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Market participants are<br />

advised <strong>to</strong> remain cautious<br />

in the coming fortnight.<br />

In the previous fortnight, the Reserve Bank of India<br />

(RBI) hiked interest rates <strong>to</strong> control the menace of<br />

inflation, which has been on a steep rise since the<br />

past few months.<br />

The central bank, in its third quarter Monetary Policy<br />

Review, raised its key policy rates by 25 basis points. The<br />

repo rate was hiked <strong>to</strong> 6.5% and the reverse repo rate <strong>to</strong><br />

5.5%, in line with market expectations. But indications of<br />

further rate tightening and other concerns caused a fall in<br />

the markets.<br />

The quarterly results of most companies announced so<br />

far, have met market expectations. But how far the<br />

companies will manage <strong>to</strong> sustain themselves in the<br />

backdrop of rising commodity prices and higher interest<br />

rates, which could affect margins in the coming quarter,<br />

needs <strong>to</strong> be seen.<br />

Market participants are advised <strong>to</strong> remain cautious.<br />

However, they can look at buying around the support<br />

level of 5,420 on the Nifty. If it breaks this level, inves<strong>to</strong>rs<br />

are advised <strong>to</strong> avoid fresh buying. On the upper side,<br />

the Nifty has resistance at the 5,750 and 5,900 levels.<br />

S<strong>to</strong>cks like Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd<br />

(LTP: `294), Panacea Biotec Ltd (LTP: `195.20), Gujarat<br />

Beyond Market 04th Feb ’11<br />

State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (LTP: `338.35), Praj<br />

Industries Ltd (LTP: `74.70) and IFB Industries Ltd<br />

(LTP: `113.50) have declared positive results for the<br />

December quarter. These s<strong>to</strong>cks, therefore, can be bought<br />

at the current prices as well as on declines from an investment<br />

perspective.<br />

There is a fear that the ongoing crisis in Egypt may<br />

spread <strong>to</strong> other Middle East regions, leading <strong>to</strong> a rise in<br />

crude oil prices, thus negatively impacting India. Other<br />

geopolitical tensions could also upset the markets.<br />

But, internal problems pose a bigger threat <strong>to</strong> the<br />

economy and markets at large, instead of the prevailing<br />

global issueS.<br />

Sensex: 18,327.76<br />

Nifty: 5,505.90<br />

(As on 31st Jan ’11)<br />

Disclaimer<br />

It is safe <strong>to</strong> assume that my clients and I may have an investment interest in<br />

the s<strong>to</strong>cks/sec<strong>to</strong>rs discussed. Inves<strong>to</strong>rs are required <strong>to</strong> take an independent<br />

decision before investing. Investment in equity is subject <strong>to</strong> market risk. Our<br />

research should not be considered as an advertisement or advice, professional<br />

or otherwise. The inves<strong>to</strong>r is requested <strong>to</strong> take in<strong>to</strong> consideration all the risk<br />

fac<strong>to</strong>rs including their financial condition, suitability <strong>to</strong> risk return profile and<br />

the like and take professional advice before investing.<br />

It’s simplified...<br />

5

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