11.07.2015 Views

slide

slide

slide

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Jika ada rule ketiga yang ditambahkan, maka: CF(R1,R2,R3) = CF(R1,R2) + CF(R3) [1 - CF(R1,R2)],Misalnya:R3: IF bond prices increases, THEN stock market prices goup (CF = 0.85) Jika diasumsikan semua rule pada bagian IF bernilaiTRUE maka, peluang stock prices will increase adalah:CF(R1,R2,R3) = 0.88 + 0.85 (1 - 0.88) = 0.88 + 0.85 (.12)= 0.982 catatan: bond = surat obligasistock = sahamunemployment = PHK

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!