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O Problema Geral em Inferência Bayesiana• Dado: y Parâmetro: θ• p(θ|y) = p(y| θ) p(θ) / p(y)• p(y) = ∫ p(y, θ) dθ =∫ p(y| θ) p(θ) dθ• InteresseE [g(θ)|y] = ∫ g(θ) p(θ|y) dθθ|y