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Risk Management in Nokia Group - ECIIA

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Company Confidential<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nokia</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

Mikko Routti, Director, <strong>Risk</strong><br />

<strong>Management</strong> and Assurance<br />

<strong>ECIIA</strong> 6-8.September


• <strong>Nokia</strong> is the world's largest<br />

manufacturer of mobile devices and a<br />

leader <strong>in</strong> mobile network equipment,<br />

solutions and services.<br />

• We also provide equipment, solutions<br />

and services for corporate customers.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> is about<br />

Connect<strong>in</strong>g People<br />

• Ranked by Interbrand as the world‘s<br />

6 th most valuable brand <strong>in</strong> 2005<br />

• <strong>Nokia</strong> has refocused its brand<br />

strategy<br />

• Deepen<strong>in</strong>g consumers‘ emotional<br />

connection with the brand<br />

• Emphasis on ‗very human technology‘<br />

• Open<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>Nokia</strong> Flagship Stores


<strong>Nokia</strong><br />

at a Glance<br />

Net sales (EUR million)<br />

Operat<strong>in</strong>g profit (EUR million)<br />

Operat<strong>in</strong>g marg<strong>in</strong>, %<br />

Earn<strong>in</strong>gs per share, diluted, EUR<br />

Research and development (EUR million)<br />

Personnel (year-end)<br />

• Head office <strong>in</strong> F<strong>in</strong>land, operations around the world, sales <strong>in</strong> more than 130 countries<br />

• <strong>Nokia</strong> sold its one billionth phone <strong>in</strong> 2005<br />

• June 19, 2006: <strong>Nokia</strong> and Siemens to merge their communications service provider<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>esses. <strong>Nokia</strong> Siemens Networks 2005 pro forma revenues EUR 15.8 billion.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

2005<br />

34 191<br />

4 639<br />

13.6<br />

0.83<br />

3 825<br />

58 874<br />

2004<br />

29 371<br />

4 326<br />

14.7<br />

0.69<br />

3 776<br />

55 505<br />

Change, %<br />

+16<br />

+7<br />

+20<br />

+1<br />

+6


Horizontal <strong>Group</strong>s<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> is<br />

Organized for Growth<br />

Customer and<br />

Market Operations<br />

Technology<br />

Platforms<br />

Brand and design<br />

Developer support<br />

Research and ventur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Mobile<br />

Phones<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>Group</strong>s<br />

Multimedia Enterprise<br />

Solutions<br />

Corporate Functions<br />

Networks


Our<br />

Customers<br />

• Operators<br />

• Bus<strong>in</strong>esses<br />

• Consumers<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Net Sales by<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>Group</strong><br />

Enterprise<br />

Solutions<br />

EUR 861<br />

million<br />

Multimedia<br />

EUR 5 981 million<br />

Networks<br />

EUR 6 557 million<br />

3%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

61%<br />

Mobile Phones<br />

EUR 20 811 million<br />

* <strong>Nokia</strong>’s 2004 f<strong>in</strong>ancial accounts reflect the retrospective implementation of IFRS 2 and IAS 39R.<br />

Full-year net sales by<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess group, EUR million<br />

Mobile Phones 20 811 18 521<br />

Multimedia<br />

Enterprise Solutions<br />

Networks<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong><br />

2005<br />

5 981<br />

861<br />

6 557<br />

Revised*<br />

2004<br />

3 676<br />

839<br />

6 431<br />

Elim<strong>in</strong>ations -19 -96<br />

34 191<br />

29 371


Our<br />

People<br />

Diversity is at the heart of our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

Lat<strong>in</strong> America<br />

7%<br />

North America<br />

11%<br />

Asia-Pacific<br />

8%<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

10%<br />

Europe<br />

63%<br />

Middle-East & Africa<br />

1%


Balanced<br />

Global Market Presence<br />

Lat<strong>in</strong> America<br />

8%<br />

North America<br />

8%<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Asia-Pacific<br />

18%<br />

Net sales 2005:<br />

EUR 34 191 million<br />

Middle East<br />

& Africa<br />

13%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

11%<br />

Europe<br />

42%


Towards the 3 Billion Milestone<br />

Mobile phone<br />

subscriptions<br />

globally,<br />

millions<br />

Source: <strong>Nokia</strong><br />

3 000<br />

2 800<br />

2 600<br />

2 400<br />

2 200<br />

2 000<br />

1 800<br />

1 600<br />

1 400<br />

1 200<br />

1 000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

0<br />

Current global<br />

penetration 33 %<br />

3 billion<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2008<br />

-92 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -08e


<strong>Nokia</strong><br />

Strategy<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Create w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g devices<br />

Embrace consumer<br />

Internet services<br />

Deliver enterprise solutions<br />

Build scale <strong>in</strong> networks<br />

Expand professional services<br />

Brand & Design<br />

Customer engagement<br />

and fulfillment<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess portfolio <strong>Nokia</strong> strategic assets<br />

Technology and architecture


© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Leader <strong>in</strong> Corporate Responsibility<br />

Index Rank<strong>in</strong>g Previous rank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

FTSE4Good 03/06 <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong>cluded<br />

Dow Jones (DJSI World) 09/05<br />

(Communications technology)<br />

Dow Jones (Stoxx) 09/05<br />

(European technology)<br />

SiRi Global Profile 500 10/02<br />

(top 10 stocks <strong>in</strong> Europe)<br />

OEKOM (<strong>in</strong>dustry: env. +soc.) biennial 02/05 2<br />

Fortune Most Admired 03/06<br />

• Social Responsibility subcategory rank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

2 1<br />

2 1<br />

1 2<br />

(out of 10)<br />

20<br />

Industry leader<br />

Industry: nr 2<br />

4<br />

(out of 19)<br />

26<br />

Industry nr 3


What is ”<strong>Risk</strong>” and ”<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong>” <strong>in</strong> our context<br />

‖<strong>Risk</strong> is any uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty that affects <strong>Nokia</strong>‘s objectives and<br />

the achievement of the optimum result‖ (<strong>Nokia</strong>’s <strong>Risk</strong> Policy)<br />

• Philosophy: holistic risk management (ERM), but focus on bus<strong>in</strong>ess risks<br />

• covers any material risks (<strong>in</strong>stead of pre-def<strong>in</strong>ed risk areas)<br />

• strategic<br />

• operational <strong>in</strong>cl. hazards<br />

• f<strong>in</strong>ance<br />

• Lost Opportunity – is def<strong>in</strong>itely a risk<br />

• <strong>Risk</strong> identification is <strong>in</strong>tegral part of direction-sett<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g process<br />

• Key risks identified aga<strong>in</strong>st bus<strong>in</strong>ess targets -systematic cycle<br />

• Material risks reported regularly to top management and board<br />

• RM is not a separate process or action but a normal bus<strong>in</strong>ess practice<br />

• part of <strong>Group</strong> management system<br />

• part of operational work as a quality assurance practice<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


<strong>Risk</strong> Types help to identify and classify risks<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

NOKIA‘S RISK UNIVERSE<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternally and externally driven risks<br />

Brand<br />

Technology<br />

Acquisitions and partnerships<br />

Product portfolio<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> Operational Model<br />

Capital allocation<br />

Capital availability<br />

Capital structure<br />

Counterpart/credit risk<br />

Foreign Exchange<br />

Interest rate<br />

Global and regional economy<br />

Corporate Culture<br />

Markets<br />

Quality<br />

Compliance<br />

Customers & market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Human resources<br />

IT<br />

Execution & Process efficiency<br />

Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and care<br />

Political risks<br />

Security<br />

Suppliers & contractors<br />

Misconduct<br />

Logistics<br />

NOKIA RISK TYPES<br />

• Strategic risks<br />

• Acquisitions and partnerships<br />

• Brand<br />

• Corporate Culture<br />

• Global and regional economy<br />

• Markets<br />

• <strong>Nokia</strong> Operational Model<br />

• Product portfolio<br />

• Technology<br />

• F<strong>in</strong>ancial risks<br />

• Capital allocation<br />

• Capital availability<br />

• Capital structure<br />

• Counterpart/credit risk<br />

• Foreign Exchange<br />

• Interest rate<br />

• Operational risks<br />

• Compliance<br />

• Customers & market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Environmental<br />

• Execution and Process efficiency<br />

• Hazard risks<br />

• Human resources<br />

• Information/report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• IT<br />

• Logistics<br />

• Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and care<br />

• Misconduct<br />

• Political risks<br />

• Quality<br />

• Security<br />

• Suppliers & contractors


Example: <strong>Risk</strong> Factors - <strong>Nokia</strong> 20 F Annual Report filed<br />

with SEC<br />

Headl<strong>in</strong>es:<br />

• Our sales and profitability depend on the cont<strong>in</strong>ued growth of the mobile communications<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry as well as the growth of the new market segments with<strong>in</strong> that <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>in</strong> which we have<br />

recently <strong>in</strong>vested. If the mobile communications <strong>in</strong>dustry does not grow as we expect, or if the new<br />

market segments on which we have chosen to focus and <strong>in</strong> which we have recently <strong>in</strong>vested grow<br />

less than expected, or if new faster-grow<strong>in</strong>g market segments emerge <strong>in</strong> which we have not <strong>in</strong>vested,<br />

our sales and profitability may be adversely affected.<br />

• Our results of operations, particularly our profitability, may be adversely affected if we do not<br />

successfully manage price erosion related to our products.<br />

• We must develop or otherwise acquire complex, evolv<strong>in</strong>g technologies to use <strong>in</strong> our bus<strong>in</strong>ess. If we<br />

fail to develop these technologies or to successfully commercialize them as new advanced products<br />

and solutions that meet customer demand, or fail to do so on a timely basis, it may have a material<br />

adverse effect on our bus<strong>in</strong>ess, our ability to meet our targets and our results of operations.<br />

• We need to understand the different markets <strong>in</strong> which we operate and meet the needs of our<br />

customers, which <strong>in</strong>clude mobile network operators, distributors, <strong>in</strong>dependent retailers and enterprise<br />

customers. We need to have a competitive product portfolio, and to work together with our<br />

operator customers to address their needs. Our failure to identify key market trends and to respond<br />

timely and successfully to the needs of our customers may have a material adverse impact on our<br />

market share, bus<strong>in</strong>ess and results of operations.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Cont’d<br />

• Competition <strong>in</strong> our <strong>in</strong>dustry is <strong>in</strong>tense. Our failure to respond successfully to changes <strong>in</strong> the<br />

competitive landscape may have a material adverse impact on our bus<strong>in</strong>ess and results of operations.<br />

• Reach<strong>in</strong>g our sales, profitability, volume and market share targets depends on numerous<br />

factors. These <strong>in</strong>clude our ability to offer products and solutions that meet the demands of the market<br />

and to manage the prices and costs of our products and solutions, our operational efficiency, the pace<br />

of development and acceptance of new technologies, our success <strong>in</strong> the bus<strong>in</strong>ess areas that we have<br />

recently entered, and general economic conditions. Depend<strong>in</strong>g on those factors, some of which we<br />

may <strong>in</strong>fluence and others of which are beyond our control, we may fail to reach our targets and we<br />

may fail to provide accurate forecasts of our sales and results of operations.<br />

• Our sales and results of operations could be adversely affected if we fail to efficiently manage our<br />

manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and logistics without <strong>in</strong>terruption, or fail to ensure that our products and solutions<br />

meet our and our customers' quality, safety and other requirements and are delivered <strong>in</strong> time.<br />

• We depend on our suppliers for the timely delivery of components and for their compliance with our<br />

supplier requirements, such as, most notably, our and our customers' product quality, safety and<br />

other standards. Their failure to do so could adversely affect our ability to deliver our products and<br />

solutions successfully and on time.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Cont’d<br />

• We are develop<strong>in</strong>g a number of our new products and solutions together with other companies. If<br />

any of these companies were to fail to perform, we may not be able to br<strong>in</strong>g our products and<br />

solutions to market successfully or <strong>in</strong> a timely way and this could have a material adverse impact on<br />

our sales and profitability.<br />

• Our operations rely on complex and highly centralized <strong>in</strong>formation technology systems and<br />

networks. If any system or network disruption occurs, this reliance could have a material adverse<br />

impact on our operations, sales and operat<strong>in</strong>g results.<br />

• Our products and solutions <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly complex technology <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g numerous new <strong>Nokia</strong><br />

patented and other proprietary technologies, as well as some developed or licensed to us by certa<strong>in</strong><br />

third parties. As a consequence, evaluat<strong>in</strong>g the protection of the technologies we <strong>in</strong>tend to use is<br />

more and more challeng<strong>in</strong>g, and we expect <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly to face claims that we have <strong>in</strong>fr<strong>in</strong>ged third<br />

parties' <strong>in</strong>tellectual property rights. The use of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly complex technology may also result <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>creased licens<strong>in</strong>g costs for us, restrictions on our ability to use certa<strong>in</strong> technologies <strong>in</strong> our products<br />

and solution offer<strong>in</strong>gs, and/or costly and time-consum<strong>in</strong>g litigation. Third parties may also commence<br />

actions seek<strong>in</strong>g to establish the <strong>in</strong>validity of <strong>in</strong>tellectual property rights on which we depend.<br />

• If we are unable to recruit, reta<strong>in</strong> and develop appropriately skilled employees, we may not be<br />

able to implement our strategies and, consequently, our results of operations may suffer.<br />

• The global networks bus<strong>in</strong>ess relies on a limited number of customers and large multi-year<br />

contracts. Unfavorable developments under such a contract or <strong>in</strong> relation to a major customer may<br />

affect our sales, our results of operations and cash flow adversely.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Cont’d<br />

• Our sales derived from, and assets located <strong>in</strong>, emerg<strong>in</strong>g market countries may be adversely<br />

affected by economic, regulatory and political developments <strong>in</strong> those countries. As sales from these<br />

countries represent an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g portion of our total sales, economic or political turmoil <strong>in</strong> these<br />

countries could adversely affect our sales and results of operations. Our <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g<br />

market countries may also be subject to other risks and uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties.<br />

• Our sales, costs and results are affected by exchange rate fluctuations, particularly between the<br />

euro, which is our report<strong>in</strong>g currency, and the US dollar, the UK pound sterl<strong>in</strong>g and the Japanese yen<br />

as well as certa<strong>in</strong> other currencies.<br />

• Customer f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g to network operators can be a competitive requirement and could affect our<br />

sales, results of operations, balance sheet and cash flow adversely.<br />

• Allegations of health risks from the electromagnetic fields generated by base stations and mobile<br />

devices, and the lawsuits and publicity relat<strong>in</strong>g to them, regardless of merit, could affect our<br />

operations negatively by lead<strong>in</strong>g consumers to reduce their use of mobile devices or by caus<strong>in</strong>g us to<br />

allocate monetary and personnel resources to these issues.<br />

• An unfavorable outcome of litigation could materially impact our bus<strong>in</strong>ess, f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition or<br />

results of operations.<br />

• Changes <strong>in</strong> various types of regulation <strong>in</strong> countries around the world could affect our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

adversely.<br />

• Our share price has been and may cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be volatile <strong>in</strong> response to conditions <strong>in</strong> the global<br />

securities markets generally and <strong>in</strong> the communications and technology sectors <strong>in</strong> particular.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


20F <strong>Risk</strong> Factors data categorized <strong>in</strong>to <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Types<br />

Foreign Exchange 5 %<br />

Global and regional econ 5 %<br />

Hazard 5 %<br />

HR 5 %<br />

IT 5 %<br />

Markets 5 %<br />

Execution and process ef 15 %<br />

Political 5 %<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Product portfolio 10 %<br />

N-<strong>Risk</strong> - version 1.30 - CONFIDENTIAL<br />

Customers and Market<strong>in</strong>g 5 %<br />

Counterparty/credit risk 5 %<br />

Suppliers 10 %<br />

Compliance 10 %<br />

Technology 10 %<br />

2 Compliance<br />

1 Counterparty/credit risk<br />

1 Customers and Market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

3 Execution and process ef<br />

1 Foreign Exchange<br />

1 Global and regional econ<br />

1 Hazard<br />

1 HR<br />

1 IT<br />

1 Markets<br />

1 Political<br />

2 Product portfolio<br />

2 Suppliers<br />

2 Technology


Why have we <strong>in</strong>vested <strong>in</strong>to ERM?<br />

% of<br />

Value<br />

Collapse<br />

100<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

37%<br />

Demand<br />

Shortfall &<br />

Customer<br />

Losses<br />

Source: Lipp<strong>in</strong>cott Mercer<br />

11%<br />

Competitive &<br />

Pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Pressures<br />

7%<br />

Wrong<br />

Products<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

3%<br />

Merger<br />

Problems<br />

2%<br />

Regulation<br />

From 1998-2003, 10% of Fortune 1000<br />

companies lost 55% or more of shareholder<br />

value with<strong>in</strong> a one-month period. Most of these<br />

companies lost value because of strategic risk.<br />

0%<br />

R&D<br />

Delays<br />

8% 8%<br />

Cost<br />

Overrun<br />

Account<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Problems<br />

Strategic 60% Operational 22% F<strong>in</strong>ancial 7% Hazard 11%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

Ineffective<br />

<strong>Management</strong><br />

Supplier & Supply<br />

Cha<strong>in</strong> Problems<br />

5%<br />

2%<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

Foreign High Non- Catas<br />

Economic & Input Account<strong>in</strong>g -trophic<br />

Interest Prices/ Law- Events<br />

Rate Cost of suits<br />

Issues Raw<br />

Materials


Evolution of <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g<br />

―Manag<strong>in</strong>g risks <strong>in</strong> silos, among other bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

topics-hazards <strong>in</strong>sured‖<br />

Project management/quality related/SW-related RM (PM<br />

BOK, FMEA, ISO, CMMI....)<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance/Insurance/hazard<br />

risks/captives/loss prevention<br />

70 80 90 2000<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Corporate Governance<br />

―New risks‖: Supplier, IPR, IT<br />

Security, Brand, HR...<br />

ERM<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> RM CONCEPT 2005<br />

1. Governance<br />

• AC, CFO report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Steer<strong>in</strong>g<br />

2. RM Infrastructure<br />

• Policy, language<br />

• assurance model<br />

• One team<br />

3. Methodology<br />

• Common language<br />

• L<strong>in</strong>kage to Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• RM cycle, process<br />

4. Key practices<br />

• KRL<br />

• RM CSA<br />

• RM PA<br />

5. People<br />

• Roles, tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

6. Tools<br />

• KRL, <strong>Risk</strong> Log<br />

• N-<strong>Risk</strong><br />

7. Benchmarks<br />

• COSO ERM


The COSO ERM Framework is a useful<br />

benchmark<br />

Entity objectives can be viewed <strong>in</strong> the<br />

context of four categories:<br />

• Strategic<br />

• Operations<br />

• Report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Compliance<br />

Source IIA: Apply<strong>in</strong>g COSO<br />

ERM<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> as part of Corporate Governance<br />

1. Manag<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess risks is a normal management responsibility<br />

• RM activity can br<strong>in</strong>g assurance on how that is go<strong>in</strong>g on<br />

• <strong>Management</strong> process <strong>in</strong>cl. plann<strong>in</strong>g and SRMS set a support<strong>in</strong>g framework<br />

2. Organiz<strong>in</strong>g RM activity - Regulatory Guidance:<br />

• NYSE: Duties of Board/ Audit Committee and key risks as part of 20F Annual Report<br />

• HEX: Corporate Governance recommendation: description of RM system<br />

3. Specific external requirements<br />

• Internal Control – SOX-COSO/COBIT<br />

• F<strong>in</strong>ancial RM: IAS 32.56<br />

4. Quality etc. external standards<br />

• ISO, BS<br />

• PM BOK, CMMI, FMEA, PAS 56<br />

5. Internal guidance<br />

• <strong>Risk</strong> Policy<br />

• Treasury Policy, Security Policy, Code of Conduct, HR policies etc.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Roles and Responsibilities have been def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>Group</strong>s<br />

Board of Directors/<br />

Audit Committee<br />

Executive Board<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> People<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Horizontal <strong>Group</strong>s<br />

Platforms<br />

Board of Directors/Audit Committee<br />

• Approves <strong>Group</strong>’s <strong>Risk</strong> Policy<br />

• Reviews its implementation<br />

• Reviews regular Key <strong>Risk</strong> reports<br />

• Can <strong>in</strong>itiate assessments<br />

Executive Board<br />

• Approves <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Approach<br />

• Determ<strong>in</strong>es how to implement Policy<br />

• Reviews <strong>Group</strong>’s regular Key <strong>Risk</strong> reports<br />

• Communicates about risk appetite<br />

• Can <strong>in</strong>itiate assessments<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess and Horizontal <strong>Group</strong>s<br />

• Implement Policy at operational level<br />

• Identify own key risks and manage them<br />

• Key risks regular management <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

• Regular key risk report to <strong>Nokia</strong> level<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Support Team<br />

• Supports Policy implementation<br />

• Develops good practice methods<br />

• Consolidates group wide risk report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Review risk management maturity through<br />

assessments<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> People/Individuals<br />

• Responsible for manag<strong>in</strong>g own risks


Flow of <strong>Risk</strong> Data around plann<strong>in</strong>g process<br />

What are the key<br />

risks aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />

Strategies or<br />

operational plans?<br />

BG/HG MT‘s -<br />

consolidated<br />

risk maps<br />

BU KRL risk map<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> analysis/management<br />

<strong>in</strong> daily work/<br />

on-go<strong>in</strong>g actions<br />

CF’<br />

s<br />

845<br />

12 3<br />

967<br />

10<br />

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8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

845<br />

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10<br />

845<br />

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10<br />

Board/<br />

Audit Committee<br />

8 4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

8 4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

8 4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

8 4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

MP 9 6<br />

7 M 9 6<br />

7 E 9 6<br />

7<br />

9 6<br />

NET 7<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

FEEDBACK<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Executive<br />

Board<br />

FEEDBACK<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

Best practice<br />

S<br />

SHARING<br />

Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

RM SG<br />

8 4<br />

5<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

9 HG’s 6<br />

7<br />

Used as<br />

basis for<br />

20F risk<br />

factors<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Level<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Report<br />

(TOP20+BG/HG’s)<br />

8<br />

4<br />

1<br />

5<br />

2<br />

3<br />

9<br />

6<br />

7<br />

10


Simple <strong>in</strong>terfaces to document and analyse risks<br />

• <strong>Risk</strong> data is<br />

processed by utiliz<strong>in</strong>g<br />

common <strong>Risk</strong><br />

template<br />

• PP <strong>Risk</strong> Maps are<br />

created based on the<br />

collected <strong>Risk</strong> data:<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

KEY RISK TEMPLATE<br />

By:<br />

Entity / Area of bus<strong>in</strong>ess:<br />

Date created:<br />

Team monitor<strong>in</strong>g date:<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

ID<br />

Strategy,<br />

STP1H or<br />

STP2H<br />

1. <strong>Risk</strong> ID<br />

2. <strong>Risk</strong> event<br />

3. Root cause and related factors<br />

4. Consequences<br />

5. [EUR impact (if can be estimated)]<br />

6. Estimated impact (us<strong>in</strong>g a scale of 1-5)<br />

7. Estimated probability<br />

(us<strong>in</strong>g a scale of 1-3)<br />

8. <strong>Risk</strong> rate (calculated by Excel)<br />

9. Expected actions<br />

10. Action Owner<br />

Root causes of<br />

risk event<br />

RISK EVENT Consequences<br />

PROBABILITY<br />

Low Low (1) (1) (1) (1)<br />

Medium (2)<br />

High (3)<br />

Insignificant<br />

(1)<br />

Key <strong>Risk</strong> Map<br />

Some<br />

(2)<br />

Estimated<br />

Impact dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

3 years<br />

(MEUR)<br />

3 2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

Mean<strong>in</strong>gful<br />

(3)<br />

of which may<br />

actualise<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g next<br />

STP period<br />

(MEUR)<br />

1 5 3 HIGH<br />

2 4 3 HIGH<br />

3 3 3 MEDIUM<br />

4 5 2 HIGH<br />

5 N/A<br />

6 N/A<br />

2<br />

Significant<br />

(4)<br />

4<br />

4<br />

Please see the explanation notes beh<strong>in</strong>d each topic field<br />

Estimated<br />

impact<br />

scale (1-5)<br />

1<br />

Major<br />

(5)<br />

Sort all by Top-Down<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> 1<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> 2<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> 3<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> 4<br />

Estimated<br />

probability<br />

scale (1-3)<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

Magnitude


Operative RM <strong>in</strong> daily work and projects<br />

• risk management <strong>in</strong> daily work and projects (Project RM)<br />

• best practice: BU‘s/teams follow their risks on on-go<strong>in</strong>g basis<br />

• LRP/STP plann<strong>in</strong>g: a snap-shot created for report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• BG/HG/CF normal follow-up of key risks/agreed actions (qtrly, monthly)<br />

BG/HG MT‘s -<br />

consolidated<br />

risk maps<br />

BU KRL risk maps<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> analysis/management<br />

<strong>in</strong> daily work/<br />

on-go<strong>in</strong>g actions<br />

845<br />

12 3<br />

967<br />

10<br />

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8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

845<br />

12 3<br />

967<br />

10<br />

845<br />

12 3<br />

967<br />

10<br />

8<br />

BG<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

4 5<br />

9<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

8 45 1<br />

32<br />

9 67<br />

10<br />

Feedback<br />

Best practice


Common language requires common vocabulary<br />

A<br />

Accepted risks<br />

Description of risks which exist but bus<strong>in</strong>ess owners have decided not to<br />

mitigate them. However, some of them will be actively followed<br />

Action owner<br />

Person who is responsible that risk controll<strong>in</strong>g actions are planned,<br />

agreed, documented and implemented.<br />

Assurance<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong>‘s approach to br<strong>in</strong>g visibility and assurance to management and the<br />

Board on key risk areas and on the design and effectiveness of risk<br />

controls <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess processes. Assurance means also the comfort the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual manager gets from risk management and control actions<br />

Assessment<br />

An analysis about the current state of processes and their maturity<br />

compared to def<strong>in</strong>ed benchmarks<br />

I<br />

Impact<br />

The evaluated loss/effect <strong>in</strong> qualitative and monetary terms<br />

Internal control<br />

Internal control consists of measurement and monitor<strong>in</strong>g of bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

objectives and performance, supported by quality, control, risk and<br />

monitor<strong>in</strong>g processes<br />

M<br />

Maturity<br />

Def<strong>in</strong>es the level of understand<strong>in</strong>g, framework and implementation of the<br />

issue <strong>in</strong> question<br />

O<br />

Objective<br />

A goal that has an achievable, well-def<strong>in</strong>ed target level of achievement.<br />

P<br />

Probability<br />

The likelihood of risk event occurance by tak<strong>in</strong>g the current controls <strong>in</strong>to<br />

account<br />

Problem<br />

Problem - a realised issue which can be def<strong>in</strong>ed as a consequence of a<br />

risk event identified at earlier stage<br />

R<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

Any uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty that affects the objectives and achievement of optimum<br />

result.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> analysis<br />

A process step <strong>in</strong> risk management. <strong>Risk</strong>s are categorized and<br />

consolidated, risk scenarios are completed for ma<strong>in</strong> risk events and risk<br />

effects, probabilities and utility losses are estimated for all risk scenarios<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> appetite<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> appetite expresses the organizations will<strong>in</strong>gness to take risks. <strong>Risk</strong><br />

appetite is def<strong>in</strong>ed at the end by the board and can vary between risk<br />

areas and categories.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> effect / consequence<br />

The comb<strong>in</strong>ed impact of risk event and result<strong>in</strong>g reactions to goals<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> event<br />

An occurrence of an <strong>in</strong>cident with some negative consequences<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> factor<br />

A known fact or characteristic that <strong>in</strong>fluences some risk event<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> identification<br />

A process step <strong>in</strong> risk management. Potential threats to the project are identified<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a chosen approach<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> magnitude<br />

Significance or size of the risk. Determ<strong>in</strong>ed by a risk‘s probability of occurrence and<br />

(utility) loss would cause.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management authority<br />

Ultimate decision mak<strong>in</strong>g authority is def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> risk management mandate.<br />

Authority is to decide which approach to risk is to be taken <strong>in</strong> unclear situations.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management coach<br />

A <strong>Nokia</strong> person with professional skills and responsibilities <strong>in</strong> other areas but<br />

additionally authorized by his/her superiors and qualified for assist<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

implementation of risk management activities with<strong>in</strong> his/her respective area.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management mandate<br />

An explicit def<strong>in</strong>ition of the scope, frequency, focus, responsibility and cha<strong>in</strong> of<br />

authorities <strong>in</strong> a specific area for risk management<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management mandate def<strong>in</strong>ition<br />

A process step <strong>in</strong> risk management. The scope and frequency of risk management<br />

and the relevant stakeholders are def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> this step<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

A process step <strong>in</strong> risk management. <strong>Risk</strong> controll<strong>in</strong>g actions and chosen/new risks<br />

are monitored <strong>in</strong> an agreed forum and <strong>in</strong>terval.<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> owner<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> owner is the function or person who is responsible for manag<strong>in</strong>g the risk and<br />

takes the upside and downside to the P&L<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> prioritization<br />

Rank<strong>in</strong>g of risks. <strong>Risk</strong> scenario probabilities are estimated and utility losses of<br />

scenarios are ranked separately for each relevant stakeholder<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> scenario<br />

A comb<strong>in</strong>ation of risk elements that describe the causes, trigger<strong>in</strong>g events and the<br />

impact of a risk. Normally a scenario consists of a risk event, risk reaction and risk<br />

effect set<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> tolerance<br />

The grade of risk aversion def<strong>in</strong>ed by a company's ability to be exposed to various<br />

risks. Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria for def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g risk tolerance are f<strong>in</strong>ancial, operational and ethical<br />

measures<br />

Root cause<br />

The orig<strong>in</strong>al reason for risk to exist.<br />

S<br />

Stakeholder<br />

Any <strong>in</strong>dividual, group, organization, or <strong>in</strong>stitution who can affect or be affected by<br />

the work goals or their results<br />

Self Assessment<br />

A concept designed for the organization and <strong>in</strong>dividuals to be able to def<strong>in</strong>e its own<br />

maturity and status at def<strong>in</strong>ed areas.


<strong>Risk</strong> Workshops give wider coverage<br />

Sales manager<br />

view<br />

Production view<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ance view<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

DEFINED<br />

RISK<br />

AREA<br />

R&D view<br />

Lawyer view


Identification: Checklists vs. Bra<strong>in</strong>storm<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Brand<br />

Technology<br />

Acquisitions and partnerships<br />

Global and regional economy<br />

Product portfolio<br />

<strong>Nokia</strong> Operational Model<br />

Capital allocation<br />

Capital availability<br />

Capital structure<br />

Counterparty/credit risk<br />

Foreign Exchange<br />

Interest rate<br />

Corporate Culture<br />

Markets<br />

Compliance<br />

Quality<br />

Customers & market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Human resources<br />

Logistics<br />

Political risks<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

IT<br />

Execution & Process efficiency<br />

Suppliers & contractors<br />

Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and care<br />

Misconduct<br />

Security<br />

Checklists<br />

• Pros<br />

• Fast and easy to use<br />

• Standardize results<br />

• Cover a broad area<br />

• May prompt th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g new risks<br />

• Cons<br />

• Cause fatigue<br />

• Do not encourage creativity<br />

• May be biased due to a different<br />

doma<strong>in</strong><br />

• Do not encourage f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g situation<br />

specific risks<br />

Bra<strong>in</strong>storm<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• yellow stickers etc<br />

• Pros<br />

• Fast and easy to use<br />

• Leverages local expertise and<br />

<strong>in</strong>sight<br />

• Keeps participants active<br />

• Develops commitment<br />

• Cons<br />

• Requires facilitation or tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Meet<strong>in</strong>g dynamics may bias results<br />

• Dependent on participants<br />

experience


RM Process Cycle – used <strong>in</strong> major projects/ cases<br />

Responsibilities and scope<br />

for risk management<br />

Follow-up<br />

actions and<br />

changes at<br />

risks<br />

Implementation of<br />

selected controll<strong>in</strong>g<br />

actions<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

It describes elements which should exist<br />

<strong>in</strong> a good process or project<br />

Goals to be protected, relative<br />

priorities set by the key stakeholders<br />

Iterative<br />

process<br />

by the nature<br />

Documented,<br />

prioritised risks<br />

List of potential risks<br />

aga<strong>in</strong>st the goals


N-<strong>Risk</strong> Tool for analys<strong>in</strong>g and stor<strong>in</strong>g risk data<br />

• Supports to def<strong>in</strong>e risks <strong>in</strong> mean<strong>in</strong>gful way, and to compare and share risk data<br />

• All <strong>in</strong> one tool set<br />

• Basic/advanced user modes<br />

• Data import/export<br />

• Automatic key risk map<br />

creation<br />

• Action database<br />

• Actions summary table<br />

• Automatic history record<strong>in</strong>g<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution


Metrics for (self)-assess<strong>in</strong>g RM maturity<br />

Example section with illustrative scores. However, the maturity report<br />

shows only the average of approach and deployment<br />

Rat<strong>in</strong>g Approach Rat<strong>in</strong>g Deployment<br />

1<br />

1<br />

Mechanism for plann<strong>in</strong>g work<br />

and target sett<strong>in</strong>g exists<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> identification and analysis<br />

methodology exists 1<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

1<br />

Plann<strong>in</strong>g cycle is followed and<br />

objectives are documented<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> idenfication and analysis done<br />

as part of plann<strong>in</strong>g process<br />

1<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> management actions are<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

Actions are systematically<br />

implement<strong>in</strong>g<br />

1<br />

Follow-up system is def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

1<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> is <strong>in</strong>tegrated to<br />

report<strong>in</strong>g processes<br />

Practices and Roles are agreed<br />

Agreed structures are followed <strong>in</strong><br />

and documented<br />

practice<br />

4 TOTAL POINTS IN APPROACH 3 TOTAL POINTS IN DEPLOYMENT


How do we follow “the market”? - Example<br />

� Embed <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>in</strong>to Exist<strong>in</strong>g Processes: Global risk management exemplars are not creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

new and separate risk processes to identify, measure and mitigate risks, but <strong>in</strong>stead are embedd<strong>in</strong>g risk<br />

discipl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>to exist<strong>in</strong>g processes—strategic plann<strong>in</strong>g, forecast<strong>in</strong>g, KPIs, <strong>in</strong>centives, and the capital<br />

budget<strong>in</strong>g process. Embedd<strong>in</strong>g risk management <strong>in</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g processes m<strong>in</strong>imizes report<strong>in</strong>g burdens and<br />

ensures risks will be considered <strong>in</strong> all bus<strong>in</strong>ess decisions.<br />

� Decentralize Most <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong>: Lead<strong>in</strong>g CFOs are resist<strong>in</strong>g the adoption of centralized ERM because<br />

of its dubious benefits and its <strong>in</strong>ord<strong>in</strong>ate costs. Instead, they are keep<strong>in</strong>g most responsibility for identify<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

mitigat<strong>in</strong>g risk <strong>in</strong> the l<strong>in</strong>e, not the corporate center.<br />

� Adopt a Limited Role for the Center: The best risk management role for the center is to aggregate and<br />

prioritize bus<strong>in</strong>ess unit risks, to communicate risk exposure and mitigation strategies to stakeholders, and to<br />

partner with the bus<strong>in</strong>ess units to help them manage risks more effectively.<br />

� Encourage Appropriate <strong>Risk</strong> Tak<strong>in</strong>g: Unfocused, overly <strong>in</strong>clusive risk track<strong>in</strong>g and mitigation <strong>in</strong>itiatives may<br />

have the unfortunate impact of stifl<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess unit <strong>in</strong>novation, overload<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess unit f<strong>in</strong>ance directors,<br />

and creat<strong>in</strong>g a culture of ―<strong>in</strong>crementalism.‖<br />

� Allow for Flexibility <strong>in</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> Assessments: The challenge that most CFOs face when creat<strong>in</strong>g a new risk<br />

assessment process is that templated assessments typically result <strong>in</strong> superficial risk evaluations from the<br />

l<strong>in</strong>e, but the absence of templates makes it difficult to aggregate bus<strong>in</strong>ess unit risks at the enterprise<br />

level. To solve these challenges, lead<strong>in</strong>g companies customize sections of templated questionnaires by<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess unit and/or allow for commentary on additional risks. Companies that do not use templates facilitate<br />

risk aggregation by provid<strong>in</strong>g the l<strong>in</strong>e with clear risk categories and def<strong>in</strong>itions.<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution<br />

Source: CFO EXECUTIVE BOARD


Conclusions<br />

• focus is <strong>in</strong> proactively manag<strong>in</strong>g the bus<strong>in</strong>ess risks the company itself needs<br />

to manage, rather than respond<strong>in</strong>g to external issues<br />

• risk report<strong>in</strong>g is <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>to plann<strong>in</strong>g process both short and long term; unified<br />

risk term<strong>in</strong>ology, and common but scaleable metrics<br />

• key risks are identified and validated <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess units, bus<strong>in</strong>ess groups and<br />

executive team, before report<strong>in</strong>g to Board. Content is basis for 20F SEC report<br />

• methods to assess team‘s RM maturity (how good we are <strong>in</strong> this?) and to assess<br />

any risk area, current practices and learn<br />

• all practices are focused on provid<strong>in</strong>g on-time, 80/20 correct, and actionable<br />

view on future events rather than provide complex modell<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Thank You, Questions or Comments?<br />

© 2006 <strong>Nokia</strong> Mikko Routti RM&A Not for redistribution

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