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T

TOPS

M

OF THE MONTH

TOMO

RETAIL REAL ESTATE

TOPS

OF THE

MONTH

Essential News About The Players In In

The Retail Real Property Estate Market In in Germany

THE HOTTEST DEALS +++

INTERVIEWS +++ STATEMENTS

+++ PARTICULARS +++

ANALYSES +++ PROJECTS

presented by HI-HEUTE.DE

June 2025

Shouting customers are increasingly making life difficult for retail workers.

Symbolic image: AdobeStock /LiezDesigns

Violence in retail is on the rise

More respect for employees demanded

Violence in the workplace is

no longer an exception for

many retail employees, but

rather a sad reality. This is

shown by a recent survey conducted

by the Austrian trade

union GPA. Almost half of

those surveyed have experienced

violence in the course of

their work in retail—around

one in ten in the past year

alone. Alarmingly, more than

half of those surveyed report

an increase in violence over

the past five years. A similar

picture is emerging in Germany

and Switzerland.

„Going shopping does not give

you a license to treat employees

disrespectfully. Anyone who

shouts at, insults, or threatens

people in retail is crossing a

line—legally, but above all, as a

human being,” emphasizes Barbara

Teiber, chairwoman of the

GPA. The incidents range from

loud shouting to sexual assault.

More than six out of ten employees

have been shouted at or

insulted, and over a third have

been threatened. Women are

particularly affected: four out

of ten report sexist jokes, one in

five has been verbally sexually

harassed, and one in 25 women

has been sexually assaulted at

work.

Respect

is not optional

More than half of employees

say they are barely able to cope

with the psychological demands

of their job, or can no longer

cope at all. Almost one in four

is considering leaving their job

because of violence. „This is

not about someone calling for

the second cash register or forgetting

to say ‘please’.

Commitment

to safety

It‘s about shouting, intimidation,

threats – situations that

have a lasting impact on employees.

Serious prevention, clear

procedures in the workplace

and, above all, a rethink in society

are needed,“ says Teiber.

The GPA is therefore calling

for the right to supervision, minimum

staffing levels during

peak times, violence prevention

officers for companies with 20

or more employees, and violence-free

workplaces. „Many

companies are already taking

steps, but a structured, longterm

commitment to safety and

respect is needed,” emphasizes

Sabine Grossensteiner, works

council member at Austrian

food retailer BILLA. „Violence

prevention cannot be a one-off

measure. It‘s about empowering

employees, listening to them,

and creating a working environment

that protects them.” „If

an employee is shouted at or

insulted by a customer, if she

feels alone with the stress after

a shift, that is unacceptable. We

need clear structures for dealing

with such incidents. And we

need employers who don‘t just

react when something happens,

but take preventive action. It‘s

about respect – not only from

customers, but also within companies,“

says Barbara Teiber.


Page 2 T O M

ANALYSES

June 2025

Aengevelt sees positive trends for the retail sector.

Retail consulting firm Aengevelt

believes the time is right

to invest more heavily in retail

real estate again. Despite

US tariff policy, fundamental

economic data has developed

much better than expected,

according to the Düsseldorfbased

specialists.

As predicted, the consumer climate

is initially brightening at a

low level, as is typical for consolidation,

but broad consumer

groups once again have good

reasons for significantly more

optimistic income expectations.

Aengevelt therefore forecasts a

further upturn in retail sales in

the second half of the year and,

in particular, a livelier Christmas

season than in the previous

two years.

Companies more

optimistic

After several weak years in a

row, the German retail sector

can once again look to the future

with more optimism, according

to Aengevelt‘s research department.

Economy

at a two-year high

Although the Bundesbank is

forecasting only minimal economic

growth of 0.2 percent for

2025, gross domestic product

already achieved unexpectedly

strong growth of 0.4 percent in

the first quarter of 2025 compared

with the previous quarter,

despite the US‘s anti-business

tariff policy. This was mainly

due to a sharp rise in orders

received by the manufacturing

sector in March, which increased

by a total of 3.6 percent,

with orders from abroad growing

by as much as 4.7 percent.

Companies‘ expectations have

also become significantly more

optimistic again. The stock market

has also reflected the now

more tangible economic upturn.

In view of the recent wage agreements

and the noticeable decline

in inflation, the majority of

private households are benefiting

from real wage growth. The

GfK index of income expectations

jumped from 4.3 to 10.4

points in May compared with

the previous month. The economic

expectations index improved

from 7.2 to 13.1 points in

the same period, reaching a twoyear

high. Overall, the GfK consumer

climate index recorded a

moderate increase from -24.3 to

-20.8 in May compared with the

previous month.

Increased

consumption

The HDE consumption barometer,

which uses a different methodology

and already provides

estimates for June 2025, sees a

significantly more optimistic

mood among consumers. The

index value has risen since January

2025 from 94.99 to 97.35

points in June, the income index

from 96.99 to 102.80, the economic

index from 79.16 to 83.45

Symbolic image: AdobeStock / Syda Productions

More positive outlook for retail

Düsseldorf specialist Aengevelt sees favorable timing for investments

and the propensity to buy index

from 85.21 to 87.79, while the

savings index fell from 108.91

to 106.64, suggesting that many

consumer groups are once again

deliberately reducing their savings

and already consuming

more on a moderate basis.

Upturn

after a lean period

Dr. Wulff Aengevelt, managing

partner of DIP partner Aengevelt

Immobilien: „The leading

indicators show that consumer

sentiment is beginning to reflect

the improvements in the

fundamental data. After a long

lean period, an upturn in retail

sales is finally expected. From

a real estate perspective, this

means that the time has come

to think specifically about ways

to increase the attractiveness of

locations and amenities, expand

businesses, and even open new

ones, and to start preliminary

market research and consultations

for leases or investments.“


Page 3 T O M

TOP STATEMENT OF THE MONTH June 2025

TOP STATEMENT

June

„The duty-free allowance

must be abolished!

Customs authorities

need the appropriate

equipment and a clear

move toward digitization

in order to be able

to check the volume of

parcels from China, at

least on a reasonable

random basis.”

Alexander von Preen, President

of the German Trade Association

(HDE), in an article

for the German trade publication

DER HANDEL.



Page 5 T O M

CENTER MANAGEMENT June 2025

Numerous industry players and decision-makers come together at the ECE Retail & Placemakers Meeting.

ECE: Retail industry

gathering once again a top event

More than 20 years of networking and 60 years of expertise

More than 20 years of networking

and exchange – and more

than 60 years of experience

and expertise in the retail real

estate business: This combination

forms the framework for

the 21st edition of the international

retail meeting hosted

by ECE, which is celebrating

its 60th anniversary this year

and has been operating, leasing,

and developing shopping

centers since 1965.

At the ECE Retail & Placemakers

Meeting in Hamburg‘s

Fischauktionshalle – the largest

industry gathering of its kind –

around 800 decision-makers,

experts, and partners from the

retail, hospitality, placemaking,

and entertainment sectors are

once again meeting to discuss

current developments, new projects,

and exciting concepts in

the retail real estate sector.

This year, one focus is on networking

with international retailers

and the opportunities that

cross-border expansion offers

retailers, operators, investors,

and consumers.

International

networking

„As a leading shopping center

operator and landlord in the retail

sector in Europe, we have

been an important partner in the

expansion of retailers into new

markets for over sixty years.

We want to actively continue

this international networking in

order to bring exciting new concepts

to our centers and thus offer

added value for retailers, investors,

and visitors. Our Retail

Meeting is an excellent platform

for partnership-based exchange

on this topic,“ said Joanna Fisher,

CEO of ECE Marketplaces.

ECE was founded 60 years ago

by mail order pioneer Werner

Otto and brought the concept of

the modern shopping center to

Germany for the first time. Since

developing its first shopping

centers in Nuremberg and Hamburg,

among other locations, it

has become Europe‘s leading

service provider for shopping

center management.

Pioneer for

shopping centers

Today, ECE Marketplaces operates,

markets, and leases around

130 shopping centers and over

65 retail parks in Europe on behalf

of the respective owners

and continues to develop them

in close cooperation with them.

Since 2003, the company has

hosted the ECE Retail & Placemakers

Meeting once a year—

the largest industry networking

event in the retail sector.

T

TOPS

Essential News About The Players In In

The Retail Real Property Estate Market In in Germany

Photo: ECE

O M

OF THE MONTH

TOM

TOPS

OPS F THE ONTH

OF THE

RETAIL REAL ESTATE

IMPRINT

MONTH

Publisher:

Business News Group GmbH

Address:

Alexanderstraße 16

45130 Essen

Germany

Tel. 0049-201-874 55 28

Web: www.hi-heute.de

Mail: tom@hi-heute.de

Frequency of publication:

monthly

Circulation: approx. 5000 copies

sent by e-mail

Editorial team: Susanne Müller,

Thorsten Müller

Responsible in terms of press

law: Thorsten Müller

Layout: K4-PR, Essen

THE HOT

INTERVIE

+++ PART

ANALYSE

presente

March


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Tel. +49 162 7861-324 joaquin.jimenez.zabala@wisag.de


Page 7 T O M

ANALYSES June 2025

Shoplifting causes immense damage every year.

Symbolic image: AdobeStock /Moopingz

Gangs of thieves

are increasingly targeting retailers

Alarming study reveals inventory losses running into billions

Shoplifting – and the measures

taken to prevent it – have

been a problem for retailers

for as long as they have existed.

“Despite security measures

and employee training, anything

that isn‘t nailed down

gets stolen in stores. Organized

and professional shoplifting

in particular has caused

painful losses for retailers in

recent years,” explains Frank

Horst, EHIexpert for security

and inventory differences and

author of the study “Inventory

Differences 2025.”

Inventory losses amounted to

€4.95 billion in 2024, with gross

sales of around €495 billion.

This represents an increase of

around three percent compared

to the previous year. The average

level of inventory differences

as a percentage of net sales

deteriorated from 0.63 percent

to 0.64 percent in 2024, based

on the same population.

By far the largest share of inventory

differences is caused by

theft by customers, employees,

suppliers, and service personnel,

amounting to a total of €4.2

billion (2023: €4.1 billion). According

to the companies surveyed,

shoplifting by customers

accounts for around 2.95 billion

euros. Losses of 890 million euros

are attributed to the companies‘

own employees, and 370

million euros to the staff of suppliers

and service companies.

The economic damage resulting

from theft in the form of lost sales

tax amounts to around 570

million euros per year. Shoplifting

is increasingly being committed

in an organized manner.

Either as commissioned lone

perpetrators or in groups with

specific tasks. According to the

latest retailer survey, around

one-third, or almost one billion

euros, of the total damage is

attributable to such groups of

perpetrators. This represents an

increase of five percent compared

to the previous year.

Increased security

budgets

98 percent of all thefts are not

detected and therefore not reported.

Based on the average

loss from all reported thefts and

the losses identified during inventory,

it can be estimated that

around 24.5 million shoplifting

incidents worth €120 each go

undetected every year. Across

all sectors, retailers currently

spend an average of around 0.33

percent of their turnover on security

measures. This includes

external costs for article security

measures, camera surveillance,

detective services, test

purchases, and training measures,

as well as other security

measures such as theft-resistant

sales racks and software analysis

tools for data evaluation.

In total, the retail sector spends

€1.6 billion to reduce inventory

discrepancies. In view of the

high theft figures, one in four

retailers has increased its budget

for security measures.

Consumers are

also liable

Taking into account all internal

activities caused by the risk of

theft – such as setting up security

measures, inventory checks,

training, data analysis, camera

surveillance, and reporting theft

– a conservative estimate puts

the additional costs at €1.5 billion.

The total costs therefore amount

to 3.1 billion euros per year. Ultimately,

this means that all consumers

have to pay for the costs

of theft and its prevention (7.3

billion euros) at around 1.5 percent

of the retail price of every

purchase they make.


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Page 9 T O M

ANALYSES June 2025

Supermarkets rank

far ahead of other formats

Study reveals shopping behavior in food retail

Whether we are omnivores

or vegetarians, we all buy

food. But how and where we

shop depends largely on our

eating habits. This is confirmed

by the new KPMG Consumer

Barometer on shopping

behavior in food retail. The

barometer was developed in

collaboration with EHI. For

the study, 2,000 people in Germany

were surveyed for the

first time about the correlation

between their eating and

shopping habits.

„The German food retail sector

offers manufacturers and retailers

a valuable opportunity to

better understand and respond

to the wide range of consumption

patterns and dietary styles,”

says Stephan Fetsch, EMA

Head of Retail and Consumer

Goods and Partner at KPMG

in Germany. „Different types

of consumers shop differently,

influenced by their everyday

lives, personal values, and desire

for convenience. Our study

provides empirical insights for

retailers and helps them understand

and strategically address

complex consumer patterns,”

adds study author Dr. Tobias

Röding from EHI.

Gender-specific

differences

At 57.5%, omnivores – i.e.

people who eat everything –

make up the largest share of

consumers surveyed, with men

(62.6%) significantly more likely

to be omnivores than women

(52.3%). Flexitarians, who

consciously reduce their meat

consumption, account for 16.7

percent – their share is higher

among women at 19.2 percent

than among men at 14.1 percent.

Around a quarter of those surveyed

eat a primarily or entirely

plant-based diet, of which 8.5%

are vegetarian and 3.8% are vegan

– here too, with higher proportions

among women. Overall,

the study shows that there

are gender-specific differences

in consumption: men tend to eat

more meat, while women are

Supermarket or organic store? For German consumers, the decision depends on many factors – these

have now been broken down.

Photo: AdobeStock / Kristina

more likely to choose meat-reduced

or meat-free diets.

Backbone of the

food retail sector

Supermarkets are the most frequently

used shopping venues

and thus form the backbone of

brick-and-mortar food retail.

80.6% of respondents across

all dietary types shop there frequently

or very frequently. Discounters

follow closely behind

with 79.2%.

Supermarkets and discounters

also rank in the top two places

with similarly high scores

among omnivores, flexitarians,

vegetarians, and vegans. Around

one-fifth of all respondents

(20.6 percent) shop “frequently

to very frequently” in organic

stores, with 48.4 percent of vegan

customers and 36.2 percent

of vegetarian customers doing

so. Markets, farm shops, and

organic shops are less popular

among omnivores, with an average

of around 17 percent.

How we eat also influences how

often we shop: omnivores and

flexitarians shop an average

of 2.7 and 2.6 times per week,

respectively. Vegetarians go

grocery shopping 3.1 times per

week. Vegans top the rankings

with the highest frequency of

3.4 purchases per week. Compared

to omnivores, vegetarians

visit grocery stores around 15%

more often, and vegans around

25% more often.

Discount

campaigns

remain popular

It is not only eating habits that

influence our shopping and information

behavior. Gender,

age, and living environment

also play a role. The barometer

shows that people prefer different

channels to find out about

offers in food retail.

Digital discount and coupon

campaigns via apps are the most

frequently mentioned channel,

at 71.2 percent of all respondents.

Interest is particularly

pronounced in urban areas,

especially among women and in

the 34 to 49 age group. In-store

notices follow with 57.9 percent

and are particularly relevant for

younger target groups and in

urban areas.

The classic flyer remains significant

with 54.9 percent. Differences

are particularly evident

in two areas: flyers are significantly

less important for 18- to

33-year-olds than for the 50+

generation. There are clear gender

differences when it comes to

app discounts: women respond

significantly more strongly to

this format (75.5%) than men

(66.8%).

Factors

for success

„Shopping habits are as diverse

as consumers themselves. Those

who specifically take factors

such as proximity, good value

for money, digital services, and

sustainable solutions into account

are actively contributing

to shaping the future of retail,”

says Stephan Fetsch.


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Page 11 T O M

PARTICULARS June 2025

Karim Esch and Kirsten Ludwig. Photos: Union Investment

Union Investment reorganizes

its management team

Karim Esch and Kirsten Ludwig join the management team

Karim Esch will join the management

team of Union Investment

Real Estate GmbH

on July 1. At the same time,

Kirsten Ludwig will move up

to Union Investment Institutional

Property GmbH, which

is responsible for institutional

real estate business, where she

will take over Karim Esch‘s

responsibilities in fund management

for open-ended and

closed-ended real estate funds.

Karim Esch has many years

of experience in the real estate

fund business and will take

over responsibility for investment

management at Union

Investment. He succeeds Martin

Brühl, who left the company

in April at his own request.

Esch holds a degree in banking

and finance and a Master of

Finance in Real Estate. Most

recently, he was managing director

of sister company Union

Investment Institutional Property

GmbH, which specializes in

institutional clients. He began

his career at Union Investment

in 2011, having previously held

positions at Commerzbank,

Commerz Grundbesitz-Spezialfondsgesellschaft,

and Commerz

Real.

Experienced

transaction expert

“With Karim Esch, we are gaining

an experienced transaction

expert for the management

team,” explains André Haagmann,

Chairman of the Supervisory

Board of Union Investment

Real Estate GmbH and Union

Investment Institutional Property

GmbH.

„In the current situation in particular,

reliable and forward-looking

management of our real estate

fund companies is of great

importance.” Esch has extensive

qualifications in institutional

fund management and brings

the necessary expertise to his

new role.

Personnel

changes

In the new management structure,

Dr. Michael Bütter remains

Chairman of the Management

Board and, in addition to fund

management, is responsible for

strategy, legal affairs and communications.

Karim Esch will

take over investment management,

while Gerald Kremer will

remain responsible for control,

controlling, and data analytics.

Henrike Waldburg will continue

to be responsible for asset

and project management, while

Volker Noack will head the

areas of fund support, shared

fund services, risk management,

investment management, and

compliance.

Kirsten Ludwig is joining the

management team at Union Investment

Institutional Property

GmbH. She will take over the

fund management division for

open-ended and closed-ended

real estate funds (service KVG

and real estate umbrella funds)

on July 1, 2025. Ludwig, who

was born in Hamburg, started

her career at Bausparkasse

Schwäbisch Hall and KPMG.

From within our

own ranks

She joined Union Investment

in 2009, initially in investment

management and later in the

group‘s third-party business,

where she was responsible for

client services. In 2014, she

took on fund management responsibilities

and has headed

the department since 2021. “We

are delighted to be able to fill

this position from within our

own ranks in order to ensure

continuity for our institutional

investors,” said Haagmann.


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Page 13 T O M

MAP OF THE MONTH June 2025

Purchasing Power for Clothing and Shoes, Europe

The Geomarketing Map of the Month for June shows

the regional distribution of purchasing power for

clothing and shoes in Europe in 2024. According to

the latest study on GfK Purchasing Power for Retail

Product Lines, the average per capita purchasing

power for clothing and shoes in Europe is 772 euros.

However, there are significant differences between the

25 analyzed European countries: At 1,777 euros, Luxembourgers

spend the most money on fashion, whereas

Romanians, with an average spending potential

of 375 euros, make up the rear. There are also strong

regional differences within the respective countries.

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