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The Global Water Crisis: Addressing an Urgent Security - Unu-inweh ...

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shortage<br />

Statewide<br />

Regional<br />

Local<br />

None<br />

No response or uncertain<br />

Figure 1. States with expected water shortages by 2013 under average climatic conditions (GAO, 2003).<br />

% of time PDSI ≤ -3<br />

Less th<strong>an</strong> 5%<br />

5% to 9.99%<br />

10% to 14.9%<br />

15% to 19.9%<br />

20% or greater<br />

Figure 2. Percentage of time watersheds in severe or extreme drought 1895-1995 (National Drought Mitigation Center,<br />

2012).<br />

<strong>The</strong> data in Figure 2 suggest that severe to extreme drought is likely to occur from 10% to greater th<strong>an</strong> 20% of the time<br />

in much of the western U.S., <strong>an</strong>d occur 5%-10% of the time in much of the eastern U.S. This me<strong>an</strong>s that in m<strong>an</strong>y places,<br />

droughts will occur once every 5 to 10 years, which will put even greater stress on water resources th<strong>an</strong> identified in Figure<br />

1. According to the GAO study (2003), the water shortage effects are expected to broaden under drought conditions, with<br />

46 of the 47 state water m<strong>an</strong>ager respondents suggesting that their states are expected to experience water shortages<br />

under drought conditions. In 40 of those states, the projections were for regional to state-wide water shortages, this<br />

despite m<strong>an</strong>y efforts in place to prepare for these shortages. <strong>The</strong>se results suggest that the competition for increasingly<br />

limited water resources in m<strong>an</strong>y parts of the U.S. will not only will be exacerbated by droughts, which are quite common,<br />

but will likely impact current <strong>an</strong>d future regional energy developments <strong>an</strong>d therefore negatively impact current <strong>an</strong>d future<br />

energy supply reliability <strong>an</strong>d security.<br />

<strong>Water</strong> Impacts on Energy <strong>Security</strong> <strong>an</strong>d Reliability<br />

Part 1<br />

21

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