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Antaganden om olycksfall - Konsekvenser för utredning.pdf

Antaganden om olycksfall - Konsekvenser för utredning.pdf

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Industrial<br />

revolution<br />

21 April 2010<br />

Historiskt sätt har fokus<br />

på olika orsaksk<strong>om</strong>binationer varierat<br />

1769 1860<br />

1910<br />

2010<br />

1930 1956 1960<br />

D<strong>om</strong>ino theory<br />

& Iceberg model<br />

1950<br />

C<strong>om</strong>puterization<br />

Accident<br />

syndr<strong>om</strong>e<br />

Barrierenergy<br />

concept<br />

AGENT<br />

Accident prone individual<br />

(sex, age)<br />

ACCIDENT HOST<br />

Fast car with bad tyres<br />

ENVIRONMENT<br />

Physical environment (e.g. winter)<br />

(Socio-econ<strong>om</strong>y)<br />

Epidemiological<br />

model<br />

1961<br />

1979<br />

Three<br />

mile<br />

island<br />

ACITIVITY<br />

Flying an aircraft<br />

Bulid-up<br />

Discrepand causual chains<br />

(not noticed)<br />

Surprise<br />

DISASTER<br />

Man-made<br />

disasters<br />

1978<br />

Normal<br />

Accidents<br />

1984<br />

(repeated similar actions)<br />

WORK<br />

NORMAL<br />

1986<br />

Chernobyl,<br />

Challenger<br />

Latent conditions:<br />

failed or absent<br />

defenses<br />

Active failures<br />

Organizational influences<br />

Unsafe supervision<br />

Preconditions for unsafe acts<br />

Unsafe acts<br />

Swiss<br />

cheeze<br />

1990

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