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One of the great limits of ten years of the Lula government has been the absence of a real agrarian<br />

reform, a central question for the future of Brazilian society. According to the MST, the Lula government<br />

which had committed itself to distributing land to 450,000 peasant families has only done so for 150,000.<br />

Millions of landless rural workers await a real reform which attacks the insolent privileges of the rural<br />

capitalist oligarchy, in increasingly precarious social conditions.<br />

Forbidden by the Constitution from seeking a third term, Lula chose as his dauphin Dilma Roussef, who<br />

became in 2011 the PT presidential candidate. Active in the armed resistance to the dictatorship — she<br />

organised some bank expropriations – she was arrested, tortured and imprisoned for three years. After<br />

her release, she became an effective and pragmatic “left technocrat”, first joining the Democratic Labour<br />

Party of Leonel Brizola, and then joining the PT in 2000. Elected in the second round against Alckmin,<br />

she then succeeded Lula. The PSOL presented as candidate Plinio de Arruda Sampaio, who waged a good<br />

campaign but only gained 1% of the vote.<br />

The policy of the Dilma government— shaken by several corruption scandals concerning various ministers,<br />

notably from the centre right PMDB, who have had to resign — has hardly been different from that of its<br />

predecessor. The social programmes are maintained and even strengthened, but the general orientation<br />

remains that of the Washington Consensus”. Some control over capital flows has been established and<br />

the situation of the economy has stabilised. The demands of the landless for debt forgiveness have been<br />

totally rejected. The most disappointing aspect is probably the ecological balance sheet: a law on forests<br />

which favours impunity for the destroyers of Amazonia; and the decision to build the hydro-electric<br />

dam at Belo Monte, leading to the expulsion of the inhabitants and the destruction of a vast wooded<br />

area. The movements in defence of human rights have obtained a concession, in the form of the Truth<br />

Commission, which has presented a report on the crimes of the dictatorship, but without punishment of<br />

those responsible, covered by the military auto-amnesty of 1979.<br />

As in previous years, only the mobilisation “from below” of the workers, landless and homeless, youth<br />

and women, environmentalists and indigenous peoples, can change the relationship of social and political<br />

forces.<br />

Michael Löwy, a philosopher and sociologist of Brazilian origin, is a member of the New Anti-capitalist<br />

Party in France and of the Fourth <strong>International</strong>. A Fellow of the IIRE in Amsterdam and former research<br />

director of the French National Council for Scientific Research (CNRS), he has written many books,<br />

including The Marxism of Che Guevara, Marxism and Liberation Theology, Fatherland or Mother Earth?<br />

and The War of Gods: Religion and Politics in Latin America. He is joint author (with Joel Kovel) of<br />

the <strong>International</strong> Ecosocialist Manifesto. He was also one of the organizers of the first <strong>International</strong><br />

Ecosocialist Meeting, in Paris, in 2007.<br />

Russia - The Russia of the indignant<br />

The elections in Russia took place as usual, with massive fraud and the pressure of the regime to ensure<br />

the victory of the ruling party, United Russia. What has changed is the scale of the protests against this<br />

fraud. This time, a large part of the population is rising up to testify: “We did not vote for you!” [This<br />

article was written on 9 December 2011, in Moscow.]<br />

Carine Clément<br />

The figures do not mean much (but let us recall them all the same: 49.54 per cent for United Russia,<br />

19.16 per cent for the Communist Party, 13.22 per cent for Fair Russia and 11.66 per cent for the party<br />

of the nationalist demagogue Zhirinovsky). So the ruling party has lost the constitutional majority in the<br />

Duma and fallen below 50 per cent. But for most commentators, this figure overestimates the real score<br />

of United Russia by 10 to 15 per cent. And, in any case, it is a purely “designed” result, as the Russians<br />

say. It is the outcome of a concession made to the growing dissatisfaction of a large part of the population<br />

towards the “party of swindlers and thieves” (that is how the party in power is commonly designated,<br />

following a formulation invented and popularized by the blogger Alexeï Nabalny).<br />

Indeed, at the beginning of the campaign, regional governors received from the federal centre objectives<br />

of the order of between 60 and 70 per cent of the vote. Unfortunately, this princely gesture was not<br />

enough to calm the anger, on the contrary. On the day after the elections, nearly ten thousand people<br />

demonstrated in the streets of Moscow, a few less in St. Petersburg. More than 300 people were arrested<br />

in Moscow, around 200 in St. Petersburg. That did not prevent the mobilizations from continuing in the<br />

following days, as well as the arrests. How to explain this reversal of the situation, whereas the majority<br />

of voters had for quite some time become accustomed to the fact that their votes were not worth much?<br />

Who are these people who took to the streets in spite of the threat of being arrested?<br />

The mobilization results mainly from the increasing unpopularity of the party in power, not only because<br />

of its antisocial policies, but also and especially because of the arrogance of its representatives, of their<br />

contempt for ordinary citizens, of their corruption and greed. The most popular slogan during the electoral<br />

campaign, in any case among those who take even a little interest in politics, was: “Vote for any party,<br />

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