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Automotive Ekports November 2024

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Monthly automotive aftermarket magazine<br />

GROUP CHAIRMAN<br />

H. FERRUH ISIK<br />

PUBLISHER:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Managing Editor (Responsible)<br />

Mehmet Söztutan<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

Advertising Sales Consultant<br />

Adem Saçın<br />

+90 505 577 36 42<br />

adem.sacin@img.com.tr<br />

Enes Karadayı<br />

enes.karadayi@img.com.tr<br />

International Marketing Coordinator<br />

Ayca Sarioglu<br />

ayca.sarioglu@img.com.tr<br />

Finance Manager<br />

Cuma Karaman<br />

cuma.karaman@img.com.tr<br />

Digital Assets Manager<br />

Emre Yener<br />

emre.yener@img.com.tr<br />

Technical Manager<br />

Tayfun Aydın<br />

tayfun.aydin@img.com.tr<br />

Graphic & Design Advisor<br />

Sami aktaş<br />

sami.aktas@img.com.tr<br />

Accountant<br />

Yusuf Demirkazık<br />

yusuf.demirkazik@img.com.tr<br />

Subscription<br />

İsmail Özçelik<br />

ismail.ozcelik@img.com.tr<br />

HEAD OFFICE:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Ihlas Media Center<br />

Merkez Mah. 29 Ekim Caddesi No: 11B / 21<br />

Yenibosna Bahcelievler, Istanbul / TÜRKİYE<br />

Tel: +90 212 454 22 22<br />

www.img.com.tr sales@img.com.tr<br />

KONYA:<br />

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Tel: (90.332)238 10 71 Fax: (90.332)238 01 74<br />

PRINTED BY:<br />

İHLAS GAZETECİLİK A.Ş.<br />

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www.ihlasmatbaacilik.com<br />

Mehmet Soztutan, Editor-in-Chief<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

The dynamic player in global markets…<br />

We know that competitiveness at the domestic level has been replaced with<br />

competitiveness on a global scale. The Turkish automotive industry, which was<br />

originally established for import-substitution purposes and focused on the domestic<br />

market for a long period, transformed itself into a production base for a number of<br />

global models.<br />

The exports by Turkish automotive sector, which is the driving force of Turkish<br />

economy, reached remarkable figures in the last decade. The Turkish automotive<br />

industry has been active since the early seventies. Initially, the majority of the<br />

market development was based on imports and some level of local system<br />

integration. Türkiye has become a major production platform for global automotive<br />

manufacturers.<br />

Türkiye offers a supportive environment on the supply chain of the industry. There<br />

are around 1,300 component suppliers supporting the production of Original<br />

Equipment Manufacturer-OEMs. With the spare parts going directly to the<br />

production lines of vehicle manufacturers, the localization rate of OEMs varies<br />

between 50 and 70 percent. Türkiye is home to many global suppliers. There are<br />

more than 250 global suppliers that use Türkiye as a production base, with 30 of<br />

them ranking among the 50 largest global suppliers.<br />

Currently, there are major multinational vehicle manufacturers with their own<br />

production facilities in Türkiye. While some of these companies are engaged in a<br />

joint venture with Turkish companies, others are operating independently.<br />

Turkish producers of parts and components have attained high standards reflected<br />

by large export volumes to the Western countries. There are numerous producers<br />

of automotive components and services in Türkiye. More than half of these<br />

manufacturers compete in global markets and set high standards of export figures.<br />

Among them are many small and medium manufacturers with advanced<br />

technologies, constant updates and support from outside Türkiye, and a dynamic<br />

company structure. Many companies operating in the Turkish market possess<br />

international certifications, enhancing their global market position.<br />

Our publications remain at the service of those businesses people seeking to<br />

increase their share in the increasingly competitive foreign markets.<br />

This month, we participate in Autotech Cairo <strong>2024</strong>. We are convinced that the<br />

event would be instrumental to increase business opportunities in the automotive<br />

industry as usual. We wish all business people success and lucrative business.<br />

automotiveexport<br />

EDİToR<br />

automotiveexports


Türkiye’s automotive shipments<br />

increase to new 9-month high<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

10<br />

Türkiye’s automotive exporters have achieved their<br />

highest January-September sales ever, according to<br />

industry data, driven by shipments to the European<br />

Union and the United Kingdom.<br />

The industry saw a 5.3% increase in exports in the<br />

first nine months to $26.9 billion, data compiled from<br />

the Turkish Exporters Assembly (TIM) showed. In<br />

September alone, the sector’s sales surged by 20.9%<br />

year-over-year to $3.4 billion.<br />

The automotive industry’s share of Türkiye’s total<br />

exports worth $192.8 billion stood at 16.2% for the<br />

January-September period.<br />

Breaking down the sector’s exports, the main<br />

automotive industry contributed $15.7 billion, while the<br />

sub-industry accounted for $11 billion.<br />

Germany remained the top export destination, having<br />

received $3.6 billion worth of Turkish automotive<br />

products, the data showed. The United Kingdom<br />

followed with $3.2 billion, and France with $3 billion.<br />

Italy and Spain rounded out the top five, with $2.5<br />

billion and $1.8 billion, respectively.<br />

The United Kingdom saw the largest growth in Turkish<br />

automotive exports, with an increase of $796.7 million.<br />

Other markets experiencing significant growth were<br />

Romania ($220.4 million), Italy ($220 million), Slovenia<br />

($212.9 million), and the United States ($125.6 million).<br />

In total, sales to Slovenia reached $1.2 billion, to the<br />

U.S. $886 million, and to Romania $819.7 million.<br />

On a provincial level, Kocaeli led the charge in<br />

automotive exports with $6.9 billion in sales during the<br />

first nine months of the year. Istanbul followed with<br />

$6.1 billion, Bursa with $5.3 billion, Sakarya with $4.1<br />

billion, and Ankara contributed $1.1 billion.<br />

Türkiye automotive exports have significantly<br />

recovered from the pandemic-related downturn.<br />

In 2019, the sector’s exports had dropped by 3.7% to<br />

$22.5 billion, followed by a sharp 24% decline in 2020<br />

to $17.1 billion. However, the industry rebounded in<br />

2021 with a 24% increase, reaching $21.2 billion in the<br />

first nine months.<br />

In 2022, as pandemic effects began to wane, exports<br />

continued their upward trend, growing by 5.1% to<br />

$22.3 billion. The following year saw a 14.8% rise to<br />

$25.6 billion.


Chinese carmaker BYD in talks<br />

with Turkish auto suppliers<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

12<br />

Chinese carmaker BYD, which plans to build a factory<br />

in Türkiye, has been holding talks with auto part<br />

suppliers across the country, according to Albert<br />

Saydam, the president of the <strong>Automotive</strong> Suppliers’<br />

Association (TAYSAD).<br />

BYD’s planned production plant and R&D center is the<br />

first foreign investment in the Turkish automotive sector<br />

in 27 years. Some information in the environmental<br />

impact assessment (EIA) application file the company<br />

submitted to Turkish authorities raised concerns<br />

that the Chinese carmaker won’t work with Turkish<br />

suppliers and that this investment’s contribution to the<br />

Turkish economy will be limited.<br />

The EIA suggested that BYD would produce many car<br />

parts, including seats and pads, at the factory it will<br />

build in the western province of Manisa. The EIA is part<br />

of the requirements needed for going ahead with the<br />

investment. In July, BYD, the world’s largest electric<br />

vehicle producer, signed an agreement with the Turkish<br />

Industry and Technology Ministry to set up a factory<br />

and make R&D investments in Türkiye worth $1 billion.<br />

However, Saydam dismissed such concerns, saying<br />

that BYD officials have been quietly holding talks with<br />

suppliers across Türkiye.<br />

“Among them are local suppliers of seats, plastics,<br />

sheet metal, molds and tires. Contrary to speculation,<br />

they are looking for ways to work with companies in<br />

Türkiye,” Saydam said.<br />

BYD officials are collecting information from local<br />

suppliers, making visits and looking for ways of<br />

working with them, he added.<br />

They will talk to BYD’s top management in the coming<br />

days and organize a large meeting between the<br />

company and suppliers, Saydam said.<br />

The construction phase of the project is planned to<br />

start in 2025 after the necessary permissions and<br />

approvals are obtained, and it will be completed by the<br />

end of the same year or the first quarter of 2026.<br />

The installation of machinery and equipment at<br />

the plant is expected to start in the last quarter of<br />

2025, and production is likely to commence by the<br />

first quarter of 2026. According to the information<br />

contained in the EIA application, BYD Türkiye<br />

Otomotiv will produce 200,000 rechargeable hybrid<br />

and electric cars. The planned project will employ an<br />

average of 2,500 people during the construction phase<br />

and 12,000 people in total in three shifts during the<br />

operation phase. Industry and Technology Minister<br />

Mehmet Fatih Kacır said that Türkiye is in close talks<br />

with Chinese automaker Chery on an automobile<br />

investment and has reached the final stages of the<br />

process.


Türkiye tightens hybrid car imports<br />

as it seeks Chinese investment<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

16<br />

Türkiye will impose strict conditions on the import of<br />

plug-in passenger and commercial hybrid vehicles<br />

from some countries, according to a notice published<br />

in the Official Gazette, as it intensifies the push for<br />

local production.<br />

The new rules, which experts say will primarily impact<br />

imports from China and Japan, are seen as a message<br />

to foreign automakers engaged in negotiations with<br />

Türkiye to speed up their plans for domestic plants.<br />

The notice, which takes effect in 30 days, follows a<br />

decision in June to limit imports of electric vehicles.<br />

China has faced widespread criticism over its vehicle<br />

exports, which many countries claim are heavily<br />

subsidized by Beijing.<br />

Analysts say Ankara is seeking to increase pressure on<br />

Chinese carmakers with which it is holding talks about<br />

investing in production in Türkiye.<br />

The notice says an importer must meet conditions,<br />

including having 20 authorized service shops in<br />

seven different regions of Türkiye in order to import<br />

chargeable hybrid vehicles not produced in the<br />

European Union or in countries that have a free trade<br />

agreement with Türkiye.<br />

Analysts say no importers meet the conditions.<br />

“All plug-in hybrid vehicles that will come from now<br />

on will be blocked, apart from those in stock already.<br />

Other hybrid cars are already subject to a high<br />

customs tax,” Erol Şahin, founder of EBS Danışmanlık<br />

consultancy, said.<br />

He added the government was “toughening its<br />

message of hurry up” to the Chinese firms with which it<br />

is negotiating over domestic production.<br />

The change, according to Şahin, could complicate<br />

inventory management for Chinese brands that have<br />

recently introduced or planned to introduce plug-in<br />

hybrid vehicles in Türkiye.


The move follows earlier restrictions in June,<br />

when Türkiye imposed additional tariffs on internal<br />

combustion engines and hybrid vehicles imported from<br />

China. The government has justified these measures<br />

on the grounds of consumer safety and the promotion<br />

of investment.<br />

Türkiye “will continue to implement regulatory import<br />

policies effectively in line with the safe supply of<br />

products to the market and the tracking of products<br />

during the life cycle and consumer protection,” the<br />

Trade Ministry said in a statement.<br />

In July, China’s BYD, the largest EV producer in the<br />

world, agreed with the Turkish government to build a<br />

$1 billion plant in Türkiye with an annual capacity of<br />

150,000 vehicles.<br />

BYD’s electric and rechargeable hybrid car production<br />

facility, which is planned to start production in western<br />

Manisa province at the end of 2026, is envisaged to<br />

employ up to 5,000 people directly. Turkish sources<br />

said BYD’s investment process in Türkiye continued<br />

without any problems, after China’s warning to its<br />

companies about the risk of overseas investment.<br />

China’s Chery and state-owned SAIC Motor, which<br />

owns MG Motor, are also in talks. In Europe, sales of<br />

fully electric vehicles have been falling more rapidly<br />

than those of hybrid cars, data has shown .<br />

Türkiye’s domestic car and light vehicle market was<br />

at 762,000 units for the first eight months of the year,<br />

around the same as last year.<br />

Imports of Chinese brands jumped more than twofold<br />

to 63,000 units, taking 8% market share, according to<br />

industry data.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

17


BYD reaches deal with car parts<br />

supplier Forvia for Türkiye plant<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

22<br />

Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD has agreed to a<br />

deal with Forvia to supply its second European factory<br />

located in Türkiye, the French car parts supplier<br />

announced. The world’s seventh largest car parts<br />

supplier by revenue, whose Chinese sales account<br />

for a quarter of total revenue, Forvia is a long-time<br />

partner of BYD, and has already secured deals with the<br />

automaker’s first European factory in Hungary.<br />

Türkiye and BYD announced in July that the carmaker<br />

would build a $1 billion production plant in Türkiye with<br />

an annual capacity of 150,000 vehicles.<br />

BYD’s electric and rechargeable hybrid car production<br />

facility, which is planned to start production in western<br />

Manisa province at the end of 2026, is envisaged to<br />

employ up to 5,000 people directly.<br />

Forvia produces a range of products that include<br />

interior solutions, safety and lighting systems, mobility<br />

and powertrain systems, software, hardware and<br />

interface products, as well as sustainable composite<br />

components.<br />

The company has also reached deals with Chinese<br />

auto manufacturers Chery, which is also said to be<br />

close to completing a process for a factory investment<br />

in Türkiye, and Li Auto.<br />

During a recent annual conference in Wuhan, Chery<br />

International President Zhang Guibing presented the<br />

carmaker’s latest developments and future strategies,<br />

showcasing its European manufacturing bases, which<br />

included Spain, Italy and Türkiye.<br />

Guibing met with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on<br />

the sidelines of an investment event in Istanbul late last<br />

month. Alongside Chery, Türkiye has also been in talks<br />

with state-owned SAIC Motor, which owns MG Motor.<br />

Forvia’s shares jumped nearly 10% as it also<br />

announced it had reached an agreement with another<br />

Chinese automaker, Xiaomi.<br />

The company is hoping new contracts with Chinese<br />

manufacturers will offset ailing auto demand from<br />

domestic manufacturers.<br />

“Forvia’s ability to secure business with BYD outside<br />

China is reassuring as it helps to mitigate the fears that<br />

Chinese automakers will not use international suppliers<br />

such as Forvia in their expansion of their footprint<br />

into Europe,” said Stephen Reitman, an analyst at<br />

Bernstein. The contract with Xiaomi marks Forvia’s first<br />

with the tech group that first announced its entry into<br />

the EV business in 2021 as a diversification from its<br />

core smartphone operations. Xiaomi started shipping<br />

its SU7 electric vehicles in early April.<br />

“Xiaomi is one of the key telecom companies entering<br />

now the EV and car market and it’s very good<br />

that we are able to extend our reach with Chinese<br />

manufacturers also with the latest ones,” Forvia’s<br />

finance chief Olivier Durand said on an investor call.


Vestel aims to be global player in EV, mobility ecosystem<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

24<br />

Türkiye’s leading electronic company and appliances<br />

maker Vestel aims to be one of the world’s most<br />

important suppliers in the electric vehicle and mobility<br />

ecosystem, according to its CEO Ergün Güler.<br />

He said that special products are an advantage. “For<br />

instance, with electrical vehicle charging stations, if<br />

you have an AC (alternative current) station, you can<br />

charge a car in five hours. Vestel has exported them<br />

for more than five years – if you have a wall box in<br />

Germany or Spain, it is produced by Vestel,” Güler told<br />

Anadolu Agency.<br />

“But the most important thing is where? We are a<br />

company that is very advanced in DC devices. So, the<br />

fast and ultra-fast charging devices are able to charge<br />

your car just in seven to eight minutes,” he said.<br />

He said some companies may have a small production<br />

for that type of device but in the mass production field,<br />

there are only three companies globally and Vestel is<br />

going to be one of them.<br />

“There is mass production for 720-kilowatt devices.<br />

The good news is that beginning next year, Vestel will<br />

have a 1,000-kilowatt device,” he noted.<br />

He said Vestel is developing and producing all the<br />

screens in the Turkish electrical vehicle, Togg, and is in<br />

talks with international brands to produce screens and<br />

a major airline to produce entertainment screens.<br />

The company’s interest in the sector has extended to<br />

a 23% stake in Togg – the Turkish EV manufacturer<br />

that is headquartered in northern Kocaeli province<br />

and was founded in 2018 by a joint venture of five<br />

Turkish companies. As the biggest television producer<br />

in Europe, Vestel wants to transfer its knowledge to<br />

another field. There are many rivals, especially from<br />

China and Germany. Vestel is an international company<br />

making exports to 163 countries, so it is very close to<br />

almost every country, Güler stressed. It has a revenue<br />

of $3.8 billion where $2.5 billion is coming from<br />

exports, he said.<br />

Güler added that Vestel is not only doing operations<br />

under the Vestel brand but has several brands such as<br />

licensed brands Toshiba and Sharp.<br />

But the company now sees a huge shift to mobility.<br />

Mobility is more about electrical vehicles, electrical<br />

vehicle traffic stations and energy storage systems, he<br />

noted.The entire $3 trillion, 150-year-old automotive<br />

industry is shifting to a connected, electric future.<br />

The Boston Consulting Group estimates electric<br />

vehicles (EVs) are expected to constitute 45% of new<br />

vehicle worldwide sales by 2035.<br />

Saying that Vestel wants to utilize the benefit from this<br />

huge shift by producing in the field, he said production<br />

rules and underlying circumstances are changing.<br />

Güler stressed that automotive brands are also<br />

changing. While there are traditional brands such as<br />

Volkswagen and Renault, there are also new brands<br />

such as Tesla, and BYD which did not exist a couple of<br />

decades ago. While Toyota, Volkswagen and Porsche<br />

were the top three automotive producers in terms<br />

of value, Tesla is now the No. 1 auto manufacturer,<br />

followed by Toyota and Chinese BYD, which was not<br />

there five years ago, he noted.<br />

“As I said, production, underlying circumstances and<br />

players are changing,” he said. “Now there we have<br />

found a place for us to be the tier one supplier of those<br />

great brands, plus to be a leading brand for electrical<br />

vehicle charging stations, plus the leading brand for<br />

energy storage systems, the question is, how and<br />

when.”<br />

He stressed that while Vestel was exporting to Europe<br />

and Japan for more than 30 years, it had operations<br />

with a very high-quality standard.<br />

“Vestel is going to be a player in the mobility<br />

ecosystem,” he said.<br />

Touching on supply chain issues, he said they have<br />

become so fragile recently, and that has made friendshoring<br />

and nearshoring concepts more important.<br />

Friend-shoring refers to trade relations between<br />

countries with similar political, economic and cultural<br />

values, while nearshoring is an approach to trade<br />

relations among neighboring or nearby countries.<br />

Türkiye, because of a nearshoring concept, saw a huge<br />

demand from Europe, Asia and Africa, he said. “Our<br />

plan or aim is to bring Vestal mobility to the markets.<br />

Our target is to have an IPO above $1 billion,” he<br />

added.


Top European auto association<br />

urges action as EV demand slumps<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

26<br />

The top European auto industry association called the<br />

EU for “urgent” assistance as carmakers continue to<br />

struggle with slumping electric vehicle (EV) sales and<br />

stricter emissions regulations due next year.<br />

The European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association<br />

(ACEA) said the industry was trying its best to comply<br />

with decarbonization targets but was hamstrung by<br />

problems, including a shrinking electric car market,<br />

lack of charging infrastructure and the erosion of EU<br />

manufacturing competitiveness. In a formal request<br />

to Brussels, the industry lobby group asked the “EU<br />

institutions to come forward with urgent relief measures<br />

before new carbon dioxide targets for cars and vans<br />

come into effect in 2025.”<br />

Europe has been racing to produce more EVs as part<br />

of its green transition, with the clock ticking on an EU<br />

deadline to phase out the sale of fossil fuel-burning<br />

cars by 2035. But after years of growth, electric car<br />

sales began falling at the end of 2023 and now account<br />

for just 12.5% of new cars sold on the continent.<br />

According to the ACEA, car sales have also stagnated<br />

and remain around 18% lower than pre-pandemic<br />

levels.<br />

“We’re playing our part in this transition,” the ACEA’s<br />

appeal said, pointing to manufacturers’ adoption of EV<br />

technology.<br />

“We are missing crucial conditions to reach the<br />

necessary boost in production and adoption of zeroemission<br />

vehicles: charging and hydrogen refilling<br />

infrastructure, as well as a competitive manufacturing<br />

environment, affordable green energy, purchase and<br />

tax incentives, and a secure supply of raw materials,<br />

hydrogen and batteries,” it added.<br />

“This raises the daunting prospect of either<br />

multibillion-euro fines, which could otherwise<br />

be invested in the zero-emission transition, or<br />

unnecessary production cuts, job losses, and a<br />

weakened European supply and value chain.”<br />

The lobby group asked the commission to bring<br />

forward a planned review of the carbon dioxide<br />

regulations, currently slated for 2026 and 2027.<br />

A separate report by the ACEA revealed that new<br />

car sales in the EU fell 18.3% in August to their<br />

lowest in three years, dragged by double-digit<br />

losses in major markets Germany, France and Italy.<br />

Sales of fully electric cars slumped 43.9% in August,<br />

falling for the fourth consecutive month, as the<br />

bloc’s biggest EV markets, Germany and France,<br />

recorded drops of 68.8% and 33.1%, respectively,<br />

ACEA said. Car sales in Europe have dropped well<br />

below pre-COVID-19 levels, with carmakers such as<br />

Volkswagen warning that the trend might not change<br />

in the foreseeable future.<br />

EV sales growth has also slowed, partly due<br />

to diverging policies on green incentives, while<br />

regulators have imposed hefty tariffs to keep out<br />

cheap Chinese EVs. In August, sales of battery<br />

electric and plug-in cars fell by 43.9% and 22.3%,<br />

respectively, while those of hybrid-electric cars rose<br />

6.6% to a market share of 31.3%.<br />

Registrations at Europe’s three largest carmakers,<br />

Volkswagen, Stellantis and Renault, all fell from<br />

a year earlier by 14.8%, 29.5%, and 13.9%,<br />

respectively. Sales at EV maker Tesla dropped<br />

43.2%, and those for China’s SAIC Motor were<br />

down 27.5%. On the other hand, the market share<br />

of hybrid electric cars has increased in the EU in<br />

recent months as buyers see them as an affordable<br />

compromise between all-combustion and allelectric.To<br />

inject new stimulus into the EV market,<br />

Germany agreed in September on tax deductions of<br />

up to 40% for companies on their sales of electric<br />

cars, after last year ending a subsidy program<br />

designed to help speed up the green transition.<br />

However, campaign group Transport & Environment<br />

said that battery-electric cars sold in the bloc are<br />

set to reach a total market share of between 20%<br />

and 24% by 2025, mostly because of lower selling<br />

prices.


Otokar soars 10% on $940M<br />

Romania contract talks<br />

Shares in Türkiye’s defense giant Otokar jumped 10%<br />

to the top of the BIST 100 index after the military and<br />

commercial vehicle manufacturer said it had been<br />

invited to Romanian military vehicle contract talks for a<br />

deal valued at $940 million (TL 32.20 billion).<br />

Otokar, in a statement on the public disclosure platform<br />

(KAP), said it had been invited to contract negotiations<br />

for an armored vehicle procurement tender held by<br />

Romania, worth some $940 million.<br />

The deal represents one of Otokar’s largest international<br />

contracts and bolsters its growing presence in the<br />

European defense market.<br />

“In our special situation statement dated March<br />

20, <strong>2024</strong>, it was announced to the public that our<br />

company submitted an offer to the tender opened<br />

by C.N. Romtehnica S.A. (Romtehnica), a company<br />

of the Romanian Ministry of National Defense, for<br />

the purchase of 4x4 Tactical Wheeled Light Armored<br />

Vehicles,” Otokar said in the KAP statement.<br />

“Following the completion of the technical evaluation,<br />

field tests and commercial evaluation processes, the<br />

official invitation letter for contract negotiations was<br />

sent to our company by the tender authority,” it added.<br />

Furthermore, it disclosed that the tender amounting to<br />

4,263,286,655.66 Romanian leu ($939.8 million) covers<br />

the supply of a total of 1,059 4X4 tactical wheeled light<br />

armored vehicles and some integrated logistics support<br />

services. It added that 278 vehicles are set to be<br />

produced in Otokar facilities, and the remaining part in<br />

Romania, in a structure to be determined in the future.<br />

“The signing of the contract and other important<br />

developments regarding the subject will be shared with<br />

our investors,” the company said.<br />

“This contract represents 82% of the company’s<br />

revenue over the last four quarters, and it is expected<br />

to positively impact the company’s operational<br />

profitability and stock performance,” brokerage Halk<br />

Yatırım said. Otokar’s relationship with Romania has<br />

been growing since 2018 when the company delivered<br />

400 buses under a previous agreement. To support<br />

its increasing operations in the country, Otokar<br />

established a subsidiary, “Otokar Romania,” to manage<br />

its contracts and collaboration with the Romanian<br />

government.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

30


The European Union initiated imposing<br />

higher duties on imports of electric<br />

vehicles from China<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

32<br />

The European Union started imposing higher duties<br />

on imports of electric vehicles from China after talks<br />

between Brussels and Beijing failed to find an amicable<br />

solution to their trade dispute that has divided Europe<br />

and prompted retaliation from Beijing.<br />

Electric vehicles have become a major flashpoint in a<br />

broader trade standoff over the influence of Chinese<br />

government subsidies on European markets and<br />

Beijing’s burgeoning exports of green technology to the<br />

bloc.<br />

“By adopting these proportionate and targeted<br />

measures after a rigorous investigation, we’re standing<br />

up for fair market practices and for the European<br />

industrial base,” European Commission Executive<br />

Vice-President Valdis Dombrovskis said.<br />

“We welcome competition, including in the electric<br />

vehicle sector, but it must be underpinned by fairness<br />

and a level playing field,” Dombrovskis said.<br />

The duties would stay in force for five years unless an<br />

amicable solution is found.<br />

According to the commission, which manages trade<br />

disputes on behalf of the 27 EU member countries,<br />

sales of Chinese-built electric cars jumped from 3.9%<br />

of the EV market in 2020 to 25% by September 2023,<br />

in part by unfairly undercutting EU industry prices.<br />

Just over a year after launching its anti-subsidy probe,<br />

the European Commission will set out extra tariffs<br />

ranging from 7.8% for Tesla, 17% on cars made by<br />

BYD, 18.8% on those from Geely, to 35.3% for China’s<br />

state-owned SAIC, on top of the EU’s standard 10%<br />

car import duty.<br />

Geely has brands including Polestar and Sweden’s<br />

Volvo, while SAIC owns Britain’s MG, one of Europe’s<br />

bestselling EV brands.<br />

Other EV manufacturers in China, including Western<br />

companies such as Volkswagen and BMW, would be<br />

subject to duties of 20.7%. The commission has an<br />

“individually calculated” rate for Tesla of 7.8%.<br />

Beijing objected to the measures as protectionist and<br />

unfair, saying it did not “agree with or accept” the<br />

tariffs and has filed a complaint under the World Trade<br />

Organization (WTO) dispute settlement mechanism.<br />

“China will continue to take all necessary measures<br />

to resolutely safeguard the legitimate rights and


interests of Chinese companies,” China’s Commerce<br />

Ministry said. The EU’s retaliatory duties have been<br />

controversial, having run into opposition in Germany,<br />

which has Europe’s biggest economy and is home<br />

to major automakers, and Hungary amid fears of<br />

provoking China’s ire and setting off a bitter trade war.<br />

The head of Germany’s auto industry association, VDA,<br />

said the imposition of the tariffs is “a setback for free<br />

global trade and so for prosperity, the preservation of<br />

jobs and Europe’s growth.” Hildegard Muller said the<br />

move increases the risk of a far-reaching trade conflict.<br />

“The industry is not naive in dealing with China, but the<br />

challenges must be resolved in dialogue,” Muller said<br />

in a statement.<br />

Germany opposed tariffs in a vote this month in which<br />

10 EU members backed them, five voted against and<br />

12 abstained.<br />

Volkswagen, which has been hit hard by rising<br />

competition in China, has previously said the tariffs<br />

would not improve the competitiveness of the<br />

European automotive industry.<br />

The measures come as thousands of German industrial<br />

workers, including at the carmakers, strike for higher<br />

wages, with Volkswagen possibly about to announce<br />

shutting plants on home soil for the first time in its 87-<br />

year history.<br />

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said the EU was<br />

headed for an “economic cold war” with China.<br />

On the other hand, France, which pushed for the<br />

investigation, welcomed the decision.<br />

“The European Union is taking a crucial decision to<br />

protect and defend our trade interests, at a time when<br />

our car industry needs our support more than ever,”<br />

French Finance Antoine Armand said in a statement.<br />

France’s PFA car association also welcomed duties,<br />

adding it backed free trade as long as it was fair.<br />

The measures were published in the bloc’s legal Official<br />

Journal, meaning duties enter into force as of midnight,<br />

said EU spokesperson Arianna Podesta.<br />

The commission says China boosted its EU market<br />

share with the help of subsidies across the production<br />

chain. These ranged from cheap land for factories<br />

provided by local governments, to cut-price supplies<br />

of lithium and batteries from state-owned enterprises,<br />

to tax breaks and easy financing from state-controlled<br />

banks.<br />

The rapid growth in China’s market share has sparked<br />

concern in the EU that Chinese cars will eventually<br />

threaten the bloc’s ability to produce its own green<br />

technology to combat climate change. Business<br />

groups and unions also fear that the jobs of 2.5 million<br />

auto industry workers could be put in jeopardy, as<br />

well as those of 10.3 million more people whose<br />

employment depends indirectly on EV production.<br />

Talks continue between the EU and China and<br />

the duties can be lifted if they reach a satisfactory<br />

agreement, but officials on both sides have pointed to<br />

differences.<br />

Discussions have been focused on minimum prices<br />

that would replace the duties and force carmakers<br />

in China to sell vehicles at a certain cost to offset<br />

subsidies.<br />

Dombrovskis said the EU remains “open to a<br />

possible alternative solution that would be effective<br />

in addressing the problems identified and WTOcompatible.”<br />

“We also noticed that the EU side indicated it<br />

would continue to negotiate with China on price<br />

commitments,” Chinese Commerce Ministry<br />

said, adding that Beijing hoped to find a “solution<br />

acceptable to both sides as soon as possible to avoid<br />

escalating trade friction.”<br />

The China Chamber of Commerce to the EU said it<br />

was profoundly disappointed by the “protectionist” and<br />

“arbitrary” EU measure and was disheartened by the<br />

lack of substantial progress in negotiations to find an<br />

alternative to tariffs.<br />

It urged Brussels and Beijing “to accelerate talks<br />

on establishing minimum prices and, ultimately, to<br />

eliminate these tariffs.”<br />

The EU, however, faces China’s retaliation. China<br />

already said on Oct. 8 it would impose provisional<br />

tariffs on brandy imported from the EU.<br />

Beijing has also launched probes into EU subsidies of<br />

some dairy and pork products imported into China.<br />

Trade tensions between China and the EU are not<br />

limited to electric cars, with Brussels also investigating<br />

Chinese subsidies for solar panels and wind turbines.<br />

The EU is not alone in levying heavy tariffs on Chinese<br />

electric cars.<br />

Canada and the United States have, in recent months,<br />

imposed much higher tariffs of 100% on Chinese<br />

electric car imports.<br />

It remains to be seen what impact tariffs will have on<br />

consumer prices. Some producers may be able to<br />

absorb them at least partially.<br />

In the first nine months of <strong>2024</strong>, China’s EV exports<br />

to the EU were down 7% from a year earlier, but<br />

they have surged by more than a third in August and<br />

September, ahead of the tariffs, data from the China<br />

Passenger Car Association show.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

33


Autotech <strong>2024</strong> Cairo heralds new<br />

horizons for automotive industry<br />

Autotech is the definitive platform that brings<br />

together the biggest trade professionals in the<br />

automotive aftermarket and feeding industries at Cairo<br />

International Convention Centre.<br />

It is the place to expand your business through<br />

networking with the main industry players and gather<br />

insight into future market trends.<br />

Over the course of 3 days, Autotech unites<br />

top decision makers specializing in all areas of<br />

manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing,<br />

and installation of vehicle parts, chemicals, equipment,<br />

accessories, and more.<br />

Whether you are a producer, manufacturer or an<br />

importer interested in the automotive industry,<br />

Autotech will connect you with the right suppliers that<br />

match your needs and offer you the opportunity to<br />

enter an important regional market.<br />

The Fair which covers the full range of automobile,<br />

truck and bus parts, equipment, components,<br />

accessories, tools, and services continues to bring<br />

world renowned manufacturers, suppliers and service<br />

providers in touch with one of the most important<br />

growing markets in the world. The markets targeted by<br />

the Fair are widely recognised as the most attractive in<br />

the world in terms of future potential.<br />

Cairo International Convention Centre is located<br />

in Nasr City, Cairo Governorate, Egypt. It offers<br />

over 20,000 square metres of exhibit space as well<br />

as flexible meeting rooms, ranging from smaller<br />

spaces suitable for events for up to 50 people, to an<br />

auditorium accommodating 2,500 persons.<br />

The Turkish automotive supplier industry, displaying its<br />

diverse range of products during the Fair, manufactures<br />

almost all types of parts, components and spare<br />

parts such as engines and engine parts, power train<br />

parts and components, brake and clutch parts and<br />

components, hydraulic and pneumatic systems,<br />

suspension systems, security systems, rubber and<br />

plastic parts, chassis, frames and parts, casting<br />

and forging, electrical equipment and parts, lighting<br />

systems, accumulator batteries, seats etc.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

36


Hyundai begins producing<br />

electric SUVs at Georgia plant<br />

Hyundai has begun producing electric SUVs in<br />

Georgia less than two years after breaking ground on<br />

its sprawling, $7.6 billion manufacturing plant west<br />

of Savannah. Hyundai’s factory in Georgia held an<br />

“employee-focused celebration” as its first EV for<br />

commercial sale rolled off the assembly line, said Bianca<br />

Johnson, spokesperson for Hyundai Motor Group<br />

Metaplant America.<br />

“After validating its production processes to ensure<br />

its vehicles meet Hyundai Motor Group’s high quality<br />

standards, HMGMA has started initial production of<br />

customer vehicles ahead of schedule,” Johnson said.<br />

Hyundai has said it will produce up to 300,000 EVs per<br />

year in Georgia, as well as the batteries that power them.<br />

The first vehicles being produced at the Georgia site are<br />

2025 models of Hyundai’s Ioniq 5 electric SUVs .<br />

Johnson said those American-made EVs will arrive at<br />

U.S. dealerships before the end of this year.<br />

During the first half of <strong>2024</strong>, the Ioniq 5 was America’s<br />

second-best-selling electric vehicle not made by industry<br />

leader Tesla.<br />

Hyundai rushed to start making EVs in Georgia within<br />

two years of groundbreaking, spurred by federal electric<br />

vehicle incentives that reward domestic production.<br />

The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in 2022 with<br />

provisions intended to combat climate change, includes<br />

a tax credit that saves EV buyers up to $7,500, but<br />

only on cars made in North America with domestic<br />

batteries. Though Hyundai executives complained the<br />

law was unfair, Hyundai President and Global Chief<br />

Operating Officer Jose Munoz has also said it caused<br />

the automaker to push to open sooner in Georgia.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

38


Swedish battery maker<br />

Northvolt to cut 1,600 jobs<br />

Sweden’s cash-strapped electric car battery maker<br />

Northvolt said it would cut a quarter of its staff in the<br />

country, as it struggles with strained finances and a<br />

slowdown in demand.<br />

The loss of 1,600 jobs in Sweden comes as electric<br />

car sales slump in Europe and the continent lags far<br />

behind China in battery production.<br />

“While overall momentum for electrification remains<br />

strong, we need to make sure that we take the right<br />

actions at the right time in response to headwinds in<br />

the automotive market, and wider industrial climate,”<br />

Northvolt CEO Peter Carlsson said in a statement.<br />

He added that Northvolt needed to “focus all energy<br />

and investments into our core business.”<br />

Northvolt, which warned on Sept. 9 that cuts were<br />

coming, said that following “initial steps” of a strategic<br />

review it estimated that proposed cost-saving<br />

measures would result in about 1,000 redundancies<br />

at its primary Skelleftea plant – where an expansion<br />

project would be suspended – another 400 in the city<br />

of Vasteras and 200 in the Swedish capital Stockholm.<br />

“The rescoping of operations is critical to ensure a<br />

sustainable operation and cost base,” Northvolt said.<br />

It added that “to achieve this a workforce reduction<br />

of approximately 20% at a global level, and 25% in<br />

Sweden is required.”<br />

The company employs 6,500 people, according to its<br />

website.<br />

In mid-September, Swedish Prime Minister Ulf<br />

Kristersson said the government had no plans to<br />

intervene to rescue Northvolt.<br />

The Swedish company has secured $15 billion of credit<br />

and capital.<br />

Northvolt has been seen as a cornerstone of European<br />

attempts to catch up with China and the United States<br />

in the production of battery cells, a crucial component<br />

of lower-emission cars.<br />

Europe accounts for just 3% of global battery cell<br />

production but has set its sights on 25% of the market<br />

by the end of the decade.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

40


Auto industry revises forecasts<br />

due to weak demand in Europe<br />

The <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’ Association (OSD) has<br />

revised downward its production and export forecasts<br />

for <strong>2024</strong> due to the contraction in the European<br />

market, says Cengiz Eroldu, the association’s<br />

president. “We are aiming to end <strong>2024</strong> with 1 million<br />

units of exports, while our production projection for<br />

this year is between 1.3 million and 1.5 million units,”<br />

Eroldu said.<br />

Turkish carmakers’ total production declined by 6.9<br />

percent year-on-year in January-September from a<br />

year ago to 1 million units, according to data from<br />

OSD. The automotive sector is Türkiye’s largest<br />

exporting industry, directly employing 500,000 people.<br />

In terms of production, the Turkish automotive industry<br />

is one of the largest in the European Union.<br />

In the first nine months of <strong>2024</strong>, 657,148 passenger<br />

cars were manufactured, down 4.5 percent compared<br />

with the same period of 2023. Passenger car<br />

production fell 4.5 percent from August.<br />

The auto market shrank 1.5 percent annually in the first<br />

nine months, when a total of 881,442 vehicles were<br />

sold, with passenger car sales rising 0.9 percent yearon-year<br />

to 673,000.<br />

In September alone, vehicle sales were down 12<br />

percent to 89,000, while passenger car sales were<br />

down nearly 15 percent annually to 67,434 units.<br />

The share of domestically produced passenger cars in<br />

total sales declined below 30 percent in September for<br />

the first time in 10 years, said Eroldu.<br />

Pointing out the some 7 percent decline in production,<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

42


Eroldu said this was mostly due to the fact that local<br />

producers “are loosing ground” in the domestic<br />

market. Local carmakers have been going through<br />

difficult times in the last couple of months in the face of<br />

weak demand.<br />

The combined net income of eight listed automotive<br />

companies plunged 40 percent year-on-year in the first<br />

half of <strong>2024</strong> to 28.1 billion Turkish Liras ($820 million).<br />

Local carmakers shipped nearly 730,000 vehicles to<br />

foreign markets in January-September, marking a 0.6<br />

percent decline annually, showed OSD data. Their<br />

export revenues, however, rose 2 percent to $26.7<br />

billion.<br />

Passenger car deliveries to foreign markets fell 1.4<br />

percent year-on-year to 467,000 units, generating<br />

$7.8e billion in export revenues, down 1.3 percent.<br />

In September alone, the industry’s total production<br />

dropped 5.4 percent from a year ago to 123,445 units,<br />

with passenger car output falling 2.7 percent to 86,000<br />

units.<br />

This followed the 40 percent decline in auto production<br />

in August, when passenger car production was down<br />

26.7 percent annually.<br />

Meanwhile, Eroldu suggested establishing a “green<br />

fund” to assist consumers in disposing of their<br />

old cars, which account for 95 percent of vehicle<br />

emissions.<br />

There were more than 30 million registered motor<br />

vehicles in Türkiye as of August, and a third of them<br />

— around 10 million — are vehicles older than 13<br />

years. Instead of offering a reduction in the special<br />

consumption tax to encourage people to replace<br />

scrap cars with new vehicles, a “green fund” may<br />

be produced by the Environment Ministry to provide<br />

financial support, Eroldu said.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

44


Exports increase most to Australia,<br />

New Zealand in 8 months<br />

Türkiye’s exports to Australia and New Zealand soared<br />

26 percent in the January-August period from a year<br />

ago, marking the biggest increase among all country<br />

groups, while Europe remained the largest export<br />

market.<br />

Shipments to Australia and New Zealand amounted<br />

to $828 million in the first eight months of <strong>2024</strong>, a 0.5<br />

percent share in Türkiye’s overall export revenues.<br />

South America came second with an annual increase<br />

of 18.1 percent to $1.96 billion, according to a study<br />

by the Trade Ministry on the geographical analysis of<br />

export markets.<br />

Exports to Asia rose 10.8 percent year-on-year in<br />

the January-August period in <strong>2024</strong>, the third highest<br />

increase, to $1.32 billion.<br />

Europe absorbed 56.9 percent of Türkiye’s exports<br />

in January-August. In the first 8 months of <strong>2024</strong>,<br />

the country’s exports to European nations grew 2.5<br />

percent annually to $97.2 billion.The annualized<br />

exports to European countries amounted to $146.3<br />

billion as of August. The share of the Near and Middle<br />

East region in exports was 16.8 percent, or $28.7<br />

billion, while Africa came third at 8.1 percent or $13.8<br />

billion. Asia and North America ranked fourth and fifth<br />

at 7.9 percent ($13.55 billion) and 6.8 percent ($11.65<br />

billion) of increases from a year ago, respectively.<br />

The ministry said that exports to countries with which<br />

Türkiye has a free trade agreement surged 14.1<br />

percent year-on-year to $25.1 billion.<br />

Exports to neighboring countries increased by 10.8<br />

percent to $22 billion.<br />

Türkiye’s overall exports rose by 3.9 percent year-onyear<br />

in January-August to $170.8 billion. The 12-month<br />

trailing exports amounted to $262 billion as of August.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

46


Biden seeks to ban sale of vehicles<br />

using Chinese, Russian technology<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

48<br />

The Biden administration proposed a ban on the sale<br />

of connected and autonomous vehicles in the U.S. that<br />

are equipped with Chinese and Russian software and<br />

hardware, with the stated goal of protecting national<br />

security and American drivers.<br />

The measure is proactive but critical, the U.S.<br />

Commerce Department said, given that all the bells<br />

and whistles in cars, like microphones, cameras,<br />

GPS tracking and Bluetooth technology, could<br />

make Americans more vulnerable to bad actors and<br />

potentially expose personal information, from the home<br />

address of drivers, to where their children go to school.<br />

In extreme situations, a foreign adversary could shut<br />

down or take simultaneous control of multiple vehicles<br />

operating in the United States, causing crashes and<br />

blocking roads, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina<br />

Raimondo told reporters.<br />

“This is not about trade or economic advantage,”<br />

Raimondo said. “This is a strictly national security<br />

action. The good news is right now, we don’t have<br />

many Chinese or Russian cars on our road.”<br />

But Raimondo said Europe and other regions in<br />

the world where Chinese vehicles have become<br />

commonplace very quickly should serve as “a<br />

cautionary tale” for the U.S.<br />

Security concerns around the extensive softwaredriven<br />

functions in Chinese vehicles have arisen in<br />

Europe, where Chinese electric cars have rapidly<br />

gained market share.<br />

“Who controls these data flows and software updates<br />

is a far from trivial question, the answers to which<br />

encroach on matters of national security, cybersecurity,


and individual privacy,” Janka Oertel, director of the<br />

Asia program at the European Council on Foreign<br />

Relations, wrote on the council’s website.<br />

Vehicles are now “mobility platforms” that monitor<br />

driver and passenger behavior and track their<br />

surroundings.<br />

A senior administration official said that it is clear<br />

from the terms of service contracts included with the<br />

technology that data from vehicles ends up in China.<br />

The rules, if confirmed, would mark the latest<br />

escalation of a simmering trade row between the U.S.<br />

and China.<br />

Shortly after the announcement, China warned the U.S.<br />

not to take “discriminatory actions” against its firms.<br />

China urged “the U.S. to respect market principles<br />

and provide an open, fair, transparent, and nondiscriminatory<br />

business environment for Chinese<br />

enterprises,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian<br />

said.<br />

“China opposes the U.S.’s broadening of the concept<br />

of national security and the discriminatory actions<br />

taken against Chinese companies and products,” Lin<br />

said.<br />

“China will resolutely safeguard its legitimate rights and<br />

interests,” he added.<br />

Raimondo said that the U.S. won’t wait until its roads<br />

are populated with Chinese or Russian cars.<br />

“We’re issuing a proposed rule to address these new<br />

national security threats before suppliers, automakers<br />

and car components linked to China or Russia become<br />

commonplace and widespread in the U.S. automotive<br />

sector,” Raimondo said.<br />

It is difficult to know when China could reach that<br />

level of saturation, a senior administration official said,<br />

but the Commerce Department says China hopes to<br />

enter the U.S. market, and several Chinese companies<br />

have already announced plans to enter the automotive<br />

software space.<br />

The Commerce Department added Russia to the<br />

regulations since the country is trying to “breathe new<br />

life into its auto industry,” senior administration officials<br />

said on the call.<br />

The proposed rule would prohibit the import and<br />

sale of vehicles with Russia and China-manufactured<br />

software and hardware that would allow the vehicle to<br />

communicate externally through Bluetooth, cellular,<br />

satellite, or Wi-Fi modules.<br />

It would also prohibit the sale or import of software<br />

components made in Russia or the People’s Republic<br />

of China that collectively allow a highly autonomous<br />

vehicle to operate without a driver behind the wheel.<br />

The ban would include vehicles made in the U.S. using<br />

Chinese and Russian technology.<br />

The proposed rule would apply to all vehicles, but<br />

would exclude those not used on public roads, such as<br />

agricultural or mining vehicles.<br />

Commerce officials met with all the major auto<br />

companies around the world while it drafted the<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

49


proposed rule to better understand supply chain<br />

networks, according to senior administration officials,<br />

and also met with a variety of industry associations.<br />

While there is minimal Chinese and Russian software<br />

deployed in the U.S, the issue is more complicated<br />

for hardware. That’s why Commerce officials said the<br />

prohibitions on the software would take effect for the<br />

2027 model year and the prohibitions on hardware<br />

would take effect for the model year of 2030, or Jan. 1,<br />

2029, for units without a model year.<br />

The Commerce Department is inviting public<br />

comments, which are due 30 days after publication of<br />

a rule before it’s finalized. That should happen by the<br />

end of the Biden administration.<br />

The new rule follows steps taken by the Biden<br />

administration to crack down on cheap products sold<br />

out of China, including electric vehicles, expanding<br />

a push to reduce U.S. dependence on Beijing and<br />

bolster homegrown industry.<br />

In May, Washington unveiled steep tariff hikes<br />

on Chinese imports like electric vehicles and<br />

semiconductors.<br />

The tariff hikes hit $18 billion worth of Chinese imports,<br />

targeting strategic sectors like EVs, batteries, critical<br />

minerals and medical products.<br />

The tariff rate on EVs is set to quadruple to 100% this<br />

year, while the tariff for semiconductors will surge from<br />

25% to 50% by next year.<br />

Those plans were finalized, ahead of <strong>November</strong>’s<br />

presidential election, where both Democrats and<br />

Republicans are seeking to show a tough stance<br />

on China as competition between both countries<br />

intensifies. The tariff hikes on the $18 billion worth of<br />

goods were taken after a review of levies imposed<br />

under then-president Donald Trump, which impacted<br />

some $300 billion in goods from China.<br />

Apart from tariff increases, including those on solar<br />

cells, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office confirmed<br />

that a 50% duty on semiconductors – a sharp rise from<br />

before – would start in 2025.<br />

Biden has accused Beijing of “cheating” rather than<br />

competing on trade.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

50


Tesla unveils long-awaited robotaxi,<br />

self-driving bus<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

52<br />

Tesla revealed its much-anticipated robotaxi at a<br />

Hollywood studio, but fans eager to get their hands on<br />

the new electric vehicle will need to wait until at least<br />

2026 before it becomes available.<br />

CEO Elon Musk pulled up to a stage at the Warner<br />

Bros. studio lot in one of the company’s “Cybercabs,”<br />

telling the crowd that the sleek, artificial intelligencepowered<br />

vehicles don’t have steering wheels or pedals.<br />

He also expressed confidence in the progress the<br />

company has made on autonomous driving technology<br />

that makes it possible for vehicles to drive without<br />

human intervention.<br />

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full<br />

Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts<br />

about its reliability.<br />

“We’ll move from supervised Full Self-Driving to<br />

unsupervised Full Self-Driving. where you can fall<br />

asleep and wake up at your destination,” he said. “It’s<br />

going to be a glorious future.”<br />

Tesla expects the Cybercabs to cost under $30,000,<br />

Musk said. He estimated that the vehicles would<br />

become available in 2026, then added “before 2027.”<br />

The company also expects to make the Full Self-<br />

Driving technology available on its popular Model 3<br />

and Model Y vehicles in Texas and California next year.<br />

“If they’re going to eventually get to robotaxis, they<br />

first need to have success with the unsupervised FSD<br />

at the current lineup,” said Seth Goldstein, equity<br />

strategist at Morningstar Research.<br />

“Tonight’s event showed that they’re ready to take that<br />

step forward.”<br />

When Tesla will actually take that step, however, has<br />

led to more than a little anxiety for investors who see<br />

other automakers deploying similar technology right<br />

now. Shares of Tesla Inc. tumbled 9% at the opening<br />

bell.<br />

Waymo, the autonomous vehicle unit of Alphabet<br />

Inc., is carrying passengers in vehicles without human<br />

safety drivers in Phoenix and other areas. General<br />

Motors’ Cruise self-driving unit had been running<br />

robotaxis in San Francisco until a crash last year<br />

involving one of its vehicles.<br />

Also, Aurora Innovation said it will start hauling freight<br />

in fully autonomous semis on Texas freeways by year’s


<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

end. Another autonomous semi company, Gatik, plans<br />

to haul freight autonomously by the end of 2025.<br />

“Tesla yet again claimed it is a year or two away from<br />

actual automated driving – just as the company has<br />

been claiming for a decade. Indeed, Tesla’s whole<br />

event had a 2014 vibe, except that in 2014 there<br />

were no automated vehicles actually deployed on<br />

public roads,” Bryant Walker Smith, a University of<br />

South Carolina law professor who studies automated<br />

vehicles, told The Associated Press (AP) in an email.<br />

“Now there are real AVs carrying real people on real<br />

roads, but none of those vehicles are Teslas. Tonight<br />

did not change this reality; it only made the irony more<br />

glaring.”<br />

Tesla had 20 or so Cybercabs on hand and offered<br />

event attendees the opportunity to take rides inside the<br />

movie studio lot – not on Los Angeles’ roads.<br />

At the presentation, which was dubbed “We, Robot”<br />

and was streamed live on Tesla’s website and X, Musk<br />

also revealed a sleek minibus-looking vehicle that, like<br />

the Cybercab, would be self-driving and can carry up<br />

to 20 passengers.<br />

The company also trotted out several of its black and<br />

white Optimus humanoid robots, which walked a few<br />

feet from the attendees before showing off dance<br />

moves in a futuristic-looking gazebo.<br />

Musk estimated that the robots would cost between<br />

$28,000-$30,000 and would be able to babysit, mow<br />

lawns, fetch groceries, among other tasks.<br />

“Whatever you can think of, it will do,” he said.<br />

The unveiling of the Cybercab comes as Musk tries to<br />

persuade investors that his company is more about AI<br />

and robotics as it labors to sell its core products, an<br />

aging lineup of electric vehicles.<br />

Tesla’s model lineup is struggling and isn’t likely to be<br />

refreshed until late next year at the earliest, TD Cowen<br />

analyst Jeff Osborne wrote in a research note.<br />

Osborne also noted that, in TD Cowen’s view, the<br />

“politicization of Elon” is tarnishing the Tesla brand<br />

among Democrat buyers in the U.S.<br />

Musk has endorsed Republican presidential candidate<br />

Donald Trump and has pushed many conservative<br />

causes. He joined Trump at a Pennsylvania rally.<br />

Musk has been saying for more than five years that<br />

a fleet of robotaxis is near, allowing Tesla owners to<br />

make money by having their cars carry passengers<br />

while they’re not in use by the owners. Musk said that<br />

Tesla owners will be able to put their cars into service<br />

on a company robotaxi network.<br />

But he has acknowledged that past predictions for the<br />

use of autonomous driving proved too optimistic. In<br />

2019, he promised the fleet of autonomous vehicles by<br />

the end of 2020.<br />

The announcement comes as U.S. safety regulators<br />

are investigating Full Self-Driving and Autopilot based<br />

on evidence that it has a weak system for making sure<br />

human drivers pay attention.<br />

In addition, the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety<br />

Administration (NHTSA) forced Tesla to recall Full Self-<br />

Driving in February because it allowed speeding and<br />

violated other traffic laws, especially near intersections.<br />

Tesla was to fix the problems with an online software<br />

update. Last April in Snohomish County, Washington,<br />

near Seattle, a Tesla using Full Self-Driving hit and<br />

killed a motorcyclist, authorities said. The Tesla<br />

driver told authorities that he was using the system<br />

while looking at his phone when the car rear-ended<br />

the motorcyclist. The motorcyclist was pronounced<br />

dead at the scene, authorities said. NHTSA says it’s<br />

evaluating information on the fatal crash from Tesla and<br />

law enforcement officials.<br />

The Justice Department also has sought information<br />

from Tesla about Full Self-Driving and Autopilot, as well<br />

as other items.<br />

54


Türkiye pitches inflation, current<br />

account progress to investors<br />

Türkiye’s top economy official used a trip to New York<br />

to reassure business leaders and investors that the<br />

country’s disinflation process had begun in earnest,<br />

while affirming that the government had no plans for<br />

additional taxes.<br />

Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek<br />

pitched the progress of Türkiye’s economic program<br />

during a series of meetings with businesspeople and<br />

major investors on the sidelines of the United Nations<br />

General Assembly.<br />

Addressing an event, Şimşek acknowledged that<br />

inflation was still high but reiterated expectations it<br />

would see a significant decline by 2025, as tighter<br />

monetary policy begin to show its delayed effects.<br />

“The disinflation process has now begun in a<br />

sustained manner. On one hand, inflation will decrease<br />

significantly in 2025, supported by the delayed effects<br />

of monetary policy. On the other hand, fiscal policy and<br />

income policies will become more supportive,” said the<br />

minister.<br />

Annual inflation dipped below 52% in August,<br />

compared to its peak of 75% this May. The<br />

government forecasts it will fall below 42% by yearend.<br />

The central bank has lifted its key policy rate by 4,150<br />

basis points since June 2023 to counter overheated<br />

demand, the main driver of inflation.<br />

It has held the one-week repo rate unchanged at 50%<br />

since this March. It said it remained highly attentive<br />

to inflation risks but dropped a reference to potential<br />

tightening. The wording change provided the first<br />

guidance signaling that rate cuts will eventually come.<br />

Şimşek said inflation is expected to fall to between<br />

40%-42% this year, before dropping below 20% next<br />

year and to single digits by 2025.<br />

“We have drawn a path for inflation this year, and<br />

even in a year marked by elections and geopolitical<br />

turbulence, we met many of our targets,” said the<br />

minister.<br />

In his meeting with top executives from leading U.S.<br />

investment banks such as Goldman Sachs, Citigroup,<br />

and Morgan Stanley, Şimşek emphasized the<br />

government’s focus on fiscal discipline and tackling the<br />

informal economy without resorting to new taxes.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

58


He also met with Nick Clegg, global affairs head<br />

of Meta Platforms, and Makhtar Diop, chair of the<br />

International Finance Corporation (IFC), to discuss<br />

further collaboration.<br />

At a roundtable hosted by Goldman Sachs, Şimşek<br />

addressed 15 portfolio managers from some of the<br />

world’s largest funds, highlighting Turkey’s progress in<br />

reducing the current account deficit.<br />

“Our current account deficit, once a source of fragility,<br />

has shrunk from $57 billion to under $20 billion due<br />

to the measures we’ve taken,” Şimşek said. He<br />

also noted that further steps would be necessary to<br />

permanently eliminate this concern.<br />

Şimşek underscored that the government’s efforts to<br />

reduce the budget deficit were showing results, having<br />

brought it down to 5.2% of gross domestic product<br />

(GDP).<br />

Looking ahead, he said the government would prioritize<br />

combating the informal economy to produce a fairer<br />

business environment.<br />

“From now on, rather than focusing on increasing tax<br />

rates, we will prioritize the fight against the informal<br />

economy. Informality means injustice. It prevents<br />

access to finance, keeps businesses small-scale, and<br />

leads to inefficiency,” Şimşek noted.<br />

“Therefore, to ensure a fair, competitive environment,<br />

we will intensify efforts against informality. If you’re<br />

operating informally, know that sooner or later, the tax<br />

authorities will come knocking on your door.”<br />

Şimşek also recalled improvement in the central bank’s<br />

foreign exchange reserves, which stood at around $95<br />

billion.<br />

“This improvement reflects the strong confidence in<br />

our program both domestically and internationally,” he<br />

stated.<br />

“Türkiye has moved beyond seeing reserves as a<br />

source of concern.”<br />

Şimşek also highlighted an improvement in access to<br />

external financing.<br />

“We are solidifying the foundations for healthier,<br />

sustainable growth. While there is a temporary<br />

slowdown in growth, Türkiye’s structure will strengthen.<br />

Our ultimate goal is sustainable high growth in Türkiye,<br />

and we will steer back toward that path,” he said.<br />

Şimşek stressed the government was initiating<br />

a structural transformation process to make the<br />

improvement in the current account permanent.<br />

“The production of natural gas and oil in Türkiye will<br />

help reduce our current account deficit. Progress in<br />

this area, along with green transformation and new<br />

industrial policies, could potentially lead Türkiye from a<br />

current account deficit to a surplus,” he noted.<br />

“We aim to significantly reduce not only inflation but<br />

also external vulnerabilities.”<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

60


Waymo ramps up robotaxi<br />

push with $5.6 bln in funding<br />

Waymo has raised $5.6 billion from investors to<br />

expand a robotaxi program now operating in Los<br />

Angeles, Phoenix and San Francisco. The investment<br />

round was led by Google-parent Alphabet, which<br />

spun the company off from a research unit and<br />

retains controlling interest, Waymo said. The list of<br />

Waymo backers includes Silicon Valley venture capital<br />

powerhouse Andreessen Horowitz, along with Fidelity<br />

and Silver Lake.<br />

Waymo declined to disclose the value placed on the<br />

company during the investment round. It raised $3.2<br />

billion in 2020 and $2.5 billion in 2021.<br />

Waymo started as a “moonshot” project in Google’s X<br />

lab in 2009 and was spun off into a separate company<br />

in 2016. Waymo One ride-hailing services operate in<br />

San Francisco, Phoenix, and Los Angeles, with the<br />

company saying it plans to expand to the cities of<br />

Austin and Atlanta as part of a partnership with rideshare<br />

platform Uber. While Waymo competitors include<br />

General Motors subsidiary Cruise, as well as Amazonowned<br />

Zoox, it has been moving steadily along the<br />

road to making robotaxis more common.<br />

Elon Musk recently unveiled what he said was a<br />

robotaxi capable of self-driving, predicting it would<br />

be available by 2027 -- about a decade after he first<br />

promised an autonomous vehicle.<br />

Waymo, on the other hand, said its robotaxi service<br />

already provides 100,000 paid rides weekly. The<br />

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration early<br />

this year launched an investigation into Waymo after<br />

reports some self-driving cars hit stationary objects.<br />

Robotaxis in San Francisco have also been targeted by<br />

vandals and activists opposed to the innovation.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

62


New medium-term program sees<br />

3.5 percent growth this year<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

64<br />

Türkiye’s economy is expected to grow by 3.5 percent<br />

this year before the GDP expansion accelerates to 4<br />

percent in 2025 and 4.5 percent in 2026, according<br />

to the government’s medium-term economic program<br />

revealed on Sept. 5.<br />

Unveiling the program, Vice President Cevdet Yilmaz<br />

said the growth projection for <strong>2024</strong> was revised<br />

downward by a 0.5 percentage point from the previous<br />

program due to rising geopolitical tensions in the<br />

region. The government’s economic growth target<br />

for 2027 is 5 percent. Several ministers, including<br />

Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek as well as Central<br />

Bank Governor Fatih Karahan, were also present at<br />

the launch of the program which covers the 2025-27<br />

period.<br />

“These targets aim to ensure that the economy reaches<br />

its potential growth capacity and achieves a stable<br />

growth trend in the long term,” Yilmaz said, stressing<br />

that the growth path aligns with the disinflation course.<br />

The GDP at current prices is expected to increase to<br />

44.2 trillion Turkish liras ($1.33 trillion) this year, up from<br />

26.5 trillion ($1.13 trillion) last year, he said.<br />

The program targets an 83.1 trillion liras ($1.77 trillion)<br />

GDP at current prices in 2027 and a $20,420 GDP per<br />

capita at current prices, Yilmaz noted. Stressing that<br />

the main objective of the program is to ensure price<br />

stability, Yilmaz said the government targets to bring<br />

consumer inflation down to 17.5 percent in 2025 from<br />

a projected inflation rate of 41.5 percent at the end of<br />

<strong>2024</strong>.<br />

In the previous program, the inflation targets for<br />

<strong>2024</strong> and 2025 were 33 percent and 15.2 percent,<br />

respectively. Türkiye’s new economic program<br />

forecasts that inflation rate would fall down to single<br />

digits, 9.7 percent in 2026 and 7 percent in 2027, he<br />

said. According to the latest data from the Turkish<br />

Statistical Institute (TÜİK), Türkiye’s annual consumer<br />

inflation rate eased to 51.97 percent in August, the<br />

lowest since July 2023.<br />

“The main macroeconomic projections and targets set<br />

out in the economic program, which we launched in<br />

September last year have been met to a great extent…<br />

This demonstrates the effectiveness and predictability<br />

of our program,” Yılmaz said.<br />

According to the new program, the budget deficit is<br />

projected to decrease from 4.9 percent of GDP in <strong>2024</strong><br />

to 3.1 percent in 2025. It is income in 2026 and down<br />

to 2.5 percent in 2027.


Türkiye’s crude<br />

steel output<br />

increases 4 percent<br />

Türkiye produced 3.1 million tons of crude steel,<br />

marking a 4 percent increase compared with July 2023,<br />

according to data from the World Steel Association.<br />

In June, the annual increase in the country’s steel<br />

output was 4.3 percent to 3.1 million tonnes.<br />

From January to July, the country’s steel output<br />

amounted to amounted to 21.7mn tons, pointing to a<br />

robust 14.9 percent increase from the same period of<br />

last year. Türkiye retained its position as the world’s<br />

eighth largest producer of crude steel after Germany,<br />

which increased its production by 4.5 percent annually<br />

to 22.5 million tons in the same period.<br />

World crude steel production for the 71 countries<br />

reporting to the World Steel Association was 152.8<br />

million tons, a 4.7 percent decrease compared to July<br />

2023. China was the top producer at 82.9 million tons,<br />

down 9 percent year-on-year, followed by India, which<br />

boosted its crude steel production by 6.8 percent yearon-year<br />

to 12.3 million tons.<br />

Japan’s production was down 3.8 percent to 7.1<br />

million tons, while the U.S.’s steel output increased 2.1<br />

percent to 6.9 million tons.<br />

In the first eight months of <strong>2024</strong>, global crude steel<br />

production amounted to 1.1 billion tons, exhibiting<br />

an annual decline of 0.7 percent, according to<br />

the association. The 71 countries reporting to the<br />

association accounted for approximately 98 percent of<br />

total world crude steel production in 2023.<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

68


Energy policies yielding results<br />

in boosting local production<br />

<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />

70<br />

Türkiye’s National Energy and Mining Policy is yielding<br />

results in reducing the country’s dependency on<br />

imported energy and boosting local production, Energy<br />

Minister Alparslan Bayraktar has said.<br />

Speaking at a gathering in the province of Osmaniye,<br />

the minister recalled the policy document was unveiled<br />

in 2016 and said: “We started to reap its fruits.”<br />

“In 2020, the gas that we searched for and found in<br />

the Black Sea with our own ships and engineers has<br />

started to be delivered to our homes. We meet the<br />

natural gas needs of 2.6 million households from the<br />

natural gas we produce in the Black Sea alone,” he<br />

said. The minister reminded that a floating production<br />

facility will arrive in the Sakarya Gas Field in the Black<br />

Sea at the end of this month, which will boost the<br />

output there to 20 million cubic meters.<br />

The floating facility will produce natural gas for 20<br />

years, he said, adding that production from the<br />

field will meet the natural gas needs of 10 million<br />

households.<br />

“We need to increase production and make other<br />

discoveries in the Black Sea,” Bayraktar said.<br />

Türkiye is a major importer not only of natural gas but<br />

also of oil, and is dependent on foreign oil, he stressed.<br />

The oil find in the Gabar region was the biggest<br />

discovery ever in the country, the minister said, noting<br />

that the production from Gabar is currently 47,000<br />

barrels/day.<br />

“We aim to increase the production there to 100,000<br />

barrels within the next year, and Türkiye will produce<br />

200,000 barrels by 2025. For that, we need more<br />

exploration,” Bayraktar said.

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