The 22nd Century at First Light - the denning institute
The 22nd Century at First Light - the denning institute
The 22nd Century at First Light - the denning institute
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Bronze ages), in which everything th<strong>at</strong> can possibly be<br />
made from biom<strong>at</strong>erials will be.<br />
<strong>The</strong> forest and agriculture sectors are developing into<br />
a bio-economy, which can use any bio raw m<strong>at</strong>erial to<br />
manufacture anything: gas, fluid, fiber, mass, molecules,<br />
energy. Artificial me<strong>at</strong> will grow in <strong>the</strong> cow-byres<br />
of <strong>the</strong> future, mobile phones will be compostable, and<br />
many kinds of consumer goods (such as chairs, mobile<br />
phones, and clo<strong>the</strong>s) will be printed from biom<strong>at</strong>erials<br />
and grown from seeds and stem cells.<br />
All of <strong>the</strong>se technologies and changes hold importance<br />
similar to <strong>the</strong> invention of <strong>the</strong> steam engine. <strong>The</strong>y<br />
have brought and will continue to bring profound<br />
changes to our economy, our way of life, and even our<br />
cultural history.<br />
Healthy Aging in <strong>the</strong> <strong>22nd</strong> <strong>Century</strong><br />
By Marta M. Keane<br />
Wh<strong>at</strong> will <strong>the</strong> term elder mean in <strong>the</strong> future? And <strong>at</strong><br />
wh<strong>at</strong> age will someone be considered an elder in 2100?<br />
I’m now 88, but it is something<br />
completely different from wh<strong>at</strong> it used<br />
to be in your days. This is probably <strong>the</strong><br />
biggest change: We don’t have to get<br />
old and die.<br />
Already when I was born, <strong>the</strong> concept<br />
of rejuven<strong>at</strong>ion was understood in<br />
<strong>the</strong>ory: We knew wh<strong>at</strong> needs to be<br />
done <strong>at</strong> <strong>the</strong> cell level. It took some time<br />
to make it happen also in practice.<br />
Now, to stay young is actually cheaper<br />
than to get old.<br />
Accidents do still happen, but regrowing<br />
organs was perfected already<br />
in <strong>the</strong> 2050s. It’s a self-service society<br />
up to <strong>the</strong> finish line. It is up to you to<br />
shuffle off your own mortal coil.<br />
You may have considered <strong>the</strong> popu-<br />
Scenario<br />
Paradise Found: No Aging, No Pensions<br />
By Jouni J. Särkijärvi<br />
l<strong>at</strong>ion explosion of your time intolerable,<br />
so wh<strong>at</strong> happens when people<br />
stop both dying and losing <strong>the</strong>ir fertility?<br />
<strong>The</strong> problem used to be th<strong>at</strong> people<br />
squandered resources and <strong>the</strong>re was<br />
not enough food. Actually, <strong>the</strong>re would<br />
have been enough food if people had<br />
had money for it. Both <strong>the</strong>se problems<br />
were expressions of primitive technology.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Sun provides us with more<br />
40 THE FUTURIST September-October 2012 • www.wfs.org<br />
To be born in 2012 and only be 88 years old in 2100<br />
will probably mean middle age r<strong>at</strong>her than elderhood.<br />
Elders will be those who have lived triple-digit<br />
years and have been through several careers and<br />
cycles of educ<strong>at</strong>ion, career, and leisure. <strong>The</strong>se elders<br />
will have exponentially more knowledge and experience,<br />
and <strong>the</strong>y will continue to be contributing to<br />
society. Technology will be a key element allowing<br />
individuals to age with more independence and<br />
more choice.<br />
Here, we examine each component of health (as defined<br />
by <strong>the</strong> World Health Organiz<strong>at</strong>ion) and how each<br />
will be manifested in 2100.<br />
• Physical health. People’s physical health will be<br />
monitored daily in <strong>the</strong>ir homes. <strong>The</strong> smart home will<br />
be outfitted with readers to take vital signs and send<br />
<strong>the</strong>m directly to a medical professional to review, and<br />
provide feedback on any medic<strong>at</strong>ions or supplements<br />
th<strong>at</strong> need to be altered th<strong>at</strong> day. R<strong>at</strong>her than prescriptions<br />
as we have known <strong>the</strong>m, medic<strong>at</strong>ions will all be<br />
personalized to individuals’ DNA, keeping all healthier<br />
for longer.<br />
© OLEG PRIKHODKO / ISTOCKPHOTO<br />
continued on page 42<br />
energy than we can ever think of using,<br />
and <strong>the</strong> Earth is practically a closed<br />
system. We only have to reorganize<br />
<strong>the</strong>se 15-billion-year-old <strong>at</strong>oms to suit<br />
wh<strong>at</strong>ever we need.<br />
We have no “pension age,” nor do<br />
we have pensions. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand,<br />
<strong>the</strong>re are no 9-to-5 jobs, ei<strong>the</strong>r. You do<br />
not need human labor for wh<strong>at</strong> can be<br />
programmed. All our contributions<br />
have something to do with cre<strong>at</strong>ivity.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re are still scientists, artists, architects,<br />
and chefs.<br />
Professional sports, alas, lost <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
appeal when <strong>the</strong> enhanced <strong>at</strong>hletes<br />
conquered <strong>the</strong> field.<br />
<strong>The</strong> politicians also welcomed longevity<br />
with open arms. You can tax it.