A framework for history matching - StreamSim Technologies, Inc.
A framework for history matching - StreamSim Technologies, Inc.
A framework for history matching - StreamSim Technologies, Inc.
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Questions & Answers<br />
Benefits<br />
“What benefits does Mepo give me compared to<br />
my existing conventional <strong>history</strong> <strong>matching</strong> (HM)<br />
workflow?”<br />
“Usually I use one <strong>history</strong> matched<br />
simulation model as base case <strong>for</strong> prediction runs.”<br />
The Mepo workflow yields several matches of<br />
acceptable quality. Thus, the uncertainty in your<br />
simulation model is assessed be<strong>for</strong>e predictions are<br />
made.<br />
“Manual HM is usually time consuming, and I<br />
often find it difficult to obtain a good match.”<br />
With the application of scalable CPU clusters, Mepo will<br />
reduce the amount of time used <strong>for</strong> HM, and the total<br />
turnover time to update models is reduced significantly.<br />
Mepo utilises state-of-the-art global optimisation<br />
methods, with the capability to search the whole solution<br />
space looking <strong>for</strong> ways to achieve a HM. When the<br />
simulations are running, the engineer can analyse output<br />
data, and adjust the workflow by modifying the<br />
optimisation strategy or selecting new parameters<br />
(discrete or continuous) into the HM.<br />
“I judge the quality of the match by appearance, and<br />
don’t use any quantitative measure.”<br />
Mepo uses a customisable objective function to<br />
measure the difference between simulated and<br />
measured <strong>history</strong> data. Individual weighting schemes<br />
<strong>for</strong> measurements and/or time periods are available.<br />
Prior in<strong>for</strong>mation (e.g. correlations between the HM<br />
parameters like permeability and porosity) can be<br />
added as penalty terms to the objective function.<br />
“I modify only one parameter at a time, and choose<br />
the ones which appear to be the most promising.”<br />
A one parameter at a time approach ignores correlation<br />
effects. The Mepo workflow includes global optimisation<br />
and experimental design with the capability to modify<br />
several parameters at a time.<br />
“I have to manually edit and evaluate each<br />
simulation.”<br />
Mepo has an integrated pre- and post-processor, which<br />
automatically checks the quality of the HM, and<br />
generates new input files <strong>for</strong> simulation. You can interact<br />
with this process at any time.<br />
“How is Mepo different from other <strong>history</strong><br />
<strong>matching</strong> software?”<br />
Optimising HM projects.<br />
Mepo is a flexible <strong>framework</strong> <strong>for</strong> HM, an optimisation<br />
environment with an integrated pre- and postprocessor.<br />
The Mepo workflow currently includes<br />
Bayesian analysis, experimental design, local and global<br />
optimisation methods, and allows the inclusion of new<br />
optimisation methods.<br />
The graphical user interface is user friendly, and gives<br />
full control and overview of the simulations. Mepo<br />
provides a structured approach to HM, and produces<br />
comprehensiveness, transparency and reliability of<br />
results.<br />
Global optimisation methods and parallel<br />
processing.<br />
A unique feature of Mepo is the use of global<br />
optimisation and multiple CPUs. An Evolution<br />
Strategy is applied to find several matches within<br />
determined acceptable quality parameters. These<br />
matches are then applied in prediction runs assessing<br />
the model uncertainty. Distribution of these runs to a<br />
number of parallel CPUs significantly reduces the simu-<br />
lation time. Mepo proposes and generates new cycles<br />
of runs based on the previous results. A cycle of runs<br />
typically ranges from 2 – 20, but can consist of any<br />
number of runs.<br />
Both discrete and continuous parameters can be<br />
changed.<br />
A major benefit of Mepo is the ability to change both<br />
discrete and continuous parameters. Typical parameters<br />
that cause difficulties in HM studies are fault locations<br />
and relative permeability curves (discrete), and<br />
permeability and pore volumes (continuous).<br />
Changing parameters and optimisation methods<br />
during study.<br />
An advanced algorithm management integrated in Mepo<br />
allows to steer the optimisation process, e.g. changes in<br />
the optimisation strategy (e.g. method), and to activate<br />
or deactivate parameters as the HM study progresses.