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Monthly automotive aftermarket magazine<br />
GROUP CHAIRMAN<br />
H. FERRUH ISIK<br />
PUBLISHER:<br />
İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />
İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />
Managing Editor (Responsible)<br />
Mehmet Söztutan<br />
mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />
Advertising Sales Consultant<br />
Adem Saçın<br />
+90 505 577 36 42<br />
adem.sacin@img.com.tr<br />
Enes Karadayı<br />
enes.karadayi@img.com.tr<br />
International Marketing Coordinator<br />
Ayca Sarioglu<br />
ayca.sarioglu@img.com.tr<br />
Finance Manager<br />
Cuma Karaman<br />
cuma.karaman@img.com.tr<br />
Digital Assets Manager<br />
Emre Yener<br />
emre.yener@img.com.tr<br />
Technical Manager<br />
Tayfun Aydın<br />
tayfun.aydin@img.com.tr<br />
Graphic & Design Advisor<br />
Sami aktaş<br />
sami.aktas@img.com.tr<br />
Accountant<br />
Yusuf Demirkazık<br />
yusuf.demirkazik@img.com.tr<br />
Subscription<br />
İsmail Özçelik<br />
ismail.ozcelik@img.com.tr<br />
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Mehmet Soztutan, Editor-in-Chief<br />
mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />
The dynamic player in global markets…<br />
We know that competitiveness at the domestic level has been replaced with<br />
competitiveness on a global scale. The Turkish automotive industry, which was<br />
originally established for import-substitution purposes and focused on the domestic<br />
market for a long period, transformed itself into a production base for a number of<br />
global models.<br />
The exports by Turkish automotive sector, which is the driving force of Turkish<br />
economy, reached remarkable figures in the last decade. The Turkish automotive<br />
industry has been active since the early seventies. Initially, the majority of the<br />
market development was based on imports and some level of local system<br />
integration. Türkiye has become a major production platform for global automotive<br />
manufacturers.<br />
Türkiye offers a supportive environment on the supply chain of the industry. There<br />
are around 1,300 component suppliers supporting the production of Original<br />
Equipment Manufacturer-OEMs. With the spare parts going directly to the<br />
production lines of vehicle manufacturers, the localization rate of OEMs varies<br />
between 50 and 70 percent. Türkiye is home to many global suppliers. There are<br />
more than 250 global suppliers that use Türkiye as a production base, with 30 of<br />
them ranking among the 50 largest global suppliers.<br />
Currently, there are major multinational vehicle manufacturers with their own<br />
production facilities in Türkiye. While some of these companies are engaged in a<br />
joint venture with Turkish companies, others are operating independently.<br />
Turkish producers of parts and components have attained high standards reflected<br />
by large export volumes to the Western countries. There are numerous producers<br />
of automotive components and services in Türkiye. More than half of these<br />
manufacturers compete in global markets and set high standards of export figures.<br />
Among them are many small and medium manufacturers with advanced<br />
technologies, constant updates and support from outside Türkiye, and a dynamic<br />
company structure. Many companies operating in the Turkish market possess<br />
international certifications, enhancing their global market position.<br />
Our publications remain at the service of those businesses people seeking to<br />
increase their share in the increasingly competitive foreign markets.<br />
This month, we participate in Autotech Cairo <strong>2024</strong>. We are convinced that the<br />
event would be instrumental to increase business opportunities in the automotive<br />
industry as usual. We wish all business people success and lucrative business.<br />
automotiveexport<br />
EDİToR<br />
automotiveexports
Türkiye’s automotive shipments<br />
increase to new 9-month high<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
10<br />
Türkiye’s automotive exporters have achieved their<br />
highest January-September sales ever, according to<br />
industry data, driven by shipments to the European<br />
Union and the United Kingdom.<br />
The industry saw a 5.3% increase in exports in the<br />
first nine months to $26.9 billion, data compiled from<br />
the Turkish Exporters Assembly (TIM) showed. In<br />
September alone, the sector’s sales surged by 20.9%<br />
year-over-year to $3.4 billion.<br />
The automotive industry’s share of Türkiye’s total<br />
exports worth $192.8 billion stood at 16.2% for the<br />
January-September period.<br />
Breaking down the sector’s exports, the main<br />
automotive industry contributed $15.7 billion, while the<br />
sub-industry accounted for $11 billion.<br />
Germany remained the top export destination, having<br />
received $3.6 billion worth of Turkish automotive<br />
products, the data showed. The United Kingdom<br />
followed with $3.2 billion, and France with $3 billion.<br />
Italy and Spain rounded out the top five, with $2.5<br />
billion and $1.8 billion, respectively.<br />
The United Kingdom saw the largest growth in Turkish<br />
automotive exports, with an increase of $796.7 million.<br />
Other markets experiencing significant growth were<br />
Romania ($220.4 million), Italy ($220 million), Slovenia<br />
($212.9 million), and the United States ($125.6 million).<br />
In total, sales to Slovenia reached $1.2 billion, to the<br />
U.S. $886 million, and to Romania $819.7 million.<br />
On a provincial level, Kocaeli led the charge in<br />
automotive exports with $6.9 billion in sales during the<br />
first nine months of the year. Istanbul followed with<br />
$6.1 billion, Bursa with $5.3 billion, Sakarya with $4.1<br />
billion, and Ankara contributed $1.1 billion.<br />
Türkiye automotive exports have significantly<br />
recovered from the pandemic-related downturn.<br />
In 2019, the sector’s exports had dropped by 3.7% to<br />
$22.5 billion, followed by a sharp 24% decline in 2020<br />
to $17.1 billion. However, the industry rebounded in<br />
2021 with a 24% increase, reaching $21.2 billion in the<br />
first nine months.<br />
In 2022, as pandemic effects began to wane, exports<br />
continued their upward trend, growing by 5.1% to<br />
$22.3 billion. The following year saw a 14.8% rise to<br />
$25.6 billion.
Chinese carmaker BYD in talks<br />
with Turkish auto suppliers<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
12<br />
Chinese carmaker BYD, which plans to build a factory<br />
in Türkiye, has been holding talks with auto part<br />
suppliers across the country, according to Albert<br />
Saydam, the president of the <strong>Automotive</strong> Suppliers’<br />
Association (TAYSAD).<br />
BYD’s planned production plant and R&D center is the<br />
first foreign investment in the Turkish automotive sector<br />
in 27 years. Some information in the environmental<br />
impact assessment (EIA) application file the company<br />
submitted to Turkish authorities raised concerns<br />
that the Chinese carmaker won’t work with Turkish<br />
suppliers and that this investment’s contribution to the<br />
Turkish economy will be limited.<br />
The EIA suggested that BYD would produce many car<br />
parts, including seats and pads, at the factory it will<br />
build in the western province of Manisa. The EIA is part<br />
of the requirements needed for going ahead with the<br />
investment. In July, BYD, the world’s largest electric<br />
vehicle producer, signed an agreement with the Turkish<br />
Industry and Technology Ministry to set up a factory<br />
and make R&D investments in Türkiye worth $1 billion.<br />
However, Saydam dismissed such concerns, saying<br />
that BYD officials have been quietly holding talks with<br />
suppliers across Türkiye.<br />
“Among them are local suppliers of seats, plastics,<br />
sheet metal, molds and tires. Contrary to speculation,<br />
they are looking for ways to work with companies in<br />
Türkiye,” Saydam said.<br />
BYD officials are collecting information from local<br />
suppliers, making visits and looking for ways of<br />
working with them, he added.<br />
They will talk to BYD’s top management in the coming<br />
days and organize a large meeting between the<br />
company and suppliers, Saydam said.<br />
The construction phase of the project is planned to<br />
start in 2025 after the necessary permissions and<br />
approvals are obtained, and it will be completed by the<br />
end of the same year or the first quarter of 2026.<br />
The installation of machinery and equipment at<br />
the plant is expected to start in the last quarter of<br />
2025, and production is likely to commence by the<br />
first quarter of 2026. According to the information<br />
contained in the EIA application, BYD Türkiye<br />
Otomotiv will produce 200,000 rechargeable hybrid<br />
and electric cars. The planned project will employ an<br />
average of 2,500 people during the construction phase<br />
and 12,000 people in total in three shifts during the<br />
operation phase. Industry and Technology Minister<br />
Mehmet Fatih Kacır said that Türkiye is in close talks<br />
with Chinese automaker Chery on an automobile<br />
investment and has reached the final stages of the<br />
process.
Türkiye tightens hybrid car imports<br />
as it seeks Chinese investment<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
16<br />
Türkiye will impose strict conditions on the import of<br />
plug-in passenger and commercial hybrid vehicles<br />
from some countries, according to a notice published<br />
in the Official Gazette, as it intensifies the push for<br />
local production.<br />
The new rules, which experts say will primarily impact<br />
imports from China and Japan, are seen as a message<br />
to foreign automakers engaged in negotiations with<br />
Türkiye to speed up their plans for domestic plants.<br />
The notice, which takes effect in 30 days, follows a<br />
decision in June to limit imports of electric vehicles.<br />
China has faced widespread criticism over its vehicle<br />
exports, which many countries claim are heavily<br />
subsidized by Beijing.<br />
Analysts say Ankara is seeking to increase pressure on<br />
Chinese carmakers with which it is holding talks about<br />
investing in production in Türkiye.<br />
The notice says an importer must meet conditions,<br />
including having 20 authorized service shops in<br />
seven different regions of Türkiye in order to import<br />
chargeable hybrid vehicles not produced in the<br />
European Union or in countries that have a free trade<br />
agreement with Türkiye.<br />
Analysts say no importers meet the conditions.<br />
“All plug-in hybrid vehicles that will come from now<br />
on will be blocked, apart from those in stock already.<br />
Other hybrid cars are already subject to a high<br />
customs tax,” Erol Şahin, founder of EBS Danışmanlık<br />
consultancy, said.<br />
He added the government was “toughening its<br />
message of hurry up” to the Chinese firms with which it<br />
is negotiating over domestic production.<br />
The change, according to Şahin, could complicate<br />
inventory management for Chinese brands that have<br />
recently introduced or planned to introduce plug-in<br />
hybrid vehicles in Türkiye.
The move follows earlier restrictions in June,<br />
when Türkiye imposed additional tariffs on internal<br />
combustion engines and hybrid vehicles imported from<br />
China. The government has justified these measures<br />
on the grounds of consumer safety and the promotion<br />
of investment.<br />
Türkiye “will continue to implement regulatory import<br />
policies effectively in line with the safe supply of<br />
products to the market and the tracking of products<br />
during the life cycle and consumer protection,” the<br />
Trade Ministry said in a statement.<br />
In July, China’s BYD, the largest EV producer in the<br />
world, agreed with the Turkish government to build a<br />
$1 billion plant in Türkiye with an annual capacity of<br />
150,000 vehicles.<br />
BYD’s electric and rechargeable hybrid car production<br />
facility, which is planned to start production in western<br />
Manisa province at the end of 2026, is envisaged to<br />
employ up to 5,000 people directly. Turkish sources<br />
said BYD’s investment process in Türkiye continued<br />
without any problems, after China’s warning to its<br />
companies about the risk of overseas investment.<br />
China’s Chery and state-owned SAIC Motor, which<br />
owns MG Motor, are also in talks. In Europe, sales of<br />
fully electric vehicles have been falling more rapidly<br />
than those of hybrid cars, data has shown .<br />
Türkiye’s domestic car and light vehicle market was<br />
at 762,000 units for the first eight months of the year,<br />
around the same as last year.<br />
Imports of Chinese brands jumped more than twofold<br />
to 63,000 units, taking 8% market share, according to<br />
industry data.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
17
BYD reaches deal with car parts<br />
supplier Forvia for Türkiye plant<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
22<br />
Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD has agreed to a<br />
deal with Forvia to supply its second European factory<br />
located in Türkiye, the French car parts supplier<br />
announced. The world’s seventh largest car parts<br />
supplier by revenue, whose Chinese sales account<br />
for a quarter of total revenue, Forvia is a long-time<br />
partner of BYD, and has already secured deals with the<br />
automaker’s first European factory in Hungary.<br />
Türkiye and BYD announced in July that the carmaker<br />
would build a $1 billion production plant in Türkiye with<br />
an annual capacity of 150,000 vehicles.<br />
BYD’s electric and rechargeable hybrid car production<br />
facility, which is planned to start production in western<br />
Manisa province at the end of 2026, is envisaged to<br />
employ up to 5,000 people directly.<br />
Forvia produces a range of products that include<br />
interior solutions, safety and lighting systems, mobility<br />
and powertrain systems, software, hardware and<br />
interface products, as well as sustainable composite<br />
components.<br />
The company has also reached deals with Chinese<br />
auto manufacturers Chery, which is also said to be<br />
close to completing a process for a factory investment<br />
in Türkiye, and Li Auto.<br />
During a recent annual conference in Wuhan, Chery<br />
International President Zhang Guibing presented the<br />
carmaker’s latest developments and future strategies,<br />
showcasing its European manufacturing bases, which<br />
included Spain, Italy and Türkiye.<br />
Guibing met with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on<br />
the sidelines of an investment event in Istanbul late last<br />
month. Alongside Chery, Türkiye has also been in talks<br />
with state-owned SAIC Motor, which owns MG Motor.<br />
Forvia’s shares jumped nearly 10% as it also<br />
announced it had reached an agreement with another<br />
Chinese automaker, Xiaomi.<br />
The company is hoping new contracts with Chinese<br />
manufacturers will offset ailing auto demand from<br />
domestic manufacturers.<br />
“Forvia’s ability to secure business with BYD outside<br />
China is reassuring as it helps to mitigate the fears that<br />
Chinese automakers will not use international suppliers<br />
such as Forvia in their expansion of their footprint<br />
into Europe,” said Stephen Reitman, an analyst at<br />
Bernstein. The contract with Xiaomi marks Forvia’s first<br />
with the tech group that first announced its entry into<br />
the EV business in 2021 as a diversification from its<br />
core smartphone operations. Xiaomi started shipping<br />
its SU7 electric vehicles in early April.<br />
“Xiaomi is one of the key telecom companies entering<br />
now the EV and car market and it’s very good<br />
that we are able to extend our reach with Chinese<br />
manufacturers also with the latest ones,” Forvia’s<br />
finance chief Olivier Durand said on an investor call.
Vestel aims to be global player in EV, mobility ecosystem<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
24<br />
Türkiye’s leading electronic company and appliances<br />
maker Vestel aims to be one of the world’s most<br />
important suppliers in the electric vehicle and mobility<br />
ecosystem, according to its CEO Ergün Güler.<br />
He said that special products are an advantage. “For<br />
instance, with electrical vehicle charging stations, if<br />
you have an AC (alternative current) station, you can<br />
charge a car in five hours. Vestel has exported them<br />
for more than five years – if you have a wall box in<br />
Germany or Spain, it is produced by Vestel,” Güler told<br />
Anadolu Agency.<br />
“But the most important thing is where? We are a<br />
company that is very advanced in DC devices. So, the<br />
fast and ultra-fast charging devices are able to charge<br />
your car just in seven to eight minutes,” he said.<br />
He said some companies may have a small production<br />
for that type of device but in the mass production field,<br />
there are only three companies globally and Vestel is<br />
going to be one of them.<br />
“There is mass production for 720-kilowatt devices.<br />
The good news is that beginning next year, Vestel will<br />
have a 1,000-kilowatt device,” he noted.<br />
He said Vestel is developing and producing all the<br />
screens in the Turkish electrical vehicle, Togg, and is in<br />
talks with international brands to produce screens and<br />
a major airline to produce entertainment screens.<br />
The company’s interest in the sector has extended to<br />
a 23% stake in Togg – the Turkish EV manufacturer<br />
that is headquartered in northern Kocaeli province<br />
and was founded in 2018 by a joint venture of five<br />
Turkish companies. As the biggest television producer<br />
in Europe, Vestel wants to transfer its knowledge to<br />
another field. There are many rivals, especially from<br />
China and Germany. Vestel is an international company<br />
making exports to 163 countries, so it is very close to<br />
almost every country, Güler stressed. It has a revenue<br />
of $3.8 billion where $2.5 billion is coming from<br />
exports, he said.<br />
Güler added that Vestel is not only doing operations<br />
under the Vestel brand but has several brands such as<br />
licensed brands Toshiba and Sharp.<br />
But the company now sees a huge shift to mobility.<br />
Mobility is more about electrical vehicles, electrical<br />
vehicle traffic stations and energy storage systems, he<br />
noted.The entire $3 trillion, 150-year-old automotive<br />
industry is shifting to a connected, electric future.<br />
The Boston Consulting Group estimates electric<br />
vehicles (EVs) are expected to constitute 45% of new<br />
vehicle worldwide sales by 2035.<br />
Saying that Vestel wants to utilize the benefit from this<br />
huge shift by producing in the field, he said production<br />
rules and underlying circumstances are changing.<br />
Güler stressed that automotive brands are also<br />
changing. While there are traditional brands such as<br />
Volkswagen and Renault, there are also new brands<br />
such as Tesla, and BYD which did not exist a couple of<br />
decades ago. While Toyota, Volkswagen and Porsche<br />
were the top three automotive producers in terms<br />
of value, Tesla is now the No. 1 auto manufacturer,<br />
followed by Toyota and Chinese BYD, which was not<br />
there five years ago, he noted.<br />
“As I said, production, underlying circumstances and<br />
players are changing,” he said. “Now there we have<br />
found a place for us to be the tier one supplier of those<br />
great brands, plus to be a leading brand for electrical<br />
vehicle charging stations, plus the leading brand for<br />
energy storage systems, the question is, how and<br />
when.”<br />
He stressed that while Vestel was exporting to Europe<br />
and Japan for more than 30 years, it had operations<br />
with a very high-quality standard.<br />
“Vestel is going to be a player in the mobility<br />
ecosystem,” he said.<br />
Touching on supply chain issues, he said they have<br />
become so fragile recently, and that has made friendshoring<br />
and nearshoring concepts more important.<br />
Friend-shoring refers to trade relations between<br />
countries with similar political, economic and cultural<br />
values, while nearshoring is an approach to trade<br />
relations among neighboring or nearby countries.<br />
Türkiye, because of a nearshoring concept, saw a huge<br />
demand from Europe, Asia and Africa, he said. “Our<br />
plan or aim is to bring Vestal mobility to the markets.<br />
Our target is to have an IPO above $1 billion,” he<br />
added.
Top European auto association<br />
urges action as EV demand slumps<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
26<br />
The top European auto industry association called the<br />
EU for “urgent” assistance as carmakers continue to<br />
struggle with slumping electric vehicle (EV) sales and<br />
stricter emissions regulations due next year.<br />
The European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association<br />
(ACEA) said the industry was trying its best to comply<br />
with decarbonization targets but was hamstrung by<br />
problems, including a shrinking electric car market,<br />
lack of charging infrastructure and the erosion of EU<br />
manufacturing competitiveness. In a formal request<br />
to Brussels, the industry lobby group asked the “EU<br />
institutions to come forward with urgent relief measures<br />
before new carbon dioxide targets for cars and vans<br />
come into effect in 2025.”<br />
Europe has been racing to produce more EVs as part<br />
of its green transition, with the clock ticking on an EU<br />
deadline to phase out the sale of fossil fuel-burning<br />
cars by 2035. But after years of growth, electric car<br />
sales began falling at the end of 2023 and now account<br />
for just 12.5% of new cars sold on the continent.<br />
According to the ACEA, car sales have also stagnated<br />
and remain around 18% lower than pre-pandemic<br />
levels.<br />
“We’re playing our part in this transition,” the ACEA’s<br />
appeal said, pointing to manufacturers’ adoption of EV<br />
technology.<br />
“We are missing crucial conditions to reach the<br />
necessary boost in production and adoption of zeroemission<br />
vehicles: charging and hydrogen refilling<br />
infrastructure, as well as a competitive manufacturing<br />
environment, affordable green energy, purchase and<br />
tax incentives, and a secure supply of raw materials,<br />
hydrogen and batteries,” it added.<br />
“This raises the daunting prospect of either<br />
multibillion-euro fines, which could otherwise<br />
be invested in the zero-emission transition, or<br />
unnecessary production cuts, job losses, and a<br />
weakened European supply and value chain.”<br />
The lobby group asked the commission to bring<br />
forward a planned review of the carbon dioxide<br />
regulations, currently slated for 2026 and 2027.<br />
A separate report by the ACEA revealed that new<br />
car sales in the EU fell 18.3% in August to their<br />
lowest in three years, dragged by double-digit<br />
losses in major markets Germany, France and Italy.<br />
Sales of fully electric cars slumped 43.9% in August,<br />
falling for the fourth consecutive month, as the<br />
bloc’s biggest EV markets, Germany and France,<br />
recorded drops of 68.8% and 33.1%, respectively,<br />
ACEA said. Car sales in Europe have dropped well<br />
below pre-COVID-19 levels, with carmakers such as<br />
Volkswagen warning that the trend might not change<br />
in the foreseeable future.<br />
EV sales growth has also slowed, partly due<br />
to diverging policies on green incentives, while<br />
regulators have imposed hefty tariffs to keep out<br />
cheap Chinese EVs. In August, sales of battery<br />
electric and plug-in cars fell by 43.9% and 22.3%,<br />
respectively, while those of hybrid-electric cars rose<br />
6.6% to a market share of 31.3%.<br />
Registrations at Europe’s three largest carmakers,<br />
Volkswagen, Stellantis and Renault, all fell from<br />
a year earlier by 14.8%, 29.5%, and 13.9%,<br />
respectively. Sales at EV maker Tesla dropped<br />
43.2%, and those for China’s SAIC Motor were<br />
down 27.5%. On the other hand, the market share<br />
of hybrid electric cars has increased in the EU in<br />
recent months as buyers see them as an affordable<br />
compromise between all-combustion and allelectric.To<br />
inject new stimulus into the EV market,<br />
Germany agreed in September on tax deductions of<br />
up to 40% for companies on their sales of electric<br />
cars, after last year ending a subsidy program<br />
designed to help speed up the green transition.<br />
However, campaign group Transport & Environment<br />
said that battery-electric cars sold in the bloc are<br />
set to reach a total market share of between 20%<br />
and 24% by 2025, mostly because of lower selling<br />
prices.
Otokar soars 10% on $940M<br />
Romania contract talks<br />
Shares in Türkiye’s defense giant Otokar jumped 10%<br />
to the top of the BIST 100 index after the military and<br />
commercial vehicle manufacturer said it had been<br />
invited to Romanian military vehicle contract talks for a<br />
deal valued at $940 million (TL 32.20 billion).<br />
Otokar, in a statement on the public disclosure platform<br />
(KAP), said it had been invited to contract negotiations<br />
for an armored vehicle procurement tender held by<br />
Romania, worth some $940 million.<br />
The deal represents one of Otokar’s largest international<br />
contracts and bolsters its growing presence in the<br />
European defense market.<br />
“In our special situation statement dated March<br />
20, <strong>2024</strong>, it was announced to the public that our<br />
company submitted an offer to the tender opened<br />
by C.N. Romtehnica S.A. (Romtehnica), a company<br />
of the Romanian Ministry of National Defense, for<br />
the purchase of 4x4 Tactical Wheeled Light Armored<br />
Vehicles,” Otokar said in the KAP statement.<br />
“Following the completion of the technical evaluation,<br />
field tests and commercial evaluation processes, the<br />
official invitation letter for contract negotiations was<br />
sent to our company by the tender authority,” it added.<br />
Furthermore, it disclosed that the tender amounting to<br />
4,263,286,655.66 Romanian leu ($939.8 million) covers<br />
the supply of a total of 1,059 4X4 tactical wheeled light<br />
armored vehicles and some integrated logistics support<br />
services. It added that 278 vehicles are set to be<br />
produced in Otokar facilities, and the remaining part in<br />
Romania, in a structure to be determined in the future.<br />
“The signing of the contract and other important<br />
developments regarding the subject will be shared with<br />
our investors,” the company said.<br />
“This contract represents 82% of the company’s<br />
revenue over the last four quarters, and it is expected<br />
to positively impact the company’s operational<br />
profitability and stock performance,” brokerage Halk<br />
Yatırım said. Otokar’s relationship with Romania has<br />
been growing since 2018 when the company delivered<br />
400 buses under a previous agreement. To support<br />
its increasing operations in the country, Otokar<br />
established a subsidiary, “Otokar Romania,” to manage<br />
its contracts and collaboration with the Romanian<br />
government.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
30
The European Union initiated imposing<br />
higher duties on imports of electric<br />
vehicles from China<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
32<br />
The European Union started imposing higher duties<br />
on imports of electric vehicles from China after talks<br />
between Brussels and Beijing failed to find an amicable<br />
solution to their trade dispute that has divided Europe<br />
and prompted retaliation from Beijing.<br />
Electric vehicles have become a major flashpoint in a<br />
broader trade standoff over the influence of Chinese<br />
government subsidies on European markets and<br />
Beijing’s burgeoning exports of green technology to the<br />
bloc.<br />
“By adopting these proportionate and targeted<br />
measures after a rigorous investigation, we’re standing<br />
up for fair market practices and for the European<br />
industrial base,” European Commission Executive<br />
Vice-President Valdis Dombrovskis said.<br />
“We welcome competition, including in the electric<br />
vehicle sector, but it must be underpinned by fairness<br />
and a level playing field,” Dombrovskis said.<br />
The duties would stay in force for five years unless an<br />
amicable solution is found.<br />
According to the commission, which manages trade<br />
disputes on behalf of the 27 EU member countries,<br />
sales of Chinese-built electric cars jumped from 3.9%<br />
of the EV market in 2020 to 25% by September 2023,<br />
in part by unfairly undercutting EU industry prices.<br />
Just over a year after launching its anti-subsidy probe,<br />
the European Commission will set out extra tariffs<br />
ranging from 7.8% for Tesla, 17% on cars made by<br />
BYD, 18.8% on those from Geely, to 35.3% for China’s<br />
state-owned SAIC, on top of the EU’s standard 10%<br />
car import duty.<br />
Geely has brands including Polestar and Sweden’s<br />
Volvo, while SAIC owns Britain’s MG, one of Europe’s<br />
bestselling EV brands.<br />
Other EV manufacturers in China, including Western<br />
companies such as Volkswagen and BMW, would be<br />
subject to duties of 20.7%. The commission has an<br />
“individually calculated” rate for Tesla of 7.8%.<br />
Beijing objected to the measures as protectionist and<br />
unfair, saying it did not “agree with or accept” the<br />
tariffs and has filed a complaint under the World Trade<br />
Organization (WTO) dispute settlement mechanism.<br />
“China will continue to take all necessary measures<br />
to resolutely safeguard the legitimate rights and
interests of Chinese companies,” China’s Commerce<br />
Ministry said. The EU’s retaliatory duties have been<br />
controversial, having run into opposition in Germany,<br />
which has Europe’s biggest economy and is home<br />
to major automakers, and Hungary amid fears of<br />
provoking China’s ire and setting off a bitter trade war.<br />
The head of Germany’s auto industry association, VDA,<br />
said the imposition of the tariffs is “a setback for free<br />
global trade and so for prosperity, the preservation of<br />
jobs and Europe’s growth.” Hildegard Muller said the<br />
move increases the risk of a far-reaching trade conflict.<br />
“The industry is not naive in dealing with China, but the<br />
challenges must be resolved in dialogue,” Muller said<br />
in a statement.<br />
Germany opposed tariffs in a vote this month in which<br />
10 EU members backed them, five voted against and<br />
12 abstained.<br />
Volkswagen, which has been hit hard by rising<br />
competition in China, has previously said the tariffs<br />
would not improve the competitiveness of the<br />
European automotive industry.<br />
The measures come as thousands of German industrial<br />
workers, including at the carmakers, strike for higher<br />
wages, with Volkswagen possibly about to announce<br />
shutting plants on home soil for the first time in its 87-<br />
year history.<br />
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said the EU was<br />
headed for an “economic cold war” with China.<br />
On the other hand, France, which pushed for the<br />
investigation, welcomed the decision.<br />
“The European Union is taking a crucial decision to<br />
protect and defend our trade interests, at a time when<br />
our car industry needs our support more than ever,”<br />
French Finance Antoine Armand said in a statement.<br />
France’s PFA car association also welcomed duties,<br />
adding it backed free trade as long as it was fair.<br />
The measures were published in the bloc’s legal Official<br />
Journal, meaning duties enter into force as of midnight,<br />
said EU spokesperson Arianna Podesta.<br />
The commission says China boosted its EU market<br />
share with the help of subsidies across the production<br />
chain. These ranged from cheap land for factories<br />
provided by local governments, to cut-price supplies<br />
of lithium and batteries from state-owned enterprises,<br />
to tax breaks and easy financing from state-controlled<br />
banks.<br />
The rapid growth in China’s market share has sparked<br />
concern in the EU that Chinese cars will eventually<br />
threaten the bloc’s ability to produce its own green<br />
technology to combat climate change. Business<br />
groups and unions also fear that the jobs of 2.5 million<br />
auto industry workers could be put in jeopardy, as<br />
well as those of 10.3 million more people whose<br />
employment depends indirectly on EV production.<br />
Talks continue between the EU and China and<br />
the duties can be lifted if they reach a satisfactory<br />
agreement, but officials on both sides have pointed to<br />
differences.<br />
Discussions have been focused on minimum prices<br />
that would replace the duties and force carmakers<br />
in China to sell vehicles at a certain cost to offset<br />
subsidies.<br />
Dombrovskis said the EU remains “open to a<br />
possible alternative solution that would be effective<br />
in addressing the problems identified and WTOcompatible.”<br />
“We also noticed that the EU side indicated it<br />
would continue to negotiate with China on price<br />
commitments,” Chinese Commerce Ministry<br />
said, adding that Beijing hoped to find a “solution<br />
acceptable to both sides as soon as possible to avoid<br />
escalating trade friction.”<br />
The China Chamber of Commerce to the EU said it<br />
was profoundly disappointed by the “protectionist” and<br />
“arbitrary” EU measure and was disheartened by the<br />
lack of substantial progress in negotiations to find an<br />
alternative to tariffs.<br />
It urged Brussels and Beijing “to accelerate talks<br />
on establishing minimum prices and, ultimately, to<br />
eliminate these tariffs.”<br />
The EU, however, faces China’s retaliation. China<br />
already said on Oct. 8 it would impose provisional<br />
tariffs on brandy imported from the EU.<br />
Beijing has also launched probes into EU subsidies of<br />
some dairy and pork products imported into China.<br />
Trade tensions between China and the EU are not<br />
limited to electric cars, with Brussels also investigating<br />
Chinese subsidies for solar panels and wind turbines.<br />
The EU is not alone in levying heavy tariffs on Chinese<br />
electric cars.<br />
Canada and the United States have, in recent months,<br />
imposed much higher tariffs of 100% on Chinese<br />
electric car imports.<br />
It remains to be seen what impact tariffs will have on<br />
consumer prices. Some producers may be able to<br />
absorb them at least partially.<br />
In the first nine months of <strong>2024</strong>, China’s EV exports<br />
to the EU were down 7% from a year earlier, but<br />
they have surged by more than a third in August and<br />
September, ahead of the tariffs, data from the China<br />
Passenger Car Association show.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
33
Autotech <strong>2024</strong> Cairo heralds new<br />
horizons for automotive industry<br />
Autotech is the definitive platform that brings<br />
together the biggest trade professionals in the<br />
automotive aftermarket and feeding industries at Cairo<br />
International Convention Centre.<br />
It is the place to expand your business through<br />
networking with the main industry players and gather<br />
insight into future market trends.<br />
Over the course of 3 days, Autotech unites<br />
top decision makers specializing in all areas of<br />
manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing,<br />
and installation of vehicle parts, chemicals, equipment,<br />
accessories, and more.<br />
Whether you are a producer, manufacturer or an<br />
importer interested in the automotive industry,<br />
Autotech will connect you with the right suppliers that<br />
match your needs and offer you the opportunity to<br />
enter an important regional market.<br />
The Fair which covers the full range of automobile,<br />
truck and bus parts, equipment, components,<br />
accessories, tools, and services continues to bring<br />
world renowned manufacturers, suppliers and service<br />
providers in touch with one of the most important<br />
growing markets in the world. The markets targeted by<br />
the Fair are widely recognised as the most attractive in<br />
the world in terms of future potential.<br />
Cairo International Convention Centre is located<br />
in Nasr City, Cairo Governorate, Egypt. It offers<br />
over 20,000 square metres of exhibit space as well<br />
as flexible meeting rooms, ranging from smaller<br />
spaces suitable for events for up to 50 people, to an<br />
auditorium accommodating 2,500 persons.<br />
The Turkish automotive supplier industry, displaying its<br />
diverse range of products during the Fair, manufactures<br />
almost all types of parts, components and spare<br />
parts such as engines and engine parts, power train<br />
parts and components, brake and clutch parts and<br />
components, hydraulic and pneumatic systems,<br />
suspension systems, security systems, rubber and<br />
plastic parts, chassis, frames and parts, casting<br />
and forging, electrical equipment and parts, lighting<br />
systems, accumulator batteries, seats etc.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
36
Hyundai begins producing<br />
electric SUVs at Georgia plant<br />
Hyundai has begun producing electric SUVs in<br />
Georgia less than two years after breaking ground on<br />
its sprawling, $7.6 billion manufacturing plant west<br />
of Savannah. Hyundai’s factory in Georgia held an<br />
“employee-focused celebration” as its first EV for<br />
commercial sale rolled off the assembly line, said Bianca<br />
Johnson, spokesperson for Hyundai Motor Group<br />
Metaplant America.<br />
“After validating its production processes to ensure<br />
its vehicles meet Hyundai Motor Group’s high quality<br />
standards, HMGMA has started initial production of<br />
customer vehicles ahead of schedule,” Johnson said.<br />
Hyundai has said it will produce up to 300,000 EVs per<br />
year in Georgia, as well as the batteries that power them.<br />
The first vehicles being produced at the Georgia site are<br />
2025 models of Hyundai’s Ioniq 5 electric SUVs .<br />
Johnson said those American-made EVs will arrive at<br />
U.S. dealerships before the end of this year.<br />
During the first half of <strong>2024</strong>, the Ioniq 5 was America’s<br />
second-best-selling electric vehicle not made by industry<br />
leader Tesla.<br />
Hyundai rushed to start making EVs in Georgia within<br />
two years of groundbreaking, spurred by federal electric<br />
vehicle incentives that reward domestic production.<br />
The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in 2022 with<br />
provisions intended to combat climate change, includes<br />
a tax credit that saves EV buyers up to $7,500, but<br />
only on cars made in North America with domestic<br />
batteries. Though Hyundai executives complained the<br />
law was unfair, Hyundai President and Global Chief<br />
Operating Officer Jose Munoz has also said it caused<br />
the automaker to push to open sooner in Georgia.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
38
Swedish battery maker<br />
Northvolt to cut 1,600 jobs<br />
Sweden’s cash-strapped electric car battery maker<br />
Northvolt said it would cut a quarter of its staff in the<br />
country, as it struggles with strained finances and a<br />
slowdown in demand.<br />
The loss of 1,600 jobs in Sweden comes as electric<br />
car sales slump in Europe and the continent lags far<br />
behind China in battery production.<br />
“While overall momentum for electrification remains<br />
strong, we need to make sure that we take the right<br />
actions at the right time in response to headwinds in<br />
the automotive market, and wider industrial climate,”<br />
Northvolt CEO Peter Carlsson said in a statement.<br />
He added that Northvolt needed to “focus all energy<br />
and investments into our core business.”<br />
Northvolt, which warned on Sept. 9 that cuts were<br />
coming, said that following “initial steps” of a strategic<br />
review it estimated that proposed cost-saving<br />
measures would result in about 1,000 redundancies<br />
at its primary Skelleftea plant – where an expansion<br />
project would be suspended – another 400 in the city<br />
of Vasteras and 200 in the Swedish capital Stockholm.<br />
“The rescoping of operations is critical to ensure a<br />
sustainable operation and cost base,” Northvolt said.<br />
It added that “to achieve this a workforce reduction<br />
of approximately 20% at a global level, and 25% in<br />
Sweden is required.”<br />
The company employs 6,500 people, according to its<br />
website.<br />
In mid-September, Swedish Prime Minister Ulf<br />
Kristersson said the government had no plans to<br />
intervene to rescue Northvolt.<br />
The Swedish company has secured $15 billion of credit<br />
and capital.<br />
Northvolt has been seen as a cornerstone of European<br />
attempts to catch up with China and the United States<br />
in the production of battery cells, a crucial component<br />
of lower-emission cars.<br />
Europe accounts for just 3% of global battery cell<br />
production but has set its sights on 25% of the market<br />
by the end of the decade.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
40
Auto industry revises forecasts<br />
due to weak demand in Europe<br />
The <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’ Association (OSD) has<br />
revised downward its production and export forecasts<br />
for <strong>2024</strong> due to the contraction in the European<br />
market, says Cengiz Eroldu, the association’s<br />
president. “We are aiming to end <strong>2024</strong> with 1 million<br />
units of exports, while our production projection for<br />
this year is between 1.3 million and 1.5 million units,”<br />
Eroldu said.<br />
Turkish carmakers’ total production declined by 6.9<br />
percent year-on-year in January-September from a<br />
year ago to 1 million units, according to data from<br />
OSD. The automotive sector is Türkiye’s largest<br />
exporting industry, directly employing 500,000 people.<br />
In terms of production, the Turkish automotive industry<br />
is one of the largest in the European Union.<br />
In the first nine months of <strong>2024</strong>, 657,148 passenger<br />
cars were manufactured, down 4.5 percent compared<br />
with the same period of 2023. Passenger car<br />
production fell 4.5 percent from August.<br />
The auto market shrank 1.5 percent annually in the first<br />
nine months, when a total of 881,442 vehicles were<br />
sold, with passenger car sales rising 0.9 percent yearon-year<br />
to 673,000.<br />
In September alone, vehicle sales were down 12<br />
percent to 89,000, while passenger car sales were<br />
down nearly 15 percent annually to 67,434 units.<br />
The share of domestically produced passenger cars in<br />
total sales declined below 30 percent in September for<br />
the first time in 10 years, said Eroldu.<br />
Pointing out the some 7 percent decline in production,<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
42
Eroldu said this was mostly due to the fact that local<br />
producers “are loosing ground” in the domestic<br />
market. Local carmakers have been going through<br />
difficult times in the last couple of months in the face of<br />
weak demand.<br />
The combined net income of eight listed automotive<br />
companies plunged 40 percent year-on-year in the first<br />
half of <strong>2024</strong> to 28.1 billion Turkish Liras ($820 million).<br />
Local carmakers shipped nearly 730,000 vehicles to<br />
foreign markets in January-September, marking a 0.6<br />
percent decline annually, showed OSD data. Their<br />
export revenues, however, rose 2 percent to $26.7<br />
billion.<br />
Passenger car deliveries to foreign markets fell 1.4<br />
percent year-on-year to 467,000 units, generating<br />
$7.8e billion in export revenues, down 1.3 percent.<br />
In September alone, the industry’s total production<br />
dropped 5.4 percent from a year ago to 123,445 units,<br />
with passenger car output falling 2.7 percent to 86,000<br />
units.<br />
This followed the 40 percent decline in auto production<br />
in August, when passenger car production was down<br />
26.7 percent annually.<br />
Meanwhile, Eroldu suggested establishing a “green<br />
fund” to assist consumers in disposing of their<br />
old cars, which account for 95 percent of vehicle<br />
emissions.<br />
There were more than 30 million registered motor<br />
vehicles in Türkiye as of August, and a third of them<br />
— around 10 million — are vehicles older than 13<br />
years. Instead of offering a reduction in the special<br />
consumption tax to encourage people to replace<br />
scrap cars with new vehicles, a “green fund” may<br />
be produced by the Environment Ministry to provide<br />
financial support, Eroldu said.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
44
Exports increase most to Australia,<br />
New Zealand in 8 months<br />
Türkiye’s exports to Australia and New Zealand soared<br />
26 percent in the January-August period from a year<br />
ago, marking the biggest increase among all country<br />
groups, while Europe remained the largest export<br />
market.<br />
Shipments to Australia and New Zealand amounted<br />
to $828 million in the first eight months of <strong>2024</strong>, a 0.5<br />
percent share in Türkiye’s overall export revenues.<br />
South America came second with an annual increase<br />
of 18.1 percent to $1.96 billion, according to a study<br />
by the Trade Ministry on the geographical analysis of<br />
export markets.<br />
Exports to Asia rose 10.8 percent year-on-year in<br />
the January-August period in <strong>2024</strong>, the third highest<br />
increase, to $1.32 billion.<br />
Europe absorbed 56.9 percent of Türkiye’s exports<br />
in January-August. In the first 8 months of <strong>2024</strong>,<br />
the country’s exports to European nations grew 2.5<br />
percent annually to $97.2 billion.The annualized<br />
exports to European countries amounted to $146.3<br />
billion as of August. The share of the Near and Middle<br />
East region in exports was 16.8 percent, or $28.7<br />
billion, while Africa came third at 8.1 percent or $13.8<br />
billion. Asia and North America ranked fourth and fifth<br />
at 7.9 percent ($13.55 billion) and 6.8 percent ($11.65<br />
billion) of increases from a year ago, respectively.<br />
The ministry said that exports to countries with which<br />
Türkiye has a free trade agreement surged 14.1<br />
percent year-on-year to $25.1 billion.<br />
Exports to neighboring countries increased by 10.8<br />
percent to $22 billion.<br />
Türkiye’s overall exports rose by 3.9 percent year-onyear<br />
in January-August to $170.8 billion. The 12-month<br />
trailing exports amounted to $262 billion as of August.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
46
Biden seeks to ban sale of vehicles<br />
using Chinese, Russian technology<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
48<br />
The Biden administration proposed a ban on the sale<br />
of connected and autonomous vehicles in the U.S. that<br />
are equipped with Chinese and Russian software and<br />
hardware, with the stated goal of protecting national<br />
security and American drivers.<br />
The measure is proactive but critical, the U.S.<br />
Commerce Department said, given that all the bells<br />
and whistles in cars, like microphones, cameras,<br />
GPS tracking and Bluetooth technology, could<br />
make Americans more vulnerable to bad actors and<br />
potentially expose personal information, from the home<br />
address of drivers, to where their children go to school.<br />
In extreme situations, a foreign adversary could shut<br />
down or take simultaneous control of multiple vehicles<br />
operating in the United States, causing crashes and<br />
blocking roads, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina<br />
Raimondo told reporters.<br />
“This is not about trade or economic advantage,”<br />
Raimondo said. “This is a strictly national security<br />
action. The good news is right now, we don’t have<br />
many Chinese or Russian cars on our road.”<br />
But Raimondo said Europe and other regions in<br />
the world where Chinese vehicles have become<br />
commonplace very quickly should serve as “a<br />
cautionary tale” for the U.S.<br />
Security concerns around the extensive softwaredriven<br />
functions in Chinese vehicles have arisen in<br />
Europe, where Chinese electric cars have rapidly<br />
gained market share.<br />
“Who controls these data flows and software updates<br />
is a far from trivial question, the answers to which<br />
encroach on matters of national security, cybersecurity,
and individual privacy,” Janka Oertel, director of the<br />
Asia program at the European Council on Foreign<br />
Relations, wrote on the council’s website.<br />
Vehicles are now “mobility platforms” that monitor<br />
driver and passenger behavior and track their<br />
surroundings.<br />
A senior administration official said that it is clear<br />
from the terms of service contracts included with the<br />
technology that data from vehicles ends up in China.<br />
The rules, if confirmed, would mark the latest<br />
escalation of a simmering trade row between the U.S.<br />
and China.<br />
Shortly after the announcement, China warned the U.S.<br />
not to take “discriminatory actions” against its firms.<br />
China urged “the U.S. to respect market principles<br />
and provide an open, fair, transparent, and nondiscriminatory<br />
business environment for Chinese<br />
enterprises,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian<br />
said.<br />
“China opposes the U.S.’s broadening of the concept<br />
of national security and the discriminatory actions<br />
taken against Chinese companies and products,” Lin<br />
said.<br />
“China will resolutely safeguard its legitimate rights and<br />
interests,” he added.<br />
Raimondo said that the U.S. won’t wait until its roads<br />
are populated with Chinese or Russian cars.<br />
“We’re issuing a proposed rule to address these new<br />
national security threats before suppliers, automakers<br />
and car components linked to China or Russia become<br />
commonplace and widespread in the U.S. automotive<br />
sector,” Raimondo said.<br />
It is difficult to know when China could reach that<br />
level of saturation, a senior administration official said,<br />
but the Commerce Department says China hopes to<br />
enter the U.S. market, and several Chinese companies<br />
have already announced plans to enter the automotive<br />
software space.<br />
The Commerce Department added Russia to the<br />
regulations since the country is trying to “breathe new<br />
life into its auto industry,” senior administration officials<br />
said on the call.<br />
The proposed rule would prohibit the import and<br />
sale of vehicles with Russia and China-manufactured<br />
software and hardware that would allow the vehicle to<br />
communicate externally through Bluetooth, cellular,<br />
satellite, or Wi-Fi modules.<br />
It would also prohibit the sale or import of software<br />
components made in Russia or the People’s Republic<br />
of China that collectively allow a highly autonomous<br />
vehicle to operate without a driver behind the wheel.<br />
The ban would include vehicles made in the U.S. using<br />
Chinese and Russian technology.<br />
The proposed rule would apply to all vehicles, but<br />
would exclude those not used on public roads, such as<br />
agricultural or mining vehicles.<br />
Commerce officials met with all the major auto<br />
companies around the world while it drafted the<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
49
proposed rule to better understand supply chain<br />
networks, according to senior administration officials,<br />
and also met with a variety of industry associations.<br />
While there is minimal Chinese and Russian software<br />
deployed in the U.S, the issue is more complicated<br />
for hardware. That’s why Commerce officials said the<br />
prohibitions on the software would take effect for the<br />
2027 model year and the prohibitions on hardware<br />
would take effect for the model year of 2030, or Jan. 1,<br />
2029, for units without a model year.<br />
The Commerce Department is inviting public<br />
comments, which are due 30 days after publication of<br />
a rule before it’s finalized. That should happen by the<br />
end of the Biden administration.<br />
The new rule follows steps taken by the Biden<br />
administration to crack down on cheap products sold<br />
out of China, including electric vehicles, expanding<br />
a push to reduce U.S. dependence on Beijing and<br />
bolster homegrown industry.<br />
In May, Washington unveiled steep tariff hikes<br />
on Chinese imports like electric vehicles and<br />
semiconductors.<br />
The tariff hikes hit $18 billion worth of Chinese imports,<br />
targeting strategic sectors like EVs, batteries, critical<br />
minerals and medical products.<br />
The tariff rate on EVs is set to quadruple to 100% this<br />
year, while the tariff for semiconductors will surge from<br />
25% to 50% by next year.<br />
Those plans were finalized, ahead of <strong>November</strong>’s<br />
presidential election, where both Democrats and<br />
Republicans are seeking to show a tough stance<br />
on China as competition between both countries<br />
intensifies. The tariff hikes on the $18 billion worth of<br />
goods were taken after a review of levies imposed<br />
under then-president Donald Trump, which impacted<br />
some $300 billion in goods from China.<br />
Apart from tariff increases, including those on solar<br />
cells, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office confirmed<br />
that a 50% duty on semiconductors – a sharp rise from<br />
before – would start in 2025.<br />
Biden has accused Beijing of “cheating” rather than<br />
competing on trade.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
50
Tesla unveils long-awaited robotaxi,<br />
self-driving bus<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
52<br />
Tesla revealed its much-anticipated robotaxi at a<br />
Hollywood studio, but fans eager to get their hands on<br />
the new electric vehicle will need to wait until at least<br />
2026 before it becomes available.<br />
CEO Elon Musk pulled up to a stage at the Warner<br />
Bros. studio lot in one of the company’s “Cybercabs,”<br />
telling the crowd that the sleek, artificial intelligencepowered<br />
vehicles don’t have steering wheels or pedals.<br />
He also expressed confidence in the progress the<br />
company has made on autonomous driving technology<br />
that makes it possible for vehicles to drive without<br />
human intervention.<br />
Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full<br />
Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts<br />
about its reliability.<br />
“We’ll move from supervised Full Self-Driving to<br />
unsupervised Full Self-Driving. where you can fall<br />
asleep and wake up at your destination,” he said. “It’s<br />
going to be a glorious future.”<br />
Tesla expects the Cybercabs to cost under $30,000,<br />
Musk said. He estimated that the vehicles would<br />
become available in 2026, then added “before 2027.”<br />
The company also expects to make the Full Self-<br />
Driving technology available on its popular Model 3<br />
and Model Y vehicles in Texas and California next year.<br />
“If they’re going to eventually get to robotaxis, they<br />
first need to have success with the unsupervised FSD<br />
at the current lineup,” said Seth Goldstein, equity<br />
strategist at Morningstar Research.<br />
“Tonight’s event showed that they’re ready to take that<br />
step forward.”<br />
When Tesla will actually take that step, however, has<br />
led to more than a little anxiety for investors who see<br />
other automakers deploying similar technology right<br />
now. Shares of Tesla Inc. tumbled 9% at the opening<br />
bell.<br />
Waymo, the autonomous vehicle unit of Alphabet<br />
Inc., is carrying passengers in vehicles without human<br />
safety drivers in Phoenix and other areas. General<br />
Motors’ Cruise self-driving unit had been running<br />
robotaxis in San Francisco until a crash last year<br />
involving one of its vehicles.<br />
Also, Aurora Innovation said it will start hauling freight<br />
in fully autonomous semis on Texas freeways by year’s
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
end. Another autonomous semi company, Gatik, plans<br />
to haul freight autonomously by the end of 2025.<br />
“Tesla yet again claimed it is a year or two away from<br />
actual automated driving – just as the company has<br />
been claiming for a decade. Indeed, Tesla’s whole<br />
event had a 2014 vibe, except that in 2014 there<br />
were no automated vehicles actually deployed on<br />
public roads,” Bryant Walker Smith, a University of<br />
South Carolina law professor who studies automated<br />
vehicles, told The Associated Press (AP) in an email.<br />
“Now there are real AVs carrying real people on real<br />
roads, but none of those vehicles are Teslas. Tonight<br />
did not change this reality; it only made the irony more<br />
glaring.”<br />
Tesla had 20 or so Cybercabs on hand and offered<br />
event attendees the opportunity to take rides inside the<br />
movie studio lot – not on Los Angeles’ roads.<br />
At the presentation, which was dubbed “We, Robot”<br />
and was streamed live on Tesla’s website and X, Musk<br />
also revealed a sleek minibus-looking vehicle that, like<br />
the Cybercab, would be self-driving and can carry up<br />
to 20 passengers.<br />
The company also trotted out several of its black and<br />
white Optimus humanoid robots, which walked a few<br />
feet from the attendees before showing off dance<br />
moves in a futuristic-looking gazebo.<br />
Musk estimated that the robots would cost between<br />
$28,000-$30,000 and would be able to babysit, mow<br />
lawns, fetch groceries, among other tasks.<br />
“Whatever you can think of, it will do,” he said.<br />
The unveiling of the Cybercab comes as Musk tries to<br />
persuade investors that his company is more about AI<br />
and robotics as it labors to sell its core products, an<br />
aging lineup of electric vehicles.<br />
Tesla’s model lineup is struggling and isn’t likely to be<br />
refreshed until late next year at the earliest, TD Cowen<br />
analyst Jeff Osborne wrote in a research note.<br />
Osborne also noted that, in TD Cowen’s view, the<br />
“politicization of Elon” is tarnishing the Tesla brand<br />
among Democrat buyers in the U.S.<br />
Musk has endorsed Republican presidential candidate<br />
Donald Trump and has pushed many conservative<br />
causes. He joined Trump at a Pennsylvania rally.<br />
Musk has been saying for more than five years that<br />
a fleet of robotaxis is near, allowing Tesla owners to<br />
make money by having their cars carry passengers<br />
while they’re not in use by the owners. Musk said that<br />
Tesla owners will be able to put their cars into service<br />
on a company robotaxi network.<br />
But he has acknowledged that past predictions for the<br />
use of autonomous driving proved too optimistic. In<br />
2019, he promised the fleet of autonomous vehicles by<br />
the end of 2020.<br />
The announcement comes as U.S. safety regulators<br />
are investigating Full Self-Driving and Autopilot based<br />
on evidence that it has a weak system for making sure<br />
human drivers pay attention.<br />
In addition, the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety<br />
Administration (NHTSA) forced Tesla to recall Full Self-<br />
Driving in February because it allowed speeding and<br />
violated other traffic laws, especially near intersections.<br />
Tesla was to fix the problems with an online software<br />
update. Last April in Snohomish County, Washington,<br />
near Seattle, a Tesla using Full Self-Driving hit and<br />
killed a motorcyclist, authorities said. The Tesla<br />
driver told authorities that he was using the system<br />
while looking at his phone when the car rear-ended<br />
the motorcyclist. The motorcyclist was pronounced<br />
dead at the scene, authorities said. NHTSA says it’s<br />
evaluating information on the fatal crash from Tesla and<br />
law enforcement officials.<br />
The Justice Department also has sought information<br />
from Tesla about Full Self-Driving and Autopilot, as well<br />
as other items.<br />
54
Türkiye pitches inflation, current<br />
account progress to investors<br />
Türkiye’s top economy official used a trip to New York<br />
to reassure business leaders and investors that the<br />
country’s disinflation process had begun in earnest,<br />
while affirming that the government had no plans for<br />
additional taxes.<br />
Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek<br />
pitched the progress of Türkiye’s economic program<br />
during a series of meetings with businesspeople and<br />
major investors on the sidelines of the United Nations<br />
General Assembly.<br />
Addressing an event, Şimşek acknowledged that<br />
inflation was still high but reiterated expectations it<br />
would see a significant decline by 2025, as tighter<br />
monetary policy begin to show its delayed effects.<br />
“The disinflation process has now begun in a<br />
sustained manner. On one hand, inflation will decrease<br />
significantly in 2025, supported by the delayed effects<br />
of monetary policy. On the other hand, fiscal policy and<br />
income policies will become more supportive,” said the<br />
minister.<br />
Annual inflation dipped below 52% in August,<br />
compared to its peak of 75% this May. The<br />
government forecasts it will fall below 42% by yearend.<br />
The central bank has lifted its key policy rate by 4,150<br />
basis points since June 2023 to counter overheated<br />
demand, the main driver of inflation.<br />
It has held the one-week repo rate unchanged at 50%<br />
since this March. It said it remained highly attentive<br />
to inflation risks but dropped a reference to potential<br />
tightening. The wording change provided the first<br />
guidance signaling that rate cuts will eventually come.<br />
Şimşek said inflation is expected to fall to between<br />
40%-42% this year, before dropping below 20% next<br />
year and to single digits by 2025.<br />
“We have drawn a path for inflation this year, and<br />
even in a year marked by elections and geopolitical<br />
turbulence, we met many of our targets,” said the<br />
minister.<br />
In his meeting with top executives from leading U.S.<br />
investment banks such as Goldman Sachs, Citigroup,<br />
and Morgan Stanley, Şimşek emphasized the<br />
government’s focus on fiscal discipline and tackling the<br />
informal economy without resorting to new taxes.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
58
He also met with Nick Clegg, global affairs head<br />
of Meta Platforms, and Makhtar Diop, chair of the<br />
International Finance Corporation (IFC), to discuss<br />
further collaboration.<br />
At a roundtable hosted by Goldman Sachs, Şimşek<br />
addressed 15 portfolio managers from some of the<br />
world’s largest funds, highlighting Turkey’s progress in<br />
reducing the current account deficit.<br />
“Our current account deficit, once a source of fragility,<br />
has shrunk from $57 billion to under $20 billion due<br />
to the measures we’ve taken,” Şimşek said. He<br />
also noted that further steps would be necessary to<br />
permanently eliminate this concern.<br />
Şimşek underscored that the government’s efforts to<br />
reduce the budget deficit were showing results, having<br />
brought it down to 5.2% of gross domestic product<br />
(GDP).<br />
Looking ahead, he said the government would prioritize<br />
combating the informal economy to produce a fairer<br />
business environment.<br />
“From now on, rather than focusing on increasing tax<br />
rates, we will prioritize the fight against the informal<br />
economy. Informality means injustice. It prevents<br />
access to finance, keeps businesses small-scale, and<br />
leads to inefficiency,” Şimşek noted.<br />
“Therefore, to ensure a fair, competitive environment,<br />
we will intensify efforts against informality. If you’re<br />
operating informally, know that sooner or later, the tax<br />
authorities will come knocking on your door.”<br />
Şimşek also recalled improvement in the central bank’s<br />
foreign exchange reserves, which stood at around $95<br />
billion.<br />
“This improvement reflects the strong confidence in<br />
our program both domestically and internationally,” he<br />
stated.<br />
“Türkiye has moved beyond seeing reserves as a<br />
source of concern.”<br />
Şimşek also highlighted an improvement in access to<br />
external financing.<br />
“We are solidifying the foundations for healthier,<br />
sustainable growth. While there is a temporary<br />
slowdown in growth, Türkiye’s structure will strengthen.<br />
Our ultimate goal is sustainable high growth in Türkiye,<br />
and we will steer back toward that path,” he said.<br />
Şimşek stressed the government was initiating<br />
a structural transformation process to make the<br />
improvement in the current account permanent.<br />
“The production of natural gas and oil in Türkiye will<br />
help reduce our current account deficit. Progress in<br />
this area, along with green transformation and new<br />
industrial policies, could potentially lead Türkiye from a<br />
current account deficit to a surplus,” he noted.<br />
“We aim to significantly reduce not only inflation but<br />
also external vulnerabilities.”<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
60
Waymo ramps up robotaxi<br />
push with $5.6 bln in funding<br />
Waymo has raised $5.6 billion from investors to<br />
expand a robotaxi program now operating in Los<br />
Angeles, Phoenix and San Francisco. The investment<br />
round was led by Google-parent Alphabet, which<br />
spun the company off from a research unit and<br />
retains controlling interest, Waymo said. The list of<br />
Waymo backers includes Silicon Valley venture capital<br />
powerhouse Andreessen Horowitz, along with Fidelity<br />
and Silver Lake.<br />
Waymo declined to disclose the value placed on the<br />
company during the investment round. It raised $3.2<br />
billion in 2020 and $2.5 billion in 2021.<br />
Waymo started as a “moonshot” project in Google’s X<br />
lab in 2009 and was spun off into a separate company<br />
in 2016. Waymo One ride-hailing services operate in<br />
San Francisco, Phoenix, and Los Angeles, with the<br />
company saying it plans to expand to the cities of<br />
Austin and Atlanta as part of a partnership with rideshare<br />
platform Uber. While Waymo competitors include<br />
General Motors subsidiary Cruise, as well as Amazonowned<br />
Zoox, it has been moving steadily along the<br />
road to making robotaxis more common.<br />
Elon Musk recently unveiled what he said was a<br />
robotaxi capable of self-driving, predicting it would<br />
be available by 2027 -- about a decade after he first<br />
promised an autonomous vehicle.<br />
Waymo, on the other hand, said its robotaxi service<br />
already provides 100,000 paid rides weekly. The<br />
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration early<br />
this year launched an investigation into Waymo after<br />
reports some self-driving cars hit stationary objects.<br />
Robotaxis in San Francisco have also been targeted by<br />
vandals and activists opposed to the innovation.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
62
New medium-term program sees<br />
3.5 percent growth this year<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
64<br />
Türkiye’s economy is expected to grow by 3.5 percent<br />
this year before the GDP expansion accelerates to 4<br />
percent in 2025 and 4.5 percent in 2026, according<br />
to the government’s medium-term economic program<br />
revealed on Sept. 5.<br />
Unveiling the program, Vice President Cevdet Yilmaz<br />
said the growth projection for <strong>2024</strong> was revised<br />
downward by a 0.5 percentage point from the previous<br />
program due to rising geopolitical tensions in the<br />
region. The government’s economic growth target<br />
for 2027 is 5 percent. Several ministers, including<br />
Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek as well as Central<br />
Bank Governor Fatih Karahan, were also present at<br />
the launch of the program which covers the 2025-27<br />
period.<br />
“These targets aim to ensure that the economy reaches<br />
its potential growth capacity and achieves a stable<br />
growth trend in the long term,” Yilmaz said, stressing<br />
that the growth path aligns with the disinflation course.<br />
The GDP at current prices is expected to increase to<br />
44.2 trillion Turkish liras ($1.33 trillion) this year, up from<br />
26.5 trillion ($1.13 trillion) last year, he said.<br />
The program targets an 83.1 trillion liras ($1.77 trillion)<br />
GDP at current prices in 2027 and a $20,420 GDP per<br />
capita at current prices, Yilmaz noted. Stressing that<br />
the main objective of the program is to ensure price<br />
stability, Yilmaz said the government targets to bring<br />
consumer inflation down to 17.5 percent in 2025 from<br />
a projected inflation rate of 41.5 percent at the end of<br />
<strong>2024</strong>.<br />
In the previous program, the inflation targets for<br />
<strong>2024</strong> and 2025 were 33 percent and 15.2 percent,<br />
respectively. Türkiye’s new economic program<br />
forecasts that inflation rate would fall down to single<br />
digits, 9.7 percent in 2026 and 7 percent in 2027, he<br />
said. According to the latest data from the Turkish<br />
Statistical Institute (TÜİK), Türkiye’s annual consumer<br />
inflation rate eased to 51.97 percent in August, the<br />
lowest since July 2023.<br />
“The main macroeconomic projections and targets set<br />
out in the economic program, which we launched in<br />
September last year have been met to a great extent…<br />
This demonstrates the effectiveness and predictability<br />
of our program,” Yılmaz said.<br />
According to the new program, the budget deficit is<br />
projected to decrease from 4.9 percent of GDP in <strong>2024</strong><br />
to 3.1 percent in 2025. It is income in 2026 and down<br />
to 2.5 percent in 2027.
Türkiye’s crude<br />
steel output<br />
increases 4 percent<br />
Türkiye produced 3.1 million tons of crude steel,<br />
marking a 4 percent increase compared with July 2023,<br />
according to data from the World Steel Association.<br />
In June, the annual increase in the country’s steel<br />
output was 4.3 percent to 3.1 million tonnes.<br />
From January to July, the country’s steel output<br />
amounted to amounted to 21.7mn tons, pointing to a<br />
robust 14.9 percent increase from the same period of<br />
last year. Türkiye retained its position as the world’s<br />
eighth largest producer of crude steel after Germany,<br />
which increased its production by 4.5 percent annually<br />
to 22.5 million tons in the same period.<br />
World crude steel production for the 71 countries<br />
reporting to the World Steel Association was 152.8<br />
million tons, a 4.7 percent decrease compared to July<br />
2023. China was the top producer at 82.9 million tons,<br />
down 9 percent year-on-year, followed by India, which<br />
boosted its crude steel production by 6.8 percent yearon-year<br />
to 12.3 million tons.<br />
Japan’s production was down 3.8 percent to 7.1<br />
million tons, while the U.S.’s steel output increased 2.1<br />
percent to 6.9 million tons.<br />
In the first eight months of <strong>2024</strong>, global crude steel<br />
production amounted to 1.1 billion tons, exhibiting<br />
an annual decline of 0.7 percent, according to<br />
the association. The 71 countries reporting to the<br />
association accounted for approximately 98 percent of<br />
total world crude steel production in 2023.<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
68
Energy policies yielding results<br />
in boosting local production<br />
<strong>November</strong> <strong>2024</strong><br />
70<br />
Türkiye’s National Energy and Mining Policy is yielding<br />
results in reducing the country’s dependency on<br />
imported energy and boosting local production, Energy<br />
Minister Alparslan Bayraktar has said.<br />
Speaking at a gathering in the province of Osmaniye,<br />
the minister recalled the policy document was unveiled<br />
in 2016 and said: “We started to reap its fruits.”<br />
“In 2020, the gas that we searched for and found in<br />
the Black Sea with our own ships and engineers has<br />
started to be delivered to our homes. We meet the<br />
natural gas needs of 2.6 million households from the<br />
natural gas we produce in the Black Sea alone,” he<br />
said. The minister reminded that a floating production<br />
facility will arrive in the Sakarya Gas Field in the Black<br />
Sea at the end of this month, which will boost the<br />
output there to 20 million cubic meters.<br />
The floating facility will produce natural gas for 20<br />
years, he said, adding that production from the<br />
field will meet the natural gas needs of 10 million<br />
households.<br />
“We need to increase production and make other<br />
discoveries in the Black Sea,” Bayraktar said.<br />
Türkiye is a major importer not only of natural gas but<br />
also of oil, and is dependent on foreign oil, he stressed.<br />
The oil find in the Gabar region was the biggest<br />
discovery ever in the country, the minister said, noting<br />
that the production from Gabar is currently 47,000<br />
barrels/day.<br />
“We aim to increase the production there to 100,000<br />
barrels within the next year, and Türkiye will produce<br />
200,000 barrels by 2025. For that, we need more<br />
exploration,” Bayraktar said.