earthquake loss estimation model - IIASA

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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Transfer and retention strategies – Private buildings Bogota PORCENTAJE DEL VALOR ASEGURABLE TOTAL 1.8‰ 55 MDD RETENCIÓN 0.60‰ 18 MDD 100% ?? % 11.8% 3% 0% SIN PROTECCIÓN Gobierno Nacional (Subsidios, impuestos especiales, otros) Administración Distrital Banco Mundial / BID (créditos contingentes especiales) Seguro voluntario u obligatorio (No Exentos cubren Exentos) Instrumento de Seguros y Reaseguros Fondo de Reservas (Deducible de los Exentos) CIFRAS EN BILLONES DE DOLARES 29 Pérdida Real Evento Catastrófico 3.5 (PML1500 años) 0.9 Administración Distrital y/o Gobierno Nacional + Propietarios predios No Exentos
SEISMIC RISK MANAGEMENT Cross-subsidizing Instrument Elements to consider Full coverage (all buildings) Social welfare – balance (taxpayers pay for nontaxpayers) Insured value (legal base) Premium collection- City tax collecting system Cover deductibles for low income housing Coverage limit (reinsurance market capacity) Additional coverage (provided by other instruments) Tax-exempt owners’ claims process
Page 1 and 2: EARTHQUAKE LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FO
Page 3 and 4: BACKGROUND 1
Page 5 and 6: NEED OF A FINANCIAL STRATEGY Nation
Page 7 and 8: PROBABILISTIC EARTHQUAKE RISK MODEL
Page 9 and 10: NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MAP LOW Pan
Page 11 and 12: BOGOTA UNITS BOGOTA Population Mill
Page 13 and 14: LOCAL SOIL AMPLIFICATION EFFECTS 0.
Page 15 and 16: SEISMIC HAZARD AT LOCAL LEVEL Maniz
Page 17 and 18: 2) SEISMIC EXPOSURE AT LOCAL LEVEL
Page 19 and 20: SEISMIC EXPOSURE AT LOCAL LEVEL Bog
Page 21 and 22: SEISMIC EXPOSURE AT LOCAL LEVEL Bog
Page 23 and 24: 3) VULNERABILITY FUNCTIONS P*seno(w
Page 25 and 26: Expected damage [%] VULNERABILITY M
Page 27 and 28: APPLICATIONS OF PROBABILITY RISK MO
Page 29 and 30: RISK MITIGATION INFORMATION Example
Page 31 and 32: RISK MITIGATION INFORMATION Example
Page 33 and 34: RISK RETENTION AND TRANSFER PARAMET
Page 35: PROBABILISTIC LOSS ESTIMATION EXCED
Page 39 and 40: SEISMIC RISK MANAGEMENT Cross-subsi
Page 41 and 42: RETENTION AND TRANSFER STRATEGY Por
Page 43: Thank you very much lyamin@uniandes

earthquake loss estimation model - IIASA

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