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The 22nd Century at First Light - the denning institute

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Bronze ages), in which everything th<strong>at</strong> can possibly be<br />

made from biom<strong>at</strong>erials will be.<br />

<strong>The</strong> forest and agriculture sectors are developing into<br />

a bio-economy, which can use any bio raw m<strong>at</strong>erial to<br />

manufacture anything: gas, fluid, fiber, mass, molecules,<br />

energy. Artificial me<strong>at</strong> will grow in <strong>the</strong> cow-byres<br />

of <strong>the</strong> future, mobile phones will be compostable, and<br />

many kinds of consumer goods (such as chairs, mobile<br />

phones, and clo<strong>the</strong>s) will be printed from biom<strong>at</strong>erials<br />

and grown from seeds and stem cells.<br />

All of <strong>the</strong>se technologies and changes hold importance<br />

similar to <strong>the</strong> invention of <strong>the</strong> steam engine. <strong>The</strong>y<br />

have brought and will continue to bring profound<br />

changes to our economy, our way of life, and even our<br />

cultural history.<br />

Healthy Aging in <strong>the</strong> <strong>22nd</strong> <strong>Century</strong><br />

By Marta M. Keane<br />

Wh<strong>at</strong> will <strong>the</strong> term elder mean in <strong>the</strong> future? And <strong>at</strong><br />

wh<strong>at</strong> age will someone be considered an elder in 2100?<br />

I’m now 88, but it is something<br />

completely different from wh<strong>at</strong> it used<br />

to be in your days. This is probably <strong>the</strong><br />

biggest change: We don’t have to get<br />

old and die.<br />

Already when I was born, <strong>the</strong> concept<br />

of rejuven<strong>at</strong>ion was understood in<br />

<strong>the</strong>ory: We knew wh<strong>at</strong> needs to be<br />

done <strong>at</strong> <strong>the</strong> cell level. It took some time<br />

to make it happen also in practice.<br />

Now, to stay young is actually cheaper<br />

than to get old.<br />

Accidents do still happen, but regrowing<br />

organs was perfected already<br />

in <strong>the</strong> 2050s. It’s a self-service society<br />

up to <strong>the</strong> finish line. It is up to you to<br />

shuffle off your own mortal coil.<br />

You may have considered <strong>the</strong> popu-<br />

Scenario<br />

Paradise Found: No Aging, No Pensions<br />

By Jouni J. Särkijärvi<br />

l<strong>at</strong>ion explosion of your time intolerable,<br />

so wh<strong>at</strong> happens when people<br />

stop both dying and losing <strong>the</strong>ir fertility?<br />

<strong>The</strong> problem used to be th<strong>at</strong> people<br />

squandered resources and <strong>the</strong>re was<br />

not enough food. Actually, <strong>the</strong>re would<br />

have been enough food if people had<br />

had money for it. Both <strong>the</strong>se problems<br />

were expressions of primitive technology.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Sun provides us with more<br />

40 THE FUTURIST September-October 2012 • www.wfs.org<br />

To be born in 2012 and only be 88 years old in 2100<br />

will probably mean middle age r<strong>at</strong>her than elderhood.<br />

Elders will be those who have lived triple-digit<br />

years and have been through several careers and<br />

cycles of educ<strong>at</strong>ion, career, and leisure. <strong>The</strong>se elders<br />

will have exponentially more knowledge and experience,<br />

and <strong>the</strong>y will continue to be contributing to<br />

society. Technology will be a key element allowing<br />

individuals to age with more independence and<br />

more choice.<br />

Here, we examine each component of health (as defined<br />

by <strong>the</strong> World Health Organiz<strong>at</strong>ion) and how each<br />

will be manifested in 2100.<br />

• Physical health. People’s physical health will be<br />

monitored daily in <strong>the</strong>ir homes. <strong>The</strong> smart home will<br />

be outfitted with readers to take vital signs and send<br />

<strong>the</strong>m directly to a medical professional to review, and<br />

provide feedback on any medic<strong>at</strong>ions or supplements<br />

th<strong>at</strong> need to be altered th<strong>at</strong> day. R<strong>at</strong>her than prescriptions<br />

as we have known <strong>the</strong>m, medic<strong>at</strong>ions will all be<br />

personalized to individuals’ DNA, keeping all healthier<br />

for longer.<br />

© OLEG PRIKHODKO / ISTOCKPHOTO<br />

continued on page 42<br />

energy than we can ever think of using,<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Earth is practically a closed<br />

system. We only have to reorganize<br />

<strong>the</strong>se 15-billion-year-old <strong>at</strong>oms to suit<br />

wh<strong>at</strong>ever we need.<br />

We have no “pension age,” nor do<br />

we have pensions. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are no 9-to-5 jobs, ei<strong>the</strong>r. You do<br />

not need human labor for wh<strong>at</strong> can be<br />

programmed. All our contributions<br />

have something to do with cre<strong>at</strong>ivity.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are still scientists, artists, architects,<br />

and chefs.<br />

Professional sports, alas, lost <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

appeal when <strong>the</strong> enhanced <strong>at</strong>hletes<br />

conquered <strong>the</strong> field.<br />

<strong>The</strong> politicians also welcomed longevity<br />

with open arms. You can tax it.

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