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2012 Annual Report - Jesus College - University of Cambridge

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ASTROPHYSICS I <strong>Jesus</strong> <strong>College</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong> 19<br />

their galaxies being close together is <strong>of</strong>ten very large. Numerical computer simulations<br />

which compute the detailed mutual gravitational orbits <strong>of</strong> galaxies in our expanding<br />

universe can reproduce some <strong>of</strong> this clustering, but that is not the same as a more<br />

fundamental general theory <strong>of</strong> clustering.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> the things that my collaborators and I have been doing in the last two decades<br />

is developing such a fundamental theory. We do this by combining gravity with statistical<br />

mechanics and thermodynamics, theories describing properties <strong>of</strong> matter microscopically<br />

and in bulk. Originally many astronomers thought this combination would be impossible<br />

because gravity is a long range force which does not saturate and the combined forces <strong>of</strong><br />

many galaxies would be infinite in this approach. But we found that the expansion <strong>of</strong> the<br />

universe can remove these infinities and give a well-defined finite result. When the theory<br />

was first developed, we were not certain it would work. So some colleagues from<br />

Kyoto <strong>University</strong> tested it with computer simulations <strong>of</strong> galaxy clustering. They found<br />

very encouraging agreement. To paraphrase Mark Twain, it gratified some people and<br />

astonished the rest.<br />

This suggested that we test its relevance to our universe by comparing its predictions<br />

directly with observations <strong>of</strong> galaxy clustering. Its most straightforward prediction,<br />

containing no free parameters or “fudge factors”, is the galaxy distribution function. This<br />

is a simple but very powerful statistic which quantitatively describes clusters, filaments,<br />

voids and neighbouring correlations <strong>of</strong> galaxies. One simply divides space into many<br />

separate volumes with a given size and shape, then counts the number <strong>of</strong> galaxies visible<br />

in each volume. Plotting the number <strong>of</strong> volumes having a given number <strong>of</strong> galaxies<br />

provides an observed histogram to compare with the theoretical prediction. Then one<br />

repeats the analysis for volumes <strong>of</strong> different sizes and shapes. As this was done for larger<br />

and larger catalogues <strong>of</strong> galaxies the agreement grew closer and closer. As the numbers <strong>of</strong><br />

galaxies in larger catalogues increase, their statistics become more accurate. The theory<br />

works for very strong, as well as for weak, clustering. In the past year we have been able to<br />

use recent catalogues <strong>of</strong> about 10 million galaxies, and their agreement with the theory is<br />

better than about two or three percent.<br />

This work has indeed been gratifying, and also fun. Over many years, it has been done<br />

by a small group <strong>of</strong> astrophysicists who have focused several areas <strong>of</strong> cosmology, general<br />

relativity, thermodynamics, statistical mechanics and observational astronomy on the<br />

understanding <strong>of</strong> large-scale structure in our universe. It is truly international, like much<br />

<strong>of</strong> modern science, with collaborators in many countries including the UK, the USA, India,<br />

Ireland, Italy, Germany, Japan, Singapore, and China. To range around the universe; it<br />

helps to range around the world. As we answer earlier questions, new ones arise to<br />

fascinate us even further. For example, the theory has also predicted the probability that a<br />

galaxy has a given velocity relative to the expansion <strong>of</strong> the universe. Observations <strong>of</strong> these<br />

velocities are not yet developed to the same extent as observations <strong>of</strong> galaxy positions, but<br />

their preliminary agreement with the theory is promising.<br />

Very recently we have found a way to understand the probability that a cluster <strong>of</strong> galaxies<br />

has a given shape. It seems unnecessary to hypothesize that observed filaments <strong>of</strong> galaxies<br />

arose in a mysterious quantum epoch <strong>of</strong> the very early universe. Rather, they began to form<br />

spontaneously by natural gravitational attraction one or two billion years after the<br />

big-bang. Details <strong>of</strong> their formation depend on the nature <strong>of</strong> dark matter and dark energy,<br />

two major components <strong>of</strong> the universe presently shrouded in mystery. Mysteries <strong>of</strong> our<br />

universe tend to be related, so our understanding <strong>of</strong> its large-scale structure may help<br />

clarify our universe ’s other properties and their origins. ■

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