affordable housing issues.<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Central Area is at an advanced stage of<br />

gentrification. Sections of the neighborhood<br />

are more gentrified than others, and there<br />

are still a number of depressed housing<br />

units as well as underdeveloped parcels of<br />

land, though few vacant lots. As evidence of<br />

gentrification, people point to housing<br />

prices, displacement, changes in the<br />

commercial areas, and the types of people<br />

who are moving to the neighborhood. The<br />

median home price in 2002 was $278,500,<br />

compared to average prices of $231,000 to<br />

$249,000 in other distressed areas of<br />

Seattle (CADA). While there is no data that<br />

track displacement, most people refer to<br />

anecdotal information about people leaving<br />

because of increasing rents. There is also<br />

concern that elderly residents might not be<br />

able to remain due to deferred maintenance<br />

issues and costs of upkeep. A number of<br />

respondents talked about the inability of<br />

people who previously lived in Central Area<br />

to afford to move back.<br />

According to CADA and city staff, African<br />

American residents who are leaving Central<br />

Area are moving to the southeast and<br />

southwest areas of Seattle, as well as to<br />

neighboring towns. All of these locations<br />

tend to be lower-income communities. New<br />

residents in Central Area have higher<br />

incomes—the area is second only to<br />

downtown in household income increases.<br />

They also tend to be white. Changes in the<br />

commercial corridors, especially 23rd and<br />

Jackson, are also pointed to as indications<br />

of gentrification. Some of the local


56 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

businesses serving primarily the African<br />

American community are hurting because of<br />

the change in population base and the draw<br />

of the new businesses.<br />

Responses to the changes in Central Area<br />

vary. Some people are pleased with what<br />

they view as improvements on par with<br />

other parts of the city. However, there is<br />

also concern about the degree of change<br />

among residents and businesses. Local<br />

businesses are working to take advantage<br />

of the changes without being displaced, with<br />

businesses located closer to the chains<br />

faring better than others.<br />

To understand the sentiments about the<br />

changes occurring in Central Area, it is<br />

important to know that there was active<br />

redlining in Seattle until the late 1960s. In<br />

the mid-1960s, an open housing measure<br />

was put before voters that if passed, would<br />

have allowed African Americans to buy a<br />

home anywhere in the city. The measure<br />

was defeated. The city council later passed<br />

a comprehensive open housing law in 1968.<br />

Respondents spoke of racial tensions as<br />

long-term residents notice that the<br />

improvements seem to come along with the<br />

increase in white residents. There is, as one<br />

person stated, an “undercurrent of<br />

suspicion” regarding the motivation behind<br />

the changes—that were it not for the white<br />

households, the level of investment would<br />

be lower. One person stated that while he<br />

likes the new investments, he does not want<br />

to see the area become a white<br />

neighborhood. In his business he has<br />

experienced an attitude among in-movers<br />

that the neighborhood should now cater to<br />

their needs.<br />

Although the investments and housing<br />

prices keep increasing in Central Area, most<br />

respondents talk about the situation in ways<br />

suggesting that it is not too late to prevent<br />

widespread displacement. Central Area was<br />

contrasted with Capitol Hill, which has<br />

gentrified to the point that there is little to no<br />

affordable housing left. Acknowledging that<br />

Central Area will continue to gentrify, people<br />

spoke of the need to create a balance so<br />

that lower-income households can remain<br />

or move into the area.<br />

Key Strategies—Infill Development and<br />

Housing Levy<br />

Key housing strategies used in the Central<br />

Area neighborhood are infill development,<br />

including the development of mixed-use<br />

projects, and a citywide housing levy to<br />

raise funds for the production and<br />

preservation of affordable housing, both<br />

rental and homeownership.<br />

Infill Development<br />

Through mixed-use infill projects, CADA<br />

seeks to revitalize the business areas in<br />

Central Area that were nearly cleared by<br />

urban renewal and to provide additional<br />

affordable and market-rate housing units.<br />

CADA likes mixed-use projects because of


Seattle, WA 57<br />

the belief that every community should have<br />

a viable business node. An example is a<br />

construction project at 23rd and Jackson,<br />

described below, on land zoned for mixeduse<br />

development. The envisioned project fit<br />

well with the neighborhood plan, which calls<br />

for projects that will strengthen existing<br />

business nodes.<br />

Most respondents agreed that the Central<br />

Area is built out. Infill development allows<br />

developers to take advantage of the vacant<br />

or dilapidated properties that exist in the<br />

neighborhood. According to CADA there are<br />

10 to 15 available parcels. Were the<br />

neighborhood completely gentrified, like<br />

Capitol Hill, infill projects might not be<br />

possible to initiate. Rather, the focus likely<br />

would shift to preserving existing affordable<br />

housing stock, which the organization is<br />

anticipating doing in the near future.<br />

The size and location of a property affects<br />

the type of project that can be done. CADA<br />

has redeveloped individual lots for singlefamily<br />

houses, as well as larger parcels,<br />

such as the current mixed-use project. 2 The<br />

larger, higher-density projects can have the<br />

most impact on the neighborhood by<br />

increasing employment opportunities and<br />

outlets for shopping and other business<br />

transactions for current community<br />

members, as well as drawing new residents<br />

and customers to the area. The organization<br />

views infill development on vacant or<br />

underdeveloped land as a way to balance<br />

gentrifying forces by building without<br />

displacing residents or businesses.<br />

CADA raises both public and private funds<br />

to finance its housing and commercial<br />

projects. To acquire properties for<br />

development, development organizations<br />

can purchase land from the city at lower<br />

than market value. CADA has purchased<br />

one land parcel from the city to date, though<br />

it paid the appraised value, which at the<br />

time was affordable. Given the lengthy<br />

development process of mixed-use<br />

developments, the land value increased 80<br />

percent by the time construction began.<br />

When a community-based development<br />

organization purchases land from the city’s<br />

Office of Economic Development, there are<br />

a number of stipulations, including<br />

requirements for a certain number of<br />

affordable units at 60 to 80 percent of AMI,<br />

maintaining affordability of the units over<br />

time, and hiring construction staff from the<br />

local community.<br />

CADA’s 23rd and Jackson project under<br />

construction is a good example of infill that<br />

serves both housing and economic<br />

development goals. Welch Plaza is being<br />

built on the former site of a neighborhood<br />

hardware store, diagonally across the street<br />

from a Starbucks. CADA is partnering with a<br />

private real estate development company to<br />

develop the site, and will retain part<br />

ownership once the project is completed.<br />

The approximately $27 million project,<br />

funded by a major bank, private investors,<br />

and two city departments (Economic<br />

Development and Housing), will provide<br />

affordable and market-rate rental housing<br />

units, and retail and commercial space.


58 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

The initial plan called for two apartment<br />

buildings and one office building, but with<br />

the office vacancy rate in the city on the<br />

rise, the plan was revised. The final plan<br />

includes a total of 162 apartments from<br />

studio to two-bedroom units, 17 percent of<br />

which will be affordable to households<br />

earning up to 60 percent of AMI and 31<br />

percent of which will be affordable to<br />

households earning up to 80 percent of<br />

AMI. The project also includes 18,000<br />

square feet of ground floor retail and<br />

commercial space, and slightly over 200<br />

parking spaces, most of which will be<br />

located underground. The first phase of the<br />

project was scheduled for completion in<br />

October 2003, with the entire project slated<br />

for January 2004 completion.<br />

The project has incorporated economic<br />

development into the construction phase by<br />

setting targets for the participation levels of<br />

minority and women subcontractors and for<br />

the employment of local residents. CADA’s<br />

newsletters document these participation<br />

levels. Overall, respondents said there has<br />

been more positive than negative responses<br />

to the Welch Plaza project. Community<br />

members have been pleased to see racial<br />

minority and women employees on the<br />

construction site. And though some<br />

residents are unhappy with the higher<br />

density and overall large size of the project,<br />

other residents like it. One issue has been<br />

the selection of a non-union contractor,<br />

which has created a problem with the<br />

unions.<br />

According to CADA staff, the CDC’s role in<br />

leading new development in Central Area is<br />

not as significant now that the private<br />

market has taken over. Since Starbucks and<br />

Bank of America arrived in the<br />

neighborhood, private developers are more<br />

willing to move in. Now that private<br />

investment is coming to the area again, the<br />

organization is starting to prioritize other<br />

aspects of what it does, such as preserving<br />

affordable housing. As a next step, the<br />

organization is beginning to look at projectbased<br />

Section 8 opt-out properties to<br />

purchase and maintain as subsidized<br />

housing. Although these properties’ values<br />

are increasing as well, they are not yet<br />

valued at the market rate. CADA has<br />

purchased one Section 8 development so<br />

far that consists of 24 housing units in two<br />

buildings.<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

Housing practitioners in Central Area must<br />

cope with increasing land prices posing a<br />

challenge to the viability of development<br />

projects. As an example of the increasing<br />

land costs, CADA purchased the parcel at<br />

23rd and Jackson for $198,000; five years<br />

later, the property was appraised at $1.2<br />

million. Even though the CDC can purchase<br />

land from the city at lower than market<br />

value, increasing land values makes such<br />

purchases difficult. In addition to cost, the<br />

number of vacant parcels in Central Area is<br />

declining. CADA estimates that it will be


Seattle, WA 59<br />

able to continue purchasing land for<br />

development for perhaps two more years.<br />

Mixed-use projects bring other challenges,<br />

which include acquiring funding for the<br />

commercial portion of a project. The city’s<br />

Office of Community Development has an<br />

equity fund for commercial development,<br />

which CADA taps. CADA also identifies<br />

private developers with which to partner.<br />

Many CDCs do not get involved with<br />

commercial projects because of the funding<br />

difficulties. Mixed-use developments are<br />

higher risk than housing developments. As<br />

CADA said, a CDC needs to work with a<br />

private developer who understands the<br />

risks, has deep pockets, and is patient.<br />

Community involvement and communication<br />

are critical when doing infill projects. CADA<br />

spoke of the importance of gathering<br />

community input on specific projects from<br />

the earliest stages of planning. A CDC<br />

needs to get the community involved, pay<br />

heed to any concerns, and incorporate<br />

ideas. In Seattle, the permitting process can<br />

take about 18 months. Because the city<br />

requires community input into a plan in<br />

order to grant permits, not inviting<br />

community involvement early on can lead to<br />

serious permitting delays. Updating key<br />

constituents and the broader community<br />

during the course of a project helps keep<br />

people aware of progress and any obstacles<br />

so that they feel in the loop.<br />

CADA staff offered suggestions for work on<br />

mixed-use infill developments: if working in<br />

a union town, negotiate with the unions to<br />

secure a quality contractor. Find a private<br />

partner for projects on which it is difficult to<br />

raise sufficient public money. As mentioned<br />

earlier, a “good” partner is one who<br />

understands the risks involved, is patient,<br />

and has pockets deep enough to weather<br />

the few years it might take to realize decent<br />

revenue streams. CADA recommends<br />

mixed-use developments in part because of<br />

the revenue streams and developer fees<br />

that can be realized. However, it<br />

acknowledges that it usually takes time for<br />

the revenues to materialize.<br />

Housing Levy<br />

The housing levy is a property tax<br />

assessment that raises funds for affordable<br />

housing preservation, production, and<br />

assistance. Levy funds can be used across<br />

Seattle, though most of the funds are<br />

intended for use in Special Objective Areas<br />

(SOA), areas that the city has designated as<br />

economically distressed. Central Area is<br />

one of the four SOAs listed in the 2002 levy.<br />

The decision to place a housing levy before<br />

citizens for a vote stemmed from the need<br />

to increase the affordable housing stock in<br />

the city. Prior to the first levy, passed in<br />

1981, the only funding sources for<br />

affordable housing production were CDBG<br />

and public housing funds. When the city<br />

was designing the levy, staff debated<br />

whether to structure the assessment as a<br />

percentage of property taxes or to specify<br />

an overall amount to be raised. Believing<br />

that there would be greater support if voters<br />

knew the exact amount they would be


60 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

asked to approve, staff decided to specify a<br />

dollar figure. The planning process for the<br />

most recent levy began two years before it<br />

was initiated. There was a citizen advisory<br />

committee that included former mayors. The<br />

city spent about $300,000 on the levy<br />

campaign, which it raised through<br />

contributions from banks and other<br />

contributors.<br />

Seattle voters have since passed four<br />

housing levies. The first levy raised funds to<br />

meet housing needs of senior citizens. The<br />

city’s decision to target the levy this way<br />

was pragmatic—the elderly was an easy<br />

group to serve politically. The second levy in<br />

1986 was broadened to include special<br />

needs and family housing. This levy also<br />

focused on the downtown area of the city.<br />

The levy of 1995 was expanded again to<br />

include rental preservation and production,<br />

homeownership, and operations and<br />

maintenance of housing.<br />

The 2002 levy will total $86 million over<br />

seven years, costing the average<br />

homeowner approximately $49 a year<br />

(Seattle Office of Housing 2003). The levy<br />

was placed on the ballot after the city<br />

council passed an ordinance that adopted<br />

an Affordable Housing Financing Plan. The<br />

current levy is organized into five programs:<br />

the Rental Preservation & Production<br />

Program, the Homeownership/Home Buyer<br />

Assistance Program, the Neighborhood<br />

Housing Opportunity Program, the Rental<br />

Assistance Program, and the Operating and<br />

Maintenance Program. Five percent of levy<br />

funds will be set aside for each program<br />

administration. The Office of Housing is<br />

charged with administering each of the levy<br />

programs except for the Rental Assistance<br />

Program, for which the Human Services<br />

Department is responsible. Each program<br />

calls for leveraging of funds with other city,<br />

state, or federal funding sources, including<br />

the McKinney Homeless Assistance<br />

program, the State Housing Trust Fund,<br />

HOME, CDBG, various city sources, and<br />

foundation support.<br />

There have not been significant challenges<br />

to the levy program; however, the changing<br />

housing market has affected the levy’s<br />

Homeownership/Home Buyer Assistance<br />

Program. Now, the downpayment<br />

assistance mostly goes toward the<br />

purchase of condominium units because of<br />

the increasing costs of detached housing.


Seattle, WA 61<br />

Programs Funded by Housing Levy<br />

Most of the funding, 65 percent or $56.1 million, is targeted for the Rental Preservation and Production<br />

Program. This program offers funding for the acquisition and/or rehabilitation of vacant or occupied<br />

buildings, new construction, and for financing. Tenants of housing produced or preserved with levy<br />

funds must have incomes at or below 30, 50, or 60 percent of AMI, depending on the type of project.<br />

However, nearly 60 percent of the funds from this program must go toward units affordable to<br />

households with income at or below 30 percent of AMI. Funds are in the form of various types of<br />

loans, which are made to nonprofit organizations, the Seattle Housing Authority, public development<br />

authorities, and private developers. Projects funded through the Rental Preservation and Production<br />

Program may be located across the city.<br />

The Homeownership/Home Buyer Assistance Program will receive 9 percent of the levy funds ($7.8<br />

million total). This program seeks to help low-income, first-time homebuyers to purchase a house in<br />

Seattle. Beneficiaries of the assistance must have incomes at or below 80 percent of AMI, with at least<br />

half of the funds targeted to households earning at or below 60 percent of AMI. Most of this program’s<br />

funds will be targeted for use in the four Special Objective Areas, which include the Central Area.<br />

The Neighborhood Housing Opportunity Program (NHOP) is new in the 2002 levy. It will receive 8<br />

percent of levy funds ($7.2 million total). This program will support three objectives: projects located in<br />

the identified economically distressed areas, projects in historically distressed areas, and projects that<br />

can serve as a catalyst to revitalization. Geographic stipulations on these funds include the Central<br />

Area. The program criteria include mixed-use or mixed-income projects and projects that will help<br />

mitigate the impact of gentrification in an area by providing a range of housing types and prices.<br />

Housing funded by this program must be affordable to households at 80 percent of AMI, and at least a<br />

quarter of the funding must support housing for people at or below 30 percent of AMI.<br />

The Rental Assistance Program accounts for 3 percent ($2.8 million) of the levy. The program pays a<br />

rent subsidy directly to a private landlord via a public agency or a nonprofit organization. The<br />

assistance is short-term, meant to help prevent homelessness due to economic hardship and to help<br />

households transition from homelessness into rental housing. Households receiving assistance under<br />

this program must have income at or less than 50 percent of AMI.<br />

Finally, the Operating and Maintenance Program makes up 9 percent of the levy ($7.8 million total).<br />

This program offers multiunit developments under the Rental Preservation and Production Program<br />

operating support so that units in the developments can be affordable to extremely low income<br />

households (income at or less than 30 percent of AMI). Private developers, nonprofit organizations,<br />

and public agencies except for the Housing Authority may participate in this program.


62 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Under the 1981 Housing Levy, 1,300 units<br />

of elderly housing were affected, exceeding<br />

the goal of 1,000. The goal for the second<br />

levy in 1986 was to affect 1,000 units of<br />

housing, and again the city exceeded the<br />

goal by 900 units. Under the current levy,<br />

housing goals are 1,522 units under the<br />

Rental Preservation and Production<br />

Program; 326 under the Homeownership<br />

Program; and 196 in the Neighborhood<br />

Housing Opportunity Program, for a total of<br />

2,044 units produced or affected. City staff<br />

estimated the actual number will likely be<br />

closer to 2,500 units. In addition, the Rental<br />

Assistance Program is estimated to assist<br />

approximately 500 households a year or<br />

3,500 households over the course of the<br />

levy.<br />

According to CADA, the housing levy has<br />

provided support to three projects in Central<br />

Area. Harvey Apartments received about 20<br />

percent of project costs from the levy to<br />

preserve 20 units as low-income housing.<br />

Union James project received about 40<br />

percent of project costs to include 28 units<br />

of affordable housing. Finally, the Welch<br />

project under construction has received<br />

about 5 percent of the project cost to go<br />

toward 21 affordable units.<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

City staff offered a number of suggestions<br />

for creating a housing levy. First, keep it<br />

simple at the start by beginning with one<br />

program rather than with many. Poll to get a<br />

sense of the type of program that could<br />

garner widespread public support. Seattle<br />

found that senior or family/workforce<br />

housing were good initial programs. Even<br />

with careful design of the levy, a city should<br />

anticipate a hard sell of the program. The<br />

planning process for Seattle’s housing levy<br />

began two years before the levy was<br />

initiated. The city spent about $300,000 on<br />

the campaign, which was raised through<br />

contributions from banks and other<br />

contributors. The political strategies for<br />

gathering support for the levies have been<br />

different each time around. The process of<br />

getting the levy passed is a good<br />

opportunity to bond with nonprofit<br />

organizations. City staff commented that the<br />

relationships developed during the process<br />

of shaping and getting passed the housing<br />

levy has helped the implementation of the<br />

levy programs.


Seattle, WA 63<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

Home Repairs<br />

Efforts to preserve affordable housing include home repair work. CADA has carried out maintenance and<br />

repair work for neighborhood homeowners for the past seven years. Volunteers work on up to 10 houses<br />

each summer during weekends to paint exteriors, repair roofs, do yard work, and improve home security<br />

for elderly or disabled residents. The city also offers a home repair program, called HomeWise.<br />

HomeWise offers loans at 3 percent interest to low- and moderate-income homeowners to cover the costs<br />

of health and safety-related repairs, accessibility modifications, or code violation upgrades. The program<br />

also offers free weatherization grants to low-income households.<br />

Housing Regulations<br />

Another strategy in Central Area is to revisit development regulations that affect affordable housing<br />

production. The Central Area satellite office of the Department of Neighborhoods worked with the<br />

Department of Housing to host a forum in June 2003 to discuss lifting the moratorium on affordable<br />

housing development that exists because the neighborhood is designated as an SOA. At present,<br />

projects located in SOAs that receive city funding cannot include affordable units unless developers<br />

receive neighborhood approval. The SOA was initiated in order to disperse new affordable housing<br />

developments into areas that did not already have a concentration of them. Now that housing prices have<br />

increased in Central Area, some people want the moratorium lifted so that it will be easier to build new<br />

affordable housing in an effort to balance the gentrification forces in the neighborhood. The number of<br />

subsidized units in Central Area dropped from 25 percent of the housing stock in 1990 to approximately<br />

15 percent at present (compared to 8 percent citywide). City staff did not anticipate opposition to lifting the<br />

moratorium in Central Area.<br />

Employment<br />

Another strategy is based on the perspective that anti-displacement efforts must take a broader focus<br />

than housing alone, and include employment. The Chamber of Commerce established the Urban<br />

Enterprise Center (UEC), a nonprofit affiliate with ties to the business community, which focuses on the<br />

Central Area. UEC held a retreat with Central Area leaders to discuss community needs. The primary<br />

issue identified was the lack of jobs. Two of UEC’s initiatives are job creation and business development.<br />

UEC has sent out approximately 3,000 letters to employers encouraging them to hire people from inner<br />

areas of the city. To work with the program, businesses have to offer a yearly salary of at least $20,000<br />

along with benefits. UEC works with the Employment Security Office to identify potential employees and<br />

get them job-ready before matching them with employers. To date, UEC has helped over 7,000 people<br />

from Central Area and Rainier Valley who previously had received welfare to find employment. With<br />

financial support from the Ford Foundation and private businesses, UEC has funded community-based<br />

organizations to help develop businesses. New businesses are required to hire 50 percent of their<br />

workforce from the local community. Graduate students from the University of Washington provide<br />

businesses with marketing and accounting assistance so that they might remain competitive as larger<br />

chains locate nearby.


64 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Conclusion<br />

Because the Central Area neighborhood is<br />

in process of gentrifying, respondents<br />

believe that it is not too late to prevent<br />

increasing displacement of current<br />

residents. The availability of<br />

underdeveloped parcels of land and some<br />

vacant lots allow for infill development for at<br />

least two more years. The city’s housing<br />

levy programs will support the construction<br />

and preservation of affordable rental and<br />

homeowner properties in Central Area and<br />

elsewhere in the city. If the SOA designation<br />

is altered, developers will be able to<br />

construct subsidized housing using city<br />

funds once again as a way to balance the<br />

strong private housing market. Importantly,<br />

respondents all understand the need for<br />

economic development initiatives to bring in<br />

new stores and services and to support<br />

existing businesses. This broader view of<br />

both neighborhood revitalization and<br />

displacement mitigation acknowledges the<br />

interdependence between residential and<br />

business components of a community.<br />

Population<br />

Table 7: Seattle, WA and Central Area<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990 and 2000<br />

Year<br />

City total<br />

Central<br />

Area<br />

Population 1990 516,200 20,300<br />

2000 563,300 22,200<br />

% change population 1990–2000 9.1 9.4<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 9.8 56.5<br />

2000 9.6 38.9<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 73.8 30.6<br />

2000 68.8 41.7<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 13.1 10.3<br />

2000 16.4 11.1<br />

% Hispanic 1990 3.3 2.6<br />

2000 5.3 8.3<br />

Income and poverty<br />

Average family income (in 1999<br />

dollars) 1990 66,600 43,500<br />

2000 83,800 64,300<br />

Poverty rate 1990 12,400 20,900<br />

2000 11,800 19,200


Seattle, WA 65<br />

Employment<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 4.9 9.1<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 5.1 6.2<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 236,700 8,800<br />

2000 258,500 10,000<br />

Total rental units 1990 127,100 5,600<br />

2000 138,400 6,100<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 4.8 6.9<br />

2000 3.7 4.3<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 48.9 40.4<br />

2000 48.4 42.1<br />

Average value owner-occupied<br />

housing units (in 2000 dollars) 1990 220,600 153,100<br />

2000 315,500 276,800<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of income<br />

on rent 1990 31.2 35.8<br />

2000 30.6 35.3<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages<br />

originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 26.5 27.5<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 38.8 39.5<br />

% change in number of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 46.4 43.6<br />

Dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated/housing unit a Avg. (95, 96) 4,446 3,945<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 8,246 7,869<br />

% change in dollar value of<br />

mortgages originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a 85.5 99.5<br />

Average value of mortgages<br />

originated (1–4-unit structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 167,900 143,300<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 212,700 199,400<br />

% change in average value of<br />

mortgages originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a 26.7 39.1<br />

Source: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban<br />

Institute’s Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB) based on<br />

1990 and 2000 U.S. Censuses.<br />

Note: Data for Central Area are analyzed using census tracts<br />

007700, 007900, 008700, 008800, 008900, and 009000.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the Urban Institute.<br />

Dollar amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


66 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

CHICAGO, IL<br />

UPTOWN<br />

Key strategy: voluntary inclusionary zoning<br />

Other strategies: nonprofit retention strategies, tax assessment retention strategies<br />

City and Neighborhood<br />

Chicago increased in population and<br />

housing values during the 1990s. Chicago<br />

grew by roughly 4 percent in the 1990s<br />

reaching 2.9 million people in 2000 (Census<br />

CD Neighborhood Change Database). The<br />

price of homes increased one-quarter<br />

during the late 1990s, while the number of<br />

homes bought increased by 30 percent (see<br />

Table 8 at the end of the case study). The<br />

accelerated housing market did not happen<br />

uniformly across neighborhoods throughout<br />

the city, however. Neighborhoods bordering<br />

Lake Michigan north of the central business<br />

district and neighborhoods immediately<br />

south and west of the downtown area<br />

appeared to drive the city’s overall housing<br />

market gain. Neighborhoods located on the<br />

far south and west sides—historically<br />

African American and poor—continued to<br />

experience neglect during the 1990s.<br />

Uptown is located along Lake Michigan,<br />

approximately eight miles north of<br />

downtown. South of Uptown are upscale<br />

neighborhoods, and immediately north is<br />

Edgewood, a neighborhood that also<br />

experienced an accelerated housing market<br />

during the 1990s, along with an influx of<br />

new upscale retail and restaurant<br />

establishments.<br />

Uptown historically has been a diverse and<br />

densely populated area. Since the early<br />

1900s, it has been the port of entry for<br />

immigrant populations, including Russians,<br />

Koreans, Mexicans, Vietnamese,<br />

Cambodians, and Laotians. During the<br />

1940s and 1950s, the neighborhood’s<br />

population continued to diversify as African<br />

Americans, southern rural whites, and<br />

Native Americans were attracted to<br />

Uptown’s affordable housing stock. During<br />

the federal deinstitutionalization of mental<br />

health institutions in the 1970s, the<br />

neighborhood also became home to a large<br />

number of former mental health patients.<br />

During the 1950s post-World War II housing<br />

shortage, housing was converted to<br />

accommodate more units by splitting singlefamily<br />

residences and smaller apartment<br />

buildings into multiunit properties. Uptown<br />

also experienced a 25 percent reduction in<br />

housing stock during the federal urban<br />

renewal period during the 1960s and 1970s<br />

(Chicago Fact Book Consortium 1963).<br />

The neighborhood’s housing stock consists<br />

of mid-sized and large apartment buildings,


Chicago, IL 67<br />

as well as the largest concentration of<br />

single-room occupancy hotels (SROs) in the<br />

city. Roughly two-thirds of Uptown’s housing<br />

stock is concentrated in buildings with 20 or<br />

more units, compared to the citywide<br />

average of only 23 percent (Haas et al.<br />

2002). High-rise apartment buildings line the<br />

lake, while smaller rental units—some as<br />

small as six-flat apartments—are located<br />

further west in the neighborhood. Uptown<br />

has some single-family detached homes,<br />

which are designated historic, located along<br />

the lake and on the western border.<br />

Homeownership rates are relatively low in<br />

Uptown, 23 percent compared to 44 percent<br />

citywide (Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Residential development has been<br />

prevalent in Uptown during the past 10<br />

years. According to respondents,<br />

condominium conversions—where<br />

developers convert rental apartment units<br />

into owner-occupied condominiums—have<br />

become commonplace. Data supports this<br />

perception: parcels occupied by apartment<br />

buildings decreased by 12 percent while the<br />

number of parcels with condominiums<br />

increased by 102 percent (Haas et al.<br />

2002). Consequently the homeownership<br />

rate of 23 percent—while still relatively low<br />

for Chicago—increased by 35 percent over<br />

the 1990s (Census CD Neighborhood<br />

Change Database). The number of vacant<br />

units—another indicator of demand for<br />

housing—decreased from 10 to 6 percent in<br />

Uptown (Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Uptown has a rich pool of human service<br />

providers and nonprofit organizations, such<br />

as ethnic and immigrant organizations,<br />

homeless service providers, job training<br />

programs, and churches and religious<br />

institutions. Commercial and retail activity is<br />

concentrated on the main streets running<br />

north-south and east-west in the<br />

neighborhood and consist of small<br />

businesses such as beauty and nail salons,<br />

convenience stores, and fast food<br />

restaurants. Two large entertainment and<br />

music venues are also located in Uptown,<br />

attracting patrons from across the city.<br />

While there is a plethora of small<br />

businesses in Uptown, upscale commercial<br />

development has not kept pace with<br />

residential development. Three Starbucks<br />

coffee shops, the Seattle coffee chain<br />

considered a harbinger of gentrification,<br />

opened in Uptown, but little other high-end<br />

retail has entered Uptown thus far.<br />

The neighborhood continues to be one of<br />

the most diverse in Chicago. Whites make<br />

up the majority of residents, while onequarter<br />

are African American, 20 percent<br />

are Latino, and 18 percent are other<br />

ethnicities, which consists mostly of Asians<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database). Uptown experienced an<br />

increase in middle-aged residents, while<br />

children and senior citizens decreased in<br />

number. 3 According to respondents, more<br />

singles and childless couples moved into<br />

Uptown attracted by condominium<br />

conversions; hence the increase in the<br />

middle-age category. Many of these new


68 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

residents were also reported to be white,<br />

middle-class, and gay.<br />

Uptown’s residents became somewhat<br />

wealthier during the 1990s. The<br />

neighborhood’s poverty rate decreased by<br />

22 percent during the 1990s, and the<br />

average family income increased by 25<br />

percent (Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database).<br />

Factors influencing Uptown’s housing<br />

market are numerous. It is one of the last<br />

north side neighborhoods along Lake<br />

Michigan affordable to middle-income<br />

residents. The Lakeview and Wrigleyville<br />

neighborhoods to the south have already<br />

gentrified, and Uptown’s inexpensive land<br />

from years of disinvestment is attractive to<br />

developers. Uptown also offers a number of<br />

amenities—access to public transportation<br />

through a subway station and bus lines, a<br />

relatively short commute downtown, and the<br />

lake itself, with its beaches, parks, bike<br />

lanes, and sports fields.<br />

Local groups have advocated both for and<br />

against gentrification. Chicago has a history<br />

of grassroots advocacy and organizing<br />

stemming from the work of Saul Alinsky<br />

during the 1930s, and Uptown is no<br />

exception. The Community of Uptown<br />

Residents for Accountability and Justice<br />

(COURAJ), a grassroots advocacy group,<br />

organizes against new developments that<br />

exclude affordable units for low-income<br />

residents. Other organizations, such as the<br />

Uptown Chicago Commission, tend to have<br />

a more pro-development outlook. Block<br />

groups are active in some parts of Uptown,<br />

representing mainly homeowners. Tensions<br />

have erupted between some affordable<br />

housing organizations and block clubs over<br />

low-income housing developments.<br />

Affordable housing is an issue on the<br />

mayor’s agenda. The city’s Department of<br />

Housing administers programs intended to<br />

benefit low- to moderate-income families<br />

through homeownership and in the rental<br />

market (some of these programs are<br />

described below). However, critics of Mayor<br />

Daley contend he has not done enough to<br />

ensure an adequate amount of affordable<br />

housing for low-income and working<br />

families, but focuses on attracting middleincome<br />

residents to the city.<br />

Aldermanic support for affordable housing is<br />

particularly strong in Uptown. Chicago is<br />

divided into 48 wards with an elected<br />

alderman representing each ward. Uptown<br />

is split between two wards, with the majority<br />

of Uptown represented by Alderman Helen<br />

Shiller and the remaining by Alderman Mary<br />

Ann Smith. Alderman Shiller has served<br />

Uptown residents for the past 16 years and<br />

is credited with focusing on diversity and<br />

affordability in her ward. For instance,<br />

Uptown has the greatest concentration of<br />

single-room occupancies hotels (SRO) in<br />

the city. Alderman Shiller recognizes that<br />

development opportunities exist in Uptown<br />

and she helps to ensure that current


Chicago, IL 69<br />

residents benefit, as well as new residents.<br />

Alderman Shiller’s goal for development is<br />

“gentrification without displacement,”<br />

believing that a mixture of economic classes<br />

should coexist within her ward. Alderman<br />

Shiller also has her critics—some consider<br />

her obstructionist and anti-development.<br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Housing prices for single-family detached<br />

homes, condominiums, and larger<br />

apartments have increased, while some<br />

rental housing stock remains affordable.<br />

Indications of rising housing costs are the<br />

following: the median sales price for singlefamily<br />

detached homes increased by 33<br />

percent between 1990 and 2000 compared<br />

to the citywide increase of 12 percent, and<br />

condominiums increased in price by 112<br />

percent compared to 53 percent citywide<br />

(Haas et al. 2002).<br />

Though affordable housing still exists in the<br />

form of rental housing, the pool appears to<br />

be shrinking. For instance, the total number<br />

of rental units declined by 11 percent<br />

(Census CD Neighborhood Change<br />

Database). Small apartments tend to cost<br />

less in Uptown compared to other parts of<br />

the city, and SROs still make up a great<br />

proportion of Uptown’s rental stock (Haas et<br />

al. 2002). According to recent estimates,<br />

there is also a relatively large amount of<br />

subsidized housing in Uptown: 18 percent,<br />

or 5,896 units, are subsidized (Haas et al.<br />

2002). While federally subsidized housing<br />

exists in Uptown, respondents are<br />

concerned about landlords opting out of<br />

Section 8. Two census tracts in Uptown saw<br />

a decrease in the number of voucher<br />

holders by 21 percent between 1997 and<br />

2000, while the remaining three census<br />

tracts in Uptown held steady (Haas et al.<br />

2002).<br />

Affordable housing advocates point out that<br />

landlords and developers rather than<br />

residents have benefited from Uptown’s<br />

gentrification. Because most of the housing<br />

stock is rental, most real estate transactions<br />

occur between landlord and developer or<br />

between private developers. There has<br />

been little asset building for residents.<br />

Instead, many incumbent residents are<br />

faced with higher housing costs (at least for<br />

larger apartments, condos, and singlefamily<br />

homes) and the threat of expiring<br />

Section 8 contracts.<br />

Key Strategy—Voluntary Inclusionary<br />

Zoning<br />

The key program highlighted in this case<br />

study is an inclusionary zoning program<br />

called Chicago Partnership for Affordable<br />

Neighborhoods (CPAN), which was<br />

implemented citywide in 2001. CPAN is a<br />

voluntary program where developers and<br />

aldermen from each ward determine the<br />

number of affordable units, if any,<br />

developers will set aside in their market-rate<br />

developments. Those affordable units are<br />

“written down” by the developer and the city<br />

provides purchase price assistance to<br />

homebuyers. Residents eligible for CPAN<br />

can earn no more than 100 percent of the<br />

area median income, or $68,700, and


70 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

participants must be either first-time<br />

homebuyers or not have owned a home in<br />

the last three years.<br />

While CPAN is a citywide program, it is at<br />

the discretion of each alderman whether<br />

developers must participate. The developer<br />

and alderman negotiate the percentage of<br />

affordable housing set asides, although the<br />

program recommends between 10 and 20<br />

percent. Therefore, CPAN is applied on a<br />

case-by-case basis differing across the city<br />

and even within wards by project. However,<br />

because developments over six units<br />

normally need some type of aldermanic<br />

zoning change approval (even as basic as<br />

alley access), aldermen usually have the<br />

leverage to negotiate. Normally it is also in<br />

the developer’s best interest to get<br />

aldermanic and community support. If<br />

developers want a zoning change, they<br />

must hold a public hearing.<br />

Tangible incentives exist for the developers<br />

to participate beyond aldermanic zoning<br />

approval and good community relations. For<br />

every affordable unit, the city waives the<br />

required building permit fees, which can<br />

cost up to $10,000 per unit. The city also<br />

assists with the developer’s site<br />

improvement budget, such as perimeter site<br />

improvements and landscaping, on a caseby-case<br />

basis. Multiple benefits exist for the<br />

buyer as well. The city provides housing<br />

and pre-purchase counseling, as well as<br />

purchase price assistance that covers the<br />

difference between the developer’s writedown<br />

price and 30 percent of the buyer’s<br />

income. This assistance is offered as a<br />

deferred loan at 0 percent interest for<br />

income-eligible individuals, which is reduced<br />

on an annual pro rata basis. The unit must<br />

be the resident’s main housing. If the<br />

homebuyer lives in the unit beyond the<br />

length of the loan, the loan is forgiven.<br />

Purchase price assistance is provided<br />

through HOME dollars.<br />

CPAN has provisions to avoid “flipping”—<br />

where homebuyers quickly sell the<br />

subsidized unit at higher market-rate prices.<br />

The city adds a junior mortgage on the write<br />

down. If residents move within 30 years, this<br />

subsidized money goes into the Chicago<br />

Low-Income Housing Trust Fund, which<br />

uses the proceeds for affordable housing.<br />

The owners do not realize the subsidized<br />

equity.<br />

As of May 2003, 18 months into the<br />

program, 21 developers have participated in<br />

the CPAN program citywide, totaling $7.4<br />

million in developer write downs. The<br />

average developer write down per<br />

affordable unit was $70,000, and, on<br />

average, 17 percent of units per project<br />

were deemed affordable. This translates<br />

into 179 affordable units out of 1,457 units<br />

to be built citywide. Construction is not<br />

complete in all the projects. 4 In Uptown, five<br />

developers have participated in CPAN since<br />

its inception. Twenty-two affordable units<br />

out of a total of 282, 11 percent, are in the<br />

process of being built. The average


Chicago, IL 71<br />

developer write down per project is $56,000,<br />

with a total of $281,000 of total developer<br />

write downs.<br />

The most recent high-profile project using<br />

CPAN in Uptown is a formerly vacant<br />

department store, the Goldblatts Building,<br />

that is being remodeled and rehabilitated for<br />

mixed-use development using CPAN and<br />

tax increment financing (TIF) dollars. The<br />

development will include 37 one- and twobedroom<br />

condominiums, of which<br />

approximately eight units will qualify under<br />

the CPAN program. The ground floor of the<br />

former Goldblatts Building will house a<br />

Borders Books & Music store, as well as<br />

other retail shops.<br />

Those eligible for the affordable units can<br />

make only between 60 and 80 percent of<br />

AMI. CPAN provides purchase price<br />

assistance to the potential buyers, but the<br />

developer needed additional financial<br />

assistance beyond CPAN to write down<br />

their market-rate units. Therefore, $700,000<br />

of TIF funds will be used to write down the<br />

market-rate price from $225,000 to<br />

$155,000.<br />

The developer is receiving $5.75 million<br />

through the TIF district to finance the<br />

Goldblatts Building project. In turn, the<br />

developer is providing $1.25 million to a notfor-profit<br />

developer to rehabilitate the<br />

neighboring six-story residential Leland<br />

Apartments, which has 99 single-room<br />

occupancy units and 34 studios for low-rent<br />

tenants. The nonprofit intends to rehabilitate<br />

the building and rooms, as well as provide<br />

in-house social services and retail space on<br />

the ground floor.<br />

There was both vocal opposition and<br />

support to the Goldblatts project. Grassroots<br />

advocacy groups like COURAJ opposed the<br />

TIF subsidy for market-rate condos<br />

advocating that more affordable housing,<br />

especially rental housing, is needed in<br />

Uptown (Walters 2002). Other<br />

organizations, like the Uptown Chicago<br />

Commission, a coalition of block clubs and<br />

businesses, advocated for retail and<br />

commercial development using TIF dollars<br />

like the renovated Goldblatts building in<br />

Uptown (Grossman 2001).<br />

Implementation Challenges<br />

A citywide challenge for CPAN is that it is a<br />

voluntary program, leaving it to the<br />

discretion of aldermen whether developers<br />

will participate. Alderman Shiller is both a<br />

strong proponent of CPAN and one of its<br />

architects. However, support is not as<br />

universally strong in the rest of the city.<br />

Another problem inherent in a voluntary<br />

program is whether developers will choose<br />

to participate or take their business<br />

elsewhere. Aldermen have leverage only if<br />

the developer needs zoning approval.<br />

Those developers who have the appropriate<br />

zoning may choose not to participate in<br />

CPAN even if the alderman would normally<br />

support and require it, and may outbid other<br />

developers that would set aside affordable<br />

units.


72 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

In reaction against the voluntary nature of<br />

CPAN, 15 affordable housing organizations<br />

formed the Balanced Development<br />

Campaign to advocate for mandatory<br />

inclusionary zoning. An ordinance was<br />

introduced to the city council for such a<br />

mandatory ordinance requiring a 20 percent<br />

set-aside of affordable housing units, higher<br />

than the CPAN recommendation. While this<br />

mandatory ordinance was being lobbied for,<br />

another similar ordinance, the Affordable<br />

Housing Ordinance, was accepted by the<br />

city council in April 2003. It requires<br />

developers buying city-owned land below<br />

market rate price to set aside 10 percent of<br />

the new units as affordable. If a developer<br />

receives city financial subsidies, then the<br />

developer must set aside 20 percent of the<br />

units as affordable. In addition, there is an<br />

in-lieu-of fee of $100,000 per unit if<br />

developers do not build the mandatory<br />

number of affordable units that is applied to<br />

the Chicago Low-Income Housing Trust<br />

Fund. While the city’s ordinance has been<br />

recognized as a good start by a number of<br />

organizations, it is also criticized that it is<br />

limited in scope due to the small amount of<br />

developable city-owned land.<br />

A number of lessons were learned in regard<br />

to CPAN. First, ensuring community support<br />

for housing development is crucial. Some<br />

developers believe that only elected<br />

official’s support is necessary to approve<br />

housing development. In Uptown, the wider<br />

community needs to be informed and<br />

involved. Residents can organize around<br />

the issues of too much density or the threat<br />

of taking away parking, blocking the<br />

development of affordable housing. Or,<br />

grassroots organizations may protest the<br />

development of market-rate housing in favor<br />

of low-income housing.<br />

Private developers need to be coached in<br />

regard to community charettes and public<br />

hearings. Often private developers are not<br />

accustomed to working with the public and<br />

negotiating compromises, but it is crucial in<br />

active neighborhoods like Uptown.<br />

Another lesson learned in regard to<br />

retaining affordable housing is the need to<br />

bank land. In the mid-1980s, gentrification<br />

was dismissed as a potential threat in<br />

Uptown according to one nonprofit. People<br />

thought it would never happen. In<br />

retrospect, the nonprofit believes they<br />

should have put as much land in a land trust<br />

as possible and converted private buildings<br />

to nonprofits. They now advise a<br />

neighborhood west of Uptown that has yet<br />

to experience gentrification to anticipate its<br />

arrival and begin landbanking now.


Chicago, IL 73<br />

Additional Strategies<br />

Retention Strategies of Nonprofits<br />

Local nonprofits working in Uptown and the surrounding neighborhoods have waged campaigns to retain<br />

existing affordable housing. Organization of the NorthEast (ONE)—an umbrella organization representing<br />

78 members from three neighborhoods including Uptown—recognized the importance of land use and<br />

affordable housing early on. Between 1980 and 1995, ONE worked to convert privately owned apartment<br />

buildings into nonprofit ownership. They focused on high-rise properties along the lakefront to help keep<br />

the area diverse and affordable, and successfully assisted in the purchase of 10 Section 8 privately held<br />

buildings that would opt out in 20 years. ONE also worked to convert apartment buildings into limitedequity<br />

co-ops creating permanent affordable buildings, and assisted nonprofits in purchasing privately<br />

owned SROs, which resulted in rehabbed SROs with social services. The nonprofit Lakefront SRO<br />

Corporation, for instance, owns approximately 600 beds in six SRO buildings in Uptown.<br />

The Jane Addams Senior Caucus, an organization focusing on the housing and health care needs of<br />

senior citizens living in Uptown and the surrounding neighborhoods, also works to retain affordable<br />

housing for seniors. They led a successful campaign convincing the landlord of the Rienzi Plaza<br />

Apartments to renew his Section 8 contract in the Lakeview neighborhood, which neighbors Uptown. In<br />

addition, the Jane Addams Senior Caucus along with two other nonprofits successfully purchased city<br />

land in Uptown and built 83 units of affordable rental housing specifically for seniors.<br />

Retention Strategies Through Tax Assistance<br />

The Cook County Assessor’s Office offer three tax incentives to retain multiunit family rentals in Chicago:<br />

Class 3, Class 9, and Class S. The Class 3 tax classification reduces the assessment on all multi-unit<br />

residential properties with seven or more units from 33 percent to 26 percent. The Class 9 tax<br />

classification applies to buildings with seven or more rental units targeted to low- and moderate-income<br />

households (or households making less than 80 percent of the area median income) that have been<br />

rehabilitated or newly constructed. These buildings’ assessments are reduced to 16 percent of market<br />

value for up to 10 years with the possibility of two 10-year extensions. The Class S classification provides<br />

incentives to owners of expiring Section 8 buildings to renew their contracts using HUD’s Mark Up to<br />

Market program. The purpose of the tax incentive is to slow affordable rentals converting to market-rate<br />

rentals and condominiums. Landlords that decide to renew their Section 8 contracts qualify to cut their tax<br />

assessments from a 33 percent to a 16 percent assessment rate, matching the assessments of<br />

homeowners. Previously, this tax reduction could be applied only in low- and moderate-income census<br />

tracts but now it applies countywide.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Uptown has not yet completely gentrified,<br />

therefore there are still affordable housing<br />

units available to current residents. Due to<br />

the fact that aldermanic approval is often<br />

necessary for developers to proceed,<br />

aldermen have a certain degree of leverage


74 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

to negotiate set-asides—thus ensuring<br />

some amount of affordable housing in the<br />

foreseeable future. However, aldermen do<br />

not necessarily have control over the type of<br />

housing built, and because condo<br />

conversion is prevalent in Uptown, most<br />

incumbent residents are faced with higher<br />

housing costs (at least for larger<br />

apartments, condos, and single-family<br />

homes) and the threat of expiring Section 8<br />

contracts. As a result, the pool of housing<br />

for families and the lowest income<br />

population in Uptown is most at risk as<br />

gentrification proceeds. Subsidized rental<br />

units are crucial for low- and very low<br />

income residents, and there are steep<br />

challenges to ensure affordable rental units<br />

as land prices skyrocket and financial<br />

incentives exist for landlords to opt out of<br />

federal subsidy programs.<br />

To prevent displacement of current<br />

residents, respondents remain hopeful that<br />

continued support from programs such as<br />

CPAN and local aldermen offices as well as<br />

further improvements to existing efforts will<br />

help ensure the availability of affordable<br />

housing, particularly rental units, in Uptown.<br />

While respondents recognize the benefits of<br />

development activity, they stress the<br />

importance of coordinated, focused efforts<br />

on behalf of the city, aldermen, developers,<br />

and community groups alike in supporting a<br />

more universal adherence to the 10 to 20<br />

percent affordable set-aside provision<br />

throughout the revitalization process.<br />

Population<br />

Table 8: Chicago, IL and Uptown<br />

City and Neighborhood Demographics, 1990 and 2000<br />

Year City total Uptown<br />

Population 1990 2,783,500 24,700<br />

2000 2,895,600 24,200<br />

% change population 1990–2000 4.0 -2.0<br />

% black non-Hispanic 1990 38.7 25.4<br />

2000 36.9 23.3<br />

% white non-Hispanic 1990 38.2 37.8<br />

2000 32.1 39.2<br />

% other race non-Hispanic 1990 3.9 16.2<br />

2000 5.0 17.9<br />

% Hispanic 1990 19.2 20.6<br />

2000 26.0 19.6


Chicago, IL 75<br />

Income and poverty<br />

Average family income (in 1999 dollars) 1990 52,100 40,000<br />

Employment<br />

2000 59,200 50,100<br />

Unemployment rate 1990 11.3 10.9<br />

Housing conditions<br />

2000 10.1 8.7<br />

Occupied housing units 1990 1,025,200 10,600<br />

2000 1,061,700 11,000<br />

Total rental units 1990 663.9 10.0<br />

2000 637.5 8.9<br />

Rental vacancy rate 1990 9.7 9.6<br />

2000 6.4 5.5<br />

% housing units owner-occupied 1990 41.5 14.5<br />

2000 43.8 23.5<br />

Average value owner-occupied housing<br />

units (in 2000 dollars) 1990 124,000 223,400<br />

2000 169,000 312,200<br />

% of renters paying > 35% of income on<br />

rent 1990 34.4 37.6<br />

2000 30.8 31.0<br />

Home mortgage indicators<br />

Total number of mortgages<br />

originated/1,000 housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 22.8 13.4<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 33.9 35.0<br />

% change in number of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 48.7 161.2<br />

Dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated/housing units a Avg. (95, 96) 3,078 1,602<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 5,813 5,401<br />

% change in dollar value of mortgages<br />

originated, 1995/96–2000/2001 a 88.8 237.1<br />

Average value of mortgages originated<br />

(1–4-unit structures) a Avg. (95, 96) 134,800 119,700<br />

Avg. (00, 01) 171,400 154,200<br />

% change in average value of<br />

mortgages originated, 1995/96–<br />

2000/2001 a 27.2 28.8<br />

Source: Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Urban Institute’s<br />

Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB) based on 1990 and 2000 U.S. Censuses.<br />

Note: Data for Uptown are analyzed using census tracts 031000, 031200, 031300,<br />

031600, and 031900.<br />

a. Home Mortgage Disclosure Act dataset, 1995–2001, compiled by the Urban<br />

Institute. Dollar amounts expressed as constant 2001 dollars.


76 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

3<br />

section<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

A<br />

range of approaches has been taken to address affordable housing needs in six<br />

diverse neighborhoods located across the country. The six neighborhoods represent<br />

the spectrum of gentrification and housing market pressures. Whether housing<br />

practitioners in these neighborhoods referred to housing market pressures and accompanying<br />

neighborhood change as revitalization or gentrification—as a positive or negative situation or a<br />

complicated mix of both—most agreed on the need to balance the strengthening housing<br />

market with affordable housing provisions so that lower-income residents are not displaced.<br />

We draw from the case studies lessons<br />

related to the three types of strategies to<br />

reduce gentrification-related displacement:<br />

affordable housing production, affordable<br />

housing retention, and asset building. We<br />

also consider a number of cross-cutting<br />

issues important to strategy implementation:<br />

land availability; the role of city government;<br />

the role of community members; and the<br />

importance of economic development.<br />

Displacement Mitigation Strategies<br />

Our findings begin with the fact that none of<br />

the practitioners believed it was too late to<br />

implement some type of affordable housing<br />

strategy. Even in later-stage neighborhoods,<br />

such as Central Area and Uptown, building<br />

or retaining affordable housing stock was<br />

still possible, though constrained. Figure 1<br />

offers an overview of findings by strategy<br />

type and gentrification stage with regards to<br />

feasibility and implementation. 5<br />

Figure 1: Housing Strategy by Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Stage of <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Early → Middle → Late<br />

Affordable housing<br />

production strategies<br />

Feasible<br />

Affordable housing<br />

→<br />

Constrained<br />

Mixed-income<br />

housing<br />

Affordable housing<br />

retention strategies<br />

Feasible<br />

Retain individual<br />

homes<br />

→<br />

Feasible<br />

Retain multi-unit<br />

properties<br />

Asset-building strategies<br />

Feasible<br />

Effective<br />

→<br />

Feasible<br />

Less effective


Conclusion 77<br />

Affordable Housing Production<br />

Housing production is the key approach to<br />

addressing affordable housing needs in<br />

each of the six sites, regardless of the stage<br />

of the local housing market. The emphasis<br />

on production might be due in part to the<br />

relative ease of building new or<br />

rehabilitating existing housing units<br />

compared to retaining existing affordable<br />

housing. While production is common<br />

across the case study sites, the way in<br />

which projects are implemented is shaped<br />

by the local context. Housing production<br />

tends to focus less on incumbent residents<br />

than retention strategies. By focusing on<br />

increasing the affordable housing stock,<br />

production can mitigate exclusionary<br />

displacement, though it also benefits current<br />

residents who might move into new<br />

affordable rental or homeownership<br />

properties.<br />

Two primary, and related, factors affecting<br />

housing production implementation are land<br />

availability and the stage of gentrification.<br />

As a neighborhood’s housing market begins<br />

to gain strength, most of the units produced<br />

can be affordable because land costs are<br />

still relatively low and developable parcels<br />

are still relatively plentiful. In such a market<br />

environment, the motivation for housing<br />

development stems from neighborhood<br />

investment. Residents want to see their<br />

neighborhood improve while they,<br />

community based organizations and the city<br />

hope that initial investments lead to<br />

additional private investments for further<br />

revitalization. Under these conditions, it is<br />

feasible for nonprofit developers and niche<br />

for-profit developers to produce affordable<br />

housing. Their investment can serve as<br />

evidence to other builders that the financial<br />

risk is sufficiently low and interest in the<br />

neighborhood is sufficiently high to make<br />

additional activity worthwhile. Bartlett Park<br />

and the Midtown areas in St. Petersburg are<br />

examples where land is available, new<br />

housing is affordable, and most people<br />

hope that additional investments will lead to<br />

both residential and commercial<br />

improvements.<br />

In neighborhoods with strengthening or<br />

strong housing markets, high land prices<br />

constrain the number of new affordable<br />

units that can be built and the role of<br />

nonprofit developers in housing production.<br />

In such areas, nonprofit developers might<br />

partner with for-profit developers on mixedincome<br />

housing projects, leveraging the<br />

demand for market-rate housing and retail<br />

and commercial businesses to help finance<br />

affordable units. Community and city<br />

support for low-income housing can help<br />

motivate entities to build affordable housing.<br />

Inclusionary zoning regulations, for<br />

example, can encourage or require for-profit<br />

developers to include affordable units in<br />

their own projects. As we saw in Los<br />

Angeles’s Figueroa Corridor, people<br />

anticipate a turn to the mixed-use and<br />

mixed-income models of development in the<br />

near future due to the increasing costs of<br />

housing and land. In Central Area of Seattle<br />

and in Chicago’s Uptown, such<br />

development already is taking place.


78 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Affordable Housing Retention<br />

Most sites also employed strategies to<br />

retain existing affordable housing stock. In<br />

many instances, retention strategies<br />

focused on ensuring the continued<br />

affordability of housing units and the ability<br />

of current residents to remain in their homes<br />

and neighborhood—housing retention can<br />

mitigate secondary displacement of<br />

residents.<br />

In neighborhoods beginning to experience<br />

increasing housing costs, retention efforts<br />

can strengthen the affordable housing stock<br />

through assisting residents with home<br />

improvements so that they can remain in<br />

their homes. The concern is not necessarily<br />

one of affordable housing supply. Such an<br />

approach tends to focus on already existing<br />

homeowners. Improvements help stabilize a<br />

neighborhood for current residents as well<br />

as send visual signals that investment is<br />

occurring, which in turn can attract<br />

additional investment. Early on, retention is<br />

often targeted to individual housing units or<br />

small blocks of units rather than larger-scale<br />

efforts. Until the housing market<br />

accelerates, there is not much concern with<br />

retaining large quantities of affordable<br />

housing stock—housing already in supply.<br />

Affordable housing retention efforts often<br />

intensify once land costs increase and the<br />

available parcels diminish—and concern<br />

with the loss of affordable housing units<br />

becomes widespread. Retention strategies<br />

in stronger housing markets often target<br />

rental units. In Central Area, the CDC is<br />

looking into purchasing additional propertybased<br />

Section 8 developments as they<br />

become eligible to opt out of the program,<br />

and as production opportunities wane due<br />

to high costs. Uptown offers a slightly<br />

different example of retention efforts. There,<br />

organizations anticipated future pressures<br />

on affordable housing and converted a<br />

number of privately owned affordable<br />

properties to nonprofit ownership before<br />

housing and development prices rose<br />

significantly.<br />

Asset Building<br />

Asset building strategies, also used in each<br />

of the six sites, play a complementary role<br />

to production and retention approaches.<br />

The goal is to increase individuals’ assets<br />

so that they have increased ability to<br />

address housing and other needs, making<br />

them less at the mercy of housing market<br />

changes. Individual development accounts<br />

(IDAs) and programs to increase<br />

homeownership are examples of such<br />

efforts. Alone, asset building efforts are<br />

unlikely to have a broad impact in a<br />

community, though certainly they are<br />

important for individual participants. In<br />

combination with other approaches, they<br />

can strengthen overall displacement<br />

mitigation efforts.<br />

The implementation of asset-building<br />

approaches is not as affected by stage of


Conclusion 79<br />

gentrification as other strategies, production<br />

in particular. Programs related to asset<br />

building can be carried out regardless of<br />

land or property costs, although the<br />

outcome of such efforts can be greatly<br />

affected by the strength of the housing<br />

market. Whereas participants might be able<br />

to use IDA savings toward the purchase of a<br />

home in an area before prices increase,<br />

once prices are high, they are less likely to<br />

be able to do so.<br />

Cross-Cutting Lessons<br />

The study sites differed from each other in<br />

many ways, but together they suggest a<br />

number of lessons that are important<br />

regardless of city size, housing market<br />

strength, or stage of gentrification.<br />

Land Availability Is Essential<br />

The availability of developable land parcels<br />

is a factor for entities addressing affordable<br />

housing and displacement mitigation,<br />

regardless of the strength of the housing<br />

market. The availability and cost of<br />

developable sites will affect the choice of<br />

strategy—plentiful land at affordable prices<br />

makes housing production feasible; lack of<br />

land or high costs can encourage mixedrate<br />

or mixed-use housing resulting in fewer<br />

affordable units or push organizations<br />

toward housing retention efforts.<br />

People across the study sites spoke of the<br />

need to bank land early, before costs<br />

become prohibitive for affordable housing<br />

development. Purchasing parcels early at<br />

low cost can help control future<br />

development costs, ensuring affordable<br />

housing units for lower-income households.<br />

Effective land banking, however, requires<br />

foresight. Respondents from areas<br />

experiencing later stages of gentrification,<br />

such as practitioners in Uptown, spoke with<br />

regret of not purchasing land early. In some<br />

instances, people spoke of how hard it was<br />

beforehand to imagine their neighborhoods<br />

would ever experience such strong housing<br />

demand, such as in Atlanta’s Reynoldstown.<br />

St. Petersburg’s Bartlett Park is at a stage<br />

where the city and CDCs could bank land; it<br />

is available and costs have not increased<br />

dramatically. This site is also an example of<br />

how difficult it can be to convince other<br />

people of the need to bank something<br />

currently in supply. There is no guarantee<br />

that Bartlett Park will experience<br />

gentrification in the future. And there is little<br />

consensus among interested parties as to<br />

when, or if, attention to a possible future<br />

affordable housing pinch should occur. In<br />

places such as Bartlett Park in which there<br />

appears to be time to monitor land and<br />

housing cost trends, land banking can still<br />

take place in the near future if indicators<br />

suggest it should, and if support for such<br />

action can be garnered.<br />

City Government Involvement Is Crucial<br />

The case studies suggest that local<br />

government involvement and leadership is<br />

vital to addressing affordable housing needs<br />

regardless of the stage of gentrification.<br />

Local government plays a key role in<br />

creating regulatory supports and removing


80 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

barriers to housing development, providing<br />

project financing or technical support, and<br />

sending a message that affordable housing<br />

is an important component of the broader<br />

community. Attentive management of<br />

regulations and city programs can help<br />

create opportunities to affect neighborhood<br />

revitalization/gentrification and<br />

displacement, or hinder them. If a city does<br />

not proactively support the provision of<br />

affordable housing and become involved in<br />

efforts to manage gentrification forces, it will<br />

be that much more difficult for community<br />

organizations and developers to do so.<br />

The case studies offer a number of<br />

examples. In St. Petersburg, the city was<br />

reviewing the zoning regulations and<br />

preparing to change them to better reflect<br />

local context and development needs.<br />

Without the zoning changes, developers in<br />

in-town neighborhoods would need to<br />

purchase two lots for one new house in<br />

order to meet zoning requirements that<br />

were established based upon suburban lot<br />

sizes. Changing the zoning regulations will<br />

allow new development without reducing the<br />

number of land parcels in Midtown’s Bartlett<br />

Park and other city neighborhoods. Seattle’s<br />

Department of Neighborhoods and<br />

Department of Housing were reviewing the<br />

Special Objective Area designation of<br />

Central Area, which was initially established<br />

to disperse additional affordable housing<br />

away from the neighborhood that already<br />

had an abundance of such housing. Now<br />

that housing costs have risen considerably<br />

in Central Area, the city and community<br />

residents were discussing removing the<br />

designation so that it will be easier to build<br />

affordable units. By managing the SOA<br />

designation, it might be possible to affect<br />

the balance of affordable and market-rate<br />

housing production. Uptown provides<br />

another example of significant government<br />

involvement. Given the voluntary approach<br />

to inclusionary zoning established in the<br />

city, it is up to local aldermen to negotiate<br />

the inclusionary zoning requirements. To<br />

the advantage of Uptown’s affordable<br />

housing community, its alderman is a strong<br />

proponent of inclusionary zoning.<br />

Community Involvement Is Crucial<br />

Community involvement is crucial as well. It<br />

can help motivate city government and<br />

other organizations to support affordable<br />

housing initiatives. Community members<br />

can identify specific needs of a<br />

neighborhood and develop workable ideas.<br />

Once developments or programs move<br />

toward implementation, community<br />

members can assist or block any change.<br />

The community played a pivotal role in a<br />

number of the case studies. Figueroa<br />

Corridor is a good example of strong<br />

community involvement in identifying and<br />

addressing local housing needs.<br />

Organizations active in the area have<br />

organized tenants and trained them on their<br />

rights in response to clear efforts to displace<br />

lower-income residents. Community


Conclusion 81<br />

involvement is not always in support of<br />

affordable housing and displacement<br />

mitigation efforts, of course. A prodevelopment<br />

organization in Uptown is<br />

against efforts that might slow the pace of<br />

investment in the area. Seattle offers an<br />

example of courting community support for<br />

its housing levies. The city is dependent<br />

upon community support for the levies—the<br />

levies are put up for vote. The city has<br />

marketed the levies prior to the elections. It<br />

also designed the first levy to be politically<br />

expedient by targeting funds to seniors.<br />

Based upon initial success, subsequent<br />

levies have expanded in scope to reach<br />

broader segments of the population in need<br />

of affordable housing.<br />

It is interesting to note that while there is<br />

some level of organizational activity in each<br />

of the six neighborhoods, resident<br />

involvement in affordable housing activities<br />

was strong only in the three most gentrified<br />

communities. We are cautious in<br />

interpreting this finding, but it does suggest<br />

that residents are more likely to become<br />

involved once housing concerns are<br />

pressing. The challenge for communitybased<br />

organizations is to promote resident<br />

participation earlier so that people are<br />

involved with defining and addressing<br />

housing needs before options are limited<br />

and they feel powerless in the face of<br />

market forces.<br />

Displacement Is a Housing and<br />

Economic Issue<br />

Many respondents across the sites agreed<br />

that while affordable housing is needed, it is<br />

not sufficient by itself for reducing<br />

gentrification-related displacement.<br />

Employment and earnings also affect<br />

housing (and neighborhood) stability. In<br />

order for low-income residents of gentrifying<br />

neighborhoods to remain in place and<br />

benefit from neighborhood improvements,<br />

communities need to develop a holistic<br />

approach to mitigating displacement. In<br />

many of the neighborhoods in this study,<br />

business corridors experienced<br />

disinvestment similar to the residential<br />

communities. Changes to the housing and<br />

business sectors have been occurring<br />

reflexively—changes in one support<br />

changes in the other. Support for the<br />

development of existing businesses, so that<br />

they can weather change, and incentives for<br />

successful businesses to locate in the<br />

neighborhoods can create job opportunities<br />

for incumbent residents. Depending upon<br />

the wages offered, new jobs might in turn<br />

increase residents’ ability to remain in their<br />

community.<br />

Seattle offers two examples of economic<br />

development initiatives. Through the<br />

Chamber of Commerce’s Urban Enterprise<br />

Center, employers are encouraged to offer<br />

jobs with decent salaries to former welfare<br />

recipients who receive job-readiness<br />

training. The program also supports the<br />

development of new businesses committed<br />

to hiring locally. The businesses receive


82 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

technical assistance to take advantage of<br />

the changing market conditions. The CDC<br />

active in Central Area sets hiring targets for<br />

minority and women subcontractors for its<br />

development projects, and publishes the<br />

results in its newsletters.<br />

Wrapping Up<br />

The term gentrification is laden with<br />

meaning, much of it negative in the eyes of<br />

people for whom it has become<br />

synonymous with displacement. Focusing<br />

on whether neighborhood investment,<br />

increasing land and housing values, and an<br />

influx of higher-income residents should be<br />

labeled gentrification or revitalization shifts<br />

focus away from what many respondents<br />

see as the key issue of concern—balancing<br />

the positive and negative changes that<br />

accompany increased neighborhood<br />

investment. Can ways be found to<br />

encourage investment and residential<br />

stability at the same time? Are there<br />

strategies that might serve both goals? The<br />

case studies offer hope in this regard<br />

through their examples of community<br />

involvement—not to stop change from<br />

occurring but to help direct it. Nonprofit<br />

organizations and local governments can<br />

take advantage of the opportunities at hand<br />

to leverage additional affordable housing<br />

units from market-rate developments. But to<br />

strike a balance, involved parties need to<br />

take stock of changing conditions on a<br />

regular basis and act in a timely manner<br />

while it is possible to make adjustments.<br />

Starting late in the game in a context of cost<br />

limitations will only make it more difficult to<br />

make a difference. Attempting to balance<br />

the forces at play in neighborhoods by<br />

necessity will be an ongoing process.<br />

The one regret mentioned by respondents<br />

from areas in later stages of gentrification is<br />

that they did not act earlier, especially in<br />

relation to land acquisition. Considering<br />

displacement early on can help maintain<br />

neighborhood balance over time. Interested<br />

parties can monitor changes occurring and<br />

plan courses of action rather than respond<br />

after the fact when options are constrained.<br />

Anticipating change might also reduce later<br />

community resistance if the people most<br />

affected by increasing costs are involved<br />

and know their concerns are being taken<br />

into consideration. It certainly increases the<br />

likelihood that the range of opportunities for<br />

future actions will be as broad as possible.


References 83<br />

REFERENCES<br />

Atkinson, Rowland. 2002. “Does <strong>Gentrification</strong> Help or Harm Urban Neighborhoods? An<br />

Assessment of the Evidence-Base in the Context of the New Urban Agenda.” Economic<br />

and Social Research Council, Centre for Neighborhood Research, Paper 5.<br />

Atlanta Journal and Constitution. Editorial. June 9, 2002. “Our Opinion: Mixed Blessings: Make<br />

community revival benefit all,” page 8f.<br />

Carter, Don. 1997. “Central Area Blooms and Booms.” Seattle Post Intelligencer. November 1.<br />

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/neighbors/centralarea/cent26.html (Accessed July 2003).<br />

Chicago Fact Book Consortium, ed. 1963. Local Community Fact Book Chicago Metropolitan<br />

Area 1960. Chicago: University of Illinois at Chicago.<br />

Esperanza Community Housing Corporation (ECHC) and Strategic Actions for a Just Economy<br />

(SAJE). 2003. “Hoover-Adams Neighborhood Land Trust.” Strategy paper.<br />

Freeman, Lance, and Frank Braconi. 2002. “<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Displacement.” The Urban<br />

Prospect. Citizens Housing and Planning Council. Vol. 8, No. 1.<br />

Glass, Ruth. 1964. “Introduction: Aspects of Change.” In Centre for Urban Studies (ed) London:<br />

Aspects of Change, MacGibbon and Kee.<br />

Grossman, Kate N. 2001. “Uptown Protestors Seek More Low-Cost Housing.” Chicago Sun-<br />

Times, May 6, p. 20.<br />

Hass, Peter, Philip Nyden, Thomas Walsh, Nathan Benefield, and Christopher Giangreco. 2002.<br />

“The Uptown Housing and Land Use Study.” The Center for Urban Research and<br />

Learning, Loyola University of Chicago.<br />

Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. 2002. “The State of the Nation’s<br />

Housing: 2002”. http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/publications/markets/Son2002.pdf.<br />

(Accessed July 2003).<br />

Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. 2003. “The State of the Nation’s<br />

Housing: 2003”. http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/publications/markets/son2003.pdf.<br />

(Accessed April 2004).


84 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Kennedy, Maureen, and Paul Leonard. 2001. “Dealing with Neighborhood Change: A<br />

Primer on <strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices.” Discussion paper prepared for the<br />

Brookings Institution Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy and PolicyLink.<br />

Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy.<br />

Marcuse, P. 1986. “Abandonment, gentrification and displacement: the linkages in New York<br />

City.” In Smith, N. and P. Williams (eds.) <strong>Gentrification</strong> of the City. London: Unwin<br />

Hyman.<br />

Millennial Housing Commission. 2002. “Meeting Our Nation’s Housing Challenges.” Report of<br />

the Bipartisan Millennial Housing Commission Appointed by the Congress of the United<br />

States.<br />

National Housing Task Force. 1988. “A Decent Place to Live.” Washington, DC: National<br />

Housing Task Force.<br />

National Low-Income Housing Coalition. 2002. “Out of Reach 2001: America’s Growing Wage-<br />

Rent Disparity.” http://www.nlihc.org/oor2001/introduction.htm. (Accessed July 2003).<br />

Recommendations of the Housing Crisis Task Force. 2000. “In Short Supply.” March.<br />

RMPK Group, Inc., A.A. Baker and Associates. 2002. Strategic Planning Group, Inc., City of St.<br />

Petersburg Midtown Strategic Planning Initiative.<br />

Seattle Office of Planning. 2003. City of Seattle 2002 Housing Levy. Administrative and<br />

Financial Plan: Program Years: 2003 & 2004.<br />

Sherraden, M. 1991. Assets and the Poor: A New American Welfare Policy. Armonk, NY: M.E.<br />

Sharpe. pp. 101–105.<br />

Smith, Neil. 1996. The New Urban Frontier: <strong>Gentrification</strong> and the Revanchist City. London:<br />

Routledge.<br />

Vigdor, Jacob L. 2002. “Does <strong>Gentrification</strong> Harm the Poor?” In Gale, William G. and Janet<br />

Rothenberg Pack (eds.), Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs 2002. Washington,<br />

DC: Brookings Institution Press.<br />

Walters, Sabrina. 2002. “Activists Rip Pricey Condo Plan in Uptown.” Chicago Sun-Times.<br />

February 3, p. 13.


References 85<br />

Weber, Rachel and Janet Smith. 2001. “Assets and Neighborhoods: The Role of Individual<br />

Assets in Neighborhood Revitalization.” Fannie Mae Foundation 2001 Housing<br />

Conference proceedings.<br />

Wyly, Elvin K., and Daniel J. Hammel. 1999. “Islands of Decay in Seas of Renewal: Housing<br />

Policy and the Resurgence of <strong>Gentrification</strong>.” Housing Policy Debate Vol. 10, Issue 4,<br />

pp. 711–71.<br />

Data Sources<br />

Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA)<br />

The Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) requires certain mortgage lending institutions to<br />

compile and disclose data about loan applications and approvals. Institutions required to<br />

file HMDA data include commercial banks, savings and loans, credit unions, and<br />

mortgage companies that meet specific criteria. Data collected under HMDA are used to<br />

help the public determine if lending institutions are meeting the housing credit needs of<br />

their communities, to help public officials target community development investment, and<br />

to help regulators enforce fair lending laws. The data include individual loan records for<br />

almost all mortgage lenders in the U.S, including loan amounts, terms, and<br />

characteristics of the borrower and lender.<br />

Web site: http://www.ffiec.org<br />

Census CD Neighborhood Change Database (NCDB)<br />

The NCDB is the main source of decennial census data used in this report. Funded by the<br />

Rockefeller Foundation, the NCDB is a joint project between the Urban Institute and<br />

Geolytics, Inc., to develop a national set of comparable population and housing variables<br />

from the 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 decennial censuses. A methodology has been<br />

developed to link the associated data to 2000 census tract boundaries so that consistent<br />

comparisons can be made across census years. For more information, refer to Tatian,<br />

Peter A. 2003. CensusCD Neighborhood Change Database: Data Users’ Guide (Long<br />

Form Release). Washington, D.C.: The Urban Institute. October.<br />

Geolytics, Inc., Web site: http://www.geolytics.com


86 In the Face of <strong>Gentrification</strong>: Case Studies of Local Efforts to Mitigate Displacement<br />

Related Publication<br />

Levy, Diane K., Jennifer Comey, and Sandra Padilla. 2006. “Keeping the Neighborhood<br />

Affordable: A Handbook of Strategies for Gentrifying Areas.” Washington, DC: The<br />

Urban Institute.<br />

ENDNOTES<br />

1 Neighborhood data differ somewhat depending upon the source due to slight differences in census<br />

tracts included in analyses. For the purposes of this study, the tracts used are 007700, 007900, 008700,<br />

008800, 008900, and 009000. Though the data in Urban Institute’s analysis differ from some of the data<br />

provided by city staff, the trends are the same in all cases.<br />

2 In addition to the large, mixed-use projects, CADA has developed 57 homeownership units and 59<br />

rental units in Central Area. CADA assists approximately 10 households a year through its program to<br />

help maintain the homes of elderly and disabled residents.<br />

3 The 40–64 age group increased by 21 percent, while the percentage of children under age 18<br />

decreased by 22 percent and senior citizens age 65 and older decreased by 9 percent (Haas et al. 2002).<br />

4 Numbers come the city of Chicago, Department of Housing summary of Chicago Partnership for<br />

Affordable Neighborhoods (CPAN) as of May 13, 2003.<br />

5 The arrows in the chart pointing toward increasing degrees of gentrification should not be interpreted as<br />

suggesting neighborhood change occurs in one direction or along one path. For purposes of this study,<br />

we were looking at neighborhoods experiencing changes that at the time indicated increasing<br />

neighborhood investment and gentrification.


APPENDIX 1<br />

SITE SELECTION METHODOLOGY<br />

Our methodology for selecting case study sites involved three steps:<br />

• identify cities that experienced accelerated housing markets between 1996 and<br />

2001 using data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA);<br />

• identify census tracts within the top cities that experienced above-average<br />

housing market activity using HMDA data; and<br />

• survey stakeholders in potential sites to determine whether gentrification has<br />

occurred, in what locations, and at what stage; identify the type of mitigation<br />

strategies implemented; and assess the political and organizational climate.<br />

Cities with Accelerated Housing Markets<br />

We first identified the top 100 central cities within the country by population. To identify<br />

cities within the top 100 that experienced an accelerated housing market, we calculated<br />

the percent change in the number of home purchase loans that were approved for<br />

owner-occupied, principle dwellings and the percent change in the median amount of<br />

home purchase loans between 1996 and 2001. We focused on HMDA data from 1996<br />

to 2001 in order to capture the economic boom the nation experienced during the mid- to<br />

late-1990s. We retained cities that ranked above the national percent increase in<br />

median loan amount and the number of loan originations for further analysis. A total of<br />

21 cities remained from our original list of 100.<br />

Census Tracts with Accelerated Housing Markets<br />

We next identified the census tracts in each of the 21 cities that had above-average<br />

housing activity between 1996 and 2001. First, we excluded census tracts from our<br />

analysis if the median household income of the tract was greater than 120 percent of the<br />

median household income of the city in 1990 (120 percent is a HUD standard) because<br />

we are only interested in gentrifying areas (i.e., those areas where high-income people<br />

were moving into lower-income neighborhoods). Census tracts were also dropped if<br />

HMDA data at the census tract level was missing in 1996 or 2001.<br />

We again calculated the percent change in the number of home purchase loans and the<br />

percent change in the median amount of the home purchase loans between 1996 and<br />

2001 in each tract. Census tracts were dropped from the analysis if the percent change<br />

in median loan amount and number of loans between 1996-2001 were less than the


average city change. The remaining census tracts represent the areas with accelerated<br />

housing markets within the 21 cities.<br />

Stakeholder Surveys about <strong>Gentrification</strong> and Strategies<br />

Our final task was to survey local stakeholders, knowledgeable city department<br />

employees and nonprofit staff, to corroborate HMDA findings and to gather specific<br />

information on:<br />

• where gentrification has occurred in a city since 1996 (i.e., in what specific<br />

neighborhoods), and whether the gentrification in those neighborhoods is in the<br />

beginning or later stages for each identified area. In addition, we asked for<br />

census tract numbers to compare to our analysis when possible;<br />

• the types of displacement mitigation strategies being implemented in the areas<br />

identified, if any, how long the strategies have been in place, and strategy<br />

outcomes;<br />

• the policy climate regarding mitigation strategies, i.e., whether city departments<br />

are working to address affordable housing needs;<br />

• the organizational capacity of the residents and organizations in the identified<br />

neighborhoods; and,<br />

• neighborhoods showing early signs of market change that might gentrify in the<br />

future. Identifying areas in the early stage of gentrification is very difficult to<br />

pinpoint through HMDA or Census data; gathering local opinion ensures better<br />

success in identifying these areas.<br />

After contacting people in the potential study sites, we eliminated three cities from<br />

consideration because gentrification had not occurred in the neighborhoods or because<br />

it was a politically sensitive topic and city government officials did not want to participate<br />

in the study.<br />

Based upon stakeholder information on the types of strategies implemented, the<br />

intensity of the housing market, and in consultation with Fannie Mae Foundation staff,<br />

we selected the six neighborhoods in six cities represented a range of strategies and<br />

stages of gentrification.


APPENDIX 2<br />

ORGANIZATIONS AND INDIVIDUALS INTERVIEWED FOR CASE STUDIES<br />

Atlanta<br />

Young Hughley, Executive Director<br />

Kevin Byers, Manager of Housing Production and Economic Development<br />

Reynoldstown Revitalization Corporation<br />

Bruce Gunter, President<br />

Progressive Redevelopment, Inc.<br />

Nathaniel Smith, Public Policy Manager<br />

Myke Harris-Long<br />

Atlanta Neighborhood Development Partnership, Inc.<br />

Kwaku George, Director of Lending and Equity<br />

Community Redevelopment Loan and Investment Fund Inc. (an affiliation of ANDP)<br />

Protip Biswas, Project Director<br />

The Enterprise Foundation<br />

Mike Dobbins, former Commissioner of Department of Planning and Community<br />

Development, city of Atlanta<br />

Larry Keating, professor<br />

City and Regional Planning Program, Georgia Institute of Technology<br />

Chicago<br />

Sarah Jane Knoy, Executive Director<br />

Organization of the NorthEast (ONE)<br />

Joyce Dugan, Director of Community Economic Development<br />

Uptown Community Development Corporation (UPCORP)<br />

Stacie Young, Director of Research Planning and Development<br />

Marti Wiles, Coordinating Planner<br />

William Eager, Deputy Commissioner<br />

Kelly Marie Clarke, Assistant Commissioner<br />

Department of Housing, City of Chicago


Kenneth Snyder, Executive Director<br />

Mary Burns, resident<br />

Jane Addams Senior Caucus<br />

Maggie Marystone, Assistant<br />

Alderman Helen Shiller’s Office, 46 th Ward, City of Chicago<br />

Greg Harris, Chief of Staff<br />

Alderman Mary Ann Smith’s Office, City of Chicago<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Sheila Bernard, President<br />

Lincoln Place Tenant’s Association<br />

Steve Clare, Executive Director<br />

Venice Community Housing Corporation<br />

Margarita H. de Escontrias, Housing Manager<br />

John McCoy, Deputy Administrator, Community Development II<br />

Donald Spivack, Deputy Administrator<br />

Community Redevelopment Agency, City of Los Angeles<br />

Sister Diane Donoghue, Executive Director<br />

Helen Villagomez, Asset Manager<br />

Esperanza Community Housing Corporation<br />

Gilda Haas, Executive Director<br />

Strategic Actions for a Just Economy<br />

Beatrice Hsu, Legislative Deputy<br />

Councilmember Eric Garcetti, Thirteenth District, City of Los Angeles<br />

Sam Mistrano, Deputy Director<br />

Southern California Association of Non-Profit Housing<br />

Ed P. Reyes, Councilmember<br />

Gerald G. Gubatan, Chief Planning Deputy<br />

First Council District, City of Los Angeles<br />

Nataki Finch Richards, Deputy Director of Housing, Mayor’s Office of Economic<br />

Development<br />

City of Los Angeles<br />

Sally Richman, Manager, Executive Management, Policy and Planning<br />

Los Angeles Housing Department


Thomas Safran<br />

Thomas Safran & Associates<br />

Walker Wells, RESCUE Program Director<br />

Global Green USA<br />

Sacramento<br />

Paul Ainger, Director of Development<br />

Community Housing Opportunities Corporation<br />

Tim Brown, Executive Director<br />

Joan Burke, Director of Advocacy<br />

Loaves and Fishes<br />

John W. Dangberg, Executive Director<br />

Jacqueline Whitelam, Administrative Services Director<br />

Captiol Area Development Authority<br />

Ethan J. Evans, Executive Director<br />

Sacramento Housing Alliance<br />

Beverly Fretz-Brown, Director of Policy and Planning<br />

Sarah Hansen, Acting Director City Community Development<br />

Sacramento Housing & Redevelopment Agency<br />

Tina Glover, Information Services<br />

Katrina Middleton, Information Services<br />

Laurie Simon, Adult and Aging Commission<br />

Community Services Planning Council<br />

Mari Grimes, Fellow<br />

St. Hope Neighborhood Corps<br />

Dave Jones, Council Member District Six, Vice Mayor<br />

City of Sacramento<br />

Greg Sparks, Director Housing Development<br />

Mercy Housing California<br />

Seattle<br />

Ted Divina, Neighborhood District Coordinator<br />

Department of Neighborhoods<br />

Central Neighborhood Service Center<br />

Darlene Flynn, Neighborhood Development Manager<br />

East/Southeast Sectors


Department of Neighborhoods<br />

Rick Hooper, Manager<br />

Planning and Policy<br />

Office of Housing<br />

Herman McKinney, Vice President, Urban Affairs<br />

Greater Seattle Chamber of Commerce<br />

Lenny Rose, Owner-Operator<br />

Rose & Associates, L.L.C.<br />

Red Apple Markets<br />

George M. Staggers, Chief Executive Officer<br />

Central Area Development Association<br />

Laura Hewitt Walker, Senior Planning and Development Specialist<br />

Office of Housing<br />

Lish Whitson, Senior Planner<br />

Department of Design, Construction and Land Use<br />

St. Petersburg<br />

Askia Muhammad Aquil, Executive Director<br />

St. Petersburg Neighborhood Housing Services, Inc.<br />

Lolita Dash, Community Liaison<br />

Front Porch<br />

Michael Dove, AICP, Deputy Mayor<br />

Neighborhood Services<br />

City of St. Petersburg<br />

Elder Martin Rainey, Chairman<br />

Front Porch<br />

Brian Smith, Marketing Agent<br />

General Home Development Corporation<br />

George Smith, Executive Director<br />

Mt. Zion Human Services, Inc.<br />

Thomas deYampert, Manager<br />

Housing and Community Development<br />

City of St. Petersburg


Page 124 of 150


Attachment D<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

Page 125 of 150


Mapping Susceptibility<br />

to <strong>Gentrification</strong>:<br />

The Early Warning Toolkit


Author<br />

Karen Chapple, Faculty Director, Center for Community Innovation<br />

Cover Photo<br />

Tiffany Yang<br />

Key Support<br />

The invaluable contributions of many different research assistants made this study possible. I am deeply grateful to<br />

Mason Austin, Rebecca Coleman, Anne Martin, Nina Meigs, Tessa Munekiyo, Jane Rongerude, Elizabeth Wampler, and<br />

Tiffany Yang for their efforts. I would like to thank Miriam Chion, Marisa Cravens, Jennifer Yeamans, and the members<br />

of the Development Without Displacement Advisory Committee for their comments. A California Department of<br />

Transportation grant to the Association of Bay Area Governments supported this research.<br />

The Center for Community Innovation (CCI) at UC-Berkeley nurtures effective solutions that expand economic<br />

opportunity, diversify housing options, and strengthen connection to place. The Center builds the capacity of nonprofits<br />

and government by convening practitioner leaders, providing technical assistance and student interns, interpreting<br />

academic research, and developing new research out of practitioner needs.<br />

University of California<br />

Center for Community Innovation<br />

316 Wurster Hall #1870<br />

Berkeley, CA 94720-1870<br />

http://communityinnovation.berkeley.edu<br />

August 2009


Mapping Susceptibility<br />

to <strong>Gentrification</strong>:<br />

The Early Warning Toolkit


Introduction<br />

The Bay Area is one of the most expensive and challenging<br />

housing markets in the country. 1 On average, local<br />

households spend 48% of their income on housing,<br />

compared to 29% for the country as a whole, and just 12%<br />

can afford the median priced home. 2 A quarter of Bay<br />

Area renters meet HUD’s definition of severely housing<br />

burdened, dedicating more than 50 percent of their income<br />

to housing. 3<br />

Anticipated growth will place even more pressure on the<br />

region’s housing market. The Association of Bay Area<br />

Governments (ABAG) projects an additional 1.9 million<br />

people and 1.6 million jobs by 2035. 4 Meanwhile, new<br />

funding for transit approved by Bay Area voters will add<br />

100 new stations, many in already built-up areas, to the<br />

region’s existing 300 rapid transit stations and transit<br />

corridors. 5<br />

Although the planned new transit facilities will help to<br />

accommodate much of the population growth, they also<br />

present a challenge. Researchers generally agree that new<br />

transit investment will bring higher property values to the<br />

surrounding area (except in the immediate vicinity of the<br />

transit station). 6 This could spur a process of gentrification,<br />

which will be beneficial to some – but not to those who<br />

cannot bear rent increases and are forced to leave the<br />

neighborhood.<br />

This report was prepared for ABAG as part of its<br />

Development without Displacement project funded by an<br />

environmental justice grant from CalTrans. This project<br />

is meant to increase regional and local understanding<br />

of gentrification and displacement, and in particular<br />

increase awareness of equitable development policies that<br />

jurisdictions can use to capture the benefits of new growth<br />

for their current residents. The purpose of this report is<br />

to create an early warning toolkit to help communities<br />

identify whether their neighborhood is susceptible to<br />

gentrification as reinvestment occurs. This in turn suggests<br />

potential for displacement — but does not necessarily<br />

predict it. In order to understand future displacement<br />

potential more fully, a jurisdiction would need to combine<br />

the toolkit with an assessment of its existing affordable<br />

housing policies and stock, as well as the effects of any<br />

proposed redevelopment plan.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong>,<br />

displacement, and TODs<br />

Since the term “gentrification” first appeared in the<br />

1960s, the debate over its meaning and impact has only<br />

intensified. 7 The definitions range from the purely<br />

economic (such as new high-income households, housing<br />

investment, or transition from renter- to owner-occupancy),<br />

to the demographic (influx of white households, collegeeducated<br />

residents, non-family households, etc.), to some<br />

combination. Some describe gentrification’s impact as<br />

revitalization that for the most part benefits the entire<br />

neighborhood’s population; others equate it directly with<br />

the displacement of existing residents.<br />

How we define gentrification matters. Depending on its<br />

characteristics, this type of neighborhood change can be<br />

positive or negative. Neighborhood residents may benefit<br />

from the influx of new residents. For instance, a group<br />

of college-educated artists may arrive; instead of pushing<br />

up rents so that long-term residents cannot afford to stay,<br />

these newcomers may be renovating former commercial<br />

spaces, creating public art, and offering low-cost art<br />

classes. An increase in median household income in the<br />

neighborhood might reflect improved access to college<br />

education for second-generation immigrants. All residents<br />

will benefit from the presence of new services attracted<br />

by the rising neighborhood incomes. And, housing price<br />

appreciation might make it possible for families to sell their<br />

homes and move to neighborhoods with better amenities.<br />

At the same time, the influx of new residents and capital<br />

may be harmful. As reinvestment occurs and property<br />

values rise, the potential for different forms of indirect<br />

displacement rises. Able to command higher rents on the<br />

market, landlords will raise rents to the extent permitted by<br />

law, increasing tenant turnover. While these increases may<br />

impact any tenant not residing in permanently affordable<br />

housing, they are most likely to displace those already<br />

paying a disproportionate share of their income for rent,<br />

who are not able to squeeze their transportation or food<br />

budget any more to pay for housing. Whether the influx<br />

is of affluent homeowners or nontraditional households,<br />

the changes are likely to tighten the housing market and<br />

make it difficult for new low-income residents to move in.<br />

Moreover, the new population will undoubtedly change<br />

the neighborhood’s essential character, in some areas<br />

making it difficult to preserve historic significance. 8<br />

Mission District, San Francisco<br />

Photo: Center for Community Innovation<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 1


This report defines gentrification as a process of<br />

neighborhood change that encompasses economic change<br />

in the form of increases in both real estate investment and<br />

household income, as well as demographic change in the<br />

form of increases in educational attainment. These changes<br />

may be highly correlated with racial/ethnic transition<br />

as well, though this is not measured directly. Although<br />

some change could be coming from within, as existing<br />

residents improve their economic circumstances, most is<br />

driven by exogenous forces, as evidenced by home price<br />

appreciation. 9 Thus, we differentiate gentrification from<br />

revitalization more generally, which consists simply of<br />

improvements in neighborhood income (due either to<br />

newcomers or changes for existing residents). Specifically,<br />

this report uses the definition of gentrification put forth<br />

by Freeman (2005), modified slightly for the Bay Area, to<br />

describe change in the decade of the 1990s: a central city<br />

neighborhood with housing price appreciation above the<br />

regional average, increase in educational attainment above<br />

the regional average, and household income at or below<br />

the 40th percentile of regional household income (roughly<br />

80% of median income, a standard definition of lowincome)<br />

in the starting year (as the process begins). 10<br />

Though it is helpful in identifying low-income<br />

neighborhoods in which the market is expressing interest,<br />

this definition does not include any measures of indirect<br />

displacement that occurs as the neighborhood changes.<br />

Researchers have found that it is very difficult to define<br />

how much indirect and involuntary displacement is<br />

occurring in conjunction with neighborhood change. The<br />

best estimate of the extent of involuntary displacement<br />

comes from Newman & Wyly (2006), who find that up<br />

to ten percent of rental moves in New York City occur<br />

due to displacement. However, New York City may be<br />

anomalous, due to a very hot rental market and stringent<br />

rent control and stabilization laws. Several national studies<br />

suggest that gentrification and mobility are not strongly<br />

associated – in fact, poor renters are more likely to remain<br />

in gentrifying areas than to depart. 11<br />

Even when survey data on the reason for moving is<br />

available (as in New York City), it may be inaccurate. 12 For<br />

instance, it may understate displacement by not surveying<br />

those who have moved out of the city, or not including<br />

those who moved because of the threat of a rent increase<br />

rather than an actual increase. But it may also overstate<br />

displacement by including those experiencing trouble<br />

paying the rent due not to rent increases but personal<br />

economic hardship, such as the loss of a job, or landlordtenant<br />

disagreements over who is responsible for building<br />

maintenance.<br />

Since it is so difficult to know why households move,<br />

another way of determining whether indirect and<br />

involuntary displacement is occurring is to look at<br />

evictions. Court records on evictions describe the reasons<br />

for owner action. However, they are not available in<br />

database or aggregate format, with the exception of the<br />

few cities with rent control laws that track evictions<br />

carefully (e.g., San Francisco). In any case, one study of<br />

evictions data in Richmond found that only a very small<br />

share of households were evicted for rent increases –<br />

suggesting that either displacement is rare in low-income<br />

neighborhoods or, more likely, landlords cite other reasons<br />

when trying to evict tenants. 13<br />

No research to date has explicitly examined the<br />

relationship between transit investment and gentrification.<br />

But findings from many studies suggest that the area<br />

around rail transit stations may be particularly susceptible<br />

to gentrification – and potentially displacement as well –<br />

for several reasons. 14 It is well established that new transit<br />

stations increase property values (except in their immediate<br />

vicinity), because of the improved accessibility they bring.<br />

Also, when built in urban areas, these neighborhoods<br />

are more economically and racially diverse than other<br />

neighborhoods; they house a relatively large share of lowincome<br />

households (many of whom are transit-dependent),<br />

and are likely to attract college-educated commuters and<br />

non-family households – exactly the types of changes<br />

associated with gentrification (as we find in this study).<br />

Even the process of developing new transit facilities can<br />

spur displacement, since the disamenity of construction can<br />

result in temporary displacement that becomes permanent,<br />

or discourage the traditional neighborhood in-migrants<br />

from moving in.<br />

North Beach, San Francisco<br />

Photo: Tom Dill<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 2


In this report we demonstrate current (as of 2000) patterns<br />

of gentrification and, based on the factors behind that<br />

change, predict where it is most likely to occur in the future<br />

(Figure 1). Further, we identify a number of factors that<br />

may increase the likelihood that residents are displaced<br />

by new development. However, we are not able either<br />

to describe where displacement has occurred or predict<br />

exactly where it will take place in the future. In other<br />

words, though we can use past trends to help predict how<br />

neighborhoods will change in the future, we do not know<br />

whether existing (and new) residents are benefiting or<br />

harmed by the change.<br />

The following presents our findings in four sections. The<br />

first describes patterns of neighborhood change in the Bay<br />

Area from 1990 to 2000 (the most recent period for which<br />

reliable small-area data were available), using census<br />

tracts, areas of approximately 4,000 residents, to represent<br />

neighborhoods and U.S. decennial census data for the<br />

analysis. The second looks specifically at change in the<br />

form of gentrification – which, though not extensive, is<br />

strongly associated with transit stations – and determines<br />

the factors that cause this type of change (again relying<br />

mostly on census data). This analysis allows us to predict<br />

future susceptibility to gentrification; if an area scores high<br />

on the factors that cause gentrification, then it is likely<br />

to gentrify at some point in the future. A third analysis<br />

identifies other indicators that suggest the potential for<br />

displacement in the future. These analyses together<br />

comprise the early warning toolkit, and the next section<br />

uses the Lake Merritt station area as a case study to show<br />

how the toolkit might be used. A final section outlines<br />

steps for future research.<br />

A portrait of neighborhood<br />

change and transit in the<br />

Bay Area, 1990 to 2000<br />

Every Bay Area neighborhood is going through some<br />

process of neighborhood change. One type of change is<br />

of course gentrification. By defining gentrification based<br />

on these factors – starting as a low-income neighborhood<br />

in a central location, and experiencing increases in<br />

household income and educational attainment greater<br />

than the Bay Area region as a whole – there are 102<br />

census tracts that gentrified from 1990 to 2000 (7.3% of<br />

the total tracts, with 6% of all households) (see Figure 2<br />

and Appendix Figures 1-6 for subregional maps). Thus,<br />

93% of Bay Area neighborhoods are going through other<br />

types of change. We can characterize these changes by<br />

looking at how the distribution of household income<br />

changes in neighborhoods over time. Neighborhood<br />

income distributions may shift either through household<br />

turnover (out-migrants and in-migrants) or changes in<br />

income status for existing households. Although publicly<br />

available census data does not allow us to understand<br />

whether change is happening through turnover or existing<br />

households, it does paint a picture of income trends in the<br />

aggregate.<br />

Neighborhoods consist of households with incomes that<br />

fall into one of six categories relative to the area median<br />

income (AMI) of the nine-county Bay Area. We chose<br />

the categories to represent categories commonly used by<br />

affordable housing programs: 15<br />

1) very low income (less than 50% of AMI);<br />

2) low-income (50% to 80% of AMI);<br />

3) moderate income (80% to 100% of AMI);<br />

4) high to moderate-income (100% to 120% of AMI);<br />

5) high income (120% -150% of AMI);<br />

6) very-high-income (150% of AMI and above).<br />

The analysis looks at neighborhood change from 1990<br />

to 2000 using the Neighborhood Change Database<br />

developed by Geolytics, Inc., a database which allows<br />

for the comparison of census tracts over time even when<br />

boundaries change. 16 Data on housing sales (to analyze<br />

gentrification) comes from Dataquick zip code data.<br />

Figure 1. Process of neighborhood change.<br />

1990 2000 2010<br />

Neighborhood Neighborhood Neighborhood<br />

Existing<br />

Residents<br />

Ongoing<br />

Public<br />

Investment<br />

(Transit)<br />

Market<br />

Changes<br />

Existing<br />

Residents<br />

New<br />

Residents<br />

Existing<br />

Residents<br />

New<br />

Residents<br />

?<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 3


Figure 2. Typology of neighborhood change, 1990-2000.<br />

Ü<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Napa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Vallejo<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

Livermore<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Mateo<br />

San Jose<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Gilroy<br />

San Francisco<br />

Oakland<br />

Neighborhood Type<br />

Becoming bipolar<br />

Gentrifying<br />

Becoming middle income<br />

Becoming lower income<br />

Other<br />

Becoming upper income<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Planned Stations<br />

Source: Author’s calculations from Geolytics Neighborhood Change Database and Dataquick. See text for definitions.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 4


Figure 3. Relationship between transit accessibility and type of<br />

neighborhood change.<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

17<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

149<br />

84 278<br />

158<br />

Census tracts<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

85<br />

No transit<br />

With transit<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

71<br />

57 170<br />

142<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Gentrifying<br />

Becoming<br />

bipolar<br />

Becoming<br />

middle income<br />

Becoming<br />

lower income<br />

Becoming<br />

upper income<br />

Source: Author’s calculations from Geolytics Neighborhood Change Database and Dataquick.<br />

Tracts that are becoming bipolar are seeing growth of<br />

households in both the lowest and highest of the six income<br />

groups, at the expense of the four groups in the middle. 17<br />

There are 220 bipolar tracts in the San Francisco Bay Area,<br />

about 16 percent of the total (see Figure 3). 18 This type of<br />

change often occurs in areas with concentrations of both<br />

permanently affordable housing and new high-end units.<br />

Other types of change include becoming more middle<br />

income, becoming lower income, or becoming upper<br />

income. 19 Middle income neighborhood change occurs<br />

when the share of population in the two middle income<br />

categories is greater in 2000 than in 1990, and is over 25%<br />

by 2000. 141 (ten percent) of Bay Area tracts are becoming<br />

more middle income, many in the inner-ring suburbs<br />

which have experienced an influx of first-time homebuyers.<br />

Likewise, lower income change (448 tracts, 32 percent of<br />

the total) occurs when the share in the two lower income<br />

categories is greater in 2000, and the ending point is at<br />

least 25 percent. These areas are mostly in the urban core<br />

and ex-urban fringe. Concentrated mostly in areas that<br />

are already affluent, upper income change (300 tracts, 21<br />

percent) is when the share in the top two income categories<br />

is greater in 2000, with a ending share of 25 percent or<br />

more. “Other” (185 tracts) is a residual category and seems<br />

to consist of a mix of tracts where there is no systematic<br />

pattern of change.<br />

Most (85) of the gentrifying tracts are located within a<br />

half-mile walk from a rail and ferry transit station (see<br />

Appendix Table 1), half in San Francisco and the other half<br />

in Alameda and Santa Clara counties. It is not surprising<br />

that many gentrifying neighborhoods are located adjacent<br />

to transit, since studies have shown the residential market<br />

pressures around TODs. But what is striking is the contrast<br />

between neighborhoods experiencing gentrification as<br />

their predominant form of neighborhood change and<br />

those undergoing different types of change: gentrifying<br />

neighborhoods are nearly twice as likely to be located<br />

within one-half mile of transit than any other kind of<br />

neighborhood (Figure 3).<br />

As is evident in Appendix Table 1, many of these transit<br />

stations (42 in total) are BART or BART plus other modes;<br />

22 are Muni Metro (or Muni plus other modes); twelve<br />

Caltrain, ten VTA, eight Amtrak, four ferry stations, and<br />

even four cable car stops! Thus, gentrification can occur<br />

around many different forms of transit. Though this<br />

analysis does not incorporate bus transit stops, it should<br />

be noted that bus lines run through almost all of the<br />

gentrifying census tracts.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 5


Predicting susceptibility<br />

to gentrification in the Bay Area<br />

What types of neighborhoods are most susceptible to<br />

gentrification? To answer this question, we can look<br />

at the 102 tracts that gentrified from 1990 to 2000 and<br />

examine what they were like in 1990. Using multivariate<br />

regression, we can identify different types of factors that<br />

make a neighborhood more likely to gentrify. 20 These<br />

might be demographic factors, such as types of families<br />

in the neighborhood; income factors, such as the extent<br />

to which local households are experiencing high rent<br />

burdens; transportation factors, such as reliance on transit<br />

for the commute; housing factors, such as a large share<br />

of rental housing; locational factors, such as where the<br />

neighborhood lies in the region; and amenities, including<br />

parks and community facilities. 21<br />

Table 1 lists the nineteen factors that lay behind<br />

gentrification in the 1990s, showing whether they had a<br />

positive influence, causing more gentrification, or negative<br />

influence, causing less. The table ranks the variables’<br />

significance and shows the most important ones in bold;<br />

since these factors are many times more important than the<br />

others, it is worth examining them in more detail.<br />

Availability of amenities and public transportation top<br />

the list of factors (see Figures 7-12 in Appendix). More<br />

than who lived in the neighborhood in 1990, or where it<br />

was located within the region, or even the characteristics of<br />

the neighborhood, what was most important in attracting<br />

change and investment to the area was the proximity of<br />

amenities such as youth facilities and public space (and<br />

to a lesser extent, small parks), as well as the convenient<br />

location of transit (as evidenced by a high share of transit<br />

commuters). Interestingly, two of these variables were<br />

more likely to cause neighborhoods not to gentrify (i.e.,<br />

were negative in influence): the presence of public/<br />

nonprofit recreational facilities and a concentration of<br />

homes with more than three cars. The latter variable<br />

simply reflects auto-oriented outer suburban areas that are<br />

not likely to gentrify anyway because they are not central<br />

locations. Though more research is needed to understand<br />

why recreational facilities deter gentrification, it may be<br />

because they draw heavy traffic from more disadvantaged<br />

groups.<br />

Table 1. Factors behind gentrification in the 1990s.<br />

Variable type Variable Direction Rank<br />

Transportation % of workers taking transit Positive 4<br />

Youth facilities per 1,000 Positive 3<br />

Public space per 1,000 Positive 5<br />

Amenities Small parks per 1,000 Positive 17<br />

Demographic % non-family households Positive 8<br />

% of dwelling units in buildings with 5+ units Positive 7<br />

% of dwelling units in buildings with 3-4 units Positive 10<br />

% renter-occupied Positive 13<br />

Housing Public housing units Positive 19<br />

Income diversity Positive 6<br />

Income % of renters paying > 35% of income Positive 11<br />

Location Distance to San Jose Positive 14<br />

Transportation<br />

% of dwelling units with three or more cars<br />

available Negative 2<br />

Amenities Recreational facilities per 1,000 Negative 1<br />

% married couples w/ children Negative 9<br />

Demographic % non-Hispanic white Negative 12<br />

Housing Median gross rent Negative 18<br />

Income % of owners paying > 35% of income Negative 15<br />

Location Distance to San Francisco Negative 16<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 6


Three income variables (Figures 13-15 in Appendix) make<br />

a significant difference in whether a neighborhood will<br />

gentrify. Income diversity is a very important indicator:<br />

if an area is more diverse, i.e., has relatively equal<br />

representation across the six income groups, then it is more<br />

likely to attract this form of neighborhood change.<br />

Likewise, if there is a high share of renters who pay over<br />

35% of their income for rent, then the neighborhood is<br />

more susceptible. 22 It is easy to envision what occurs in this<br />

case: as an influx of newcomers increases area rents, these<br />

overburdened renters find themselves unable to pay an<br />

even higher share of their income for rent, so they depart,<br />

leaving more vacancies for new gentrifiers. In contrast,<br />

neighborhoods with concentrations of overburdened<br />

owners are less likely to gentrify, perhaps because<br />

the neighborhoods with high concentrations of home<br />

ownership tend to be more affluent.<br />

One predictable, but important, demographic variable<br />

that leads to gentrification is a larger share of nonfamily<br />

households. In contrast, the more non-Hispanic whites<br />

are in the area, the less likely it is to gentrify: the most<br />

susceptible areas are those where the majority is minorities.<br />

Likewise, the more married couples with children, the<br />

less likely the area is to gentrify (though there are some<br />

exceptions in areas with concentrations of Latino families,<br />

e.g., San Jose) (Figures 16-18 in the Appendix).<br />

Finally, four types of housing variables, closely related<br />

to each other, matter significantly (Figures 19-23 in the<br />

Appendix). In particular, the higher the share of multiunit<br />

buildings (with three or more units) and the higher<br />

the share of renter-occupied housing, the more likely the<br />

area is to gentrify, perhaps because change can occur<br />

more rapidly through turnover of rental units. 23 Not<br />

surprisingly, the higher the median gross rent, the less<br />

likely the area is to gentrify (since it may be affluent<br />

already). Finally, the higher the number of public housing<br />

units, the more likely the area is to gentrify, perhaps<br />

because there is often a lot of mobility in neighborhoods<br />

adjacent to public housing. 24<br />

If these factors caused gentrification in the past, then they<br />

are likely to make neighborhoods more susceptible to<br />

gentrification in the future. We can look at how each tract<br />

scores on each of these factors to determine whether it is<br />

likely to gentrify by 2010 or shortly thereafter.<br />

For each tract, we look at whether it is above or below<br />

average on each of the nineteen factors in 2000. For<br />

instance, the East Northside neighborhood of San Jose<br />

has a below average share of non-Hispanic whites (13%<br />

compared to 50% in the region) but an above average<br />

share of overburdened renters (35% compared to 30%<br />

in the region). Since tracts with a below average share<br />

of non-Hispanic whites are more likely to gentrify, this<br />

neighborhood scores 1 on this factor; likewise, since tracts<br />

with above average rent-burdened households are more<br />

likely to gentrify, this neighborhood also scores 1 on the<br />

rent burden factor. We total the scores across all nineteen<br />

factors to come up with the susceptibility index. Using this<br />

index, Figure 4 maps the susceptibility to gentrification<br />

across the region (see also subregional maps in the<br />

Appendix), while Table 2 shows the 18 neighborhoods near<br />

transit deemed highly susceptible that haven’t gentrified<br />

already.<br />

Chinatown, Oakland<br />

Photo: Center for Community Innovation<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 7


Figure 4. Projected susceptibility to gentrification in the future (2000-2010).<br />

Ü<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Napa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Vallejo<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

Pinole<br />

San Rafael El Sobrante<br />

San Pablo<br />

Larkspur<br />

Richmond<br />

El Cerrito<br />

Mill Valley<br />

Kensington<br />

Tiburon<br />

Albany Orinda<br />

StrawberryBelvedere<br />

Berkeley<br />

Sausalito<br />

Emeryville<br />

Piedmont<br />

Oakland<br />

Alameda<br />

San Francisco<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Mateo<br />

Livermore<br />

San Jose<br />

Daly CityBrisbane<br />

Colma<br />

San Leandro<br />

San Lorenzo<br />

Gilroy<br />

San Mateo<br />

San Jose<br />

Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

No Susceptibility<br />

Low Susceptibility<br />

Moderate Susceptibility<br />

High Susceptibility<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Planned Stations<br />

Planned Rail Expansions<br />

Source: Author’s calculations.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 8


Table 2. Bay Area transit-oriented neighborhoods most susceptible to gentrification in the future.<br />

County<br />

Tract<br />

Susceptibility<br />

Index<br />

Neighborhood/City<br />

System<br />

Alameda 4013 18 Telegraph/23rd/Art Murmur BART<br />

Alameda 4021 17 West Oakland BART<br />

Alameda 4035 17 Broadway/Auto Row BART<br />

Alameda 4234 17 South Berkeley BART<br />

Alameda 4235 17 South Berkeley BART<br />

San Francisco 106 17 North Beach/ Telegraph Hill<br />

Alameda 4030 16<br />

Downtown/Chinatown<br />

(Oakland)<br />

Cable Car, Central Subway,<br />

Street Car<br />

Ferry<br />

Alameda 4034 16 Lakeside (Oakland) BART<br />

Alameda 4037 16 Adams Point (Oakland) BART<br />

Alameda 4060 16 East Peralta (Oakland) BART<br />

Alameda 4224 16 Downtown Berkeley BART<br />

Alameda 4251 16 Emeryville Amtrak<br />

San Francisco 107 16 North Beach Cable Car, Street Car<br />

San Francisco 155 16 Japantown Cable Car*<br />

San Francisco 159 16 Western Addition Cable Car*<br />

San Francisco 163 16 Hayes Valley (West) MUNI Metro, Street Car<br />

Solano 2509 16 Downtown Vallejo Ferry<br />

Sonoma 1530.03 16 West Santa Rosa SMART<br />

*Note: Though the nearest rail transit station in these neighborhoods is the cable car, in practice the frequent 38 Geary<br />

bus service likely attracts far more residents.<br />

To qualify as highly susceptible, a tract has to<br />

score 1 on 16 or more factors, have a median income below<br />

the regional median, and be within one-half mile of a<br />

rail or ferry transit station (to highlight impacts of transit<br />

investment). The most susceptible tracts are concentrated<br />

in or near downtown Oakland and San Francisco.<br />

Tracts that are moderately susceptible to gentrification<br />

have a score of 13, 14, or 15 on the index. There are 90 of<br />

these tracts within one-half mile of transit, 61 of which<br />

have not gentrified already. Though most are near the<br />

major downtowns, they also appear in older suburbs<br />

and in urban low-income neighborhoods such as in<br />

East Oakland, Bayview in San Francisco, and the Iron<br />

Triangle in Richmond. Table 2 in the Appendix shows the<br />

susceptibility levels for all the tracts in the Bay Area.<br />

If each of these factors contribute towards gentrification,<br />

there could in theory be some level or threshold for each<br />

at which the gentrification process becomes more likely.<br />

Although it is hard to pinpoint an exact threshold, it is<br />

possible to compare the factors across gentrifying and<br />

non-gentrifying neighborhoods in order to determine the<br />

point at which gentrifying areas distinguish themselves.<br />

Table 3 shows the average level of each variable in<br />

gentrifying and non-gentrifying areas. For instance, in the<br />

gentrifying neighborhoods, 26% of the workers commute<br />

via transit (versus about 9% other neighborhoods). Any<br />

neighborhood with that level of transit usage or more<br />

may be more susceptible to gentrification. Likewise,<br />

neighborhoods with over 44% non-family households may<br />

be more likely to gentrify. These numbers should not be<br />

taken as exact thresholds, but rather approximate levels at<br />

which to watch for multiple signs of gentrification.<br />

Each of these factors has a direct implication for planning.<br />

This research has shown that accessibility to transit (and<br />

inconvenience for multiple-car households) makes a<br />

neighborhood much more likely to gentrify. This suggests<br />

that whenever planners make transit improvements, they<br />

should also examine how to preserve and create more<br />

permanently affordable housing, whether through joint<br />

development, coordination with the housing element,<br />

partnerships with nonprofits, or other means.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 9


Table 3. Mean factor levels in gentrifying and non-gentrifying neighborhoods.<br />

Variable type<br />

Variable<br />

Average by<br />

neighborhood type<br />

Non-gentrifying Gentrifying<br />

Transportation<br />

% of workers taking transit 8.7% 25.9% ***<br />

% of dwelling units with three or more cars available 22.3% 8.3% ***<br />

Recreational facilities per 1,000 residents 0.006 0.004<br />

Amenities<br />

Youth facilities per 1,000 residents 0.010 0.032 ***<br />

Public space per 1,000 residents 0.025 0.055 ***<br />

Small parks per 1,000 residents 0.189 0.300 ***<br />

% non-family households 31.7% 44.0% ***<br />

Demographic % non-Hispanic white 63.1% 28.9% ***<br />

% married couples w/ children 28.5% 16.7% ***<br />

% of dwelling units in buildings with 5+ units 20.4% 37.7% ***<br />

% of dwelling units in buildings with 3-4 units 5.9% 12.0% ***<br />

Housing % renter-occupied 38.3% 63.7% ***<br />

Median gross rent $742 $516 ***<br />

Public housing units 57 146 ***<br />

Income diversity 0.73 0.74<br />

Income % of renters paying > 35% of income 31.6% 38.6% ***<br />

% of owners paying > 35% of income 21.7% 21.2%<br />

Location<br />

Distance to San Jose (miles) 0.566 0.784 ***<br />

Distance to San Francisco (miles) 0.399 0.176 ***<br />

*** Difference significant at p < .001<br />

Most amenities, from small parks to public space to<br />

youth facilities, seem to be strongly associated with<br />

gentrification. Again, this makes an argument for linking<br />

planning for open space and other design improvements<br />

to various processes for planning and building affordable<br />

housing. Some amenities may actually deter gentrification<br />

– for instance, this research found that the presence of<br />

recreational facilities was negatively associated with<br />

gentrification. This finding warrants further research, but<br />

does suggest the importance of developing amenities that<br />

explicitly support the existing population, rather than some<br />

potential future residents.<br />

Cities with rent and eviction controls should make<br />

sure that these buildings remain protected; if they are<br />

project-based Section 8 or some other type of subsidized<br />

housing with expiring affordability provisions, cities<br />

should intervene pro-actively to ensure that they remain<br />

affordable. Restrictions on condo conversion may also help<br />

to preserve affordable rental units. Finally, in areas where<br />

renters pay a disproportionately high share of income for<br />

rent, planners should identify households with high rent<br />

burdens and connect them to rental assistance programs.<br />

Proactive action may be able to preserve housing<br />

affordability for tenants as neighborhood rents rise.<br />

A number of factors lead to direct implications for<br />

affordable housing planning. The association of non-family<br />

households with gentrifying areas suggests that planners<br />

might slow this type of neighborhood change by requiring<br />

buildings with larger units (e.g., three or more bedrooms)<br />

and amenities that cater to children or the elderly. Most<br />

susceptible to gentrification are neighborhoods with multiunit,<br />

renter-occupied buildings.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 10


Other indicators of<br />

displacement potential<br />

Though we are not able to measure precisely how much<br />

displacement is taking place in neighborhoods due to<br />

gentrification, there are a variety of factors that make<br />

it more likely that displacement will occur in a certain<br />

neighborhood. Of the factors presented above, renter<br />

occupancy and high rent burdens are likely the most<br />

strongly associated with displacement, since renters may<br />

not have the choice to stay in their unit as rents increase.<br />

In addition, housing policy can prevent or accelerate<br />

displacement processes directly: two factors that drive the<br />

extent of displacement are rent control and availability of<br />

subsidized housing.<br />

Just nine Bay Area cities have some form of rent control:<br />

Berkeley, Campbell, East Palo Alto, Fremont, Hayward,<br />

Los Gatos, Oakland, San Francisco, and San Jose. Almost<br />

all of these cities exempt more recent buildings (typically<br />

those built from 1980 on) from the controls. The strength<br />

of rent control legislation varies widely across cities by<br />

the types of units covered, the extent to which “landlord<br />

hardship” can be invoked to release units from rent control,<br />

and the amount that landlords are allowed to increase the<br />

rent or charge for improvements. Most cities now have<br />

vacancy decontrol, which has meant a steady decrease in<br />

the number of rent-controlled units. Almost all of these<br />

cities also have just cause eviction controls to protect<br />

renters, meaning that landlords can only evict with proper<br />

cause, such as a tenant’s failure to pay rent or destruction<br />

of property. Combined, rent and eviction controls should<br />

help stem, though not halt altogether, the number of<br />

tenants displaced because of rising market rents in the<br />

neighborhood.<br />

The Bay Area has almost 90,000 units of public housing<br />

built under the 1937 and 1949 Housing Acts. Some of<br />

this stock will remain permanently affordable (especially<br />

if cities do one-for-one replacement as they renovate the<br />

projects into mixed-income developments); however,<br />

some local cities are selling their scattered-site units and<br />

rehousing occupants via Section 8 vouchers. Moreover,<br />

nearly half of its subsidized housing stock now consists<br />

of units built since the 1970s, in the form of project-based<br />

Section 8 (approximately 20,000 units), Low Income<br />

Housing Tax Credit projects (almost 60,000 units), or<br />

other programs. Many of these programs have expiring<br />

affordability clauses; in other words, the government<br />

helped to fund the projects based on a commitment to keep<br />

the units affordable to low-income families for a period<br />

of years (from 15 to 30). Projects that are in gentrifying<br />

areas and are not managed by nonprofits often convert<br />

the units to market-rate once the affordability clause<br />

expires. Figures 5 and 6 illustrate the potential loss of<br />

subsidized housing because of expirations in the projectbased<br />

Section 8 program; if a project is not managed by a<br />

nonprofit, it is deemed more likely to be lost to the market<br />

when the project expires. 25 Figure 5 shows the location of<br />

the 19,491 units available in 2010; by 2025 (Figure 6), just<br />

under 4,000 remain. It is possible that more units will be<br />

retained, as intermediaries such as the Local Initiatives<br />

Support Corporation work actively to transfer this stock to<br />

nonprofit management. But much depends on the amount<br />

of market pressure in years to come.<br />

Housing policies drive the supply of affordable housing,<br />

but household incomes indicate the demand. Two income<br />

indicators suggest potential for displacement because of<br />

pressures on the family budget: the compound burden<br />

of housing and transportation costs, and the burden of<br />

unaffordable mortgages resulting in foreclosure.<br />

The Center for Neighborhood Technology (in collaboration<br />

with the Center for Transit-Oriented Development) has<br />

devised a methodology to estimate how much households<br />

of different income levels pay for both housing and<br />

transportation (H+T). Overall, in the Bay Area, households<br />

pay 48% of their income for housing and transportation<br />

costs combined. However, low-income households pay a<br />

much greater share of their income for H+T: in fact, were<br />

it not for public subsidies that help pay for H+T, some<br />

low-income households would find that the two combined<br />

exceed their entire income. Figure 7 maps H+T for families<br />

at the 25 th percentile of household income or below<br />

($35,000) for block groups in the Bay Area. Low-income<br />

households living in the core areas and/or near transit tend<br />

to have a much lower H+T (less than 65%) than households<br />

living in outer areas. In neighborhoods highly susceptible<br />

to gentrification, an H+T that is disproportionately high<br />

indicates that residents are unlikely to be able to stay in<br />

the absence of supportive housing policies. Overall, this<br />

indicator suggests more potential for displacement in outer<br />

suburbs, due to the high H+T.<br />

Tenderloin, San Francisco<br />

Photo: Center for Community Innovation<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 11


Figure 5. Project-based Section 8<br />

Units in 2010 by zip code.<br />

Figure 6. Project-based Section 8<br />

Units in 2025 by zip code.<br />

Total Units: 19,491<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Total Units: 3,914<br />

Units Lost (2010 - 2025): 15,577<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

San Francisco<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Vacaville<br />

Napa<br />

Napa<br />

Vallejo<br />

Vallejo<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

Livermore<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

Livermore<br />

San Mateo<br />

San Mateo<br />

# of Units/1000 Households (2000)<br />

0<br />

San Jose<br />

# of Units/1000 Households (2000)<br />

San Jose<br />

0<br />

0 - 2.5<br />

0 - 2.5<br />

2.5 - 5<br />

2.5 - 5<br />

5 - 7.5<br />

Gilroy<br />

7.5 - 10<br />

10 - 12.5<br />

> 12.5<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Proposed Stations<br />

p<br />

5 - 7.5<br />

Gilroy<br />

7.5 - 10<br />

10 - 12.5<br />

> 12.5<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Proposed Stations p<br />

Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, as modified by the California Housing Partnership.<br />

Oakland<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 12


Figure 7. Housing plus transportation costs for those at an<br />

income level of $35,000 or below, San Francisco Bay Area, 2000.<br />

Ü<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Napa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Vallejo<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

Oakland<br />

San Francisco<br />

Livermore<br />

All Block Groups Set to Low Income<br />

Housing +Transportation Costs / $35,000<br />

< 65%<br />

San Mateo<br />

66% - 75%<br />

76% - 95%<br />

> 95%<br />

Existing Stations<br />

San Jose<br />

Planned Stations<br />

0 10 20 40 Miles<br />

Gilroy<br />

Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology. This shows the combined H+T<br />

costs for families with incomes of $35,000 or below in those neighborhoods.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 13


Another indicator is the incidence of preforeclosure<br />

notices, the initial notice of default when a household<br />

has not met its mortgage payment (Figure 8). Data on<br />

foreclosures is provided by private vendors at low cost<br />

and is typically available at three levels: the preforeclosure<br />

notice, the auction (when the lender puts up the property<br />

for sale because of mortgage default), and the REO<br />

(real estate owned), a property that goes back to the<br />

mortgage company after an unsuccessful foreclosure<br />

auction. The preforeclosure stage is the best indicator<br />

of housing burden, as it reveals all the households<br />

having difficulty paying the mortgage; using REO as<br />

an indicator is not as accurate since it does not include<br />

owners able to sell their property on the private market<br />

or ward off foreclosure temporarily. In general, owners<br />

burdened by their mortgages are concentrated in the<br />

core areas of the East Bay (Richmond and Oakland) and<br />

suburban areas of the North and East Bay. Although these<br />

households may be displaced by foreclosure, if they can<br />

stay in the neighborhood they may actually benefit from<br />

gentrification, as rising property values increase their home<br />

equity.<br />

Finally, another income burden indicator readily available<br />

in the U.S. census is the share of neighborhood income that<br />

comes from newcomers to the area. If a relatively large<br />

share of aggregate neighborhood income comes from inmigrants,<br />

the nature of the neighborhood might change in<br />

particular as the new income attracts retailers catering to<br />

the newcomers – and offering goods at prices unaffordable<br />

to long-time residents. Figure 9 maps neighborhood<br />

income for the Bay Area, indicating a high share of new<br />

income in the core areas identified by the susceptibility<br />

index, as well as in outer suburban areas not so likely to<br />

gentrify.<br />

Tenderloin, San Francisco<br />

Photo: Center for Community Innovation<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 14


Figure 8. Preforeclosure notices in the Bay Area, 2008.<br />

Ü<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Napa<br />

Vallejo<br />

Pittsburg<br />

San Rafael<br />

Concord<br />

Richmond<br />

San Francisco<br />

Oakland<br />

Livermore<br />

San Mateo<br />

San Jose<br />

San Francisco<br />

Oakland<br />

Pre-Foreclosure Notices<br />

per Owner-Occupied Housing Unit<br />

Gilroy<br />

< 0.5%<br />

0.5 - 1.0%<br />

1.0 - 5.0%<br />

5.0 - 10.0%<br />

San Mateo<br />

0 5 10 20 Miles<br />

> 10.0%<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Planned Stations<br />

0 10 20 40 Miles<br />

Source: Foreclosures.com.<br />

Figure 9. Share of aggregate household income from recent movers.<br />

Ü<br />

Santa Rosa<br />

Napa<br />

Vacaville<br />

Vallejo<br />

San Rafael<br />

Richmond<br />

Pittsburg<br />

Concord<br />

San Rafael<br />

Oakland<br />

Richmond<br />

San Francisco<br />

Livermore<br />

San Mateo<br />

San Francisco<br />

Oakland<br />

San Jose<br />

0 5 10 20 Miles<br />

Gilroy<br />

San Mateo<br />

% of Aggregate Household Income from Recent Movers<br />

0 - 28.5%<br />

28.5% - 32%<br />

32% - 36%<br />

>36%<br />

San Jose<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Planned Stations<br />

0 5 10 20 Miles<br />

0 10 20 40 Miles<br />

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000 Census, Table HCT 16.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 15


Using the Early Warning Toolkit:<br />

the Lake Merritt/Chinatown case<br />

The Lake Merritt/Chinatown area provides an interesting<br />

case not only because of how the neighborhood is<br />

changing, but also because the early warning toolkit<br />

can help inform ongoing planning processes that will<br />

shape its future. The City of Oakland is currently<br />

developing a station area plan for the neighborhood<br />

around the Lake Merritt BART Station, with the goal of<br />

creating a more livable and sustainable neighborhood by<br />

improving coordination between transportation and land<br />

use, improving mobility, and encouraging mixed-use<br />

development. In conjunction with the planning process<br />

and its own Development without Displacement project,<br />

ABAG awarded Asian Health Services and the Oakland<br />

Chinatown Chamber of Commerce (along with PolicyLink<br />

and the Center for Community Innovation as technical<br />

consultants) a small grant to conduct a community<br />

engagement process before the planning process started.<br />

That engagement process, which included several public<br />

meetings, focus groups, and a survey, revealed several<br />

community priorities: in particular, preserving and<br />

increasing neighborhood open space, reducing crime, and<br />

improving pedestrian conditions. More than anything,<br />

it revealed deep bitterness among current and former<br />

community members who remembered the displacement<br />

that occurred with many previous redevelopment efforts,<br />

in particular the construction of the BART Lake Merritt<br />

station, which demolished three blocks of Chinatown.<br />

Oakland, along with CalTrans and Alameda County,<br />

began urban renewal and highway construction efforts<br />

in the 1950s. Early projects, almost all involving the<br />

condemnation and acquisition of predominantly residential<br />

properties, included the Nimitz Freeway, the Oakland<br />

Public Library, the Alameda County Administration<br />

Building, and Laney College.<br />

The 1960s saw additional acquisition and demolition of<br />

residences and community facilities to construct the BART<br />

Lake Merritt Station, the BART administration building,<br />

the MTC administration building, and the Oakland<br />

Museum. By the 1980s, awareness of the loss of housing<br />

in Chinatown had grown, and local nonprofits, including<br />

the East Bay Asian Local Development Corporation, began<br />

building more affordable housing in the area. The pace of<br />

large-scale redevelopment slowed in the 1990s, with the<br />

exception of the Pacific Renaissance Plaza, which included<br />

200 units of market-rate housing, 50 units of affordable<br />

housing, and space for the Asian Cultural Center and<br />

Oakland Asian Library. After the landlord evicted the<br />

affordable housing tenants, several community groups<br />

organized the Stop Chinatown Evictions Coalition, which<br />

fought successfully in court to restore the affordable units<br />

and construct more affordable units off-site. The Pacific<br />

Renaissance experience, compounded by the history of<br />

redevelopment and Mayor Jerry Brown’s recent “10K”<br />

initiative to bring housing back downtown, has made the<br />

community very aware of how development pressures are<br />

shrinking the boundaries of Chinatown (Figures 10 & 11).<br />

In contrast, however, there is less concern for the potential<br />

for displacement through gentrification, in part because<br />

of the uncertainty over its extent. Local activists are aware<br />

that families are leaving for nearby suburbs, but it is<br />

unclear whether this is because of high rents, poor schools,<br />

rising crime, or some other motives. Whatever the reason,<br />

many express a desire to return to the neighborhood.<br />

The Lake Merritt/Chinatown study area includes the<br />

area adjacent to the Lake Merritt Bart station, consisting<br />

mostly of redeveloped superblocks with institutional and<br />

government users, and the intact grid in Chinatown to the<br />

west. The area in the immediate vicinity of the station was<br />

already gentrifying in the 1990s, but Chinatown, to the<br />

west, was becoming increasingly low-income due to the<br />

continued influx of new immigrants (Figure 12).<br />

Lake Merritt Neighborhood, Oakland<br />

Photo: Center for Community Innovation<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 16


Figure 10. Oakland Chinatown boundaries, 1960.<br />

Figure 11. Oakland Chinatown boundaries, 2000.<br />

Ü<br />

Ü<br />

Redevelopment - Pacific Renaissance Plaza<br />

The Oakland Museum<br />

Madison Square Park<br />

Nimitz Freeway<br />

Lake Merritt BART & BART Headquarters<br />

Laney College<br />

Legend<br />

Legend<br />

1960 Chinatown Boundary<br />

0 0.05 0.1 0.2 Miles<br />

1990s Encroachment<br />

1973 Encroachments<br />

1973 Chinatown Boundary<br />

0 0.05 0.1 0.2 Miles<br />

Source: Center for Community Innovation. Source: Center for Community Innovation.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 17


Figure 12. Neighborhood change, 1990-2000.<br />

Emeryville<br />

Piedmont<br />

Oakland<br />

Neighborhood Type<br />

Alameda<br />

Bipolar<br />

Gentrified<br />

Middle Income<br />

Lower Income<br />

Other<br />

Upper Income<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Ü<br />

0<br />

0.5 1 2 Miles<br />

Source: Author’s calculations from Geolytics Dataquick data.<br />

Figure 13. Projected susceptibility to gentrification<br />

in the future, 2000-2010.<br />

Emeryville<br />

Piedmont<br />

Oakland<br />

Alameda<br />

Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

No Susceptibility<br />

Low Susceptibility<br />

Moderate Susceptibility<br />

High Susceptibility<br />

Ü<br />

Existing Stations<br />

0 0.5 1 2 Miles<br />

Source: Author’s calculations.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 18


Figure 14. Share of workers who commute<br />

via public transit, 2000.<br />

Emeryville<br />

Piedmont<br />

Oakland<br />

Commuters Using Public Transit<br />

Regional Average = 9.4%<br />

Alameda<br />

< 2.5%<br />

2.5 - 5%<br />

5 - 13%<br />

> 13%<br />

0 0.5 1 2 Miles<br />

Existing StationsÜ<br />

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000.<br />

Figure 15. Small parks per 1,000 people.<br />

Emeryville<br />

Piedmont<br />

Oakland<br />

Small Parks per 1,000 People<br />

Regional Average = 0.19<br />

0<br />

0 - 0.22<br />

0.22 - 0.38<br />

0.38 - 6.33<br />

Existing Stations<br />

Ü<br />

Alameda<br />

0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles<br />

Source: Author’s calculations.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 19


Figure 16. Share of white residents by block, 2000.<br />

Oakland<br />

% White Residents<br />

0<br />

0 - 20%<br />

20% - 40%<br />

40% - 60%<br />

60% - 80%<br />

Ü<br />

> 80%<br />

No Population Data Available<br />

Existing Stations (2000)<br />

0 0.1 0.2 0.4 Miles<br />

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000.<br />

!<br />

Figure 17. Foreclosures as a percent of owner occupied<br />

housing units, 2006-2007.<br />

Emeryville<br />

!<br />

Piedmont<br />

!<br />

Oakland<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

Foreclosures / Owner Occupied Housing Units<br />

15%<br />

Ü<br />

Alameda<br />

Foreclosures by Address<br />

! Existing Stations<br />

0 0.25 0.5 1 Miles<br />

Source: Foreclosures.com.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 20


The early warning toolkit suggests that this area is highly<br />

susceptible to gentrification in the future, with a score of<br />

16 out of the 19 indicators (Figure 13). Interestingly, the<br />

area does not have a high enough level of income diversity,<br />

household rent burden, or non-family households to<br />

score positively on those indicators, but it scores high<br />

on all of the others. In particular, it has a high level of<br />

amenities, with a large share of transit commuters and<br />

small parks (Figures 14 and 15), and a very low share of<br />

white population (Figure 16). It also has a relatively high<br />

concentration of foreclosures, likely due to defaults in<br />

market-rate condominiums near the waterfront (Figure 17).<br />

What, then, might the community learn from the toolkit?<br />

First, the high susceptibility level should inform the<br />

residents that they will need to remain engaged. The<br />

neighborhood is likely to be very attractive to newcomers,<br />

and the existing residents will want to manage the change<br />

that is likely to happen. This will require a community<br />

engagement process that continues well beyond the station<br />

area planning process.<br />

From a policy and planning perspective, the most<br />

important intervention is to create permanently affordable<br />

housing. Since rent burden does not (yet) seem to be<br />

a critical issue, the focus should be on offering more<br />

opportunities for low-income homeownership, to slow<br />

the pace of residential turnover. If rent burdens increase<br />

as newcomers arrive, rental assistance programs will be<br />

appropriate.<br />

One of the community’s current strengths that may<br />

be slowing the pace of gentrification is the presence of<br />

families with children; to ensure that families remain as<br />

the neighborhood changes, new housing should include<br />

a disproportionate share of large units (with three or<br />

more bedrooms). Another strength--but one which may<br />

be attracting gentrification--is the concentration of small<br />

parks. Over the coming years, as the city and developers<br />

enhance existing parks and build new public spaces,<br />

these parks should focus on the recreational needs of<br />

existing residents (e.g., their need for tai chi space) and<br />

celebrate existing culture rather than provide more generic<br />

amenities.<br />

Conclusion and next steps<br />

This report offers an early warning toolkit for predicting<br />

neighborhood change in the form of gentrification.<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> is perhaps not as common as many perceive<br />

it to be. Just 7% of Bay Area neighborhoods are gentrifying.<br />

However, these areas house a disproportionate share<br />

of the region’s transit stations. A number of different<br />

factors predict whether a neighborhood will gentrify, most<br />

importantly local amenities, transit commuting, and income<br />

diversity. Neighborhoods that score high on these factors<br />

are likely to gentrify at some point in the near future. This<br />

process of neighborhood change is particularly likely<br />

to result in the displacement of residents in the absence<br />

of certain housing policies, in particular rent control,<br />

preservation of affordable rental units, and rental assistance<br />

programs to ease the rent burden.<br />

This toolkit will help inform the many different planning<br />

processes in the Bay Area’s new transit station and priority<br />

development areas. New development presents an<br />

opportunity to recapture value to benefit existing residents.<br />

A growing literature on transit-oriented development<br />

and value capture suggests mechanisms from assessment<br />

districts to tax increment financing to development<br />

impact fees that could be leveraged to protect residents as<br />

neighborhoods experience reinvestment. 26 Value capture<br />

policies, as well as other policies preserving affordable rental<br />

housing stock, might best target the area within a 1/2-mile<br />

radius of the transit station, where pressures will be greatest.<br />

Future research should try to expand the reach of the<br />

toolkit. In particular, this project would benefit from a better<br />

understanding of the relationship between public investment<br />

and gentrification. If data on public improvements were<br />

added to the database, it would be possible to determine<br />

the types of neighborhood change and the extent of<br />

gentrification that might occur with different types and<br />

levels of public investment. Though we now understand<br />

better the relationship between rail transit investment and<br />

gentrification, it is important to expand this research to<br />

examine the impacts of bus transit, as well as to determine<br />

the time frame of gentrification, in other words, how long<br />

after the transit investment it is likely to gentrify. It would<br />

be valuable to understand the effects of neighborhood<br />

change on different subgroups of the population: for<br />

instance, very low-income vs. low-income households, rentburdened<br />

households, family households, and so forth. We<br />

look forward to the publication of the 2010 census data,<br />

which will allow us to refine this model and anticipate the<br />

next decade of change.<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 21


Notes<br />

1<br />

National Association of Realtors; National Low-Income<br />

Housing Coalition, Out of Reach, 2006.<br />

2<br />

Bay Area Council, Bay Area Economic Forum and the<br />

Association of Bay Area Governments, The<br />

Innovation Economy: Protecting the Talent<br />

Advantage, Bay Area Economic Profile, 2006.<br />

“Affordable” housing costs are defined here as 30<br />

percent of income – the prevailing standard used<br />

by the US Department of Housing (HUD). Source:<br />

ABAG, A Place to Call Home: Housing in the San<br />

Francisco Bay Area, (2006): 2.<br />

3<br />

California Budget Project, The Rising Tide Left Some<br />

Boats Behind: Boom, Bust & Beyond in the San<br />

Francisco Bay Area, December 2005.<br />

4<br />

Association of Bay Area Governments, Projections 2009.<br />

5<br />

http://www.greatcommunities.org<br />

6<br />

For a summary of the literature, see Parsons Brinkerhoff,<br />

The Effect of Rail Transit on Property Values: A<br />

Summary of Studies, prepared for the Denver<br />

Regional Council of Governments [http://www.<br />

drcog.org], 2001<br />

7<br />

It was coined by Ruth Glass, who was describing<br />

the invasion of the middle class into poor London<br />

neighborhoods in London: Aspects of Change<br />

(London: MacGibbon & Kee, 1964).<br />

8<br />

Maureen Kennedy and Paul Leonard, Dealing<br />

with Neighborhood Change: A Primer on<br />

<strong>Gentrification</strong> and Policy Choices, discussion<br />

paper prepared for the Brookings Institution<br />

Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy<br />

and PolicyLink [http://www.policylink.<br />

org/pdfs/Brookings<strong>Gentrification</strong>.pdf], 2001.<br />

9<br />

New housing investment serves as a proxy for an influx of<br />

newcomers into the neighborhood. Ideally, the<br />

definition of gentrification would include some<br />

measure of in- and out-movers. However, as other<br />

researchers have found, the type of data that is<br />

available at the neighborhood level – tract, block<br />

group, or block data from the U.S. Census – is not<br />

well suited to measure very localized population<br />

flows.<br />

10<br />

Freeman’s definition also includes a measure of building<br />

age (percent of housing units built in the last<br />

twenty years), since gentrifiers are often attracted<br />

by older, architecturally significant housing stock.<br />

However, this variable does not work well in the<br />

Bay Area, where gentrifying neighborhoods have<br />

seen much new construction. Lance Freeman,<br />

“Displacement or succession? Residential<br />

mobility in gentrifying neighborhoods,” Urban<br />

Affairs Review 40.4, (2005): 463-491.<br />

11<br />

These studies include Freeman & Braconi (2004); Vigdor<br />

(2002); McKinnish, Walsh & White (2008); and<br />

Freeman (2005). However, it should be noted<br />

that most of these studies (with the exception<br />

of Freeman) have flaws either in how they define<br />

gentrification (as in McKinnish, Walsh & White,<br />

who do not include real estate investment) or how<br />

they define their comparison sample.<br />

Lance Freeman and Frank Braconi, “<strong>Gentrification</strong><br />

and displacement in New York City,” Journal of the<br />

American Planning Association 70.1, (2004) 39-52.<br />

Jacob Vigdor, “Does <strong>Gentrification</strong> Harm the<br />

Poor?” Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs<br />

(2002): 133-182.<br />

Terra McKinnish, Randall P. Walsh, and<br />

Kirk White, Who Gentrifies Low-Income<br />

Neighborhoods? NBER Working Paper No. W14036.<br />

[http://ssrn.com/abstract=1139352], 2008.<br />

12<br />

Kathe Newman and Elvin Wyly, “The right to stay<br />

put, revisited: <strong>Gentrification</strong> and resistance to<br />

displacement in New York City,” Urban Studies<br />

43.1, (2006): 23-57.<br />

13<br />

Brock Winstead, The Politics of Tenant Protection in<br />

Richmond, California (Berkeley, CA: Center for<br />

Community Innovation, 2006). Winstead found<br />

that about one percent of unlawful detainers<br />

(landlord actions when tenants disobeyed a “notice<br />

to quit”) were no-cause and associated with<br />

rent increases. Collecting such data from the<br />

courts is a very time-consuming task (the<br />

Richmond study took approximately 300 hours to<br />

complete). Purchasing it from vendors is not viable<br />

because they sell the data per building or tenant,<br />

not by geographic unit.<br />

14<br />

To learn more about the income and housing<br />

characteristics of transit station areas, see Center<br />

for Transit-Oriented Development, Preserving and<br />

Promoting Diverse Transit-Oriented Neighborhoods,<br />

prepared for the Ford Foundation, 2006, and<br />

Capturing the Value of Transit, prepared for the US<br />

Department of Transportation and Federal<br />

Transportation Administration, 2008.<br />

15<br />

To construct these six categories, we first had to convert<br />

the census data on household income from 10-<br />

16 irregular categorical variables (in 1990 and 2000)<br />

into consistent and meaningful groups. Following<br />

Berube and Tiffany (2004) and Galster et. al. (2005)<br />

we use two different methods to aggregate the<br />

finer (census) distribution into our six categories<br />

(based on the income cutoffs relative to the<br />

AMI). First, we calculate the area median income<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 22


using the linear interpolation method. Then, for<br />

each census tract in the Bay Area we calculate<br />

the share of households in each of the census<br />

categories and their cumulative density. In<br />

aggregating to our six categories, we use linear<br />

interpolation to find breakpoints within a census<br />

category for those at or below the median income.<br />

However, we assume that the distribution of<br />

households within the higher-income categories<br />

follows a pareto distribution. This assumes that<br />

there is more density towards the lower cutoff.<br />

Alan Berube and Thacher Tiffany, The shape<br />

of the curve: Household income distributions<br />

in U.S. Cities, 1979-1999. Living Cities Census<br />

Series. (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution,<br />

2004).<br />

George Galster, Jason C. Booza, Jackie Cutsinger,<br />

Kurt Metzger, and Up Lim, Low-Income<br />

Households in Mixed-Income Neighborhoods:<br />

Extent, Trends, and Determinants. Report<br />

prepared for the U.S. Department of Housing and<br />

Urban Development. (Washington D.C.: HUD.<br />

2005).<br />

16<br />

The NCDB provides 1990 census data for normalized<br />

2000 census tract definitions, allowing us to<br />

compare 1990 neighborhood characteristics to 2000.<br />

17<br />

Galster & Booza (2007) identify neighborhoods that are<br />

“bipolar” using a formulation based on the<br />

entropy index. The entropy index is based<br />

upon the thermodynamic principle that any system<br />

will naturally trend towards evenness. The<br />

amount of entropy in a system refers to how<br />

far along a system is in reaching complete evenness<br />

or equilibrium. In the social sciences researchers<br />

have developed an index that varies from 0 to 1,<br />

also called the Shannon-Weaver Index, to measure<br />

entropy of a population across social categories:<br />

k<br />

∑<br />

− π<br />

i<br />

lnπ<br />

i<br />

i<br />

H =<br />

ln k<br />

where H is the index, π is the proportion of the<br />

population in each category, and k is the number<br />

of categories. In addition to this nominal entropy<br />

index, Galster & Booza construct a new ordinal<br />

entropy index and use the ratio of the two to<br />

measure bipolarity. George Galster and Jason<br />

Booza, “The Rise of the Bipolar Neighborhood,”<br />

Journal of American Planning Association 73.4, (2007):<br />

421–435.<br />

18<br />

Just ten of the tracts that were becoming bipolar were<br />

also gentrifying, and we classified them as<br />

gentrifying. Interestingly, this confirms Galster<br />

& Booza’s finding that the bipolar category is<br />

basically distinct from gentrification.<br />

19<br />

A small share of these neighborhoods is experiencing<br />

gentrification at the same time as consolidating in<br />

one of these income categories. Thirteen tracts fall<br />

into both becoming middle income and gentrifying<br />

categories, 19 into both becoming lower income<br />

and gentrifying, and 41 into both becoming upper<br />

income and gentrifying. We classify all of these as<br />

gentrified since this is the dominant type of change.<br />

20<br />

Since this analysis was attempting to identify<br />

systematically which variables did and didn’t<br />

matter, we used a stepwise regression, which starts<br />

with a large number of variables and eliminates<br />

collinear variables, or those which are highly<br />

associated with variables that fit better in the<br />

analysis.<br />

21<br />

The analysis began with a very large set of variables<br />

identified in the literature on gentrification, and<br />

reduced it to the variables that most powerfully<br />

predict gentrification. Variables on youth facilities,<br />

public space, and recreational facilities were<br />

constructed from 501(c)3 data from the National<br />

Center for Charitable Statistics. The small park<br />

variable comes from ESRI, supplemented by city<br />

websites. The distance to major city variables come<br />

from ESRI. All of the other variables were<br />

constructed from U.S. Decennial Census data.<br />

22<br />

We use the 35% threshold, rather than 30%, to reflect the<br />

Bay Area context, where high housing costs have<br />

made it customary to pay a higher share of income<br />

for housing.<br />

23<br />

It should be noted that it is not the density itself that is<br />

causing gentrification: in fact, controlling for all<br />

else, the higher share of multi-unit buildings<br />

the less likely the area is to gentrify. Thus, there<br />

are several intervening variables which make highdensity<br />

neighborhoods more susceptible: in<br />

particular, higher levels of renter occupancy and<br />

higher shares of amenities.<br />

24<br />

Again, however, controlling for all other factors,<br />

public housing actually makes gentrification less<br />

likely, suggesting that some other variables are<br />

intervening to make the influence of public<br />

housing seem positive.<br />

25<br />

The California Housing Partnership provided the<br />

analysis of potential expiration for these maps.<br />

26<br />

See Nadine Fogarty, Nancy Eaton, Dena Belzer, and<br />

Gloria Ohland, Capturing the Value of Transit. (Prepared for<br />

the Federal Transit Administration, U.S. Department of<br />

Transportation, November 2008).<br />

Mapping Susceptibility to <strong>Gentrification</strong>: The Early Warning Toolkit 23


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The e-Advocate Monthly Review<br />

2018<br />

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2019<br />

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Investing for Organizational<br />

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…<br />

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The e-Advocate Journal<br />

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The e-Advocate Juvenile Justice Report<br />

______<br />

Vol. I – Juvenile Delinquency in The US<br />

Vol. II. – The Prison Industrial Complex<br />

Vol. III – Restorative/ Transformative Justice<br />

Vol. IV – The Sixth Amendment Right to The Effective Assistance of Counsel<br />

Vol. V – The Theological Foundations of Juvenile Justice<br />

Vol. VI – Collaborating to Eradicate Juvenile Delinquency<br />

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The e-Advocate Newsletter<br />

Genesis of The Problem<br />

Family Structure<br />

Societal Influences<br />

Evidence-Based Programming<br />

Strengthening Assets v. Eliminating Deficits<br />

2012 - Juvenile Delinquency in The US<br />

Introduction/Ideology/Key Values<br />

Philosophy/Application & Practice<br />

Expungement & Pardons<br />

Pardons & Clemency<br />

Examples/Best Practices<br />

2013 - Restorative Justice in The US<br />

2014 - The Prison Industrial Complex<br />

25% of the World's Inmates Are In the US<br />

The Economics of Prison Enterprise<br />

The Federal Bureau of Prisons<br />

The After-Effects of Incarceration/Individual/Societal<br />

The Fourth Amendment Project<br />

The Sixth Amendment Project<br />

The Eighth Amendment Project<br />

The Adolescent Law Group<br />

2015 - US Constitutional Issues In The New Millennium<br />

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2018 - The Theological Law Firm Academy<br />

The Theological Foundations of US Law & Government<br />

The Economic Consequences of Legal Decision-Making<br />

The Juvenile Justice Legislative Reform Initiative<br />

The EB-5 International Investors Initiative<br />

2017 - Organizational Development<br />

The Board of Directors<br />

The Inner Circle<br />

Staff & Management<br />

Succession Planning<br />

Bonus #1 The Budget<br />

Bonus #2 Data-Driven Resource Allocation<br />

2018 - Sustainability<br />

The Data-Driven Resource Allocation Process<br />

The Quality Assurance Initiative<br />

The Advocacy Foundation Endowments Initiative<br />

The Community Engagement Strategy<br />

2019 - Collaboration<br />

Critical Thinking for Transformative Justice<br />

International Labor Relations<br />

Immigration<br />

God's Will & The 21st Century Democratic Process<br />

The Community Engagement Strategy<br />

The 21st Century Charter Schools Initiative<br />

2020 - Community Engagement<br />

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Extras<br />

The Nonprofit Advisors Group Newsletters<br />

The 501(c)(3) Acquisition Process<br />

The Board of Directors<br />

The Gladiator Mentality<br />

Strategic Planning<br />

Fundraising<br />

501(c)(3) Reinstatements<br />

The Collaborative US/ International Newsletters<br />

How You Think Is Everything<br />

The Reciprocal Nature of Business Relationships<br />

Accelerate Your Professional Development<br />

The Competitive Nature of Grant Writing<br />

Assessing The Risks<br />

Page 146 of 150


Page 147 of 150


About The Author<br />

John C (Jack) Johnson III<br />

Founder & CEO<br />

Jack was educated at Temple University, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and Rutgers<br />

Law School, in Camden, New Jersey. In 1999, he moved to Atlanta, Georgia to pursue<br />

greater opportunities to provide Advocacy and Preventive Programmatic services for atrisk/<br />

at-promise young persons, their families, and Justice Professionals embedded in the<br />

Juvenile Justice process in order to help facilitate its transcendence into the 21 st Century.<br />

There, along with a small group of community and faith-based professionals, “The Advocacy Foundation, Inc." was conceived<br />

and developed over roughly a thirteen year period, originally chartered as a Juvenile Delinquency Prevention and Educational<br />

Support Services organization consisting of Mentoring, Tutoring, Counseling, Character Development, Community Change<br />

Management, Practitioner Re-Education & Training, and a host of related components.<br />

The Foundation’s Overarching Mission is “To help Individuals, Organizations, & Communities Achieve Their Full Potential”, by<br />

implementing a wide array of evidence-based proactive multi-disciplinary "Restorative & Transformative Justice" programs &<br />

projects currently throughout the northeast, southeast, and western international-waters regions, providing prevention and support<br />

services to at-risk/ at-promise youth, to young adults, to their families, and to Social Service, Justice and Mental<br />

Health professionals” everywhere. The Foundation has since relocated its headquarters to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and been<br />

expanded to include a three-tier mission.<br />

In addition to his work with the Foundation, Jack also served as an Adjunct Professor of Law & Business at National-Louis<br />

University of Atlanta (where he taught Political Science, Business & Legal Ethics, Labor & Employment Relations, and Critical<br />

Thinking courses to undergraduate and graduate level students). Jack has also served as Board President for a host of wellestablished<br />

and up & coming nonprofit organizations throughout the region, including “Visions Unlimited Community<br />

Development Systems, Inc.”, a multi-million dollar, award-winning, Violence Prevention and Gang Intervention Social Service<br />

organization in Atlanta, as well as Vice-Chair of the Georgia/ Metropolitan Atlanta Violence Prevention Partnership, a state-wide<br />

300 organizational member, violence prevention group led by the Morehouse School of Medicine, Emory University and The<br />

Original, Atlanta-Based, Martin Luther King Center.<br />

Attorney Johnson’s prior accomplishments include a wide-array of Professional Legal practice areas, including Private Firm,<br />

Corporate and Government postings, just about all of which yielded significant professional awards & accolades, the history and<br />

chronology of which are available for review online. Throughout his career, Jack has served a wide variety of for-profit<br />

corporations, law firms, and nonprofit organizations as Board Chairman, Secretary, Associate, and General Counsel since 1990.<br />

www.TheAdvocacyFoundation.org<br />

Clayton County Youth Services Partnership, Inc. – Chair; Georgia Violence Prevention Partnership, Inc – Vice Chair; Fayette<br />

County NAACP - Legal Redress Committee Chairman; Clayton County Fatherhood Initiative Partnership – Principal<br />

Investigator; Morehouse School of Medicine School of Community Health Feasibility Study - Steering Committee; Atlanta<br />

Violence Prevention Capacity Building Project – Project Partner; Clayton County Minister’s Conference, President 2006-2007;<br />

Liberty In Life Ministries, Inc. – Board Secretary; Young Adults Talk, Inc. – Board of Directors; ROYAL, Inc - Board of<br />

Directors; Temple University Alumni Association; Rutgers Law School Alumni Association; Sertoma International; Our<br />

Common Welfare Board of Directors – President)2003-2005; River’s Edge Elementary School PTA (Co-President); Summerhill<br />

Community Ministries; Outstanding Young Men of America; Employee of the Year; Academic All-American - Basketball;<br />

Church Trustee.<br />

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www.TheAdvocacyFoundation.org<br />

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