ICF's Report to the Governor - Office of the Governor - Rick Perry

Oil Production Comparisons
TEXAS AND OTHER MAJOR OIL-PRODUCING STATES. Texas is currently the leading oil producing state in the
United States and is expected to remain at the top. Figure 35 shows the production trend in Texas
compared with other states. For 2008, Texas is forecast to produce close to 400 million barrels of oil,
roughly 1.5 times as much as California. Aside from minimal increases in production in California and
Illinois, all other major oil-producing states are projected either to decrease in production or remain flat.
Millions of Barrels per year
ICF International 08-058 ~ July 2008
FIGURE 35: PROJECTED U.S. OIL PRODUCTION BY STATE, 2008–2020
Source: State interpolations of the EIA’s Regional Forecast AEO 2007
TEXAS AND OTHER MAJOR OIL-PRODUCING COUNTRIES. In 2008, Canada, China, and the UAE are all expected to
produce nearly three times as much oil as Texas. The production differential between these countries and
Texas is only expected to grow as production of oil in Texas declines and production in Canada and the UAE
increases. Despite the relative maturity of Canadian conventional oil fields, overall production in the
country is expected to increase due to development of oil sands and bitumen fields (Figure 36).
FIGURE 36: PROJECTED OIL PRODUCTION IN TEXAS AND SELECTED COUNTRIES, 2008–2020
Millions of Barrels per year
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2008 2012 2016 2020
Texas Canada Australia &
New Zealand
India China UAE
2008 2012 2016 2020
Source: State interpolations of the EIA’s Regional Forecast AEO 2007 (Texas) and country interpolationsof the EIA’s International Energy Outlook 2007
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