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i Water scarcity analyzed

For many years, experts, journalists and politicians have warned us about water scarcity. But

what does this mean exactly?

First, scarcity is a relative phenomenon. It is the relation between the available water

and the existing demands. While there is generally enough water in the world, its regional and

seasonal distribution is uneven, so that in many areas and in certain periods of the year, many

people experience a shortage of fresh water. And with population growth and climate change,

these numbers will only grow.

Scientists developed different methods for measuring water scarcity. The best-known is

probably the so-called Falkenmark Water Stress Index. It is based on the amount of renewable

water per capita. If less than 1 700 m³ per year per person is available, people experience water

stress. Less than 1 000 m³ per capita is classified as chronic water scarcity and less than 500 m³

as absolute water scarcity. The map below shows that, according to this assessment, Central

Asia experiences neither water stress nor chronic or absolute water scarcity, though Afghanistan,

Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are considered vulnerable, as their water availability is less than

2 500 m³ per person.

Freshwater availability

cubic meters

per person

and per year, 2007

684000

70000

15000

6000

2500

1700

1000

0

Although this indicator is widely used and can provide a general picture of physical water availability,

it has some shortcomings. The water availability per person is calculated as an average

and neglects uneven water distribution within a country or shortages in certain seasons. It

does not account for the quality of water, which can significantly reduce the amount of actual

available clean water, nor does it give information about a country’s regulations for management,

which are crucial for de facto access to water.

A broader indicator is the Rural Water Livelihoods In dex (RWLI), which was developed

by the UN’s Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) in 2009. Its objective is to assess

Water management in Central Asia – the legacies of the past

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