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LEG Housing Market Report NRW 2012

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Gelsenkirchen<br />

Falling unemployment leads to<br />

slight rise in purchasing power<br />

Gelsenkirchen is particularly wellknown<br />

throughout Germany as the<br />

home of the soccer club Schalke 04 –<br />

but the former coal mining center has<br />

plenty of other things to attract visitors. The<br />

“Zoom Erlebniswelt”, for example: The former<br />

Ruhr Zoo is now home to a wide variety<br />

of exotic animals on a 25-hectare site, almost<br />

40 times the size of the Veltins Arena<br />

used by the Schalke team. Just like many<br />

other cities, however, Gelsenkirchen will<br />

have to come to terms with further population<br />

decline despite these attractive leisure<br />

options. According to forecasts, the city<br />

will lose almost 8 percent of its just under<br />

258,000 inhabitants and around 131,000<br />

households between now and 2025. As<br />

such, dismantling will certainly have to play<br />

a part in the future development of the city.<br />

Living space to meet new demands<br />

Accessible apartments and intergenerational<br />

houses already account for a certain proportion<br />

of new construction activity. In 2010,<br />

332 new residential units were approved –<br />

99 more than in the previous year. At 229,<br />

the number of completions was largely on<br />

a level with the previous year (236). Once<br />

known as the “city of a thousand fires”,<br />

Gelsenkirchen is still grappling with the economic<br />

consequences of structural change.<br />

The city continues to have the highest unem-<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> stock data 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Vacancy rate in %<br />

Permits for new buildings<br />

Finished apartments<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> stock<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> stock in apartment buildings<br />

Source: empirica (vacancy), <strong>NRW</strong> Statistics Office, compiled by CBRE<br />

86 | <strong>LEG</strong> <strong>Housing</strong> <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>NRW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

ployment rate of all the cities and districts of<br />

North Rhine-Westphalia included in this report.<br />

However, the figure has fallen sharply<br />

over recent years. Unemployment was still<br />

as high as 23.4 percent in 2005. Fast forward<br />

six years and the unemployment rate<br />

had dropped by almost 10 percentage points<br />

to 14.2 percent. With chemicals, metal processing,<br />

energy and healthcare, the Ruhr city<br />

is doing everything in its power to find its<br />

feet – including prioritizing education and<br />

training. Gelsenkirchen University of Applied<br />

Sciences, which has faculties in Bocholt<br />

and Recklinghausen, has a good reputation<br />

in the university landscape of North Rhine-<br />

Westphalia. Another key element of the local<br />

qualification campaign is Hans Schwier<br />

Vocational College, which is home to all of<br />

the students in the state studying professions<br />

with only a small number of trainees.<br />

Despite growth over recent years, Gelsenkirchen<br />

remains one of the cities with the<br />

lowest purchasing power in North Rhine-<br />

Westphalia: Residents have average annual<br />

income of €17,214 per capita. With average<br />

rents also low, however, the housing cost<br />

burden is moderate.<br />

Rental properties in the lower<br />

market segment in demand<br />

Rental development in Gelsenkirchen was<br />

inconsistent in 2011. Across the city as a<br />

whole, asking rents for apartments were<br />

0.6 percent lower than in the previous year,<br />

with newly advertised properties commanding<br />

an average of €4.75 per square<br />

meter per month. By contrast, apartments<br />

in the lower market segment were<br />

significantly more expensive than in the<br />

previous year. At €3.81 per square meter<br />

per month, tenants had to pay almost 20<br />

cents more for a newly advertised apartment<br />

than in 2010 – a rise of 5.2 percent.<br />

Although prices fell by 2.2 percent in the<br />

period from 2009 to 2010, this ultimately<br />

means that affordable housing is now more<br />

expensive than it was two years ago. In the<br />

upper market segment, the trend of falling<br />

rents that began in the previous year continued,<br />

with the average asking rent declining<br />

by 6.4 percent to €6.03 per square<br />

meter. Postcode area 45894 (Buer) is a special<br />

case. Asking rents per square meter<br />

in the upper market segment are around<br />

the €8 mark, significantly higher than the<br />

other postcode areas. At €3,358, however,<br />

households in Buer also have easily the<br />

highest purchasing power in the city, meaning<br />

that they can cope with corresponding<br />

rents and they have a housing cost ratio of<br />

just 17.5 percent.<br />

Compared with 2009, average rents in six<br />

of the 13 postcode areas are now higher,<br />

while prospective new tenants pay less in<br />

five of the postcode areas. In the other two<br />

3.4 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.8 n/a<br />

381 395 256 159 205 233 332<br />

256 348 517 198 172 236 229<br />

141,214 141,535 142,030 142,069 142,175 142,285 142,506<br />

84.5 84.4 84.3 84.2 84.2 84.2 84.1

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