MAY 2016

usherwood

issues-index-may-2016-charts

MAY 2016

ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com

Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com

020 7347 3000


Issues Facing Britain: May

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

2

Top mentions %

Immigration/immigrants

38%

Change since April:

%

-3

Position

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

33%

-6

European Union/Europe

28%

-2

Economy

23%

+1

Education/Schools

18%

0

Defence/foreign

affairs/terrorism

17%

0

+2

Housing

16%

0

+2

Unemployment

15%

-3

-2

Poverty/Inequality

14%

-3

-2

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

8%

-3

Base: 979 British adults 18+, 6 th – 15 th May 2016

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain: May

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

3

Top mentions %

Immigration/immigrants

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

European Union/Europe

Economy

Education/Schools

Defence/foreign

affairs/terrorism

Housing

Unemployment

Poverty/Inequality

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

8%

2%

5%

4%

5%

5%

8%

1%

10%

21%

16%

23%

18%

17%

16%

15%

14%

28%

33%

38%

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE

Base: 979 British adults 18+, 6 th – 15 th May 2016

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

4

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

NHS

UNEMPLOYMENT

CRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*

HOUSING

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


Issues Facing Britain:

Immigration / Immigrants

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

5

Cameron becomes PM

60

50

40

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

Border controls

relaxed for

Romanians and

Bulgarians

30

20

10

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

6

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Cameron becomes PM

80

70

60

50

Highest score since April 2006

(47%)

40

30

20

10

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

7

Cameron becomes PM

40

30

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

Highest score since

December 1999 (30%)

20

10

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

UKIP come first in European

Parliament elections

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Economy / Economic situation

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

8

Cameron becomes PM

70

60

50

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

40

30

Global Recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Northern Rock

nationalised

End of

recession

announced

20

10

Lowest score

since March 2008

(22%)

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

9

Cameron becomes PM

50

40

Youth unemployment

reaches 1 million

30

Minimum wage

introduced

20

10

Unemployment in

Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest score

since October 2008

(14%)

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

Unemployment falls below 1

million for first time in 25 years

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

Lowest ever score

(5%)

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

10

60

Cameron becomes PM

50

40

May day riots

Riots in

England

30

20

10

9/11

Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Education / Schools

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

11

50

40

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

First City Academies

introduced

Cameron becomes PM

30

April 2011 – Pupil

Premium introduced

20

10

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

12

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Cameron becomes PM

70

60

50

40

30

War in

Kosovo

9/11

London

Bombs

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

Rise

of IS

20

10

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

UK withdraws

from Iraq

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Poverty/inequality

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

13

Cameron becomes PM

20

15

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

July 2014:

highest score

recorded (18%)

10

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day

5

0

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Inflation/Prices

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

14

Cameron becomes PM

30

25

Inflation rate hits 16 year

peak

20

Inflation rises

to 3.4%

15

10

5

Lowest score since

Sep 2007 (4%)

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Housing

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

15

Cameron becomes PM

30

25

20

Highest score since

October 1974 (21%)

15

10

“A8” Countries

join the EU

5

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Pensions/Social Security/Benefits

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

16

30

25

20

15

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the welloff

from state benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits

Cameron becomes PM

Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

10

5

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

Lowest ever

score (3%)

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Pollution / Environment

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

17

Cameron becomes PM

20

15

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms

10

5

0

May

1997

May

1998

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Issues Facing Britain:

Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

18

Cameron becomes PM

20

Highest recorded

score (15%)

15

10

5

0

May

1999

May

2000

May

2001

May

2002

May

2003

May

2004

May

2005

May

2006

May

2007

May

2008

May

2009

May

2010

May

2011

May

2012

May

2013

May

2014

May

2015

May

2016

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Top issues – concern by party support

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

19

Top mentions %

Immigration/immigrants

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

European Union/Europe

Economy

Education/Schools

Defence/foreign

affairs/terrorism

Housing

Unemployment

Poverty/Inequality

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

23%

26%

21%

21%

26%

13%

10%

20%

7%

21%

12%

17%

10%

6%

34%

36%

37%

33%

46%

50%

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

Base: 143 Conservative and 317 Labour supporters aged 18+, 6 th - 15 th May 2016

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Age bracket

Age and social grade – different top issues amongst

ABC1s

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Top three issues by age and social grade

20

EU

45%

Immigration

50%

Immigration

45%

EU

30%

NHS

40%

NHS

28%

18-34 35-54 55+

NHS

46%

Immigration

45%

Economy

35%

NHS

29%

Immigration

31%

Unemployment

22%

Immigration

35%

Immigration

22%

NHS

33%

Unemployment

19%

EU

27%

NHS

17%

ABC1

Social grade

C2DE

Base: 979 British adults 18+, 6 th – 15 th May 2016

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Concern about the EU/Europe by subgroups

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe

21

Concern about EU/Europe by key demographic groups:

46%

36%

28%

23%

17%

40%

30% 27%

13%

17%

Concern by

region:

18%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Locale Party support

Social Grade

31%

Concern about EU/Europe by age group:

22%

17% 22% 18%

28%

35%

41%

33%

18-24 25-34 35-44

45-54 55-64 65+

Base: 979 British adults 18+, 6 th -15 th May 2016

Ipsos MORI Issues Index


Immigration is the top issue for many demographic

groups

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Most commonly mentioned issue for each group

22

Age: 18-24

Age: 25 - 34

Age:35 - 54

Age: 55-64

Age: 65+

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Social grade: AB

Social grade: C1

Social grade: C2

Social grade: DE

Gender: Male

NHS

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Region: London

Housing

Region: S England

EU

Region: Midlands +

Wales

Immigration

Region: N England

Immigration

Gender: Female

Immigration

Region: Scotland

Tenure: Owner

Tenure: Mortgage

Tenure: Social renter

Tenure: Private renter

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

Immigration

NHS

Base: 979 British adults 18+, 6 th – 15 th May 2016

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

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