27.04.2021 Views

Kentucky Derby 2021 - XBGlobal.com

Kentucky Derby 2021 - XBGlobal.com Highlights include: · Kentucky Derby Picks from 1/ST personalities · Kentucky Derby Analysis & Betting Strategies from Jeff Siegel & Jeremy Plonk · ‘Bet the Kentucky Derby Like Eddie Olczyk’ section using 1/ST BET factors · ‘Factors Trough Time’ section, highlighting historical winning handicapping angles on the 1/ST BET app · Kentucky Derby stats, trends & facts · XBTV Workout Videos & Analysis from Millie Ball, Zoe Cadman & Michelle Yu Additionally, we will update the Guide next Thursday, April 29, to include post-draw picks + analysis, full-card AI Picks and additional insights from Eddie Olczyk & Brent Musburger. The Kentucky Derby, presented by Woodford Reserve, is a top rank, Grade I stakes race for 3 year old Thoroughbred horses. The race distance is one and one-quarter miles long, and it is run on the dirt racetrack at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. Colts and geldings in the race carry 126 pounds (57 kg), and fillies in the race carry 121 pounds (55 kg). 20 horses compete in the Kentucky Derby, which is a larger field size than most horse races; where on average 8 horses race against one another. The 20 horses racing in the Kentucky Derby must first travel along the Road to the Kentucky Derby, which is a series of 35 races taking place at tracks across the country and the world. Points are awarded to the top 4 horses that finish in each of those 35 races, and the 20 horses with the most points earn a spot in the starting gate in the Kentucky Derby race. The Kentucky Derby winning purse is $2 million. The Kentucky Derby takes place on the first Saturday in May every year, and typically draws a crowd of 155,000 people. It is the longest continually held sporting event in America, and it is one of the most prestigious horse races in the world. Often called “The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports”, the Kentucky Derby receives this nickname from the approximate length of time it takes the winner to run from the starting gate to the finish line. The Kentucky Derby is the first race within the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing, where it is followed by the Preakness Stakes race and the Belmont Stakes race. https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

Kentucky Derby 2021 - XBGlobal.com
Highlights include:

· Kentucky Derby Picks from 1/ST personalities

· Kentucky Derby Analysis & Betting Strategies from Jeff Siegel & Jeremy Plonk

· ‘Bet the Kentucky Derby Like Eddie Olczyk’ section using 1/ST BET factors

· ‘Factors Trough Time’ section, highlighting historical winning handicapping angles on the 1/ST BET app

· Kentucky Derby stats, trends & facts

· XBTV Workout Videos & Analysis from Millie Ball, Zoe Cadman & Michelle Yu



Additionally, we will update the Guide next Thursday, April 29, to include post-draw picks + analysis, full-card AI Picks and additional insights from Eddie Olczyk & Brent Musburger.

The Kentucky Derby, presented by Woodford Reserve, is a top rank, Grade I stakes race for 3 year old Thoroughbred horses. The race distance is one and one-quarter miles long, and it is run on the dirt racetrack at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. Colts and geldings in the race carry 126 pounds (57 kg), and fillies in the race carry 121 pounds (55 kg).
20 horses compete in the Kentucky Derby, which is a larger field size than most horse races; where on average 8 horses race against one another. The 20 horses racing in the Kentucky Derby must first travel along the Road to the Kentucky Derby, which is a series of 35 races taking place at tracks across the country and the world. Points are awarded to the top 4 horses that finish in each of those 35 races, and the 20 horses with the most points earn a spot in the starting gate in the Kentucky Derby race. The Kentucky Derby winning purse is $2 million.

The Kentucky Derby takes place on the first Saturday in May every year, and typically draws a crowd of 155,000 people. It is the longest continually held sporting event in America, and it is one of the most prestigious horse races in the world. Often called “The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports”, the Kentucky Derby receives this nickname from the approximate length of time it takes the winner to run from the starting gate to the finish line. The Kentucky Derby is the first race within the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing, where it is followed by the Preakness Stakes race and the Belmont Stakes race.
https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

WAGER GUIDE

KENTUCKY DERBY

MAY01/2021

CHURCHILL

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx DOWNS


HANDICAP THE DERBY

LIKE EDDIE OLCZYK

?

DID YOU KNOW?

We asked renowned 1/ST and NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk which

handicapping angles he applies when analyzing the Kentucky Derby. Now, for the

first time, you can reconstruct Edzo’s approach and put it to work for yourself by

combining forces with the 1/ST BET app.

The 1/ST BET app uses more than

50 factors in evaluating each horse

in a race, drawing from a library of

more than 200,000 previous races

to match past success with future

success. 1/ST BET automatically

matches and ranks the proven, most

successful factors in each race, while

it also gives you the ability to select

your own set of factors to make

personalized, artificial intelligencebased

selections in mere seconds.

Olczyk’s keys center on a horse’s speed to the mile marker at the head of the Kentucky Derby stretch, pedigree for the distance

and how weather and conditions may impact his selections. “Jockey and trainer stats aren’t for me in the Kentucky Derby,”

Olczyk said. “At that level, they’re all capable with the right horse.”

THE MILE MARKER

“Where are you when the lead horse gets to the one-mile point in the mile and

one-quarter race? That’s the key,” Olczyk explained. “The last seven Derby

winners were first, second or third at that point and four of the last seven were

on the lead, which I find very interesting. The ability to be up close, part of the

pace, matters. Consider a horse’s body of work in terms of speed and pace

figures, not just his last start, because each horse may or may not have been

as hard-asked in their most recent start by trainer’s choice.”

1/ST BET FACTORS TO APPLY

BEST LIFETIME SPEED

BEST SPEED LAST 3

AVERAGE SPEED LAST 3

AVG. LAST 3 E1 PACE

AVG. LAST 3 E2 PACE

AVG. LAST 3 TURN TIMES

PEDIGREE POINTS

“The last quarter-mile, once in position, is about stamina. None of these

horses have been a mile and one-quarter previously, which is part of the

Derby’s lore. That’s why pedigree matters to me.”

WEATHER OR NOT

“Wet tracks have been a Derby constant in recent years. If you’re handicapping

or betting ahead, you have to at least plan for the scenario. I’m constantly

checking up on it. Not every horse has run on off tracks, so bloodlines can tell

us who might enjoy it.”

1/ST BET FACTORS TO APPLY

DISTANCE PEDIGREE RATING

DIRT PEDIGREE RATING

1/ST BET FACTORS TO APPLY

BEST SPEED OFF TRACK

MUD PEDIGREE RATING

Olczyk’s final pointer, stay flexible. “Research is great, but don’t forget the eye test,” he reminded. “Watch what’s going on Derby Day,

how the track is playing, what’s been working for you that day. Go back and reassess which factors you’re putting into your decisions.”

Note: The 1/ST BET selections for the big race will be published in our updated Kentucky Derby Wager Guide (available April 29), along with Edzo’s final picks!

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 5


FACTORS THROUGH HISTORY

KENTUCKY DERBY 2016-2020

We searched the 1/ST BET archives to re-examine the last five editions of the Kentucky Derby. See where the winners ranked

best in their respective fields in terms of handicapping factors, and look for those commonalities with this year’s runners when

using the 1/ST BET app to handicap the “Run for the Roses.” Learn More.

2020

WINNER: AUTHENTIC

RANKED FIRST IN 9 FACTORS

HORSES BEATEN %

TRAINER 6 MO. WIN %

JOCKEY WIN % 2 YRS. RACE TYPE

TRAINER CURRENT YEAR

LAST E2 PACE

AVG. OF LAST 3 E1 PACE

AVG. OF LAST 3 E2 PACE

DIST. WORKED SINCE LAST RACE

TRAINER WIN % 1 YEAR

HORSES WHO LED MOST FACTORS:

TIZ THE LAW (17), AUTHENTIC (9),

MAX PLAYER (8)

2019

WINNER: COUNTRY HOUSE

RANKED FIRST IN 3 FACTORS:

JOCKEY 1 YR. WIN %

JOCKEY 6 MO. WIN %

AVG. LAST 3 TURN TIME

2018 - CONTINUED

JOCKEY WIN % 2 YRS. RACE TYPE

WIN %

TRAINER CURRENT YR.

LAST LATE PACE

JOCKEY 1 YR. WIN %

AVG. OF LAST 3 E1 PACE

AVG. OF LAST 3 E2 PACE

HORSES WHO LED MOST FACTORS:

JUSTIFY (15), GOOD MAGIC (4)

2017

WINNER: ALWAYS DREAMING

RANKED FIRST IN 3 FACTORS:

IN THE MONEY %

JOCKEY CURRENT YEAR

AVERAGE LATE PACE

HORSES WHO LED MOST FACTORS:

CLASSIC EMPIRE (7), GORMLEY (5)

2016

HORSES WHO LED MOST FACTORS:

GAME WINNER (8),

MAXIMUM SECURITY (7)

WINNER: NYQUIST

RANKED FIRST IN 5 FACTORS

AVG. OFF-TRACK EARNINGS

AVG. LIFETIME EARNINGS

2018

IN THE MONEY %

WIN %

WINNER: JUSTIFY

HORSES DEFEATED %

RANKED FIRST IN 15 FACTORS

SPEED LAST RACE

HORSES WHO LED MOST FACTORS:

AVG. SPEED LAST 3

EXAGGERATOR (7), NYQUIST (5),

AVG. SPEED BEST 2 OF LAST 3 CREATOR (5), OSCAR NOMINATED (5)

BEST SPEED LAST 3

BEST LIFETIME SPEED

FACTOR CATEGORIES:

BEST SPEED FAST TRACK

= PERFORMANCE

BEST SPEED OFF TRACK

= RESULTS

HORSES DEFEATED %

= JOCKEY+ TRAINER

Authentic (2020)

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 6


KENTUCKY DERBY

WAGERING FACTS

Below are some informative wagering tidbits from past Kentucky Derby events.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW ODDS

(Last 25 Years, Odds to $1)

Win Odds: Average: 14.10-to-1

High: 65.20 (Country House, 2019)

Low: 2.30 (Fusaichi Pegasus, 2000; Nyquist 2016)

Notable: After 6 straight favorites, the past 2 Derby winners have

netted 65-1 and 8-1 returns.

Place Odds: Average: 17.15-to-1

High: 71.60 (Closing Argument, 2005)

Low: 0.70 (Tiz the Law, 2020)

Notable: Last year, Tiz the Law became the third Derby favorite to finish

second since 2000 (joining Bodemeister ‘12 and Empire Maker ‘03).

Show Odds: Average: 12.04

High: 46.50 (Mr. Big News, 2020)

Low: 2.70 (Indian Charlie, 1998)

Notable: In 2020, Mr. Big News offered the longest price to finish

third in the Derby since 86-1 bomber Mane Minister in 1991.

EXACTA PAYOFFS

(Last 25 years, $2 Payoffs)

Average: $890.41

High: $9,814.80 (Giacomo-Closing Argument, 2005)

Low: $30.60 (Nyquist-Exaggerator, 2016)

Notable: The last 2 Derby exactas provided the second-highest and

second-lowest returns of the past 20 years – $3,009.60 in 2019 and

$41 a year ago.

TRIFECTA PAYOFFS

(Last 25 years, $2 Payoffs)

Average: $11,722.60

High: $133,134.80 (Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex, 2005)

Low: $173.40 (Nyquist-Exaggerator-Gun Runner, 2016)

Notable: Last year’s trifecta paid nearly 64 times the exacta,

thanks to 46-1 shot Mr. Big News in third.

SUPERFECTA PAYOFFS

(Since 1996, $1 Payoffs)

Average: $74,922.77

High: $864,253.50 (Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex-

Don’t Get Mad, 2005)

Low: $350.00 (Silver Charm-Captain Bodgit-Free House-Pulpit, 1997)

Notable: Last year’s superfecta was the first to offer a 10-cent wagering

minimum, creating a modest $792.58 dime payoff ($7925.80 for $1,

only about 1/10th the historical average). $1 minimum returns this year.

DERBY FAVORITES IN POINTS’ SYSTEM ERA (2013-PRESENT)

Year Favorite Odds ($1) Fin.

2020 Tiz the Law .70 2nd

2019 Improbable 4.00 4th

2018 Justify 2.90 1st

2017 Always Dreaming 4.70 1st

2016 Nyquist 2.30 1st

2015 American Pharoah 2.90 1st

2014 California Chrome 2.50 1st

2013 Orb 5.40 1st

DERBY FAVORITES BY DECADE

2020s 0-for-1

2010s 6-for-10

2000s 4-for-10

1990s 0-for-10

1980s 0-for-10

1970s 6-for-10

HIGHEST-PRICED DERBY FAVORITES IN HISTORY

(Odds to $1)

Odds Horse Year Fin.

6.30 Lookin At Lucky 2010 6th

6.00 Harlan’s Holiday 2002 7th

5.50 Sweetnorthernsaint 2006 7th

5.40 Orb 2013 1st

5.20 Dialed In 2011 8th

4.90 Street Sense 2007 1st

4.80 General Challenge/ 1999 5th

Excellent Meeting

4.70 Always Dreaming 2017 1st

4.40 Prairie Bayou 1993 2nd

4.20 Bodemeister 2012 2nd

4.10 Smarty Jones 2004 1st

HIGHEST-PRICED DERBY RUNNERS IN SUPERFECTA

(Last 20 Years, Odds to $1)

Odds Horse Year Fin.

85.10 Instilled Regard 2018 4th

71.60 Closing Argument 2005 2nd

65.20 Country House 2019 1st

50.60 Mine That Bird 2009 1st

50.30 Giacomo 2005 1st

46.50 Mr. Big News 2020 3rd

41.70 Limehouse 2004 4th

40.00 Battle of Midway 2017 3rd

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 7


KENTUCKY DERBY

EXPERT PICKS

We tasked our expert racing analysts across the 1/ST family to provide their selections for this year’s first jewel in the

Triple Crown. Check back in our updated Kentucky Derby Wager Guide on April 29 for final selections.

JEFF

SIEGEL

JOHN

DESANTIS

MICHELLE

YU

NAOMI

TUKKER

@jsiegelracing

@XBJohnnyD

@themichelleyu

@NaomiTukker

ROCK YOUR WORLD

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

KNOWN AGENDA

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

HIGHLY MOTIVATED

ROCK YOUR WORLD

DYNAMIC ONE

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

ROCK YOUR WORLD

KNOWN AGENDA

MEDINA SPIRIT

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

ROCK YOUR WORLD

KNOWN AGENDA

JEREMY

PLONK

TOM

QUIGLEY

MILLIE

BALL

RON

NICOLETTI

@Horseplayernow

@quigleys_corner

@camillayakteen

@RONIC17

KNOWN AGENDA

HIGHLY MOTIVATED

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

DYNAMIC ONE

HELIUM

MEDINA SPIRIT

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ROCK YOUR WORLD

KNOWN AGENDA

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ROCK YOUR WORLD

ROCK YOUR WORLD

KNOWN AGENDA

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

SOUP AND SANDWICH

CLAUDIA

SPADARO

MATT

DINERMAN

ZOE

CADMAN

JON

WHITE

@claudiaspadaro

@3coltshandicap

@zoecadman

@PostTimeJon

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

KNOWN AGENDA

ROCK YOUR WORLD

HIGHLY MOTIVATED

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

SUPER STOCK

ROCK YOUR WORLD

DYNAMIC ONE

HOT ROD CHARLIE

SUPER STOCK

SOUP AND SANDWICH

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

ROCK YOUR WORLD

KNOWN AGENDA

HOT ROD CHARLIE

PETER

LURIE

DUSTIN

FABIAN

GEORGE

ORTUZAR

EDDIE

OLCZYK

@Peterlurievo

@1STBET

@georgeortuzar

@1STBET

KNOWN AGENDA

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

HOT ROD CHARLIE

MANDALOUN

ROCK YOUR WORLD

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

HIGHLY MOTIVATED

HOT ROD CHARLIE

HOT ROD CHARLIE

ROCK YOUR WORLD

ESSENTIAL QUALITY

MEDINA SPIRIT

EDZO’S PICKS WILL

APPEAR IN APRIL 29

UPDATED GUIDE.

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 10


XBTV KENTUCKY DERBY

WORKOUT ANALYSIS

By Zoe Cadman, Millie Ball & Michelle Yu

The Kentucky Derby is such a unique race, and yet the formula for eyeing the winner based on morning workouts remains the

same, according to XBTV analyst Millie Ball: Good energy + fluid stride + focused demeanor.

HORSE DATE TRACK DISTANCE TIME

ESSENTIAL QUALITY 4/17 CD 5F :59.60 (4/40)

ZOE CADMAN: Undefeated son of Tapit has certainly been on a good run of late. His race at

Keeneland was a measured one while not taking too much out of him just four weeks before the

Derby. He does own a win over the CD strip, which is key, but ... I have to say I thought his first work

after the Blue Grass, while not bad, was not the best we have seen from him. Tracking the 2-for-8

gelding Spa City (most recently last in an allowance race at Oaklawn), he looked primed to run right

by him at the wire, but really never got by him even in the gallop-out. I would have liked to have seen

more in the penultimate work for a champion with only two starts under his belt this year.

ROCK YOUR WORLD 4/17 SA 5 F 59.60 (6/72)

MICHELLE YU: Rock Your World worked outside of company April 17 as is his normal routine. He

was always in the bridle and much the best. This was improvement this week for a horse who

sometimes needs a real sousing to find his best stride in the mornings.

KNOWN AGENDA 4/16 CD 5F 1:00.40 (9/36)

SAINTHOOD 4/16 CD 5F 1:00.40 (9/36)

MILLIE BALL: Todd Pletcher appears to be replicating the training schedule he used for 2017

Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming for his most recent Florida Derby

winner Known Agenda. He and Jeff Ruby runner-up Sainthood both returned to the track to

publish a work 13 days after their final prep and were then given a stiff 5-furlong drill together

seven days later on April 16. If Pletcher continues to mirror Always Dreaming’s timetable, expect

a 5F work from both contenders April 23, which will be eight days prior to the race. One change

Todd has made this year is choosing to ship his runners to Churchill Downs a week earlier than

normal to post their penultimate works. He said he paired up Known Agenda up with Sainthood,

“because of the spacing of their last race.” Known Agenda appeared to travel smoother of the

two colts, never blobbing once. Both finished on even terms although jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. did tap

Known Agenda on the neck a couple of times to keep him on task. Interestingly, the published

time 1:00.40 was a 5-furlong personal best for both sophomores since arriving in training.

Evidently they are continuing to progress. My preference is Known Agenda. I mentioned prior

to the Florida Derby that stamina is his strength. He has an extremely efficient way of moving,

coupled with a pedigree for distance, and the blinkers have made him more tactical,

all ingredients for Kentucky Derby success.

HOT ROD CHARLIE 4/17 SA 6F 1:14.20 (5/6)

ZOE CADMAN: The son of Oxbow may be flying under the radar, even after winning the Louisiana

Derby. Losing his jock Joel Rosario won’t help, but will add to his price. Working in company with

4-year-old claimer Itsthattime (recently second for $20k), he tracked him all the way to the

eighth-pole under Flavien Prat and cruised by him to gallop out a good mile. Nothing flashy, but

his long, easy stride should not be a problem at Churchill Downs. Good work for a colt coming

right at just the right time.

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 12


XBTV KENTUCKY DERBY

WORKOUT ANALYSIS

By Zoe Cadman, Milie Ball & Michelle Yu

HORSE DATE TRACK DISTANCE TIME

MEDINA SPIRIT 4/17 SA 5F 1:00.00 (4/43)

ZOE CADMAN: Working in company with Paint Me Lucky (an 0-6 maiden), this was his first work

back since running second in the Santa Anita Derby. The son of Protonico looked good tracking

his company and drawing off down the lane with a bit of niggling; a solid work from a colt who

leaves his heart on the track every time. Not sure the pace scenario or the distance will help this

hard-trying colt, especially with several hard races of late.

HIGHLY MOTIVATED 4/18 KEE 4F :47.20 (1/27)

MICHELLE YU: In his normal spot inside a workmate, he was aggressive with his ears pinned, but

always in hand. Highly Motivated looked super-fit and intense for the entirety.

MIDNIGHT BOURBON 4/19 CD 5F :59.80 (1/13)

MILLIE BALL: The video posted on social media of Midnight Bourbon getting loose on the

backside April 19 (here) deserved more attention than his bullet work posted earlier that morning.

It came across as rather a poorly matched, erratic team drill. Midnight Bourbon’s workmate left

the pole a length in front and no sooner had his company begun to track in behind, the lead

horse tapped on the brakes, at a crucial point, causing the whole tempo of the work to change.

The Louisiana Derby runner-up got aggressive when asked to slow in order to remain in tandem,

and it was all his rider could do to hold him until the stretch. It was hard to tell if horse or rider

gave up the ghost, but Midnight Bourbon found his stride in the last two furlongs and, despite the

expended energy, put in a decent gallop-out.

MANDALOUN 4/17 CD 6F 1:11.40 (1/3)

MILLIE BALL: Mandaloun’s 6-furlong breeze April 17 flashed me back to the morning of August

23, 2020 when Thousand Words worked at Del Mar, 13 days prior to his intended run in the

Kentucky Derby. Both 3-year-olds were equally aggressive leaving the pole with company, both

riders had to lean hard against their mouths for 3 furlongs before they conceded and settled

for the remainder of the work. And in both instances, it took its toll on the gallop-out with each

colt needing taps from their riders to stay the course. Thousand Words’ eagerness on the Triple

Crown trail was his demise, and I fear the same for Mandaloun.

LIKE THE KING 4/17 KEE 6F 1:12.80 (1/3)

MICHELLE YU: Working with classy company (Canadian sprint champ Artie’s Princess), he was

ultra-aggressive in a come-from-behind move, dragging Drayden Van Dyke even and to the front.

He geared way down and the mate was asked to keep up. Not a perfect work, but done

with something left.

Video provided by XBTV, the home of the latest workouts, analysis and more this Triple Crown

Season and every other race day of the year. Additional video courtesy Kentucky Derby & Keeneland.

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 13


XBTV KENTUCKY DERBY

WORKOUT ANALYSIS

By Zoe Cadman, Milie Ball & Michelle Yu

HORSE DATE TRACK DISTANCE TIME

SOUP AND SANDWICH 4/17 CD 5F :59.80 (7/40)

MILLIE BALL: Soup and Sandwich worked professionally in his 5-furlong drill April 17 at Churchill.

He made up ground on his target, and passed the workmate comfortably while keeping to his

correct lead changes throughout the work, something I was keen to see after his runner-up

performance in the Florida Derby, where he ran the entire length of the stretch on his left lead,

barring the last 5 strides. Given a long rein by the rider from start to finish in this work, the colt

appears a very tactical ride and seemed obliging when asked to gallop-out all the way around to

the backside. I liked the energy he was able to sustain.

HELIUM 4/16 CD 5F (GATE) 1:01.80 (28/36)

ZOE CADMAN: Unraced since winning the Tampa Bay Derby March 6 with an 84 Beyer, trainer

Mark Casse opted to work this son of Ironicus out of the gate April 16. That’s a good move, as this

always adds to fitness and gets their minds on running. Nothing wrong with the work or his action

over the CD strip (his second move since coming from Florida). The only question really is, “Is

he good enough?” Would have to see something amazing in his next work to make him a major

contender. But, hey, it’s the Derby and anything can happen.

WRITE YOUR NOTES HERE:

Video provided by XBTV, the home of the latest workouts, analysis and more this Triple Crown

Season and every other race day of the year. Additional video courtesy Kentucky Derby & Keeneland.

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 14


KENTUCKY DERBY

NEED-TO-KNOW

RACE DATE: SATURDAY, MAY 1

ENTRIES/POST POSITION DRAW: TUESDAY, APRIL 27

FIRST RACE POST TIME:

10:30 A.M. ET

KENTUCKY DERBY POST TIME: 6:57 P.M. ET

WATCH FREE AND WAGER:

ALL RACES ON 1/ST BET APP & XPRESSBET.COM

TELEVISION:

NBCSN, 12:30-2:30 PM ET // NBC, 2:30-7:30 PM ET

WAGERING NOTES:

OAKS-DERBY DAILY DOUBLE & TWO-DAY PICK 6 (FRI/SAT)

DERBY DAY STAKES LINEUP

Grade 1 Kentucky Derby $3,000,000 3YO 1-1/4 miles

Grade 1 Turf Classic $1,000,000 4&UP 1-1/8 miles (turf)

Grade 1 Derby City Distaff $500,000 4&UP FM 7 furlongs

Grade 1 Churchill Downs $500,000 4&UP 7 furlongs

Grade 2 Pat Day Mile $500,000 3YO 1 mile

Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile $500,000 4&UP FM 1 mile (turf)

Grade 2 American Turf $500,000 3YO 1-1/16 miles (turf)

DOWNLOAD OUR FREE GUIDE UPDATE APRIL 29

Check back Thursday, April 29 at Xpressbet.com and 1st.com/bet for your free Kentucky Derby Wager Guide update.

Our expert racing analysts will have the latest information and any up-to-the-day changes. Plus, we’ll have these

items exclusively in the updated Wager Guide:

• Eddie Olczyk’s Kentucky Derby Day Best Bets

• Brent Musburger’s Kentucky Derby Race Analysis

• 1/ST BET Artificial Intelligence Kentucky Derby Win Projections

• 1/ST BET Artificial Intelligence Full-Card Selections

https://secure.xbglobal.com/main.aspx

1/ST.COM/BET // XBGLOBAL.COM 15

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!