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<strong>Biblioteca</strong> <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong><br />

<strong>Boletín</strong> <strong>mensual</strong><br />

Junio 2016<br />

CONTENIDO<br />

Presentación <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> libro:<br />

“Competition and Efficiency in the Mexican Banking Industry”<br />

Nuevas adquisiciones<br />

Documentos publicados por investigadores<br />

<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong><br />

Documentos publicados recientemente<br />

por otros bancos centrales u organismos gubernamentales<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

Síguenos en:<br />

1


PRESENTACIÓN DEL LIBRO<br />

El 4 <strong>de</strong> mayo <strong>de</strong> 2016 se llevó a cabo la presentación <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> libro:<br />

“Competition and Efficiency in the Mexican Banking Industry”<br />

<strong>de</strong> la Dra. Sara Castellanos, el Dr. Jesús Garza García y<br />

el Dr. Gustavo <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Angel, en el Auditorio <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Museo Franz Mayer.<br />

Dr. Gustavo <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Angel, Dr. Jesús Garza, Dr. Pablo Cotler, Dr. José Luis Negrín, Dra. Sara Castellanos y Mtro. Guillermo Zamarripa.<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

2


Regresar a contenido<br />

NUEVAS ADQUISICIONES<br />

Analyzing the economics of<br />

financial market infrastructures<br />

Martin Diehl, Biliana Alexandrova-<br />

Kabadjova, Richard Heuver, Serafín<br />

Martínez-Jaramillo<br />

Economic balance and growth:<br />

consolidation and stabilisation in<br />

Hungary 2010-2014<br />

György Matolcsy; English<br />

translation Kendall Logan, Bence<br />

Gáspár and Douglas Arnott<br />

Competitividad e innovación para<br />

el <strong>de</strong>sarrollo territorial: aportes<br />

<strong>de</strong> la investigación en re<strong>de</strong>s<br />

académicas<br />

Ruby <strong>de</strong> los Ángeles Pasos Cervera,<br />

Alberto <strong>de</strong> Jesús Quintal Palomo,<br />

Juan Felipe <strong>de</strong> Jesús Alonzo Solís;<br />

Gabriela Munguía Vázquez... [et al.]<br />

La Gran recesión (2007-2012):<br />

lecciones y oportunida<strong>de</strong>s para<br />

<strong>México</strong><br />

Roberto J. Santillán-Salgado<br />

Commercial real estate: analysis<br />

and investments<br />

David M. Geltner... [et al.]<br />

Mis años en la Reserva Fe<strong>de</strong>ral:<br />

un análisis <strong>de</strong> la Fed y las crisis<br />

financieras<br />

Ben S. Bernanke; traducido por<br />

Jorge Pare<strong>de</strong>s<br />

Crisis financiera: nuevas manías,<br />

viejos pánicos<br />

Alicia Girón González, Patricia<br />

Rodríguez López y José Déniz<br />

Espinós (coords).<br />

Una nueva visión <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> riesgo <strong>de</strong><br />

crédito<br />

Javier Márquez Diez-Canedo<br />

¿Globalización <strong>de</strong> la crisis o crisis<br />

<strong>de</strong> la globalización?<br />

León Opalín Chmielniska<br />

The alchemy of finance<br />

George Soros; [foreword by Paul A.<br />

Volcker]<br />

DOCUMENTOS PUBLICADOS<br />

POR INVESTIGADORES DEL<br />

BANCO DE MEXICO<br />

Functional approach to test<br />

trending volatility<br />

Gerardo Hernán<strong>de</strong>z <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Valle;<br />

Miriam Juárez-Torres; Santiago<br />

Guerrero<br />

Unit root testing in ARMA<br />

mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>s: a likelihood ratio<br />

approach<br />

Juan R. Hernán<strong>de</strong>z<br />

Intrusion <strong>de</strong>tection using<br />

indicators of compromise based<br />

on best practices and windows<br />

event logs<br />

María <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Carmen Pru<strong>de</strong>nte Tixteco,<br />

Lidia Pru<strong>de</strong>nte Tixteco, Gabriel<br />

Sánchez Pérez, Linda Karina<br />

Toscano Medina.<br />

DOCUMENTOS PUBLICADOS<br />

RECIENTEMENTE<br />

POR OTROS BANCOS<br />

CENTRALES U ORGANISMOS<br />

GUBERNAMENTALES<br />

Policy-effective financial<br />

knowledge and attitu<strong>de</strong> factors<br />

Gabriel Garber and Sergio Mikio<br />

Koyama<br />

Peer-to-peer lending and financial<br />

innovation in the United Kingdom<br />

Ulrich Atz and David Bholat<br />

Macropru<strong>de</strong>ntial regulation, credit<br />

spreads and the role of monetary<br />

policy<br />

William J Tayler and Roy Zilberman<br />

Financial networks, bank<br />

efficiency and risk-taking<br />

Thiago Christiano Silva, Solange<br />

Maria Guerra, Benjamin Miranda<br />

Tabak and Rodrigo Cesar <strong>de</strong><br />

Castro Miranda<br />

Effective macropru<strong>de</strong>ntial<br />

policy: Cross-sector substitution<br />

from price and quantity<br />

measures<br />

Janko Cizel, Jon Frost, Aerdt<br />

Houben and Peter Wierts<br />

3


Traditional banks, shadow banks<br />

and the US credit boom - credit<br />

origination versus financing<br />

Robert Unger<br />

The rise of the ad<strong>de</strong>d worker<br />

effect<br />

Rigas Oikonomou; Jochen Mankart<br />

Distributed ledger technologies<br />

in securities post-trading -<br />

Revolution or evolution?<br />

Andrea Pinna; Wiebe Ruttenberg<br />

Cross-bor<strong>de</strong>r regulatory spillovers:<br />

How much? How important?<br />

What sectors? Lessons from the<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Robert Hills, Dennis Reinhardt,<br />

Rhiannon Sowerbutts and Tomasz<br />

Wiela<strong>de</strong>k<br />

Cyclical investment behavior<br />

across financial institutions<br />

Yannick Timmer<br />

Pass-through of bank funding<br />

costs to lending and <strong>de</strong>posit<br />

rates: lessons from the financial<br />

crisis<br />

Rashmi Harimohan, Michael<br />

McLeay and Garry Young<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

4


Nuevas Adquisiciones<br />

Analyzing the economics of financial market infrastructures<br />

Martin Diehl, Biliana Alexandrova-Kabadjova, Richard Heuver,<br />

Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo<br />

Hershey, Pennsylvania: Business Science Reference, 2016.<br />

Clasificación: 332.04150973 A532<br />

Resumen:<br />

The prosperity and stability of any<br />

economic structure is reliant upon<br />

a foundation of secure systems<br />

that regulate the movement of<br />

money across the globe. These<br />

structures have become an integral<br />

part of contemporary society<br />

by reducing monetary risk and<br />

increasing financial security.<br />

Analyzing the Economics of<br />

Financial Market Infrastructures<br />

is a pivotal reference source for<br />

the latest scholarly research on<br />

the current <strong>de</strong>velopments in<br />

financial systems and how these<br />

processes are evolving due to<br />

new regulations and technical<br />

advances. Featuring extensive<br />

coverage on a range of relevant<br />

topics on payment systems,<br />

central securities <strong>de</strong>positories,<br />

central counterparties, and<br />

tra<strong>de</strong> repositories, this book is<br />

an essential reference source for<br />

professionals in the financial<br />

sector, analysts, IT professionals,<br />

and aca<strong>de</strong>micians concerned with<br />

emerging research on financial<br />

markets. This book features timely,<br />

research-based chapters on a<br />

variety of crucial topics including,<br />

but not limited to, payment<br />

timing, multi-layer networks,<br />

transaction simulations, payment<br />

system analysis, and regulation of<br />

financial marketplaces.<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

5


Economic balance and growth: consolidation and stabilisation<br />

in Hungary 2010-2014<br />

György Matolcsy; English translation Kendall Logan, Bence Gáspár and Douglas Arnott<br />

Budapest, Hungary: Kairosz: Magyar Nemzeti Bank, 2015.<br />

Clasificación: 338.9439 M433<br />

Resumen:<br />

The Magyar Nemzeti Bank<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>rs it a key priority to<br />

<strong>de</strong>velop financial culture in<br />

Hungary. Accordingly, it uses<br />

the means at its disposal to<br />

support economic education<br />

and the spread of financial<br />

literacy. This book is the first<br />

such volume written in the<br />

interest of promoting the broa<strong>de</strong>r<br />

un<strong>de</strong>rstanding of economics<br />

and financial matters. Economic<br />

Balance and Growth presents<br />

a <strong>de</strong>tailed discussion of the<br />

economic policy consi<strong>de</strong>rations,<br />

innovations and tools which led<br />

to the outstanding success of the<br />

Hungarian economy between 2010<br />

and 2014, as these achievements<br />

in fiscal and financial stabilisation<br />

pave the way for sustainable<br />

economic growth and mark a<br />

milestone in economic history.<br />

Competitividad e innovación para el <strong>de</strong>sarrollo territorial: aportes<br />

<strong>de</strong> la investigación en re<strong>de</strong>s académicas<br />

Ruby <strong>de</strong> los Ángeles Pasos Cervera, Alberto <strong>de</strong> Jesús Quintal Palomo, Juan Felipe <strong>de</strong><br />

Jesús Alonzo Solís; autores Gabriela Munguía Vázquez... [et al.]<br />

Mérida, Yuc.: Universidad Autónoma <strong>de</strong> Yucatán: <strong>México</strong>, D.F.: Pearson, 2015.<br />

Clasificación: 338.6048972 C737<br />

Resumen:<br />

Competitividad e innovación<br />

para el <strong>de</strong>sarrollo territorial.<br />

Aportes <strong>de</strong> la investigación<br />

en re<strong>de</strong>s académicas es el<br />

resultado <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> trabajo realizado<br />

a través <strong>de</strong> re<strong>de</strong>s académicas<br />

entre investigadores adscritos<br />

a la disciplina económica <strong>de</strong><br />

diferentes universida<strong>de</strong>s <strong>de</strong><br />

<strong>México</strong> y el extranjero quienes<br />

bajo estudios <strong>de</strong> caso analizan,<br />

<strong>de</strong>s<strong>de</strong> el enfoque <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>de</strong>sarrollo<br />

territorial, diversos factores<br />

que impulsan la competitividad<br />

e innovación <strong>de</strong> las empresas<br />

y las regiones en un contexto<br />

<strong>de</strong> globalización económica.<br />

Asimismo, se ponen en<br />

perspectiva las diferencias y<br />

especificida<strong>de</strong>s <strong>de</strong> los territorios,<br />

así como los retos comunes<br />

que enfrentan para mejorar su<br />

competitividad.<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

6


La gran recesión (2007-2012): lecciones y oportunida<strong>de</strong>s para <strong>México</strong><br />

Roberto J. Santillán-Salgado<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F.: Instituto Mexicano <strong>de</strong> Ejecutivos <strong>de</strong> Finanzas, 2015.<br />

Clasificación: 338.542 G748<br />

Resumen:<br />

Este es un libro <strong>de</strong> investigación<br />

económico-financiera <strong>de</strong>sarrollado<br />

por un equipo multidisciplinario<br />

<strong>de</strong> investigadores, catedráticos y<br />

profesionistas <strong>de</strong> las finanzas y <strong>de</strong> la<br />

economía,cuyos trabajos presentan<br />

un análisis e interpretación <strong>de</strong> la<br />

“tormenta perfecta” que sacudió a<br />

los mercados financieros globales<br />

entre los años 2007 y 2012, y cuáles<br />

son y fueron sus efectos sobre<br />

<strong>México</strong>.<br />

Commercial real estate: analysis and investments<br />

David M. Geltner... [et al.]<br />

Mason, Ohio: OnCourse Learning, 2014.<br />

Clasificación: 333.337 C734 2014<br />

Resumen:<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

One of the most cited texts in the<br />

field of real estate finance and<br />

investments, Commercial Real<br />

Estate Analysis and Investments,<br />

3e continues to be the leading<br />

textbook for an advanced<br />

and economically rigorous<br />

study. Completely reviewed<br />

and updated, the third edition<br />

focuses on lessons learned from<br />

the Global Financial Crisis of<br />

2008. Rea<strong>de</strong>rs will appreciate<br />

the use of a second color<br />

internally to provi<strong>de</strong> emphasis<br />

on key terms and make exhibits<br />

easier to un<strong>de</strong>rstand. Updated<br />

and Streamlined: chapters and<br />

sections on REITs, CMBS, price<br />

indices, and <strong>de</strong>rivatives have<br />

been substantially updated.<br />

Contemporary topics: this edition<br />

features attention to sustainability<br />

in commercial property<br />

<strong>de</strong>velopment and investment,<br />

including a new boxed feature<br />

in chapter 5 entitled Tools to<br />

Measure Building Sustainability<br />

and a few feature in chapter<br />

28 entitled The Trend Toward<br />

Greener Development. ARGUS<br />

applications: due to its popularity<br />

from the previous edition, a<br />

special trial version of Argus<br />

continues to be inclu<strong>de</strong>d along<br />

with an updated case study for<br />

practical cash flow projection<br />

analysys. Providing an in<strong>de</strong>pth<br />

study of the financial<br />

and urban economics of real<br />

estate, Commercial Real Estate<br />

Analysis and Investments, 3e<br />

is the cornerstone to better<br />

un<strong>de</strong>rstanding commercial<br />

property from an investment<br />

perspective.<br />

7


Mis años en la Reserva Fe<strong>de</strong>ral: un análisis <strong>de</strong> la Fed y las crisis<br />

financieras<br />

Ben S. Bernanke; traducido por Jorge Pare<strong>de</strong>s<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F. Paidós, 2014.<br />

Clasificación: 330.9730931 B517a<br />

Resumen:<br />

Ben Bernanke, expresi<strong>de</strong>nte <strong>de</strong><br />

la Reserva Fe<strong>de</strong>ral <strong>de</strong> Estados<br />

Unidos, es uno <strong>de</strong> los personajes<br />

clave <strong>de</strong> la historia económica<br />

reciente; estuvo al frente <strong>de</strong> la Fed<br />

durante la peor crisis económica<br />

mundial <strong>de</strong>s<strong>de</strong> la Gran Depresión<br />

<strong>de</strong> los años treinta, crisis que<br />

combatió con una política <strong>de</strong><br />

estímulos monetarios a su juicio<br />

imprescindibles para reactivar<br />

la economía estadouni<strong>de</strong>nse. En<br />

Mis años en la Reserva Fe<strong>de</strong>ral,<br />

Bernanke evoca su trayectoria<br />

al frente <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> banco central más<br />

po<strong>de</strong>roso <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> mundo <strong>de</strong>svelando<br />

las directrices que guiaron las<br />

activida<strong>de</strong>s <strong>de</strong> la institución. Su<br />

aportación constituye un valioso<br />

enfoque para gestionar los <strong>de</strong>safíos<br />

económicos que enfrentamos<br />

actualmente. La información<br />

que aporta el autor en primera<br />

persona, a partir <strong>de</strong> una serie <strong>de</strong><br />

conferencias impartidas en la<br />

Universidad George Washington,<br />

convierte esta obra en<br />

indispensable para quienes <strong>de</strong>seen<br />

profundizar en este periodo crítico<br />

<strong>de</strong> nuestra historia.<br />

Crisis financiera: nuevas manías, viejos pánicos<br />

Alicia Girón González, Patricia Rodríguez López y José Déniz Espinós (coords).<br />

Madrid, España: Catarata, 2010.<br />

Clasificación: 338.542 C9325<br />

Resumen:<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

Poco <strong>de</strong>spués <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> estallido <strong>de</strong> la<br />

crisis financiera que comenzó<br />

en Estados Unidos en 2008, y<br />

que rápidamente se convirtió<br />

en global, los autores <strong>de</strong> este<br />

libro (conocidos investigadores<br />

y profesores universitarios<br />

<strong>de</strong> España, Francia, Estados<br />

Unidos y <strong>México</strong>), se plantearon<br />

la necesidad <strong>de</strong> analizarla<br />

<strong>de</strong>s<strong>de</strong> distintas perspectivas<br />

económicas, priorizando sus<br />

efectos en América Latina,<br />

pero sin olvidar la estrecha<br />

relación existente entre los<br />

acontecimientos que ocurren en<br />

los espacios centrales <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> sistema<br />

mundial y las diversas realida<strong>de</strong>s<br />

nacionales <strong>de</strong> los países <strong>de</strong> esa<br />

región <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> sur. Resultado <strong>de</strong> ese<br />

estudio es el libro que aquí se<br />

presenta al lector, consi<strong>de</strong>rando<br />

que <strong>de</strong> esta manera se<br />

contribuye críticamente a un<br />

<strong>de</strong>bate más esclarecedor que sea<br />

capaz <strong>de</strong> construir respuestas<br />

superadoras, sobre todo para<br />

aquellos países y sectores<br />

<strong>de</strong> población más afectados<br />

negativamente.<br />

8


Una nueva visión <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> riesgo <strong>de</strong> crédito<br />

Javier Márquez Diez-Canedo<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F.: Limusa, 2009.<br />

Clasificación: 658.880151 M357 2009<br />

Resumen:<br />

Este libro trata el tema <strong>de</strong> la<br />

medición <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> riesgo <strong>de</strong> carteras<br />

<strong>de</strong> crédito con un enfoque<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>rno. En sus capítulos<br />

centrales se explica en <strong>de</strong>talle los<br />

dos paradigmas comerciales más<br />

utilizados por los practicantes:<br />

CreditRisk y CreditMetrics, y el<br />

mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>o CyRCE <strong>de</strong>sarrollado en<br />

el <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong> para medir el<br />

riesgo <strong>de</strong> crédito <strong>de</strong> una cartera.<br />

En capítulos introductorios se<br />

tocan los temas <strong>de</strong> calificaciones,<br />

medidas <strong>de</strong> riesgo y algunas<br />

herramientas <strong>de</strong> matemáticas,<br />

probabilidad y estadística<br />

necesarias para enten<strong>de</strong>r los<br />

paradigmas. El capítulo sexto trata<br />

el tema <strong>de</strong> la estimación estadística<br />

<strong>de</strong> parámetros, y el último se<br />

<strong>de</strong>dica a una comparación entre<br />

métodos. Así, el primer objetivo<br />

es lograr que cualquier persona<br />

con conocimientos básicos <strong>de</strong><br />

probabilida<strong>de</strong>s, estadística y álgebra<br />

<strong>de</strong> matrices, pueda compren<strong>de</strong>r los<br />

<strong>de</strong>talles <strong>de</strong> cada paradigma al grado<br />

<strong>de</strong> po<strong>de</strong>r escribir su propio código<br />

y realizar las adaptaciones que<br />

requiera su aplicación. En segundo<br />

lugar, se preten<strong>de</strong> que el lector<br />

entienda las limitaciones y virtu<strong>de</strong>s<br />

<strong>de</strong> cada mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>o, <strong>de</strong> manera que las<br />

tome en cuenta al interpretar los<br />

resultados <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> método escogido,<br />

llegando así a una apreciación<br />

objetiva <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> riesgo implícto <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong><br />

portafolio <strong>de</strong> créditos analizado.<br />

Como tal, el libro está dirigido<br />

a los estudiantes y profesionales<br />

<strong>de</strong> administración <strong>de</strong> riesgos<br />

interesados en estos temas.<br />

¿Globalización <strong>de</strong> la crisis o crisis <strong>de</strong> la globalización?<br />

León Opalín Chmielniska<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F.: Porrúa: Universidad Anáhuac, 2005.<br />

Clasificación: 337 O61<br />

Resumen:<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

El fenómeno <strong>de</strong> la globalización<br />

no sólo ha implicado cambios<br />

presurosos <strong>de</strong> carácter económico<br />

y social, ha generado ten<strong>de</strong>ncias,<br />

hechos, manifestaciones e i<strong>de</strong>as <strong>de</strong><br />

contenido ambivalente. Merced<br />

a las estructuras globalizadas, el<br />

nivel y la calidad <strong>de</strong> la producción<br />

mundial se han incrementado,<br />

sin embargo, son cada vez más<br />

crecientes los rezagos en el<br />

bienestar <strong>de</strong> la población mundial y<br />

el <strong>de</strong>terioro <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> medio ambiente. En<br />

tal contexto, han surgido corrientes<br />

que cuestionan la viabilidad <strong>de</strong> la<br />

globalización en el largo plazo y<br />

plantean la necesidad urgente <strong>de</strong><br />

crear estructuras sociales, políticas<br />

y económicas internacionales<br />

cuyo propósito sea distribuir más<br />

equitativamente los frutos <strong>de</strong> la<br />

globalización, sin menoscabo<br />

<strong>de</strong> nuestro ambiente. Este libro,<br />

<strong>de</strong>spués <strong>de</strong> ofrecer una visión <strong>de</strong><br />

cómo los países se han organizado<br />

en bloques y cómo cada vez<br />

es mayor la inter<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>ncia<br />

económica, estudia los principios,<br />

los <strong>de</strong>rechos laborales y la<br />

protección ambiental que los<br />

<strong>de</strong>tractores <strong>de</strong> este fenómeno<br />

aducen.<br />

9


The alchemy of finance<br />

George Soros; [foreword by Paul A. Volcker]<br />

Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley, 2003.<br />

Clasificación: 332.6 S714 2003<br />

Resumen:<br />

George Soros is unquestionably<br />

one of the most powerful and<br />

profitable investors in the world<br />

today. Dubbed by BusinessWeek<br />

as “the Man who Moves Markets,”<br />

Soros ma<strong>de</strong> a fortune competing<br />

with the British pound and<br />

remains active today in the global<br />

financial community. Now, in<br />

this special edition of the classic<br />

investment book, The Alchemy<br />

of Finance, Soros presents a<br />

theoretical and practical account<br />

of current financial trends and<br />

a new paradigm by which to<br />

un<strong>de</strong>rstand the financial market<br />

today. This edition’s expan<strong>de</strong>d and<br />

revised Introduction <strong>de</strong>tails Soros’s<br />

innovative investment practices<br />

along with his views of the world<br />

and world or<strong>de</strong>r. He also <strong>de</strong>scribes<br />

a new paradigm for the “theory<br />

of reflexivity” which un<strong>de</strong>rlies his<br />

unique investment strategies. Filled<br />

with expert advice and valuable<br />

business lessons, The Alchemy<br />

of Finance reveals the timeless<br />

principles of an investing legend.<br />

This special edition will feature a<br />

new chapter by Soros on the secrets<br />

of his success and a new Foreword<br />

by the Honorable Paul Volcker,<br />

former Chairman of the Fe<strong>de</strong>ral<br />

Reserve. George Soros (New York,<br />

NY) is Presi<strong>de</strong>nt of Soros Fund<br />

Management and Chief Investment<br />

Advisor to Quantum Fund N.V., a<br />

$12 billion international investment<br />

fund. Besi<strong>de</strong>s his numerous<br />

ventures in finance, Soros is also<br />

extremely active in the worlds of<br />

education, culture, and economic<br />

aid and <strong>de</strong>velopment through his<br />

Open Society Fund and the Soros<br />

Foundation.<br />

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10


Documentos publicados por investigadores<br />

<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong><br />

Disponibles en la página web <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong>: www.banxico.org.mx<br />

A functional approach to test trending volatility<br />

Gerardo Hernán<strong>de</strong>z <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Valle; Miriam Juárez-Torres; Santiago Guerrero<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F.: <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong>, 2016. -- 37 p. -- (Documentos <strong>de</strong> investigación; 2016-04).<br />

Descripción:<br />

In this paper we extend the<br />

traditional GARCH(1,1) mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> by<br />

including a functional trend term<br />

in the conditional volatility of a<br />

time series. We <strong>de</strong>rive the main<br />

properties of the mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> and apply<br />

it to all agricultural commodities<br />

in the Mexican CPI basket, as well<br />

as to the international prices of<br />

maize, wheat, pork, poultry and<br />

beef products for three different<br />

time periods that implied changes<br />

in price regulations and behavior.<br />

The proposed mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> seems to<br />

a<strong>de</strong>quately fit the volatility process<br />

and, according to homoscedasticity<br />

tests, outperforms the ARCH(1)<br />

and GARCH(1,1) mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>s, some of<br />

the most popular approaches used<br />

in the literature to analyze price<br />

volatility.<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.banxico.org.mx/publicaciones-y-discursos/publicaciones/documentos-<strong>de</strong>-investigacion/banxico/%7B11963B51-2BF0-8443-6090-CB06D81A0921%7D.pdf<br />

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11


Unit root testing in ARMA mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>s: a likelihood ratio approach<br />

Juan R. Hernán<strong>de</strong>z<br />

<strong>México</strong>, D.F.: <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong>, 2016. -- 37 p. -- (Documentos <strong>de</strong> investigación; 2016-03).<br />

Descripción:<br />

In this paper I propose a<br />

Likelihood Ratio test for a<br />

unit root (LR) with a local-tounity<br />

Autoregressive parameter<br />

embed<strong>de</strong>d in ARMA(1,1)<br />

mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong>s. By <strong>de</strong>aling explicitly<br />

with <strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nce in a time<br />

series through the Moving<br />

Average, as opposed to the long<br />

Autorregresive lag approximation,<br />

the test shows gains in power and<br />

has good small-sample properties.<br />

The asymptotic distribution of the<br />

test is shown to be in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

of the short-run parameters. The<br />

Monte Carlo experiments show<br />

that the LR test has higher power<br />

than the Augmented Dickey Fuller<br />

test for several sample sizes and<br />

true values of the Moving Average<br />

parameter. The exception is the<br />

case when this parameter is very<br />

close to -1 with a consi<strong>de</strong>rably<br />

small sample size.<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.banxico.org.mx/publicaciones-y-discursos/publicaciones/documentos-<strong>de</strong>-investigacion/banxico/%7B76C16AFE-A7CC-5B69-4E8F-3B0662A2A959%7D.PDF<br />

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12


Intrusion <strong>de</strong>tection using indicators of compromise based on best<br />

practices and windows event logs<br />

María <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Carmen Pru<strong>de</strong>nte Tixteco, Lidia Pru<strong>de</strong>nte Tixteco, Gabriel Sánchez<br />

Pérez, Linda Karina Toscano Medina. En : Conferencia ICIMP 2016 : The Eleventh<br />

International Conference on Internet Monitoring and Protection, 22 <strong>de</strong> Mayo <strong>de</strong> 2016.<br />

Wilmington, Delaware: International Aca<strong>de</strong>my, Research and Industry Association (IARIA), 2016. – pp. 29-37.<br />

Descripción:<br />

In the process of IR and forensic<br />

analysis, <strong>de</strong>termining that a computer<br />

system is compromised could<br />

mean success or failure to mitigate a<br />

security inci<strong>de</strong>nt. Attack vectors have<br />

increased their complexity, making<br />

more difficult for information security<br />

analysts to i<strong>de</strong>ntify their presence.<br />

Different tools have been <strong>de</strong>veloped<br />

to facilitate their i<strong>de</strong>ntification; one of<br />

these tools are the IOCs.<br />

IOCs are pieces of forensic data,<br />

that could be found in log entries or<br />

system files, which can help to i<strong>de</strong>ntify<br />

potentially malicious activity on a<br />

system or network .<br />

In or<strong>de</strong>r to reduce the number of<br />

false-positive results over time, it is<br />

required to improve IR and forensic<br />

analysis procedures that collaborate<br />

directly with the Computer Inci<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Response Team (CIRT).<br />

As a part of a forensic analysis<br />

recommendation of Computer<br />

Emergency Response Teams (CERTs),<br />

is of vital importance that a computer<br />

system intrusion is promptly<br />

i<strong>de</strong>ntified, in or<strong>de</strong>r to perform<br />

the actions that will avoid further<br />

damages within the information<br />

system infrastructure.<br />

Security Windows Event Logs Co<strong>de</strong>s<br />

can be mainly used to <strong>de</strong>scribe<br />

malicious activity, and these can be<br />

ad<strong>de</strong>d to antivirus signatures, IP<br />

addresses, URLs or domains to make<br />

IOCs more robust and specific to<br />

<strong>de</strong>termine if a computer system could<br />

be compromised.<br />

The containment step for the IR<br />

process is consi<strong>de</strong>red the most<br />

important; because it allows us to<br />

know if changes were ma<strong>de</strong> in the<br />

system, e.g., changes in privileges<br />

within registry keys, relocation of .dll<br />

system files or any other manipulation<br />

of processes and/or files during the<br />

intrusion on a computer system.<br />

Knowing the behavior of the attacker<br />

is of great importance, it helps to<br />

achieve a better analysis stage for<br />

IR and forensic analysis processes,<br />

applying proactive actions and<br />

preventing future intrusions, e.g.,<br />

computer system har<strong>de</strong>ning.<br />

Event logs should not be consi<strong>de</strong>red<br />

as isolated events; they have to be<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>red as a whole, that happen<br />

over a period of time and occur<br />

commonly, i.e., to obtain an IOC<br />

a failed login is not enough; this<br />

event must be associated with some<br />

others to <strong>de</strong>termine a compromised<br />

computer system event.<br />

This article presents a procedure to<br />

use Windows event logs to generate<br />

IOCs, achieving the <strong>de</strong>tection of a<br />

computer system intrusion and help<br />

the information security people or<br />

a CIRT to take quickly and effective<br />

<strong>de</strong>cisions to <strong>de</strong>fend the information<br />

system infrastructure.<br />

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Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.thinkmind.org/download.php?articleid=icimp_2016_2_20_30032<br />

13


Documentos publicados recientemente por otros<br />

bancos centrales u organismos gubernamentales<br />

Policy-effective financial knowledge and attitu<strong>de</strong> factors<br />

Gabriel Garber and Sergio Mikio Koyama<br />

Brasilia, Brasil: <strong>Banco</strong> Central <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Brasil, 2016. -- 47 p.: il. -- (Working papers; no. 430).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bcb.gov.br/pec/wps/ingl/wps430.pdf<br />

Peer-to-peer lending and financial innovation in the United Kingdom<br />

Ulrich Atz and David Bholat<br />

London, England Bank of England, 2016. -- 26 p.: il. -- (Working paper; no. 598).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Documents/workingpapers/2016/swp598.pdf<br />

Regresar a contenido<br />

14


Macropru<strong>de</strong>ntial regulation, credit spreads and the role of<br />

monetary policy<br />

William J Tayler and Roy Zilberman<br />

London, England: Bank of England, 2016. -- 30 p.: il. -- (Working paper; no. 599).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Documents/workingpapers/2016/swp599.pdf<br />

Financial networks, bank efficiency and risk-taking<br />

Thiago Christiano Silva, Solange Maria Guerra, Benjamin Miranda Tabak and<br />

Rodrigo Cesar <strong>de</strong> Castro Miranda<br />

Brasilia, Brasil: <strong>Banco</strong> Central <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Brasil, 2016. -- 28 p.: il. -- (Working papers; no. 428).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bcb.gov.br/pec/wps/ingl/wps428.pdf<br />

Effective macropru<strong>de</strong>ntial policy: Cross-sector substitution from<br />

price and quantity measures<br />

Janko Cizel, Jon Frost, Aerdt Houben and Peter Wierts<br />

Amsterdam, The Netherlands: De Ne<strong>de</strong>rlandsche Bank, 2016. -- 41 p.: il. -- (Working papers; no. 498).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.dnb.nl/en/binaries/Working%20paper%20498_tcm47-337172.pdf<br />

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15


Traditional banks, shadow banks and the US credit boom - credit<br />

origination versus financing<br />

Robert Unger<br />

Frankfurt am Main, Germany: Deutsche Bun<strong>de</strong>sbank, 2016. -- 31 p.: il. -- (Discussion paper; no. 11-2016).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bun<strong>de</strong>sbank.<strong>de</strong>/Redaktion/EN/Downloads/Publications/Discussion_Paper_1/2016/2016_04_26_dkp_11.pdf?__blob=publicationFile<br />

The rise of the ad<strong>de</strong>d worker effect<br />

Rigas Oikonomou; Jochen Mankart<br />

Frankfurt am Main, Germany: Deutsche Bun<strong>de</strong>sbank, 2016. -- 17 p.: il. -- (Discussion paper; no. 10-2016).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bun<strong>de</strong>sbank.<strong>de</strong>/Redaktion/EN/Downloads/Publications/Discussion_Paper_1/2016/2016_04_25_dkp_10.pdf?__blob=publicationFile<br />

Distributed ledger technologies in securities<br />

post-trading - Revolution or evolution?<br />

Andrea Pinna; Wiebe Ruttenberg<br />

Frankfurt am Main, Germany: European Central Bank, 2016. -- 33 p.: il. -- (Occasional paper series; no. 172).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecbop172.en.pdf<br />

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16


Cross-bor<strong>de</strong>r regulatory spillovers: How much? How important?<br />

What sectors? Lessons from the United Kingdom<br />

Robert Hills, Dennis Reinhardt, Rhiannon Sowerbutts and Tomasz Wiela<strong>de</strong>k<br />

London, England: Bank of England, 2016. -- 24 p.: il. -- (Working paper; no. 595).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Documents/workingpapers/2016/swp595.pdf<br />

Cyclical investment behavior across financial institutions<br />

Yannick Timmer<br />

Frankfurt am Main, Germany: Deutsche Bun<strong>de</strong>sbank, 2016. -- 33 p.: il. -- (Discussion paper; no. 08-2016).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bun<strong>de</strong>sbank.<strong>de</strong>/Redaktion/EN/Downloads/Publications/Discussion_Paper_1/2016/2016_04_20_dkp_08.pdf?__blob=publicationFile<br />

Pass-through of bank funding costs to lending and <strong>de</strong>posit rates:<br />

lessons from the financial crisis<br />

Rashmi Harimohan, Michael McLeay and Garry Young<br />

London, England: Bank of England, 2016. -- 41 p.: il. -- (Working paper; no. 590).<br />

Liga <strong>de</strong> acceso:<br />

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Documents/workingpapers/2016/swp590.pdf<br />

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17


Para cualquier información sobre este <strong>Boletín</strong> favor <strong>de</strong> contactar a la<br />

Oficina <strong>de</strong> Servicios <strong>Biblioteca</strong>rios al teléfono 523 72000 ext. 4789 y 5791<br />

o dirigir un correo electrónico a: osbib@banxico.org.mx<br />

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<strong>Biblioteca</strong> <strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> <strong>Banco</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>México</strong>, espacio <strong>de</strong> vanguardia e integración<br />

18

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