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Credit Management November 2018

The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals

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PAYMENT TRENDS<br />

Back to school<br />

The latest monthly business to business<br />

payment performance statistics.<br />

AUTHOR – Jason Braidwood FCICM(Grad)<br />

SEPTEMBER – the start of the<br />

academic year and the month<br />

when businesses hit the ‘reset’<br />

button and focus on getting<br />

back to full productivity after<br />

months of summer holidays<br />

and interruptions. In theory, this change<br />

in attitude should be reflected in the late<br />

payment data. And indeed it is, with the<br />

month bringing reductions in the average<br />

Days Beyond Term (DBT) that invoices are<br />

paid for three quarters of the sectors tracked<br />

and across all but two regions.<br />

After a broadly disappointing performance<br />

across the board last month, it’s encouraging<br />

to see businesses step up and significantly<br />

improve their payment processes. The<br />

average DBT figures across regions and<br />

sectors have fallen back in line, to 13.4<br />

days and 14.6 days respectively. However,<br />

these numbers are still significantly higher<br />

than the same period a year ago, suggesting<br />

that other factors are having an impact on<br />

business’ ability to make prompt payments<br />

within the terms agreed.<br />

External factors will always have a role to<br />

play, and despite the news this month from<br />

the Office of National Statistics (ONS) that<br />

the UK economy grew by 0.7 percent in the<br />

three months to August – it’s fastest pace<br />

since February 2017 – every day there are new<br />

claims that British businesses are struggling.<br />

In the last week alone, the FTSE 100 hit a sixmonth<br />

low, the International Monetary Fund<br />

(IMF) cut global growth forecasts and said<br />

UK public finances are among the weakest in<br />

the world, and the Confederation of British<br />

Industry (CBI) is calling for the Government<br />

to introduce a £2 billion package of measures<br />

in the Budget to encourage investment. Add<br />

into the mix Brexit, and there’s little wonder<br />

that businesses hardly know if they are<br />

coming or going.<br />

While it’s clear that improvements have<br />

been on the cards for many this month,<br />

there’s always more that can be done.<br />

Ongoing uncertainty is likely to continue<br />

for the foreseeable future so building in<br />

greater resilience by paying invoices in a<br />

timely manner is one way for companies to<br />

support the overall business ecosystem. The<br />

overarching aim should be to pay companies<br />

as you would wish to be paid – i.e. on time!<br />

SECTOR SPOTLIGHT<br />

Business from home posted the biggest<br />

improvement with a reduction of 6.8 days.<br />

Similarly, the financial and insurance<br />

(14.5 DBT), IT and Comms (15.6 DBT),<br />

Hospitality (9.0 DBT), and Health and<br />

Social Care (11.4 DBT) industries all<br />

showed the greatest decreases in late<br />

payments, with hospitality coming in as<br />

the top prompt payer overall.<br />

At the other end of the scale, the<br />

Energy Supply sector is stuck at the<br />

bottom of the table with the worst DBT<br />

of 21 days. Meanwhile, International<br />

Bodies (12.1 DBT), Wholesale (16.1 DBT)<br />

and Agriculture (16.0 DBT) all had a<br />

poor month with an increase in DBT. In<br />

particular, transportation is moving in<br />

the wrong direction – the sector’s DBT<br />

increased by 1.4 days bringing it up to<br />

17.2, and with ongoing fears about the<br />

impact of a no-deal Brexit hitting this<br />

sector particularly hard, there is certainly<br />

cause for concern.<br />

REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT<br />

Only Northern Ireland (15.6 DBT) and<br />

East Anglia (14.4 DBT) continued the<br />

downward trajectory, increasing the<br />

lateness of their payments by 1.3 and<br />

1.8 days, respectively. Scotland’s late<br />

payments sit at 16.3 DBT and London’s at<br />

16.2, ensuring they continue their lengthy<br />

stint at the bottom of the table.<br />

On the more positive end of the scale,<br />

the South East experienced the greatest<br />

improvement with a reduction of 4.6<br />

days in terms of late payments, bringing<br />

with it a DBT of only 9.7. Yorkshire<br />

and Humberside also experienced a<br />

significant improvement of 3.9 days,<br />

resulting in a DBT of 9.8. For both regions,<br />

this is the first time since our records<br />

began in January 2017 that they have<br />

dipped below the ten days beyond terms<br />

mark.<br />

We’ll have to wait and see how these<br />

regions and industries fare over coming<br />

months with the Brexit deadline fast<br />

approaching and ongoing uncertainty<br />

continuing to impact the UK economy.<br />

Unfortunately, delays in one section of the<br />

business community can quickly begin to<br />

impact others, and we have to hope that<br />

there’s no domino effect that adversely<br />

affects companies more widely.<br />

Jason Braidwood FCICM(Grad),<br />

Head of <strong>Credit</strong> and Collections at<br />

<strong>Credit</strong>safe Business Solutions.<br />

The Recognised Standard / www.cicm.com / <strong>November</strong> <strong>2018</strong> / PAGE 36

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