19.02.2013 Views

Weekly Composite Economic Indicators - InterMarket Research ...

Weekly Composite Economic Indicators - InterMarket Research ...

Weekly Composite Economic Indicators - InterMarket Research ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

2000<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

0<br />

200<br />

400<br />

600<br />

800<br />

1000<br />

1200<br />

1400<br />

1600<br />

1800<br />

2000<br />

2200<br />

- ECRI <strong>Weekly</strong> Leading <strong>Indicators</strong> vs. S&P 500 Index -<br />

Figure 3.<br />

S&P 500 INDEX vs. ECRI WEEKLY LEADING INDEX<br />

S&P 500 Index<br />

ECRI <strong>Weekly</strong><br />

Leading Index<br />

(1992=100. 4-wa)<br />

73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15<br />

Note: Shaded areas denote recessions according to the National Bureau of <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Research</strong>.<br />

Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation and <strong>Economic</strong> Cycle <strong>Research</strong> Institute (ECRI).<br />

Figure 4.<br />

HIGH YIELD CORPORATE LESS 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD SPREAD<br />

(basis points, inverted scale)<br />

Spread<br />

ECRI <strong>Weekly</strong> Leading Index<br />

(1992=100. 4-wa)<br />

9/28<br />

yardeni.com<br />

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Note: Shaded areas denote recessions according to the National Bureau of <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Research</strong>.<br />

Source: Merrill Lynch, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and <strong>Economic</strong> Cycle <strong>Research</strong> Institute (ECRI).<br />

Page 2 / October 1, 2012 / <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Composite</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Indicators</strong><br />

9/28<br />

9/21<br />

yardeni.com<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

Yardeni <strong>Research</strong>, Inc.<br />

www.yardeni.com

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!