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Populists in the Pluralist Heaven:

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At <strong>the</strong> aggregate level <strong>the</strong>re are fewer <strong>the</strong>ories that describe group mobilizations and<br />

those that do focus on <strong>the</strong> bene ts side. Olson (1982), while focus<strong>in</strong>g more on <strong>the</strong> con-<br />

sequences of group mobilizations, has <strong>the</strong> implication that groups should accumulate over<br />

time, <strong>in</strong>dependent of o<strong>the</strong>r reasons to form. Shortly <strong>the</strong>reafter, <strong>the</strong> Virg<strong>in</strong>ia School (Mueller<br />

and Murrell 1986; Coughl<strong>in</strong>, Mueller and Murrell 1990; Mitchell and Munger 1991) began<br />

model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives of government o cials to attract groups and <strong>the</strong>ir money, conclud-<br />

<strong>in</strong>g that legislators would o er policy <strong>in</strong> exchange for electoral resources: states that spend<br />

more should attract more groups. Gray and Lowery (1996), referr<strong>in</strong>g to this as <strong>the</strong> \hey kid,<br />

wanna buy some crack" model, substitute biological models of species density and diversity<br />

for rational choice models. Their model, dubbed <strong>the</strong> Energy-Stability-Area model (ESA)<br />

has three key components: <strong>the</strong> carry<strong>in</strong>g capacity, or area, of a state, <strong>in</strong>dicated by <strong>the</strong> size<br />

of its economic activity; <strong>the</strong> energy available for groups to consume, measured by <strong>the</strong> size of<br />

government output; and <strong>the</strong> stability of <strong>the</strong> environment, measured by <strong>the</strong> uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over<br />

which party will be <strong>in</strong> control. Analyz<strong>in</strong>g state <strong>in</strong>terest group populations <strong>in</strong> 1975, 1980 and<br />

1990 <strong>the</strong>y nd some support for <strong>the</strong> ESA model and little for its competitors.<br />

These <strong>in</strong>quiries focus primarily on what groups are try<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong> uence: <strong>the</strong>ir share of<br />

government money. By <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> potential bene ts for groups to form, states that are<br />

larger <strong>in</strong> economic terms and have more government activity should have more groups that<br />

have successfully mobilized. The o<strong>the</strong>r component of <strong>the</strong> bene t side is <strong>the</strong> ability to exert<br />

<strong>in</strong> uence, which is a ected by which political <strong>in</strong>stitutions are available to groups. By alter<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>stitutions, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centives to become active are also altered. Walker (1991) discusses<br />

<strong>the</strong> ways <strong>in</strong> which groups overcome <strong>the</strong> obstacles to mobilization and suggests that political<br />

4

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