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Review1 of Liber De Ludo Aleae (Book on Games of Chance) by ...

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Review 1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Abraham de Moivre’s A Method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximating the Sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Binomial<br />

(a+b) n …From The Doctrine <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Chance</strong>s<br />

1. Biographical Notes<br />

According to Isaac Todhunter in his text, A History <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Mathematical Theory <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probability2:<br />

“Abraham de Moivre was born at Vitri, in Champagne, in 1667. On<br />

account <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the revocati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the edict <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Nantes3, in 1685, he took shelter<br />

in England, where he supported himself <strong>by</strong> giving instructi<strong>on</strong> in<br />

mathematics and answers to questi<strong>on</strong>s relating to chances and annuities.<br />

He died at L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> in 1754…<str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre was elected a Fellow <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

Royal Society in 1697…It is recorded that Newt<strong>on</strong> himself, in the later<br />

years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> his life, used to reply to inquirers respecting mathematics in<br />

these words: ‘Go to Mr. <str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre, he knows these things better than I<br />

do’…”<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre is well known for the theorem:<br />

n<br />

[cos( θ ) + isin(<br />

θ )] = cos( nθ<br />

) + isin(<br />

nθ<br />

)<br />

2. Review <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the article<br />

This review relates to a supplementary article entitled A Method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximating the Sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the Binomial (a+b) n expanded into a Series, from whence are deduced some practical Rules to estimate<br />

the <str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g>gree <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assent which is to be given to Experiments (referred to as the Approximatio), which appears<br />

in later editi<strong>on</strong>s (after 1733) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Abraham <str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre’s text <strong>on</strong> probabilities, The Doctrine <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Chance</strong>s, first<br />

published in 1718.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre’s mathematical presentati<strong>on</strong> in the Approximatio begins with a discussi<strong>on</strong> relating to<br />

approximating the ratio <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the middle term <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the binomial (1+1) raised to very large n, to the sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all<br />

terms (2 n ). It is indicated that this approximati<strong>on</strong> was developed several years earlier. As a result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s from James Stirling, it was found that the approximate ratio could be written as<br />

where c is the circumference <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a circle with radius equal to 1. The value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c is then 2π.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>De</str<strong>on</strong>g> Moivre next states:<br />

2<br />

nc<br />

1 Submitted for STA 4000H under the directi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>essor Jeffrey Rosenthal.<br />

2 A History <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Mathematical Theory <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Probability, page 78, <strong>by</strong> Isaac Todhunter, Chelsea Publishing Co., New<br />

York (1965 unaltered reprint <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the First Editi<strong>on</strong>, Cambridge 1865).<br />

3 The Edict <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Nantes was a proclamati<strong>on</strong> <strong>by</strong> King Henry IV <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> France and Navarre, guaranteeing civil and religious<br />

rights to the Huguenots.<br />

28

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