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The Safe Investor - Issue 1 2020

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ISSUE ONE: JANUARY 2020

REAL ESTATE

Make 2020 a year

of big profits with

British probate

property

TOOLBOX

Learn the art of

Do-it-Yourself

due dIligence for

better returns!

2020 TRENDS

The emerging

markets tipped

for growth in

2020

THE SAFE INVESTOR

The FREE magazine written by investors, for investors

HAVE YOU BEEN RIPPED

OFF BY YOUR IFA?

Find out how to get the compensation you deserve!


2 3

IN THIS

ISSUE

EMERGING

TRENDS FOR

2020

We take a

retrospective look

at 2019 to see

what new markets

emerged to show

the most growth

potential for the year

ahead.

THE SECRET

PROBATE

PROPERTY

BOOM

How do you grab

a bargain property

at prices up to 50%

below valuation?

The answer is by

buying properties

that are in probate.

Discover how in our

probate property

guide.

8

WHY CBD

OIL WILL

BE HUGE IN

2020

Most people are

unaware of the fact

that the UK is the

biggest exporter

of medical CBD

products on the

planet. We take a

closer look at this

value-laden market.

SAXO

BANK’S

INSANE 2020

FORECAST

Danish investment

bank Saxo recently

published its

“outrageous”

predictions for 2020.

In this day and age

where anything can

happen, perhaps

they could come

true?

24

DUE

DILIGENCE

TOOLBOX

As regulated

financial advisers

come under scrutiny

for mis-selling

investments, we

take a look at the

warning signs of a

bad opportunity.

22

HOW THE

WAY WE

INVEST WILL

CHANGE

The FCA is

continually moving

the regulatory

goalposts to ensure

our financial

security. We take

a look at how this

affects the way we

invest today

28

ON THE

COVER

HAVE YOU

LOST MONEY

BECAUSE

OF POOR

FINANCIAL

ADVICE?

You’re not alone. In

the first six months

of 2019, investors

were relieved of

more than £43m.

Are you a victim of

a scam? Find out

more about making

a claim on the

Financial Services

Compensation

Scheme, (FSCS).

16

4

12



HOT TRENDS

WHERE THE

VALUE LIES...

Will veganism and the green crusade continue? Will

the way we invest and make money change?

While the usual caveats apply (our predictive powers

can go up as well as down, etc) here our some of the

big issues and launches that should have their time in

the spotlight in 2020.

A MICRO

REVOLUTION

2020 investment

innovation will be all

about keeping things

small.

We’ve already

seen the launch of

microinvestment

apps, which allow

customers to invest

tiny amounts of

money – the change

from their coffee

purchase, or the

amount left over in

their bank account

before payday – in

funds that might grow

into a larger nest egg

over time.

Moneybox is the bestknown

of these apps

in the UK, but 2020

could see the growth

of rivals including

Wombat. US-based

commissionfree

trading app

Robinhood received

regulatory approval

in the UK in August

and looks set to

launch soon. While

this one isn’t strictly a

microinvestment app,

experts put it squarely

in the same space, as

it targets those with

small amounts to

invest and an interest

in using technology to

do so.

Micro-journeys – the

simple(ish) decisions

that investors need to

make when they’re

managing their

finances - includes

things as whether

to pay microinvestments

into a

pension or an ISA, and

when to pay off debt

rather than putting

money into the stock

market. Expect the

financial apps that

are currently being

developed to be able

to handle these small

steps, leaving human

beings to focus on the

more complicated

stuff. Like Brexit,

perhaps, or how to

deal with the climate

crisis?

ANOTHER CHANCE

FOR PRE-LOVED

GOODS

Call it secondhand,

vintage or good-asnew,

2020 will be

the year when the

investment world

will realise the huge

potential of the

reuse/reduce/recycle

bandwagon.

As fast fashion

becomes increasingly

unacceptable, there’s

money to be made in

ensuring that secondhand

pieces reach

the consumers who

want them, and the

companies with the

technology to do this

could win big.

This time, the trend

won’t just encompass

the likes of ebay,

where finding an

investment piece

is like searching for

a Gucci needle in a

Primark haystack, but

also new ventures

such as the Clair

index, an exchange for

investment handbags

that positively

encourages us to

see our accessories

as moneyspinners,

and StockX, an online

exchange that was

originally for reselling

trainers but has now

branched out to other

goods like watches

and streetwear.

With the American

secondhand clothes

group ThredUp

forecasting that the

market for resale

fashion is expected

to reach $51 billion

(£39 billion) in five

years, expect the UK

to follow where the

US goes, with more

specialist apps and

sites for secondhand

wear.

PREPARE FOR

IMPACT INVESTMENT

Greta Thunberg isn’t

just inspiring our

children to skip school,

she’s influencing our

investment strategies

as well – and 2020 will

be the year when the

big investment firms

finally take notice.

According to

Schroders, threefifths

of all UK

investors want fund

managers to consider

sustainability, while

the same number

believe they can help

contribute to a more

sustainable world by

choosing the right

investment products.

While cynics might

expect this to lead to a

wave of greenwashing

(with fund managers

scrambling to insert

words such as

“sustainable” and

“environmental”

into their fund

names without really

changing the mix of

investments), we can

but hope that there

will be real change

too, with investors

finding products that

match their green

4 5



credentials becoming

more readily available.

The EU is already

working on better

classifications for

green funds, which

could help customers

to dig deeper into

the holdings that

“sustainable” funds

feel are acceptable.

Expect both new

green launches, and

more environmental

scrutiny of existing

“green” funds in the

coming year.

WAVES OF

WOODFORD

FALLOUT

Arguably the biggest

investment story of

2019, the closure of

Neil Woodford’s Equity

Income fund with the

loss of hundreds of

thousands of pounds

of ordinary investors’

money, will continue

to have a huge impact

on the investment

management industry

in 2020.

Amid the handwringing

and

anger, expect more

interest in lowcost

passive funds,

which simply track a

stock market index,

instead of expensive

active managers

(like Woodford)

whose mission is

to outperform the

market, but who don’t

always manage it.

As well as investors

voting with their feet,

there’s also likely to

be regulatory focus

on fund charges and

the amount of money

that funds can hold in

illiquid assets, such as

shares in companies

that aren’t listed on

the stock market and

so can’t be easily sold

when cash is needed.

The full scale of

Woodford investors’

losses will only be

revealed in the New

Year, with the fund

remaining invested

until January. The

Treasury Committee

of MPs has already

said that politicians

want to examine what

lessons can be learnt

from this saga.

Woodford shockwaves

will reverberate all

the way through

2020 is

forecast to

be a turning

point for

electric

vehicles

2020 as investors

find out just how bad

things are, and fund

managers attempt

to disassociate

themselves from his

style.

Expect lots of talk

about transparency,

liquidity of assets and

the value of active

management from

every fund manager

on the block, as they

continue to deal

with the fallout, and

subsequent outflows

to cheap tracker

funds.

A WELL OF

WELLNESS

INVESTMENT

If we trust Google

Trends to find the

biggest moneymaking

schemes

for 2020 in the $4.2

trillion (£3.3 trillion)

wellness industry, we

should all be getting

our investment highs

from cannabidiol

products.

These are derived

from the non psychoactive

strain of

cannabis or hemp,

so they can’t actually

get you high. They

are perfectly legal –

and apparently great

for making you look

glowing with health,

rather than off your

head.

Look out for launches

from existing

health and beauty

manufacturers, plus

new businesses

capitalising on the

excitement.

Elsewhere in wellness,

Google searches

indicate that soundbaths

(basically a

restful experience

using instruments

like tuning forks and

gongs – probably

quite hard to invest in)

and breathing apps

(an easier proposition)

will also be big in 2020.

Expect a rise in

funds capitalising on

wellness as a global

trend, as well as

products linked to

the demands of an

ageing population

– less soothing

than a sound-bath,

but possibly more

lucrative. Mindfulness

tech may be the next

Fintech boom. Think

about it.

A BOTTOM-FISHING

SPREE FOR UK BAR-

GAINS

As the will they/

won’t they Brexit

saga continued

throughout 2019, UK

businesses fell out

of favour. Figures

from the Investment

If there is one trend that we cannot overlook it is the

growth rate of CBD. CBD sales are growing at doubledigit

rates, especially in the markets where it has been

made legal or has at least been decriminalized.

Association show

that investors pulled

£1.2 billion from UKfocused

investment

funds in July 2019

alone, and a further

£700m in August.

If 2020 brings Brexit

resolution, this may

tempt bold investors

back, looking for

value in the bombed

out index of smaller

stocks, the FTSE 250.

Many are predicting

a return to so-called

“value investing”,

which is the

practice of picking

up companies

whose price is low

compared with their

fundamental value.

This style of investing

is often contrasted

with so-called “growth

investing”, where

buyers pay high

prices for prospective

investment growth.

Value investing has

underperformed for

the past 10 years, but

many believe that

2020 is when its time

will come.

AN ELECTRIC

VEHICLE

REVOLUTION

The pace of

change within the

auto industry is

dizzying, and the

increased interest

in sustainability is

already boosting

demand for electric

cars.

2020 may see licences

for self-driving cars,

breakthroughs in

battery technology

and increased

crackdowns in many

areas of the globe on

emissions-producing

diesel cars.

As well as the cars

themselves, there may

be breakthroughs

in car-sharing apps

and the growth

of safety and

artificial intelligence

technology that will

fundamentally change

our relationships with

our vehicles.

For investors, riding

(or even lift-sharing)

on the automobile

superhighway could

be exhilarating, but a

bit of a rollercoaster

ride as new

partnerships appear,

technology companies

pull out of the race

(as Dyson already

has), and winners and

losers become more

obvious.

Those of you old

enough to remember

how Betamax lost

out to VHS will know

that the eventual

winner isn’t always

the obvious candidate,

so buckle up for an

interesting ride.

6 7



THE SECRET

PROBATE

PROPERTY

BOOM

.

WHEN YOU INVEST IN PROPERTY, YOU HAVE

A PHYSICAL ASSET THAT REPRESENTS AN

OVERWHELMINGLY STABLE INVESTMENT.

In the vast majority of cases, an investment

property will retain its value and appreciate

over time. If you make your monthly mortgage

payments and have the correct insurance, it

is very unlikely that you will experience a total

loss on a real estate investment, making it the

vehicle of choice for many of us.

The security offered by bricks and mortar is

second to none. Property has been shown to

consistently perform better than most other

asset classes. It is a tried and tested market.

However, successful property investment

depends almost entirely on your entry and

exit levels, particularly if you are not of a ‘buy

and hold’ persuasion. Nevertheless, a solid

property purchase can help you weather any

storms of economic uncertainty over the short

or long-term.

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor

Dad, claims that there is money to be made

even when the market crashes:

“Real estate is a long-term hold. It’s not liquid.

I don’t care if the market is up or down. What

I’m looking for is a bargain. I make most of

my money when the markets crash. I made

most of my money in 2007. I made even more

money in the subprime crash. I don’t care

about the overall economy or the markets.”

Because people will always need a place to

live, real estate can be a safe way to invest

your hard-earned money in something that’s

always in demand. It’s no surprise, then, that

buying property is a popular investment today.

Let’s look at some of the other reasons behind

its popularity:

INVESTORS MAKE MONEY IMMEDIATELY

Depending on the type of real estate

Probate properties are incredibly valuable

and can help buyers get a great deal,

whether as a principal home or investment.

Here we take a closer look at a new portal

dedicated to UK homes held in probate

which offers a fast-track to successful

property investment.

investment and the

method with which it

is acquired (i.e., with

or without financing),

real estate investors

may begin earning

cash flow immediately.

For example, when

you purchase a

turnkey real estate

investment, the

property is completely

renovated with a

quality tenant in place.

You receive your first

rent payment at the

end of the first month.

LONG-TERM

APPRECIATION AND

EQUITY BUILD OVER

TIME

Long-term real estate

investments not only

produce positive cash

flow each month, they

also build equity. Every

mortgage payment

you make is done

with the proceeds

from your tenant’s

rent. When you pay

off a mortgage with

the money furnished

by your tenant, you

are essentially having

someone else pay for

your investment.

Appreciation is the

second benefit of a

long-term property

investment strategy.

In most markets,

homes appreciate over

time. According to

the Office of National

Statistics, (ONS) the

average house price in

the UK has increased

by around 5% year-onyear

and many of us

are very aware of the

housing shortage in

the country which is

bound to push prices

up even further.

THERE’S A LOW

BARRIER TO ENTRY

Getting started as

a property investor

isn’t as difficult

as it sounds. You

don’t need to

have hundreds of

thousands of pounds

on hand to make your

first investment. There

are many financing

options available, and

taking advantage of

them is the secret to

success for many real

estate investors. To get

started in real estate

investing, you may

only need to put 10%

down on a property

and finance the rest

with a low-interest

mortgage.

INVESTORS CAN

LEVERAGE THEIR

CAPITAL

If an investor wants to

buy £100,000 worth

of stocks or mutual

funds, they typically

need £100,000 in cash

to do so. Conversely,

with property an

investor can buy

a home valued at

£100,000 for only

£10,000 in cash and

a mortgage for the

remaining £90,000.

While not all

properties meet

the requirements

for a conventional

mortgage (think fixand-flip

investors),

many real estate

investors can secure

multiple mortgages

and grow their

portfolios with

only 10% down

on each property.

Property investors

use conventional

financing to leverage

their cash on hand

so they can purchase

more properties

and maximize

their investment

opportunities.

With an affordable

entry point for

investing, real

estate offers good

potential for growth

and diversification

in a portfolio. And

leveraging assets like

professional property

management

companies allows

investors to buy

properties almost

anywhere, which

means you are

not limited to your

hometown.

INVESTORS ENJOY

TAX DEDUCTIONS

Real estate investors

enjoy tax deductions

that other investors

simply don’t have

access to. Here are

just a few of the

deductions a real

estate investor can

claim:

• Interest paid on

mortgage

• Depreciation

• Property taxes

• Insurance

• Repairs and

maintenance

• Business-related

travel costs

THE TIME

COMMITMENT IS

FLEXIBLE

Fix-and-flip investors

and investors who act

as property managers

make investing a fulltime

job, while turnkey

investors simply use

property investing as

supplemental passive

income. Depending

on your investment

style, different time

commitments are

required.

Arnold

Schwarzenegger

made his first million

in real estate while

building his film

career. The perception

that many people

have of property

investment is wrong

-- it is possible to

successfully invest in

property while holding

down a regular job.

CARRY ON

READING

TO

DISCOVER

EXCLUSIVE

UK

PROBATE

DEALS !

8

9



10 11

The Benefits of Probate Property

The number one benefit of probate property

is the cost. Because there’s such urgency on

making a sale, you’ll typically find these homes

priced at somewhere around 30-to-50% under

their typical market value. Because of this, an

investment in probate property can help make

you money.

In many cases, after purchasing a probate

home, you can go straight ahead and sell it to

someone else, making a decent amount of cash

in the process, otherwise known as “flipping”.

While probate properties may be hard-to-find,

they’re more plentiful than you think.

HOW TO FIND PROBATE PROPERTY

YOURSELF

You’ll pretty much never know whether a house

is probate property when looking through

real estate listings so you’ll have to do a bit

more digging. There are multiple ways to find

probate property, including the following:

• You can look through the obituaries in your

local newspaper.

• You can visit a deceased person’s area and

look through court records to determine if

they owned any property.

• You can look for an office that deals with

testaments and wills. Wills are public

documents and easily accessible.

• You can also buy information from private

companies regarding available probate

property.

The easiest way to source the best deals is to

visit the UK¡s first dedicated probate property

portal Properties Direct, where you can find the

best bargains in the country

ABOUT PROPERTIES DIRECT

Properties Direct offers the most extensive listings of property held in probate in the

UK. Due to the highly sought-after information available on the portal, it is subscriptionbased.

In order to qualify as a member of Properties Direct, you will have to complete an

extensive questionnaire concerning your financial circumstances. There are reasons for

this, which are mainly to provide all members with the following benefits:

UNDER-THE-COUNTER SALES: Featured probate properties are not listed on the

open market, ensuring you the very best and most exclusive deals anywhere in the UK!

MASSIVE DISCOUNTS ON BRITISH HOMES: The longer an estate is in

probate, the more it costs beneficiaries. That means you are ensured a quick and easy

transaction at a bargain price when you buy via the portal.

NO BIDDING WARS, NO GAZUMPING: Every probate property listed on the

portal is priced by estate administrators and offered on a first come, first served basis.

UP TO 90% MORTGAGE FINANCE: If you don’t want to tie-up your capital and

can satisfy the lender’s criteria, you will automatically pre-qualify for up to 95% mortgage

finance when you become a member of Properties Direct.

NO TIMEWASTING: Members will be required to satisfy a credit check on

application. This is to ensure everyone has adequate buying-power to make quick,

straightforward purchases.

BE A FAST-TRACK PROPERTY INVESTOR: Perhaps you don’t have the capital

but earn a significant income? Qualifying to become a member also gives you access to

funding that can help grow your portfolio faster.



CBD oil has seen a vast

increase in popularity

over the last few years,

slowly infiltrating

modern society as a

remarkable natural

supplement. By now,

most people appear

to have at least some

idea about what

CBD oil is; some are

even able to tell you

some of its uses. This

increased awareness

has changed the

entire CBD market;

some predictions state

it could reach $20

billion by 2024.

There is increasing

evidence suggesting

that CBD oil could

become a mainstream

product that is used

throughout the US

and internationally

as early as this year.

Although some

people are skeptical,

the multiple changes

to our society and the

CBD oil industry as a

whole have made this

prediction a strong

possibility.

Here we examine the

growth drivers in the

CBD industry set to

make it boom in 2020.

WHY CBD OIL WILL BE HUGE IN 2020

level by redefining

it as an agricultural

product as opposed to

a drug.

As regulation affecting

CBD cultivation and

use continues to

mature in the US,

other countries are

following suit. At the

current time, countries

that have legalised

the medical use of

then. This is because

CBD oil is extremely

difficult to regulate.

Some companies

have been caught

for not accurately

representing what

their product contains.

This movement has

led to many medical

professionals refusing

to recommend CBD

oil products to their

communities.

In 2020, this

movement will be

even larger and

stronger. This in

turn should mean

that people aren’t as

wary as previously to

try CBD. It may also

reduce the number

of doctors and other

medical professionals

going to the press

This led many people

to believe CBD oil was

the next version of

snake oil; essentially

a product that did

nothing, but was

hyped up to make

people spend money

in the belief that it did.

Recent research,

however, is disproving

these attitudes.

One pivotal study

CBD OIL IS MORE

AFFORDABLE THAN

EVER

One of the big

problems with CBD

oil when it first gained

popularity in the US

was the price. In 2014,

Forbes reported that

the expected average

price for one mg of

the oil was as much

as $1.25. With many

CBD oil specialists

recommending

doses of 50mg or

more, this could

get quite expensive

quite quickly. As

a consequence,

many people

were prevented

from buying

CBD oil because

of their financial

circumstances.

However, with the

growth CBD oil has

experienced yearon-year,

demand

has increased, which

has, in turn lead to

a reduction in the

cost of the oil. This

is great news for

consumers who could

not previously afford

the inflated prices.

The continued drop in

prices should create

more of a buzz in

2020.

Some consumers

are worried that this

deterioration in price

might come with a

decrease in the quality

of the CBD oils on

the market, but this

isn’t necessarily the

case. Many American

dispensaries have

taken this concern

into consideration

and stock CBD oils

at a variety of price

ranges, perfect for

both beginner and

experienced users

and to suit all price

brackets.

Another concern as

CBD oil becomes

more affordable is

that investment in the

industry will follow

suit, but this hasn’t

been the case. The

increase in consumer

sales of CBD oil

has actually been a

positive force, with

some investment

specialists considering

the oil the next gold in

terms of value.

MANY COUNTRIES

ARE LEGALISING CBD

OIL

You cannot talk

about a surge in the

popularity of CBD oil

without looking at

the legal landscape

in the US, which

changed dramatically

throughout 2018

and is continuing to

metamorphose today.

This dramatic

alteration began at

the end of 2018, when

Donald Trump signed

the Farm Bill into law,

thus decriminalizing

CBD oil on a federal

cannabis include

Argentina, Australia,

Canada, Chile,

Colombia, Croatia,

Cyprus, Germany,

Greece, Israel, Italy,

Jamaica, Lithuania,

Luxembourg, North

Macedonia, Norway,

the Netherlands,

New Zealand, Peru,

Portugal, Poland,

Switzerland, and

Thailand.

THE INDUSTRY HAS

BEGUN MAKING

TRANSPARENCY A

PRIORITY

Transparency has

been a big issue in

the CBD oil industry

ever since it gained

popularity and,

really, this was the

case even before

patients. Some are

going to the media

to actively caution

against the product’s

use.

However, beginning in

2018 and continuing

throughout last year,

there has been a huge

demand for CBD oil

companies to be more

honest, which has led

to a change in the

industry.

These changes are

making it easier

than ever for people

to find reviews of

trusted CBD oil

suppliers online. Those

who don’t adhere

to transparency

increasingly find

themselves outed

within these

discouraging its use,

despite its varied

health benefits.

ONGOING STUDIES

ARE PROVIDING US

WITH EVIDENCE TO

BACK UP HEALTH

CLAIMS

Up until recently,

much of the education

we had about CBD oil

relied on anecdotal

evidence and small,

sample studies. Even

when we did have

in-depth studies into

the cannabinoid oil,

they were usually

completed on animals

in a lab environment,

which leaves an

element of doubt

when transferring

these effects to

humans.

that is the talk of the

CBD oil community

at the moment is

a UK study with

human participants

over 54 years of age.

This study involves

gaining an accurate

representation of

just how CBD oil

could be used to

slow the progression

of, and potentially

cure, Alzheimer’s

disease. There are

similar human studies

going on in the US

for patients suffering

from a variety of

different cancers.

Although many of

these studies were

initially inspired by a

terminally ill man’s

plight for more time

12 13



while suffering from

lung cancer, there

have since been

promising results

with leukemia, breast

cancer and even

bowel cancer.

Having more

information like

this available to us

provides people with

the encouragement

they need to try CBD

oil for themselves

instead of relying on

hearsay. It may also

encourage doctors

and other medical

professionals who

have been hesitant

to recommend CBD

oil due to a lack of

research to change

their minds in the

coming months and

years.

THE CBD INDUSTRY

IS CONSTANTLY

EXPANDING

PRODUCT RANGE

With market

prediction numbers

increasing all the time,

, many companies

from other industries

are doing everything

they can to appeal to

the industry. One of

the only industries to

do this successfully to

date is the cosmetics

industry, with Sephora

recently launching

its own range of CBD

oil products. This

is completely legal

according to the FDA

and the Farm Bill, as

long as they are not

indirectly promoting

unproven health

benefits.

Other industries have

also seen moderate

success when trying

to gain a way into

the CBD market. This

includes the food

and drink industry. A

number of breweries

are now selling CBD

oil-infused beers,

and coffee shops

are promoting CBD

oil in protein shakes

and hot drinks. These

innovative beverages

have sparked great

interest nationally,

leading to an increase

in the number of

people trying CBD oil

for the first time.

However, there are

some questions about

legality in the US. In

some states, these

drinks are perfectly

legal, but the FDA

argues that selling

CBD oil in a form that

can be consumed

is not currently

advisable.

For pet lovers, CBD

oil has become a

saving grace for many

health conditions

commonly associated

with dogs. This use

has gained so much

popularity that more

people are beginning

to embrace this trend

by providing CBD oil

edibles for dogs to

consume. However,

some legal bodies

are declaring these

products as illegal,

with veterinarians are

generally advising

against this due to

the severely limited

research on how CBD

oil interacts with dogs.

THE WELLNESS

INDUSTRY IS

EMBRACING CBD

OIL AS A NATURAL

SUPPLEMENT

For years, the

alternative wellness

industry was

considered to be full

of hippies and others

like them, but this is

no longer the case.

The situation has

changed so much

that we are now

seeing wellness being

presented as one of

the top healthcare

trends of 2020, but it

is an industry that has

been growing since

long before this latest

eruption.

The wellness market

experienced a

surprising 12.8%

industry market

growth between 2015

and 2017. This is twice

as fast as overall global

economic growth.

The good news is

that many within the

wellness industry are

beginning to embrace

CBD oil. Many people

are using it alongside

vitamins to remain

healthy and control

existing health

conditions.

This significant

trend is expected to

boost the hype and

popularity of CBD

not only within the

wellness industry but

in the mainstream

media itself. 2020 is

probably going to

be the year when

many outlets cite

CBD oil as the health

supplement you need

to include in your daily

routine going forward.

INFLUENCER

ENDORSEMENTS

FOR CBD OIL ARE

INCREASING

If you’re on social

media, chances are

you follow at least one

influencer or at least

know what they are.

You’re probably aware

that these influencers

tend to shy away from

difficult or potentially

controversial products

for fear of losing

their dedicated

audience and gaining

a negative online

reputation.

This is why CBD oil

products weren’t

popularly advertised

on social media

websites like

Instagram and

Twitter; but this,

too, is changing. In

2019, dedicated lists

of influencers have

appeared showing

willingness to or

with experience of

working with CBD oil

companies.

This is a major

indicator that CBD oil

will be huge in 2020;

these influencers have

a bigger contribution

to consumer habits

than celebrity

endorsements.

As a result, more

people are likely to

look into CBD for

themselves and make

purchasing decisions

based on these

recommendations in

2020.

It seems like the entire planet is obsessed with cannabidiol, aka

CBD. Here are five fast facts about the latest cannabis craze:

14

• It won’t get you high. THC is the psychoactive compound that

creates the “high” associated with marijuana. CBD’s effect is totally

different.

• CBD is in a legal gray area in the US. with conflicting state and

federal laws. While it’s no longer a Schedule 1 controlled substance,

the FDA has NOT legalized CBD for sale as a supplement.

• CBD is safe and non-habit forming. The World Health Organization

has stated that pure CBD is safe for consumption.

• CBD comes in many forms. The most common include oils,

tinctures, cosmetics, topical creams, gummies, chocolate, powder

and beverages.

• CBD purportedly helps with anxiety, inflammation, headaches,

epilepsy, insomnia, arthritis and a number of other health

conditions.

15



HAVE YOU

LOST MONEY

BECAUSE OF

POOR FINANCIAL

ADVICE?

THE FINANCIAL SERVICES

COMPENSATION SCHEME

EXISTS TO GET YOUR

MONEY BACK. FIND OUT

HOW.

IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF

2019, INVESTORS LOST £43M

DUE TO MIS-SOLD FINANCIAL

PRODUCTS. DISCOVER EXACTLY

WHAT IS COVERED BY THE

SCHEME IN OUR QUICK GUIDE.

WHAT IS THE

FINANCIAL SERVICES

COMPENSATION

SCHEME (FSCS)?

The Financial Services

Compensation Scheme

(FSCS) protects

customers from losing

some of their cash if

authorised financial

services firms go bust.

It also protects against

unscrupulous advisers

from mis-selling

financial products.

In some

circumstances, you

could be covered for

more than £85,000.

There’s a measure to

protect temporary

high balances in bank

accounts - where you

have money resulting

from things like house

sales or inheritances

- when you’ll be

covered for some

types of funds up to

£1m for six months.

AM I ELIGIBLE FOR

THE FSCS?

You can only claim the

FSCS compensation in

certain circumstances,

and certain criteria

must be met. The

rules have been set by

the Financial Conduct

Authority (FCA)

and the Prudential

Regulation Authority

(PRA). The criteria are

as follows:

• the financial

services firm must

have failed and be

unable to return

your money itself -

ie it is ‘in default’

• the FCA or

PRA must have

authorised the firm

when you used it

• you must have

actually lost money

• you’re claiming

for personal

money you’ve

lost - although

some businesses

and charities

may be able to

claim in some

circumstances

DOES THE FSCS

COVER MORTGAGES,

INSURANCE AND

INVESTMENTS?

It’s not just your

savings that are

protected by the

FSCS – it also

covers investments,

mortgages and

insurance. The

compensation

limits are different

to savings, and vary

depending on the

type of product you

own. Current limits for

each product area are:

• Investments: 100%

of the first £85,000

if the firm failed

after 1 April 2019,

£50,000 if before

• Mortgage advice

and arranging:

100% of the first

£85,000 if the firm

failed after 1 April

2019, £50,000 if

before

• Long-term

insurance (eg life

assurance): 100% of

the claim

• Compulsory

general insurance

(eg third-party

motor insurance):

100% of the claim

• Non-compulsory

general insurance

(eg home

insurance): 90% of

the claim

• General insurance

advice and

arranging: 90% of

the claim. Advice

for compulsory

insurance is also

protected up to

90% of the claim.

Each product type is

treated independently

under the FSCS rules,

so if you choose to

bank and invest with

the same provider

you would be entitled

to compensation for

each of the products

you hold, up to

the relevant FSCS

limits. While the

limit for investment

compensation will

be increased to

£85,000, some other

intermediation

changes are also

due to take place in

2020. On 1 April last

year, investment

intermediation,

life and pensions

intermediation,

and home finance

intermediation all

increased from

£50,000 to £85,000.

DO YOU THINK

YOU MAY HAVE

A CLAIM FOR

COMPENSATION?

CONTACT CLAIMS

DIRECT AND SET

THE WHEELS IN

MOTION. YOU MIGHT

BE ENTITLED TO

THOUSANDS OF

POUNDS! WHAT

A GREAT WAY TO

START 2020 RIGHT?

CLICK ON LOGO

BELOW

16 17



FCA TIGHTENS

REGULATIONS TO PROTECT

RETAIL INVESTORS

REGULATION IN 2019 WAS

FOCUSED ON THE CONCEPT OF

PREVENTING NAUGHTY PROVIDERS

OR ADVISERS PUSHING A

FINANCIAL PRODUCT TO PEOPLE

FOR WHOM IT ISN’T FIT FOR

PURPOSE.

The Financial Conduct Authority has produced

reams of red tape to prevent pensions,

investments, mortgages and protection policies

being promoted to those who would be better

off without such products.

The regulator has rightly recognised due to

sales targets and inappropriate marketing

some people ended up worse off as a result

of their run-in with the regulated world of

financial services.

However, it has also become clear that the

nation’s regulatory bodies need to recognise

the fact many people are now buying financial

services because of social media influencers.

Action needs to be taken to address the rise of

so-called influencers - and people pretending

to be the likes of consumer champion Martin

Lewis.

The nation’s leaders and regulators need to

realise today’s equivalent of a dodgy salesman

knocking on your front door are paid posts

disguised as unbiased endorsements on social

media.

Action needs to be taken to address the rise of

so-called influencers - and people pretending

to be the likes of consumer champion Martin

MAKE

2020 THE

YEAR YOU

GET YOUR

MONEY

BACK!!

Lewis - pushing how rich they are as a result of

some unregulated financial offering.

Last year, Mr Lewis dropped his legal

action against Facebook over a series of

advertisements that ran on its platform,

falsely claiming he backed several investment

schemes.

The MoneySavingExpert website founder

argued the fake endorsements damaged

his reputation but dropped his case when

Facebook agreed to introduce a scam ads

reporting button.

As part of the deal, Facebook will also donated

£3m to Citizens Advice. The organisation will

use the money for a scheme to identify and

fight online scams and support their victims

and will include work to develop tools to help

the public identify such fraudulent activity.

The FCA does have rules surrounding what

regulated financial services providers and

advisers can and can’t say on social media

channels.

However, more needs to be done by the

regulator to recognise why people are willing to

invest in vehicles unprotected by the Financial

Services Compensation Scheme just because of

chatter on the likes of Twitter and Facebook.

Action is needed from the UK’s regulators to

force social media giants to tackle the shady

side of social media influencers and false

advertisements.

YOU COULD CLAIM COMPENSATION

UNDER THE FSCS IF YOU MEET ALL

THE FOLLOWING CRITERIA:

• The financial services firm you did business with

has failed and is unable to return your money

itself (the company is ‘in default’).

• The FCA or PRA authorised the firm under FSMA

to carry out regulated activities at the time you

did business with it.

• The firm owes you a civil liability (e.g.

negligence) in connection with a regulated

activity that we cover (e.g. advising on

designated investments).

• You have suffered actual financial loss as a

result; and

• You’re a private individual (although some

businesses and charities may be eligible,

depending on the type of claim.

CHECK IF YOU’RE ELIGIBLE TODAY BY

CONTACTING CLAIMS DIRECT

18 19



AVOIDING

THE MINI

BOND TRAP

The UK’s Financial Conduct

Authority (FCA) has banned the

mass marketing of speculative

mini-bonds to UK consumers in

time for the upcoming ISA season.

11,600 investors are set to lose

most of the £236m they put into

‘mini bonds’ after the collapse

of London Capital & Finance

in 2019. As a consequence, the

FCA has banned marketing

these unregulated products,

effective from 1st January

2020.

The London city watchdog announced

last November that it was introducing the

restriction from 1 January 2020 without

consultation. It will prevent these products

being promoted to retail investors as suitable

for Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs). The ban

will last for 12 months while the FCA consults

on making permanent rules.

The term ‘mini-bond’ refers to a range of

investments. The new restrictions will apply

to complex bonds where the funds raised are

used to lend to a third party, invest in other

companies or purchase or develop properties.

Under its product intervention powers, the

FCA does not need to consult the firms

affected.

The FCA has limited powers over issuers of

speculative ‘mini-bonds’ because the firms

involved are usually unauthorised by the

watchdog. However, it can take action when

an authorised firm promotes or sells such

products.

The FCA said it was concerned that an

increasing number of promotions were frauds

or scams. It has been working with Google

to take down websites and has been using

web scraping to try to identify mini-bond

promotions.

Andrew Bailey, Chief Executive of the FCA

said: “We remain concerned at the scope for

promotion of mini-bonds to retail investors

who do not have the experience to assess

and manage the risks involved. This risk is

heightened by the arrival of the ISA season at

the end of the tax year, since it is quite common

for mini-bonds to have ISA status, or to claim

such even though they do not have the status.”

The FCA ban will mean that unlisted speculative

mini-bonds can only be promoted to investors

that firms know are sophisticated or high-networth.

Marketing material produced or approved

by an authorised firm will also have to include

a specific risk warning and disclose any costs

or payments to third parties that are deducted

from the money raised from investors.

The FCA should be deeply concerned

that advisers have clients arriving at

their offices having already invested six

figure sums as they talk about the latest

big financial thing on social media as

the equivalent of a fantastic, trustworthy

tip worth betting the price of a London

property on.

If action isn’t taken in this area, the

next big mis-selling scandal won’t be

down to financial advisers or traditional

product providers; it will be caused by

social media.

IF YOU THINK YOU MAY HAVE A CLAIM FOR

COMPENSATION? CONTACT CLAIMS DIRECT

TODAY. TOGETHER WE CAN FIGHT TO GET YOUR

CAPITAL BACK!

CLICK ON LOGO BELOW

20 21



DUE DILIGENCE

TOOLKIT

THE MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION

There are five “must ask” due diligence

questions to help you boost your returns

which we’ll be covering one by one over

the next five months. These are the

golden rules of due diligence that ensure

professional investors are best-placed to

earn decent returns. Although nothing is

set in stone and all investments can go

down as well as up, etc., there is quite a lot

you can do to investigate an opportunity

before committing your money to it.

Here, we take a look at the first and possibly

most important question to ask when

reviewing an investment opportunity,

which is………

How Can I Lose Money With This

Investment?

You don’t know an investment until you

understand all the ways you can lose

money with it. This is so important that

Warren Buffet’s top tip for investors is: “Rule

No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never

forget rule No. 1.”

We can’t overemphasize the importance of

this question. You must first focus on the

return OF your capital, and only second

concern yourself with the return ON your

capital.

The first question when analyzing any

investment is to find all the ways you can

potentially lose money by identifying in

advance all the major risks involved with

the opportunity.

Once these risks are fully identified, the second step is to pro-actively mitigate whatever

risks are manageable. We explain this two-step due diligence process in greater detail

below:

The First Step in Risk Management is to

Identify the Risk Profile

Your first job is to identify all the ways

you can lose money with a particular

investment. You do this by identifying and

grouping the risks associated with that

investment. You don’t know an investment

until you understand all the ways you can

lose money with it.

With proper portfolio design and

investment strategy, you can usually

manage away every significant risk (except

one or two) to acceptable proportions.

These one or two remaining risks define the

specific, uncontrolled risk profile for that

investment. It’s the leftover risk you must

live with.

In order to manage away the risks of loss,

you must first know what risks are inherent

to the investment you’re considering.

Using the stock market as an example,

there are almost a limitless number of risks,

but for practical purposes, they can be

profiled down to a few major categories:

“Company specific” risks include things

like accounting scandals, lawsuits, and

mismanagement – anything unique

to the company that’s not part of the

industry. These risks are managed away by

diversifying among multiple companies.

Mutual funds and exchange traded funds

(ETF) are great examples of simple, cost

effective tools to diversify away company

specific risk.

“Industry specific” risks include a downturn

in demand for widgets, changes in

consumer tastes, disruptive technology

changes, and industry law changes. This

risk is controlled by not concentrating your

portfolio in a single industry.

A closely related risk is “investment style”

risk such as value vs. growth, or large cap

vs. micro cap. The market will vary how it

rewards or punishes different investment

styles over time. For this reason, you should

manage this risk by not concentrating too

heavily in any one specific investment style

like micro-cap, value, or growth.

“Market” risk is associated with a general

downturn in investor’s appetite for

stocks, causing an overall reduction in

the valuation level of equities. This risk

is manageable through a sell discipline,

hedging, or by diversifying into noncorrelated

markets such as real estate,

commodities, cash, or international equities

rather than solely domestic equities.

Again, the above risk profiles are designed

to illustrate stock investing. However,

the same principles can (and should be)

applied to every asset class in your portfolio.

ALL OF LIFE IS THE

EXERCISE OF RISK

-WILLIAM SLOANE COFFIN, JR.

22 23



SAXO

BANK’S

INSANE

2020

FORECAST

2016 was the year when anything

became possible, particularly in

the UK with the Brexit referendum

and the US which saw Donald

Trump elected as leader of the free

world. These kinds of political and

economic shocks inspired Danish

investment bank Saxo to publish its

10 “outrageous” predictions for 2020

last month.

The report doesn’t reflect the firm’s

official market forecasts for next year,

but rather focuses on “unlikely but

underappreciated events” driven by

disruption. The predictions range

from macroeconomic forecasts to

major shifts in specific industries.

Although the predictions may seem

very far from ever being reality,

we already know that disruption is

lurking around every corner.

“We see 2020 as a year where at

nearly every turn, disruption of the

status quo is an overriding theme,”

Saxo Bank chief economist Steen

Jakobsen said in a statement.

“The year could represent one big

pendulum swing to opposites in

politics, monetary and fiscal policy

and, not least, the environment.”

While the predictions don’t reflect

Saxo Bank’s official market forecasts

for 2020, they represent a “warning of

a potential misallocation of risk,” for

investors that see a small chance of

the events materializing.

According to Saxo

Bank, the microchips

powering the artificial

intelligence revolution

could start to yield

diminishing returns in

2020.

“As reality sets in on

the limitations of AI the

SOX Index collapses

50% with deteriorating

earnings growth as

investments freeze in a

new AI winter,” the firm

wrote.

Chipmakers’ growth in

recent years has come

from investments in

everything from AI to

cryptocurrency. But

those gains could

sputter in 2020 as

actual results fail

to meet investor’s

expectations, the bank

added.

“The iShares MSCCI

World Value Factor ETF

leaves the FANGS in the

dust, outperforming

them by 25%,” Saxo

Bank predicts.

The bank continued:

“Each credit cycle has

required ever lower

rates and greater

doses of stimulus to

prevent a total seizure

in the US and global

financial system. With

a growing deficit and

Saxo Bank predicts

that Christine Lagarde,

the new European

Central Bank president,

could decide to

reverse the direction

of monetary policy in

Europe.

“She points out that

maintaining negative

deposit interest rates

for a longer period

could seriously harm

the soundness of the

European banking

sector,” Saxo Bank

wrote, referring to a

hypothetical scenario.

The firm added: “In

order to force euro area

governments, and

notably Germany, to

step in and to use fiscal

policy to stimulate the

economy, the ECB

reverses its monetary

policy and hikes rates

on January 23, 2020.”

not only will the oil

and gas industry be

a surprising winner

in 2020 - the clean

energy industry will

simultaneously suffer

a wake-up call.”

Saxo Bank predicts

the exchange rate

between the South

African rand and the

US dollar could rise

from 15 rands per dollar

to 20. The South

African government

warned last year that

the country’s financial

position could worsen

as it continues to bail

out the ESKOM, a struggling

utility.

“The ESKOM fiasco

may be the straw that

will break the back of

creditors’ willingness

to continue funding

a country that hasn’t

had its financial or governance

house in order

for decades,” the

bank said.

24 25

01

CHIPMAKER STOCKS

COLLAPSE IN ‘AI

WINTER’

02

STAGFLATION

REWARDING VALUE

OVER GROWTH

STOCKS

low interest rates in

the US, the Federal

Reserve could be

forced to “super-size”

its balance in the next

recession”.

03

EUROPEAN CENTRAL

BANK STARTS

HIKING RATES

04

OIL AND GAS

OUTPERFORMS

CLEAN ENERGY

“The combined forces

of lower prices and

investors avoiding

the black energy

sector have pushed

the equity valuation

on traditional energy

companies to a 23%

discount to clean

energy companies,”

the firm said.

Saxo Bank added:

“In 2020, we see

the tables turning

for the investment

outlook as OPEC

extends production

cuts, unprofitable

US shale outfits slow

output growth and

demand rises from

Asia once again. And

05

SOUTH AFRICA’S

CURRENCY WEAKENS

AS THE WORLD CUTS

OFF CREDIT LINES



06

07

08

PRESIDENT TRUMP

INTRODUCES NEW

TAX TO REDUCE

TRADE DEFICIT

SWEDEN ROLLS OUT

FISCAL STIMULUS’ TO

BETTER INTEGRATE

IMMIGRANTS

DEMOCRATS WIN THE

2020 US ELECTION

DRIVEN BY WOMEN

AND MILLENNIALS

The fallout from the

US-China trade war

could push President

Trump to implement

an “America First

Tax” to balance the

growing trade deficit,

Saxo Bank predicts.

“Under the terms of

this tax, the US corporate

tax schedule

is completely reconstructed

to favour USbased

production

under the claimed

principles of “fair and

free trade”.

Sweden is currently

grappling with a

growing group of

Swedes that are

unhappy with the

country’s approach to

immigration.

“A massive and

pragmatic attitude

shift washes over

Sweden as it gets

to work to better

integrate its

immigrants and

overstretched social

services, driving a

huge fiscal stimulus

and steep rally in SEK.

Democrats could win

the presidency, while

assuming control

of both houses of

congress in 2020

thanks to high turnout

from women and

millennials, Saxo Bank

said.

“Millennials and

even the oldest of

“generation Z” in the

US have become

intensely motivated

by the injustices and

inequality driven by

central bank asset

market pumping

and fears of climate

change, where

President Trump is

the ultimate lightning

rod for rebellion as

a climate change

denier,” Saxo Bank

wrote.

The swift victory could

send big healthcare

and pharma stocks

tanking as much as

50% on regulatory

concerns, the firm

added.

26 27

09

HUNGARY LEAVES

THE EUROPEAN

UNION

Hungary joined the

European Union in

2004, but the country’s

relationship with the

bloc has splintered in

recent years.

“The 15-year marriage

now seems in

trouble after the EU

initiated an Article

7 procedure against

the country, citing

Hungary’s - or really

PM Orbán’s - evertighter

restrictions on

free media, judges,

academics, minorities

and rights groups.

The two sides could

find it challenging

to reconcile their

differences next year,

leading to Hungary

exiting the bloc”.

10

ASIA INTRODUCES

A NEW RESERVE

CURRENCY TO SHIFT

AWAY FROM THE US

DOLLAR

Saxo predicts Asia

could launch a digital

reserve currency in

an effort to alleviate

its dependency on

the US dollar.

“To confront a

deepening trade rivalry

and vulnerabilities

from rising US threats

to weaponise the US

dollar and its control

of global finances, the

Asian Infrastructure

Investment Bank

creates a new reserve

asset called the Asian

Drawing Right, or ADR,

with 1 ADR equivalent

to 2 US dollars, making

the ADR the world’s

largest currency unit,”

the firm wrote.



HOW THE

WAY WE

INVEST WILL

CHANGE

HOW WE ARE CHOOSING

TO INVEST OUR MONEY HAS

BEEN INFLUENCED BY GLOBAL

ECONOMIC CHANGE

When you are investing for your financial

future, you tend to be a little more protective

of your capital than if you were a professional

trader for example.

These days, most of us are investing for

a reason, which can range from a house

purchase through to retirement. Here we take

a look at investment strategies designed for

people at different stages of life.

INVESTING WITH PURPOSE

When you have a specific goal, you can tailor

your investing to achieve it

Why are you investing? It’s okay if you have

many different answers to this question, but

there is a big problem if you have no answer at

all. Investing is like driving—it is best done with

your eyes open.

Having clear reasons or purposes for investing is

critical to investing successfully. Like training at

a gym, investing can become difficult, tedious,

and even dangerous if you lack focus.

Here are the most common reasons for

investing:

RETIREMENT

Your Social Security payments were never

intended to fully fund retirement, and there are

questions about what will happen to payouts in

years to come. Because of this, investing can be

a tool to help you carve out a more secure path

to retirement.

Three maxims apply to investing for your postwork

years:

The more years between today and your

retirement, the more years your money has

to grow. Keep in mind that you are fighting

inflation when saving for retirement. In other

words, if you don’t invest your money in a way

that outpaces inflation, it won’t be worth as

much in the future.

The older you are when you start, the more

risk-averse you will have to be. This means you

will likely use guaranteed investments, such as

debt securities, which have lower returns. By

contrast, start young means you can take larger

risks for (hopefully) larger

gains.

The earlier you start learning

about investing, the easier it

will be to pick it up. Financial

professionals are difficult to

choose and costly to keep, so

it is best to manage your own

affairs whenever possible.

Investing for retirement is

similar to any long-term

investing. For the majority

of your investment capital,

you want to find quality

investment vehicles to buy

and hold. Your retirement

portfolio will actually be a

mix of stocks, debt securities,

index funds, and other

money market instruments.

This mix will change as you

do, moving increasingly

toward low-risk guaranteed

investments as you age.

ACHIEVING SHORT-TERM

FINANCIAL GOALS

You don’t always have to think

long term. Investing is as much

a tool for shaping your present

financial situation as it is for

forming your future one. Do

you want to buy a BMW next

year? Do you want to go on a

cruise? Wouldn’t a holiday that

was paid for with dividends feel

nice?

Investing can be used as a way

to enhance your employment

income, helping you buy the

things you want. Because

investing changes along with

the investor’s desired goals,

this type of investing is not like

retirement investing.

Investing to achieve financial

goals involves a blend of

long-term and short-term

investments. If you are investing

in the hope of buying a house,

you will almost certainly

be looking at longer-term

instruments. If you are investing

to buy a computer in the New

Year, you may want short-term

investments that pay dividends

or some high-yield bonds (also

known as junk bonds).

The caveat here is that you

need to pinpoint your goals

first. If you want to go on a

holiday in a year’s time, you

have to figure out the cost of

the vacation and then come

up with an investing strategy

to meet that goal. If you don’t

have a set goal, the money

that should be going into that

investment will doubtless be

used for other purposes that

seem more pressing at the time

(Christmas presents, a night

out, and so on).

Investing to achieve financial

goals can be exciting and

challenging. Combining the

pressure of time constraints

with the fact that you’re not

usually dealing with large sums

of vital money (as in retirement

investing), you may be less

risk-averse and more motivated

to learn about higher-yield

investments (growth stocks,

shorting, etc.). Best of all, a

tangible reward is at the end.

Reasons Not to Invest

Just as there are two main

reasons to invest, there are two

big reasons not to invest: debt

or a lack of knowledge.

With debt, it is a simple matter

of maths. Imagine you have a

£1,000 loan at 9% interest, and

you get a £1,000 bonus. Should

you invest it or pay down the

debt? Short answer: Pay down

the debt. If you invest it, the

money has to make a return

of well over 9% (not counting

commissions and fees) to make

it worthwhile.

When it comes to lack of

knowledge, it is a matter of

“fools rush in where angels fear

to tread.” Throwing your money

haphazardly into investments

you don’t understand is a sure

way to lose it quickly. To use an

exercise analogy, you don’t walk

into a gym and lift 100kg on

your first day. Your introduction

to investing should follow the

same incremental process as

weight training.

The Bottom Line

Allow for change, and review

your goals periodically. Your

reasons for investing will

change as you go through

the ups and downs of life. This

is important to understand

because the only alternative

is to invest with no purpose,

which will likely result in

investing practices that reflect

your uncertainty and cause

your returns to suffer.

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