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Millennials on the Rise Report 2022

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O N T H E R I S E<br />

T H E M O S T C O M P R E H E N S I V E D A T A<br />

O N Y O U N G P E O P L E R U N N I N G F O R<br />

C O N G R E S S I N 2 0 2 2<br />

NOVEMBER <strong>2022</strong>


Intro<br />

Candidate Count<br />

Millennial Incumbents<br />

INDEX<br />

About MAP<br />

Methodology<br />

Partisan Breakdown<br />

Gender Breakdown<br />

MAP's C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Future Caucus<br />

<strong>2022</strong> Overview<br />

Geographic<br />

Why It Matters<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong>


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g> and Gen Zers are transforming our politics. In <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>2022</strong> editi<strong>on</strong> of our <str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Rise</strong> report, we tracked <strong>the</strong><br />

young people stepping forward to run for C<strong>on</strong>gress and bring<br />

generati<strong>on</strong>al change to Washingt<strong>on</strong>.<br />

At Millennial Acti<strong>on</strong> Project, we believe in <strong>the</strong> power of <strong>the</strong> next<br />

generati<strong>on</strong> to improve how our nati<strong>on</strong> governs. Our audacious<br />

missi<strong>on</strong> centers <strong>on</strong> activating young leaders to bridge <strong>the</strong><br />

partisan divide and transform American politics. The numbers in<br />

this report prove that change is already underway. With <strong>on</strong>e out<br />

of every six candidates for C<strong>on</strong>gress this cycle coming from <strong>the</strong><br />

millennial generati<strong>on</strong> - a 57% increase in <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

millennial candidates compared to 2020 - it's clear young<br />

Americans are running toward what needs to be fixed, not away<br />

from it.<br />

I N T R O<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Rise</strong> is an effort to better understand <strong>the</strong><br />

trends and demographics behind <strong>the</strong> rising generati<strong>on</strong> of leaders,<br />

because <strong>the</strong>se are <strong>the</strong> leaders who will shape our future.<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Layla Zaidane<br />

CEO & President of Millennial Acti<strong>on</strong> Project<br />

Layla Zaidane,<br />

MAP President & CEO


MILLENNIAL ACTION PROJECT<br />

Our Missi<strong>on</strong><br />

The Millennial Acti<strong>on</strong> Project has an audacious missi<strong>on</strong>:<br />

activate young leaders to bridge <strong>the</strong> partisan divide<br />

and transform American politics.<br />

Our Work<br />

The Millennial Acti<strong>on</strong> Project works directly with our<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>’s leading young policymakers <strong>on</strong> both a nati<strong>on</strong>al and<br />

state level to bridge <strong>the</strong> partisan divide and lead a new era<br />

of collaborative governance. As a nati<strong>on</strong>al, n<strong>on</strong>partisan<br />

n<strong>on</strong>profit dedicated to activating Millennial and Gen Z<br />

policymakers, MAP gives our nati<strong>on</strong>’s young leaders <strong>the</strong><br />

resources and support to develop and pass innovative<br />

policy soluti<strong>on</strong>s — and forge productive partnerships <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

issues affecting <strong>the</strong> youngest generati<strong>on</strong>s of Americans.


M E T H O D O L O G Y<br />

In assembling data for this report, lists of November 8,<br />

<strong>2022</strong> candidates were obtained from each<br />

State/Territory's Secretary of State website, or when not<br />

available from Ballotopedia. Write-in candidates and<br />

those deemed multiple decades older than 45 were<br />

eliminated from data collecti<strong>on</strong>. Ages were <strong>the</strong>n obtained<br />

from proprietary candidate surveys distributed by MAP as<br />

well as publicly available informati<strong>on</strong>: a combinati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

Wikipedia pages, campaign websites, news articles,<br />

social media profiles, and a Radaris search. When Radaris<br />

was used, all available informati<strong>on</strong> (e.g., current locati<strong>on</strong><br />

and locati<strong>on</strong> history, family members, educati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

history, etc.) was used to narrow down searches that<br />

yielded multiple people. Candidates for whom we could<br />

not c<strong>on</strong>fidently c<strong>on</strong>clude an age are not included in <strong>the</strong>se<br />

numbers.


2 0 2 2 E L E C T I O N S<br />

A T A G L A N C E<br />

GEN Z VOTERS<br />

MILLENNIAL VOTERS<br />

13.5% of <strong>the</strong> electorate<br />

27% of <strong>the</strong> electorate<br />

*Data source: Center for American Progress. Eligible Gen Z voters are an estimate based <strong>on</strong> 2020 and 2024 projecti<strong>on</strong>s.


Candidate Count<br />

334 193 91<br />

Age 45 or younger<br />

"True" <str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Age 35 or younger<br />

There are 334 candidates for <strong>the</strong> U.S. House and<br />

Senate who are age 45 or younger, <strong>the</strong> cutoff for<br />

membership in MAP's network. Sometimes<br />

referred to as "Xennials," lawmakers aged 42-45<br />

represent a shift towards youth political<br />

leadership in a world where <strong>the</strong> average age of<br />

<strong>the</strong> U.S. House is 59 years old.<br />

This report defines true millennials as a<br />

pers<strong>on</strong> born between 1981 and 1996.<br />

While <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>on</strong>ly a four year gap<br />

between candidates aged 45 and true<br />

millennials, this distincti<strong>on</strong> marks a<br />

disproporti<strong>on</strong>ate decrease. Of <strong>the</strong> 334<br />

total candidates, <strong>on</strong>ly 193 are true<br />

millennials.<br />

The 91 candidates under age 35 are<br />

made up of 89 true millennials and two<br />

Gen Z candidates. While people under<br />

age 35 represent 63% of <strong>the</strong> millennial<br />

generati<strong>on</strong>, <strong>on</strong>ly 46% of millennials<br />

running are under 35.<br />

Two Gen Z candidates are <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> ballot for <strong>the</strong> first


Increase in Candidates<br />

Aged 45 and Under<br />

42%<br />

COMPARISON TO<br />

2020<br />

Increase in "True"<br />

Millennial Candidates<br />

From 2020 to <strong>2022</strong>, <strong>the</strong>re was a<br />

42% increase in candidates aged 45<br />

and under running for C<strong>on</strong>gress.<br />

This includes a 57% increase for<br />

true Millennial candidates (born<br />

between 1981 and 1996).<br />

57%


Of <strong>the</strong> candidates for <strong>the</strong> U.S. House and<br />

Senate in <strong>2022</strong>, approximately 27% are 45<br />

and under, 16% are <str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g>, and 7.6% are<br />

35 and under.<br />

1 out of 6<br />

C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al candidates<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>wide are<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g>


PARTISAN<br />

BREAKDOWN<br />

Republicans<br />

36.8%<br />

Democrats<br />

39.3%<br />

Slightly more young people are running<br />

as Democrats than as Republicans.<br />

Of <strong>the</strong> 334 candidates running for<br />

C<strong>on</strong>gress who are 45 or younger, 131<br />

are Democrats, 123 are Republicans,<br />

46 are Libertarians, 20 are<br />

Independents or have no party<br />

preference, and 14 bel<strong>on</strong>g to ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

party.<br />

Independents<br />

6%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Party<br />

4.2%<br />

Libertarians<br />

13.7%


GENDER BREAKDOWN<br />

30.8% 68.9%<br />

Women<br />

Men<br />

Of <strong>the</strong> 334 candidates running for C<strong>on</strong>gress age 45 or<br />

younger, 103 are women, 230 are men, and <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>on</strong>e n<strong>on</strong>binary<br />

candidate.<br />

In 2020, 41% of <strong>the</strong> candidates age 45 and under were<br />

women. In <strong>2022</strong>, that number has dipped to just under 31%.


GEOGRAPHIC<br />

DISTRIBUTION<br />

The states with <strong>the</strong> greatest<br />

number of young candidates<br />

include Florida, California, Texas,<br />

and New York.<br />

This heat map shows <strong>the</strong> quantity<br />

of candidates for <strong>the</strong> U.S. House<br />

and Senate under <strong>the</strong> age of 45.


State Candidates State Candidates<br />

Florida 28 Pennsylvania 9<br />

California 26 Tennessee 9<br />

Texas 24 Indiana 8<br />

New York 21 Oklahoma 8<br />

Colorado 15 Virginia 8<br />

GEOGRAPHIC<br />

DISTRIBUTION<br />

Louisiana 14 Alabama 7<br />

Michigan 12 Missouri 7<br />

Illinois 11 North Carolina 7<br />

This state-by-state breakdown<br />

shows <strong>the</strong> quantity of candidates<br />

for <strong>the</strong> U.S. House and Senate<br />

under <strong>the</strong> age of 45.<br />

New Jersey 11 Ariz<strong>on</strong>a 6<br />

Ohio 11 Georgia 6


State Candidates State Candidates State Candidates<br />

South Carolina 6 Utah 4 North Dakota 2<br />

Washingt<strong>on</strong> 6 Hawaii 3 West Virginia 2<br />

Maryland 5 Iowa 3 Wyoming 2<br />

Massachusetts 5 New Mexico 3 C<strong>on</strong>necticut 1<br />

Minnesota 5 Oreg<strong>on</strong> 3 Delaware 1<br />

Wisc<strong>on</strong>sin 5 Verm<strong>on</strong>t 3 Maine 1<br />

Arkansas 4 Alaska 2 Nevada 1<br />

Kansas 4 Idaho 2 South Dakota 1<br />

Kentucky 4 Mississippi 2 M<strong>on</strong>tana 0<br />

New<br />

Hampshire<br />

4 Nebraska 2 Rhode Island 0


Sen. J<strong>on</strong> Ossoff (GA) is <strong>the</strong> first<br />

"true" Millennial elected to serve in <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />

Senate.<br />

MILLENNIAL<br />

INCUMBENTS<br />

There are 67 incumbents who are 45 or younger.<br />

Eight of <strong>the</strong>m decided not to seek re-electi<strong>on</strong>,<br />

and 4 were defeated in <strong>the</strong>ir primary. Three of<br />

<strong>the</strong> 67 incumbents are in <strong>the</strong> Senate - J<strong>on</strong><br />

Ossof (D-GA),<br />

Josh Hawley (R-MO), and Tom Cott<strong>on</strong> (R-AR)<br />

Of <strong>the</strong>se 67, <strong>the</strong>re are 33 incumbents who are<br />

true <str<strong>on</strong>g>Millennials</str<strong>on</strong>g>. Four decided not to seek reelecti<strong>on</strong>,<br />

and 3 lost <strong>the</strong>ir primaries, all of whom<br />

are 35 or younger.


Rep. Blake Moore (R-UT)<br />

C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al Future Caucus Co-<br />

Chair<br />

CONGRESSIONAL<br />

FUTURE CAUCUS<br />

Rep. Sara Jacobs (D-CA)<br />

C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al Future Caucus Co-<br />

Chair<br />

The C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al Future Caucus (CFC) is our nati<strong>on</strong>'s first and <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

bipartisan caucus for young members of C<strong>on</strong>gress.<br />

Members of <strong>the</strong> CFC come toge<strong>the</strong>r to identify and enact soluti<strong>on</strong>s to<br />

<strong>the</strong> problems facing America’s youngest generati<strong>on</strong>s. By c<strong>on</strong>vening<br />

across <strong>the</strong> aisle and dem<strong>on</strong>strating a new political c<strong>on</strong>sciousness,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se legislators are breaking <strong>the</strong> status-quo of hyper-partisanship<br />

and proving America’s next generati<strong>on</strong> leads differently.


WHY IT<br />

MATTERS<br />

Young legislators are redefining how<br />

America governs.<br />

Younger legislators are leading <strong>the</strong> charge in finding comm<strong>on</strong> ground in <strong>the</strong> halls of C<strong>on</strong>gress.<br />

Members of <strong>the</strong> Millennial Acti<strong>on</strong> Project’s C<strong>on</strong>gressi<strong>on</strong>al Future Caucus stand out as some of<br />

<strong>the</strong> most collaborative members of C<strong>on</strong>gress when it comes to working across <strong>the</strong> aisle,<br />

according to <strong>the</strong> Lugar Center's most recent 2021 Bipartisan Index scores.<br />

Despite comm<strong>on</strong> misc<strong>on</strong>cepti<strong>on</strong>s about <strong>the</strong> partisanship of rising generati<strong>on</strong>s, Members 45<br />

years old or younger have been scored as more bipartisan than <strong>the</strong>ir older peers for <strong>the</strong> last<br />

three C<strong>on</strong>gresses in a row. Both Republicans and Democrats in this cohort score above <strong>the</strong><br />

historical average for bipartisanship. As more young people join C<strong>on</strong>gress, our country can<br />

anticipate leaders who are willing to work collaboratively to solve our most pressing<br />

problems.

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