Trade and Employment From Myths to Facts - International Labour ...
Trade and Employment From Myths to Facts - International Labour ...
Trade and Employment From Myths to Facts - International Labour ...
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Chapter 4: <strong>Trade</strong> <strong>and</strong> the informal economy<br />
<strong>and</strong> hence informalization indicates the limitations of the economy in absorbing the<br />
gains from trade. However, the possibility of subcontracting <strong>and</strong> using cheaper informal<br />
labour may provide companies with a competitive advantage <strong>and</strong>, thus, may<br />
have a positive impact on exports. De So<strong>to</strong> (1989) <strong>and</strong> others suggests that the<br />
informal sec<strong>to</strong>r is an engine of growth.<br />
Empirical analysis 2<br />
Empirical analysis of the impact of informality on the capacity <strong>to</strong> benefit from trade<br />
is rare. However, a related literature str<strong>and</strong> that has looked at informality, growth <strong>and</strong><br />
inequality provides some insights. Most of the studies suggest that a large informal<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r has an adverse effect on international trade. Short-term cost advantages may<br />
be possible, but this appears <strong>to</strong> be at the expense of longer-term dynamic gains.<br />
Several studies attribute adverse effects <strong>to</strong> the small size of entities in the informal<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r. La Porta <strong>and</strong> Shleifer (2008) observe that the informal economy, due <strong>to</strong> the<br />
small size of firms, is less likely <strong>to</strong> find good talent <strong>and</strong> hence economies with a predominance<br />
of such firms are not likely <strong>to</strong> specialize or become competitive enough<br />
<strong>to</strong> benefit from trade. Elbadawi <strong>and</strong> Loayza (2008) find that, in Arab countries, informality<br />
has negative marginal effects on small enterprise performance <strong>and</strong> conclude<br />
that informal establishments have difficulties penetrating regional or international<br />
markets. Smaller firms cater <strong>to</strong> local markets <strong>and</strong> larger firms are more likely <strong>to</strong> serve<br />
international markets. In the case of such neat divisions, the informal economy must<br />
become formal in order <strong>to</strong> be able <strong>to</strong> participate in global trade. Such a process of<br />
formalization may require easier access <strong>to</strong> credit, capital <strong>and</strong> skills. In another study,<br />
Inshengoma <strong>and</strong> Kappel (2006) observed that home-based production usually comes<br />
with marginalization of economic resources <strong>and</strong> economic agents by limiting their<br />
access <strong>to</strong> social services <strong>and</strong> also <strong>to</strong> capital. This phenomenon therefore tends <strong>to</strong><br />
impact trade adversely, since such micro-firms are not able <strong>to</strong> function in a competitive<br />
trading framework.<br />
Some studies find a positive effect on trade, often linked <strong>to</strong> subcontracting.<br />
Carr <strong>and</strong> Chen (2002) recognized the potential of the informal economy <strong>to</strong> help exp<strong>and</strong><br />
opportunities in trade in cases where firms are vertically linked with the formal<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r – such as outsourcing <strong>and</strong> subcontracting. The informal economy, as observed<br />
by the authors, helps <strong>to</strong> minimize production costs <strong>and</strong> overheads. Under some conditions,<br />
positive effects are also found in studies reflecting the dualistic approach.<br />
Davis <strong>and</strong> Haltiwanger (1990, 1992), <strong>and</strong> Davis et al. (1996), observe that informality<br />
helps trade, provided job switches are possible from the informal <strong>to</strong> the formal sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />
with skill upgrading <strong>and</strong> new skills. <strong>Trade</strong> destroys jobs in both sec<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>and</strong> creates<br />
new ones according <strong>to</strong> new dem<strong>and</strong>s. This requires certain levels of education, opportunities<br />
for retraining, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />
2 Although section 4.3 discusses theories <strong>and</strong> concepts, empirical results of the impact of informality<br />
on trade is discussed here since the literature on this <strong>to</strong>pic is small.<br />
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