BFW-Studie - European Union of Developers and House Builders
BFW-Studie - European Union of Developers and House Builders
BFW-Studie - European Union of Developers and House Builders
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<strong>BFW</strong>-Study<br />
At the same time it can be seen that demographic change as well as associated modifications<br />
in the area <strong>of</strong> the development business in particular are rated differently depending<br />
on the country concerned or are already supported by practical measures.<br />
The results <strong>of</strong> the survey confirm that the age structure is shifting in all <strong>European</strong> countries.<br />
In particular the proportion <strong>of</strong> people aged over 65 will rise due to higher life expectancy.<br />
Both improved basic medical care <strong>and</strong> increased living st<strong>and</strong>ards are indicators for<br />
this. The proportions will rise to approximately 35 percent in Spain <strong>and</strong> Italy in particular.<br />
Across Europe the share <strong>of</strong> over 65ers will move up from the current approx 17 to 28 percent<br />
in 2020. In Turkey the current level <strong>of</strong> around 5 percent is the lowest, but the relative<br />
rise to approx 18 percent will be the highest by 2050.<br />
The growing proportion <strong>of</strong> older people is the counterpoint to low birth rates. Fertility, as<br />
an influencing factor <strong>of</strong> natural population growth, has fallen below the required replacement<br />
level in most industrialised countries since the 1970s. The population is declining<br />
over the long term below this level. At present, only Turkey reaches the desirable level <strong>of</strong><br />
approximately 2.1 births per woman. France <strong>and</strong> Irel<strong>and</strong> also approach this limit very closely<br />
with birth rates <strong>of</strong> approximately 1.9.<br />
The governments <strong>of</strong> all countries have recognised the problem <strong>of</strong> decreasing birth rates<br />
<strong>and</strong> rising life expectancy <strong>and</strong> are adopting measures to cope with the tasks arising out <strong>of</strong><br />
these developments. In particular incentives are being <strong>of</strong>fered to young families to increase<br />
birth rates. In addition to child allowances <strong>and</strong> extra kindergarten places, tax relief is<br />
being granted, frequently depending on the number <strong>of</strong> children born. Measures are also<br />
being adopted to secure senior citizens financially. These include housing subsidyprogrammes,<br />
work initiatives for senior citizens, the stabilisation <strong>of</strong> pension systems as well<br />
as assured social security. In particular, the supply <strong>of</strong> buildings represents an important<br />
Turkey<br />
France<br />
Irel<strong>and</strong><br />
Norway<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Finl<strong>and</strong><br />
Denmark<br />
Sweden<br />
Netherl<strong>and</strong>s<br />
Belgium<br />
Luxembourg<br />
EU (25 countries)<br />
Switzerl<strong>and</strong><br />
Croatia<br />
Austria<br />
Portugal<br />
Italy<br />
Spain<br />
Germany<br />
Romania<br />
Hungary<br />
Greece<br />
Czech Republic<br />
Pol<strong>and</strong><br />
Birth Rates<br />
– Births per woman –<br />
0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50<br />
Source: Eurostat 2007, <strong>BFW</strong>-Research<br />
22 <strong>BFW</strong>-Study 2007