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food inflation in india: present scenario - indian research journals

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IRJC<br />

International Journal of Social Science & Interdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ary Research__________________________________ ISSN 2277 3630<br />

Vol.2 (2), FEBRUARY (2013)<br />

Onl<strong>in</strong>e available at <strong>in</strong>dian<strong>research</strong><strong>journals</strong>.com<br />

more money is <strong>in</strong>jected <strong>in</strong>to the economy which is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the purchas<strong>in</strong>g power of the<br />

people the key reason to <strong>in</strong>duce demand.<br />

3. Food Price Pressures: Food price <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> has been a major driver of <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g the year<br />

2011-2012, because lack of ra<strong>in</strong>fall dur<strong>in</strong>g the monsoon season often hits India's <strong>food</strong><br />

production. In addition, the structural change <strong>in</strong> <strong>food</strong> <strong>in</strong>take has significantly contributed to<br />

<strong>food</strong> price <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2011-12.<br />

4. Import Price Pressures: Import price pressures have also been an important factor for overall<br />

<strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> as India has become a more open economy over the past 10 years. In fact, the<br />

imported goods-to-GDP ratio doubled from just above 11 percent <strong>in</strong> the f<strong>in</strong>ancial year 2000-<br />

01 to 21.9 percent <strong>in</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Year 2010-11 with bulk imports, such as crude oil, metals,<br />

rubber and <strong>food</strong> articles account for 42.7 percent of total imports.<br />

5. Inflation Expectations: In the RBI's latest <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> expectations survey of households,<br />

respondents' <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> expectations for three months ahead <strong>in</strong>ched up to 12.2 percent <strong>in</strong> the<br />

third quarter of 2011 from 11.8 percent <strong>in</strong> the second quarter. Overall, <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> expectations<br />

have been largely driven by <strong>food</strong> price <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> <strong>in</strong> India as <strong>food</strong> constitutes more than 50<br />

percent of the average Indian household's consumption basket. WPI <strong>food</strong> <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> dropped<br />

from 20.2% <strong>in</strong> February 2010 to 1.6% <strong>in</strong> January 2012, calibrated steps <strong>in</strong>itiated to re<strong>in</strong>-<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> on top priority.<br />

6. Other Factors: The <strong>food</strong> subsidy <strong>in</strong> India is poorly targeted. Many of the poor receive<br />

<strong>in</strong>significant amounts of subsidy and depend on the market to access supplies. In spite of this,<br />

a reduction <strong>in</strong> the <strong>food</strong> subsidy is not <strong>in</strong> their <strong>in</strong>terest as the reduction <strong>in</strong> subsidy <strong>in</strong>creases the<br />

market price of <strong>food</strong>. The <strong>in</strong>efficient storage and mal-function<strong>in</strong>g of Public Distribution<br />

System has also led to <strong><strong>in</strong>flation</strong> of <strong>food</strong> commodities.<br />

OPTIONS TO ENSURE PRICE STABILITY IN FOOD ITEMS<br />

The per-hectare agricultural yield <strong>in</strong> India is half that of Ch<strong>in</strong>a. This aga<strong>in</strong> po<strong>in</strong>ts of<br />

<strong>in</strong>efficiency and the failure to help the farmers adopt latest technology <strong>in</strong> order to <strong>in</strong>crease the<br />

crop output. These th<strong>in</strong>gs have not been taken care of <strong>in</strong> the past and even when discussed<br />

noth<strong>in</strong>g substantial has been done <strong>in</strong> order to overcome these challenges. Steps are to be taken<br />

<strong>in</strong> the near future to ensure m<strong>in</strong>imal <strong>food</strong> wastage, high crop productivity and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

irrigated land. If the INR 58,000 crore of <strong>food</strong> crops is not wasted on an annual basis, India's<br />

deficits could be wiped out <strong>in</strong> less then a decade without any other measures be<strong>in</strong>g taken.<br />

However, look<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to the very near term, some ways to ease <strong>food</strong> prices would be:<br />

Another major related issue is the strengthen<strong>in</strong>g of the supply cha<strong>in</strong> so as to avoid wastage of<br />

perishable products. One suggestive measure <strong>in</strong> this regard could be the expeditious<br />

completion of the Agriculture Produce Market<strong>in</strong>g Committee (APMC) Acts reforms <strong>in</strong><br />

different states so that enough flexibility is imparted to farmers to sell their produce. Further,<br />

it is important to develop a robust agricultural market<strong>in</strong>g system through adequate <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

- domestic and/or foreign - so as to strengthen the back end <strong>in</strong>frastructure and reduce<br />

wastages.<br />

For promot<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terstate trade, a commodity for which market fee has been paid once must not<br />

be subjected to subsequent market fee <strong>in</strong> other markets <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g that for transaction <strong>in</strong> other<br />

55

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